AVL

Avalon · Ethereum · gru_s0

token id: #696
symbol: AVL
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x5c8d0c48810fd37a0a824d074ee290e64f7a8fa2
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 144

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 48 predictions shown

direction hit

51.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0630

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0119

actual -0.0043

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.021245	0.020871	-1.76%	–	pending	–	–	1.17
2026-10-21	oos	0.021361	0.020981	-1.78%	–	pending	–	–	1.17
2026-10-20	oos	0.019693	0.019401	-1.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-19	oos	0.020678	0.020282	-1.92%	–	pending	–	–	1.17
2026-10-18	oos	0.019445	0.019124	-1.65%	–	pending	–	–	1.18
2026-10-17	oos	0.020546	0.020141	-1.97%	–	pending	–	–	1.20
2026-10-16	oos	0.022173	0.021598	-2.60%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-15	oos	0.020543	0.020028	-2.51%	0.021245	+3.41%	0.0279	✗	1.23
2026-10-14	oos	0.018647	0.018343	-1.63%	0.021361	+14.55%	0.1167	✗	1.20
2026-10-13	oos	0.019376	0.019094	-1.45%	0.019693	+1.64%	0.0332	✗	1.19
2026-10-12	oos	0.018817	0.018534	-1.51%	0.020678	+9.89%	0.1081	✗	1.17
2026-10-11	oos	0.020663	0.020341	-1.56%	0.019445	-5.89%	0.0230	✓	1.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.022471	0.021961	-2.27%	0.020546	-8.56%	0.0454	✓	1.14
2026-10-09	oos	0.019944	0.019636	-1.54%	0.022173	+11.18%	0.1356	✗	1.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.019933	0.019607	-1.64%	0.020543	+3.06%	0.0408	✗	1.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.022334	0.021924	-1.84%	0.018647	-16.51%	0.1410	✓	1.01
2026-10-06	oos	0.02175	0.021457	-1.35%	0.019376	-10.92%	0.0698	✓	1.11
2026-10-05	oos	0.022515	0.022183	-1.48%	0.018817	-16.42%	0.1115	✓	1.11
2026-10-04	oos	0.022884	0.022561	-1.41%	0.020663	-9.71%	0.0511	✓	1.11
2026-10-03	oos	0.022833	0.022485	-1.53%	0.022471	-1.59%	0.0240	✗	1.13
2026-10-02	oos	0.022786	0.022442	-1.51%	0.019944	-12.47%	0.0916	✓	1.13
2026-10-01	oos	0.022953	0.022655	-1.30%	0.019933	-13.15%	0.0852	✓	1.13
2026-09-30	oos	0.023642	0.023274	-1.55%	0.022334	-5.53%	0.0373	✓	1.17
2026-09-29	oos	0.022532	0.022253	-1.24%	0.02175	-3.47%	0.0492	✓	1.17
2026-09-28	oos	0.021848	0.021605	-1.11%	0.022515	+3.05%	0.0095	✓	1.17
2026-09-27	oos	0.024924	0.024534	-1.57%	0.022884	-8.18%	0.0952	✓	1.07
2026-09-26	oos	0.025513	0.025088	-1.66%	0.022833	-10.50%	0.0983	✓	1.07
2026-09-25	oos	0.024789	0.024408	-1.54%	0.022786	-8.08%	0.0737	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.024097	0.023786	-1.29%	0.022953	-4.75%	0.0412	✓	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.023279	0.023021	-1.11%	0.023642	+1.56%	0.0364	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.024603	0.024338	-1.08%	0.022532	-8.42%	0.0470	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.023323	0.023137	-0.80%	0.021848	-6.32%	0.0204	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.021137	0.020913	-1.06%	0.024924	+17.92%	0.1356	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.021371	0.021169	-0.94%	0.025513	+19.38%	0.1482	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.0216	0.021409	-0.89%	0.024789	+14.76%	0.1076	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.020413	0.020134	-1.37%	0.024097	+18.05%	0.0796	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.020576	0.020301	-1.33%	0.023279	+13.14%	0.0342	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.021305	0.020983	-1.51%	0.024603	+15.48%	0.0278	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.020442	0.02027	-0.84%	0.023323	+14.09%	0.0380	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.020262	0.020062	-0.99%	0.021137	+4.32%	0.0030	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.021569	0.021293	-1.28%	0.021371	-0.92%	0.0465	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.020448	0.020273	-0.85%	0.0216	+5.64%	0.0170	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.018637	0.018508	-0.69%	0.020413	+9.53%	0.1004	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.02012	0.020046	-0.37%	0.020576	+2.26%	0.0538	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.020503	0.020464	-0.19%	0.021305	+3.91%	0.0774	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.020774	0.020795	+0.10%	0.020442	-1.60%	0.0055	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.020602	0.020714	+0.54%	0.020262	-1.65%	0.0230	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.020591	0.020719	+0.62%	0.021569	+4.75%	0.0729	✓	1.00