AVL
Avalon · Ethereum · gru_s0
- token id
- #696
- symbol
- AVL
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x5c8d0c48810fd37a0a824d074ee290e64f7a8fa2
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-27
- predictions
- 144
Track record at +30d
assessed
18
of 48 predictions shown
direction hit
77.8%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0722
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0091
actual -0.0621
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.021245 | 0.020487 | -3.57% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.021361 | 0.020606 | -3.53% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.019693 | 0.019038 | -3.32% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.020678 | 0.019831 | -4.10% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.019445 | 0.018705 | -3.81% | – | pending | – | – | 1.18 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.020546 | 0.019582 | -4.69% | – | pending | – | – | 1.20 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.022173 | 0.020937 | -5.57% | – | pending | – | – | 1.19 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.020543 | 0.019516 | -5.00% | – | pending | – | – | 1.23 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.018647 | 0.017825 | -4.41% | – | pending | – | – | 1.20 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.019376 | 0.018654 | -3.72% | – | pending | – | – | 1.19 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.018817 | 0.018025 | -4.21% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.020663 | 0.019893 | -3.73% | – | pending | – | – | 1.09 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.022471 | 0.021358 | -4.95% | – | pending | – | – | 1.14 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.019944 | 0.01912 | -4.13% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.019933 | 0.019039 | -4.49% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.022334 | 0.02133 | -4.50% | – | pending | – | – | 1.01 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.02175 | 0.021072 | -3.12% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.022515 | 0.021751 | -3.39% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.022884 | 0.022167 | -3.13% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.022833 | 0.022044 | -3.46% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.022786 | 0.022002 | -3.44% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.022953 | 0.022309 | -2.80% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.023642 | 0.022831 | -3.43% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.022532 | 0.021945 | -2.61% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.021848 | 0.021338 | -2.33% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.024924 | 0.024122 | -3.22% | – | pending | – | – | 1.07 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.025513 | 0.024665 | -3.33% | – | pending | – | – | 1.07 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.024789 | 0.024059 | -2.94% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.024097 | 0.023575 | -2.17% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.023279 | 0.022897 | -1.64% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.024603 | 0.02433 | -1.11% | 0.021245 | -13.65% | 0.1124 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.023323 | 0.02326 | -0.27% | 0.021361 | -8.41% | 0.0551 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.021137 | 0.020788 | -1.65% | 0.019693 | -6.83% | 0.0758 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.021371 | 0.021123 | -1.16% | 0.020678 | -3.24% | 0.0287 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.0216 | 0.021408 | -0.89% | 0.019445 | -9.98% | 0.1101 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.020413 | 0.019799 | -3.01% | 0.020546 | +0.65% | 0.0268 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.020576 | 0.019978 | -2.91% | 0.022173 | +7.76% | 0.0363 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.021305 | 0.020611 | -3.26% | 0.020543 | -3.57% | 0.0863 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.020442 | 0.020186 | -1.25% | 0.018647 | -8.78% | 0.1218 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.020262 | 0.019918 | -1.70% | 0.019376 | -4.38% | 0.1065 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.021569 | 0.021212 | -1.66% | 0.018817 | -12.76% | 0.1762 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.020448 | 0.020114 | -1.63% | 0.020663 | +1.05% | 0.0535 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.018637 | 0.018264 | -2.00% | 0.022471 | +20.57% | 0.1273 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.02012 | 0.020012 | -0.54% | 0.019944 | -0.88% | 0.0564 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.020503 | 0.020528 | +0.12% | 0.019933 | -2.78% | 0.0699 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.020774 | 0.021018 | +1.17% | 0.022334 | +7.51% | 0.0092 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.020602 | 0.021159 | +2.70% | 0.02175 | +5.57% | 0.0351 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.020591 | 0.021205 | +2.98% | 0.022515 | +9.34% | 0.0115 | ✓ | 1.00 |