AVL

Avalon · Ethereum · gru_s0

token id: #696
symbol: AVL
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x5c8d0c48810fd37a0a824d074ee290e64f7a8fa2
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 141

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 47 predictions shown

direction hit

63.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0412

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0026

actual -0.0020

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.019479	0.019427	-0.26%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-20	oos	0.019693	0.019659	-0.17%	0.019479	-1.08%	0.0059	✓	1.13
2026-10-19	oos	0.020678	0.020584	-0.46%	0.019693	-4.77%	0.0599	✓	1.17
2026-10-18	oos	0.019445	0.019396	-0.25%	0.020678	+6.34%	0.0664	✗	1.18
2026-10-17	oos	0.020546	0.020487	-0.29%	0.019445	-5.36%	0.0614	✓	1.20
2026-10-16	oos	0.022173	0.022026	-0.66%	0.020546	-7.34%	0.0678	✓	1.19
2026-10-15	oos	0.020543	0.020296	-1.20%	0.022173	+7.93%	0.0979	✗	1.23
2026-10-14	oos	0.018647	0.018616	-0.17%	0.020543	+10.17%	0.0904	✗	1.20
2026-10-13	oos	0.019376	0.019352	-0.12%	0.018647	-3.76%	0.0149	✓	1.19
2026-10-12	oos	0.018817	0.018803	-0.08%	0.019376	+2.97%	0.0106	✗	1.17
2026-10-11	oos	0.020663	0.020632	-0.15%	0.018817	-8.93%	0.0665	✓	1.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.022471	0.022341	-0.57%	0.020663	-8.05%	0.0886	✓	1.14
2026-10-09	oos	0.019944	0.01992	-0.12%	0.022471	+12.67%	0.1156	✗	1.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.019933	0.019911	-0.11%	0.019944	+0.05%	0.0099	✓	1.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.022334	0.022286	-0.21%	0.019933	-10.75%	0.0923	✓	1.01
2026-10-06	oos	0.02175	0.021723	-0.13%	0.022334	+2.68%	0.0577	✗	1.11
2026-10-05	oos	0.022515	0.022476	-0.17%	0.02175	-3.40%	0.0301	✓	1.11
2026-10-04	oos	0.022884	0.022841	-0.19%	0.022515	-1.61%	0.0046	✓	1.11
2026-10-03	oos	0.022833	0.022782	-0.23%	0.022884	+0.22%	0.0187	✓	1.13
2026-10-02	oos	0.022786	0.022733	-0.23%	0.022833	+0.21%	0.0013	✓	1.13
2026-10-01	oos	0.022953	0.022918	-0.15%	0.022786	-0.73%	0.0012	✓	1.13
2026-09-30	oos	0.023642	0.023587	-0.23%	0.022953	-2.92%	0.0452	✓	1.17
2026-09-29	oos	0.022532	0.0225	-0.14%	0.023642	+4.93%	0.0507	✗	1.17
2026-09-28	oos	0.021848	0.021827	-0.10%	0.022532	+3.13%	0.0292	✗	1.17
2026-09-27	oos	0.024924	0.024854	-0.28%	0.021848	-12.34%	0.1161	✓	1.07
2026-09-26	oos	0.025513	0.025421	-0.36%	0.024924	-2.31%	0.0203	✓	1.07
2026-09-25	oos	0.024789	0.024704	-0.34%	0.025513	+2.92%	0.0284	✗	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.024097	0.024024	-0.30%	0.024789	+2.87%	0.0348	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.023279	0.023218	-0.26%	0.024097	+3.51%	0.0371	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.024603	0.02451	-0.38%	0.023279	-5.38%	0.0302	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.023323	0.023254	-0.30%	0.024603	+5.49%	0.0610	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.021137	0.021074	-0.30%	0.023323	+10.34%	0.0366	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.021371	0.021306	-0.30%	0.021137	-1.09%	0.0071	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.0216	0.021535	-0.30%	0.021371	-1.06%	0.0121	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.020413	0.020358	-0.27%	0.0216	+5.81%	0.0016	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.020576	0.020524	-0.25%	0.020413	-0.79%	0.0081	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.021305	0.021234	-0.33%	0.020576	-3.42%	0.0389	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.020442	0.020403	-0.19%	0.021305	+4.22%	0.0770	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.020262	0.020217	-0.23%	0.020442	+0.89%	0.0067	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.021569	0.021386	-0.85%	0.020262	-6.06%	0.0480	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.020448	0.020373	-0.36%	0.021569	+5.48%	0.0563	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.018637	0.018619	-0.10%	0.020448	+9.71%	0.0849	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.02012	0.020096	-0.12%	0.018637	-7.37%	0.0528	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.020503	0.020485	-0.09%	0.02012	-1.87%	0.0158	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.020774	0.020766	-0.04%	0.020503	-1.30%	0.0046	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.020602	0.020608	+0.03%	0.020774	+0.83%	0.0237	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.020591	0.020595	+0.02%	0.020602	+0.05%	0.0060	✗	1.00