ARCSOL

? · · gru_s0

token id: #958
symbol: ARCSOL
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-12-11
predictions: 1,986

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

44.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1783

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0159

actual +0.0282

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.050705	0.050073	-1.25%	–	pending	–	–	-0.17
2026-10-20	oos	0.05179	0.051019	-1.49%	–	pending	–	–	-0.14
2026-10-19	oos	0.04402	0.043594	-0.97%	–	pending	–	–	-0.19
2026-10-18	oos	0.041255	0.040946	-0.75%	–	pending	–	–	-0.20
2026-10-17	oos	0.040095	0.039876	-0.55%	–	pending	–	–	-0.21
2026-10-16	oos	0.035465	0.035512	+0.13%	–	pending	–	–	-0.19
2026-10-15	oos	0.03882	0.03879	-0.08%	–	pending	–	–	-0.22
2026-10-14	oos	0.036985	0.037057	+0.20%	0.050705	+37.10%	0.3167	✓	-0.23
2026-10-13	oos	0.031545	0.031268	-0.88%	0.05179	+64.18%	0.5044	✗	-0.13
2026-10-12	oos	0.05973	0.059469	-0.44%	0.04402	-26.30%	0.3010	✓	0.13
2026-10-11	oos	0.06296	0.06281	-0.24%	0.041255	-34.47%	0.4166	✓	0.18
2026-10-10	oos	0.061445	0.061271	-0.28%	0.040095	-34.75%	0.4201	✓	0.21
2026-10-09	oos	0.062975	0.062778	-0.31%	0.035465	-43.68%	0.5683	✓	0.21
2026-10-08	oos	0.060855	0.060683	-0.28%	0.03882	-36.21%	0.4478	✓	0.21
2026-10-07	oos	0.06405	0.064004	-0.07%	0.036985	-42.26%	0.5446	✓	0.18
2026-10-06	oos	0.071945	0.071991	+0.06%	0.031545	-56.15%	0.8228	✗	0.08
2026-10-05	oos	0.070345	0.070479	+0.19%	0.05973	-15.09%	0.1615	✗	0.08
2026-10-04	oos	0.073015	0.073162	+0.20%	0.06296	-13.77%	0.1476	✗	0.08
2026-10-03	oos	0.071135	0.071176	+0.06%	0.061445	-13.62%	0.1456	✗	0.07
2026-10-02	oos	0.070635	0.070649	+0.02%	0.062975	-10.84%	0.1133	✗	0.07
2026-10-01	oos	0.07224	0.072255	+0.02%	0.060855	-15.76%	0.1693	✗	0.06
2026-09-30	oos	0.07045	0.070426	-0.03%	0.06405	-9.08%	0.0948	✓	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.07265	0.072582	-0.09%	0.071945	-0.97%	0.0095	✓	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.06992	0.069934	+0.02%	0.070345	+0.61%	0.0050	✓	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.07275	0.072798	+0.07%	0.073015	+0.36%	0.0028	✓	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.07069	0.070826	+0.19%	0.071135	+0.63%	0.0043	✓	0.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.07175	0.071864	+0.16%	0.070635	-1.55%	0.0172	✗	-0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.07354	0.073668	+0.17%	0.07224	-1.77%	0.0195	✗	-0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.07853	0.078534	+0.01%	0.07045	-10.29%	0.1089	✗	-0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.078215	0.07841	+0.25%	0.07265	-7.12%	0.0772	✗	-0.03
2026-09-21	oos	0.07816	0.078402	+0.31%	0.06992	-10.54%	0.1156	✗	-0.03
2026-09-20	oos	0.073655	0.073578	-0.11%	0.07275	-1.23%	0.0061	✓	-0.13
2026-09-19	oos	0.063745	0.064045	+0.47%	0.07069	+10.89%	0.1027	✓	-0.10
2026-09-18	oos	0.070975	0.07111	+0.19%	0.07175	+1.09%	0.0129	✓	-0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.07026	0.07014	-0.17%	0.07354	+4.67%	0.0598	✗	-0.13
2026-09-16	oos	0.07422	0.073979	-0.32%	0.07853	+5.81%	0.0733	✗	-0.13
2026-09-15	oos	0.07934	0.078764	-0.73%	0.078215	-1.42%	0.0054	✓	-0.09
2026-09-14	oos	0.07305	0.073073	+0.03%	0.07816	+7.00%	0.0765	✓	-0.09
2026-09-13	oos	0.06938	0.069506	+0.18%	0.073655	+6.16%	0.0635	✓	-0.10
2026-09-12	oos	0.07315	0.073206	+0.08%	0.063745	-12.86%	0.1322	✗	-0.12
2026-09-11	oos	0.07391	0.073971	+0.08%	0.070975	-3.97%	0.0335	✗	-0.17
2026-09-10	oos	0.07355	0.073614	+0.09%	0.07026	-4.47%	0.0470	✗	-0.17
2026-09-09	oos	0.071975	0.072268	+0.41%	0.07422	+3.12%	0.0223	✓	-0.16
2026-09-08	oos	0.07252	0.072821	+0.42%	0.07934	+9.40%	0.0799	✓	-0.16
2026-09-07	oos	0.07476	0.075017	+0.34%	0.07305	-2.29%	0.0286	✗	-0.17
2026-09-06	oos	0.07195	0.072418	+0.65%	0.06938	-3.57%	0.0492	✗	-0.14
2026-09-05	oos	0.074015	0.074429	+0.56%	0.07315	-1.17%	0.0219	✗	-0.14
2026-09-04	oos	0.07428	0.07473	+0.61%	0.07391	-0.50%	0.0149	✗	-0.12
2026-09-03	oos	0.07189	0.072614	+1.01%	0.07355	+2.31%	0.0066	✓	-0.10
2026-09-02	oos	0.07274	0.073092	+0.48%	0.071975	-1.05%	0.0130	✗	-0.19
2026-09-01	oos	0.06482	0.06541	+0.91%	0.07252	+11.88%	0.1057	✓	-0.19
2026-08-31	oos	0.06939	0.07	+0.88%	0.07476	+7.74%	0.0676	✓	-0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.06761	0.068186	+0.85%	0.07195	+6.42%	0.0574	✓	-0.11
2026-08-29	oos	0.07057	0.071168	+0.85%	0.074015	+4.88%	0.0422	✓	-0.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.06989	0.070488	+0.86%	0.07428	+6.28%	0.0558	✓	-0.15
2026-08-27	oos	0.06683	0.067729	+1.34%	0.07189	+7.57%	0.0609	✓	-0.11
2026-08-26	oos	0.07115	0.071886	+1.04%	0.07274	+2.23%	0.0099	✓	-0.09
2026-08-25	oos	0.07217	0.072843	+0.93%	0.06482	-10.18%	0.1184	✗	-0.12
2026-08-24	oos	0.07048	0.071215	+1.04%	0.06939	-1.55%	0.0265	✗	-0.11
2026-08-23	oos	0.0693	0.069934	+0.92%	0.06761	-2.44%	0.0339	✗	-0.11
2026-08-22	oos	0.06685	0.06746	+0.91%	0.07057	+5.56%	0.0468	✓	-0.12
2026-08-21	oos	0.0681	0.06882	+1.06%	0.06989	+2.63%	0.0146	✓	-0.13
2026-08-20	oos	0.06936	0.069504	+0.21%	0.06683	-3.65%	0.0296	✗	-0.10
2026-08-19	oos	0.0691	0.068818	-0.41%	0.07115	+2.97%	0.0479	✗	-0.11
2026-08-18	oos	0.06936	0.068522	-1.21%	0.07217	+4.05%	0.0753	✗	-0.12
2026-08-17	oos	0.07402	0.073041	-1.32%	0.07048	-4.78%	0.0143	✓	-0.11
2026-08-16	oos	0.07188	0.07086	-1.42%	0.0693	-3.59%	0.0067	✓	-0.14
2026-08-15	oos	0.07187	0.070872	-1.39%	0.06685	-6.98%	0.0318	✓	-0.13
2026-08-14	oos	0.07702	0.075741	-1.66%	0.0681	-11.58%	0.0745	✓	-0.15
2026-08-13	oos	0.0757	0.074437	-1.67%	0.06936	-8.38%	0.0593	✓	-0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.07193	0.070736	-1.66%	0.0691	-3.93%	0.0017	✓	-0.24
2026-08-11	oos	0.06592	0.065039	-1.34%	0.06936	+5.22%	0.0695	✗	-0.29
2026-08-10	oos	0.06458	0.063715	-1.34%	0.07402	+14.62%	0.1523	✗	-0.27
2026-08-09	oos	0.0662	0.06521	-1.49%	0.07188	+8.58%	0.0880	✗	-0.30
2026-08-08	oos	0.06342	0.062182	-1.95%	0.07187	+13.32%	0.1359	✗	-0.30
2026-08-07	oos	0.05236	0.051884	-0.91%	0.07702	+47.10%	0.3838	✗	-0.38
2026-08-06	oos	0.05468	0.054093	-1.07%	0.0757	+38.44%	0.3313	✗	-0.36
2026-08-05	oos	0.0513	0.050829	-0.92%	0.07193	+40.21%	0.3407	✗	-0.35
2026-08-04	oos	0.053	0.052462	-1.01%	0.06592	+24.38%	0.2257	✗	-0.33
2026-08-03	oos	0.0509	0.050377	-1.03%	0.06458	+26.88%	0.2508	✗	-0.35
2026-08-02	oos	0.05129	0.050802	-0.95%	0.0662	+29.07%	0.2714	✗	-0.31
2026-08-01	oos	0.05185	0.051372	-0.92%	0.06342	+22.31%	0.2216	✗	-0.32
2026-07-31	oos	0.05344	0.05296	-0.90%	0.05236	-2.02%	0.0009	✓	-0.32
2026-07-30	oos	0.05276	0.052371	-0.74%	0.05468	+3.64%	0.0408	✗	-0.33
2026-07-29	oos	0.0537	0.053326	-0.70%	0.0513	-4.47%	0.0353	✓	-0.31
2026-07-28	oos	0.05151	0.051214	-0.57%	0.053	+2.89%	0.0353	✗	-0.31
2026-07-27	oos	0.05404	0.053746	-0.54%	0.0509	-5.81%	0.0556	✓	-0.33
2026-07-26	oos	0.05593	0.055684	-0.44%	0.05129	-8.30%	0.0905	✓	-0.29
2026-07-25	oos	0.06002	0.059748	-0.45%	0.05185	-13.61%	0.1496	✓	-0.32
2026-07-24	oos	0.06223	0.061968	-0.42%	0.05344	-14.13%	0.1540	✓	-0.30
2026-07-23	oos	0.06145	0.061265	-0.30%	0.05276	-14.14%	0.1509	✓	-0.29
2026-07-22	oos	0.06452	0.06439	-0.20%	0.0537	-16.77%	0.1919	✓	-0.31
2026-07-21	oos	0.0666	0.066493	-0.16%	0.05151	-22.66%	0.2680	✓	-0.31
2026-07-20	oos	0.07012	0.069908	-0.30%	0.05404	-22.93%	0.2643	✓	-0.29
2026-07-19	oos	0.07069	0.070426	-0.37%	0.05593	-20.88%	0.2276	✓	-0.29
2026-07-18	oos	0.07093	0.070654	-0.39%	0.06002	-15.38%	0.1652	✓	-0.26
2026-07-17	oos	0.07314	0.07279	-0.48%	0.06223	-14.92%	0.1561	✓	-0.21
2026-07-16	oos	0.07475	0.07438	-0.49%	0.06145	-17.79%	0.1871	✓	-0.19
2026-07-15	oos	0.07579	0.075458	-0.44%	0.06452	-14.87%	0.1516	✓	-0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.08041	0.079975	-0.54%	0.0666	-17.17%	0.1776	✓	-0.23
2026-07-13	oos	0.07419	0.073663	-0.71%	0.07012	-5.49%	0.0322	✓	-0.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.07814	0.077656	-0.62%	0.07069	-9.53%	0.0879	✓	-0.41
2026-07-11	oos	0.07879	0.078297	-0.63%	0.07093	-9.98%	0.0919	✓	-0.43
2026-07-10	oos	0.07946	0.078981	-0.60%	0.07314	-7.95%	0.0783	✓	-0.40
2026-07-09	oos	0.0791	0.078569	-0.67%	0.07475	-5.50%	0.0461	✓	-0.40
2026-07-08	oos	0.08115	0.080526	-0.77%	0.07579	-6.61%	0.0457	✓	-0.38
2026-07-07	oos	0.08095	0.08038	-0.70%	0.08041	-0.67%	0.0088	✗	-0.33
2026-07-06	oos	0.08236	0.081788	-0.69%	0.07419	-9.92%	0.1068	✓	-0.34
2026-07-05	oos	0.08139	0.080778	-0.75%	0.07814	-3.99%	0.0325	✓	-0.29
2026-07-04	oos	0.07808	0.07747	-0.78%	0.07879	+0.91%	0.0202	✗	-0.30
2026-07-03	oos	0.07906	0.078411	-0.82%	0.07946	+0.51%	0.0213	✗	-0.32
2026-07-02	oos	0.08274	0.081983	-0.91%	0.0791	-4.40%	0.0278	✓	-0.29
2026-07-01	oos	0.08328	0.082406	-1.05%	0.08115	-2.56%	0.0046	✓	-0.29
2026-06-30	oos	0.0839	0.08294	-1.14%	0.08095	-3.52%	0.0040	✓	-0.26
2026-06-29	oos	0.08357	0.082679	-1.07%	0.08236	-1.45%	0.0124	✗	-0.26
2026-06-28	oos	0.08813	0.087068	-1.21%	0.08139	-7.65%	0.0541	✓	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.08415	0.083173	-1.16%	0.07808	-7.21%	0.0534	✓	-0.19
2026-06-26	oos	0.08425	0.083227	-1.21%	0.07906	-6.16%	0.0437	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.08372	0.082682	-1.24%	0.08274	-1.17%	0.0062	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.08263	0.081624	-1.22%	0.08328	+0.79%	0.0154	✗	-0.28
2026-06-23	oos	0.08268	0.081685	-1.20%	0.0839	+1.48%	0.0112	✓	-0.23
2026-06-22	oos	0.08369	0.082699	-1.18%	0.08357	-0.14%	0.0053	✓	-0.26
2026-06-21	oos	0.08017	0.079218	-1.19%	0.08813	+9.93%	0.0901	✗	-0.27
2026-06-20	oos	0.07994	0.078989	-1.19%	0.08415	+5.27%	0.0438	✗	-0.28
2026-06-19	oos	0.07887	0.077913	-1.21%	0.08425	+6.82%	0.0631	✗	-0.27
2026-06-18	oos	0.08197	0.080911	-1.29%	0.08372	+2.13%	0.0204	✗	-0.27
2026-06-17	oos	0.08464	0.083443	-1.41%	0.08263	-2.37%	0.0249	✓	-0.27
2026-06-16	oos	0.07379	0.072916	-1.18%	0.08268	+12.05%	0.1139	✗	-0.25
2026-06-15	oos	0.07726	0.076346	-1.18%	0.08369	+8.32%	0.0789	✗	-0.36
2026-06-14	oos	0.08196	0.080907	-1.28%	0.08017	-2.18%	0.0202	✓	-0.29
2026-06-13	oos	0.08941	0.088015	-1.56%	0.07994	-10.59%	0.0972	✓	-0.30
2026-06-12	oos	0.08883	0.087025	-2.03%	0.07887	-11.21%	0.0987	✓	-0.33
2026-06-11	oos	0.08349	0.082236	-1.50%	0.08197	-1.82%	0.0066	✓	-0.31
2026-06-10	oos	0.08397	0.082589	-1.64%	0.08464	+0.80%	0.0397	✗	-0.32
2026-06-09	oos	0.08311	0.081734	-1.66%	0.07379	-11.21%	0.0830	✓	-0.31
2026-06-08	oos	0.08395	0.082474	-1.76%	0.07726	-7.97%	0.0490	✓	-0.33
2026-06-07	oos	0.08357	0.082055	-1.81%	0.08196	-1.93%	0.0088	✓	-0.27
2026-06-06	oos	0.08278	0.081317	-1.77%	0.08941	+8.01%	0.1048	✗	-0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.08116	0.079642	-1.87%	0.08883	+9.45%	0.1152	✗	-0.15
2026-06-04	oos	0.07524	0.074	-1.65%	0.08349	+10.96%	0.1205	✗	-0.05
2026-06-03	oos	0.07419	0.072964	-1.65%	0.08397	+13.18%	0.1374	✗	-0.08
2026-06-02	oos	0.0709	0.069751	-1.62%	0.08311	+17.22%	0.1759	✗	0.01
2026-06-01	oos	0.07662	0.075139	-1.93%	0.08395	+9.57%	0.1054	✗	-0.04
2026-05-31	oos	0.07343	0.072173	-1.71%	0.08357	+13.81%	0.1563	✗	0.06
2026-05-30	oos	0.07835	0.07673	-2.07%	0.08278	+5.65%	0.1329	✗	0.30
2026-05-29	oos	0.07464	0.073102	-2.06%	0.08116	+8.74%	0.1204	✗	0.09
2026-05-28	oos	0.07173	0.070357	-1.91%	0.07524	+4.89%	0.0737	✗	0.05
2026-05-27	oos	0.06396	0.06303	-1.45%	0.07419	+15.99%	0.1751	✗	0.08
2026-05-26	oos	0.06433	0.06349	-1.31%	0.0709	+10.21%	0.1392	✗	0.22
2026-05-25	oos	0.06502	0.064274	-1.15%	0.07662	+17.84%	0.1256	✗	-0.63
2026-05-24	oos	0.06402	0.063283	-1.15%	0.07343	+14.70%	0.1188	✗	-0.66
2026-05-23	oos	0.06449	0.06368	-1.26%	0.07835	+21.49%	0.1830	✗	-0.63
2026-05-22	oos	0.06401	0.063176	-1.30%	0.07464	+16.61%	0.1480	✗	-0.67
2026-05-21	oos	0.0641	0.063347	-1.17%	0.07173	+11.90%	0.0876	✗	-0.69
2026-05-20	oos	0.06525	0.064433	-1.25%	0.06396	-1.98%	0.0364	✓	-0.70
2026-05-19	oos	0.06462	0.063821	-1.24%	0.06433	-0.45%	0.0007	✓	-0.70
2026-05-18	oos	0.06589	0.06506	-1.26%	0.06502	-1.32%	0.0022	✓	-0.70
2026-05-17	oos	0.06769	0.066793	-1.33%	0.06402	-5.42%	0.0462	✓	-0.69
2026-05-16	oos	0.06178	0.061196	-0.95%	0.06449	+4.39%	0.0399	✗	-0.67
2026-05-15	oos	0.07376	0.072545	-1.65%	0.06401	-13.22%	0.1584	✓	-0.71
2026-05-14	oos	0.06026	0.059883	-0.62%	0.0641	+6.37%	0.0414	✗	-0.60
2026-05-13	oos	0.06384	0.063244	-0.93%	0.06525	+2.21%	0.0202	✗	-0.48
2026-05-12	oos	0.06714	0.066501	-0.95%	0.06462	-3.75%	0.0541	✓	-0.54
2026-05-11	oos	0.06406	0.063607	-0.71%	0.06589	+2.86%	0.0069	✓	-0.47
2026-05-10	oos	0.06287	0.062494	-0.60%	0.06769	+7.67%	0.0490	✗	-0.51
2026-05-09	oos	0.06858	0.067955	-0.91%	0.06178	-9.92%	0.1103	✓	-0.47
2026-05-08	oos	0.06956	0.068911	-0.93%	0.07376	+6.04%	0.0623	✗	-0.40
2026-05-07	oos	0.06741	0.066846	-0.84%	0.06026	-10.61%	0.0999	✓	-0.28
2026-05-06	oos	0.06943	0.068956	-0.68%	0.06384	-8.05%	0.0748	✓	0.09
2026-05-05	oos	0.07004	0.069503	-0.77%	0.06714	-4.14%	0.0350	✓	-0.08
2026-05-04	oos	0.06657	0.066045	-0.79%	0.06406	-3.77%	0.0297	✓	-0.04
2026-05-03	oos	0.06844	0.067792	-0.95%	0.06287	-8.14%	0.0651	✓	-0.23
2026-05-02	oos	0.0717	0.071012	-0.96%	0.06858	-4.35%	0.0300	✓	-0.20
2026-05-01	oos	0.07521	0.074467	-0.99%	0.06956	-7.51%	0.0637	✓	-0.18
2026-04-30	oos	0.07485	0.073998	-1.14%	0.06741	-9.94%	0.0847	✓	-0.18
2026-04-29	oos	0.07517	0.074273	-1.19%	0.06943	-7.64%	0.0547	✓	-0.18
2026-04-28	oos	0.06678	0.066196	-0.87%	0.07004	+4.88%	0.0614	✗	-0.08
2026-04-27	oos	0.07902	0.07804	-1.24%	0.06657	-15.76%	0.1556	✓	-0.11
2026-04-26	oos	0.06856	0.068216	-0.50%	0.06844	-0.18%	0.0032	✓	-0.08
2026-04-25	oos	0.06671	0.066378	-0.50%	0.0717	+7.48%	0.0783	✗	-0.09
2026-04-24	oos	0.06458	0.064251	-0.51%	0.07521	+16.46%	0.1579	✗	-0.04
2026-04-23	oos	0.06653	0.066208	-0.48%	0.07485	+12.51%	0.1215	✗	-0.05
2026-04-22	oos	0.06516	0.064832	-0.50%	0.07517	+15.36%	0.1464	✗	-0.05
2026-04-21	oos	0.06662	0.066075	-0.82%	0.06678	+0.24%	0.0106	✗	-0.04
2026-04-20	oos	0.0665	0.065914	-0.88%	0.07902	+18.83%	0.1827	✗	-0.07
2026-04-19	oos	0.06537	0.064629	-1.13%	0.06856	+4.88%	0.0699	✗	-0.17
2026-04-18	oos	0.06838	0.067741	-0.93%	0.06671	-2.44%	0.0103	✓	-0.20
2026-04-17	oos	0.06957	0.069066	-0.72%	0.06458	-7.17%	0.0661	✓	-0.22
2026-04-16	oos	0.07276	0.071947	-1.12%	0.06653	-8.56%	0.0698	✓	-0.21
2026-04-15	oos	0.06959	0.068839	-1.08%	0.06516	-6.37%	0.0456	✓	-0.21
2026-04-14	oos	0.07018	0.069339	-1.20%	0.06662	-5.07%	0.0341	✓	-0.21
2026-04-13	oos	0.07211	0.071166	-1.31%	0.0665	-7.78%	0.0633	✓	-0.24
2026-04-12	oos	0.07456	0.073085	-1.98%	0.06537	-12.33%	0.1094	✓	-0.05
2026-04-11	oos	0.07646	0.075043	-1.85%	0.06838	-10.57%	0.0908	✓	-0.06
2026-04-10	oos	0.071	0.069771	-1.73%	0.06957	-2.01%	0.0002	✓	-0.06
2026-04-09	oos	0.07094	0.069335	-2.26%	0.07276	+2.57%	0.0507	✗	-0.05
2026-04-08	oos	0.05996	0.058992	-1.61%	0.06959	+16.06%	0.1695	✗	-0.08
2026-04-07	oos	0.05853	0.057652	-1.50%	0.07018	+19.90%	0.1991	✗	-0.08
2026-04-06	oos	0.05693	0.055892	-1.82%	0.07211	+26.66%	0.2603	✗	-0.07
2026-04-05	oos	0.05355	0.052682	-1.62%	0.07456	+39.23%	0.3491	✗	-0.07
2026-04-04	oos	0.05503	0.053974	-1.92%	0.07646	+38.94%	0.3532	✗	-0.06
2026-04-03	oos	0.05465	0.053551	-2.01%	0.071	+29.92%	0.2872	✗	-0.06
2026-04-02	oos	0.05233	0.051363	-1.85%	0.07094	+35.56%	0.3268	✗	-0.06
2026-04-01	oos	0.05479	0.053709	-1.97%	0.05996	+9.44%	0.1132	✗	-0.07
2026-03-31	oos	0.05374	0.052718	-1.90%	0.05853	+8.91%	0.1085	✗	-0.07
2026-03-30	oos	0.05065	0.049773	-1.73%	0.05693	+12.40%	0.1372	✗	-0.09
2026-03-29	oos	0.05037	0.049488	-1.75%	0.05355	+6.31%	0.0837	✗	-0.11
2026-03-28	oos	0.0517	0.05067	-1.99%	0.05503	+6.44%	0.0840	✗	-0.10
2026-03-27	oos	0.04745	0.046695	-1.59%	0.05465	+15.17%	0.1583	✗	-0.11
2026-03-26	oos	0.04267	0.042203	-1.09%	0.05233	+22.64%	0.2133	✗	-0.06
2026-03-25	oos	0.04459	0.044076	-1.15%	0.05479	+22.88%	0.2137	✗	-0.09
2026-03-24	oos	0.04665	0.046	-1.39%	0.05374	+15.20%	0.1528	✗	-0.08
2026-03-23	oos	0.04747	0.046765	-1.48%	0.05065	+6.70%	0.0749	✗	-0.08
2026-03-22	oos	0.04813	0.047279	-1.77%	0.05037	+4.65%	0.0616	✗	-0.06
2026-03-21	oos	0.0497	0.048741	-1.93%	0.0517	+4.02%	0.0564	✗	-0.07
2026-03-20	oos	0.04846	0.047545	-1.89%	0.04745	-2.08%	0.0057	✓	-0.06
2026-03-19	oos	0.04463	0.043839	-1.77%	0.04267	-4.39%	0.0282	✓	-0.07
2026-03-18	oos	0.04082	0.040198	-1.52%	0.04459	+9.24%	0.1037	✗	-0.03
2026-03-17	oos	0.03639	0.035944	-1.23%	0.04665	+28.19%	0.2613	✗	0.01
2026-03-16	oos	0.042995	0.042525	-1.09%	0.04747	+10.41%	0.1129	✗	0.05
2026-03-15	oos	0.04655	0.045943	-1.30%	0.04813	+3.39%	0.0554	✗	0.13
2026-03-14	oos	0.04861	0.047824	-1.62%	0.0497	+2.24%	0.0415	✗	0.09
2026-03-13	oos	0.04251	0.041853	-1.55%	0.04846	+14.00%	0.1470	✗	0.06
2026-03-12	oos	0.04395	0.043199	-1.71%	0.04463	+1.55%	0.0332	✗	0.07
2026-03-11	oos	0.04198	0.041205	-1.85%	0.04082	-2.76%	0.0104	✓	0.07
2026-03-10	oos	0.04267	0.041738	-2.18%	0.03639	-14.72%	0.1409	✓	0.07
2026-03-09	oos	0.0386	0.037707	-2.31%	0.042995	+11.39%	0.1274	✗	0.04
2026-03-08	oos	0.03482	0.034103	-2.06%	0.04655	+33.69%	0.3137	✗	-0.03
2026-03-07	oos	0.03611	0.03519	-2.55%	0.04861	+34.62%	0.3250	✗	-0.03
2026-03-06	oos	0.03847	0.037343	-2.93%	0.04251	+10.50%	0.1314	✗	-0.04
2026-03-05	oos	0.03718	0.035854	-3.57%	0.04395	+18.21%	0.2035	✗	-0.03
2026-03-04	oos	0.03949	0.038026	-3.71%	0.04198	+6.31%	0.0974	✗	-0.04
2026-03-03	oos	0.03686	0.035047	-4.92%	0.04267	+15.76%	0.1990	✗	-0.09
2026-03-02	oos	0.05133	0.049441	-3.68%	0.0386	-24.80%	0.2482	✓	-0.11
2026-03-01	oos	0.04186	0.039148	-6.48%	0.03482	-16.82%	0.1165	✓	-0.20
2026-02-28	oos	0.02815	0.023471	-16.62%	0.03611	+28.28%	0.4309	✗	-0.02
2026-02-27	oos	0.03078	0.025407	-17.46%	0.03847	+24.98%	0.4150	✗	-0.00
2026-02-26	oos	0.03057	0.022617	-26.02%	0.03718	+21.62%	0.4973	✗	-0.00
2026-02-25	oos	0.05789	0.056226	-2.87%	0.03949	-31.78%	0.3506	✓	-0.04
2026-02-24	oos	0.10322	0.099968	-3.15%	0.03686	-64.29%	1.0281	✓	0.47
2026-02-23	oos	0.09076	0.088576	-2.41%	0.05133	-43.44%	0.5745	✓	0.46
2026-02-22	oos	0.09047	0.087786	-2.97%	0.04186	-53.73%	0.7278	✓	0.46
2026-02-21	oos	0.07352	0.072131	-1.89%	0.02815	-61.71%	0.9333	✓	0.52
2026-02-20	oos	0.07318	0.071748	-1.96%	0.03078	-57.94%	0.8337	✓	0.40
2026-02-19	oos	0.07658	0.074973	-2.10%	0.03057	-60.08%	0.9003	✓	0.41
2026-02-18	oos	0.07777	0.075946	-2.35%	0.05789	-25.56%	0.2807	✓	0.39
2026-02-17	oos	0.07714	0.075453	-2.19%	0.10322	+33.81%	0.3362	✗	0.44
2026-02-16	oos	0.07932	0.0775	-2.29%	0.09076	+14.42%	0.1862	✗	0.45
2026-02-15	oos	0.0769	0.07512	-2.32%	0.09047	+17.65%	0.1938	✗	0.46
2026-02-14	oos	0.07943	0.077365	-2.60%	0.07352	-7.44%	0.0389	✓	0.45
2026-02-13	oos	0.08241	0.079716	-3.27%	0.07318	-11.20%	0.0800	✓	0.46
2026-02-12	oos	0.07515	0.073059	-2.78%	0.07658	+1.90%	0.0423	✗	0.41
2026-02-11	oos	0.06673	0.065215	-2.27%	0.07777	+16.54%	0.1801	✗	0.44
2026-02-10	oos	0.0712	0.069211	-2.79%	0.07714	+8.34%	0.1165	✗	0.41
2026-02-09	oos	0.06393	0.062321	-2.52%	0.07932	+24.07%	0.2488	✗	0.43
2026-02-08	oos	0.0755	0.072631	-3.80%	0.0769	+1.85%	0.0661	✗	0.42
2026-02-07	oos	0.06176	0.060477	-2.08%	0.07943	+28.61%	0.2698	✗	0.35
2026-02-06	oos	0.07968	0.076533	-3.95%	0.08241	+3.43%	0.0816	✗	0.31
2026-02-05	oos	0.06819	0.067032	-1.70%	0.07515	+10.21%	0.1094	✗	0.09
2026-02-04	oos	0.06337	0.061646	-2.72%	0.06673	+5.30%	0.1137	✗	0.40
2026-02-03	oos	0.07037	0.066984	-4.81%	0.0712	+1.18%	0.0997	✗	0.41
2026-02-02	oos	0.04656	0.046007	-1.19%	0.06393	+37.31%	0.4187	✗	0.78
2026-02-01	oos	0.04173	0.041798	+0.16%	0.0755	+80.92%	0.6465	✓	0.61
2026-01-31	oos	0.0431	0.042993	-0.25%	0.06176	+43.29%	0.4174	✗	0.43
2026-01-30	oos	0.04241	0.041753	-1.55%	0.07968	+87.88%	0.7349	✗	0.50
2026-01-29	oos	0.04793	0.046939	-2.07%	0.06819	+42.27%	0.5250	✗	0.51
2026-01-28	oos	0.05456	0.053196	-2.50%	0.06337	+16.15%	0.2596	✗	0.42
2026-01-27	oos	0.05158	0.050226	-2.63%	0.07037	+36.43%	0.4069	✗	0.43
2026-01-26	oos	0.04991	0.048543	-2.74%	0.04656	-6.71%	0.0100	✓	0.45
2026-01-25	oos	0.05037	0.049025	-2.67%	0.04173	-17.15%	0.1037	✓	0.48
2026-01-24	oos	0.05777	0.056317	-2.52%	0.0431	-25.39%	0.2193	✓	0.39
2026-01-23	oos	0.06047	0.05896	-2.50%	0.04241	-29.87%	0.3102	✓	0.31
2026-01-22	oos	0.06253	0.060998	-2.45%	0.04793	-23.35%	0.2212	✓	0.35
2026-01-21	oos	0.0701	0.068287	-2.59%	0.05456	-22.17%	0.2236	✓	0.35
2026-01-20	oos	0.08145	0.078117	-4.09%	0.05158	-36.67%	0.4194	✓	0.47
2026-01-19	oos	0.06695	0.06495	-2.99%	0.04991	-25.45%	0.2283	✓	0.74
2026-01-18	oos	0.05477	0.053638	-2.07%	0.05037	-8.03%	0.0001	✓	0.80
2026-01-17	oos	0.04908	0.048262	-1.67%	0.05777	+17.71%	0.2338	✗	0.82
2026-01-16	oos	0.05165	0.050804	-1.64%	0.06047	+17.08%	0.2267	✗	0.81
2026-01-15	oos	0.05462	0.053702	-1.68%	0.06253	+14.48%	0.2076	✗	0.84
2026-01-14	oos	0.05716	0.056211	-1.66%	0.0701	+22.64%	0.2874	✗	0.82
2026-01-13	oos	0.06727	0.064731	-3.78%	0.08145	+21.08%	0.3028	✗	0.95
2026-01-12	oos	0.04898	0.048041	-1.92%	0.06695	+36.69%	0.3227	✗	0.62
2026-01-11	oos	0.04891	0.047865	-2.14%	0.05477	+11.98%	0.1151	✗	0.66
2026-01-10	oos	0.044	0.043178	-1.87%	0.04908	+11.55%	0.0951	✗	0.65
2026-01-09	oos	0.04275	0.041943	-1.89%	0.05165	+20.82%	0.1742	✗	0.63
2026-01-08	oos	0.03731	0.03672	-1.58%	0.05462	+46.40%	0.3665	✗	0.63
2026-01-07	oos	0.03251	0.032054	-1.40%	0.05716	+75.82%	0.4810	✗	1.62
2026-01-06	oos	0.03523	0.034838	-1.11%	0.06727	+90.95%	0.6299	✗	1.60
2026-01-05	oos	0.03633	0.03594	-1.07%	0.04898	+34.82%	0.3571	✗	1.64
2026-01-04	oos	0.03601	0.035547	-1.29%	0.04891	+35.82%	0.3307	✗	1.70
2026-01-03	oos	0.03574	0.035247	-1.38%	0.044	+23.11%	0.2260	✗	1.70
2026-01-02	oos	0.03374	0.033247	-1.46%	0.04275	+26.70%	0.2411	✗	1.67
2026-01-01	oos	0.03516	0.034625	-1.52%	0.03731	+6.11%	0.0315	✗	1.70
2025-12-31	oos	0.03534	0.03478	-1.59%	0.03251	-8.01%	0.1394	✓	1.70
2025-12-30	oos	0.03487	0.034338	-1.52%	0.03523	+1.03%	0.0756	✓	1.73
2025-12-29	oos	0.03703	0.036467	-1.52%	0.03633	-1.89%	0.1318	✓	1.71
2025-12-28	oos	0.04027	0.039653	-1.53%	0.03601	-10.58%	0.1650	✓	1.70
2025-12-27	oos	0.04554	0.044711	-1.82%	0.03574	-21.52%	0.2764	✓	1.68
2025-12-26	oos	0.04354	0.042716	-1.89%	0.03374	-22.51%	0.2853	✓	1.65
2025-12-25	oos	0.04617	0.04518	-2.15%	0.03516	-23.85%	0.2801	✓	1.65
2025-12-24	oos	0.04127	0.040476	-1.92%	0.03534	-14.37%	0.1336	✓	1.66
2025-12-23	oos	0.0401	0.039333	-1.91%	0.03487	-13.04%	0.1372	✓	1.52
2025-12-22	oos	0.04472	0.043803	-2.05%	0.03703	-17.20%	0.1432	✓	1.50
2025-12-21	oos	0.04437	0.043444	-2.09%	0.04027	-9.24%	0.0629	✓	1.51
2025-12-20	oos	0.04508	0.044063	-2.26%	0.04554	+1.02%	0.0421	✗	1.56
2025-12-19	oos	0.0423	0.041281	-2.41%	0.04354	+2.93%	0.0674	✗	1.55
2025-12-18	oos	0.04002	0.039072	-2.37%	0.04617	+15.37%	0.1361	✗	1.56
2025-12-17	oos	0.036	0.035154	-2.35%	0.04127	+14.64%	0.1348	✗	1.59
2025-12-16	oos	0.04841	0.04689	-3.14%	0.0401	-17.17%	0.1493	✓	1.48
2025-12-15	oos	0.04002	0.038922	-2.74%	0.04472	+11.74%	0.1043	✗	1.41
2025-12-14	oos	0.03232	0.031475	-2.61%	0.04437	+37.28%	0.3354	✗	1.50
2025-12-13	oos	0.03009	0.029202	-2.95%	0.04508	+49.82%	0.4675	✗	1.54
2025-12-12	oos	0.03156	0.030667	-2.83%	0.0423	+34.03%	0.3596	✗	1.55
2025-12-11	oos	0.03257	0.031726	-2.59%	0.04002	+22.87%	0.3556	✗	1.55
2025-12-10	oos	0.03374	0.03291	-2.46%	0.036	+6.70%	0.1927	✗	1.57
2025-12-09	oos	0.0371	0.036318	-2.11%	0.04841	+30.49%	0.3708	✗	1.56
2025-12-08	oos	0.03916	0.038249	-2.33%	0.04002	+2.20%	0.1206	✗	1.58
2025-12-07	oos	0.03906	0.038152	-2.32%	0.03232	-17.26%	0.1265	✓	1.58
2025-12-06	oos	0.04	0.039068	-2.33%	0.03009	-24.78%	0.2788	✓	1.61
2025-12-05	oos	0.04029	0.039352	-2.33%	0.03156	-21.67%	0.2374	✓	1.61
2025-12-04	oos	0.0406	0.039737	-2.12%	0.03257	-19.78%	0.2068	✓	1.63
2025-12-03	oos	0.04414	0.043224	-2.08%	0.03374	-23.56%	0.2231	✓	1.61
2025-12-02	oos	0.04418	0.043179	-2.27%	0.0371	-16.03%	0.1765	✓	1.65
2025-12-01	oos	0.04214	0.041121	-2.42%	0.03916	-7.07%	0.1347	✓	1.74
2025-11-30	oos	0.05073	0.049054	-3.30%	0.03906	-23.00%	0.2284	✓	1.63
2025-11-29	oos	0.04066	0.03974	-2.26%	0.04	-1.62%	0.0344	✗	1.61
2025-11-28	oos	0.04525	0.043812	-3.18%	0.04029	-10.96%	0.0558	✓	1.62
2025-11-27	oos	0.03818	0.037245	-2.45%	0.0406	+6.34%	0.0724	✗	1.64
2025-11-26	oos	0.03594	0.034942	-2.78%	0.04414	+22.82%	0.1800	✗	1.65
2025-11-25	oos	0.03641	0.03524	-3.21%	0.04418	+21.34%	0.1481	✗	1.75
2025-11-24	oos	0.03441	0.033272	-3.31%	0.04214	+22.46%	0.2764	✗	1.76
2025-11-23	oos	0.02719	0.026379	-2.98%	0.05073	+86.58%	0.5866	✗	1.67
2025-11-22	oos	0.03725	0.035884	-3.67%	0.04066	+9.15%	0.0173	✓	2.03
2025-11-21	oos	0.03157	0.030602	-3.07%	0.04525	+43.33%	0.2548	✗	2.05
2025-11-20	oos	0.02838	0.02768	-2.47%	0.03818	+34.53%	0.2086	✗	2.10
2025-11-19	oos	0.0308	0.030025	-2.52%	0.03594	+16.69%	0.2036	✗	2.18
2025-11-18	oos	0.03265	0.031769	-2.70%	0.03641	+11.52%	0.2715	✗	2.18
2025-11-17	oos	0.03008	0.029297	-2.60%	0.03441	+14.39%	0.2532	✗	2.17
2025-11-16	oos	0.03037	0.029596	-2.55%	0.02719	-10.47%	0.0932	✗	2.18
2025-11-15	oos	0.02951	0.028719	-2.68%	0.03725	+26.23%	0.5261	✗	2.20
2025-11-14	oos	0.03099	0.030133	-2.77%	0.03157	+1.87%	0.2816	✗	2.23
2025-11-13	oos	0.03208	0.031039	-3.25%	0.02838	-11.53%	0.2403	✗	2.34
2025-11-12	oos	0.02999	0.029193	-2.66%	0.0308	+2.70%	0.3070	✗	2.40
2025-11-11	oos	0.02939	0.028611	-2.65%	0.03265	+11.09%	0.3814	✗	2.42
2025-11-10	oos	0.02816	0.027455	-2.50%	0.03008	+6.82%	0.4427	✗	2.50
2025-11-09	oos	0.03016	0.029045	-3.70%	0.03037	+0.70%	0.3141	✗	2.55
2025-11-08	oos	0.02936	0.02835	-3.44%	0.02951	+0.51%	0.2159	✗	2.58
2025-11-07	oos	0.02507	0.024422	-2.58%	0.03099	+23.61%	0.4713	✗	2.62
2025-11-06	oos	0.02259	0.022106	-2.14%	0.03208	+42.01%	0.4156	✗	2.59
2025-11-05	oos	0.02642	0.02565	-2.92%	0.02999	+13.51%	0.2110	✗	2.52
2025-11-04	oos	0.02557	0.02468	-3.48%	0.02939	+14.94%	0.1366	✗	2.52
2025-11-03	oos	0.02367	0.022826	-3.57%	0.02816	+18.97%	0.2257	✗	2.88
2025-11-02	oos	0.01919	0.018752	-2.28%	0.03016	+57.17%	0.6546	✗	3.31
2025-11-01	oos	0.01756	0.017171	-2.22%	0.02936	+67.20%	0.7776	✗	3.30
2025-10-31	oos	0.01618	0.015783	-2.46%	0.02507	+54.94%	0.6554	✗	3.27
2025-10-30	oos	0.013	0.012793	-1.59%	0.02259	+73.77%	0.7828	✗	3.20
2025-10-29	oos	0.01309	0.012879	-1.61%	0.02642	+101.83%	0.9035	✗	3.21
2025-10-28	oos	0.01363	0.013405	-1.65%	0.02557	+87.60%	0.9964	✗	3.28
2025-10-27	oos	0.01453	0.014277	-1.74%	0.02367	+62.90%	0.7291	✗	3.27
2025-10-26	oos	0.01458	0.014327	-1.73%	0.01919	+31.62%	0.4090	✗	3.28
2025-10-25	oos	0.01564	0.015273	-2.35%	0.01756	+12.28%	0.1900	✗	3.46
2025-10-24	oos	0.01313	0.012913	-1.66%	0.01618	+23.23%	0.2722	✗	3.46
2025-10-23	oos	0.0135	0.013264	-1.75%	0.013	-3.70%	0.0374	✗	3.47
2025-10-22	oos	0.01197	0.011822	-1.23%	0.01309	+9.36%	0.0248	✗	3.43
2025-10-21	oos	0.01301	0.012809	-1.54%	0.01363	+4.77%	0.0786	✓	3.43
2025-10-20	oos	0.01334	0.013147	-1.44%	0.01453	+8.92%	0.0098	✓	3.50
2025-10-19	oos	0.0134	0.013225	-1.31%	0.01458	+8.81%	0.0862	✓	3.49
2025-10-18	oos	0.0135	0.013325	-1.30%	0.01564	+15.85%	0.0166	✗	3.52
2025-10-17	oos	0.01155	0.01155	+0.00%	0.01313	+13.68%	0.0181	✗	3.47
2025-10-16	oos	0.01146	0.011466	+0.05%	0.0135	+17.80%	0.1015	✓	3.52
2025-10-15	oos	0.01216	0.012106	-0.44%	0.01197	-1.56%	0.0930	✗	3.54
2025-10-14	oos	0.01252	0.012411	-0.87%	0.01301	+3.91%	0.1990	✗	3.57
2025-10-13	oos	0.01343	0.013255	-1.30%	0.01334	-0.67%	0.1557	✗	3.58
2025-10-12	oos	0.01231	0.012101	-1.70%	0.0134	+8.85%	0.3039	✗	3.53
2025-10-11	oos	0.01196	0.011757	-1.69%	0.0135	+12.88%	0.2591	✗	3.70
2025-10-10	oos	0.01147	0.010998	-4.12%	0.01155	+0.70%	0.2728	✗	3.76
2025-10-09	oos	0.02132	0.021195	-0.58%	0.01146	-46.25%	0.3357	✓	2.37
2025-10-08	oos	0.02238	0.022231	-0.66%	0.01216	-45.67%	0.3608	✓	2.26
2025-10-07	oos	0.01976	0.019651	-0.55%	0.01252	-36.64%	0.2816	✓	2.38
2025-10-06	oos	0.02155	0.021442	-0.50%	0.01343	-37.68%	0.2745	✓	2.46
2025-10-05	oos	0.02113	0.021023	-0.51%	0.01231	-41.74%	0.3617	✓	2.45
2025-10-04	oos	0.02253	0.022372	-0.70%	0.01196	-46.92%	0.3763	✓	2.49
2025-10-03	oos	0.02337	0.023175	-0.83%	0.01147	-50.92%	0.5061	✓	2.49
2025-10-02	oos	0.02322	0.022985	-1.01%	0.02132	-8.18%	0.0977	✓	2.50
2025-10-01	oos	0.02106	0.020865	-0.93%	0.02238	+6.27%	0.0253	✓	2.47
2025-09-30	oos	0.02064	0.020403	-1.15%	0.01976	-4.26%	0.1936	✓	2.60
2025-09-29	oos	0.0199	0.019672	-1.15%	0.02155	+8.29%	0.1536	✓	2.82
2025-09-28	oos	0.02045	0.020188	-1.28%	0.02113	+3.33%	0.2411	✓	2.98
2025-09-27	oos	0.02037	0.020085	-1.40%	0.02253	+10.60%	0.2174	✓	3.02
2025-09-26	oos	0.02103	0.020705	-1.55%	0.02337	+11.13%	0.2099	✓	3.04
2025-09-25	oos	0.02033	0.019976	-1.74%	0.02322	+14.22%	0.1567	✓	3.04
2025-09-24	oos	0.01793	0.017645	-1.59%	0.02106	+17.46%	0.0098	✓	3.65
2025-09-23	oos	0.01685	0.016545	-1.81%	0.02064	+22.49%	0.1551	✗	3.64
2025-09-22	oos	0.01713	0.016831	-1.74%	0.0199	+16.17%	0.1168	✗	3.53
2025-09-21	oos	0.0195	0.019217	-1.45%	0.02045	+4.87%	0.1566	✗	3.48
2025-09-20	oos	0.02021	0.019918	-1.45%	0.02037	+0.79%	0.2143	✗	3.56
2025-09-19	oos	0.01988	0.019593	-1.45%	0.02103	+5.78%	0.2601	✗	3.56
2025-09-18	oos	0.02217	0.021832	-1.53%	0.02033	-8.30%	0.1813	✗	3.53
2025-09-17	oos	0.02326	0.022839	-1.81%	0.01793	-22.91%	0.1447	✓	3.57

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.