ARCSOL

? · · gru_s0

token id: #958
symbol: ARCSOL
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-12-11
predictions: 1,986

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

38.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3951

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0482

actual +0.1748

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.050705	0.04908	-3.21%	–	pending	–	–	-0.17
2026-10-20	oos	0.05179	0.050133	-3.20%	–	pending	–	–	-0.14
2026-10-19	oos	0.04402	0.042692	-3.02%	–	pending	–	–	-0.19
2026-10-18	oos	0.041255	0.040057	-2.90%	–	pending	–	–	-0.20
2026-10-17	oos	0.040095	0.038839	-3.13%	–	pending	–	–	-0.21
2026-10-16	oos	0.035465	0.03434	-3.17%	–	pending	–	–	-0.19
2026-10-15	oos	0.03882	0.037654	-3.00%	–	pending	–	–	-0.22
2026-10-14	oos	0.036985	0.035651	-3.61%	–	pending	–	–	-0.23
2026-10-13	oos	0.031545	0.029387	-6.84%	–	pending	–	–	-0.13
2026-10-12	oos	0.05973	0.058255	-2.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.13
2026-10-11	oos	0.06296	0.062059	-1.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.18
2026-10-10	oos	0.061445	0.060318	-1.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.21
2026-10-09	oos	0.062975	0.0618	-1.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.21
2026-10-08	oos	0.060855	0.059561	-2.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.21
2026-10-07	oos	0.06405	0.063298	-1.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.18
2026-10-06	oos	0.071945	0.071864	-0.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.08
2026-10-05	oos	0.070345	0.070496	+0.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.08
2026-10-04	oos	0.073015	0.073406	+0.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.08
2026-10-03	oos	0.071135	0.071085	-0.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.07
2026-10-02	oos	0.070635	0.07048	-0.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.07
2026-10-01	oos	0.07224	0.072079	-0.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.06
2026-09-30	oos	0.07045	0.070094	-0.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.07265	0.072267	-0.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.06992	0.069708	-0.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.07275	0.072818	+0.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.07069	0.070997	+0.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.07175	0.072002	+0.35%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.07354	0.073941	+0.55%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.07853	0.07876	+0.29%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.078215	0.079263	+1.34%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-09-21	oos	0.07816	0.079694	+1.96%	0.050705	-35.13%	0.4535	✗	-0.03
2026-09-20	oos	0.073655	0.073556	-0.13%	0.05179	-29.69%	0.3480	✓	-0.13
2026-09-19	oos	0.063745	0.06426	+0.81%	0.04402	-30.94%	0.3775	✗	-0.10
2026-09-18	oos	0.070975	0.071071	+0.14%	0.041255	-41.87%	0.5425	✗	-0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.07026	0.069007	-1.78%	0.040095	-42.93%	0.5350	✓	-0.13
2026-09-16	oos	0.07422	0.072703	-2.04%	0.035465	-52.22%	0.7088	✓	-0.13
2026-09-15	oos	0.07934	0.077218	-2.67%	0.03882	-51.07%	0.6799	✓	-0.09
2026-09-14	oos	0.07305	0.072453	-0.82%	0.036985	-49.37%	0.6686	✓	-0.09
2026-09-13	oos	0.06938	0.068696	-0.99%	0.031545	-54.53%	0.7704	✓	-0.10
2026-09-12	oos	0.07315	0.072424	-0.99%	0.05973	-18.35%	0.1857	✓	-0.12
2026-09-11	oos	0.07391	0.073232	-0.92%	0.06296	-14.82%	0.1375	✓	-0.17
2026-09-10	oos	0.07355	0.072821	-0.99%	0.061445	-16.46%	0.1565	✓	-0.17
2026-09-09	oos	0.071975	0.07214	+0.23%	0.062975	-12.50%	0.1275	✗	-0.16
2026-09-08	oos	0.07252	0.072804	+0.39%	0.060855	-16.09%	0.1729	✗	-0.16
2026-09-07	oos	0.07476	0.075252	+0.66%	0.06405	-14.33%	0.1524	✗	-0.17
2026-09-06	oos	0.07195	0.072904	+1.33%	0.071945	-0.01%	0.0044	✓	-0.14
2026-09-05	oos	0.074015	0.074898	+1.19%	0.070345	-4.96%	0.0528	✗	-0.14
2026-09-04	oos	0.07428	0.075378	+1.48%	0.073015	-1.70%	0.0219	✗	-0.12
2026-09-03	oos	0.07189	0.074079	+3.05%	0.071135	-1.05%	0.0362	✗	-0.10
2026-09-02	oos	0.07274	0.073496	+1.04%	0.070635	-2.89%	0.0224	✗	-0.19
2026-09-01	oos	0.06482	0.066155	+2.06%	0.07224	+11.45%	0.1051	✓	-0.19
2026-08-31	oos	0.06939	0.071095	+2.46%	0.07045	+1.53%	0.0072	✓	-0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.06761	0.069121	+2.23%	0.07265	+7.45%	0.0579	✓	-0.11
2026-08-29	oos	0.07057	0.072405	+2.60%	0.06992	-0.92%	0.0253	✓	-0.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.06989	0.071804	+2.74%	0.07275	+4.09%	0.0249	✓	-0.15
2026-08-27	oos	0.06683	0.070046	+4.81%	0.07069	+5.78%	0.0145	✓	-0.11
2026-08-26	oos	0.07115	0.073938	+3.92%	0.07175	+0.84%	0.0246	✓	-0.09
2026-08-25	oos	0.07217	0.074906	+3.79%	0.07354	+1.90%	0.0099	✓	-0.12
2026-08-24	oos	0.07048	0.073483	+4.26%	0.07853	+11.42%	0.0737	✓	-0.11
2026-08-23	oos	0.0693	0.071852	+3.68%	0.078215	+12.86%	0.0963	✓	-0.11
2026-08-22	oos	0.06685	0.069257	+3.60%	0.07816	+16.92%	0.1346	✓	-0.12
2026-08-21	oos	0.0681	0.071092	+4.39%	0.073655	+8.16%	0.0399	✓	-0.13
2026-08-20	oos	0.06936	0.069984	+0.90%	0.063745	-8.10%	0.0825	✗	-0.10
2026-08-19	oos	0.0691	0.068272	-1.20%	0.070975	+2.71%	0.0560	✗	-0.11
2026-08-18	oos	0.06936	0.066915	-3.52%	0.07026	+1.30%	0.0688	✗	-0.12
2026-08-17	oos	0.07402	0.071359	-3.60%	0.07422	+0.27%	0.0568	✗	-0.11
2026-08-16	oos	0.07188	0.06901	-3.99%	0.07934	+10.38%	0.1647	✗	-0.14
2026-08-15	oos	0.07187	0.069087	-3.87%	0.07305	+1.64%	0.0843	✗	-0.13
2026-08-14	oos	0.07702	0.073735	-4.27%	0.06938	-9.92%	0.0319	✓	-0.15
2026-08-13	oos	0.0757	0.072581	-4.12%	0.07315	-3.37%	0.0238	✓	-0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.07193	0.069064	-3.98%	0.07391	+2.75%	0.1159	✗	-0.24
2026-08-11	oos	0.06592	0.063548	-3.60%	0.07355	+11.57%	0.2005	✗	-0.29
2026-08-10	oos	0.06458	0.062239	-3.62%	0.071975	+11.45%	0.1993	✗	-0.27
2026-08-09	oos	0.0662	0.06389	-3.49%	0.07252	+9.55%	0.1832	✗	-0.30
2026-08-08	oos	0.06342	0.06114	-3.59%	0.07476	+17.88%	0.2606	✗	-0.30
2026-08-07	oos	0.05236	0.050862	-2.86%	0.07195	+37.41%	0.4272	✗	-0.38
2026-08-06	oos	0.05468	0.052979	-3.11%	0.074015	+35.36%	0.4133	✗	-0.36
2026-08-05	oos	0.0513	0.049824	-2.88%	0.07428	+44.80%	0.4731	✗	-0.35
2026-08-04	oos	0.053	0.051283	-3.24%	0.07189	+35.64%	0.4154	✗	-0.33
2026-08-03	oos	0.0509	0.049123	-3.49%	0.07274	+42.91%	0.4608	✗	-0.35
2026-08-02	oos	0.05129	0.049486	-3.52%	0.06482	+26.38%	0.3321	✗	-0.31
2026-08-01	oos	0.05185	0.049959	-3.65%	0.06939	+33.83%	0.4014	✗	-0.32
2026-07-31	oos	0.05344	0.051558	-3.52%	0.06761	+26.52%	0.3398	✗	-0.32
2026-07-30	oos	0.05276	0.051262	-2.84%	0.07057	+33.76%	0.3820	✗	-0.33
2026-07-29	oos	0.0537	0.052172	-2.85%	0.06989	+30.15%	0.3533	✗	-0.31
2026-07-28	oos	0.05151	0.050047	-2.84%	0.06683	+29.74%	0.3606	✗	-0.31
2026-07-27	oos	0.05404	0.052613	-2.64%	0.07115	+31.66%	0.3725	✗	-0.33
2026-07-26	oos	0.05593	0.054796	-2.03%	0.07217	+29.04%	0.3291	✗	-0.29
2026-07-25	oos	0.06002	0.058722	-2.16%	0.07048	+17.43%	0.2490	✗	-0.32
2026-07-24	oos	0.06223	0.060976	-2.02%	0.0693	+11.36%	0.1859	✗	-0.30
2026-07-23	oos	0.06145	0.060414	-1.69%	0.06685	+8.79%	0.1505	✗	-0.29
2026-07-22	oos	0.06452	0.063677	-1.31%	0.0681	+5.55%	0.1192	✗	-0.31
2026-07-21	oos	0.0666	0.065846	-1.13%	0.06936	+4.14%	0.0808	✗	-0.31
2026-07-20	oos	0.07012	0.069008	-1.59%	0.0691	-1.45%	0.0189	✗	-0.29
2026-07-19	oos	0.07069	0.0694	-1.82%	0.06936	-1.88%	0.0006	✓	-0.29
2026-07-18	oos	0.07093	0.069581	-1.90%	0.07402	+4.36%	0.0605	✗	-0.26
2026-07-17	oos	0.07314	0.071541	-2.19%	0.07188	-1.72%	0.0012	✓	-0.21
2026-07-16	oos	0.07475	0.073097	-2.21%	0.07187	-3.85%	0.0192	✓	-0.19
2026-07-15	oos	0.07579	0.074303	-1.96%	0.07702	+1.62%	0.0295	✗	-0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.08041	0.0788	-2.00%	0.0757	-5.86%	0.0458	✓	-0.23
2026-07-13	oos	0.07419	0.072074	-2.85%	0.07193	-3.05%	0.0048	✓	-0.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.07814	0.076168	-2.52%	0.06592	-15.64%	0.1459	✓	-0.41
2026-07-11	oos	0.07879	0.076795	-2.53%	0.06458	-18.04%	0.1723	✓	-0.43
2026-07-10	oos	0.07946	0.077523	-2.44%	0.0662	-16.69%	0.1535	✓	-0.40
2026-07-09	oos	0.0791	0.077008	-2.64%	0.06342	-19.82%	0.1834	✓	-0.40
2026-07-08	oos	0.08115	0.078822	-2.87%	0.05236	-35.48%	0.3931	✓	-0.38
2026-07-07	oos	0.08095	0.07878	-2.68%	0.05468	-32.45%	0.3603	✓	-0.33
2026-07-06	oos	0.08236	0.080219	-2.60%	0.0513	-37.71%	0.4439	✓	-0.34
2026-07-05	oos	0.08139	0.079149	-2.75%	0.053	-34.88%	0.3989	✓	-0.29
2026-07-04	oos	0.07808	0.075796	-2.93%	0.0509	-34.81%	0.3964	✓	-0.30
2026-07-03	oos	0.07906	0.076647	-3.05%	0.05129	-35.13%	0.3968	✓	-0.32
2026-07-02	oos	0.08274	0.080067	-3.23%	0.05185	-37.33%	0.4285	✓	-0.29
2026-07-01	oos	0.08328	0.080295	-3.58%	0.05344	-35.83%	0.3937	✓	-0.29
2026-06-30	oos	0.0839	0.08061	-3.92%	0.05276	-37.12%	0.3980	✓	-0.26
2026-06-29	oos	0.08357	0.080475	-3.70%	0.0537	-35.74%	0.3887	✓	-0.26
2026-06-28	oos	0.08813	0.084709	-3.88%	0.05151	-41.55%	0.4833	✓	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.08415	0.080894	-3.87%	0.05404	-35.78%	0.3918	✓	-0.19
2026-06-26	oos	0.08425	0.080928	-3.94%	0.05593	-33.61%	0.3535	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.08372	0.080328	-4.05%	0.06002	-28.31%	0.2777	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.08263	0.079378	-3.94%	0.06223	-24.69%	0.2296	✓	-0.28
2026-06-23	oos	0.08268	0.079548	-3.79%	0.06145	-25.68%	0.2495	✓	-0.23
2026-06-22	oos	0.08369	0.080584	-3.71%	0.06452	-22.91%	0.2138	✓	-0.26
2026-06-21	oos	0.08017	0.077061	-3.88%	0.0666	-16.93%	0.1322	✓	-0.27
2026-06-20	oos	0.07994	0.076889	-3.82%	0.07012	-12.28%	0.0878	✓	-0.28
2026-06-19	oos	0.07887	0.075732	-3.98%	0.07069	-10.37%	0.0638	✓	-0.27
2026-06-18	oos	0.08197	0.078621	-4.09%	0.07093	-13.47%	0.0950	✓	-0.27
2026-06-17	oos	0.08464	0.081175	-4.09%	0.07314	-13.59%	0.1066	✓	-0.27
2026-06-16	oos	0.07379	0.070902	-3.91%	0.07475	+1.30%	0.0456	✗	-0.25
2026-06-15	oos	0.07726	0.0743	-3.83%	0.07579	-1.90%	0.0113	✓	-0.36
2026-06-14	oos	0.08196	0.078667	-4.02%	0.08041	-1.89%	0.0187	✓	-0.29
2026-06-13	oos	0.08941	0.085408	-4.48%	0.07419	-17.02%	0.1511	✓	-0.30
2026-06-12	oos	0.08883	0.084451	-4.93%	0.07814	-12.03%	0.0766	✓	-0.33
2026-06-11	oos	0.08349	0.079657	-4.59%	0.07879	-5.63%	0.0099	✓	-0.31
2026-06-10	oos	0.08397	0.079815	-4.95%	0.07946	-5.37%	0.0091	✓	-0.32
2026-06-09	oos	0.08311	0.078885	-5.08%	0.0791	-4.82%	0.0101	✓	-0.31
2026-06-08	oos	0.08395	0.079552	-5.24%	0.08115	-3.34%	0.0156	✓	-0.33
2026-06-07	oos	0.08357	0.079035	-5.43%	0.08095	-3.14%	0.0240	✓	-0.27
2026-06-06	oos	0.08278	0.078026	-5.74%	0.08236	-0.51%	0.0628	✗	-0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.08116	0.076347	-5.93%	0.08139	+0.28%	0.0700	✗	-0.15
2026-06-04	oos	0.07524	0.071058	-5.56%	0.07808	+3.77%	0.0937	✗	-0.05
2026-06-03	oos	0.07419	0.069988	-5.66%	0.07906	+6.56%	0.1201	✗	-0.08
2026-06-02	oos	0.0709	0.066976	-5.54%	0.08274	+16.70%	0.2121	✗	0.01
2026-06-01	oos	0.07662	0.072358	-5.56%	0.08328	+8.69%	0.1329	✗	-0.04
2026-05-31	oos	0.07343	0.069671	-5.12%	0.0839	+14.26%	0.2006	✗	0.06
2026-05-30	oos	0.07835	0.074107	-5.42%	0.08357	+6.66%	0.1806	✗	0.30
2026-05-29	oos	0.07464	0.070581	-5.44%	0.08813	+18.07%	0.2402	✗	0.09
2026-05-28	oos	0.07173	0.067906	-5.33%	0.08415	+17.31%	0.2240	✗	0.05
2026-05-27	oos	0.06396	0.060877	-4.82%	0.08425	+31.72%	0.3423	✗	0.08
2026-05-26	oos	0.06433	0.061532	-4.35%	0.08372	+30.14%	0.3614	✗	0.22
2026-05-25	oos	0.06502	0.062543	-3.81%	0.08263	+27.08%	0.1302	✗	-0.63
2026-05-24	oos	0.06402	0.061478	-3.97%	0.08268	+29.15%	0.1600	✗	-0.66
2026-05-23	oos	0.06449	0.061735	-4.27%	0.08369	+29.77%	0.1893	✗	-0.63
2026-05-22	oos	0.06401	0.060995	-4.71%	0.08017	+25.25%	0.1547	✗	-0.67
2026-05-21	oos	0.0641	0.061438	-4.15%	0.07994	+24.71%	0.1340	✗	-0.69
2026-05-20	oos	0.06525	0.062448	-4.29%	0.07887	+20.87%	0.0945	✗	-0.70
2026-05-19	oos	0.06462	0.0617	-4.52%	0.08197	+26.85%	0.1441	✗	-0.70
2026-05-18	oos	0.06589	0.062883	-4.56%	0.08464	+28.46%	0.1726	✗	-0.70
2026-05-17	oos	0.06769	0.064704	-4.41%	0.07379	+9.01%	0.0179	✓	-0.69
2026-05-16	oos	0.06178	0.059418	-3.82%	0.07726	+25.06%	0.1533	✗	-0.67
2026-05-15	oos	0.07376	0.070608	-4.27%	0.08196	+11.12%	0.0179	✓	-0.71
2026-05-14	oos	0.06026	0.058587	-2.78%	0.08941	+48.37%	0.2853	✗	-0.60
2026-05-13	oos	0.06384	0.061569	-3.56%	0.08883	+39.14%	0.2610	✗	-0.48
2026-05-12	oos	0.06714	0.064878	-3.37%	0.08349	+24.35%	0.1253	✗	-0.54
2026-05-11	oos	0.06406	0.062285	-2.77%	0.08397	+31.08%	0.1645	✗	-0.47
2026-05-10	oos	0.06287	0.061294	-2.51%	0.08311	+32.19%	0.1568	✗	-0.51
2026-05-09	oos	0.06858	0.066371	-3.22%	0.08395	+22.41%	0.1200	✗	-0.47
2026-05-08	oos	0.06956	0.067291	-3.26%	0.08357	+20.14%	0.1215	✗	-0.40
2026-05-07	oos	0.06741	0.065325	-3.09%	0.08278	+22.80%	0.1592	✗	-0.28
2026-05-06	oos	0.06943	0.067664	-2.54%	0.08116	+16.89%	0.2070	✗	0.09
2026-05-05	oos	0.07004	0.068117	-2.75%	0.07524	+7.42%	0.0811	✗	-0.08
2026-05-04	oos	0.06657	0.064604	-2.95%	0.07419	+11.45%	0.1304	✗	-0.04
2026-05-03	oos	0.06844	0.066104	-3.41%	0.0709	+3.59%	0.0329	✓	-0.23
2026-05-02	oos	0.0717	0.069283	-3.37%	0.07662	+6.86%	0.0812	✗	-0.20
2026-05-01	oos	0.07521	0.072698	-3.34%	0.07343	-2.37%	0.0012	✓	-0.18
2026-04-30	oos	0.07485	0.072101	-3.67%	0.07835	+4.68%	0.0770	✗	-0.18
2026-04-29	oos	0.07517	0.07233	-3.78%	0.07464	-0.71%	0.0258	✓	-0.18
2026-04-28	oos	0.06678	0.064601	-3.26%	0.07173	+7.41%	0.1015	✗	-0.08
2026-04-27	oos	0.07902	0.076492	-3.20%	0.06396	-19.06%	0.1832	✓	-0.11
2026-04-26	oos	0.06856	0.067169	-2.03%	0.06433	-6.17%	0.0461	✓	-0.08
2026-04-25	oos	0.06671	0.065322	-2.08%	0.06502	-2.53%	0.0051	✓	-0.09
2026-04-24	oos	0.06458	0.063232	-2.09%	0.06402	-0.87%	0.0121	✓	-0.04
2026-04-23	oos	0.06653	0.065245	-1.93%	0.06449	-3.07%	0.0126	✓	-0.05
2026-04-22	oos	0.06516	0.063859	-2.00%	0.06401	-1.76%	0.0007	✓	-0.05
2026-04-21	oos	0.06662	0.064779	-2.76%	0.0641	-3.78%	0.0098	✓	-0.04
2026-04-20	oos	0.0665	0.064513	-2.99%	0.06525	-1.88%	0.0128	✓	-0.07
2026-04-19	oos	0.06537	0.062937	-3.72%	0.06462	-1.15%	0.0330	✓	-0.17
2026-04-18	oos	0.06838	0.066284	-3.07%	0.06589	-3.64%	0.0027	✓	-0.20
2026-04-17	oos	0.06957	0.067893	-2.41%	0.06769	-2.70%	0.0021	✓	-0.22
2026-04-16	oos	0.07276	0.070338	-3.33%	0.06178	-15.09%	0.1217	✓	-0.21
2026-04-15	oos	0.06959	0.067349	-3.22%	0.07376	+5.99%	0.1026	✗	-0.21
2026-04-14	oos	0.07018	0.067695	-3.54%	0.06026	-14.14%	0.0981	✓	-0.21
2026-04-13	oos	0.07211	0.069431	-3.72%	0.06384	-11.47%	0.0688	✓	-0.24
2026-04-12	oos	0.07456	0.070685	-5.20%	0.06714	-9.95%	0.0449	✓	-0.05
2026-04-11	oos	0.07646	0.072951	-4.59%	0.06406	-16.22%	0.1231	✓	-0.06
2026-04-10	oos	0.071	0.067919	-4.34%	0.06287	-11.45%	0.0706	✓	-0.06
2026-04-09	oos	0.07094	0.067384	-5.01%	0.06858	-3.33%	0.0239	✓	-0.05
2026-04-08	oos	0.05996	0.05733	-4.39%	0.06956	+16.01%	0.2033	✗	-0.08
2026-04-07	oos	0.05853	0.056103	-4.15%	0.06741	+15.17%	0.1922	✗	-0.08
2026-04-06	oos	0.05693	0.054102	-4.97%	0.06943	+21.96%	0.2613	✗	-0.07
2026-04-05	oos	0.05355	0.051036	-4.69%	0.07004	+30.79%	0.3280	✗	-0.07
2026-04-04	oos	0.05503	0.05208	-5.36%	0.06657	+20.97%	0.2558	✗	-0.06
2026-04-03	oos	0.05465	0.05163	-5.53%	0.06844	+25.23%	0.2914	✗	-0.06
2026-04-02	oos	0.05233	0.04959	-5.24%	0.0717	+37.02%	0.3777	✗	-0.06
2026-04-01	oos	0.05479	0.051882	-5.31%	0.07521	+37.27%	0.3814	✗	-0.07
2026-03-31	oos	0.05374	0.05096	-5.17%	0.07485	+39.28%	0.3928	✗	-0.07
2026-03-30	oos	0.05065	0.048105	-5.02%	0.07517	+48.41%	0.4580	✗	-0.09
2026-03-29	oos	0.05037	0.047788	-5.13%	0.06678	+32.58%	0.3500	✗	-0.11
2026-03-28	oos	0.0517	0.048935	-5.35%	0.07902	+52.84%	0.4947	✗	-0.10
2026-03-27	oos	0.04745	0.04522	-4.70%	0.06856	+44.49%	0.4347	✗	-0.11
2026-03-26	oos	0.04267	0.041071	-3.75%	0.06671	+56.34%	0.4929	✗	-0.06
2026-03-25	oos	0.04459	0.042941	-3.70%	0.06458	+44.83%	0.4152	✗	-0.09
2026-03-24	oos	0.04665	0.044684	-4.21%	0.06653	+42.62%	0.4066	✗	-0.08
2026-03-23	oos	0.04747	0.045402	-4.36%	0.06516	+37.27%	0.3693	✗	-0.08
2026-03-22	oos	0.04813	0.04572	-5.01%	0.06662	+38.42%	0.3837	✗	-0.06
2026-03-21	oos	0.0497	0.047119	-5.19%	0.0665	+33.80%	0.3509	✗	-0.07
2026-03-20	oos	0.04846	0.046056	-4.96%	0.06537	+34.89%	0.3531	✗	-0.06
2026-03-19	oos	0.04463	0.042472	-4.83%	0.06838	+53.22%	0.4817	✗	-0.07
2026-03-18	oos	0.04082	0.039065	-4.30%	0.06957	+70.43%	0.5793	✗	-0.03
2026-03-17	oos	0.03639	0.035037	-3.72%	0.07276	+99.95%	0.7305	✗	0.01
2026-03-16	oos	0.042995	0.041569	-3.32%	0.06959	+61.86%	0.5153	✗	0.05
2026-03-15	oos	0.04655	0.044822	-3.71%	0.07018	+50.76%	0.4461	✗	0.13
2026-03-14	oos	0.04861	0.04654	-4.26%	0.07211	+48.34%	0.4338	✗	0.09
2026-03-13	oos	0.04251	0.040692	-4.28%	0.07456	+75.39%	0.6057	✗	0.06
2026-03-12	oos	0.04395	0.041958	-4.53%	0.07646	+73.97%	0.5977	✗	0.07
2026-03-11	oos	0.04198	0.039967	-4.80%	0.071	+69.13%	0.5718	✗	0.07
2026-03-10	oos	0.04267	0.040467	-5.16%	0.07094	+66.25%	0.5596	✗	0.07
2026-03-09	oos	0.0386	0.036416	-5.66%	0.05996	+55.34%	0.4970	✗	0.04
2026-03-08	oos	0.03482	0.03286	-5.63%	0.05853	+68.09%	0.5795	✗	-0.03
2026-03-07	oos	0.03611	0.033759	-6.51%	0.05693	+57.66%	0.5233	✗	-0.03
2026-03-06	oos	0.03847	0.035728	-7.13%	0.05355	+39.20%	0.4053	✗	-0.04
2026-03-05	oos	0.03718	0.034095	-8.30%	0.05503	+48.01%	0.4772	✗	-0.03
2026-03-04	oos	0.03949	0.036158	-8.44%	0.05465	+38.39%	0.4095	✗	-0.04
2026-03-03	oos	0.03686	0.032758	-11.13%	0.05233	+41.97%	0.4664	✗	-0.09
2026-03-02	oos	0.05133	0.047235	-7.98%	0.05479	+6.74%	0.1472	✗	-0.11
2026-03-01	oos	0.04186	0.036542	-12.70%	0.05374	+28.38%	0.3931	✗	-0.20
2026-02-28	oos	0.02815	0.019127	-32.05%	0.05065	+79.93%	0.9738	✗	-0.02
2026-02-27	oos	0.03078	0.020402	-33.72%	0.05037	+63.65%	0.9038	✗	-0.00
2026-02-26	oos	0.03057	0.016252	-46.84%	0.0517	+69.12%	1.1572	✗	-0.00
2026-02-25	oos	0.05789	0.053491	-7.60%	0.04745	-18.03%	0.1208	✓	-0.04
2026-02-24	oos	0.10322	0.096173	-6.83%	0.04267	-58.66%	0.8460	✓	0.47
2026-02-23	oos	0.09076	0.085216	-6.11%	0.04459	-50.87%	0.6927	✓	0.46
2026-02-22	oos	0.09047	0.084843	-6.22%	0.04665	-48.44%	0.6175	✓	0.46
2026-02-21	oos	0.07352	0.069537	-5.42%	0.04747	-35.43%	0.4037	✓	0.52
2026-02-20	oos	0.07318	0.069087	-5.59%	0.04813	-34.23%	0.3606	✓	0.40
2026-02-19	oos	0.07658	0.072072	-5.89%	0.0497	-35.10%	0.3833	✓	0.41
2026-02-18	oos	0.07777	0.072943	-6.21%	0.04846	-37.69%	0.4323	✓	0.39
2026-02-17	oos	0.07714	0.072454	-6.08%	0.04463	-42.14%	0.5003	✓	0.44
2026-02-16	oos	0.07932	0.074441	-6.15%	0.04082	-48.54%	0.6160	✓	0.45
2026-02-15	oos	0.0769	0.072041	-6.32%	0.03639	-52.68%	0.7158	✓	0.46
2026-02-14	oos	0.07943	0.074018	-6.81%	0.042995	-45.87%	0.5752	✓	0.45
2026-02-13	oos	0.08241	0.076183	-7.56%	0.04655	-43.51%	0.5189	✓	0.46
2026-02-12	oos	0.07515	0.069709	-7.24%	0.04861	-35.32%	0.3908	✓	0.41
2026-02-11	oos	0.06673	0.062186	-6.81%	0.04251	-36.30%	0.4054	✓	0.44
2026-02-10	oos	0.0712	0.065817	-7.56%	0.04395	-38.27%	0.4140	✓	0.41
2026-02-09	oos	0.06393	0.05917	-7.45%	0.04198	-34.33%	0.3439	✓	0.43
2026-02-08	oos	0.0755	0.068693	-9.02%	0.04267	-43.48%	0.4743	✓	0.42
2026-02-07	oos	0.06176	0.057259	-7.29%	0.0386	-37.50%	0.3902	✓	0.35
2026-02-06	oos	0.07968	0.071936	-9.72%	0.03482	-56.30%	0.7049	✓	0.31
2026-02-05	oos	0.06819	0.062575	-8.23%	0.03611	-47.05%	0.5562	✓	0.09
2026-02-04	oos	0.06337	0.057999	-8.47%	0.03847	-39.29%	0.3825	✓	0.40
2026-02-03	oos	0.07037	0.062999	-10.47%	0.03718	-47.16%	0.5008	✓	0.41
2026-02-02	oos	0.04656	0.043149	-7.33%	0.03949	-15.18%	0.0270	✓	0.78
2026-02-01	oos	0.04173	0.038917	-6.74%	0.03686	-11.67%	0.0182	✓	0.61
2026-01-31	oos	0.0431	0.039969	-7.26%	0.05133	+19.10%	0.3079	✗	0.43
2026-01-30	oos	0.04241	0.039111	-7.78%	0.04186	-1.30%	0.1918	✗	0.50
2026-01-29	oos	0.04793	0.044266	-7.64%	0.02815	-41.27%	0.3340	✓	0.51
2026-01-28	oos	0.05456	0.050717	-7.04%	0.03078	-43.59%	0.3713	✓	0.42
2026-01-27	oos	0.05158	0.04775	-7.43%	0.03057	-40.73%	0.3276	✓	0.43
2026-01-26	oos	0.04991	0.045991	-7.85%	0.05789	+15.99%	0.3474	✗	0.45
2026-01-25	oos	0.05037	0.046335	-8.01%	0.10322	+104.92%	0.9468	✗	0.48
2026-01-24	oos	0.05777	0.053683	-7.07%	0.09076	+57.11%	0.6493	✗	0.39
2026-01-23	oos	0.06047	0.056302	-6.89%	0.09047	+49.61%	0.5616	✗	0.31
2026-01-22	oos	0.06253	0.058269	-6.81%	0.07352	+17.58%	0.3284	✗	0.35
2026-01-21	oos	0.0701	0.065379	-6.74%	0.07318	+4.39%	0.2076	✗	0.35
2026-01-20	oos	0.08145	0.074826	-8.13%	0.07658	-5.98%	0.1542	✗	0.47
2026-01-19	oos	0.06695	0.062678	-6.38%	0.07777	+16.16%	0.4600	✗	0.74
2026-01-18	oos	0.05477	0.051807	-5.41%	0.07714	+40.84%	0.6610	✗	0.80
2026-01-17	oos	0.04908	0.046707	-4.83%	0.07932	+61.61%	0.7959	✗	0.82
2026-01-16	oos	0.05165	0.049258	-4.63%	0.0769	+48.89%	0.7098	✗	0.81
2026-01-15	oos	0.05462	0.052105	-4.60%	0.07943	+45.42%	0.6847	✗	0.84
2026-01-14	oos	0.05716	0.05474	-4.23%	0.08241	+44.17%	0.6892	✗	0.82
2026-01-13	oos	0.06727	0.063106	-6.19%	0.07515	+11.71%	0.5206	✗	0.95
2026-01-12	oos	0.04898	0.046481	-5.10%	0.06673	+36.24%	0.5520	✗	0.62
2026-01-11	oos	0.04891	0.04634	-5.25%	0.0712	+45.57%	0.6123	✗	0.66
2026-01-10	oos	0.044	0.041793	-5.02%	0.06393	+45.30%	0.5891	✗	0.65
2026-01-09	oos	0.04275	0.040661	-4.89%	0.0755	+76.61%	0.7790	✗	0.63
2026-01-08	oos	0.03731	0.035627	-4.51%	0.06176	+65.53%	0.7212	✗	0.63
2026-01-07	oos	0.03251	0.031023	-4.57%	0.07968	+145.09%	1.3601	✗	1.62
2026-01-06	oos	0.03523	0.033948	-3.64%	0.06819	+93.56%	1.3377	✗	1.60
2026-01-05	oos	0.03633	0.035063	-3.49%	0.06337	+74.43%	1.0041	✗	1.64
2026-01-04	oos	0.03601	0.034535	-4.10%	0.07037	+95.42%	1.0349	✗	1.70
2026-01-03	oos	0.03574	0.034187	-4.35%	0.04656	+30.27%	0.5496	✗	1.70
2026-01-02	oos	0.03374	0.032167	-4.66%	0.04173	+23.68%	0.5223	✗	1.67
2026-01-01	oos	0.03516	0.033436	-4.90%	0.0431	+22.58%	0.4585	✗	1.70
2025-12-31	oos	0.03534	0.033524	-5.14%	0.04241	+20.01%	0.3023	✗	1.70
2025-12-30	oos	0.03487	0.033119	-5.02%	0.04793	+37.45%	0.4474	✗	1.73
2025-12-29	oos	0.03703	0.035171	-5.02%	0.05456	+47.34%	0.3992	✗	1.71
2025-12-28	oos	0.04027	0.03833	-4.82%	0.05158	+28.09%	0.2730	✗	1.70
2025-12-27	oos	0.04554	0.043167	-5.21%	0.04991	+9.60%	0.1367	✗	1.68
2025-12-26	oos	0.04354	0.041171	-5.44%	0.05037	+15.69%	0.2156	✗	1.65
2025-12-25	oos	0.04617	0.043536	-5.70%	0.05777	+25.12%	0.2471	✗	1.65
2025-12-24	oos	0.04127	0.038948	-5.63%	0.06047	+46.52%	0.4050	✗	1.66
2025-12-23	oos	0.0401	0.037808	-5.71%	0.06253	+55.94%	0.4682	✗	1.52
2025-12-22	oos	0.04472	0.042186	-5.67%	0.0701	+56.75%	0.4942	✗	1.50
2025-12-21	oos	0.04437	0.041815	-5.76%	0.08145	+83.57%	0.6723	✗	1.51
2025-12-20	oos	0.04508	0.042373	-6.00%	0.06695	+48.51%	0.3845	✗	1.56
2025-12-19	oos	0.0423	0.039706	-6.13%	0.05477	+29.48%	0.2269	✗	1.55
2025-12-18	oos	0.04002	0.037339	-6.70%	0.04908	+22.64%	0.1069	✗	1.56
2025-12-17	oos	0.036	0.033444	-7.10%	0.05165	+43.47%	0.2719	✗	1.59
2025-12-16	oos	0.04841	0.045104	-6.83%	0.05462	+12.83%	0.0666	✓	1.48
2025-12-15	oos	0.04002	0.037259	-6.90%	0.05716	+42.83%	0.2655	✗	1.41
2025-12-14	oos	0.03232	0.029884	-7.54%	0.06727	+108.14%	0.6936	✗	1.50
2025-12-13	oos	0.03009	0.027606	-8.26%	0.04898	+62.78%	0.5576	✗	1.54
2025-12-12	oos	0.03156	0.029082	-7.85%	0.04891	+54.97%	0.5097	✗	1.55
2025-12-11	oos	0.03257	0.030235	-7.17%	0.044	+35.09%	0.4119	✗	1.55
2025-12-10	oos	0.03374	0.031422	-6.87%	0.04275	+26.70%	0.3341	✗	1.57
2025-12-09	oos	0.0371	0.034886	-5.97%	0.03731	+0.57%	0.0954	✗	1.56
2025-12-08	oos	0.03916	0.036674	-6.35%	0.03251	-16.98%	0.1313	✓	1.58
2025-12-07	oos	0.03906	0.036568	-6.38%	0.03523	-9.81%	0.0942	✓	1.58
2025-12-06	oos	0.04	0.037446	-6.39%	0.03633	-9.18%	0.1111	✓	1.61
2025-12-05	oos	0.04029	0.037729	-6.36%	0.03601	-10.62%	0.0849	✓	1.61
2025-12-04	oos	0.0406	0.038204	-5.90%	0.03574	-11.97%	0.0400	✓	1.63
2025-12-03	oos	0.04414	0.041683	-5.57%	0.03374	-23.56%	0.1500	✓	1.61
2025-12-02	oos	0.04418	0.041572	-5.90%	0.03516	-20.42%	0.1204	✓	1.65
2025-12-01	oos	0.04214	0.039334	-6.66%	0.03534	-16.14%	0.1314	✓	1.74
2025-11-30	oos	0.05073	0.047238	-6.88%	0.03487	-31.26%	0.2677	✓	1.63
2025-11-29	oos	0.04066	0.038208	-6.03%	0.03703	-8.93%	0.0360	✓	1.61
2025-11-28	oos	0.04525	0.042182	-6.78%	0.04027	-11.01%	0.0084	✓	1.62
2025-11-27	oos	0.03818	0.035785	-6.27%	0.04554	+19.28%	0.3052	✗	1.64
2025-11-26	oos	0.03594	0.033503	-6.78%	0.04354	+21.15%	0.3211	✗	1.65
2025-11-25	oos	0.03641	0.033632	-7.63%	0.04617	+26.81%	0.3199	✗	1.75
2025-11-24	oos	0.03441	0.031759	-7.70%	0.04127	+19.94%	0.2751	✗	1.76
2025-11-23	oos	0.02719	0.024867	-8.54%	0.0401	+47.48%	0.4659	✗	1.67
2025-11-22	oos	0.03725	0.034095	-8.47%	0.04472	+20.05%	0.1804	✗	2.03
2025-11-21	oos	0.03157	0.029023	-8.07%	0.04437	+40.54%	0.3400	✗	2.05
2025-11-20	oos	0.02838	0.026202	-7.67%	0.04508	+58.84%	0.4996	✗	2.10
2025-11-19	oos	0.0308	0.028644	-7.00%	0.0423	+37.34%	0.4716	✗	2.18
2025-11-18	oos	0.03265	0.030354	-7.03%	0.04002	+22.57%	0.4586	✗	2.18
2025-11-17	oos	0.03008	0.027922	-7.18%	0.036	+19.68%	0.3977	✗	2.17
2025-11-16	oos	0.03037	0.028247	-6.99%	0.04841	+59.40%	0.6905	✗	2.18
2025-11-15	oos	0.02951	0.027464	-6.93%	0.04002	+35.62%	0.5978	✗	2.20
2025-11-14	oos	0.03099	0.028764	-7.18%	0.03232	+4.29%	0.2716	✗	2.23
2025-11-13	oos	0.03208	0.029783	-7.16%	0.03009	-6.20%	0.2415	✗	2.34
2025-11-12	oos	0.02999	0.028027	-6.55%	0.03156	+5.24%	0.4034	✗	2.40
2025-11-11	oos	0.02939	0.027479	-6.50%	0.03257	+10.82%	0.4290	✗	2.42
2025-11-10	oos	0.02816	0.02642	-6.18%	0.03374	+19.82%	0.5977	✗	2.50
2025-11-09	oos	0.03016	0.027966	-7.28%	0.0371	+23.01%	0.5929	✗	2.55
2025-11-08	oos	0.02936	0.027224	-7.27%	0.03916	+33.38%	0.6749	✗	2.58
2025-11-07	oos	0.02507	0.023504	-6.25%	0.03906	+55.80%	0.8574	✗	2.62
2025-11-06	oos	0.02259	0.02126	-5.89%	0.04	+77.07%	0.9595	✗	2.59
2025-11-05	oos	0.02642	0.024619	-6.81%	0.04029	+52.50%	0.8718	✗	2.52
2025-11-04	oos	0.02557	0.023678	-7.40%	0.0406	+58.78%	0.7838	✗	2.52
2025-11-03	oos	0.02367	0.02202	-6.97%	0.04414	+86.48%	1.0735	✗	2.88
2025-11-02	oos	0.01919	0.018178	-5.27%	0.04418	+130.22%	1.5196	✗	3.31
2025-11-01	oos	0.01756	0.016662	-5.11%	0.04214	+139.98%	1.7298	✗	3.30
2025-10-31	oos	0.01618	0.015339	-5.20%	0.05073	+213.54%	1.8255	✗	3.27
2025-10-30	oos	0.013	0.012412	-4.53%	0.04066	+212.77%	1.7495	✗	3.20
2025-10-29	oos	0.01309	0.012493	-4.56%	0.04525	+245.68%	1.9001	✗	3.21
2025-10-28	oos	0.01363	0.013025	-4.44%	0.03818	+180.12%	1.7720	✗	3.28
2025-10-27	oos	0.01453	0.013887	-4.42%	0.03594	+147.35%	1.7102	✗	3.27
2025-10-26	oos	0.01458	0.013944	-4.36%	0.03641	+149.73%	1.8486	✗	3.28
2025-10-25	oos	0.01564	0.01482	-5.24%	0.03441	+120.01%	1.6569	✗	3.46
2025-10-24	oos	0.01313	0.012512	-4.70%	0.02719	+107.08%	1.6280	✗	3.46
2025-10-23	oos	0.0135	0.012842	-4.88%	0.03725	+175.93%	1.9773	✗	3.47
2025-10-22	oos	0.01197	0.011414	-4.64%	0.03157	+163.74%	1.8227	✗	3.43
2025-10-21	oos	0.01301	0.012378	-4.86%	0.02838	+118.14%	1.6002	✗	3.43
2025-10-20	oos	0.01334	0.012692	-4.86%	0.0308	+130.88%	1.5515	✗	3.50
2025-10-19	oos	0.0134	0.012728	-5.02%	0.03265	+143.66%	1.4893	✗	3.49
2025-10-18	oos	0.0135	0.012794	-5.23%	0.03008	+122.81%	1.3901	✗	3.52
2025-10-17	oos	0.01155	0.011003	-4.74%	0.03037	+162.94%	1.4410	✗	3.47
2025-10-16	oos	0.01146	0.010918	-4.73%	0.02951	+157.50%	1.4315	✗	3.52
2025-10-15	oos	0.01216	0.011592	-4.67%	0.03099	+154.85%	1.5466	✗	3.54
2025-10-14	oos	0.01252	0.011928	-4.73%	0.03208	+156.23%	1.4418	✗	3.57
2025-10-13	oos	0.01343	0.01281	-4.61%	0.02999	+123.31%	1.3016	✗	3.58
2025-10-12	oos	0.01231	0.011574	-5.98%	0.02939	+138.75%	1.3230	✗	3.53
2025-10-11	oos	0.01196	0.011104	-7.16%	0.02816	+135.45%	1.0941	✗	3.70
2025-10-10	oos	0.01147	0.010162	-11.40%	0.03016	+162.95%	1.3747	✗	3.76
2025-10-09	oos	0.02132	0.020862	-2.15%	0.02936	+37.71%	0.7543	✗	2.37
2025-10-08	oos	0.02238	0.021925	-2.03%	0.02507	+12.02%	0.5356	✗	2.26
2025-10-07	oos	0.01976	0.019332	-2.17%	0.02259	+14.32%	0.5869	✗	2.38
2025-10-06	oos	0.02155	0.021176	-1.74%	0.02642	+22.60%	0.6704	✗	2.46
2025-10-05	oos	0.02113	0.020738	-1.86%	0.02557	+21.01%	0.6909	✗	2.45
2025-10-04	oos	0.02253	0.02203	-2.22%	0.02367	+5.06%	0.4183	✗	2.49
2025-10-03	oos	0.02337	0.02281	-2.40%	0.01919	-17.89%	0.0790	✗	2.49
2025-10-02	oos	0.02322	0.022587	-2.72%	0.01756	-24.38%	0.0225	✓	2.50
2025-10-01	oos	0.02106	0.020464	-2.83%	0.01618	-23.17%	0.0380	✓	2.47
2025-09-30	oos	0.02064	0.019916	-3.51%	0.013	-37.02%	0.2920	✓	2.60
2025-09-29	oos	0.0199	0.019179	-3.62%	0.01309	-34.22%	0.2729	✓	2.82
2025-09-28	oos	0.02045	0.019643	-3.95%	0.01363	-33.35%	0.3842	✓	2.98
2025-09-27	oos	0.02037	0.019488	-4.33%	0.01453	-28.67%	0.4124	✓	3.02
2025-09-26	oos	0.02103	0.020088	-4.48%	0.01458	-30.67%	0.4520	✓	3.04
2025-09-25	oos	0.02033	0.019364	-4.75%	0.01564	-23.07%	0.2861	✓	3.04
2025-09-24	oos	0.01793	0.017088	-4.70%	0.01313	-26.77%	0.1884	✓	3.65
2025-09-23	oos	0.01685	0.015943	-5.38%	0.0135	-19.88%	0.1041	✓	3.64
2025-09-22	oos	0.01713	0.016238	-5.20%	0.01197	-30.12%	0.1397	✓	3.53
2025-09-21	oos	0.0195	0.018653	-4.34%	0.01301	-33.28%	0.1449	✓	3.48
2025-09-20	oos	0.02021	0.019339	-4.31%	0.01334	-33.99%	0.2082	✓	3.56
2025-09-19	oos	0.01988	0.019018	-4.34%	0.0134	-32.60%	0.1275	✓	3.56
2025-09-18	oos	0.02217	0.021218	-4.29%	0.0135	-39.11%	0.1399	✓	3.53
2025-09-17	oos	0.02326	0.022187	-4.61%	0.01155	-50.34%	0.3321	✓	3.57

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.