ALIGN
Aligned · Ethereum · gru_s0
- token id
- #369
- symbol
- ALIGN
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x50614cc8e44f7814549c223aa31db9296e58057c
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-20
- predictions
- 162
Track record at +7d
assessed
47
of 54 predictions shown
direction hit
83.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1236
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0077
actual -0.1189
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.004775 | 0.004746 | -0.60% | – | pending | – | – | -0.65 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.004405 | 0.004401 | -0.10% | – | pending | – | – | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.004435 | 0.004413 | -0.50% | – | pending | – | – | -0.64 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.004845 | 0.004783 | -1.28% | – | pending | – | – | -0.65 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.004885 | 0.004817 | -1.40% | – | pending | – | – | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.005015 | 0.004916 | -1.97% | – | pending | – | – | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.004595 | 0.004555 | -0.88% | – | pending | – | – | -0.61 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00456 | 0.004521 | -0.86% | 0.004775 | +4.71% | 0.0633 | ✗ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.004635 | 0.004605 | -0.65% | 0.004405 | -4.96% | 0.0456 | ✓ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.004785 | 0.004744 | -0.86% | 0.004435 | -7.31% | 0.0666 | ✓ | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.004985 | 0.004954 | -0.63% | 0.004845 | -2.81% | 0.0355 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.00511 | 0.00507 | -0.78% | 0.004885 | -4.40% | 0.0495 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.005055 | 0.005013 | -0.83% | 0.005015 | -0.79% | 0.0081 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.00526 | 0.005194 | -1.25% | 0.004595 | -12.64% | 0.1191 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.00572 | 0.00565 | -1.22% | 0.00456 | -20.28% | 0.2295 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.00581 | 0.005771 | -0.68% | 0.004635 | -20.22% | 0.2407 | ✓ | -0.75 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.005875 | 0.005839 | -0.61% | 0.004785 | -18.55% | 0.2346 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.005995 | 0.005964 | -0.52% | 0.004985 | -16.85% | 0.2040 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.006145 | 0.006089 | -0.91% | 0.00511 | -16.84% | 0.1918 | ✓ | -0.76 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.00596 | 0.005911 | -0.81% | 0.005055 | -15.18% | 0.1742 | ✓ | -0.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.005915 | 0.005874 | -0.69% | 0.00526 | -11.07% | 0.1385 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.00622 | 0.00616 | -0.97% | 0.00572 | -8.04% | 0.0766 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.00631 | 0.006246 | -1.01% | 0.00581 | -7.92% | 0.0559 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.006435 | 0.006362 | -1.13% | 0.005875 | -8.70% | 0.0598 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.00652 | 0.006454 | -1.01% | 0.005995 | -8.05% | 0.0564 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.006415 | 0.006361 | -0.84% | 0.006145 | -4.21% | 0.0318 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.006405 | 0.006352 | -0.83% | 0.00596 | -6.95% | 0.0602 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.00652 | 0.006465 | -0.84% | 0.005915 | -9.28% | 0.0850 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.00623 | 0.006192 | -0.61% | 0.00622 | -0.16% | 0.0023 | ✓ | -0.70 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.00683 | 0.006777 | -0.78% | 0.00631 | -7.61% | 0.0955 | ✓ | -0.80 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.00686 | 0.006807 | -0.77% | 0.006435 | -6.20% | 0.0853 | ✓ | -0.79 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.0068 | 0.006708 | -1.36% | 0.00652 | -4.12% | 0.0174 | ✗ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.00702 | 0.00693 | -1.29% | 0.006415 | -8.62% | 0.0330 | ✓ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.006925 | 0.006846 | -1.15% | 0.006405 | -7.51% | 0.1055 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.00683 | 0.006737 | -1.36% | 0.00652 | -4.54% | 0.1328 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.00675 | 0.006668 | -1.21% | 0.00623 | -7.70% | 0.1706 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.007965 | 0.007675 | -3.64% | 0.00683 | -14.25% | 0.2480 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.005885 | 0.005869 | -0.27% | 0.00686 | +16.57% | 0.0537 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.006125 | 0.006099 | -0.42% | 0.0068 | +11.02% | 0.0535 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.006325 | 0.006294 | -0.49% | 0.00702 | +10.99% | 0.0590 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.006635 | 0.006599 | -0.54% | 0.006925 | +4.37% | 0.0018 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.00694 | 0.006895 | -0.65% | 0.00683 | -1.59% | 0.0070 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.00705 | 0.007012 | -0.53% | 0.00675 | -4.26% | 0.0104 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.00798 | 0.007923 | -0.72% | 0.007965 | -0.19% | 0.0425 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.00801 | 0.007976 | -0.43% | 0.005885 | -26.53% | 0.2923 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.007945 | 0.007927 | -0.22% | 0.006125 | -22.91% | 0.2129 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.008195 | 0.008166 | -0.35% | 0.006325 | -22.82% | 0.2228 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.00829 | 0.008276 | -0.17% | 0.006635 | -19.96% | 0.1895 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.0083 | 0.008311 | +0.13% | 0.00694 | -16.39% | 0.1203 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.00927 | 0.009213 | -0.61% | 0.00705 | -23.95% | 0.2802 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.009765 | 0.00972 | -0.46% | 0.00798 | -18.28% | 0.2107 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.010555 | 0.010534 | -0.19% | 0.00801 | -24.11% | 0.2807 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.01074 | 0.010721 | -0.18% | 0.007945 | -26.02% | 0.3335 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.01105 | 0.011058 | +0.07% | 0.008195 | -25.84% | 0.3199 | ✗ | 1.00 |