ALIGN
Aligned · Ethereum · gru_s0
- token id
- #369
- symbol
- ALIGN
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x50614cc8e44f7814549c223aa31db9296e58057c
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-20
- predictions
- 165
Track record at +30d
assessed
25
of 55 predictions shown
direction hit
88.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.4111
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0264
actual -0.4375
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.004485 | 0.004629 | +3.21% | – | pending | – | – | -0.60 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.00452 | 0.004673 | +3.39% | – | pending | – | – | -0.60 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.004405 | 0.004535 | +2.96% | – | pending | – | – | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.004435 | 0.004518 | +1.88% | – | pending | – | – | -0.64 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.004845 | 0.004863 | +0.37% | – | pending | – | – | -0.65 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.004885 | 0.004869 | -0.33% | – | pending | – | – | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.005015 | 0.004967 | -0.96% | – | pending | – | – | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.004595 | 0.004587 | -0.18% | – | pending | – | – | -0.61 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00456 | 0.004542 | -0.40% | – | pending | – | – | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.004635 | 0.004632 | -0.07% | – | pending | – | – | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.004785 | 0.00475 | -0.72% | – | pending | – | – | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.004985 | 0.004967 | -0.36% | – | pending | – | – | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.00511 | 0.00506 | -0.97% | – | pending | – | – | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.005055 | 0.005 | -1.09% | – | pending | – | – | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.00526 | 0.00516 | -1.91% | – | pending | – | – | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.00572 | 0.005592 | -2.24% | – | pending | – | – | -0.73 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.00581 | 0.005703 | -1.84% | – | pending | – | – | -0.75 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.005875 | 0.005768 | -1.82% | – | pending | – | – | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.005995 | 0.005887 | -1.81% | – | pending | – | – | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.006145 | 0.005987 | -2.57% | – | pending | – | – | -0.76 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.00596 | 0.005819 | -2.37% | – | pending | – | – | -0.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.005915 | 0.00579 | -2.11% | – | pending | – | – | -0.74 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.00622 | 0.006058 | -2.61% | – | pending | – | – | -0.74 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.00631 | 0.00613 | -2.86% | – | pending | – | – | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.006435 | 0.00623 | -3.19% | – | pending | – | – | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.00652 | 0.006313 | -3.18% | – | pending | – | – | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.006415 | 0.006239 | -2.74% | – | pending | – | – | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.006405 | 0.006234 | -2.67% | – | pending | – | – | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.00652 | 0.006344 | -2.70% | – | pending | – | – | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.00623 | 0.006091 | -2.23% | – | pending | – | – | -0.70 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.00683 | 0.006634 | -2.87% | 0.004485 | -34.33% | 0.4100 | ✓ | -0.80 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.00686 | 0.006671 | -2.75% | 0.00452 | -34.11% | 0.4130 | ✓ | -0.79 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.0068 | 0.006564 | -3.47% | 0.004405 | -35.22% | 0.3740 | ✓ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.00702 | 0.006775 | -3.49% | 0.004435 | -36.82% | 0.4152 | ✓ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.006925 | 0.006696 | -3.31% | 0.004845 | -30.04% | 0.3375 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.00683 | 0.006546 | -4.16% | 0.004885 | -28.48% | 0.3565 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.00675 | 0.006456 | -4.36% | 0.005015 | -25.70% | 0.3205 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.007965 | 0.007356 | -7.65% | 0.004595 | -42.31% | 0.5535 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.005885 | 0.005732 | -2.60% | 0.00456 | -22.51% | 0.2712 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.006125 | 0.005912 | -3.47% | 0.004635 | -24.33% | 0.3222 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.006325 | 0.0061 | -3.55% | 0.004785 | -24.35% | 0.2992 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.006635 | 0.006394 | -3.63% | 0.004985 | -24.87% | 0.3294 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.00694 | 0.006664 | -3.98% | 0.00511 | -26.37% | 0.3455 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.00705 | 0.006825 | -3.19% | 0.005055 | -28.30% | 0.3532 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.00798 | 0.007692 | -3.60% | 0.00526 | -34.09% | 0.4206 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.00801 | 0.007793 | -2.71% | 0.00572 | -28.59% | 0.3608 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.007945 | 0.007799 | -1.84% | 0.00581 | -26.87% | 0.3571 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.008195 | 0.00803 | -2.01% | 0.005875 | -28.31% | 0.3840 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.00829 | 0.0082 | -1.09% | 0.005995 | -27.68% | 0.3954 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.0083 | 0.008315 | +0.19% | 0.006145 | -25.96% | 0.3444 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.00927 | 0.009084 | -2.00% | 0.00596 | -35.71% | 0.5105 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.009765 | 0.009649 | -1.19% | 0.005915 | -39.43% | 0.5813 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.010555 | 0.010554 | -0.01% | 0.00622 | -41.07% | 0.5903 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.01074 | 0.010786 | +0.43% | 0.00631 | -41.25% | 0.6102 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.01105 | 0.011234 | +1.66% | 0.006435 | -41.76% | 0.6218 | ✗ | 1.00 |