ALIGN
Aligned · Ethereum · gru_s0
- token id
- #369
- symbol
- ALIGN
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x50614cc8e44f7814549c223aa31db9296e58057c
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-20
- predictions
- 162
Track record at +1d
assessed
53
of 54 predictions shown
direction hit
66.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0440
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0034
actual -0.0158
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.004775 | 0.004741 | -0.71% | – | pending | – | – | -0.65 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.004405 | 0.004394 | -0.25% | 0.004775 | +8.40% | 0.0814 | ✗ | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.004435 | 0.00442 | -0.33% | 0.004405 | -0.68% | 0.0051 | ✗ | -0.64 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.004845 | 0.004808 | -0.77% | 0.004435 | -8.46% | 0.0820 | ✓ | -0.65 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.004885 | 0.00485 | -0.72% | 0.004845 | -0.82% | 0.0040 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.005015 | 0.004954 | -1.22% | 0.004885 | -2.59% | 0.0150 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.004595 | 0.004582 | -0.29% | 0.005015 | +9.14% | 0.0856 | ✗ | -0.61 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00456 | 0.004549 | -0.25% | 0.004595 | +0.77% | 0.0143 | ✗ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.004635 | 0.004627 | -0.18% | 0.00456 | -1.62% | 0.0261 | ✓ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.004785 | 0.004773 | -0.24% | 0.004635 | -3.13% | 0.0191 | ✓ | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.004985 | 0.004975 | -0.21% | 0.004785 | -4.01% | 0.0543 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.00511 | 0.005098 | -0.23% | 0.004985 | -2.45% | 0.0164 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.005055 | 0.005042 | -0.27% | 0.00511 | +1.09% | 0.0164 | ✗ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.00526 | 0.005233 | -0.50% | 0.005055 | -3.90% | 0.0278 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.00572 | 0.00569 | -0.52% | 0.00526 | -8.04% | 0.0926 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.00581 | 0.005797 | -0.23% | 0.00572 | -1.55% | 0.0333 | ✓ | -0.75 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.005875 | 0.005862 | -0.22% | 0.00581 | -1.11% | 0.0107 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.005995 | 0.005982 | -0.22% | 0.005875 | -2.00% | 0.0246 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.006145 | 0.006123 | -0.36% | 0.005995 | -2.44% | 0.0055 | ✓ | -0.76 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.00596 | 0.005942 | -0.30% | 0.006145 | +3.10% | 0.0357 | ✗ | -0.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.005915 | 0.005899 | -0.27% | 0.00596 | +0.76% | 0.0073 | ✗ | -0.74 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.00622 | 0.006198 | -0.35% | 0.005915 | -4.90% | 0.0354 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.00631 | 0.006286 | -0.38% | 0.00622 | -1.43% | 0.0113 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.006435 | 0.006407 | -0.44% | 0.00631 | -1.94% | 0.0136 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.00652 | 0.006494 | -0.40% | 0.006435 | -1.30% | 0.0178 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.006415 | 0.006393 | -0.34% | 0.00652 | +1.64% | 0.0200 | ✗ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.006405 | 0.006383 | -0.35% | 0.006415 | +0.16% | 0.0078 | ✗ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.00652 | 0.006493 | -0.42% | 0.006405 | -1.76% | 0.0161 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.00623 | 0.006213 | -0.27% | 0.00652 | +4.65% | 0.0483 | ✗ | -0.70 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.00683 | 0.0068 | -0.44% | 0.00623 | -8.78% | 0.1046 | ✓ | -0.80 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.00686 | 0.006827 | -0.48% | 0.00683 | -0.44% | 0.0032 | ✓ | -0.79 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.0068 | 0.006762 | -0.56% | 0.00686 | +0.88% | 0.0888 | ✗ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.00702 | 0.006984 | -0.51% | 0.0068 | -3.13% | 0.0277 | ✓ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.006925 | 0.006893 | -0.46% | 0.00702 | +1.37% | 0.0138 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.00683 | 0.00681 | -0.29% | 0.006925 | +1.39% | 0.0408 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.00675 | 0.006733 | -0.25% | 0.00683 | +1.19% | 0.0116 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.007965 | 0.007806 | -2.00% | 0.00675 | -15.25% | 0.1527 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.005885 | 0.005879 | -0.10% | 0.007965 | +35.34% | 0.3374 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.006125 | 0.006122 | -0.05% | 0.005885 | -3.92% | 0.0572 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.006325 | 0.006322 | -0.05% | 0.006125 | -3.16% | 0.0256 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.006635 | 0.006629 | -0.09% | 0.006325 | -4.67% | 0.0476 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.00694 | 0.00693 | -0.15% | 0.006635 | -4.39% | 0.0522 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.00705 | 0.00704 | -0.14% | 0.00694 | -1.56% | 0.0083 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.00798 | 0.007956 | -0.30% | 0.00705 | -11.65% | 0.1188 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.00801 | 0.007992 | -0.22% | 0.00798 | -0.37% | 0.0066 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.007945 | 0.00793 | -0.19% | 0.00801 | +0.82% | 0.0257 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.008195 | 0.008182 | -0.16% | 0.007945 | -3.05% | 0.0357 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.00829 | 0.008283 | -0.09% | 0.008195 | -1.15% | 0.0126 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.0083 | 0.0083 | -0.00% | 0.00829 | -0.12% | 0.0186 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.00927 | 0.00925 | -0.22% | 0.0083 | -10.46% | 0.1582 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.009765 | 0.009747 | -0.19% | 0.00927 | -5.07% | 0.0490 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.010555 | 0.010538 | -0.16% | 0.009765 | -7.48% | 0.0613 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.01074 | 0.010725 | -0.14% | 0.010555 | -1.72% | 0.0275 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.01105 | 0.011041 | -0.09% | 0.01074 | -2.81% | 0.0203 | ✓ | 1.00 |