TREAD
Tread.fi · Ethereum · beta_5y
- token id
- #929
- symbol
- TREAD
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x31eea0edeb85b0cb65c1400bd2f4e487fd61b537
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-16
- predictions
- 84
Track record at +7d
assessed
21
of 28 predictions shown
direction hit
61.9%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1217
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0548
actual -0.0223
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.85085 | 0.808336 | -5.00% | – | pending | – | – | -0.34 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.8493 | 0.807056 | -4.97% | – | pending | – | – | -0.34 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.89125 | 0.844803 | -5.21% | – | pending | – | – | -0.28 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.8999 | 0.850952 | -5.44% | – | pending | – | – | -0.24 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.83765 | 0.791196 | -5.55% | – | pending | – | – | -0.23 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.8799 | 0.830108 | -5.66% | – | pending | – | – | -0.19 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.8869 | 0.836308 | -5.70% | – | pending | – | – | -0.20 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.0433 | 0.983358 | -5.75% | 0.85085 | -18.45% | 0.1699 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 1.03 | 0.968547 | -5.97% | 0.8493 | -17.54% | 0.1611 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 1.0138 | 0.955157 | -5.78% | 0.89125 | -12.09% | 0.0673 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.98725 | 0.927386 | -6.06% | 0.8999 | -8.85% | 0.0312 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.0868 | 1.0226 | -5.90% | 0.83765 | -22.92% | 0.1793 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.1368 | 1.0627 | -6.52% | 0.8799 | -22.60% | 0.1701 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.0573 | 0.992588 | -6.12% | 0.8869 | -16.11% | 0.0998 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.0358 | 0.971687 | -6.19% | 1.0433 | +0.72% | 0.0658 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.0859 | 1.0231 | -5.79% | 1.03 | -5.15% | 0.0274 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.1432 | 1.0825 | -5.31% | 1.0138 | -11.32% | 0.0366 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.1146 | 1.0575 | -5.12% | 0.98725 | -11.43% | 0.0209 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.1689 | 1.1081 | -5.21% | 1.0868 | -7.03% | 0.0138 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.2022 | 1.1215 | -6.71% | 1.1368 | -5.44% | 0.0354 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.84095 | 0.808453 | -3.86% | 1.0573 | +25.72% | 0.2918 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.8528 | 0.821992 | -3.61% | 1.0358 | +21.46% | 0.2691 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.87815 | 0.844107 | -3.88% | 1.0859 | +23.66% | 0.2553 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.0047 | 0.958613 | -4.59% | 1.1432 | +13.78% | 0.1536 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1383 | 1.0727 | -5.77% | 1.1146 | -2.09% | 0.0113 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.0855 | 1.0213 | -5.91% | 1.1689 | +7.69% | 0.1111 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.9022 | 0.865994 | -4.01% | 1.2022 | +33.25% | 0.3242 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.8192 | 0.78802 | -3.81% | 0.84095 | +2.66% | 0.0601 | ✗ | 1.00 |