TREAD
Tread.fi · Ethereum · beta_5y
- token id
- #929
- symbol
- TREAD
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x31eea0edeb85b0cb65c1400bd2f4e487fd61b537
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-16
- predictions
- 84
Track record at +1d
assessed
27
of 28 predictions shown
direction hit
55.6%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0645
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0141
actual +0.0029
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.85085 | 0.841917 | -1.05% | – | pending | – | – | -0.34 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.8493 | 0.840783 | -1.00% | 0.85085 | +0.18% | 0.0127 | ✗ | -0.34 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.89125 | 0.881354 | -1.11% | 0.8493 | -4.71% | 0.0335 | ✓ | -0.28 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.8999 | 0.889249 | -1.18% | 0.89125 | -0.96% | 0.0055 | ✓ | -0.24 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.83765 | 0.828306 | -1.12% | 0.8999 | +7.43% | 0.0824 | ✗ | -0.23 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.8799 | 0.869725 | -1.16% | 0.83765 | -4.80% | 0.0361 | ✓ | -0.19 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.8869 | 0.876788 | -1.14% | 0.8799 | -0.79% | 0.0032 | ✓ | -0.20 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.0433 | 1.0297 | -1.31% | 0.8869 | -14.99% | 0.1416 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 1.03 | 1.0158 | -1.38% | 1.0433 | +1.29% | 0.0199 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 1.0138 | 1.0003 | -1.33% | 1.03 | +1.60% | 0.0479 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.98725 | 0.973745 | -1.37% | 1.0138 | +2.69% | 0.0238 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.0868 | 1.0708 | -1.47% | 0.98725 | -9.16% | 0.0578 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.1368 | 1.1163 | -1.80% | 1.0868 | -4.40% | 0.0361 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.0573 | 1.0415 | -1.49% | 1.1368 | +7.52% | 0.0831 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.0358 | 1.0207 | -1.45% | 1.0573 | +2.07% | 0.0248 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.0859 | 1.0706 | -1.42% | 1.0358 | -4.62% | 0.0138 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.1432 | 1.127 | -1.41% | 1.0859 | -5.00% | 0.0103 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.1146 | 1.0991 | -1.39% | 1.1432 | +2.56% | 0.0417 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.1689 | 1.1509 | -1.55% | 1.1146 | -4.65% | 0.0232 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.2022 | 1.1727 | -2.45% | 1.1689 | -2.77% | 0.0238 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.84095 | 0.833507 | -0.89% | 1.2022 | +42.96% | 0.3635 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.8528 | 0.84566 | -0.84% | 0.84095 | -1.39% | 0.0015 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.87815 | 0.870083 | -0.92% | 0.8528 | -2.89% | 0.0354 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.0047 | 0.991582 | -1.31% | 0.87815 | -12.60% | 0.1205 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1383 | 1.1157 | -1.99% | 1.0047 | -11.74% | 0.1069 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.0855 | 1.0584 | -2.50% | 1.1383 | +4.87% | 0.0848 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.9022 | 0.889607 | -1.40% | 1.0855 | +20.32% | 0.1985 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.8192 | 0.807013 | -1.49% | 0.9022 | +10.13% | 0.1077 | ✗ | 1.00 |