QUAI

Quai Network · native · beta_5y

token id: #972
symbol: QUAI
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-09
predictions: 564

Track record at +7d

assessed

180

of 188 predictions shown

direction hit

66.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1511

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0114

actual -0.0673

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.007425	0.007354	-0.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-21	oos	0.00768	0.007579	-1.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-20	oos	0.008005	0.007897	-1.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.00846	0.008325	-1.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-18	oos	0.008665	0.008528	-1.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.008945	0.008791	-1.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-16	oos	0.008945	0.008794	-1.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-15	oos	0.00905	0.008939	-1.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-14	oos	0.00887	0.008777	-1.05%	0.00768	-13.42%	0.1430	✓	0.69
2026-10-13	oos	0.00902	0.008933	-0.97%	0.008005	-11.25%	0.1084	✓	0.61
2026-10-12	oos	0.00913	0.009019	-1.21%	0.00846	-7.34%	0.0647	✓	0.64
2026-10-11	oos	0.009625	0.009546	-0.82%	0.008665	-9.97%	0.0771	✓	0.98
2026-10-10	oos	0.009735	0.009647	-0.91%	0.008945	-8.12%	0.0544	✓	1.13
2026-10-09	oos	0.00943	0.009388	-0.44%	0.008945	-5.14%	0.0333	✓	1.19
2026-10-08	oos	0.009405	0.009381	-0.25%	0.00905	-3.77%	0.0411	✓	0.99
2026-10-07	oos	0.00934	0.009362	+0.24%	0.00887	-5.03%	0.0334	✗	0.99
2026-10-06	oos	0.00993	0.009951	+0.21%	0.00902	-9.16%	0.0697	✗	0.99
2026-10-05	oos	0.010215	0.010207	-0.08%	0.00913	-10.62%	0.0667	✓	0.94
2026-10-04	oos	0.01106	0.010978	-0.74%	0.009625	-12.97%	0.1006	✓	0.93
2026-10-03	oos	0.011445	0.011269	-1.54%	0.009735	-14.94%	0.1255	✓	0.95
2026-10-02	oos	0.010955	0.010796	-1.45%	0.00943	-13.92%	0.1128	✓	0.96
2026-10-01	oos	0.01027	0.010171	-0.97%	0.009405	-8.42%	0.0413	✓	0.98
2026-09-30	oos	0.01042	0.010293	-1.22%	0.00934	-10.36%	0.0938	✓	1.01
2026-09-29	oos	0.010775	0.010608	-1.55%	0.00993	-7.84%	0.0845	✓	0.82
2026-09-28	oos	0.01136	0.011178	-1.60%	0.010215	-10.08%	0.1178	✓	1.02
2026-09-27	oos	0.01082	0.010688	-1.22%	0.01106	+2.22%	0.0120	✓	0.93
2026-09-26	oos	0.011225	0.011032	-1.72%	0.011445	+1.96%	0.0333	✗	0.90
2026-09-25	oos	0.01026	0.010144	-1.13%	0.010955	+6.77%	0.0727	✗	0.87
2026-09-24	oos	0.01001	0.009911	-0.99%	0.01027	+2.60%	0.0308	✗	0.88
2026-09-23	oos	0.01013	0.010007	-1.21%	0.01042	+2.86%	0.0490	✗	0.88
2026-09-22	oos	0.00994	0.009826	-1.15%	0.010775	+8.40%	0.1211	✗	0.96
2026-09-21	oos	0.009705	0.009593	-1.15%	0.01136	+17.05%	0.2053	✗	0.98
2026-09-20	oos	0.008555	0.008516	-0.45%	0.01082	+26.48%	0.2032	✗	0.91
2026-09-19	oos	0.00871	0.008668	-0.48%	0.011225	+28.87%	0.2237	✗	0.90
2026-09-18	oos	0.0087	0.008655	-0.52%	0.01026	+17.93%	0.1359	✗	0.88
2026-09-17	oos	0.00864	0.008495	-1.68%	0.01001	+15.86%	0.0722	✗	0.92
2026-09-16	oos	0.00867	0.008529	-1.63%	0.01013	+16.84%	0.0793	✗	0.90
2026-09-15	oos	0.008835	0.008659	-2.00%	0.00994	+12.51%	0.0299	✗	0.82
2026-09-14	oos	0.00871	0.008615	-1.09%	0.009705	+11.42%	0.0326	✗	0.85
2026-09-13	oos	0.008925	0.008803	-1.36%	0.008555	-4.15%	0.0773	✓	0.88
2026-09-12	oos	0.009815	0.009687	-1.30%	0.00871	-11.26%	0.1491	✓	0.85
2026-09-11	oos	0.01011	0.009985	-1.23%	0.0087	-13.95%	0.1764	✓	0.83
2026-09-10	oos	0.01064	0.01049	-1.41%	0.00864	-18.80%	0.1921	✓	0.81
2026-09-09	oos	0.011305	0.011177	-1.13%	0.00867	-23.31%	0.2322	✓	0.79
2026-09-08	oos	0.01114	0.011079	-0.54%	0.008835	-20.69%	0.1975	✓	0.78
2026-09-07	oos	0.012835	0.012615	-1.72%	0.00871	-32.14%	0.3616	✓	0.75
2026-09-06	oos	0.010785	0.010917	+1.22%	0.008925	-17.25%	0.1619	✗	0.88
2026-09-05	oos	0.01086	0.011027	+1.54%	0.009815	-9.62%	0.0878	✗	0.88
2026-09-04	oos	0.009735	0.009962	+2.34%	0.01011	+3.85%	0.0412	✓	0.84
2026-09-03	oos	0.00832	0.008621	+3.62%	0.01064	+27.88%	0.2691	✓	0.98
2026-09-02	oos	0.007485	0.007519	+0.45%	0.011305	+51.04%	0.3974	✓	0.83
2026-09-01	oos	0.00795	0.008052	+1.29%	0.01114	+40.13%	0.3134	✓	0.83
2026-08-31	oos	0.00855	0.008812	+3.07%	0.012835	+50.12%	0.3707	✓	0.79
2026-08-30	oos	0.00885	0.009119	+3.04%	0.010785	+21.86%	0.1433	✓	0.72
2026-08-29	oos	0.00897	0.009319	+3.89%	0.01086	+21.07%	0.1387	✓	0.71
2026-08-28	oos	0.00944	0.009781	+3.61%	0.009735	+3.12%	0.0213	✓	0.71
2026-08-27	oos	0.01052	0.010992	+4.48%	0.00832	-20.91%	0.2864	✗	0.65
2026-08-26	oos	0.010015	0.010326	+3.11%	0.007485	-25.26%	0.3081	✗	0.63
2026-08-25	oos	0.01113	0.011372	+2.18%	0.00795	-28.57%	0.3487	✗	0.64
2026-08-24	oos	0.011615	0.011795	+1.55%	0.00855	-26.39%	0.3183	✗	0.66
2026-08-23	oos	0.0117	0.011762	+0.53%	0.00885	-24.36%	0.2839	✗	0.63
2026-08-22	oos	0.01178	0.011786	+0.05%	0.00897	-23.85%	0.2826	✗	0.63
2026-08-21	oos	0.01197	0.012005	+0.29%	0.00944	-21.14%	0.2364	✗	0.64
2026-08-20	oos	0.01205	0.011823	-1.88%	0.01052	-12.70%	0.1812	✓	0.68
2026-08-19	oos	0.01204	0.011656	-3.19%	0.010015	-16.82%	0.2459	✓	0.72
2026-08-18	oos	0.01198	0.011499	-4.01%	0.01113	-7.10%	0.1883	✓	0.80
2026-08-17	oos	0.01165	0.011247	-3.46%	0.011615	-0.30%	0.1326	✓	0.81
2026-08-16	oos	0.01158	0.011165	-3.58%	0.0117	+1.04%	0.1275	✓	0.82
2026-08-15	oos	0.0113	0.010946	-3.13%	0.01178	+4.25%	0.0918	✓	0.82
2026-08-14	oos	0.0115	0.011099	-3.49%	0.01197	+4.09%	0.1028	✓	0.82
2026-08-13	oos	0.01156	0.011059	-4.33%	0.01205	+4.24%	0.0285	✓	0.81
2026-08-12	oos	0.01099	0.010619	-3.37%	0.01204	+9.55%	0.0566	✗	0.78
2026-08-11	oos	0.01114	0.010804	-3.02%	0.01198	+7.54%	0.0901	✗	0.74
2026-08-10	oos	0.0117	0.011325	-3.21%	0.01165	-0.43%	0.0220	✓	0.71
2026-08-09	oos	0.011925	0.011497	-3.59%	0.01158	-2.89%	0.0295	✓	0.71
2026-08-08	oos	0.01185	0.011416	-3.67%	0.0113	-4.64%	0.0106	✓	0.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01186	0.011421	-3.70%	0.0115	-3.04%	0.0267	✓	0.66
2026-08-06	oos	0.01172	0.011305	-3.54%	0.01156	-1.37%	0.0309	✓	0.66
2026-08-05	oos	0.01149	0.011085	-3.52%	0.01099	-4.35%	0.0036	✓	0.66
2026-08-04	oos	0.011625	0.011226	-3.43%	0.01114	-4.17%	0.0024	✓	0.64
2026-08-03	oos	0.01136	0.011062	-2.62%	0.0117	+2.99%	0.0517	✗	0.63
2026-08-02	oos	0.01228	0.011917	-2.95%	0.011925	-2.89%	0.0126	✓	0.63
2026-08-01	oos	0.01225	0.011911	-2.77%	0.01185	-3.27%	0.0265	✓	0.64
2026-07-31	oos	0.0117	0.011479	-1.89%	0.01186	+1.37%	0.0122	✓	0.63
2026-07-30	oos	0.012245	0.012021	-1.83%	0.01172	-4.29%	0.0211	✓	0.61
2026-07-29	oos	0.01324	0.013006	-1.76%	0.01149	-13.22%	0.1307	✓	0.61
2026-07-28	oos	0.01399	0.013788	-1.44%	0.011625	-16.90%	0.1726	✓	0.60
2026-07-27	oos	0.014	0.013835	-1.18%	0.01136	-18.86%	0.1950	✓	0.59
2026-07-26	oos	0.0157	0.015438	-1.67%	0.01228	-21.78%	0.2138	✓	0.53
2026-07-25	oos	0.01522	0.014976	-1.61%	0.01225	-19.51%	0.1890	✓	0.49
2026-07-24	oos	0.01478	0.014625	-1.05%	0.0117	-20.84%	0.2138	✓	0.47
2026-07-23	oos	0.01689	0.016626	-1.56%	0.012245	-27.50%	0.3037	✓	0.42
2026-07-22	oos	0.01692	0.01668	-1.42%	0.01324	-21.75%	0.2162	✓	0.44
2026-07-21	oos	0.017105	0.016824	-1.64%	0.01399	-18.21%	0.1664	✓	0.44
2026-07-20	oos	0.017445	0.017083	-2.07%	0.014	-19.75%	0.1877	✓	0.48
2026-07-19	oos	0.01711	0.016833	-1.62%	0.0157	-8.24%	0.0746	✓	0.48
2026-07-18	oos	0.018425	0.018008	-2.26%	0.01522	-17.39%	0.1648	✓	0.44
2026-07-17	oos	0.01856	0.018041	-2.80%	0.01478	-20.37%	0.2006	✓	0.42
2026-07-16	oos	0.02	0.019145	-4.28%	0.01689	-15.55%	0.1337	✓	0.42
2026-07-15	oos	0.017275	0.016867	-2.36%	0.01692	-2.05%	0.0079	✓	0.53
2026-07-14	oos	0.01913	0.018274	-4.47%	0.017105	-10.59%	0.0789	✓	0.55
2026-07-13	oos	0.01347	0.013333	-1.02%	0.017445	+29.51%	0.2669	✗	0.04
2026-07-12	oos	0.017125	0.016731	-2.30%	0.01711	-0.09%	0.0243	✗	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.03125	0.027878	-10.79%	0.018425	-41.04%	0.4127	✓	-0.09
2026-07-10	oos	0.01315	0.013061	-0.67%	0.01856	+41.14%	0.3515	✗	0.03
2026-07-09	oos	0.01353	0.01339	-1.03%	0.02	+47.82%	0.4009	✗	0.04
2026-07-08	oos	0.01271	0.012562	-1.17%	0.017275	+35.92%	0.3201	✗	-0.04
2026-07-07	oos	0.011975	0.011931	-0.37%	0.01913	+59.75%	0.4722	✗	-0.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.01265	0.012568	-0.65%	0.01347	+6.48%	0.0689	✗	-0.02
2026-07-05	oos	0.012875	0.012763	-0.87%	0.017125	+33.01%	0.2941	✗	-0.01
2026-07-04	oos	0.012325	0.012223	-0.83%	0.03125	+153.55%	0.9390	✗	-0.03
2026-07-03	oos	0.01201	0.011874	-1.13%	0.01315	+9.49%	0.1032	✗	-0.04
2026-07-02	oos	0.01109	0.011026	-0.58%	0.01353	+22.00%	0.2073	✗	-0.10
2026-07-01	oos	0.01479	0.014135	-4.43%	0.01271	-14.06%	0.1115	✓	0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.01018	0.010098	-0.80%	0.011975	+17.63%	0.1857	✗	-0.19
2026-06-29	oos	0.00911	0.009118	+0.09%	0.01265	+38.86%	0.3330	✓	-0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.01023	0.010155	-0.74%	0.012875	+25.86%	0.2403	✗	-0.04
2026-06-27	oos	0.00951	0.009513	+0.03%	0.012325	+29.60%	0.2604	✓	-0.03
2026-06-26	oos	0.009675	0.009679	+0.05%	0.01201	+24.13%	0.2169	✓	-0.03
2026-06-25	oos	0.00951	0.009542	+0.34%	0.01109	+16.61%	0.1514	✓	-0.04
2026-06-24	oos	0.01045	0.010484	+0.32%	0.01479	+41.53%	0.3427	✓	-0.09
2026-06-23	oos	0.011	0.011041	+0.38%	0.01018	-7.45%	0.0894	✗	-0.12
2026-06-22	oos	0.01209	0.012108	+0.15%	0.00911	-24.65%	0.2952	✗	-0.18
2026-06-21	oos	0.012145	0.012162	+0.14%	0.01023	-15.77%	0.1842	✗	-0.18
2026-06-20	oos	0.0117	0.011752	+0.44%	0.00951	-18.72%	0.2225	✗	-0.16
2026-06-19	oos	0.012535	0.012549	+0.11%	0.009675	-22.82%	0.2675	✗	-0.13
2026-06-18	oos	0.01336	0.013323	-0.27%	0.00951	-28.82%	0.3430	✓	-0.11
2026-06-17	oos	0.01238	0.012419	+0.32%	0.01045	-15.59%	0.1747	✗	-0.04
2026-06-16	oos	0.012045	0.012108	+0.52%	0.011	-8.68%	0.0965	✗	-0.01
2026-06-15	oos	0.01288	0.012934	+0.42%	0.01209	-6.13%	0.0685	✗	-0.03
2026-06-14	oos	0.0134	0.013457	+0.42%	0.012145	-9.37%	0.1033	✗	-0.02
2026-06-13	oos	0.013745	0.013813	+0.49%	0.0117	-14.88%	0.1660	✗	-0.01
2026-06-12	oos	0.01485	0.014894	+0.29%	0.012535	-15.59%	0.1724	✗	0.03
2026-06-11	oos	0.01551	0.015537	+0.17%	0.01336	-13.86%	0.1506	✗	0.03
2026-06-10	oos	0.015425	0.01546	+0.23%	0.01238	-19.74%	0.2225	✗	0.01
2026-06-09	oos	0.017045	0.01702	-0.15%	0.012045	-29.33%	0.3458	✓	0.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.01797	0.017852	-0.66%	0.01288	-28.32%	0.3248	✓	-0.03
2026-06-07	oos	0.01781	0.017736	-0.42%	0.0134	-24.76%	0.2791	✓	-0.03
2026-06-06	oos	0.01793	0.017872	-0.32%	0.013745	-23.34%	0.2601	✓	-0.04
2026-06-05	oos	0.01961	0.019446	-0.84%	0.01485	-24.27%	0.2679	✓	-0.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.01997	0.019769	-1.01%	0.01551	-22.33%	0.2429	✓	-0.07
2026-06-03	oos	0.02101	0.020695	-1.50%	0.015425	-26.58%	0.2967	✓	-0.07
2026-06-02	oos	0.02153	0.021208	-1.50%	0.017045	-20.83%	0.2267	✓	-0.11
2026-06-01	oos	0.02205	0.021629	-1.91%	0.01797	-18.50%	0.2112	✓	-0.21
2026-05-31	oos	0.022435	0.022022	-1.84%	0.01781	-20.62%	0.2494	✓	-0.25
2026-05-30	oos	0.02147	0.021109	-1.68%	0.01793	-16.49%	0.2085	✓	-0.24
2026-05-29	oos	0.02236	0.021901	-2.05%	0.01961	-12.30%	0.1517	✓	-0.22
2026-05-28	oos	0.0211	0.020698	-1.91%	0.01997	-5.36%	0.0658	✓	-0.21
2026-05-27	oos	0.02166	0.021246	-1.91%	0.02101	-3.00%	0.0452	✓	-0.23
2026-05-26	oos	0.023105	0.022587	-2.24%	0.02153	-6.82%	0.0901	✓	-0.33
2026-05-25	oos	0.02212	0.021657	-2.09%	0.02205	-0.32%	0.0024	✓	-0.25
2026-05-24	oos	0.023125	0.022582	-2.35%	0.022435	-2.98%	0.0178	✓	-0.25
2026-05-23	oos	0.02219	0.021727	-2.08%	0.02147	-3.24%	0.0219	✓	-0.26
2026-05-22	oos	0.024525	0.023982	-2.21%	0.02236	-8.83%	0.0744	✓	-0.16
2026-05-21	oos	0.02505	0.024455	-2.38%	0.0211	-15.77%	0.1585	✓	-0.20
2026-05-20	oos	0.02708	0.026384	-2.57%	0.02166	-20.01%	0.2060	✓	-0.21
2026-05-19	oos	0.026065	0.025266	-3.07%	0.023105	-11.36%	0.0924	✓	-0.24
2026-05-18	oos	0.02795	0.02727	-2.43%	0.02212	-20.86%	0.2083	✓	-0.26
2026-05-17	oos	0.02865	0.027954	-2.43%	0.023125	-19.28%	0.1912	✓	-0.28
2026-05-16	oos	0.028435	0.027771	-2.33%	0.02219	-21.96%	0.2294	✓	-0.27
2026-05-15	oos	0.028395	0.027785	-2.15%	0.024525	-13.63%	0.1373	✓	-0.27
2026-05-14	oos	0.02813	0.027666	-1.65%	0.02505	-10.95%	0.1104	✓	-0.25
2026-05-13	oos	0.02913	0.02857	-1.92%	0.02708	-7.04%	0.0581	✓	-0.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.02829	0.027882	-1.44%	0.026065	-7.86%	0.0741	✓	-0.14
2026-05-11	oos	0.02831	0.028076	-0.83%	0.02795	-1.27%	0.0128	✓	-0.14
2026-05-10	oos	0.02791	0.027842	-0.24%	0.02865	+2.65%	0.0216	✗	-0.12
2026-05-09	oos	0.02927	0.029102	-0.57%	0.028435	-2.85%	0.0248	✓	-0.05
2026-05-08	oos	0.02942	0.02925	-0.58%	0.028395	-3.48%	0.0155	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.0303	0.030177	-0.41%	0.02813	-7.16%	0.0836	✓	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.03002	0.03012	+0.33%	0.02913	-2.96%	0.0067	✗	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.03032	0.030405	+0.28%	0.02829	-6.70%	0.0669	✗	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.03088	0.030888	+0.02%	0.02831	-8.32%	0.1103	✗	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.03038	0.030353	-0.09%	0.02791	-8.13%	0.1292	✓	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.03163	0.031643	+0.04%	0.02927	-7.46%	0.1027	✗	1.00
2026-05-01	oos	0.03198	0.031931	-0.15%	0.02942	-8.01%	0.1066	✓	1.00
2026-04-30	oos	0.0334	0.032995	-1.21%	0.0303	-9.28%	0.1325	✓	1.00
2026-04-29	oos	0.03484	0.034247	-1.70%	0.03002	-13.83%	0.2041	✓	1.00
2026-04-28	oos	0.03428	0.033764	-1.51%	0.03032	-11.55%	0.1660	✓	1.00
2026-04-27	oos	0.03521	0.03473	-1.36%	0.03088	-12.30%	0.1492	✓	1.00
2026-04-26	oos	0.03492	0.034622	-0.85%	0.03038	-13.00%	0.1292	✓	1.00
2026-04-25	oos	0.036055	0.035559	-1.38%	0.03163	-12.27%	0.1303	✓	1.00
2026-04-24	oos	0.03568	0.035196	-1.36%	0.03198	-10.37%	0.1057	✓	1.00
2026-04-23	oos	0.03717	0.036692	-1.29%	0.0334	-10.14%	0.0684	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.03588	0.035485	-1.10%	0.03484	-2.90%	0.0136	✗	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.034745	0.034202	-1.56%	0.03428	-1.34%	0.0027	✓	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.03388	0.033356	-1.55%	0.03521	+3.93%	0.0345	✗	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.03534	0.034437	-2.55%	0.03492	-1.19%	0.0497	✓	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.03528	0.034524	-2.14%	0.036055	+2.20%	0.0184	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.