QUAI

Quai Network · native · beta_5y

token id: #972
symbol: QUAI
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-09
predictions: 564

Track record at +30d

assessed

157

of 188 predictions shown

direction hit

86.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3329

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0223

actual -0.2561

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.007425	0.007279	-1.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-21	oos	0.00768	0.007388	-3.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-20	oos	0.008005	0.007732	-3.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.00846	0.008081	-4.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-18	oos	0.008665	0.008299	-4.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.008945	0.008541	-4.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-16	oos	0.008945	0.008569	-4.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-15	oos	0.00905	0.008764	-3.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-14	oos	0.00887	0.008632	-2.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-13	oos	0.00902	0.008957	-0.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-12	oos	0.00913	0.008917	-2.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-10-11	oos	0.009625	0.009449	-1.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-10	oos	0.009735	0.009506	-2.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-09	oos	0.00943	0.009322	-1.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-08	oos	0.009405	0.009335	-0.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-10-07	oos	0.00934	0.009406	+0.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-10-06	oos	0.00993	0.010028	+0.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-10-05	oos	0.010215	0.010197	-0.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-10-04	oos	0.01106	0.01085	-1.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-03	oos	0.011445	0.011015	-3.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-02	oos	0.010955	0.010577	-3.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-01	oos	0.01027	0.010032	-2.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-09-30	oos	0.01042	0.010089	-3.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-09-29	oos	0.010775	0.010431	-3.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-09-28	oos	0.01136	0.010929	-3.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.02
2026-09-27	oos	0.01082	0.010538	-2.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-09-26	oos	0.011225	0.010902	-2.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-09-25	oos	0.01026	0.010077	-1.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.87
2026-09-24	oos	0.01001	0.009889	-1.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-09-23	oos	0.01013	0.010001	-1.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-09-22	oos	0.00994	0.009933	-0.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-09-21	oos	0.009705	0.009763	+0.60%	0.00768	-20.87%	0.1948	✗	0.98
2026-09-20	oos	0.008555	0.008633	+0.91%	0.008005	-6.43%	0.0952	✗	0.91
2026-09-19	oos	0.00871	0.008729	+0.22%	0.00846	-2.87%	0.0381	✗	0.90
2026-09-18	oos	0.0087	0.008725	+0.29%	0.008665	-0.40%	0.0191	✗	0.88
2026-09-17	oos	0.00864	0.008294	-4.00%	0.008945	+3.53%	0.0169	✓	0.92
2026-09-16	oos	0.00867	0.008304	-4.22%	0.008945	+3.17%	0.0129	✓	0.90
2026-09-15	oos	0.008835	0.008392	-5.02%	0.00905	+2.43%	0.0072	✓	0.82
2026-09-14	oos	0.00871	0.008445	-3.04%	0.00887	+1.84%	0.0132	✓	0.85
2026-09-13	oos	0.008925	0.008603	-3.61%	0.00902	+1.06%	0.0222	✓	0.88
2026-09-12	oos	0.009815	0.009437	-3.85%	0.00913	-6.98%	0.0812	✓	0.85
2026-09-11	oos	0.01011	0.00972	-3.86%	0.009625	-4.80%	0.0767	✓	0.83
2026-09-10	oos	0.01064	0.010161	-4.50%	0.009735	-8.51%	0.1078	✓	0.81
2026-09-09	oos	0.011305	0.010901	-3.58%	0.00943	-16.59%	0.1866	✓	0.79
2026-09-08	oos	0.01114	0.010869	-2.43%	0.009405	-15.57%	0.1761	✓	0.78
2026-09-07	oos	0.012835	0.012541	-2.29%	0.00934	-27.23%	0.3334	✓	0.75
2026-09-06	oos	0.010785	0.010976	+1.77%	0.00993	-7.93%	0.1553	✗	0.88
2026-09-05	oos	0.01086	0.011225	+3.36%	0.010215	-5.94%	0.1569	✗	0.88
2026-09-04	oos	0.009735	0.0104	+6.84%	0.01106	+13.61%	0.0079	✓	0.84
2026-09-03	oos	0.00832	0.009229	+10.93%	0.011445	+37.56%	0.1741	✓	0.98
2026-09-02	oos	0.007485	0.007739	+3.39%	0.010955	+46.36%	0.2736	✓	0.83
2026-09-01	oos	0.00795	0.008416	+5.86%	0.01027	+29.18%	0.1226	✓	0.83
2026-08-31	oos	0.00855	0.0094	+9.95%	0.01042	+21.87%	0.0546	✓	0.79
2026-08-30	oos	0.00885	0.009744	+10.10%	0.010775	+21.75%	0.0470	✓	0.72
2026-08-29	oos	0.00897	0.010146	+13.11%	0.01136	+26.64%	0.0670	✓	0.71
2026-08-28	oos	0.00944	0.010624	+12.54%	0.01082	+14.62%	0.0399	✓	0.71
2026-08-27	oos	0.01052	0.012166	+15.65%	0.011225	+6.70%	0.1131	✓	0.65
2026-08-26	oos	0.010015	0.011358	+13.41%	0.01026	+2.45%	0.1405	✗	0.63
2026-08-25	oos	0.01113	0.012306	+10.57%	0.01001	-10.06%	0.2527	✗	0.64
2026-08-24	oos	0.011615	0.012614	+8.60%	0.01013	-12.79%	0.2630	✗	0.66
2026-08-23	oos	0.0117	0.012321	+5.31%	0.00994	-15.04%	0.2804	✗	0.63
2026-08-22	oos	0.01178	0.012209	+3.65%	0.009705	-17.61%	0.3034	✗	0.63
2026-08-21	oos	0.01197	0.012684	+5.96%	0.008555	-28.53%	0.4165	✗	0.64
2026-08-20	oos	0.01205	0.011694	-2.95%	0.00871	-27.72%	0.3671	✓	0.68
2026-08-19	oos	0.01204	0.011185	-7.10%	0.0087	-27.74%	0.3621	✓	0.72
2026-08-18	oos	0.01198	0.010883	-9.16%	0.00864	-27.88%	0.3639	✓	0.80
2026-08-17	oos	0.01165	0.010617	-8.87%	0.00867	-25.58%	0.3376	✓	0.81
2026-08-16	oos	0.01158	0.010532	-9.05%	0.008835	-23.70%	0.3271	✓	0.82
2026-08-15	oos	0.0113	0.010356	-8.36%	0.00871	-22.92%	0.3502	✓	0.82
2026-08-14	oos	0.0115	0.010468	-8.98%	0.008925	-22.39%	0.3217	✓	0.82
2026-08-13	oos	0.01156	0.010427	-9.80%	0.009815	-15.10%	0.2208	✓	0.81
2026-08-12	oos	0.01099	0.010021	-8.81%	0.01011	-8.01%	0.1440	✓	0.78
2026-08-11	oos	0.01114	0.010179	-8.63%	0.01064	-4.49%	0.0933	✓	0.74
2026-08-10	oos	0.0117	0.010645	-9.02%	0.011305	-3.38%	0.0846	✓	0.71
2026-08-09	oos	0.011925	0.010788	-9.54%	0.01114	-6.58%	0.1022	✓	0.71
2026-08-08	oos	0.01185	0.01068	-9.87%	0.012835	+8.31%	0.0451	✓	0.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01186	0.010685	-9.90%	0.010785	-9.06%	0.1323	✓	0.66
2026-08-06	oos	0.01172	0.010554	-9.95%	0.01086	-7.34%	0.1140	✓	0.66
2026-08-05	oos	0.01149	0.010356	-9.87%	0.009735	-15.27%	0.1995	✓	0.66
2026-08-04	oos	0.011625	0.010494	-9.73%	0.00832	-28.43%	0.3856	✓	0.64
2026-08-03	oos	0.01136	0.010365	-8.76%	0.007485	-34.11%	0.4503	✓	0.63
2026-08-02	oos	0.01228	0.011186	-8.91%	0.00795	-35.26%	0.4659	✓	0.63
2026-08-01	oos	0.01225	0.011192	-8.63%	0.00855	-30.20%	0.4120	✓	0.64
2026-07-31	oos	0.0117	0.010866	-7.13%	0.00885	-24.36%	0.3392	✓	0.63
2026-07-30	oos	0.012245	0.011503	-6.06%	0.00897	-26.75%	0.3652	✓	0.61
2026-07-29	oos	0.01324	0.012562	-5.12%	0.00944	-28.70%	0.4057	✓	0.61
2026-07-28	oos	0.01399	0.01334	-4.65%	0.01052	-24.80%	0.3750	✓	0.60
2026-07-27	oos	0.014	0.013466	-3.82%	0.010015	-28.46%	0.4242	✓	0.59
2026-07-26	oos	0.0157	0.015084	-3.93%	0.01113	-29.11%	0.4006	✓	0.53
2026-07-25	oos	0.01522	0.01467	-3.61%	0.011615	-23.69%	0.3352	✓	0.49
2026-07-24	oos	0.01478	0.014353	-2.89%	0.0117	-20.84%	0.2955	✓	0.47
2026-07-23	oos	0.01689	0.016239	-3.86%	0.01178	-30.25%	0.3926	✓	0.42
2026-07-22	oos	0.01692	0.016395	-3.10%	0.01197	-29.26%	0.3889	✓	0.44
2026-07-21	oos	0.017105	0.016612	-2.88%	0.01205	-29.55%	0.3622	✓	0.44
2026-07-20	oos	0.017445	0.016771	-3.86%	0.01204	-30.98%	0.3607	✓	0.48
2026-07-19	oos	0.01711	0.016408	-4.10%	0.01198	-29.98%	0.3146	✓	0.48
2026-07-18	oos	0.018425	0.017521	-4.91%	0.01165	-36.77%	0.4060	✓	0.44
2026-07-17	oos	0.01856	0.017504	-5.69%	0.01158	-37.61%	0.4061	✓	0.42
2026-07-16	oos	0.02	0.01862	-6.90%	0.0113	-43.50%	0.4945	✓	0.42
2026-07-15	oos	0.017275	0.016538	-4.27%	0.0115	-33.43%	0.3490	✓	0.53
2026-07-14	oos	0.01913	0.017944	-6.20%	0.01156	-39.57%	0.4263	✓	0.55
2026-07-13	oos	0.01347	0.013131	-2.52%	0.01099	-18.41%	0.1787	✓	0.04
2026-07-12	oos	0.017125	0.016261	-5.04%	0.01114	-34.95%	0.3787	✓	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.03125	0.02611	-16.45%	0.0117	-62.56%	0.8025	✓	-0.09
2026-07-10	oos	0.01315	0.013072	-0.59%	0.011925	-9.32%	0.0922	✓	0.03
2026-07-09	oos	0.01353	0.013368	-1.20%	0.01185	-12.42%	0.1215	✓	0.04
2026-07-08	oos	0.01271	0.012603	-0.85%	0.01186	-6.69%	0.0591	✓	-0.04
2026-07-07	oos	0.011975	0.012016	+0.34%	0.01172	-2.13%	0.0249	✗	-0.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.01265	0.012632	-0.14%	0.01149	-9.17%	0.0946	✓	-0.02
2026-07-05	oos	0.012875	0.012823	-0.40%	0.011625	-9.71%	0.0980	✓	-0.01
2026-07-04	oos	0.012325	0.012332	+0.06%	0.01136	-7.83%	0.0819	✗	-0.03
2026-07-03	oos	0.01201	0.012008	-0.01%	0.01228	+2.25%	0.0230	✗	-0.04
2026-07-02	oos	0.01109	0.011168	+0.70%	0.01225	+10.46%	0.0945	✓	-0.10
2026-07-01	oos	0.01479	0.014115	-4.56%	0.0117	-20.89%	0.1943	✓	0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.01018	0.010167	-0.13%	0.012245	+20.28%	0.2054	✗	-0.19
2026-06-29	oos	0.00911	0.009229	+1.31%	0.01324	+45.33%	0.3663	✓	-0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.01023	0.010224	-0.06%	0.01399	+36.75%	0.3168	✗	-0.04
2026-06-27	oos	0.00951	0.009578	+0.72%	0.014	+47.21%	0.3812	✓	-0.03
2026-06-26	oos	0.009675	0.009777	+1.05%	0.0157	+62.27%	0.4760	✓	-0.03
2026-06-25	oos	0.00951	0.00966	+1.58%	0.01522	+60.04%	0.4573	✓	-0.04
2026-06-24	oos	0.01045	0.010645	+1.86%	0.01478	+41.44%	0.3326	✓	-0.09
2026-06-23	oos	0.011	0.011273	+2.48%	0.01689	+53.55%	0.4089	✓	-0.12
2026-06-22	oos	0.01209	0.01238	+2.40%	0.01692	+39.95%	0.3182	✓	-0.18
2026-06-21	oos	0.012145	0.012393	+2.04%	0.017105	+40.84%	0.3314	✓	-0.18
2026-06-20	oos	0.0117	0.012058	+3.06%	0.017445	+49.10%	0.3717	✓	-0.16
2026-06-19	oos	0.012535	0.012825	+2.32%	0.01711	+36.50%	0.2907	✓	-0.13
2026-06-18	oos	0.01336	0.013539	+1.34%	0.018425	+37.91%	0.3115	✓	-0.11
2026-06-17	oos	0.01238	0.012687	+2.48%	0.01856	+49.92%	0.3801	✓	-0.04
2026-06-16	oos	0.012045	0.012456	+3.41%	0.02	+66.04%	0.4732	✓	-0.01
2026-06-15	oos	0.01288	0.013235	+2.76%	0.017275	+34.12%	0.2657	✓	-0.03
2026-06-14	oos	0.0134	0.013714	+2.34%	0.01913	+42.76%	0.3326	✓	-0.02
2026-06-13	oos	0.013745	0.014087	+2.49%	0.01347	-2.00%	0.0451	✗	-0.01
2026-06-12	oos	0.01485	0.015141	+1.96%	0.017125	+15.32%	0.1230	✓	0.03
2026-06-11	oos	0.01551	0.015795	+1.84%	0.03125	+101.48%	0.6822	✓	0.03
2026-06-10	oos	0.015425	0.015732	+1.99%	0.01315	-14.75%	0.1795	✗	0.01
2026-06-09	oos	0.017045	0.017149	+0.61%	0.01353	-20.62%	0.2370	✗	0.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.01797	0.017912	-0.32%	0.01271	-29.27%	0.3435	✓	-0.03
2026-06-07	oos	0.01781	0.017723	-0.49%	0.011975	-32.76%	0.3920	✓	-0.03
2026-06-06	oos	0.01793	0.017804	-0.70%	0.01265	-29.45%	0.3396	✓	-0.04
2026-06-05	oos	0.01961	0.019197	-2.11%	0.012875	-34.34%	0.3977	✓	-0.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.01997	0.019483	-2.44%	0.012325	-38.28%	0.4587	✓	-0.07
2026-06-03	oos	0.02101	0.020289	-3.43%	0.01201	-42.84%	0.5260	✓	-0.07
2026-06-02	oos	0.02153	0.020708	-3.82%	0.01109	-48.49%	0.6330	✓	-0.11
2026-06-01	oos	0.02205	0.021114	-4.24%	0.01479	-32.93%	0.3925	✓	-0.21
2026-05-31	oos	0.022435	0.021425	-4.50%	0.01018	-54.62%	0.8007	✓	-0.25
2026-05-30	oos	0.02147	0.020529	-4.38%	0.00911	-57.57%	0.8605	✓	-0.24
2026-05-29	oos	0.02236	0.021236	-5.03%	0.01023	-54.25%	0.7774	✓	-0.22
2026-05-28	oos	0.0211	0.020071	-4.88%	0.00951	-54.93%	0.7902	✓	-0.21
2026-05-27	oos	0.02166	0.020528	-5.23%	0.009675	-55.33%	0.8011	✓	-0.23
2026-05-26	oos	0.023105	0.021749	-5.87%	0.00951	-58.84%	0.9054	✓	-0.33
2026-05-25	oos	0.02212	0.02082	-5.88%	0.01045	-52.76%	0.7496	✓	-0.25
2026-05-24	oos	0.023125	0.021705	-6.14%	0.011	-52.43%	0.7310	✓	-0.25
2026-05-23	oos	0.02219	0.020827	-6.14%	0.01209	-45.52%	0.5910	✓	-0.26
2026-05-22	oos	0.024525	0.022967	-6.35%	0.012145	-50.48%	0.6649	✓	-0.16
2026-05-21	oos	0.02505	0.023478	-6.27%	0.0117	-53.29%	0.7350	✓	-0.20
2026-05-20	oos	0.02708	0.025339	-6.43%	0.012535	-53.71%	0.7457	✓	-0.21
2026-05-19	oos	0.026065	0.024244	-6.99%	0.01336	-48.74%	0.6436	✓	-0.24
2026-05-18	oos	0.02795	0.026085	-6.67%	0.01238	-55.71%	0.7917	✓	-0.26
2026-05-17	oos	0.02865	0.026761	-6.59%	0.012045	-57.96%	0.8442	✓	-0.28
2026-05-16	oos	0.028435	0.026664	-6.23%	0.01288	-54.70%	0.7718	✓	-0.27
2026-05-15	oos	0.028395	0.026807	-5.59%	0.0134	-52.81%	0.7427	✓	-0.27
2026-05-14	oos	0.02813	0.027038	-3.88%	0.013745	-51.14%	0.7336	✓	-0.25
2026-05-13	oos	0.02913	0.027651	-5.08%	0.01485	-49.02%	0.6656	✓	-0.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.02829	0.027265	-3.62%	0.01551	-45.17%	0.5974	✓	-0.14
2026-05-11	oos	0.02831	0.027713	-2.11%	0.015425	-45.51%	0.6251	✓	-0.14
2026-05-10	oos	0.02791	0.027801	-0.39%	0.017045	-38.93%	0.5229	✓	-0.12
2026-05-09	oos	0.02927	0.028828	-1.51%	0.01797	-38.61%	0.4849	✓	-0.05
2026-05-08	oos	0.02942	0.028932	-1.66%	0.01781	-39.46%	0.2487	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.0303	0.029733	-1.87%	0.01793	-40.83%	0.2321	✓	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.03002	0.030134	+0.38%	0.01961	-34.68%	0.1412	✗	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.03032	0.030433	+0.37%	0.01997	-34.14%	0.1838	✗	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.03088	0.030603	-0.90%	0.02101	-31.96%	0.1554	✓	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.03038	0.029952	-1.41%	0.02153	-29.13%	0.1659	✓	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.03163	0.031467	-0.51%	0.02205	-30.29%	0.2573	✓	1.00
2026-05-01	oos	0.03198	0.031729	-0.78%	0.022435	-29.85%	0.2852	✓	1.00
2026-04-30	oos	0.0334	0.032379	-3.06%	0.02147	-35.72%	0.3771	✓	1.00
2026-04-29	oos	0.03484	0.033265	-4.52%	0.02236	-35.82%	0.3652	✓	1.00
2026-04-28	oos	0.03428	0.032944	-3.90%	0.0211	-38.45%	0.4081	✓	1.00
2026-04-27	oos	0.03521	0.034027	-3.36%	0.02166	-38.48%	0.4115	✓	1.00
2026-04-26	oos	0.03492	0.034313	-1.74%	0.023105	-33.83%	0.3586	✓	1.00
2026-04-25	oos	0.036055	0.035023	-2.86%	0.02212	-38.65%	0.4543	✓	1.00
2026-04-24	oos	0.03568	0.034689	-2.78%	0.023125	-35.19%	0.3992	✓	1.00
2026-04-23	oos	0.03717	0.036586	-1.57%	0.02219	-40.30%	0.4790	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.03588	0.035566	-0.87%	0.024525	-31.65%	0.3357	✓	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.034745	0.033846	-2.59%	0.02505	-27.90%	0.3165	✓	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.03388	0.032968	-2.69%	0.02708	-20.07%	0.2178	✓	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.03534	0.033409	-5.46%	0.026065	-26.25%	0.2874	✓	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.03528	0.034212	-3.03%	0.02795	-20.78%	0.2180	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.