PRL

Pearl · native · beta_5y

token id: #318
symbol: PRL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-25
predictions: 609

Track record at +30d

assessed

173

of 203 predictions shown

direction hit

62.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3682

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0559

actual -0.1646

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.099715	0.09711	-2.61%	–	pending	–	–	-0.46
2026-10-21	oos	0.09683	0.093984	-2.94%	–	pending	–	–	-0.49
2026-10-20	oos	0.09595	0.093013	-3.06%	–	pending	–	–	-0.49
2026-10-19	oos	0.086455	0.083754	-3.12%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-18	oos	0.089395	0.086144	-3.64%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-17	oos	0.09256	0.088916	-3.94%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-10-16	oos	0.09638	0.092597	-3.92%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-15	oos	0.098895	0.095227	-3.71%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.10321	0.098672	-4.40%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-10-13	oos	0.1071	0.102467	-4.33%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-12	oos	0.10897	0.103651	-4.88%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-11	oos	0.11286	0.106553	-5.59%	–	pending	–	–	-0.46
2026-10-10	oos	0.11281	0.106269	-5.80%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-10-09	oos	0.112985	0.105881	-6.29%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-10-08	oos	0.112445	0.105087	-6.54%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-10-07	oos	0.112855	0.105303	-6.69%	–	pending	–	–	-0.42
2026-10-06	oos	0.114295	0.106559	-6.77%	–	pending	–	–	-0.44
2026-10-05	oos	0.1153	0.107203	-7.02%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-10-04	oos	0.115245	0.10766	-6.58%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-10-03	oos	0.11641	0.10735	-7.78%	–	pending	–	–	-0.37
2026-10-02	oos	0.1163	0.106705	-8.25%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-10-01	oos	0.117695	0.107725	-8.47%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-09-30	oos	0.11663	0.105828	-9.26%	–	pending	–	–	-0.35
2026-09-29	oos	0.116075	0.104998	-9.54%	–	pending	–	–	-0.34
2026-09-28	oos	0.115385	0.10391	-9.95%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-09-27	oos	0.12233	0.111045	-9.23%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-09-26	oos	0.12269	0.111199	-9.37%	–	pending	–	–	-0.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.12086	0.109028	-9.79%	–	pending	–	–	-0.30
2026-09-24	oos	0.11888	0.10696	-10.03%	–	pending	–	–	-0.30
2026-09-23	oos	0.11387	0.101829	-10.57%	–	pending	–	–	-0.30
2026-09-22	oos	0.12082	0.11218	-7.15%	0.099715	-17.47%	0.1263	✓	-0.36
2026-09-21	oos	0.118115	0.109997	-6.87%	0.09683	-18.02%	0.1429	✓	-0.33
2026-09-20	oos	0.11549	0.101779	-11.87%	0.09595	-16.92%	0.0498	✓	-0.43
2026-09-19	oos	0.11687	0.103806	-11.18%	0.086455	-26.02%	0.1797	✓	-0.43
2026-09-18	oos	0.11423	0.102564	-10.21%	0.089395	-21.74%	0.1315	✓	-0.42
2026-09-17	oos	0.1089	0.097206	-10.74%	0.09256	-15.00%	0.0142	✓	-0.55
2026-09-16	oos	0.1093	0.097551	-10.75%	0.09638	-11.82%	0.0256	✓	-0.55
2026-09-15	oos	0.107435	0.097109	-9.61%	0.098895	-7.95%	0.0611	✓	-0.52
2026-09-14	oos	0.113295	0.102717	-9.34%	0.10321	-8.90%	0.0285	✓	-0.56
2026-09-13	oos	0.110605	0.100267	-9.35%	0.1071	-3.17%	0.1082	✗	-0.54
2026-09-12	oos	0.117375	0.106347	-9.40%	0.10897	-7.16%	0.0557	✓	-0.56
2026-09-11	oos	0.1145	0.104289	-8.92%	0.11286	-1.43%	0.1242	✗	-0.56
2026-09-10	oos	0.10966	0.100861	-8.02%	0.11281	+2.87%	0.1568	✗	-0.56
2026-09-09	oos	0.117875	0.109035	-7.50%	0.112985	-4.15%	0.0684	✓	-0.62
2026-09-08	oos	0.125695	0.115409	-8.18%	0.112445	-10.54%	0.0062	✓	-0.49
2026-09-07	oos	0.13255	0.12235	-7.70%	0.112855	-14.86%	0.0549	✓	-0.50
2026-09-06	oos	0.12763	0.118319	-7.30%	0.114295	-10.45%	0.0069	✓	-0.44
2026-09-05	oos	0.12613	0.117972	-6.47%	0.1153	-8.59%	0.0096	✓	-0.46
2026-09-04	oos	0.12391	0.116336	-6.11%	0.115245	-6.99%	0.0239	✓	-0.41
2026-09-03	oos	0.12911	0.124275	-3.75%	0.11641	-9.84%	0.0471	✓	-0.44
2026-09-02	oos	0.13655	0.127496	-6.63%	0.1163	-14.83%	0.0682	✓	-0.27
2026-09-01	oos	0.14876	0.140471	-5.57%	0.117695	-20.88%	0.1532	✓	-0.26
2026-08-31	oos	0.15862	0.154216	-2.78%	0.11663	-26.47%	0.2576	✓	-0.35
2026-08-30	oos	0.17393	0.170297	-2.09%	0.116075	-33.26%	0.3636	✓	-0.27
2026-08-29	oos	0.18234	0.180983	-0.74%	0.115385	-36.72%	0.4340	✓	-0.25
2026-08-28	oos	0.187175	0.185899	-0.68%	0.12233	-34.64%	0.3983	✓	-0.25
2026-08-27	oos	0.20275	0.20613	+1.67%	0.12269	-39.49%	0.5036	✗	-0.30
2026-08-26	oos	0.20398	0.20562	+0.80%	0.12086	-40.75%	0.5126	✗	-0.30
2026-08-25	oos	0.21216	0.21391	+0.82%	0.11888	-43.97%	0.5631	✗	-0.34
2026-08-24	oos	0.219885	0.222028	+0.97%	0.11387	-48.21%	0.6467	✗	-0.32
2026-08-23	oos	0.2312	0.231176	-0.01%	0.12082	-47.74%	0.6219	✓	-0.26
2026-08-22	oos	0.2294	0.228876	-0.23%	0.118115	-48.51%	0.6305	✓	-0.27
2026-08-21	oos	0.25231	0.255121	+1.11%	0.11549	-54.23%	0.7814	✗	-0.31
2026-08-20	oos	0.25681	0.251895	-1.91%	0.11687	-54.49%	0.7349	✓	-0.31
2026-08-19	oos	0.31667	0.305396	-3.56%	0.11423	-63.93%	0.9908	✓	0.05
2026-08-18	oos	0.44811	0.421414	-5.96%	0.1089	-75.70%	1.5074	✓	0.93
2026-08-17	oos	0.39028	0.367051	-5.95%	0.1093	-71.99%	1.3611	✓	0.90
2026-08-16	oos	0.39762	0.372422	-6.34%	0.107435	-72.98%	1.4189	✓	0.95
2026-08-15	oos	0.354585	0.334451	-5.68%	0.113295	-68.05%	1.2872	✓	0.95
2026-08-14	oos	0.35075	0.329096	-6.17%	0.110605	-68.47%	1.2797	✓	0.95
2026-08-13	oos	0.300195	0.282077	-6.04%	0.117375	-60.90%	1.0752	✓	1.01
2026-08-12	oos	0.323825	0.304067	-6.10%	0.1145	-64.64%	1.1939	✓	1.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.330115	0.309897	-6.12%	0.10966	-66.78%	1.2371	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	0.304755	0.286334	-6.04%	0.117875	-61.32%	1.1044	✓	1.07
2026-08-09	oos	0.2748	0.259562	-5.55%	0.125695	-54.26%	0.9426	✓	1.14
2026-08-08	oos	0.300765	0.283125	-5.87%	0.13255	-55.93%	0.9855	✓	1.15
2026-08-07	oos	0.284025	0.267852	-5.69%	0.12763	-55.06%	0.9710	✓	1.08
2026-08-06	oos	0.279705	0.262456	-6.17%	0.12613	-54.91%	0.9665	✓	1.08
2026-08-05	oos	0.27185	0.255786	-5.91%	0.12391	-54.42%	0.9524	✓	1.09
2026-08-04	oos	0.257085	0.242678	-5.60%	0.12911	-49.78%	0.8804	✓	1.05
2026-08-03	oos	0.25844	0.243903	-5.62%	0.13655	-47.16%	0.7839	✓	1.03
2026-08-02	oos	0.2655	0.24999	-5.84%	0.14876	-43.97%	0.7292	✓	1.06
2026-08-01	oos	0.24187	0.228129	-5.68%	0.15862	-34.42%	0.5978	✓	1.04
2026-07-31	oos	0.24613	0.232474	-5.55%	0.17393	-29.33%	0.5115	✓	1.04
2026-07-30	oos	0.24718	0.234591	-5.09%	0.18234	-26.23%	0.4558	✓	1.08
2026-07-29	oos	0.2118	0.201919	-4.67%	0.187175	-11.63%	0.2509	✓	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.18124	0.173911	-4.04%	0.20275	+11.87%	0.0383	✓	0.84
2026-07-27	oos	0.180795	0.17412	-3.69%	0.20398	+12.82%	0.0265	✓	0.86
2026-07-26	oos	0.19156	0.18484	-3.51%	0.21216	+10.75%	0.0076	✓	0.79
2026-07-25	oos	0.180655	0.17303	-4.22%	0.219885	+21.72%	0.1243	✗	0.56
2026-07-24	oos	0.17977	0.172379	-4.11%	0.2312	+28.61%	0.1802	✗	0.59
2026-07-23	oos	0.17194	0.165258	-3.89%	0.2294	+33.42%	0.2242	✗	0.61
2026-07-22	oos	0.170375	0.164792	-3.28%	0.25231	+48.09%	0.3215	✗	0.61
2026-07-21	oos	0.176875	0.171056	-3.29%	0.25681	+45.19%	0.3508	✗	0.60
2026-07-20	oos	0.17387	0.168241	-3.24%	0.31667	+82.13%	0.5955	✗	0.61
2026-07-19	oos	0.17227	0.167346	-2.86%	0.44811	+160.12%	0.9850	✗	0.61
2026-07-18	oos	0.1727	0.167885	-2.79%	0.39028	+125.99%	0.8472	✗	0.74
2026-07-17	oos	0.17012	0.165663	-2.62%	0.39762	+133.73%	0.8869	✗	0.68
2026-07-16	oos	0.168865	0.165227	-2.15%	0.354585	+109.98%	0.7735	✗	0.84
2026-07-15	oos	0.16945	0.165979	-2.05%	0.35075	+106.99%	0.7665	✗	0.67
2026-07-14	oos	0.175085	0.171306	-2.16%	0.300195	+71.46%	0.5795	✗	0.76
2026-07-13	oos	0.165275	0.161013	-2.58%	0.323825	+95.93%	0.6855	✗	0.73
2026-07-12	oos	0.170995	0.166527	-2.61%	0.330115	+93.06%	0.6866	✗	0.71
2026-07-11	oos	0.16921	0.165471	-2.21%	0.304755	+80.10%	0.6095	✗	0.57
2026-07-10	oos	0.173995	0.1698	-2.41%	0.2748	+57.94%	0.4761	✗	0.48
2026-07-09	oos	0.16962	0.165666	-2.33%	0.300765	+77.32%	0.5835	✗	0.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.172195	0.168299	-2.26%	0.284025	+64.94%	0.5042	✗	0.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.18963	0.183954	-2.99%	0.279705	+47.50%	0.4131	✗	0.40
2026-07-06	oos	0.19	0.184148	-3.08%	0.27185	+43.08%	0.3858	✗	0.39
2026-07-05	oos	0.172495	0.168594	-2.26%	0.257085	+49.04%	0.4193	✗	0.35
2026-07-04	oos	0.184115	0.178861	-2.85%	0.25844	+40.37%	0.3658	✗	0.37
2026-07-03	oos	0.17919	0.173161	-3.36%	0.2655	+48.17%	0.4200	✗	0.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.167965	0.162534	-3.23%	0.24187	+44.00%	0.3879	✗	0.47
2026-07-01	oos	0.16593	0.160241	-3.43%	0.24613	+48.33%	0.4073	✗	0.47
2026-06-30	oos	0.15907	0.15356	-3.46%	0.24718	+55.39%	0.4292	✗	0.47
2026-06-29	oos	0.16325	0.157404	-3.58%	0.2118	+29.74%	0.2696	✗	0.45
2026-06-28	oos	0.154175	0.148515	-3.67%	0.18124	+17.55%	0.1765	✗	0.32
2026-06-27	oos	0.150835	0.145422	-3.59%	0.180795	+19.86%	0.2030	✗	0.24
2026-06-26	oos	0.14411	0.138749	-3.72%	0.19156	+32.93%	0.3027	✗	0.23
2026-06-25	oos	0.14418	0.138311	-4.07%	0.180655	+25.30%	0.2497	✗	0.23
2026-06-24	oos	0.1387	0.134095	-3.32%	0.17977	+29.61%	0.2692	✗	0.48
2026-06-23	oos	0.14184	0.13743	-3.11%	0.17194	+21.22%	0.2141	✗	0.26
2026-06-22	oos	0.13865	0.134308	-3.13%	0.170375	+22.88%	0.2287	✗	0.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.14252	0.137665	-3.41%	0.176875	+24.11%	0.2360	✗	0.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.14479	0.140116	-3.23%	0.17387	+20.08%	0.2115	✗	0.29
2026-06-19	oos	0.144445	0.140195	-2.94%	0.17227	+19.26%	0.2007	✗	0.29
2026-06-18	oos	0.151155	0.146235	-3.26%	0.1727	+14.25%	0.1573	✗	0.30
2026-06-17	oos	0.15744	0.152664	-3.03%	0.17012	+8.05%	0.1107	✗	0.28
2026-06-16	oos	0.16476	0.159409	-3.25%	0.168865	+2.49%	0.0650	✗	0.26
2026-06-15	oos	0.18421	0.175803	-4.56%	0.16945	-8.01%	0.0314	✓	0.23
2026-06-14	oos	0.19015	0.180261	-5.20%	0.175085	-7.92%	0.0265	✓	0.24
2026-06-13	oos	0.195935	0.184585	-5.79%	0.165275	-15.65%	0.1016	✓	0.26
2026-06-12	oos	0.191665	0.180532	-5.81%	0.170995	-10.78%	0.0551	✓	0.25
2026-06-11	oos	0.1988	0.186252	-6.31%	0.16921	-14.88%	0.0968	✓	0.25
2026-06-10	oos	0.17579	0.165522	-5.84%	0.173995	-1.02%	0.0446	✓	0.13
2026-06-09	oos	0.179975	0.168946	-6.13%	0.16962	-5.75%	0.0010	✓	0.12
2026-06-08	oos	0.18887	0.17598	-6.83%	0.172195	-8.83%	0.0205	✓	0.09
2026-06-07	oos	0.178	0.166302	-6.57%	0.18963	+6.53%	0.1312	✗	0.10
2026-06-06	oos	0.17343	0.162036	-6.57%	0.19	+9.55%	0.1559	✗	0.07
2026-06-05	oos	0.17492	0.163225	-6.69%	0.172495	-1.39%	0.0526	✓	0.07
2026-06-04	oos	0.18829	0.174003	-7.59%	0.184115	-2.22%	0.0559	✓	-0.05
2026-06-03	oos	0.20735	0.189511	-8.60%	0.17919	-13.58%	0.0573	✓	-0.06
2026-06-02	oos	0.19479	0.178864	-8.18%	0.167965	-13.77%	0.0603	✓	0.03
2026-06-01	oos	0.19786	0.181073	-8.48%	0.16593	-16.14%	0.0908	✓	-0.02
2026-05-31	oos	0.20331	0.185444	-8.79%	0.15907	-21.76%	0.1690	✓	-0.07
2026-05-30	oos	0.20295	0.184465	-9.11%	0.16325	-19.56%	0.1361	✓	-0.07
2026-05-29	oos	0.181715	0.16546	-8.95%	0.154175	-15.16%	0.0907	✓	-0.10
2026-05-28	oos	0.17852	0.162416	-9.02%	0.150835	-15.51%	0.0931	✓	-0.09
2026-05-27	oos	0.15387	0.13993	-9.06%	0.14411	-6.34%	0.0276	✓	-0.01
2026-05-26	oos	0.16026	0.144641	-9.75%	0.14418	-10.03%	0.0156	✓	-0.05
2026-05-25	oos	0.17268	0.155606	-9.89%	0.1387	-19.68%	0.1459	✓	-0.13
2026-05-24	oos	0.17963	0.162264	-9.67%	0.14184	-21.04%	0.1605	✓	-0.13
2026-05-23	oos	0.191655	0.173538	-9.45%	0.13865	-27.66%	0.2453	✓	-0.12
2026-05-22	oos	0.18882	0.171387	-9.23%	0.14252	-24.52%	0.2068	✓	-0.13
2026-05-21	oos	0.19739	0.179176	-9.23%	0.14479	-26.65%	0.2523	✓	-0.21
2026-05-20	oos	0.200525	0.182527	-8.98%	0.144445	-27.97%	0.2755	✓	-0.21
2026-05-19	oos	0.200605	0.183318	-8.62%	0.151155	-24.65%	0.2343	✓	-0.21
2026-05-18	oos	0.206865	0.18996	-8.17%	0.15744	-23.89%	0.2258	✓	-0.21
2026-05-17	oos	0.19963	0.184301	-7.68%	0.16476	-17.47%	0.1455	✓	-0.20
2026-05-16	oos	0.20361	0.189913	-6.73%	0.18421	-9.53%	0.0662	✓	-0.22
2026-05-15	oos	0.219995	0.206047	-6.34%	0.19015	-13.57%	0.1332	✓	-0.29
2026-05-14	oos	0.2512	0.236214	-5.97%	0.195935	-22.00%	0.3085	✓	-0.53
2026-05-13	oos	0.25513	0.238443	-6.54%	0.191665	-24.88%	0.3318	✓	-0.51
2026-05-12	oos	0.25496	0.239443	-6.09%	0.1988	-22.03%	0.3112	✓	-0.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.27403	0.257529	-6.02%	0.17579	-35.85%	0.5631	✓	-0.64
2026-05-10	oos	0.27135	0.256039	-5.64%	0.179975	-33.67%	0.5361	✓	-0.64
2026-05-09	oos	0.28986	0.270817	-6.57%	0.18887	-34.84%	0.5004	✓	-0.57
2026-05-08	oos	0.28383	0.264965	-6.65%	0.178	-37.29%	0.5329	✓	-0.57
2026-05-07	oos	0.27438	0.256876	-6.38%	0.17343	-36.79%	0.5490	✓	-0.57
2026-05-06	oos	0.26746	0.253128	-5.36%	0.17492	-34.60%	0.5333	✓	-0.57
2026-05-05	oos	0.283635	0.268769	-5.24%	0.18829	-33.62%	0.4869	✓	-0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.26549	0.248853	-6.27%	0.20735	-21.90%	0.3132	✓	-0.59
2026-05-03	oos	0.25235	0.236119	-6.43%	0.19479	-22.81%	0.2970	✓	-0.64
2026-05-02	oos	0.26266	0.246611	-6.11%	0.19786	-24.67%	0.2844	✓	-0.65
2026-05-01	oos	0.25282	0.23772	-5.97%	0.20331	-19.58%	0.1968	✓	-0.66
2026-04-30	oos	0.28061	0.260601	-7.13%	0.20295	-27.68%	0.2667	✓	-0.49
2026-04-29	oos	0.31369	0.289472	-7.72%	0.181715	-42.07%	0.4798	✓	-0.44
2026-04-28	oos	0.35463	0.325493	-8.22%	0.17852	-49.66%	0.6209	✓	-0.54
2026-04-27	oos	0.3251	0.30019	-7.66%	0.15387	-52.67%	0.6875	✓	-0.48
2026-04-26	oos	0.22072	0.211387	-4.23%	0.16026	-27.39%	0.2748	✓	0.06
2026-04-25	oos	0.20786	0.19952	-4.01%	0.17268	-16.92%	0.1444	✓	0.02
2026-04-24	oos	0.205465	0.19797	-3.65%	0.17963	-12.57%	0.0971	✓	0.02
2026-04-23	oos	0.20197	0.197307	-2.31%	0.191655	-5.11%	0.0080	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.23358	0.226758	-2.92%	0.18882	-19.16%	0.1471	✓	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.22605	0.216252	-4.33%	0.19739	-12.68%	0.1068	✓	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.22024	0.210584	-4.38%	0.200525	-8.95%	0.0700	✓	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.19005	0.180861	-4.83%	0.200605	+5.55%	0.0645	✗	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.18005	0.174599	-3.03%	0.206865	+14.89%	0.1538	✗	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.24832	0.236402	-4.80%	0.19963	-19.61%	0.1731	✓	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.29724	0.26804	-9.82%	0.20361	-31.50%	0.3133	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.18078	0.173109	-4.24%	0.219995	+21.69%	0.1848	✗	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.17941	0.171354	-4.49%	0.2512	+40.01%	0.2936	✗	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.17572	0.168459	-4.13%	0.25513	+45.19%	0.3521	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.18519	0.173547	-6.29%	0.25496	+37.67%	0.2558	✗	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.17241	0.163419	-5.22%	0.27403	+58.94%	0.4052	✗	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.16176	0.153672	-5.00%	0.27135	+67.75%	0.4499	✗	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.16878	0.159131	-5.72%	0.28986	+71.74%	0.4833	✗	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.17473	0.163774	-6.27%	0.28383	+62.44%	0.4294	✗	1.00
2026-04-07	oos	0.17153	0.161315	-5.96%	0.27438	+59.96%	0.4245	✗	1.00
2026-04-06	oos	0.17115	0.15955	-6.78%	0.26746	+56.27%	0.3488	✗	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.19287	0.177411	-8.02%	0.283635	+47.06%	0.3101	✗	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.16536	0.153267	-7.31%	0.26549	+60.55%	0.3783	✗	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.14425	0.134094	-7.04%	0.25235	+74.94%	0.4725	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.