PIVX

PIVX · native · beta_5y

token id: #982
symbol: PIVX
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-07-03
predictions: 2,472

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

58.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3739

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0613

actual -0.0794

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.045113	0.036258	-19.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-10-20	oos	0.044303	0.035753	-19.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-10-19	oos	0.038908	0.032627	-16.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.21
2026-10-18	oos	0.040121	0.03347	-16.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.20
2026-10-17	oos	0.041976	0.034774	-17.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.21
2026-10-16	oos	0.04214	0.034985	-16.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.21
2026-10-15	oos	0.040984	0.034322	-16.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.21
2026-10-14	oos	0.042723	0.035615	-16.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.22
2026-10-13	oos	0.048539	0.039345	-18.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.15
2026-10-12	oos	0.048982	0.039743	-18.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.15
2026-10-11	oos	0.051192	0.040949	-20.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.14
2026-10-10	oos	0.055342	0.04368	-21.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.20
2026-10-09	oos	0.047817	0.038588	-19.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.19
2026-10-08	oos	0.048636	0.03911	-19.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.20
2026-10-07	oos	0.051425	0.040767	-20.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.18
2026-10-06	oos	0.063034	0.049202	-21.94%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-05	oos	0.064795	0.05024	-22.46%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-04	oos	0.048757	0.038887	-20.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.10
2026-10-03	oos	0.063282	0.049846	-21.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.23
2026-10-02	oos	0.07724	0.059484	-22.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.23
2026-10-01	oos	0.065312	0.051452	-21.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-09-30	oos	0.06345	0.049762	-21.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-09-29	oos	0.057817	0.045244	-21.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.20
2026-09-28	oos	0.039594	0.032393	-18.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.31
2026-09-27	oos	0.020089	0.017668	-12.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-09-26	oos	0.019153	0.016953	-11.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-09-25	oos	0.019801	0.017344	-12.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.70
2026-09-24	oos	0.017977	0.016044	-10.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-09-23	oos	0.018474	0.016352	-11.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-22	oos	0.018867	0.016448	-12.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.60
2026-09-21	oos	0.022112	0.018939	-14.35%	0.045113	+104.02%	0.8859	✗	0.60
2026-09-20	oos	0.023916	0.020344	-14.94%	0.044303	+85.24%	0.7607	✗	0.81
2026-09-19	oos	0.02122	0.018351	-13.52%	0.038908	+83.36%	0.7454	✗	0.82
2026-09-18	oos	0.0217	0.018644	-14.08%	0.040121	+84.89%	0.7541	✗	0.88
2026-09-17	oos	0.021004	0.018285	-12.94%	0.041976	+99.85%	0.7734	✗	0.90
2026-09-16	oos	0.019977	0.017575	-12.02%	0.04214	+110.94%	0.8135	✗	0.90
2026-09-15	oos	0.018341	0.016445	-10.34%	0.040984	+123.46%	0.8322	✗	0.98
2026-09-14	oos	0.021357	0.018423	-13.74%	0.042723	+100.04%	0.8053	✗	0.84
2026-09-13	oos	0.021441	0.018445	-13.98%	0.048539	+126.39%	0.9013	✗	0.84
2026-09-12	oos	0.019998	0.017428	-12.85%	0.048982	+144.93%	0.9847	✗	0.86
2026-09-11	oos	0.016089	0.014791	-8.07%	0.051192	+218.18%	1.1715	✗	0.87
2026-09-10	oos	0.015435	0.014147	-8.34%	0.055342	+258.56%	1.2943	✗	0.87
2026-09-09	oos	0.014016	0.013086	-6.64%	0.047817	+241.15%	1.2442	✗	0.98
2026-09-08	oos	0.014106	0.013137	-6.87%	0.048636	+244.79%	1.2682	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.014333	0.013334	-6.97%	0.051425	+258.79%	1.2980	✗	1.01
2026-09-06	oos	0.015073	0.014073	-6.63%	0.063034	+318.19%	1.4368	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.016226	0.015145	-6.66%	0.064795	+299.34%	1.3821	✗	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.016043	0.015054	-6.17%	0.048757	+203.91%	1.0925	✗	1.01
2026-09-03	oos	0.016077	0.015439	-3.97%	0.063282	+293.63%	1.3676	✗	1.03
2026-09-02	oos	0.014557	0.013314	-8.54%	0.07724	+430.60%	1.6702	✗	0.99
2026-09-01	oos	0.013541	0.012275	-9.35%	0.065312	+382.33%	1.5798	✗	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.015959	0.015	-6.01%	0.06345	+297.58%	1.3919	✗	0.82
2026-08-30	oos	0.015231	0.014058	-7.70%	0.057817	+279.60%	1.3517	✗	0.84
2026-08-29	oos	0.015462	0.014334	-7.30%	0.039594	+156.07%	0.9646	✗	0.80
2026-08-28	oos	0.014379	0.013082	-9.02%	0.020089	+39.71%	0.3648	✗	0.79
2026-08-27	oos	0.014522	0.013595	-6.39%	0.019153	+31.89%	0.3019	✗	0.81
2026-08-26	oos	0.013992	0.012814	-8.42%	0.019801	+41.52%	0.3858	✗	0.79
2026-08-25	oos	0.017995	0.017113	-4.90%	0.017977	-0.10%	0.0110	✓	0.84
2026-08-24	oos	0.0149	0.013785	-7.49%	0.018474	+23.99%	0.2359	✗	0.86
2026-08-23	oos	0.01409	0.012644	-10.26%	0.018867	+33.90%	0.3128	✗	0.85
2026-08-22	oos	0.01252	0.011005	-12.10%	0.022112	+76.61%	0.6022	✗	0.82
2026-08-21	oos	0.01168	0.010368	-11.24%	0.023916	+104.76%	0.8051	✗	0.86
2026-08-20	oos	0.01182	0.010459	-11.51%	0.02122	+79.53%	0.6022	✗	0.99
2026-08-19	oos	0.011425	0.010351	-9.40%	0.0217	+89.93%	0.5854	✗	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	0.01161	0.01081	-6.89%	0.021004	+80.91%	0.4705	✗	1.17
2026-08-17	oos	0.0103	0.009891	-3.97%	0.019977	+93.95%	0.5075	✗	1.18
2026-08-16	oos	0.00951	0.009398	-1.17%	0.018341	+92.86%	0.4641	✗	1.11
2026-08-15	oos	0.01287	0.012704	-1.29%	0.021357	+65.94%	0.2826	✗	1.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.01516	0.015037	-0.81%	0.021441	+41.43%	0.1338	✗	1.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.01864	0.018487	-0.82%	0.019998	+7.29%	0.1316	✓	1.06
2026-08-12	oos	0.02256	0.022149	-1.82%	0.016089	-28.68%	0.5459	✓	1.15
2026-08-11	oos	0.02393	0.023331	-2.50%	0.015435	-35.50%	0.6327	✓	1.18
2026-08-10	oos	0.02418	0.023586	-2.45%	0.014016	-42.03%	0.7617	✓	1.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.02524	0.024549	-2.74%	0.014106	-44.11%	0.7763	✓	1.17
2026-08-08	oos	0.02708	0.026012	-3.94%	0.014333	-47.07%	0.8286	✓	1.18
2026-08-07	oos	0.02744	0.02627	-4.26%	0.015073	-45.07%	0.8045	✓	1.17
2026-08-06	oos	0.02886	0.027329	-5.31%	0.016226	-43.78%	0.7798	✓	1.19
2026-08-05	oos	0.02835	0.026875	-5.20%	0.016043	-43.41%	0.7661	✓	1.19
2026-08-04	oos	0.02711	0.025822	-4.75%	0.016077	-40.70%	0.7448	✓	1.14
2026-08-03	oos	0.02921	0.027475	-5.94%	0.014557	-50.16%	0.8660	✓	1.17
2026-08-02	oos	0.03281	0.030411	-7.31%	0.013541	-58.73%	1.0459	✓	1.20
2026-08-01	oos	0.03275	0.03033	-7.39%	0.015959	-51.27%	0.9160	✓	1.22
2026-07-31	oos	0.0324	0.030116	-7.05%	0.015231	-52.99%	0.9403	✓	1.22
2026-07-30	oos	0.03269	0.030728	-6.00%	0.015462	-52.70%	0.9258	✓	1.26
2026-07-29	oos	0.03295	0.03101	-5.89%	0.014379	-56.36%	1.0180	✓	1.26
2026-07-28	oos	0.03401	0.032191	-5.35%	0.014522	-57.30%	1.0856	✓	1.26
2026-07-27	oos	0.03427	0.032652	-4.72%	0.013992	-59.17%	1.1202	✓	1.26
2026-07-26	oos	0.03537	0.034663	-2.00%	0.017995	-49.12%	0.8933	✓	1.29
2026-07-25	oos	0.0352	0.034394	-2.29%	0.0149	-57.67%	1.1064	✓	1.31
2026-07-24	oos	0.03414	0.033519	-1.82%	0.01409	-58.73%	1.1186	✓	1.31
2026-07-23	oos	0.0343	0.034363	+0.18%	0.01252	-63.50%	1.2311	✗	1.31
2026-07-22	oos	0.03457	0.035305	+2.13%	0.01168	-66.21%	1.3287	✗	1.31
2026-07-21	oos	0.03553	0.03661	+3.04%	0.01182	-66.73%	1.2524	✗	1.31
2026-07-20	oos	0.03587	0.036536	+1.86%	0.011425	-68.15%	1.2424	✗	1.31
2026-07-19	oos	0.03523	0.035786	+1.58%	0.01161	-67.05%	1.1257	✗	1.31
2026-07-18	oos	0.03624	0.036932	+1.91%	0.0103	-71.58%	1.2706	✗	1.29
2026-07-17	oos	0.03704	0.037474	+1.17%	0.00951	-74.33%	1.3495	✗	1.31
2026-07-16	oos	0.03687	0.037356	+1.32%	0.01287	-65.09%	1.0503	✗	1.29
2026-07-15	oos	0.0371	0.037926	+2.23%	0.01516	-59.14%	0.8829	✗	1.25
2026-07-14	oos	0.03683	0.037802	+2.64%	0.01864	-49.39%	0.6765	✗	1.26
2026-07-13	oos	0.03589	0.036163	+0.76%	0.02256	-37.14%	0.4954	✗	1.29
2026-07-12	oos	0.03833	0.038955	+1.63%	0.02393	-37.57%	0.4831	✗	1.28
2026-07-11	oos	0.03828	0.03896	+1.78%	0.02418	-36.83%	0.4797	✗	1.25
2026-07-10	oos	0.03912	0.039837	+1.83%	0.02524	-35.48%	0.4704	✗	1.26
2026-07-09	oos	0.03771	0.03838	+1.78%	0.02708	-28.19%	0.3827	✗	1.25
2026-07-08	oos	0.03957	0.039907	+0.85%	0.02744	-30.65%	0.4280	✗	1.28
2026-07-07	oos	0.03778	0.038585	+2.13%	0.02886	-23.61%	0.3099	✗	1.32
2026-07-06	oos	0.04255	0.04293	+0.89%	0.02835	-33.37%	0.4271	✗	1.30
2026-07-05	oos	0.04148	0.041958	+1.15%	0.02711	-34.64%	0.4460	✗	1.27
2026-07-04	oos	0.04232	0.042561	+0.57%	0.02921	-30.98%	0.3841	✗	1.27
2026-07-03	oos	0.03966	0.040165	+1.27%	0.03281	-17.27%	0.2215	✗	1.23
2026-07-02	oos	0.04057	0.040799	+0.56%	0.03275	-19.28%	0.2456	✗	1.26
2026-07-01	oos	0.04463	0.043863	-1.72%	0.0324	-27.40%	0.3659	✓	1.35
2026-06-30	oos	0.03787	0.03767	-0.53%	0.03269	-13.68%	0.2666	✓	1.24
2026-06-29	oos	0.04009	0.040115	+0.06%	0.03295	-17.81%	0.2706	✗	1.23
2026-06-28	oos	0.04282	0.042377	-1.03%	0.03401	-20.57%	0.3093	✓	1.26
2026-06-27	oos	0.05542	0.051769	-6.59%	0.03427	-38.16%	0.4859	✓	1.21
2026-06-26	oos	0.0338	0.033883	+0.24%	0.03537	+4.64%	0.0606	✗	1.22
2026-06-25	oos	0.03696	0.037059	+0.27%	0.0352	-4.76%	0.1427	✗	1.23
2026-06-24	oos	0.03498	0.03553	+1.57%	0.03414	-2.40%	0.1027	✗	1.27
2026-06-23	oos	0.03711	0.038086	+2.63%	0.0343	-7.57%	0.1518	✗	1.25
2026-06-22	oos	0.03903	0.040152	+2.88%	0.03457	-11.43%	0.1904	✗	1.24
2026-06-21	oos	0.0392	0.04033	+2.88%	0.03553	-9.36%	0.1896	✗	1.24
2026-06-20	oos	0.04471	0.045401	+1.54%	0.03587	-19.77%	0.2538	✗	1.19
2026-06-19	oos	0.04323	0.044062	+1.93%	0.03523	-18.51%	0.2456	✗	1.16
2026-06-18	oos	0.04402	0.044798	+1.77%	0.03624	-17.67%	0.2470	✗	1.17
2026-06-17	oos	0.05114	0.050917	-0.44%	0.03704	-27.57%	0.3088	✓	1.09
2026-06-16	oos	0.05156	0.051251	-0.60%	0.03687	-28.49%	0.2982	✓	1.09
2026-06-15	oos	0.05157	0.051251	-0.62%	0.0371	-28.06%	0.2974	✓	1.08
2026-06-14	oos	0.05117	0.050854	-0.62%	0.03683	-28.02%	0.3109	✓	1.07
2026-06-13	oos	0.05121	0.0508	-0.80%	0.03589	-29.92%	0.3110	✓	1.07
2026-06-12	oos	0.04976	0.049409	-0.71%	0.03833	-22.97%	0.2572	✓	1.04
2026-06-11	oos	0.05155	0.050652	-1.74%	0.03828	-25.74%	0.2835	✓	1.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.04929	0.048659	-1.28%	0.03912	-20.63%	0.2623	✓	1.03
2026-06-09	oos	0.05016	0.04921	-1.89%	0.03771	-24.82%	0.2908	✓	1.03
2026-06-08	oos	0.05223	0.050613	-3.10%	0.03957	-24.24%	0.2325	✓	1.03
2026-06-07	oos	0.05182	0.050073	-3.37%	0.03778	-27.09%	0.2820	✓	1.03
2026-06-06	oos	0.0503	0.048897	-2.79%	0.04255	-15.41%	0.1923	✓	1.06
2026-06-05	oos	0.05147	0.049807	-3.23%	0.04148	-19.41%	0.2268	✓	1.07
2026-06-04	oos	0.05671	0.053777	-5.17%	0.04232	-25.37%	0.2282	✓	1.01
2026-06-03	oos	0.05891	0.055304	-6.12%	0.03966	-32.68%	0.3085	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.0563	0.053091	-5.70%	0.04057	-27.94%	0.1796	✓	1.11
2026-06-01	oos	0.06186	0.057196	-7.54%	0.04463	-27.85%	0.0733	✓	1.01
2026-05-31	oos	0.06074	0.056147	-7.56%	0.03787	-37.65%	0.1523	✓	1.06
2026-05-30	oos	0.0611	0.056495	-7.54%	0.04009	-34.39%	0.1295	✓	1.05
2026-05-29	oos	0.06045	0.055998	-7.37%	0.04282	-29.16%	0.0439	✓	1.07
2026-05-28	oos	0.05848	0.054248	-7.24%	0.05542	-5.23%	0.2419	✗	1.08
2026-05-27	oos	0.06173	0.057466	-6.91%	0.0338	-45.25%	0.3037	✓	1.06
2026-05-26	oos	0.06274	0.059002	-5.96%	0.03696	-41.09%	0.2117	✓	1.07
2026-05-25	oos	0.06585	0.062356	-5.31%	0.03498	-46.88%	0.3209	✓	1.09
2026-05-24	oos	0.06597	0.062419	-5.38%	0.03711	-43.75%	0.2959	✓	1.09
2026-05-23	oos	0.065	0.061591	-5.24%	0.03903	-39.95%	0.2618	✓	1.07
2026-05-22	oos	0.06289	0.059629	-5.19%	0.0392	-37.67%	0.2309	✓	1.07
2026-05-21	oos	0.06719	0.063675	-5.23%	0.04471	-33.46%	0.1563	✓	1.05
2026-05-20	oos	0.06825	0.064305	-5.78%	0.04323	-36.66%	0.1881	✓	1.05
2026-05-19	oos	0.0635	0.060326	-5.00%	0.04402	-30.68%	0.1089	✓	1.03
2026-05-18	oos	0.06566	0.062157	-5.34%	0.05114	-22.11%	0.0108	✓	1.04
2026-05-17	oos	0.06633	0.062814	-5.30%	0.05156	-22.27%	0.0264	✓	1.03
2026-05-16	oos	0.06748	0.063905	-5.30%	0.05157	-23.58%	0.0446	✓	1.03
2026-05-15	oos	0.06585	0.063002	-4.32%	0.05117	-22.29%	0.0127	✓	1.06
2026-05-14	oos	0.07439	0.069998	-5.90%	0.05121	-31.16%	0.0824	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.07085	0.067041	-5.38%	0.04976	-29.77%	0.0815	✓	0.98
2026-05-12	oos	0.07454	0.069967	-6.13%	0.05155	-30.84%	0.0811	✓	0.95
2026-05-11	oos	0.07391	0.069759	-5.62%	0.04929	-33.31%	0.0791	✓	0.94
2026-05-10	oos	0.07985	0.074585	-6.59%	0.05016	-37.18%	0.1291	✓	0.93
2026-05-09	oos	0.08007	0.074327	-7.17%	0.05223	-34.77%	0.1217	✓	0.94
2026-05-08	oos	0.07902	0.073412	-7.10%	0.05182	-34.42%	0.1295	✓	0.93
2026-05-07	oos	0.08028	0.074513	-7.18%	0.0503	-37.34%	0.1431	✓	0.91
2026-05-06	oos	0.07661	0.072325	-5.59%	0.05147	-32.82%	0.1210	✓	0.76
2026-05-05	oos	0.07632	0.072117	-5.51%	0.05671	-25.69%	0.0513	✓	0.80
2026-05-04	oos	0.07301	0.069522	-4.78%	0.05891	-19.31%	0.0083	✓	0.79
2026-05-03	oos	0.06969	0.067018	-3.83%	0.0563	-19.21%	0.0457	✓	0.78
2026-05-02	oos	0.06908	0.067112	-2.85%	0.06186	-10.45%	0.0057	✓	0.77
2026-05-01	oos	0.06633	0.065395	-1.41%	0.06074	-8.43%	0.0267	✓	0.77
2026-04-30	oos	0.06506	0.064274	-1.21%	0.0611	-6.09%	0.0239	✓	0.79
2026-04-29	oos	0.0651	0.064784	-0.49%	0.06045	-7.14%	0.0439	✓	0.79
2026-04-28	oos	0.06576	0.066326	+0.86%	0.05848	-11.07%	0.0968	✗	0.78
2026-04-27	oos	0.07142	0.072427	+1.41%	0.06173	-13.57%	0.1290	✗	0.77
2026-04-26	oos	0.0752	0.076957	+2.34%	0.06274	-16.57%	0.1764	✗	0.76
2026-04-25	oos	0.07447	0.076051	+2.12%	0.06585	-11.58%	0.1401	✗	0.76
2026-04-24	oos	0.07791	0.079179	+1.63%	0.06597	-15.33%	0.1776	✗	0.79
2026-04-23	oos	0.07757	0.079774	+2.84%	0.065	-16.20%	0.1882	✗	0.79
2026-04-22	oos	0.07755	0.079906	+3.04%	0.06289	-18.90%	0.2111	✗	0.79
2026-04-21	oos	0.07699	0.078286	+1.68%	0.06719	-12.73%	0.1652	✗	0.79
2026-04-20	oos	0.07787	0.078559	+0.89%	0.06825	-12.35%	0.1575	✗	0.80
2026-04-19	oos	0.07709	0.076621	-0.61%	0.0635	-17.63%	0.2195	✓	0.81
2026-04-18	oos	0.08054	0.080774	+0.29%	0.06566	-18.48%	0.2197	✗	0.79
2026-04-17	oos	0.07991	0.081231	+1.65%	0.06633	-16.99%	0.2058	✗	0.80
2026-04-16	oos	0.08209	0.081722	-0.45%	0.06748	-17.80%	0.2226	✓	0.81
2026-04-15	oos	0.08009	0.079948	-0.18%	0.06585	-17.78%	0.2385	✓	0.81
2026-04-14	oos	0.07965	0.079258	-0.49%	0.07439	-6.60%	0.1355	✓	0.81
2026-04-13	oos	0.092	0.089107	-3.14%	0.07085	-22.99%	0.2811	✓	0.82
2026-04-12	oos	0.08838	0.084737	-4.12%	0.07454	-15.66%	0.2371	✓	0.84
2026-04-11	oos	0.09402	0.090372	-3.88%	0.07391	-21.39%	0.2944	✓	0.83
2026-04-10	oos	0.08717	0.085039	-2.44%	0.07985	-8.40%	0.1614	✓	0.83
2026-04-09	oos	0.08639	0.083971	-2.80%	0.08007	-7.32%	0.1441	✓	0.83
2026-04-08	oos	0.08576	0.08338	-2.78%	0.07902	-7.86%	0.1536	✓	0.83
2026-04-07	oos	0.08944	0.086854	-2.89%	0.08028	-10.24%	0.1669	✓	0.83
2026-04-06	oos	0.08678	0.083471	-3.81%	0.07661	-11.72%	0.2255	✓	0.83
2026-04-05	oos	0.08602	0.082966	-3.55%	0.07632	-11.28%	0.2161	✓	0.83
2026-04-04	oos	0.08618	0.082422	-4.36%	0.07301	-15.28%	0.2643	✓	0.84
2026-04-03	oos	0.08498	0.081078	-4.59%	0.06969	-17.99%	0.2844	✓	0.83
2026-04-02	oos	0.08134	0.077839	-4.30%	0.06908	-15.07%	0.2547	✓	0.83
2026-04-01	oos	0.08276	0.079277	-4.21%	0.06633	-19.85%	0.2926	✓	0.82
2026-03-31	oos	0.07898	0.076268	-3.43%	0.06506	-17.62%	0.2520	✓	0.83
2026-03-30	oos	0.07689	0.07453	-3.07%	0.0651	-15.33%	0.2399	✓	0.83
2026-03-29	oos	0.07703	0.074757	-2.95%	0.06576	-14.63%	0.2483	✓	0.82
2026-03-28	oos	0.08307	0.080201	-3.45%	0.07142	-14.02%	0.2422	✓	0.82
2026-03-27	oos	0.08411	0.08117	-3.50%	0.0752	-10.59%	0.2158	✓	0.82
2026-03-26	oos	0.08724	0.084409	-3.24%	0.07447	-14.64%	0.2256	✓	0.83
2026-03-25	oos	0.09149	0.08849	-3.28%	0.07791	-14.84%	0.1952	✓	0.82
2026-03-24	oos	0.09081	0.088044	-3.05%	0.07757	-14.58%	0.2120	✓	0.82
2026-03-23	oos	0.09086	0.088088	-3.05%	0.07755	-14.65%	0.2080	✓	0.82
2026-03-22	oos	0.08763	0.084549	-3.52%	0.07699	-12.14%	0.1894	✓	0.81
2026-03-21	oos	0.08704	0.084318	-3.13%	0.07787	-10.54%	0.1578	✓	0.81
2026-03-20	oos	0.08914	0.086484	-2.98%	0.07709	-13.52%	0.1523	✓	0.81
2026-03-19	oos	0.08938	0.086381	-3.36%	0.08054	-9.89%	0.1349	✓	0.81
2026-03-18	oos	0.09038	0.087735	-2.93%	0.07991	-11.58%	0.1581	✓	0.82
2026-03-17	oos	0.09325	0.090704	-2.73%	0.08209	-11.97%	0.1134	✓	0.82
2026-03-16	oos	0.09123	0.089045	-2.39%	0.08009	-12.21%	0.1054	✓	0.83
2026-03-15	oos	0.09	0.087634	-2.63%	0.07965	-11.50%	0.1108	✓	0.83
2026-03-14	oos	0.09154	0.088409	-3.42%	0.092	+0.50%	0.0020	✓	0.86
2026-03-13	oos	0.08527	0.083325	-2.28%	0.08838	+3.65%	0.0612	✗	0.86
2026-03-12	oos	0.08602	0.083834	-2.54%	0.09402	+9.30%	0.0841	✗	0.86
2026-03-11	oos	0.08521	0.083504	-2.00%	0.08717	+2.30%	0.0094	✓	0.86
2026-03-10	oos	0.08005	0.079521	-0.66%	0.08639	+7.92%	0.0607	✗	0.85
2026-03-09	oos	0.07869	0.078075	-0.78%	0.08576	+8.98%	0.0614	✗	0.85
2026-03-08	oos	0.07509	0.074488	-0.80%	0.08944	+19.11%	0.1097	✗	0.85
2026-03-07	oos	0.07947	0.078524	-1.19%	0.08678	+9.20%	0.0802	✗	0.84
2026-03-06	oos	0.07877	0.078128	-0.81%	0.08602	+9.20%	0.0852	✗	0.84
2026-03-05	oos	0.08192	0.081281	-0.78%	0.08618	+5.20%	0.1023	✗	0.84
2026-03-04	oos	0.08571	0.084562	-1.34%	0.08498	-0.85%	0.0754	✗	0.86
2026-03-03	oos	0.08358	0.082218	-1.63%	0.08134	-2.68%	0.0080	✓	0.88
2026-03-02	oos	0.08372	0.082295	-1.70%	0.08276	-1.15%	0.0148	✓	0.88
2026-03-01	oos	0.08067	0.07928	-1.72%	0.07898	-2.09%	0.0353	✓	0.86
2026-02-28	oos	0.08629	0.083847	-2.83%	0.07689	-10.89%	0.0836	✓	0.86
2026-02-27	oos	0.08363	0.081521	-2.52%	0.07703	-7.89%	0.0579	✓	0.86
2026-02-26	oos	0.0854	0.083056	-2.74%	0.08307	-2.73%	0.0151	✓	0.86
2026-02-25	oos	0.08816	0.085026	-3.56%	0.08411	-4.59%	0.0101	✓	0.86
2026-02-24	oos	0.0815	0.079088	-2.96%	0.08724	+7.04%	0.0399	✗	0.82
2026-02-23	oos	0.0827	0.080248	-2.97%	0.09149	+10.63%	0.0521	✗	0.80
2026-02-22	oos	0.08618	0.083695	-2.88%	0.09081	+5.37%	0.0475	✗	0.81
2026-02-21	oos	0.08833	0.08547	-3.24%	0.09086	+2.86%	0.0275	✓	0.80
2026-02-20	oos	0.09057	0.087136	-3.79%	0.08763	-3.25%	0.0073	✓	0.79
2026-02-19	oos	0.08893	0.085942	-3.36%	0.08704	-2.13%	0.0097	✓	0.79
2026-02-18	oos	0.09045	0.087206	-3.59%	0.08914	-1.45%	0.0264	✓	0.81
2026-02-17	oos	0.0944	0.090337	-4.30%	0.08938	-5.32%	0.0391	✓	0.80
2026-02-16	oos	0.09606	0.091507	-4.74%	0.09038	-5.91%	0.0394	✓	0.79
2026-02-15	oos	0.09482	0.090504	-4.55%	0.09325	-1.66%	0.0276	✓	0.80
2026-02-14	oos	0.09884	0.093329	-5.58%	0.09123	-7.70%	0.0804	✓	0.82
2026-02-13	oos	0.09679	0.091779	-5.18%	0.09	-7.02%	0.0636	✓	0.78
2026-02-12	oos	0.09446	0.090181	-4.53%	0.09154	-3.09%	0.0426	✓	0.79
2026-02-11	oos	0.09184	0.088251	-3.91%	0.08527	-7.15%	0.0761	✓	0.74
2026-02-10	oos	0.09156	0.08823	-3.64%	0.08602	-6.05%	0.0447	✓	0.78
2026-02-09	oos	0.09423	0.090472	-3.99%	0.08521	-9.57%	0.0611	✓	0.77
2026-02-08	oos	0.09528	0.091606	-3.86%	0.08005	-15.98%	0.1313	✓	0.77
2026-02-07	oos	0.0984	0.09447	-3.99%	0.07869	-20.03%	0.1738	✓	0.76
2026-02-06	oos	0.0977	0.093834	-3.96%	0.07509	-23.14%	0.1728	✓	0.75
2026-02-05	oos	0.0963	0.094835	-1.52%	0.07947	-17.48%	0.2370	✓	0.88
2026-02-04	oos	0.1106	0.104354	-5.65%	0.07877	-28.78%	0.2217	✓	0.86
2026-02-03	oos	0.1139	0.106696	-6.32%	0.08192	-28.08%	0.2049	✓	0.91
2026-02-02	oos	0.1186	0.110287	-7.01%	0.08571	-27.73%	0.1784	✓	0.93
2026-02-01	oos	0.1225	0.114081	-6.87%	0.08358	-31.77%	0.2203	✓	0.77
2026-01-31	oos	0.1258	0.116946	-7.04%	0.08372	-33.45%	0.2463	✓	0.66
2026-01-30	oos	0.1377	0.127143	-7.67%	0.08067	-41.42%	0.3131	✓	0.58
2026-01-29	oos	0.143	0.132038	-7.67%	0.08629	-39.66%	0.2836	✓	0.61
2026-01-28	oos	0.1464	0.136515	-6.75%	0.08363	-42.88%	0.2866	✓	0.67
2026-01-27	oos	0.1603	0.148165	-7.57%	0.0854	-46.72%	0.3427	✓	0.75
2026-01-26	oos	0.1669	0.153268	-8.17%	0.08816	-47.18%	0.3615	✓	0.73
2026-01-25	oos	0.1611	0.148566	-7.78%	0.0815	-49.41%	0.3901	✓	0.70
2026-01-24	oos	0.1798	0.16375	-8.93%	0.0827	-54.00%	0.4784	✓	0.64
2026-01-23	oos	0.1858	0.168361	-9.39%	0.08618	-53.62%	0.4191	✓	0.89
2026-01-22	oos	0.1948	0.174505	-10.42%	0.08833	-54.66%	0.4334	✓	0.90
2026-01-21	oos	0.1784	0.162002	-9.19%	0.09057	-49.23%	0.3392	✓	0.89
2026-01-20	oos	0.1709	0.155884	-8.79%	0.08893	-47.96%	0.3187	✓	0.88
2026-01-19	oos	0.182	0.164294	-9.73%	0.09045	-50.30%	0.3148	✓	0.85
2026-01-18	oos	0.1597	0.147718	-7.50%	0.0944	-40.89%	0.1458	✓	0.92
2026-01-17	oos	0.1624	0.149626	-7.87%	0.09606	-40.85%	0.1504	✓	0.91
2026-01-16	oos	0.1802	0.161085	-10.61%	0.09482	-47.38%	0.2317	✓	0.91
2026-01-15	oos	0.1475	0.134428	-8.86%	0.09884	-32.99%	0.0218	✓	0.91
2026-01-14	oos	0.1489	0.133899	-10.07%	0.09679	-35.00%	0.0134	✓	0.91
2026-01-13	oos	0.1391	0.124873	-10.23%	0.09446	-32.09%	0.0405	✓	0.88
2026-01-12	oos	0.1286	0.118695	-7.70%	0.09184	-28.58%	0.0068	✓	0.86
2026-01-11	oos	0.1265	0.117972	-6.74%	0.09156	-27.62%	0.0036	✓	0.90
2026-01-10	oos	0.1302	0.120901	-7.14%	0.09423	-27.63%	0.0211	✓	0.90
2026-01-09	oos	0.1299	0.12121	-6.69%	0.09528	-26.65%	0.0113	✓	1.00
2026-01-08	oos	0.1312	0.122238	-6.83%	0.0984	-25.00%	0.0747	✗	1.07
2026-01-07	oos	0.1363	0.125864	-7.66%	0.0977	-28.32%	0.1268	✓	0.49
2026-01-06	oos	0.1419	0.13	-8.39%	0.0963	-32.14%	0.1371	✓	0.41
2026-01-05	oos	0.1341	0.123692	-7.76%	0.1106	-17.52%	0.0033	✓	0.43
2026-01-04	oos	0.1333	0.122978	-7.74%	0.1139	-14.55%	0.0125	✓	0.47
2026-01-03	oos	0.134	0.123095	-8.14%	0.1186	-11.49%	0.0303	✓	0.48
2026-01-02	oos	0.1299	0.119372	-8.10%	0.1225	-5.70%	0.0941	✗	0.43
2026-01-01	oos	0.1352	0.123326	-8.78%	0.1258	-6.95%	0.0763	✓	0.47
2025-12-31	oos	0.1293	0.119044	-7.93%	0.1377	+6.50%	0.1641	✗	0.47
2025-12-30	oos	0.1282	0.11789	-8.04%	0.143	+11.54%	0.2143	✗	0.47
2025-12-29	oos	0.1299	0.119273	-8.18%	0.1464	+12.70%	0.1920	✗	0.56
2025-12-28	oos	0.1288	0.118474	-8.02%	0.1603	+24.46%	0.2945	✗	0.56
2025-12-27	oos	0.1333	0.120854	-9.34%	0.1669	+25.21%	0.3201	✗	0.55
2025-12-26	oos	0.1217	0.112106	-7.88%	0.1611	+32.37%	0.3671	✗	0.54
2025-12-25	oos	0.1217	0.112068	-7.91%	0.1798	+47.74%	0.4611	✗	0.54
2025-12-24	oos	0.122	0.111493	-8.61%	0.1858	+52.30%	0.4993	✗	0.54
2025-12-23	oos	0.1237	0.113577	-8.18%	0.1948	+57.48%	0.5262	✗	0.58
2025-12-22	oos	0.1191	0.110753	-7.01%	0.1784	+49.79%	0.4714	✗	0.59
2025-12-21	oos	0.121	0.11265	-6.90%	0.1709	+41.24%	0.4190	✗	0.59
2025-12-20	oos	0.1284	0.11864	-7.60%	0.182	+41.74%	0.3987	✗	0.62
2025-12-19	oos	0.1234	0.114376	-7.31%	0.1597	+29.42%	0.2961	✗	0.62
2025-12-18	oos	0.1187	0.11091	-6.56%	0.1624	+36.82%	0.3165	✗	0.61
2025-12-17	oos	0.1248	0.11617	-6.91%	0.1802	+44.39%	0.3764	✗	0.61
2025-12-16	oos	0.1305	0.121366	-7.00%	0.1475	+13.03%	0.1446	✗	0.60
2025-12-15	oos	0.13	0.121127	-6.83%	0.1489	+14.54%	0.1373	✗	0.60
2025-12-14	oos	0.1399	0.12966	-7.32%	0.1391	-0.57%	0.0243	✓	0.59
2025-12-13	oos	0.1477	0.136703	-7.45%	0.1286	-12.93%	0.0669	✓	0.56
2025-12-12	oos	0.1524	0.140602	-7.74%	0.1265	-16.99%	0.1094	✓	0.57
2025-12-11	oos	0.1575	0.145567	-7.58%	0.1302	-17.33%	0.0984	✓	0.56
2025-12-10	oos	0.1591	0.146422	-7.97%	0.1299	-18.35%	0.1104	✓	0.56
2025-12-09	oos	0.1656	0.151552	-8.48%	0.1312	-20.77%	0.1341	✓	0.56
2025-12-08	oos	0.1606	0.146508	-8.77%	0.1363	-15.13%	0.0760	✓	0.55
2025-12-07	oos	0.16	0.146095	-8.69%	0.1419	-11.31%	0.0491	✓	0.55
2025-12-06	oos	0.1638	0.148953	-9.06%	0.1341	-18.13%	0.1337	✓	0.57
2025-12-05	oos	0.1537	0.141039	-8.24%	0.1333	-13.27%	0.0699	✓	0.57
2025-12-04	oos	0.1695	0.154701	-8.73%	0.134	-20.94%	0.1352	✓	0.51
2025-12-03	oos	0.1707	0.156119	-8.54%	0.1299	-23.90%	0.1643	✓	0.51
2025-12-02	oos	0.1695	0.155011	-8.55%	0.1352	-20.24%	0.1217	✓	0.53
2025-12-01	oos	0.165	0.151103	-8.42%	0.1293	-21.64%	0.1633	✓	0.54
2025-11-30	oos	0.1765	0.161547	-8.47%	0.1282	-27.37%	0.2204	✓	0.49
2025-11-29	oos	0.1739	0.160169	-7.90%	0.1299	-25.30%	0.1893	✓	0.48
2025-11-28	oos	0.1872	0.171283	-8.50%	0.1288	-31.20%	0.2685	✓	0.49
2025-11-27	oos	0.196	0.178031	-9.17%	0.1333	-31.99%	0.2704	✓	0.48
2025-11-26	oos	0.2004	0.180869	-9.75%	0.1217	-39.27%	0.3769	✓	0.54
2025-11-25	oos	0.2034	0.183645	-9.71%	0.1217	-40.17%	0.4104	✓	0.59
2025-11-24	oos	0.2118	0.189771	-10.40%	0.122	-42.40%	0.4375	✓	0.58
2025-11-23	oos	0.2164	0.19298	-10.82%	0.1237	-42.84%	0.4491	✓	0.62
2025-11-22	oos	0.22	0.196036	-10.89%	0.1191	-45.86%	0.5301	✓	0.71
2025-11-21	oos	0.2207	0.195955	-11.21%	0.121	-45.17%	0.5115	✓	0.71
2025-11-20	oos	0.2542	0.218103	-14.20%	0.1284	-49.49%	0.5434	✓	0.67
2025-11-19	oos	0.264	0.223032	-15.52%	0.1234	-53.26%	0.5655	✓	0.70
2025-11-18	oos	0.2603	0.218227	-16.16%	0.1187	-54.40%	0.5487	✓	0.72
2025-11-17	oos	0.251	0.210939	-15.96%	0.1248	-50.28%	0.4765	✓	0.73
2025-11-16	oos	0.2828	0.22762	-19.51%	0.1305	-53.85%	0.5074	✓	0.70
2025-11-15	oos	0.2202	0.18733	-14.93%	0.13	-40.96%	0.2858	✓	0.79
2025-11-14	oos	0.2065	0.178758	-13.43%	0.1399	-32.25%	0.1914	✓	0.77
2025-11-13	oos	0.1977	0.171857	-13.07%	0.1477	-25.29%	0.0635	✓	0.89
2025-11-12	oos	0.2388	0.201541	-15.60%	0.1524	-36.18%	0.1852	✓	0.80
2025-11-11	oos	0.2335	0.199195	-14.69%	0.1575	-32.55%	0.1487	✓	0.80
2025-11-10	oos	0.241	0.204795	-15.02%	0.1591	-33.98%	0.1408	✓	0.79
2025-11-09	oos	0.2682	0.223788	-16.56%	0.1656	-38.26%	0.1985	✓	0.84
2025-11-08	oos	0.2763	0.229473	-16.95%	0.1606	-41.87%	0.2497	✓	0.89
2025-11-07	oos	0.2973	0.243575	-18.07%	0.16	-46.18%	0.3045	✓	0.87
2025-11-06	oos	0.3066	0.249787	-18.53%	0.1638	-46.58%	0.3072	✓	0.91
2025-11-05	oos	0.344	0.27439	-20.24%	0.1537	-55.32%	0.4541	✓	0.83
2025-11-04	oos	0.331	0.259761	-21.52%	0.1695	-48.79%	0.3454	✓	0.84
2025-11-03	oos	0.2923	0.235959	-19.28%	0.1707	-41.60%	0.1783	✓	1.11
2025-11-02	oos	0.2623	0.216504	-17.46%	0.1695	-35.38%	0.0042	✓	1.30
2025-11-01	oos	0.2884	0.230061	-20.23%	0.165	-42.79%	0.0078	✓	1.33
2025-10-31	oos	0.2412	0.201743	-16.36%	0.1765	-26.82%	0.1176	✓	1.31
2025-10-30	oos	0.2135	0.183973	-13.83%	0.1739	-18.55%	0.1670	✗	1.27
2025-10-29	oos	0.2633	0.216223	-17.88%	0.1872	-28.90%	0.0840	✓	1.19
2025-10-28	oos	0.2569	0.210468	-18.07%	0.196	-23.71%	0.1959	✓	1.26
2025-10-27	oos	0.233	0.194541	-16.51%	0.2004	-13.99%	0.3303	✗	1.30
2025-10-26	oos	0.2427	0.195029	-19.64%	0.2034	-16.19%	0.3925	✗	1.29
2025-10-25	oos	0.1694	0.15251	-9.97%	0.2118	+25.03%	0.5612	✗	0.99
2025-10-24	oos	0.1667	0.150981	-9.43%	0.2164	+29.81%	0.6063	✗	1.00
2025-10-23	oos	0.1684	0.152109	-9.67%	0.22	+30.64%	0.6342	✗	1.01
2025-10-22	oos	0.164	0.148594	-9.39%	0.2207	+34.57%	0.6347	✗	1.02
2025-10-21	oos	0.1681	0.152228	-9.44%	0.2542	+51.22%	0.7396	✗	1.01
2025-10-20	oos	0.1826	0.163137	-10.66%	0.264	+44.58%	0.6675	✗	0.98
2025-10-19	oos	0.1846	0.164233	-11.03%	0.2603	+41.01%	0.6094	✗	0.95
2025-10-18	oos	0.1778	0.159528	-10.28%	0.251	+41.17%	0.5963	✗	0.94
2025-10-17	oos	0.1755	0.157935	-10.01%	0.2828	+61.14%	0.6972	✗	0.94
2025-10-16	oos	0.1772	0.159743	-9.85%	0.2202	+24.27%	0.4375	✗	0.94
2025-10-15	oos	0.1795	0.162941	-9.23%	0.2065	+15.04%	0.3881	✗	0.95
2025-10-14	oos	0.1959	0.175567	-10.38%	0.1977	+0.92%	0.2320	✗	0.89
2025-10-13	oos	0.2198	0.192898	-12.24%	0.2388	+8.64%	0.3159	✗	0.81
2025-10-12	oos	0.2327	0.199613	-14.22%	0.2335	+0.34%	0.2458	✗	0.80
2025-10-11	oos	0.2065	0.179739	-12.96%	0.241	+16.71%	0.3225	✗	0.66
2025-10-10	oos	0.2455	0.203769	-17.00%	0.2682	+9.25%	0.3145	✗	0.52
2025-10-09	oos	0.1897	0.166035	-12.47%	0.2763	+45.65%	0.8120	✗	1.74
2025-10-08	oos	0.1442	0.137417	-4.70%	0.2973	+106.17%	1.1179	✗	1.95
2025-10-07	oos	0.1348	0.129903	-3.63%	0.3066	+127.45%	1.1945	✗	1.85
2025-10-06	oos	0.1445	0.139982	-3.13%	0.344	+138.06%	1.2162	✗	1.73
2025-10-05	oos	0.1413	0.137526	-2.67%	0.331	+134.25%	1.2246	✗	1.76
2025-10-04	oos	0.1597	0.149838	-6.18%	0.2923	+83.03%	0.9183	✗	1.80
2025-10-03	oos	0.1405	0.136022	-3.19%	0.2623	+86.69%	0.8398	✗	1.81
2025-10-02	oos	0.1343	0.130399	-2.90%	0.2884	+114.74%	0.9582	✗	1.79
2025-10-01	oos	0.1329	0.128046	-3.65%	0.2412	+81.49%	0.7793	✗	1.83
2025-09-30	oos	0.1204	0.11563	-3.96%	0.2135	+77.33%	0.7049	✗	1.77
2025-09-29	oos	0.1214	0.116347	-4.16%	0.2633	+116.89%	0.8858	✗	1.79
2025-09-28	oos	0.1237	0.117674	-4.87%	0.2569	+107.68%	0.7690	✗	1.86
2025-09-27	oos	0.1203	0.113784	-5.42%	0.233	+93.68%	0.6430	✗	1.87
2025-09-26	oos	0.1198	0.113237	-5.48%	0.2427	+102.59%	0.6810	✗	1.88
2025-09-25	oos	0.1167	0.110355	-5.44%	0.1694	+45.16%	0.3838	✗	1.88
2025-09-24	oos	0.1243	0.118403	-4.74%	0.1667	+34.11%	0.3812	✗	1.90
2025-09-23	oos	0.1231	0.11689	-5.04%	0.1684	+36.80%	0.3979	✗	1.92
2025-09-22	oos	0.1243	0.118176	-4.93%	0.164	+31.94%	0.4157	✗	1.88
2025-09-21	oos	0.1337	0.12735	-4.75%	0.1681	+25.73%	0.3916	✗	1.84
2025-09-20	oos	0.1364	0.129852	-4.80%	0.1826	+33.87%	0.4314	✗	1.98
2025-09-19	oos	0.1333	0.126923	-4.78%	0.1846	+38.48%	0.4988	✗	1.99
2025-09-18	oos	0.1416	0.134618	-4.93%	0.1778	+25.56%	0.4522	✗	1.97
2025-09-17	oos	0.1427	0.135315	-5.18%	0.1755	+22.99%	0.4380	✗	1.98

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.