PIVX

PIVX · native · beta_5y

token id: #982
symbol: PIVX
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-07-03
predictions: 2,472

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

57.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0508

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0074

actual -0.0022

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.045113	0.044451	-1.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-10-20	oos	0.044303	0.043635	-1.51%	0.045113	+1.83%	0.0301	✗	0.25
2026-10-19	oos	0.038908	0.038641	-0.69%	0.044303	+13.86%	0.1339	✗	0.21
2026-10-18	oos	0.040121	0.039835	-0.71%	0.038908	-3.02%	0.0231	✓	0.20
2026-10-17	oos	0.041976	0.041608	-0.88%	0.040121	-4.42%	0.0380	✓	0.21
2026-10-16	oos	0.04214	0.041802	-0.80%	0.041976	-0.39%	0.0045	✓	0.21
2026-10-15	oos	0.040984	0.040767	-0.53%	0.04214	+2.82%	0.0347	✗	0.21
2026-10-14	oos	0.042723	0.042464	-0.61%	0.040984	-4.07%	0.0370	✓	0.22
2026-10-13	oos	0.048539	0.047913	-1.29%	0.042723	-11.98%	0.1119	✓	0.15
2026-10-12	oos	0.048982	0.048391	-1.21%	0.048539	-0.90%	0.0006	✓	0.15
2026-10-11	oos	0.051192	0.050445	-1.46%	0.048982	-4.32%	0.0262	✓	0.14
2026-10-10	oos	0.055342	0.054208	-2.05%	0.051192	-7.50%	0.0591	✓	0.20
2026-10-09	oos	0.047817	0.047207	-1.28%	0.055342	+15.74%	0.1581	✗	0.19
2026-10-08	oos	0.048636	0.048044	-1.22%	0.047817	-1.68%	0.0068	✓	0.20
2026-10-07	oos	0.051425	0.050735	-1.34%	0.048636	-5.42%	0.0388	✓	0.18
2026-10-06	oos	0.063034	0.06182	-1.93%	0.051425	-18.42%	0.1844	✓	-0.01
2026-10-05	oos	0.064795	0.063077	-2.65%	0.063034	-2.72%	0.0008	✓	-0.04
2026-10-04	oos	0.048757	0.048113	-1.32%	0.064795	+32.89%	0.2986	✗	0.10
2026-10-03	oos	0.063282	0.062226	-1.67%	0.048757	-22.95%	0.2488	✓	0.23
2026-10-02	oos	0.07724	0.074967	-2.94%	0.063282	-18.07%	0.1701	✓	0.23
2026-10-01	oos	0.065312	0.063797	-2.32%	0.07724	+18.26%	0.1923	✗	0.27
2026-09-30	oos	0.06345	0.061621	-2.88%	0.065312	+2.93%	0.0543	✗	0.25
2026-09-29	oos	0.057817	0.055688	-3.68%	0.06345	+9.74%	0.1307	✗	0.20
2026-09-28	oos	0.039594	0.037999	-4.03%	0.057817	+46.02%	0.4190	✗	0.31
2026-09-27	oos	0.020089	0.019857	-1.16%	0.039594	+97.09%	0.6977	✗	0.64
2026-09-26	oos	0.019153	0.018969	-0.96%	0.020089	+4.89%	0.0570	✗	0.63
2026-09-25	oos	0.019801	0.01957	-1.17%	0.019153	-3.27%	0.0242	✓	0.70
2026-09-24	oos	0.017977	0.01783	-0.82%	0.019801	+10.15%	0.1071	✗	0.66
2026-09-23	oos	0.018474	0.018319	-0.84%	0.017977	-2.69%	0.0189	✓	0.65
2026-09-22	oos	0.018867	0.018702	-0.87%	0.018474	-2.08%	0.0006	✓	0.60
2026-09-21	oos	0.022112	0.021859	-1.14%	0.018867	-14.68%	0.1445	✓	0.60
2026-09-20	oos	0.023916	0.023573	-1.43%	0.022112	-7.54%	0.1165	✓	0.81
2026-09-19	oos	0.02122	0.02099	-1.08%	0.023916	+12.70%	0.1312	✗	0.82
2026-09-18	oos	0.0217	0.021435	-1.22%	0.02122	-2.21%	0.0140	✓	0.88
2026-09-17	oos	0.021004	0.020757	-1.18%	0.0217	+3.31%	0.0075	✓	0.90
2026-09-16	oos	0.019977	0.019763	-1.07%	0.021004	+5.14%	0.0585	✗	0.90
2026-09-15	oos	0.018341	0.01821	-0.71%	0.019977	+8.92%	0.0854	✗	0.98
2026-09-14	oos	0.021357	0.02111	-1.16%	0.018341	-14.12%	0.1121	✓	0.84
2026-09-13	oos	0.021441	0.021135	-1.43%	0.021357	-0.39%	0.0045	✓	0.84
2026-09-12	oos	0.019998	0.01967	-1.64%	0.021441	+7.22%	0.0914	✗	0.86
2026-09-11	oos	0.016089	0.015949	-0.87%	0.019998	+24.30%	0.2256	✗	0.87
2026-09-10	oos	0.015435	0.01529	-0.94%	0.016089	+4.24%	0.0433	✗	0.87
2026-09-09	oos	0.014016	0.013927	-0.64%	0.015435	+10.12%	0.1248	✗	0.98
2026-09-08	oos	0.014106	0.014011	-0.67%	0.014016	-0.63%	0.0025	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.014333	0.014229	-0.73%	0.014106	-1.58%	0.0004	✓	1.01
2026-09-06	oos	0.015073	0.014975	-0.65%	0.014333	-4.91%	0.0282	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.016226	0.016118	-0.66%	0.015073	-7.10%	0.0734	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.016043	0.015934	-0.68%	0.016226	+1.13%	0.0161	✗	1.01
2026-09-03	oos	0.016077	0.015984	-0.57%	0.016043	-0.21%	0.0240	✗	1.03
2026-09-02	oos	0.014557	0.014425	-0.91%	0.016077	+10.44%	0.0591	✗	0.99
2026-09-01	oos	0.013541	0.013435	-0.79%	0.014557	+7.50%	0.0814	✗	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.015959	0.015827	-0.83%	0.013541	-15.15%	0.1438	✓	0.82
2026-08-30	oos	0.015231	0.015092	-0.91%	0.015959	+4.78%	0.0462	✗	0.84
2026-08-29	oos	0.015462	0.015307	-1.00%	0.015231	-1.49%	0.0008	✓	0.80
2026-08-28	oos	0.014379	0.014234	-1.01%	0.015462	+7.53%	0.0788	✗	0.79
2026-08-27	oos	0.014522	0.014392	-0.90%	0.014379	-0.98%	0.0242	✗	0.81
2026-08-26	oos	0.013992	0.01387	-0.87%	0.014522	+3.79%	0.0335	✗	0.79
2026-08-25	oos	0.017995	0.017749	-1.37%	0.013992	-22.25%	0.2432	✓	0.84
2026-08-24	oos	0.0149	0.014706	-1.30%	0.017995	+20.77%	0.2068	✗	0.86
2026-08-23	oos	0.01409	0.013881	-1.48%	0.0149	+5.75%	0.0573	✗	0.85
2026-08-22	oos	0.01252	0.012363	-1.26%	0.01409	+12.54%	0.1236	✗	0.82
2026-08-21	oos	0.01168	0.011574	-0.90%	0.01252	+7.19%	0.0927	✗	0.86
2026-08-20	oos	0.01182	0.011765	-0.46%	0.01168	-1.18%	0.0766	✓	0.99
2026-08-19	oos	0.011425	0.011437	+0.11%	0.01182	+3.46%	0.0194	✗	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	0.01161	0.011657	+0.40%	0.011425	-1.59%	0.1006	✗	1.17
2026-08-17	oos	0.0103	0.01041	+1.07%	0.01161	+12.72%	0.1054	✓	1.18
2026-08-16	oos	0.00951	0.009654	+1.51%	0.0103	+8.31%	0.0363	✓	1.11
2026-08-15	oos	0.01287	0.012977	+0.83%	0.00951	-26.11%	0.3076	✗	1.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.01516	0.015222	+0.41%	0.01287	-15.11%	0.1686	✗	1.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.01864	0.018637	-0.02%	0.01516	-18.67%	0.1989	✓	1.06
2026-08-12	oos	0.02256	0.022493	-0.30%	0.01864	-17.38%	0.1881	✓	1.15
2026-08-11	oos	0.02393	0.023839	-0.38%	0.02256	-5.73%	0.0529	✓	1.18
2026-08-10	oos	0.02418	0.024095	-0.35%	0.02393	-1.03%	0.0002	✓	1.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.02524	0.025147	-0.37%	0.02418	-4.20%	0.0222	✓	1.17
2026-08-08	oos	0.02708	0.026951	-0.48%	0.02524	-6.79%	0.0645	✓	1.18
2026-08-07	oos	0.02744	0.027309	-0.48%	0.02708	-1.31%	0.0087	✓	1.17
2026-08-06	oos	0.02886	0.028693	-0.58%	0.02744	-4.92%	0.0562	✓	1.19
2026-08-05	oos	0.02835	0.028195	-0.55%	0.02886	+1.80%	0.0295	✗	1.19
2026-08-04	oos	0.02711	0.027	-0.40%	0.02835	+4.57%	0.0390	✗	1.14
2026-08-03	oos	0.02921	0.029061	-0.51%	0.02711	-7.19%	0.0802	✓	1.17
2026-08-02	oos	0.03281	0.032578	-0.71%	0.02921	-10.97%	0.1085	✓	1.20
2026-08-01	oos	0.03275	0.032519	-0.71%	0.03281	+0.18%	0.0053	✓	1.22
2026-07-31	oos	0.0324	0.032186	-0.66%	0.03275	+1.08%	0.0186	✗	1.22
2026-07-30	oos	0.03269	0.032492	-0.60%	0.0324	-0.89%	0.0346	✗	1.26
2026-07-29	oos	0.03295	0.032759	-0.58%	0.03269	-0.79%	0.0183	✓	1.26
2026-07-28	oos	0.03401	0.033809	-0.59%	0.03295	-3.12%	0.0267	✓	1.26
2026-07-27	oos	0.03427	0.034079	-0.56%	0.03401	-0.76%	0.0051	✓	1.26
2026-07-26	oos	0.03537	0.03519	-0.51%	0.03427	-3.11%	0.0065	✗	1.29
2026-07-25	oos	0.0352	0.035014	-0.53%	0.03537	+0.48%	0.0111	✓	1.31
2026-07-24	oos	0.03414	0.033989	-0.44%	0.0352	+3.10%	0.0307	✗	1.31
2026-07-23	oos	0.0343	0.034178	-0.36%	0.03414	-0.47%	0.0185	✗	1.31
2026-07-22	oos	0.03457	0.034471	-0.29%	0.0343	-0.78%	0.0157	✗	1.31
2026-07-21	oos	0.03553	0.035426	-0.29%	0.03457	-2.70%	0.0160	✓	1.31
2026-07-20	oos	0.03587	0.035754	-0.32%	0.03553	-0.95%	0.0323	✓	1.31
2026-07-19	oos	0.03523	0.035131	-0.28%	0.03587	+1.82%	0.0101	✗	1.31
2026-07-18	oos	0.03624	0.036136	-0.29%	0.03523	-2.79%	0.0231	✓	1.29
2026-07-17	oos	0.03704	0.036914	-0.34%	0.03624	-2.16%	0.0368	✓	1.31
2026-07-16	oos	0.03687	0.036751	-0.32%	0.03704	+0.46%	0.0053	✗	1.29
2026-07-15	oos	0.0371	0.036993	-0.29%	0.03687	-0.62%	0.0151	✗	1.25
2026-07-14	oos	0.03683	0.036734	-0.26%	0.0371	+0.73%	0.0152	✗	1.26
2026-07-13	oos	0.03589	0.035799	-0.25%	0.03683	+2.62%	0.0268	✓	1.29
2026-07-12	oos	0.03833	0.038221	-0.28%	0.03589	-6.37%	0.0331	✓	1.28
2026-07-11	oos	0.03828	0.038178	-0.27%	0.03833	+0.13%	0.0046	✗	1.25
2026-07-10	oos	0.03912	0.039006	-0.29%	0.03828	-2.15%	0.0118	✓	1.26
2026-07-09	oos	0.03771	0.037625	-0.22%	0.03912	+3.74%	0.0202	✗	1.25
2026-07-08	oos	0.03957	0.03945	-0.30%	0.03771	-4.70%	0.0643	✓	1.28
2026-07-07	oos	0.03778	0.037714	-0.18%	0.03957	+4.74%	0.0708	✗	1.32
2026-07-06	oos	0.04255	0.042403	-0.35%	0.03778	-11.21%	0.1016	✓	1.30
2026-07-05	oos	0.04148	0.041351	-0.31%	0.04255	+2.58%	0.0203	✗	1.27
2026-07-04	oos	0.04232	0.04216	-0.38%	0.04148	-1.98%	0.0262	✓	1.27
2026-07-03	oos	0.03966	0.039558	-0.26%	0.04232	+6.71%	0.0564	✗	1.23
2026-07-02	oos	0.04057	0.040448	-0.30%	0.03966	-2.24%	0.0407	✓	1.26
2026-07-01	oos	0.04463	0.044357	-0.61%	0.04057	-9.10%	0.1231	✓	1.35
2026-06-30	oos	0.03787	0.037761	-0.29%	0.04463	+17.85%	0.1371	✗	1.24
2026-06-29	oos	0.04009	0.039969	-0.30%	0.03787	-5.54%	0.0201	✓	1.23
2026-06-28	oos	0.04282	0.04263	-0.44%	0.04009	-6.38%	0.0759	✓	1.26
2026-06-27	oos	0.05542	0.054357	-1.92%	0.04282	-22.74%	0.2293	✓	1.21
2026-06-26	oos	0.0338	0.033737	-0.19%	0.05542	+63.96%	0.4977	✗	1.22
2026-06-25	oos	0.03696	0.036848	-0.30%	0.0338	-8.55%	0.0925	✓	1.23
2026-06-24	oos	0.03498	0.034937	-0.12%	0.03696	+5.66%	0.0832	✗	1.27
2026-06-23	oos	0.03711	0.037069	-0.11%	0.03498	-5.74%	0.0244	✓	1.25
2026-06-22	oos	0.03903	0.038987	-0.11%	0.03711	-4.92%	0.0238	✓	1.24
2026-06-21	oos	0.0392	0.039171	-0.07%	0.03903	-0.43%	0.0176	✓	1.24
2026-06-20	oos	0.04471	0.044613	-0.22%	0.0392	-12.32%	0.1110	✓	1.19
2026-06-19	oos	0.04323	0.043169	-0.14%	0.04471	+3.42%	0.0214	✗	1.16
2026-06-18	oos	0.04402	0.043965	-0.12%	0.04323	-1.79%	0.0279	✓	1.17
2026-06-17	oos	0.05114	0.050968	-0.34%	0.04402	-13.92%	0.1198	✓	1.09
2026-06-16	oos	0.05156	0.05138	-0.35%	0.05114	-0.81%	0.0149	✗	1.09
2026-06-15	oos	0.05157	0.051379	-0.37%	0.05156	-0.02%	0.0143	✗	1.08
2026-06-14	oos	0.05117	0.05098	-0.37%	0.05157	+0.78%	0.0023	✓	1.07
2026-06-13	oos	0.05121	0.051004	-0.40%	0.05117	-0.08%	0.0177	✓	1.07
2026-06-12	oos	0.04976	0.04959	-0.34%	0.05121	+2.91%	0.0177	✗	1.04
2026-06-11	oos	0.05155	0.051323	-0.44%	0.04976	-3.47%	0.0305	✓	1.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.04929	0.049123	-0.34%	0.05155	+4.59%	0.0132	✗	1.03
2026-06-09	oos	0.05016	0.049989	-0.34%	0.04929	-1.73%	0.0101	✓	1.03
2026-06-08	oos	0.05223	0.051971	-0.50%	0.05016	-3.96%	0.0126	✓	1.03
2026-06-07	oos	0.05182	0.051553	-0.52%	0.05223	+0.79%	0.0170	✗	1.03
2026-06-06	oos	0.0503	0.05011	-0.38%	0.05182	+3.02%	0.0081	✓	1.06
2026-06-05	oos	0.05147	0.051298	-0.33%	0.0503	-2.27%	0.0165	✓	1.07
2026-06-04	oos	0.05671	0.056413	-0.52%	0.05147	-9.24%	0.0470	✓	1.01
2026-06-03	oos	0.05891	0.058527	-0.65%	0.05671	-3.73%	0.0279	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.0563	0.056029	-0.48%	0.05891	+4.64%	0.0945	✗	1.11
2026-06-01	oos	0.06186	0.061413	-0.72%	0.0563	-8.99%	0.0189	✓	1.01
2026-05-31	oos	0.06074	0.060324	-0.68%	0.06186	+1.84%	0.0581	✗	1.06
2026-05-30	oos	0.0611	0.06067	-0.70%	0.06074	-0.59%	0.0039	✓	1.05
2026-05-29	oos	0.06045	0.06004	-0.68%	0.0611	+1.08%	0.0116	✗	1.07
2026-05-28	oos	0.05848	0.058132	-0.60%	0.06045	+3.37%	0.0413	✗	1.08
2026-05-27	oos	0.06173	0.061351	-0.61%	0.05848	-5.26%	0.0364	✓	1.06
2026-05-26	oos	0.06274	0.062386	-0.56%	0.06173	-1.61%	0.0110	✗	1.07
2026-05-25	oos	0.06585	0.065439	-0.62%	0.06274	-4.72%	0.0219	✓	1.09
2026-05-24	oos	0.06597	0.065538	-0.66%	0.06585	-0.18%	0.0009	✓	1.09
2026-05-23	oos	0.065	0.064603	-0.61%	0.06597	+1.49%	0.0164	✗	1.07
2026-05-22	oos	0.06289	0.062582	-0.49%	0.065	+3.36%	0.0210	✗	1.07
2026-05-21	oos	0.06719	0.066765	-0.63%	0.06289	-6.40%	0.0310	✓	1.05
2026-05-20	oos	0.06825	0.067758	-0.72%	0.06719	-1.55%	0.0094	✓	1.05
2026-05-19	oos	0.0635	0.063175	-0.51%	0.06825	+7.48%	0.0678	✗	1.03
2026-05-18	oos	0.06566	0.065297	-0.55%	0.0635	-3.29%	0.0255	✓	1.04
2026-05-17	oos	0.06633	0.065954	-0.57%	0.06566	-1.01%	0.0018	✓	1.03
2026-05-16	oos	0.06748	0.067101	-0.56%	0.06633	-1.70%	0.0023	✓	1.03
2026-05-15	oos	0.06585	0.065577	-0.42%	0.06748	+2.48%	0.0414	✗	1.06
2026-05-14	oos	0.07439	0.073867	-0.70%	0.06585	-11.48%	0.0896	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.07085	0.070469	-0.54%	0.07439	+5.00%	0.0323	✗	0.98
2026-05-12	oos	0.07454	0.07406	-0.64%	0.07085	-4.95%	0.0301	✓	0.95
2026-05-11	oos	0.07391	0.073485	-0.57%	0.07454	+0.85%	0.0287	✗	0.94
2026-05-10	oos	0.07985	0.079266	-0.73%	0.07391	-7.44%	0.0646	✓	0.93
2026-05-09	oos	0.08007	0.079461	-0.76%	0.07985	-0.27%	0.0129	✓	0.94
2026-05-08	oos	0.07902	0.078318	-0.89%	0.08007	+1.33%	0.0167	✗	0.93
2026-05-07	oos	0.08028	0.079618	-0.83%	0.07902	-1.57%	0.0096	✓	0.91
2026-05-06	oos	0.07661	0.07599	-0.81%	0.08028	+4.79%	0.0684	✗	0.76
2026-05-05	oos	0.07632	0.07572	-0.79%	0.07661	+0.38%	0.0065	✓	0.80
2026-05-04	oos	0.07301	0.072493	-0.71%	0.07632	+4.53%	0.0411	✗	0.79
2026-05-03	oos	0.06969	0.069324	-0.53%	0.07301	+4.76%	0.0390	✗	0.78
2026-05-02	oos	0.06908	0.068754	-0.47%	0.06969	+0.88%	0.0147	✗	0.77
2026-05-01	oos	0.06633	0.066142	-0.28%	0.06908	+4.15%	0.0391	✗	0.77
2026-04-30	oos	0.06506	0.064934	-0.19%	0.06633	+1.95%	0.0015	✓	0.79
2026-04-29	oos	0.0651	0.065019	-0.12%	0.06506	-0.06%	0.0051	✓	0.79
2026-04-28	oos	0.06576	0.065736	-0.04%	0.0651	-1.00%	0.0039	✓	0.78
2026-04-27	oos	0.07142	0.071355	-0.09%	0.06576	-7.92%	0.0712	✓	0.77
2026-04-26	oos	0.0752	0.075107	-0.12%	0.07142	-5.03%	0.0377	✓	0.76
2026-04-25	oos	0.07447	0.074373	-0.13%	0.0752	+0.98%	0.0011	✓	0.76
2026-04-24	oos	0.07791	0.077732	-0.23%	0.07447	-4.42%	0.0448	✓	0.79
2026-04-23	oos	0.07757	0.077418	-0.20%	0.07791	+0.44%	0.0146	✗	0.79
2026-04-22	oos	0.07755	0.077382	-0.22%	0.07757	+0.03%	0.0017	✓	0.79
2026-04-21	oos	0.07699	0.076772	-0.28%	0.07755	+0.73%	0.0090	✓	0.79
2026-04-20	oos	0.07787	0.077608	-0.34%	0.07699	-1.13%	0.0131	✓	0.80
2026-04-19	oos	0.07709	0.076808	-0.37%	0.07787	+1.01%	0.0084	✓	0.81
2026-04-18	oos	0.08054	0.080215	-0.40%	0.07709	-4.28%	0.0195	✓	0.79
2026-04-17	oos	0.07991	0.079618	-0.37%	0.08054	+0.79%	0.0257	✗	0.80
2026-04-16	oos	0.08209	0.081718	-0.45%	0.07991	-2.66%	0.0430	✓	0.81
2026-04-15	oos	0.08009	0.079785	-0.38%	0.08209	+2.50%	0.0249	✗	0.81
2026-04-14	oos	0.07965	0.079368	-0.35%	0.08009	+0.55%	0.0019	✓	0.81
2026-04-13	oos	0.092	0.091423	-0.63%	0.07965	-13.42%	0.1349	✓	0.82
2026-04-12	oos	0.08838	0.08791	-0.53%	0.092	+4.10%	0.0025	✓	0.84
2026-04-11	oos	0.09402	0.093318	-0.75%	0.08838	-6.00%	0.0273	✓	0.83
2026-04-10	oos	0.08717	0.08666	-0.58%	0.09402	+7.86%	0.0805	✗	0.83
2026-04-09	oos	0.08639	0.085924	-0.54%	0.08717	+0.90%	0.0007	✓	0.83
2026-04-08	oos	0.08576	0.085345	-0.48%	0.08639	+0.73%	0.0039	✓	0.83
2026-04-07	oos	0.08944	0.08889	-0.61%	0.08576	-4.11%	0.0263	✓	0.83
2026-04-06	oos	0.08678	0.086275	-0.58%	0.08944	+3.07%	0.0001	✓	0.83
2026-04-05	oos	0.08602	0.085541	-0.56%	0.08678	+0.88%	0.0162	✗	0.83
2026-04-04	oos	0.08618	0.085656	-0.61%	0.08602	-0.19%	0.0168	✓	0.84
2026-04-03	oos	0.08498	0.084433	-0.64%	0.08618	+1.41%	0.0164	✗	0.83
2026-04-02	oos	0.08134	0.080838	-0.62%	0.08498	+4.48%	0.0492	✗	0.83
2026-04-01	oos	0.08276	0.082257	-0.61%	0.08134	-1.72%	0.0037	✓	0.82
2026-03-31	oos	0.07898	0.078599	-0.48%	0.08276	+4.79%	0.0529	✗	0.83
2026-03-30	oos	0.07689	0.076552	-0.44%	0.07898	+2.72%	0.0131	✗	0.83
2026-03-29	oos	0.07703	0.076762	-0.35%	0.07689	-0.18%	0.0080	✓	0.82
2026-03-28	oos	0.08307	0.082675	-0.48%	0.07703	-7.27%	0.0662	✓	0.82
2026-03-27	oos	0.08411	0.083735	-0.45%	0.08307	-1.24%	0.0076	✓	0.82
2026-03-26	oos	0.08724	0.086842	-0.46%	0.08411	-3.59%	0.0024	✓	0.83
2026-03-25	oos	0.09149	0.090998	-0.54%	0.08724	-4.65%	0.0126	✓	0.82
2026-03-24	oos	0.09081	0.090342	-0.51%	0.09149	+0.75%	0.0038	✓	0.82
2026-03-23	oos	0.09086	0.090351	-0.56%	0.09081	-0.06%	0.0090	✗	0.82
2026-03-22	oos	0.08763	0.087157	-0.54%	0.09086	+3.69%	0.0062	✗	0.81
2026-03-21	oos	0.08704	0.086637	-0.46%	0.08763	+0.68%	0.0241	✗	0.81
2026-03-20	oos	0.08914	0.088709	-0.48%	0.08704	-2.36%	0.0006	✓	0.81
2026-03-19	oos	0.08938	0.088936	-0.50%	0.08914	-0.27%	0.0044	✓	0.81
2026-03-18	oos	0.09038	0.089929	-0.50%	0.08938	-1.11%	0.0093	✗	0.82
2026-03-17	oos	0.09325	0.092723	-0.56%	0.09038	-3.08%	0.0049	✓	0.82
2026-03-16	oos	0.09123	0.090748	-0.53%	0.09325	+2.21%	0.0379	✗	0.83
2026-03-15	oos	0.09	0.089533	-0.52%	0.09123	+1.37%	0.0045	✓	0.83
2026-03-14	oos	0.09154	0.090919	-0.68%	0.09	-1.68%	0.0292	✓	0.86
2026-03-13	oos	0.08527	0.084842	-0.50%	0.09154	+7.35%	0.0725	✗	0.86
2026-03-12	oos	0.08602	0.085388	-0.73%	0.08527	-0.87%	0.0064	✓	0.86
2026-03-11	oos	0.08521	0.084709	-0.59%	0.08602	+0.95%	0.0114	✗	0.86
2026-03-10	oos	0.08005	0.079757	-0.37%	0.08521	+6.45%	0.0631	✗	0.85
2026-03-09	oos	0.07869	0.078409	-0.36%	0.08005	+1.73%	0.0018	✓	0.85
2026-03-08	oos	0.07509	0.074858	-0.31%	0.07869	+4.79%	0.0188	✗	0.85
2026-03-07	oos	0.07947	0.079191	-0.35%	0.07509	-5.51%	0.0369	✓	0.84
2026-03-06	oos	0.07877	0.078536	-0.30%	0.07947	+0.89%	0.0224	✗	0.84
2026-03-05	oos	0.08192	0.081662	-0.31%	0.07877	-3.85%	0.0024	✓	0.84
2026-03-04	oos	0.08571	0.085365	-0.40%	0.08192	-4.42%	0.0197	✓	0.86
2026-03-03	oos	0.08358	0.083257	-0.39%	0.08571	+2.55%	0.0251	✓	0.88
2026-03-02	oos	0.08372	0.083389	-0.40%	0.08358	-0.17%	0.0086	✗	0.88
2026-03-01	oos	0.08067	0.080406	-0.33%	0.08372	+3.78%	0.0012	✓	0.86
2026-02-28	oos	0.08629	0.085876	-0.48%	0.08067	-6.51%	0.0469	✓	0.86
2026-02-27	oos	0.08363	0.083292	-0.40%	0.08629	+3.18%	0.0211	✗	0.86
2026-02-26	oos	0.0854	0.085022	-0.44%	0.08363	-2.07%	0.0044	✗	0.86
2026-02-25	oos	0.08816	0.087647	-0.58%	0.0854	-3.13%	0.0196	✓	0.86
2026-02-24	oos	0.0815	0.081189	-0.38%	0.08816	+8.17%	0.0335	✗	0.82
2026-02-23	oos	0.0827	0.082392	-0.37%	0.0815	-1.45%	0.0039	✓	0.80
2026-02-22	oos	0.08618	0.085855	-0.38%	0.0827	-4.04%	0.0009	✓	0.81
2026-02-21	oos	0.08833	0.087976	-0.40%	0.08618	-2.43%	0.0166	✓	0.80
2026-02-20	oos	0.09057	0.090165	-0.45%	0.08833	-2.47%	0.0202	✓	0.79
2026-02-19	oos	0.08893	0.088594	-0.38%	0.09057	+1.84%	0.0103	✗	0.79
2026-02-18	oos	0.09045	0.090108	-0.38%	0.08893	-1.68%	0.0199	✓	0.81
2026-02-17	oos	0.0944	0.09399	-0.43%	0.09045	-4.18%	0.0259	✓	0.80
2026-02-16	oos	0.09606	0.095615	-0.46%	0.0944	-1.73%	0.0034	✓	0.79
2026-02-15	oos	0.09482	0.094426	-0.42%	0.09606	+1.31%	0.0164	✗	0.80
2026-02-14	oos	0.09884	0.098315	-0.53%	0.09482	-4.07%	0.0244	✓	0.82
2026-02-13	oos	0.09679	0.096339	-0.47%	0.09884	+2.12%	0.0147	✗	0.78
2026-02-12	oos	0.09446	0.094106	-0.37%	0.09679	+2.47%	0.0023	✓	0.79
2026-02-11	oos	0.09184	0.091572	-0.29%	0.09446	+2.85%	0.0401	✗	0.74
2026-02-10	oos	0.09156	0.091357	-0.22%	0.09184	+0.31%	0.0256	✗	0.78
2026-02-09	oos	0.09423	0.094008	-0.24%	0.09156	-2.83%	0.0120	✓	0.77
2026-02-08	oos	0.09528	0.095082	-0.21%	0.09423	-1.10%	0.0070	✓	0.77
2026-02-07	oos	0.0984	0.098183	-0.22%	0.09528	-3.17%	0.0413	✓	0.76
2026-02-06	oos	0.0977	0.097491	-0.21%	0.0984	+0.72%	0.0230	✗	0.75
2026-02-05	oos	0.0963	0.096432	+0.14%	0.0977	+1.45%	0.0888	✗	0.88
2026-02-04	oos	0.1106	0.110291	-0.28%	0.0963	-12.93%	0.0062	✓	0.86
2026-02-03	oos	0.1139	0.113529	-0.33%	0.1106	-2.90%	0.0065	✗	0.91
2026-02-02	oos	0.1186	0.118118	-0.41%	0.1139	-3.96%	0.0001	✓	0.93
2026-02-01	oos	0.1225	0.122039	-0.38%	0.1186	-3.18%	0.0461	✓	0.77
2026-01-31	oos	0.1258	0.125302	-0.40%	0.1225	-2.62%	0.0078	✓	0.66
2026-01-30	oos	0.1377	0.136934	-0.56%	0.1258	-8.64%	0.0461	✓	0.58
2026-01-29	oos	0.143	0.142149	-0.60%	0.1377	-3.71%	0.0289	✓	0.61
2026-01-28	oos	0.1464	0.145629	-0.53%	0.143	-2.32%	0.0177	✗	0.67
2026-01-27	oos	0.1603	0.159185	-0.70%	0.1464	-8.67%	0.0841	✓	0.75
2026-01-26	oos	0.1669	0.165604	-0.78%	0.1603	-3.95%	0.0397	✓	0.73
2026-01-25	oos	0.1611	0.160065	-0.64%	0.1669	+3.60%	0.0283	✗	0.70
2026-01-24	oos	0.1798	0.178333	-0.82%	0.1611	-10.40%	0.0833	✓	0.64
2026-01-23	oos	0.1858	0.184122	-0.90%	0.1798	-3.23%	0.0198	✓	0.89
2026-01-22	oos	0.1948	0.192414	-1.22%	0.1858	-4.62%	0.0351	✓	0.90
2026-01-21	oos	0.1784	0.176576	-1.02%	0.1948	+9.19%	0.0972	✗	0.89
2026-01-20	oos	0.1709	0.169326	-0.92%	0.1784	+4.39%	0.0418	✗	0.88
2026-01-19	oos	0.182	0.17885	-1.73%	0.1709	-6.10%	0.0055	✓	0.85
2026-01-18	oos	0.1597	0.15845	-0.78%	0.182	+13.96%	0.1492	✗	0.92
2026-01-17	oos	0.1624	0.160956	-0.89%	0.1597	-1.66%	0.0063	✓	0.91
2026-01-16	oos	0.1802	0.176737	-1.92%	0.1624	-9.88%	0.0808	✓	0.91
2026-01-15	oos	0.1475	0.146023	-1.00%	0.1802	+22.17%	0.2111	✗	0.91
2026-01-14	oos	0.1489	0.147083	-1.22%	0.1475	-0.94%	0.0157	✗	0.91
2026-01-13	oos	0.1391	0.13725	-1.33%	0.1489	+7.05%	0.0672	✗	0.88
2026-01-12	oos	0.1286	0.127619	-0.76%	0.1391	+8.16%	0.0477	✗	0.86
2026-01-11	oos	0.1265	0.125686	-0.64%	0.1286	+1.66%	0.0198	✗	0.90
2026-01-10	oos	0.1302	0.129306	-0.69%	0.1265	-2.84%	0.0269	✓	0.90
2026-01-09	oos	0.1299	0.129078	-0.63%	0.1302	+0.23%	0.0102	✗	1.00
2026-01-08	oos	0.1312	0.130374	-0.63%	0.1299	-0.99%	0.0024	✓	1.07
2026-01-07	oos	0.1363	0.135332	-0.71%	0.1312	-3.74%	0.0296	✓	0.49
2026-01-06	oos	0.1419	0.140622	-0.90%	0.1363	-3.95%	0.0205	✓	0.41
2026-01-05	oos	0.1341	0.13309	-0.75%	0.1419	+5.82%	0.0648	✗	0.43
2026-01-04	oos	0.1333	0.132332	-0.73%	0.1341	+0.60%	0.0012	✓	0.47
2026-01-03	oos	0.134	0.132952	-0.78%	0.1333	-0.52%	0.0021	✓	0.48
2026-01-02	oos	0.1299	0.128968	-0.72%	0.134	+3.16%	0.0352	✗	0.43
2026-01-01	oos	0.1352	0.13402	-0.87%	0.1299	-3.92%	0.0376	✓	0.47
2025-12-31	oos	0.1293	0.128357	-0.73%	0.1352	+4.56%	0.0454	✗	0.47
2025-12-30	oos	0.1282	0.12726	-0.73%	0.1293	+0.86%	0.0207	✗	0.47
2025-12-29	oos	0.1299	0.128903	-0.77%	0.1282	-1.31%	0.0136	✓	0.56
2025-12-28	oos	0.1288	0.127808	-0.77%	0.1299	+0.85%	0.0211	✗	0.56
2025-12-27	oos	0.1333	0.131627	-1.25%	0.1288	-3.38%	0.0221	✓	0.55
2025-12-26	oos	0.1217	0.120841	-0.71%	0.1333	+9.53%	0.0950	✗	0.54
2025-12-25	oos	0.1217	0.120955	-0.61%	0.1217	+0.00%	0.0054	✓	0.54
2025-12-24	oos	0.122	0.121205	-0.65%	0.1217	-0.25%	0.0068	✗	0.54
2025-12-23	oos	0.1237	0.122836	-0.70%	0.122	-1.37%	0.0080	✓	0.58
2025-12-22	oos	0.1191	0.118509	-0.50%	0.1237	+3.86%	0.0504	✗	0.59
2025-12-21	oos	0.121	0.120406	-0.49%	0.1191	-1.57%	0.0104	✓	0.59
2025-12-20	oos	0.1284	0.127608	-0.62%	0.121	-5.76%	0.0554	✓	0.62
2025-12-19	oos	0.1234	0.122738	-0.54%	0.1284	+4.05%	0.0435	✗	0.62
2025-12-18	oos	0.1187	0.118236	-0.39%	0.1234	+3.96%	0.0244	✗	0.61
2025-12-17	oos	0.1248	0.124255	-0.44%	0.1187	-4.89%	0.0404	✓	0.61
2025-12-16	oos	0.1305	0.129878	-0.48%	0.1248	-4.37%	0.0286	✓	0.60
2025-12-15	oos	0.13	0.129465	-0.41%	0.1305	+0.38%	0.0019	✓	0.60
2025-12-14	oos	0.1399	0.139213	-0.49%	0.13	-7.08%	0.0567	✓	0.59
2025-12-13	oos	0.1477	0.146872	-0.56%	0.1399	-5.28%	0.0355	✓	0.56
2025-12-12	oos	0.1524	0.151471	-0.61%	0.1477	-3.08%	0.0251	✓	0.57
2025-12-11	oos	0.1575	0.156508	-0.63%	0.1524	-3.24%	0.0128	✓	0.56
2025-12-10	oos	0.1591	0.158105	-0.63%	0.1575	-1.01%	0.0069	✓	0.56
2025-12-09	oos	0.1656	0.164392	-0.73%	0.1591	-3.93%	0.0288	✓	0.56
2025-12-08	oos	0.1606	0.159522	-0.67%	0.1656	+3.11%	0.0251	✗	0.55
2025-12-07	oos	0.16	0.159027	-0.61%	0.1606	+0.38%	0.0083	✗	0.55
2025-12-06	oos	0.1638	0.162709	-0.67%	0.16	-2.32%	0.0240	✓	0.57
2025-12-05	oos	0.1537	0.152991	-0.46%	0.1638	+6.57%	0.0688	✗	0.57
2025-12-04	oos	0.1695	0.168398	-0.65%	0.1537	-9.32%	0.0758	✓	0.51
2025-12-03	oos	0.1707	0.169593	-0.65%	0.1695	-0.70%	0.0070	✗	0.51
2025-12-02	oos	0.1695	0.168498	-0.59%	0.1707	+0.71%	0.0008	✓	0.53
2025-12-01	oos	0.165	0.16423	-0.47%	0.1695	+2.73%	0.0012	✓	0.54
2025-11-30	oos	0.1765	0.175493	-0.57%	0.165	-6.52%	0.0390	✓	0.49
2025-11-29	oos	0.1739	0.173062	-0.48%	0.1765	+1.50%	0.0221	✗	0.48
2025-11-28	oos	0.1872	0.186124	-0.57%	0.1739	-7.10%	0.0675	✓	0.49
2025-11-27	oos	0.196	0.194711	-0.66%	0.1872	-4.49%	0.0371	✓	0.48
2025-11-26	oos	0.2004	0.198907	-0.75%	0.196	-2.20%	0.0198	✓	0.54
2025-11-25	oos	0.2034	0.20207	-0.65%	0.2004	-1.47%	0.0291	✓	0.59
2025-11-24	oos	0.2118	0.210249	-0.73%	0.2034	-3.97%	0.0269	✓	0.58
2025-11-23	oos	0.2164	0.214739	-0.77%	0.2118	-2.13%	0.0240	✓	0.62
2025-11-22	oos	0.22	0.218432	-0.71%	0.2164	-1.64%	0.0270	✓	0.71
2025-11-21	oos	0.2207	0.219245	-0.66%	0.22	-0.32%	0.0067	✗	0.71
2025-11-20	oos	0.2542	0.251544	-1.04%	0.2207	-13.18%	0.1194	✓	0.67
2025-11-19	oos	0.264	0.260793	-1.21%	0.2542	-3.71%	0.0134	✗	0.70
2025-11-18	oos	0.2603	0.256787	-1.35%	0.264	+1.42%	0.0391	✗	0.72
2025-11-17	oos	0.251	0.247893	-1.24%	0.2603	+3.71%	0.0424	✗	0.73
2025-11-16	oos	0.2828	0.2748	-2.83%	0.251	-11.24%	0.0749	✓	0.70
2025-11-15	oos	0.2202	0.217655	-1.16%	0.2828	+28.43%	0.2732	✗	0.79
2025-11-14	oos	0.2065	0.20492	-0.76%	0.2202	+6.63%	0.0634	✗	0.77
2025-11-13	oos	0.1977	0.196496	-0.61%	0.2065	+4.45%	0.0966	✗	0.89
2025-11-12	oos	0.2388	0.235643	-1.32%	0.1977	-17.21%	0.1596	✓	0.80
2025-11-11	oos	0.2335	0.231154	-1.00%	0.2388	+2.27%	0.0433	✗	0.80
2025-11-10	oos	0.241	0.238547	-1.02%	0.2335	-3.11%	0.0011	✓	0.79
2025-11-09	oos	0.2682	0.264726	-1.30%	0.241	-10.14%	0.1042	✓	0.84
2025-11-08	oos	0.2763	0.272889	-1.23%	0.2682	-2.93%	0.0380	✓	0.89
2025-11-07	oos	0.2973	0.293023	-1.44%	0.2763	-7.06%	0.0503	✓	0.87
2025-11-06	oos	0.3066	0.302315	-1.40%	0.2973	-3.03%	0.0344	✓	0.91
2025-11-05	oos	0.344	0.33738	-1.92%	0.3066	-10.87%	0.0747	✓	0.83
2025-11-04	oos	0.331	0.321986	-2.72%	0.344	+3.93%	0.0465	✗	0.84
2025-11-03	oos	0.2923	0.286745	-1.90%	0.331	+13.24%	0.1978	✗	1.11
2025-11-02	oos	0.2623	0.258408	-1.48%	0.2923	+11.44%	0.1710	✗	1.30
2025-11-01	oos	0.2884	0.280778	-2.64%	0.2623	-9.05%	0.0739	✓	1.33
2025-10-31	oos	0.2412	0.237382	-1.58%	0.2884	+19.57%	0.1888	✗	1.31
2025-10-30	oos	0.2135	0.211441	-0.96%	0.2412	+12.97%	0.1172	✗	1.27
2025-10-29	oos	0.2633	0.258822	-1.70%	0.2135	-18.91%	0.1736	✓	1.19
2025-10-28	oos	0.2569	0.250851	-2.35%	0.2633	+2.49%	0.0809	✗	1.26
2025-10-27	oos	0.233	0.227836	-2.22%	0.2569	+10.26%	0.1335	✗	1.30
2025-10-26	oos	0.2427	0.233325	-3.86%	0.233	-4.00%	0.0038	✓	1.29
2025-10-25	oos	0.1694	0.167779	-0.96%	0.2427	+43.27%	0.3440	✗	0.99
2025-10-24	oos	0.1667	0.16525	-0.87%	0.1694	+1.62%	0.0192	✗	1.00
2025-10-23	oos	0.1684	0.166964	-0.85%	0.1667	-1.01%	0.0100	✓	1.01
2025-10-22	oos	0.164	0.162825	-0.72%	0.1684	+2.68%	0.0100	✗	1.02
2025-10-21	oos	0.1681	0.166854	-0.74%	0.164	-2.44%	0.0100	✓	1.01
2025-10-20	oos	0.1826	0.180704	-1.04%	0.1681	-7.94%	0.0525	✓	0.98
2025-10-19	oos	0.1846	0.182627	-1.07%	0.1826	-1.08%	0.0165	✓	0.95
2025-10-18	oos	0.1778	0.176295	-0.85%	0.1846	+3.82%	0.0332	✗	0.94
2025-10-17	oos	0.1755	0.174065	-0.82%	0.1778	+1.31%	0.0147	✗	0.94
2025-10-16	oos	0.1772	0.17556	-0.93%	0.1755	-0.96%	0.0148	✗	0.94
2025-10-15	oos	0.1795	0.178078	-0.79%	0.1772	-1.28%	0.0177	✗	0.95
2025-10-14	oos	0.1959	0.193885	-1.03%	0.1795	-8.37%	0.0590	✓	0.89
2025-10-13	oos	0.2198	0.216166	-1.65%	0.1959	-10.87%	0.0827	✓	0.81
2025-10-12	oos	0.2327	0.226513	-2.66%	0.2198	-5.54%	0.0315	✓	0.80
2025-10-11	oos	0.2065	0.202158	-2.10%	0.2327	+12.69%	0.1156	✗	0.66
2025-10-10	oos	0.2455	0.236538	-3.65%	0.2065	-15.89%	0.1255	✓	0.52
2025-10-09	oos	0.1897	0.183523	-3.26%	0.2455	+29.41%	0.4205	✗	1.74
2025-10-08	oos	0.1442	0.142983	-0.84%	0.1897	+31.55%	0.3086	✗	1.95
2025-10-07	oos	0.1348	0.133963	-0.62%	0.1442	+6.97%	0.0441	✗	1.85
2025-10-06	oos	0.1445	0.143378	-0.78%	0.1348	-6.71%	0.0148	✓	1.73
2025-10-05	oos	0.1413	0.140185	-0.79%	0.1445	+2.26%	0.0133	✗	1.76
2025-10-04	oos	0.1597	0.15709	-1.63%	0.1413	-11.52%	0.1215	✓	1.80
2025-10-03	oos	0.1405	0.138984	-1.08%	0.1597	+13.67%	0.1369	✗	1.81
2025-10-02	oos	0.1343	0.133098	-0.90%	0.1405	+4.62%	0.0291	✗	1.79
2025-10-01	oos	0.1329	0.131555	-1.01%	0.1343	+1.05%	0.0093	✓	1.83
2025-09-30	oos	0.1204	0.119761	-0.53%	0.1329	+10.38%	0.0343	✗	1.77
2025-09-29	oos	0.1214	0.1207	-0.58%	0.1204	-0.82%	0.0022	✓	1.79
2025-09-28	oos	0.1237	0.12292	-0.63%	0.1214	-1.86%	0.0480	✓	1.86
2025-09-27	oos	0.1203	0.119581	-0.60%	0.1237	+2.83%	0.0086	✓	1.87
2025-09-26	oos	0.1198	0.119073	-0.61%	0.1203	+0.42%	0.0105	✗	1.88
2025-09-25	oos	0.1167	0.116134	-0.49%	0.1198	+2.66%	0.0197	✗	1.88
2025-09-24	oos	0.1243	0.123643	-0.53%	0.1167	-6.11%	0.0160	✗	1.90
2025-09-23	oos	0.1231	0.122379	-0.59%	0.1243	+0.97%	0.0071	✓	1.92
2025-09-22	oos	0.1243	0.123686	-0.49%	0.1231	-0.97%	0.0073	✗	1.88
2025-09-21	oos	0.1337	0.132977	-0.54%	0.1243	-7.03%	0.0264	✓	1.84
2025-09-20	oos	0.1364	0.135614	-0.58%	0.1337	-1.98%	0.0062	✓	1.98
2025-09-19	oos	0.1333	0.132622	-0.51%	0.1364	+2.33%	0.0270	✗	1.99
2025-09-18	oos	0.1416	0.140784	-0.58%	0.1333	-5.86%	0.0305	✓	1.97
2025-09-17	oos	0.1427	0.141803	-0.63%	0.1416	-0.77%	0.0122	✓	1.98

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.