MOE
MOE · Mantle · beta_5y
- token id
- #827
- symbol
- MOE
- variant
- –
- chain
- Mantle
- address
- 0x4515a45337f461a11ff0fe8abf3c606ae5dc00c9
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2024-11-29
- predictions
- 402
Track record at +30d
assessed
92
of 134 predictions shown
direction hit
84.8%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.8290
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.1980
actual -0.8731
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.000324 | 0.000225872 | -30.29% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.0003162 | 0.000215904 | -31.72% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.0003632 | 0.000255538 | -29.64% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.00035745 | 0.000241382 | -32.47% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.0004181 | 0.000288757 | -30.94% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.00043585 | 0.00029153 | -33.11% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.0004583 | 0.000295489 | -35.53% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.0004529 | 0.000277321 | -38.77% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.0004537 | 0.000268554 | -40.81% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.00055985 | 0.000341397 | -39.02% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.0006665 | 0.000407056 | -38.93% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.000703 | 0.00043467 | -38.17% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-08 | in | 0.00031 | 0.000304554 | -1.76% | – | pending | – | – | 2.03 |
| 2025-04-07 | in | 0.000317 | 0.00031144 | -1.75% | – | pending | – | – | 2.12 |
| 2025-04-06 | in | 0.0003192 | 0.000312351 | -2.15% | – | pending | – | – | 2.11 |
| 2025-04-05 | in | 0.0003977 | 0.000387058 | -2.68% | – | pending | – | – | 2.13 |
| 2025-04-04 | in | 0.0004024 | 0.000392331 | -2.50% | – | pending | – | – | 2.14 |
| 2025-04-03 | in | 0.0003984 | 0.000387179 | -2.82% | – | pending | – | – | 2.14 |
| 2025-04-02 | in | 0.000448 | 0.000431962 | -3.58% | – | pending | – | – | 2.20 |
| 2025-04-01 | in | 0.0004932 | 0.000473033 | -4.09% | – | pending | – | – | 2.30 |
| 2025-03-31 | in | 0.0004862 | 0.000465888 | -4.18% | – | pending | – | – | 2.32 |
| 2025-03-30 | in | 0.0004699 | 0.000451085 | -4.00% | – | pending | – | – | 2.31 |
| 2025-03-29 | in | 0.0004657 | 0.000446585 | -4.10% | – | pending | – | – | 2.28 |
| 2025-03-28 | in | 0.0005013 | 0.000477516 | -4.74% | – | pending | – | – | 2.34 |
| 2025-03-27 | in | 0.0005423 | 0.000512945 | -5.41% | – | pending | – | – | 2.40 |
| 2025-03-26 | in | 0.0005207 | 0.000491322 | -5.64% | – | pending | – | – | 2.28 |
| 2025-03-25 | in | 0.0005439 | 0.000513344 | -5.62% | – | pending | – | – | 2.30 |
| 2025-03-24 | in | 0.0005511 | 0.0005198 | -5.68% | – | pending | – | – | 2.29 |
| 2025-03-23 | in | 0.0005092 | 0.000479617 | -5.81% | – | pending | – | – | 2.23 |
| 2025-03-22 | in | 0.0005002 | 0.000465996 | -6.84% | – | pending | – | – | 2.23 |
| 2025-03-21 | in | 0.0004994 | 0.000461118 | -7.67% | – | pending | – | – | 2.17 |
| 2025-03-20 | in | 0.00055 | 0.000500137 | -9.07% | – | pending | – | – | 2.16 |
| 2025-03-19 | in | 0.000542 | 0.000490691 | -9.47% | – | pending | – | – | 2.20 |
| 2025-03-18 | in | 0.0004988 | 0.000454961 | -8.79% | – | pending | – | – | 2.32 |
| 2025-03-17 | in | 0.00051 | 0.000460236 | -9.76% | – | pending | – | – | 2.36 |
| 2025-03-16 | in | 0.0005015 | 0.000451758 | -9.92% | – | pending | – | – | 2.35 |
| 2025-03-15 | in | 0.0005216 | 0.000462233 | -11.38% | – | pending | – | – | 2.43 |
| 2025-03-14 | in | 0.0005378 | 0.000471512 | -12.33% | – | pending | – | – | 2.48 |
| 2025-03-13 | in | 0.0004904 | 0.000443627 | -9.54% | – | pending | – | – | 2.47 |
| 2025-03-12 | in | 0.0005142 | 0.000459179 | -10.70% | – | pending | – | – | 2.46 |
| 2025-03-11 | in | 0.0005339 | 0.000475907 | -10.86% | – | pending | – | – | 2.47 |
| 2025-03-10 | in | 0.0004858 | 0.000442867 | -8.84% | – | pending | – | – | 2.59 |
| 2025-03-09 | in | 0.00057 | 0.000506288 | -11.18% | 0.00031 | -45.61% | 0.3452 | ✓ | 2.56 |
| 2025-03-08 | in | 0.0005902 | 0.000510153 | -13.56% | 0.000317 | -46.29% | 0.2379 | ✓ | 2.78 |
| 2025-03-07 | in | 0.0006199 | 0.00053211 | -14.16% | 0.0003192 | -48.51% | 0.2225 | ✓ | 2.84 |
| 2025-03-06 | in | 0.0006305 | 0.000533037 | -15.46% | 0.0003977 | -36.92% | 0.0783 | ✓ | 2.89 |
| 2025-03-05 | in | 0.0006211 | 0.000522503 | -15.87% | 0.0004024 | -35.21% | 0.0403 | ✓ | 2.86 |
| 2025-03-04 | in | 0.0006649 | 0.000564054 | -15.17% | 0.0003984 | -40.08% | 0.2080 | ✓ | 2.92 |
| 2025-03-03 | in | 0.0006283 | 0.000537344 | -14.48% | 0.000448 | -28.70% | 0.0649 | ✓ | 2.69 |
| 2025-03-02 | in | 0.0008278 | 0.000672101 | -18.81% | 0.0004932 | -40.42% | 0.0371 | ✓ | 2.68 |
| 2025-03-01 | in | 0.00068 | 0.000584035 | -14.11% | 0.0004862 | -28.50% | 0.0732 | ✓ | 2.66 |
| 2025-02-28 | in | 0.00071 | 0.000612815 | -13.69% | 0.0004699 | -33.82% | 0.2010 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2025-02-27 | in | 0.0005911 | 0.000516887 | -12.56% | 0.0004657 | -21.21% | 0.0360 | ✓ | 2.84 |
| 2025-02-26 | in | 0.000648 | 0.000564077 | -12.95% | 0.0005013 | -22.64% | 0.1271 | ✓ | 2.86 |
| 2025-02-25 | in | 0.0005906 | 0.000513246 | -13.10% | 0.0005423 | -8.18% | 0.1045 | ✓ | 3.18 |
| 2025-02-24 | in | 0.0006898 | 0.000594287 | -13.85% | 0.0005207 | -24.51% | 0.0306 | ✓ | 3.17 |
| 2025-02-23 | in | 0.0007556 | 0.00064169 | -15.08% | 0.0005439 | -28.02% | 0.1523 | ✓ | 3.30 |
| 2025-02-22 | in | 0.00079 | 0.000671474 | -15.00% | 0.0005511 | -30.24% | 0.1273 | ✓ | 3.30 |
| 2025-02-21 | in | 0.000801 | 0.000684064 | -14.60% | 0.0005092 | -36.43% | 0.0694 | ✓ | 3.30 |
| 2025-02-20 | in | 0.00082 | 0.000696177 | -15.10% | 0.0005002 | -39.00% | 0.2032 | ✗ | 3.35 |
| 2025-02-19 | in | 0.00068 | 0.000584507 | -14.04% | 0.0004994 | -26.56% | 0.2985 | ✗ | 3.27 |
| 2025-02-18 | in | 0.0006437 | 0.000556352 | -13.57% | 0.00055 | -14.56% | 0.4028 | ✗ | 3.26 |
| 2025-02-17 | in | 0.00069 | 0.00059473 | -13.81% | 0.000542 | -21.45% | 0.2247 | ✗ | 3.25 |
| 2025-02-16 | in | 0.00074 | 0.000636196 | -14.03% | 0.0004988 | -32.59% | 0.2458 | ✗ | 3.25 |
| 2025-02-15 | in | 0.00071 | 0.000597315 | -15.87% | 0.00051 | -28.17% | 0.3372 | ✗ | 3.30 |
| 2025-02-14 | in | 0.00081 | 0.000701911 | -13.34% | 0.0005015 | -38.09% | 0.2139 | ✗ | 3.31 |
| 2025-02-13 | in | 0.00089 | 0.000777285 | -12.66% | 0.0005216 | -41.39% | 0.0533 | ✓ | 3.33 |
| 2025-02-12 | in | 0.00109 | 0.000950357 | -12.81% | 0.0005378 | -50.66% | 0.0669 | ✓ | 3.28 |
| 2025-02-11 | in | 0.00141 | 0.00122 | -13.45% | 0.0004904 | -65.22% | 0.3348 | ✓ | 3.46 |
| 2025-02-10 | in | 0.00137 | 0.001178 | -14.03% | 0.0005142 | -62.47% | 0.2922 | ✓ | 3.52 |
| 2025-02-09 | in | 0.00155 | 0.001329 | -14.23% | 0.0005339 | -65.55% | 0.3739 | ✓ | 3.55 |
| 2025-02-08 | in | 0.00157 | 0.001341 | -14.59% | 0.0004858 | -69.06% | 0.2845 | ✓ | 3.55 |
| 2025-02-07 | in | 0.00147 | 0.001249 | -15.02% | 0.00057 | -61.22% | 0.1475 | ✓ | 3.56 |
| 2025-02-06 | in | 0.0016 | 0.001349 | -15.69% | 0.0005902 | -63.11% | 0.4232 | ✓ | 3.56 |
| 2025-02-05 | in | 0.00144 | 0.001177 | -18.25% | 0.0006199 | -56.95% | 0.2576 | ✓ | 3.56 |
| 2025-02-04 | in | 0.00134 | 0.001037 | -22.59% | 0.0006305 | -52.95% | 0.1951 | ✓ | 3.61 |
| 2025-02-03 | in | 0.00176 | 0.001334 | -24.19% | 0.0006211 | -64.71% | 0.3696 | ✓ | 3.49 |
| 2025-02-02 | in | 0.00141 | 0.000983376 | -30.26% | 0.0006649 | -52.84% | 0.0130 | ✓ | 3.35 |
| 2025-02-01 | in | 0.00172 | 0.001199 | -30.29% | 0.0006283 | -63.47% | 0.1358 | ✓ | 3.29 |
| 2025-01-31 | in | 0.00205 | 0.001428 | -30.33% | 0.0008278 | -59.62% | 0.2768 | ✓ | 3.24 |
| 2025-01-30 | in | 0.0024 | 0.001665 | -30.63% | 0.00068 | -71.67% | 0.2651 | ✓ | 3.20 |
| 2025-01-29 | in | 0.0025 | 0.001683 | -32.68% | 0.00071 | -71.60% | 0.1963 | ✓ | 3.21 |
| 2025-01-28 | in | 0.00234 | 0.001482 | -36.68% | 0.0005911 | -74.74% | 0.3441 | ✓ | 3.20 |
| 2025-01-27 | in | 0.00272 | 0.001758 | -35.38% | 0.000648 | -76.18% | 0.3845 | ✓ | 3.17 |
| 2025-01-26 | in | 0.0031 | 0.002046 | -33.99% | 0.0005906 | -80.95% | 0.7804 | ✓ | 3.15 |
| 2025-01-25 | in | 0.00411 | 0.002934 | -28.62% | 0.0006898 | -83.22% | 1.0406 | ✓ | 3.02 |
| 2025-01-24 | in | 0.00459 | 0.003248 | -29.24% | 0.0007556 | -83.54% | 1.2013 | ✓ | 3.01 |
| 2025-01-23 | in | 0.00502 | 0.003532 | -29.64% | 0.00079 | -84.26% | 1.2753 | ✓ | 3.03 |
| 2025-01-22 | in | 0.00639 | 0.004704 | -26.39% | 0.000801 | -87.46% | 1.5415 | ✓ | 3.04 |
| 2025-01-21 | in | 0.00663 | 0.004854 | -26.79% | 0.00082 | -87.63% | 1.5423 | ✓ | 3.09 |
| 2025-01-20 | in | 0.00488 | 0.002939 | -39.76% | 0.00068 | -86.07% | 1.3078 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2025-01-19 | in | 0.00512 | 0.003035 | -40.72% | 0.0006437 | -87.43% | 1.3897 | ✓ | 2.83 |
| 2025-01-18 | in | 0.0073 | 0.005158 | -29.34% | 0.00069 | -90.55% | 1.7930 | ✓ | 2.53 |
| 2025-01-17 | in | 0.00945 | 0.007471 | -20.94% | 0.00074 | -92.17% | 2.1090 | ✓ | 2.55 |
| 2025-01-16 | in | 0.01091 | 0.008647 | -20.75% | 0.00071 | -93.49% | 2.4292 | ✓ | 2.92 |
| 2025-01-15 | in | 0.01372 | 0.011293 | -17.69% | 0.00081 | -94.10% | 2.5479 | ✓ | 2.87 |
| 2025-01-14 | in | 0.01037 | 0.007722 | -25.54% | 0.00089 | -91.42% | 2.1630 | ✓ | 2.59 |
| 2025-01-13 | in | 0.01316 | 0.010527 | -20.01% | 0.00109 | -91.72% | 2.3677 | ✓ | 2.86 |
| 2025-01-12 | in | 0.01678 | 0.013972 | -16.74% | 0.00141 | -91.60% | 2.3316 | ✓ | 2.87 |
| 2025-01-11 | in | 0.01601 | 0.013286 | -17.02% | 0.00137 | -91.44% | 2.3580 | ✓ | 2.87 |
| 2025-01-10 | in | 0.01991 | 0.016753 | -15.86% | 0.00155 | -92.21% | 2.4335 | ✓ | 2.86 |
| 2025-01-09 | in | 0.02065 | 0.01725 | -16.47% | 0.00157 | -92.40% | 2.5209 | ✓ | 2.99 |
| 2025-01-08 | in | 0.01796 | 0.015085 | -16.01% | 0.00147 | -91.82% | 2.3790 | ✓ | 3.23 |
| 2025-01-07 | in | 0.02282 | 0.019177 | -15.96% | 0.0016 | -92.99% | 2.4718 | ✓ | 3.06 |
| 2025-01-06 | in | 0.02644 | 0.022082 | -16.48% | 0.00144 | -94.55% | 2.5567 | ✓ | 3.06 |
| 2025-01-05 | in | 0.02288 | 0.018935 | -17.24% | 0.00134 | -94.14% | 2.6313 | ✓ | 3.04 |
| 2025-01-04 | in | 0.02024 | 0.016822 | -16.89% | 0.00176 | -91.30% | 2.3561 | ✓ | 3.03 |
| 2025-01-03 | in | 0.02086 | 0.016899 | -18.99% | 0.00141 | -93.24% | 2.4694 | ✓ | 3.03 |
| 2025-01-02 | in | 0.0165 | 0.013481 | -18.30% | 0.00172 | -89.58% | 2.1680 | ✓ | 2.90 |
| 2025-01-01 | in | 0.01285 | 0.010778 | -16.13% | 0.00205 | -84.05% | 1.8734 | ✓ | 2.62 |
| 2024-12-31 | in | 0.01281 | 0.010664 | -16.75% | 0.0024 | -81.26% | 1.7954 | ✓ | 2.64 |
| 2024-12-30 | in | 0.01329 | 0.010956 | -17.56% | 0.0025 | -81.19% | 1.7814 | ✓ | 2.68 |
| 2024-12-29 | in | 0.0112 | 0.009384 | -16.21% | 0.00234 | -79.11% | 1.6097 | ✓ | 2.78 |
| 2024-12-28 | in | 0.01553 | 0.012501 | -19.51% | 0.00272 | -82.49% | 1.5955 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-27 | in | 0.01222 | 0.009959 | -18.50% | 0.0031 | -74.63% | 1.2524 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-26 | in | 0.0079 | 0.006852 | -13.27% | 0.00411 | -47.97% | 0.6016 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-25 | in | 0.00906 | 0.007897 | -12.84% | 0.00459 | -49.34% | 0.5965 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-24 | in | 0.00997 | 0.008654 | -13.20% | 0.00502 | -49.65% | 0.5973 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-23 | in | 0.01 | 0.008567 | -14.33% | 0.00639 | -36.10% | 0.3830 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-22 | in | 0.0084 | 0.007223 | -14.01% | 0.00663 | -21.07% | 0.1958 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-21 | in | 0.00752 | 0.006367 | -15.33% | 0.00488 | -35.11% | 0.3153 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-20 | in | 0.00682 | 0.005552 | -18.60% | 0.00512 | -24.93% | 0.1156 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-19 | in | 0.00766 | 0.006502 | -15.12% | 0.0073 | -4.70% | 0.0457 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-18 | in | 0.01118 | 0.010181 | -8.94% | 0.00945 | -15.47% | 0.1132 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-17 | in | 0.01372 | 0.012898 | -5.99% | 0.01091 | -20.48% | 0.1077 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-16 | in | 0.01609 | 0.014791 | -8.07% | 0.01372 | -14.73% | 0.0210 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-15 | in | 0.01238 | 0.011665 | -5.77% | 0.01037 | -16.24% | 0.0389 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-14 | in | 0.01074 | 0.010034 | -6.57% | 0.01316 | +22.53% | 0.3416 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-13 | in | 0.00983 | 0.009227 | -6.14% | 0.01678 | +70.70% | 0.6687 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-12 | in | 0.01099 | 0.010315 | -6.14% | 0.01601 | +45.68% | 0.4958 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-11 | in | 0.01188 | 0.011199 | -5.73% | 0.01991 | +67.59% | 0.6418 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-10 | in | 0.00939 | 0.008667 | -7.70% | 0.02065 | +119.91% | 0.9116 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-09 | in | 0.00936 | 0.008724 | -6.79% | 0.01796 | +91.88% | 0.7458 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-08 | in | 0.01153 | 0.011065 | -4.03% | 0.02282 | +97.92% | 0.7666 | ✗ | 1.00 |