MOE

MOE · Mantle · beta_5y

token id: #827
symbol: MOE
variant: –
chain: Mantle
address: 0x4515a45337f461a11ff0fe8abf3c606ae5dc00c9
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-11-29
predictions: 402

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

132

of 134 predictions shown

direction hit

52.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1042

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0043

actual -0.0270

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.000324	0.000324968	+0.30%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-21	oos	0.0003449	0.000346239	+0.39%	0.000324	+2.47%	0.0182	✓	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.0003632	0.000364736	+0.42%	0.0003449	-5.04%	0.0530	✗	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.00035745	0.000359802	+0.66%	0.0003632	+1.61%	0.0040	✓	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	0.0004181	0.000420026	+0.46%	0.00035745	-14.51%	0.1593	✗	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	0.00043585	0.000437992	+0.49%	0.0004181	-4.07%	0.0541	✗	1.00
2026-10-16	oos	0.0004583	0.000460497	+0.48%	0.00043585	-4.90%	0.0536	✗	1.00
2026-10-15	oos	0.0004529	0.000455042	+0.47%	0.0004583	+1.19%	0.0148	✓	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	0.0004537	0.00045375	+0.01%	0.0004529	-0.18%	0.0087	✗	1.00
2026-10-13	oos	0.00055985	0.000555428	-0.79%	0.0004537	-18.96%	0.1836	✓	1.00
2026-10-12	oos	0.0006665	0.000653335	-1.98%	0.00055985	-16.00%	0.1709	✓	1.00
2026-10-11	oos	0.000703	0.000663036	-5.68%	0.0006665	-5.19%	0.0286	✓	1.00
2025-04-08	in	0.00031	0.000310123	+0.04%	–	pending	–	–	2.03
2025-04-07	in	0.000317	0.000317018	+0.01%	0.00031	-2.21%	0.0563	✓	2.12
2025-04-06	in	0.0003192	0.000319344	+0.05%	0.000317	-0.69%	0.0280	✗	2.11
2025-04-05	in	0.0003977	0.000397057	-0.16%	0.0003192	-19.74%	0.0832	✓	2.13
2025-04-04	in	0.0004024	0.000401741	-0.16%	0.0003977	-1.17%	0.0009	✓	2.14
2025-04-03	in	0.0003984	0.000397398	-0.25%	0.0004024	+1.00%	0.0050	✓	2.14
2025-04-02	in	0.000448	0.000447124	-0.20%	0.0003984	-11.07%	0.1336	✓	2.20
2025-04-01	in	0.0004932	0.000491687	-0.31%	0.000448	-9.16%	0.0194	✓	2.30
2025-03-31	in	0.0004862	0.000484684	-0.31%	0.0004932	+1.44%	0.0555	✓	2.32
2025-03-30	in	0.0004699	0.000468679	-0.26%	0.0004862	+3.47%	0.0324	✗	2.31
2025-03-29	in	0.0004657	0.000464729	-0.21%	0.0004699	+0.90%	0.0176	✗	2.28
2025-03-28	in	0.0005013	0.000499789	-0.30%	0.0004657	-7.10%	0.0211	✓	2.34
2025-03-27	in	0.0005423	0.000539439	-0.53%	0.0005013	-7.56%	0.0061	✗	2.40
2025-03-26	in	0.0005207	0.000516353	-0.83%	0.0005423	+4.15%	0.0414	✗	2.28
2025-03-25	in	0.0005439	0.000541511	-0.44%	0.0005207	-4.27%	0.0260	✓	2.30
2025-03-24	in	0.0005511	0.000548089	-0.55%	0.0005439	-1.31%	0.0052	✓	2.29
2025-03-23	in	0.0005092	0.000507162	-0.40%	0.0005511	+8.23%	0.0464	✗	2.23
2025-03-22	in	0.0005002	0.000497565	-0.53%	0.0005092	+1.80%	0.0356	✓	2.23
2025-03-21	in	0.0004994	0.000496748	-0.53%	0.0005002	+0.16%	0.0123	✗	2.17
2025-03-20	in	0.00055	0.000545657	-0.79%	0.0004994	-9.20%	0.0855	✓	2.16
2025-03-19	in	0.000542	0.000539175	-0.52%	0.00055	+1.48%	0.0893	✗	2.20
2025-03-18	in	0.0004988	0.000497063	-0.35%	0.000542	+8.66%	0.0277	✓	2.32
2025-03-17	in	0.00051	0.000507958	-0.40%	0.0004988	-2.20%	0.0190	✗	2.36
2025-03-16	in	0.0005015	0.000499417	-0.42%	0.00051	+1.69%	0.0199	✓	2.35
2025-03-15	in	0.0005216	0.000519161	-0.47%	0.0005015	-3.85%	0.0176	✗	2.43
2025-03-14	in	0.0005378	0.000533196	-0.86%	0.0005216	-3.01%	0.0329	✓	2.48
2025-03-13	in	0.0004904	0.000489357	-0.21%	0.0005378	+9.67%	0.0075	✗	2.47
2025-03-12	in	0.0005142	0.000512855	-0.26%	0.0004904	-4.63%	0.0326	✗	2.46
2025-03-11	in	0.0005339	0.000532337	-0.29%	0.0005142	-3.69%	0.0568	✓	2.47
2025-03-10	in	0.0004858	0.000485392	-0.08%	0.0005339	+9.90%	0.0451	✓	2.59
2025-03-09	in	0.00057	0.000567751	-0.39%	0.0004858	-14.77%	0.0865	✓	2.56
2025-03-08	in	0.0005902	0.00058799	-0.37%	0.00057	-3.42%	0.1525	✗	2.78
2025-03-07	in	0.0006199	0.000616733	-0.51%	0.0005902	-4.79%	0.0259	✓	2.84
2025-03-06	in	0.0006305	0.000627548	-0.47%	0.0006199	-1.68%	0.0915	✗	2.89
2025-03-05	in	0.0006211	0.000617832	-0.53%	0.0006305	+1.51%	0.0419	✗	2.86
2025-03-04	in	0.0006649	0.000661341	-0.54%	0.0006211	-6.59%	0.1729	✓	2.92
2025-03-03	in	0.0006283	0.000626255	-0.33%	0.0006649	+5.83%	0.0261	✗	2.69
2025-03-02	in	0.0008278	0.00081885	-1.08%	0.0006283	-24.10%	0.0235	✓	2.68
2025-03-01	in	0.00068	0.000677439	-0.38%	0.0008278	+21.74%	0.0433	✓	2.66
2025-02-28	in	0.00071	0.000706353	-0.51%	0.00068	-4.23%	0.0947	✓	2.81
2025-02-27	in	0.0005911	0.000591079	-0.00%	0.00071	+20.12%	0.1943	✗	2.84
2025-02-26	in	0.000648	0.00064724	-0.12%	0.0005911	-8.78%	0.1081	✓	2.86
2025-02-25	in	0.0005906	0.000591454	+0.14%	0.000648	+9.72%	0.2562	✓	3.18
2025-02-24	in	0.0006898	0.000689311	-0.07%	0.0005906	-14.38%	0.0516	✓	3.17
2025-02-23	in	0.0007556	0.000754214	-0.18%	0.0006898	-8.71%	0.0778	✗	3.30
2025-02-22	in	0.00079	0.000788435	-0.20%	0.0007556	-4.35%	0.0317	✓	3.30
2025-02-21	in	0.000801	0.00079955	-0.18%	0.00079	-1.37%	0.0266	✓	3.30
2025-02-20	in	0.00082	0.000818398	-0.20%	0.000801	-2.32%	0.0539	✗	3.35
2025-02-19	in	0.00068	0.000682414	+0.35%	0.00082	+20.59%	0.1261	✓	3.27
2025-02-18	in	0.0006437	0.000647904	+0.65%	0.00068	+5.64%	0.0136	✓	3.26
2025-02-17	in	0.00069	0.000694618	+0.67%	0.0006437	-6.71%	0.0702	✗	3.25
2025-02-16	in	0.00074	0.000745079	+0.69%	0.00069	-6.76%	0.0653	✗	3.25
2025-02-15	in	0.00071	0.00071676	+0.95%	0.00074	+4.23%	0.0823	✓	3.30
2025-02-14	in	0.00081	0.000817157	+0.88%	0.00071	-12.35%	0.1435	✗	3.31
2025-02-13	in	0.00089	0.000897757	+0.87%	0.00081	-8.99%	0.1332	✗	3.33
2025-02-12	in	0.00109	0.001096	+0.58%	0.00089	-18.35%	0.1667	✗	3.28
2025-02-11	in	0.00141	0.001413	+0.18%	0.00109	-22.70%	0.3339	✗	3.46
2025-02-10	in	0.00137	0.001374	+0.32%	0.00141	+2.92%	0.0864	✓	3.52
2025-02-09	in	0.00155	0.001553	+0.22%	0.00137	-11.61%	0.1611	✗	3.55
2025-02-08	in	0.00157	0.001574	+0.28%	0.00155	-1.27%	0.0156	✗	3.55
2025-02-07	in	0.00147	0.001477	+0.46%	0.00157	+6.80%	0.0635	✓	3.56
2025-02-06	in	0.0016	0.001607	+0.41%	0.00147	-8.13%	0.0878	✗	3.56
2025-02-05	in	0.00144	0.00145	+0.69%	0.0016	+11.11%	0.1012	✓	3.56
2025-02-04	in	0.00134	0.001352	+0.91%	0.00144	+7.46%	0.1058	✓	3.61
2025-02-03	in	0.00176	0.001769	+0.50%	0.00134	-23.86%	0.1492	✗	3.49
2025-02-02	in	0.00141	0.001424	+1.00%	0.00176	+24.82%	0.0844	✓	3.35
2025-02-01	in	0.00172	0.001735	+0.86%	0.00141	-18.02%	0.1095	✗	3.29
2025-01-31	in	0.00205	0.002065	+0.74%	0.00172	-16.10%	0.1259	✗	3.24
2025-01-30	in	0.0024	0.002414	+0.59%	0.00205	-14.58%	0.0915	✗	3.20
2025-01-29	in	0.0025	0.002517	+0.67%	0.0024	-4.00%	0.0782	✗	3.21
2025-01-28	in	0.00234	0.002363	+0.97%	0.0025	+6.84%	0.0202	✗	3.20
2025-01-27	in	0.00272	0.002745	+0.90%	0.00234	-13.97%	0.1354	✗	3.17
2025-01-26	in	0.0031	0.003127	+0.87%	0.00272	-12.26%	0.1240	✗	3.15
2025-01-25	in	0.00411	0.004118	+0.19%	0.0031	-24.57%	0.2207	✗	3.02
2025-01-24	in	0.00459	0.004589	-0.02%	0.00411	-10.46%	0.1069	✓	3.01
2025-01-23	in	0.00502	0.005011	-0.17%	0.00459	-8.57%	0.1147	✓	3.03
2025-01-22	in	0.00639	0.006332	-0.92%	0.00502	-21.44%	0.2397	✓	3.04
2025-01-21	in	0.00663	0.006533	-1.46%	0.00639	-3.62%	0.0512	✗	3.09
2025-01-20	in	0.00488	0.004857	-0.48%	0.00663	+35.86%	0.2028	✗	2.81
2025-01-19	in	0.00512	0.005055	-1.28%	0.00488	-4.69%	0.0611	✓	2.83
2025-01-18	in	0.0073	0.007206	-1.29%	0.00512	-29.86%	0.2625	✓	2.53
2025-01-17	in	0.00945	0.009362	-0.93%	0.0073	-22.75%	0.2568	✓	2.55
2025-01-16	in	0.01091	0.010826	-0.77%	0.00945	-13.38%	0.2539	✓	2.92
2025-01-15	in	0.01372	0.013539	-1.32%	0.01091	-20.48%	0.2008	✓	2.87
2025-01-14	in	0.01037	0.010301	-0.67%	0.01372	+32.30%	0.1821	✗	2.59
2025-01-13	in	0.01316	0.013071	-0.68%	0.01037	-21.20%	0.2923	✓	2.86
2025-01-12	in	0.01678	0.016594	-1.11%	0.01316	-21.57%	0.2318	✓	2.87
2025-01-11	in	0.01601	0.015875	-0.85%	0.01678	+4.81%	0.0571	✗	2.87
2025-01-10	in	0.01991	0.019623	-1.44%	0.01601	-19.59%	0.1994	✓	2.86
2025-01-09	in	0.02065	0.020297	-1.71%	0.01991	-3.58%	0.0880	✓	2.99
2025-01-08	in	0.01796	0.017796	-0.91%	0.02065	+14.98%	0.2344	✗	3.23
2025-01-07	in	0.02282	0.02254	-1.23%	0.01796	-21.30%	0.1665	✓	3.06
2025-01-06	in	0.02644	0.025892	-2.07%	0.02282	-13.69%	0.0376	✗	3.06
2025-01-05	in	0.02288	0.022458	-1.84%	0.02644	+15.56%	0.0441	✗	3.04
2025-01-04	in	0.02024	0.01993	-1.53%	0.02288	+13.04%	0.1338	✗	3.03
2025-01-03	in	0.02086	0.020304	-2.67%	0.02024	-2.97%	0.0054	✓	3.03
2025-01-02	in	0.0165	0.016103	-2.41%	0.02086	+26.42%	0.2222	✗	2.90
2025-01-01	in	0.01285	0.012708	-1.11%	0.0165	+28.40%	0.1921	✗	2.62
2024-12-31	in	0.01281	0.012656	-1.20%	0.01285	+0.31%	0.0138	✓	2.64
2024-12-30	in	0.01329	0.0131	-1.43%	0.01281	-3.61%	0.0435	✓	2.68
2024-12-29	in	0.0112	0.0111	-0.89%	0.01329	+18.66%	0.2082	✗	2.78
2024-12-28	in	0.01553	0.015182	-2.24%	0.0112	-27.88%	0.2876	✓	1.00
2024-12-27	in	0.01222	0.011893	-2.68%	0.01553	+27.09%	0.2567	✗	1.00
2024-12-26	in	0.0079	0.007868	-0.40%	0.01222	+54.68%	0.4560	✗	1.00
2024-12-25	in	0.00906	0.008989	-0.78%	0.0079	-12.80%	0.0915	✓	1.00
2024-12-24	in	0.00997	0.009868	-1.03%	0.00906	-9.13%	0.0930	✓	1.00
2024-12-23	in	0.01	0.009887	-1.13%	0.00997	-0.30%	0.0313	✓	1.00
2024-12-22	in	0.0084	0.008356	-0.53%	0.01	+19.05%	0.1830	✗	1.00
2024-12-21	in	0.00752	0.007505	-0.19%	0.0084	+11.70%	0.1349	✗	1.00
2024-12-20	in	0.00682	0.006843	+0.34%	0.00752	+10.26%	0.0998	✓	1.00
2024-12-19	in	0.00766	0.007666	+0.08%	0.00682	-10.97%	0.1209	✗	1.00
2024-12-18	in	0.01118	0.011108	-0.65%	0.00766	-31.48%	0.3435	✓	1.00
2024-12-17	in	0.01372	0.013606	-0.83%	0.01118	-18.51%	0.1383	✓	1.00
2024-12-16	in	0.01609	0.015781	-1.92%	0.01372	-14.73%	0.1403	✓	1.00
2024-12-15	in	0.01238	0.012238	-1.15%	0.01609	+29.97%	0.2579	✗	1.00
2024-12-14	in	0.01074	0.01064	-0.93%	0.01238	+15.27%	0.1218	✗	1.00
2024-12-13	in	0.00983	0.00977	-0.61%	0.01074	+9.26%	0.0949	✗	1.00
2024-12-12	in	0.01099	0.010894	-0.88%	0.00983	-10.56%	0.1166	✓	1.00
2024-12-11	in	0.01188	0.011715	-1.38%	0.01099	-7.49%	0.0523	✓	1.00
2024-12-10	in	0.00939	0.009344	-0.49%	0.01188	+26.52%	0.1942	✗	1.00
2024-12-09	in	0.00936	0.009313	-0.50%	0.00939	+0.32%	0.0151	✗	1.00
2024-12-08	in	0.01153	0.011423	-0.93%	0.00936	-18.82%	0.1603	✓	1.00