META2

META2 · · beta_5y

token id: #464
symbol: META2
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-29
predictions: 231

Track record at +7d

assessed

70

of 77 predictions shown

direction hit

48.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.5167

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.1111

actual -0.0592

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	16.221	16.1503	-0.44%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-21	oos	17.7705	17.5761	-1.09%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-10-20	oos	17.747	17.4961	-1.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-19	oos	17.6365	17.4091	-1.29%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-18	oos	17.677	17.4423	-1.33%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-10-17	oos	17.826	17.5626	-1.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-10-16	oos	17.685	17.3891	-1.67%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-15	oos	17.746	17.3713	-2.11%	16.221	-8.59%	0.0979	✓	1.17
2026-10-14	oos	17.73	17.2411	-2.76%	17.7705	+0.23%	0.0143	✓	1.16
2026-10-13	oos	17.87	17.3942	-2.66%	17.747	-0.69%	0.0225	✓	1.21
2026-10-12	oos	17.954	17.3813	-3.19%	17.6365	-1.77%	0.0132	✓	1.19
2026-10-11	oos	18.108	17.7371	-2.05%	17.677	-2.38%	0.0220	✗	1.26
2026-10-10	oos	18.116	17.7058	-2.26%	17.826	-1.60%	0.0301	✗	1.25
2026-10-09	oos	17.887	17.4667	-2.35%	17.685	-1.13%	0.0283	✗	1.25
2026-10-08	oos	17.869	17.4273	-2.47%	17.746	-0.69%	0.0116	✓	1.24
2026-10-07	oos	18.1195	17.6401	-2.65%	17.73	-2.15%	0.0319	✗	1.29
2026-10-06	oos	18.1155	17.5467	-3.14%	17.87	-1.36%	0.0585	✗	1.39
2026-10-05	oos	18.184	17.6017	-3.20%	17.954	-1.26%	0.0871	✗	1.41
2026-10-04	oos	19.5035	18.9778	-2.70%	18.108	-7.16%	0.0001	✓	1.41
2026-10-03	oos	19.3245	18.7555	-2.94%	18.116	-6.25%	0.0045	✓	1.38
2026-10-02	oos	19.312	18.6715	-3.32%	17.887	-7.38%	0.0104	✓	1.39
2026-10-01	oos	19.4135	18.7601	-3.37%	17.869	-7.96%	0.0046	✓	1.41
2026-09-30	oos	19.34	18.6002	-3.83%	18.1195	-6.31%	0.0215	✓	1.39
2026-09-29	oos	18.7595	17.9777	-4.17%	18.1155	-3.43%	0.0240	✓	1.41
2026-09-28	oos	18.4555	17.3355	-6.07%	18.184	-1.47%	0.0095	✓	1.41
2026-09-27	oos	17.0955	16.405	-4.04%	19.5035	+14.09%	0.1370	✗	1.51
2026-09-26	oos	16.5905	15.9174	-4.06%	19.3245	+16.48%	0.1881	✗	1.52
2026-09-25	oos	16.8735	16.1055	-4.55%	19.312	+14.45%	0.1741	✗	1.52
2026-09-24	oos	17.1355	16.2745	-5.02%	19.4135	+13.29%	0.1679	✗	1.54
2026-09-23	oos	16.6685	15.8037	-5.19%	19.34	+16.03%	0.2172	✗	1.56
2026-09-22	oos	16.7035	15.7535	-5.69%	18.7595	+12.31%	0.2248	✗	1.66
2026-09-21	oos	16.2785	15.3068	-5.97%	18.4555	+13.37%	0.2501	✗	1.71
2026-09-20	oos	14.9885	14.222	-5.11%	17.0955	+14.06%	0.1216	✗	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	13.4385	12.768	-4.99%	16.5905	+23.45%	0.2000	✗	1.61
2026-09-18	oos	19.2555	17.9657	-6.70%	16.8735	-12.37%	0.1254	✓	1.61
2026-09-17	oos	19.2205	18.0013	-6.34%	17.1355	-10.85%	0.2116	✓	1.62
2026-09-16	oos	19.2405	17.9809	-6.55%	16.6685	-13.37%	0.2427	✓	1.63
2026-09-15	oos	19.2305	17.9581	-6.62%	16.7035	-13.14%	0.2842	✓	1.61
2026-09-14	oos	19.2555	17.8416	-7.34%	16.2785	-15.46%	0.2833	✓	1.87
2026-09-13	oos	19.2505	17.8388	-7.33%	14.9885	-22.14%	0.2753	✓	1.83
2026-09-12	oos	19.2555	17.7937	-7.59%	13.4385	-30.21%	0.3753	✓	1.89
2026-09-11	oos	18.5185	17.1243	-7.53%	19.2555	+3.98%	0.0287	✓	1.91
2026-09-10	oos	18.4135	16.9648	-7.87%	19.2205	+4.38%	0.1295	✗	1.89
2026-09-09	oos	18.4385	16.515	-10.43%	19.2405	+4.35%	0.2107	✗	2.09
2026-09-08	oos	18.5135	16.931	-8.55%	19.2305	+3.87%	0.2066	✗	2.13
2026-09-07	oos	3.5085	3.3661	-4.06%	19.2555	+448.82%	1.7836	✗	3.39
2026-09-06	oos	3.5235	2.9539	-16.17%	19.2505	+446.35%	2.0378	✗	3.63
2026-09-05	oos	18.3785	16.9933	-7.54%	19.2555	+4.77%	0.2448	✗	3.67
2026-09-04	oos	4.0185	3.1143	-22.50%	18.5185	+360.83%	1.9090	✗	4.02
2026-09-03	oos	4.016	2.3971	-40.31%	18.4135	+358.50%	2.3017	✗	4.39
2026-09-02	oos	4.023	1.986	-50.63%	18.4385	+358.33%	2.1719	✗	4.49
2026-09-01	oos	4.02	1.7357	-56.82%	18.5135	+360.53%	2.3055	✗	4.57
2026-08-31	oos	6.1035	2.8397	-53.47%	3.5085	-42.52%	0.1823	✓	4.35
2026-08-30	oos	40.783	38.6774	-5.16%	3.5235	-91.36%	2.5638	✓	4.96
2026-08-29	oos	41.1425	38.8248	-5.63%	18.3785	-55.33%	0.8510	✓	5.10
2026-08-28	oos	41.2285	38.6309	-6.30%	4.0185	-90.25%	2.3824	✓	5.11
2026-08-27	oos	40.7005	38.1885	-6.17%	4.016	-90.13%	2.2645	✓	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	27.5005	25.7621	-6.32%	4.023	-85.37%	1.8349	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	40.6705	37.2571	-8.39%	4.02	-90.12%	2.2121	✓	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	38.8775	35.9084	-7.64%	6.1035	-84.30%	1.7668	✓	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	40.5615	37.1522	-8.41%	40.783	+0.55%	0.0941	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	52.426	46.3332	-11.62%	41.1425	-21.52%	0.1340	✓	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	30.6335	28.7553	-6.13%	41.2285	+34.59%	0.3665	✗	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	30.768	28.7837	-6.45%	40.7005	+32.28%	0.2516	✗	1.00
2026-08-19	oos	30.7125	28.6783	-6.62%	27.5005	-10.46%	0.1733	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	30.549	28.4822	-6.77%	40.6705	+33.13%	0.1623	✗	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	30.6105	28.0232	-8.45%	38.8775	+27.01%	0.1245	✗	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	30.5515	28.446	-6.89%	40.5615	+32.76%	0.1421	✗	1.00
2026-08-15	oos	30.5745	28.2164	-7.71%	52.426	+71.47%	0.4184	✗	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	30.638	27.3845	-10.62%	30.6335	-0.01%	0.1060	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	5.164	2.4897	-51.79%	30.768	+495.82%	2.3736	✗	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	30.695	28.7128	-6.46%	30.7125	+0.06%	0.0215	✓	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	30.7365	28.4402	-7.47%	30.549	-0.61%	0.0536	✓	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	30.9075	28.5499	-7.63%	30.6105	-0.96%	0.0609	✓	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	30.797	28.2306	-8.33%	30.5515	-0.80%	0.1105	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	30.87	28.0876	-9.01%	30.5745	-0.96%	0.1144	✗	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	30.896	28.4747	-7.84%	30.638	-0.84%	0.1032	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.