META2

META2 · · beta_5y

token id: #464
symbol: META2
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-29
predictions: 231

Track record at +1d

assessed

76

of 77 predictions shown

direction hit

50.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1965

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0181

actual -0.0127

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	16.221	16.1916	-0.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-21	oos	17.7705	17.7068	-0.36%	16.221	-9.82%	0.1023	✓	1.14
2026-10-20	oos	17.747	17.6744	-0.41%	17.7705	+0.13%	0.0088	✗	1.15
2026-10-19	oos	17.6365	17.5669	-0.39%	17.747	+0.63%	0.0050	✓	1.13
2026-10-18	oos	17.677	17.6041	-0.41%	17.6365	-0.23%	0.0042	✗	1.14
2026-10-17	oos	17.826	17.7437	-0.46%	17.677	-0.84%	0.0125	✓	1.14
2026-10-16	oos	17.685	17.5957	-0.51%	17.826	+0.80%	0.0147	✗	1.15
2026-10-15	oos	17.746	17.6318	-0.64%	17.685	-0.34%	0.0119	✗	1.17
2026-10-14	oos	17.73	17.5402	-1.07%	17.746	+0.09%	0.0038	✓	1.16
2026-10-13	oos	17.87	17.6832	-1.05%	17.73	-0.78%	0.0252	✗	1.21
2026-10-12	oos	17.954	17.7455	-1.16%	17.87	-0.47%	0.0127	✓	1.19
2026-10-11	oos	18.108	18.0157	-0.51%	17.954	-0.85%	0.0261	✗	1.26
2026-10-10	oos	18.116	18.0155	-0.55%	18.108	-0.04%	0.0064	✓	1.25
2026-10-09	oos	17.887	17.7881	-0.55%	18.116	+1.28%	0.0127	✗	1.25
2026-10-08	oos	17.869	17.7688	-0.56%	17.887	+0.10%	0.0062	✓	1.24
2026-10-07	oos	18.1195	18.005	-0.63%	17.869	-1.38%	0.0172	✗	1.29
2026-10-06	oos	18.1155	17.9501	-0.91%	18.1195	+0.02%	0.0467	✗	1.39
2026-10-05	oos	18.184	18.0043	-0.99%	18.1155	-0.38%	0.0096	✓	1.41
2026-10-04	oos	19.5035	19.3759	-0.65%	18.184	-6.77%	0.0511	✓	1.41
2026-10-03	oos	19.3245	19.1928	-0.68%	19.5035	+0.93%	0.0125	✓	1.38
2026-10-02	oos	19.312	19.1665	-0.75%	19.3245	+0.06%	0.0043	✓	1.39
2026-10-01	oos	19.4135	19.2575	-0.80%	19.312	-0.52%	0.0085	✗	1.41
2026-09-30	oos	19.34	19.1639	-0.91%	19.4135	+0.38%	0.0084	✓	1.39
2026-09-29	oos	18.7595	18.5686	-1.02%	19.34	+3.09%	0.0421	✗	1.41
2026-09-28	oos	18.4555	18.0849	-2.01%	18.7595	+1.65%	0.0336	✗	1.41
2026-09-27	oos	17.0955	16.9535	-0.83%	18.4555	+7.96%	0.1029	✗	1.51
2026-09-26	oos	16.5905	16.4618	-0.78%	17.0955	+3.04%	0.0370	✗	1.52
2026-09-25	oos	16.8735	16.7243	-0.88%	16.5905	-1.68%	0.0139	✓	1.52
2026-09-24	oos	17.1355	16.9643	-1.00%	16.8735	-1.53%	0.0000	✓	1.54
2026-09-23	oos	16.6685	16.5058	-0.98%	17.1355	+2.80%	0.0373	✗	1.56
2026-09-22	oos	16.7035	16.5208	-1.09%	16.6685	-0.21%	0.0444	✗	1.66
2026-09-21	oos	16.2785	16.0945	-1.13%	16.7035	+2.61%	0.0450	✗	1.71
2026-09-20	oos	14.9885	14.869	-0.80%	16.2785	+8.61%	0.0109	✓	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	13.4385	13.3612	-0.58%	14.9885	+11.53%	0.1164	✗	1.61
2026-09-18	oos	19.2555	19.0181	-1.23%	13.4385	-30.21%	0.3544	✓	1.61
2026-09-17	oos	19.2205	18.9981	-1.16%	19.2555	+0.18%	0.0800	✓	1.62
2026-09-16	oos	19.2405	19.0121	-1.19%	19.2205	-0.10%	0.0066	✓	1.63
2026-09-15	oos	19.2305	19.0054	-1.17%	19.2405	+0.05%	0.0004	✓	1.61
2026-09-14	oos	19.2555	19.0071	-1.29%	19.2305	-0.13%	0.0748	✗	1.87
2026-09-13	oos	19.2505	19.0057	-1.27%	19.2555	+0.03%	0.0195	✓	1.83
2026-09-12	oos	19.2555	19.0033	-1.31%	19.2505	-0.03%	0.0243	✗	1.89
2026-09-11	oos	18.5185	18.2926	-1.22%	19.2555	+3.98%	0.0500	✗	1.91
2026-09-10	oos	18.4135	18.167	-1.34%	18.5185	+0.57%	0.0026	✓	1.89
2026-09-09	oos	18.4385	17.9375	-2.72%	18.4135	-0.14%	0.0734	✗	2.09
2026-09-08	oos	18.5135	18.194	-1.73%	18.4385	-0.41%	0.0178	✗	2.13
2026-09-07	oos	3.5085	3.503	-0.16%	18.5135	+427.68%	1.6926	✗	3.39
2026-09-06	oos	3.5235	3.4555	-1.93%	3.5085	-0.43%	0.0720	✗	3.63
2026-09-05	oos	18.3785	18.1315	-1.34%	3.5235	-80.83%	1.6614	✓	3.67
2026-09-04	oos	4.0185	3.8938	-3.10%	18.3785	+357.35%	1.5439	✗	4.02
2026-09-03	oos	4.016	3.7548	-6.50%	4.0185	+0.06%	0.1545	✗	4.39
2026-09-02	oos	4.023	3.6639	-8.93%	4.016	-0.17%	0.1324	✓	4.49
2026-09-01	oos	4.02	3.5944	-10.59%	4.023	+0.07%	0.1181	✗	4.57
2026-08-31	oos	6.1035	5.5145	-9.65%	4.02	-34.14%	0.2511	✓	4.35
2026-08-30	oos	40.783	40.3253	-1.12%	6.1035	-85.03%	1.9451	✓	4.96
2026-08-29	oos	41.1425	40.6153	-1.28%	40.783	-0.87%	0.0414	✗	5.10
2026-08-28	oos	41.2285	40.5602	-1.62%	41.1425	-0.21%	0.0116	✓	5.11
2026-08-27	oos	40.7005	40.0848	-1.51%	41.2285	+1.30%	0.0590	✗	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	27.5005	27.1982	-1.10%	40.7005	+48.00%	0.3874	✗	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	40.6705	39.7174	-2.34%	27.5005	-32.38%	0.3739	✓	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	38.8775	38.2524	-1.61%	40.6705	+4.61%	0.0671	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	40.5615	39.7831	-1.92%	38.8775	-4.15%	0.0390	✓	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	52.426	50.413	-3.84%	40.5615	-22.63%	0.2262	✓	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	30.6335	30.2577	-1.23%	52.426	+71.14%	0.5660	✗	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	30.768	30.3767	-1.27%	30.6335	-0.44%	0.0618	✓	1.00
2026-08-19	oos	30.7125	30.3113	-1.31%	30.768	+0.18%	0.0372	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	30.549	30.1167	-1.42%	30.7125	+0.54%	0.0494	✓	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	30.6105	29.8896	-2.36%	30.549	-0.20%	0.0187	✓	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	30.5515	30.1068	-1.46%	30.6105	+0.19%	0.0092	✓	1.00
2026-08-15	oos	30.5745	30.0221	-1.81%	30.5515	-0.08%	0.0204	✗	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	30.638	29.5339	-3.60%	30.5745	-0.21%	0.0339	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	5.164	4.6946	-9.09%	30.638	+493.30%	1.8829	✗	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	30.695	30.2611	-1.41%	5.164	-83.18%	1.7684	✓	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	30.7365	30.122	-2.00%	30.695	-0.14%	0.0207	✗	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	30.9075	30.286	-2.01%	30.7365	-0.55%	0.0207	✗	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	30.797	30.1202	-2.20%	30.9075	+0.36%	0.0404	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	30.87	30.1605	-2.30%	30.797	-0.24%	0.0218	✓	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	30.896	30.5015	-1.28%	30.87	-0.08%	0.0117	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.