MEGA

MegaETH · Megaeth · beta_5y

token id: #156
symbol: MEGA
variant: –
chain: Megaeth
address: 0x28b7e77f82b25b95953825f1e3ea0e36c1c29861
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-30
predictions: 501

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

160

of 167 predictions shown

direction hit

71.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0823

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0122

actual -0.0434

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.04613	0.045051	-2.34%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-21	oos	0.04289	0.042027	-2.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-20	oos	0.043355	0.042475	-2.03%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.04405	0.043114	-2.12%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-18	oos	0.043835	0.042903	-2.13%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-17	oos	0.045285	0.044256	-2.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-16	oos	0.046835	0.045646	-2.54%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-15	oos	0.04549	0.04434	-2.53%	0.04613	+1.41%	0.0005	✓	1.55
2026-10-14	oos	0.04571	0.044573	-2.49%	0.04289	-6.17%	0.0598	✓	1.55
2026-10-13	oos	0.04441	0.043478	-2.10%	0.043355	-2.38%	0.0003	✓	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.04366	0.042719	-2.16%	0.04405	+0.89%	0.0288	✗	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.04673	0.04527	-3.13%	0.043835	-6.20%	0.0009	✓	1.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.04303	0.042023	-2.34%	0.045285	+5.24%	0.1026	✗	1.49
2026-10-09	oos	0.04147	0.040602	-2.09%	0.046835	+12.94%	0.1618	✗	1.49
2026-10-08	oos	0.041015	0.040224	-1.93%	0.04549	+10.91%	0.1152	✗	1.49
2026-10-07	oos	0.044345	0.043345	-2.26%	0.04571	+3.08%	0.0833	✗	1.46
2026-10-06	oos	0.04624	0.045172	-2.31%	0.04441	-3.96%	0.0251	✗	1.46
2026-10-05	oos	0.05004	0.048531	-3.02%	0.04366	-12.75%	0.0357	✓	1.46
2026-10-04	oos	0.049155	0.047765	-2.83%	0.04673	-4.93%	0.0267	✓	1.46
2026-10-03	oos	0.049975	0.048393	-3.16%	0.04303	-13.90%	0.0852	✓	1.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.04632	0.044913	-3.04%	0.04147	-10.47%	0.0451	✓	1.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.050135	0.047612	-5.03%	0.041015	-18.19%	0.0937	✓	1.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.04177	0.040665	-2.65%	0.044345	+6.16%	0.0914	✗	1.41
2026-09-29	oos	0.04198	0.040894	-2.59%	0.04624	+10.15%	0.0902	✗	1.45
2026-09-28	oos	0.042205	0.041106	-2.60%	0.05004	+18.56%	0.1578	✗	1.43
2026-09-27	oos	0.0439	0.042704	-2.72%	0.049155	+11.97%	0.1062	✗	1.44
2026-09-26	oos	0.04483	0.043601	-2.74%	0.049975	+11.48%	0.1309	✗	1.45
2026-09-25	oos	0.046525	0.04509	-3.09%	0.04632	-0.44%	0.0198	✓	1.45
2026-09-24	oos	0.04491	0.043678	-2.74%	0.050135	+11.63%	0.1299	✗	1.46
2026-09-23	oos	0.04363	0.042555	-2.46%	0.04177	-4.26%	0.0043	✓	1.46
2026-09-22	oos	0.046545	0.045171	-2.95%	0.04198	-9.81%	0.0287	✓	1.48
2026-09-21	oos	0.045275	0.043905	-3.03%	0.042205	-6.78%	0.0167	✓	1.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.04299	0.04182	-2.72%	0.0439	+2.12%	0.0140	✓	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	0.042385	0.041169	-2.87%	0.04483	+5.77%	0.0251	✓	1.56
2026-09-18	oos	0.04088	0.039597	-3.14%	0.046525	+13.81%	0.1015	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.03529	0.034696	-1.68%	0.04491	+27.26%	0.1177	✗	1.40
2026-09-16	oos	0.03452	0.034083	-1.27%	0.04363	+26.39%	0.1051	✗	1.38
2026-09-15	oos	0.03408	0.033791	-0.85%	0.046545	+36.58%	0.1524	✗	1.28
2026-09-14	oos	0.03571	0.035348	-1.01%	0.045275	+26.79%	0.1179	✗	1.27
2026-09-13	oos	0.03547	0.0353	-0.48%	0.04299	+21.20%	0.1264	✗	1.28
2026-09-12	oos	0.037075	0.036944	-0.35%	0.042385	+14.32%	0.0740	✗	1.26
2026-09-11	oos	0.037625	0.037619	-0.02%	0.04088	+8.65%	0.0249	✗	1.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.036865	0.037087	+0.60%	0.03529	-4.27%	0.0463	✗	1.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.038645	0.039017	+0.96%	0.03452	-10.67%	0.0851	✗	1.35
2026-09-08	oos	0.042145	0.042192	+0.11%	0.03408	-19.14%	0.1625	✗	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.04017	0.040777	+1.51%	0.03571	-11.10%	0.1162	✗	1.41
2026-09-06	oos	0.03958	0.040682	+2.78%	0.03547	-10.38%	0.0716	✗	1.45
2026-09-05	oos	0.04015	0.041405	+3.13%	0.037075	-7.66%	0.0631	✗	1.45
2026-09-04	oos	0.03859	0.040292	+4.41%	0.037625	-2.50%	0.0219	✓	1.48
2026-09-03	oos	0.04007	0.042019	+4.86%	0.036865	-8.00%	0.0419	✓	1.48
2026-09-02	oos	0.03669	0.038043	+3.69%	0.038645	+5.33%	0.0029	✓	1.48
2026-09-01	oos	0.03744	0.038682	+3.32%	0.042145	+12.57%	0.0657	✓	1.49
2026-08-31	oos	0.03794	0.039317	+3.63%	0.04017	+5.88%	0.0119	✓	1.43
2026-08-30	oos	0.036695	0.037726	+2.81%	0.03958	+7.86%	0.0012	✓	1.38
2026-08-29	oos	0.03841	0.039371	+2.50%	0.04015	+4.53%	0.0079	✓	1.36
2026-08-28	oos	0.03741	0.038292	+2.36%	0.03859	+3.15%	0.0240	✗	1.36
2026-08-27	oos	0.03913	0.040201	+2.74%	0.04007	+2.40%	0.0200	✓	1.37
2026-08-26	oos	0.03951	0.04022	+1.80%	0.03669	-7.14%	0.0616	✗	1.38
2026-08-25	oos	0.0389	0.039492	+1.52%	0.03744	-3.75%	0.0333	✗	1.39
2026-08-24	oos	0.04019	0.040666	+1.18%	0.03794	-5.60%	0.0621	✗	1.37
2026-08-23	oos	0.04286	0.042819	-0.10%	0.036695	-14.38%	0.1532	✓	1.42
2026-08-22	oos	0.04024	0.040348	+0.27%	0.03841	-4.55%	0.0706	✗	1.41
2026-08-21	oos	0.04248	0.04225	-0.54%	0.03741	-11.94%	0.1130	✓	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.03781	0.037436	-0.99%	0.03913	+3.49%	0.0825	✓	1.34
2026-08-19	oos	0.03489	0.03448	-1.18%	0.03951	+13.24%	0.0391	✓	1.33
2026-08-18	oos	0.03205	0.031643	-1.27%	0.0389	+21.37%	0.0532	✓	1.34
2026-08-17	oos	0.0322	0.031718	-1.50%	0.04019	+24.81%	0.0350	✓	1.34
2026-08-16	oos	0.03155	0.031069	-1.52%	0.04286	+35.85%	0.0355	✗	1.35
2026-08-15	oos	0.03123	0.030839	-1.25%	0.04024	+28.85%	0.0054	✓	1.35
2026-08-14	oos	0.03115	0.03081	-1.09%	0.04248	+36.37%	0.0264	✗	1.35
2026-08-13	oos	0.032655	0.032236	-1.28%	0.03781	+15.79%	0.0326	✓	1.36
2026-08-12	oos	0.03322	0.032755	-1.40%	0.03489	+5.03%	0.0586	✓	1.37
2026-08-11	oos	0.03314	0.032727	-1.25%	0.03205	-3.29%	0.0454	✓	1.37
2026-08-10	oos	0.0364	0.035759	-1.76%	0.0322	-11.54%	0.1169	✓	1.37
2026-08-09	oos	0.03598	0.035371	-1.69%	0.03155	-12.31%	0.0699	✓	1.41
2026-08-08	oos	0.036165	0.035547	-1.71%	0.03123	-13.65%	0.0877	✓	1.41
2026-08-07	oos	0.03528	0.034686	-1.68%	0.03115	-11.71%	0.0653	✓	1.41
2026-08-06	oos	0.03555	0.034896	-1.84%	0.032655	-8.14%	0.0477	✓	1.42
2026-08-05	oos	0.03607	0.035356	-1.98%	0.03322	-7.90%	0.0358	✓	1.42
2026-08-04	oos	0.03584	0.035155	-1.91%	0.03314	-7.53%	0.0474	✓	1.43
2026-08-03	oos	0.03669	0.035908	-2.13%	0.0364	-0.79%	0.0036	✓	1.43
2026-08-02	oos	0.03651	0.035756	-2.06%	0.03598	-1.45%	0.0239	✓	1.43
2026-08-01	oos	0.0365	0.035791	-1.94%	0.036165	-0.92%	0.0379	✓	1.44
2026-07-31	oos	0.03654	0.035907	-1.73%	0.03528	-3.45%	0.0640	✓	1.43
2026-07-30	oos	0.037	0.036481	-1.40%	0.03555	-3.92%	0.0157	✓	1.44
2026-07-29	oos	0.036395	0.03598	-1.14%	0.03607	-0.89%	0.0126	✓	1.37
2026-07-28	oos	0.03957	0.039015	-1.40%	0.03584	-9.43%	0.0892	✓	1.37
2026-07-27	oos	0.03972	0.039266	-1.14%	0.03669	-7.63%	0.0629	✓	1.37
2026-07-26	oos	0.04325	0.042738	-1.18%	0.03651	-15.58%	0.1191	✓	1.34
2026-07-25	oos	0.042525	0.042077	-1.05%	0.0365	-14.17%	0.1099	✓	1.34
2026-07-24	oos	0.04349	0.042994	-1.14%	0.03654	-15.98%	0.1361	✓	1.34
2026-07-23	oos	0.043165	0.042824	-0.79%	0.037	-14.28%	0.1393	✓	1.36
2026-07-22	oos	0.04369	0.043463	-0.52%	0.036395	-16.70%	0.1313	✓	1.37
2026-07-21	oos	0.04336	0.04323	-0.30%	0.03957	-8.74%	0.0321	✓	1.38
2026-07-20	oos	0.04278	0.042649	-0.31%	0.03972	-7.15%	0.0387	✓	1.38
2026-07-19	oos	0.04405	0.043839	-0.48%	0.04325	-1.82%	0.0276	✓	1.39
2026-07-18	oos	0.04448	0.044303	-0.40%	0.042525	-4.40%	0.0302	✓	1.39
2026-07-17	oos	0.0433	0.043217	-0.19%	0.04349	+0.44%	0.0022	✗	1.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.0461	0.045862	-0.52%	0.043165	-6.37%	0.0881	✓	1.38
2026-07-15	oos	0.048025	0.047746	-0.58%	0.04369	-9.03%	0.1176	✓	1.38
2026-07-14	oos	0.04904	0.048677	-0.74%	0.04336	-11.58%	0.1477	✓	1.38
2026-07-13	oos	0.04726	0.04688	-0.80%	0.04278	-9.48%	0.1560	✓	1.39
2026-07-12	oos	0.046095	0.04596	-0.29%	0.04405	-4.44%	0.0637	✓	1.45
2026-07-11	oos	0.04668	0.046584	-0.21%	0.04448	-4.71%	0.0693	✓	1.45
2026-07-10	oos	0.04743	0.047357	-0.15%	0.0433	-8.71%	0.0842	✓	1.45
2026-07-09	oos	0.04796	0.047845	-0.24%	0.0461	-3.88%	0.0509	✓	1.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.04733	0.047231	-0.21%	0.048025	+1.47%	0.0404	✓	1.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.05032	0.050108	-0.42%	0.04904	-2.54%	0.0592	✓	1.45
2026-07-06	oos	0.04941	0.049297	-0.23%	0.04726	-4.35%	0.0019	✓	1.46
2026-07-05	oos	0.05132	0.051091	-0.45%	0.046095	-10.18%	0.1065	✓	1.48
2026-07-04	oos	0.05242	0.052018	-0.77%	0.04668	-10.95%	0.1244	✓	1.49
2026-07-03	oos	0.05103	0.050652	-0.74%	0.04743	-7.05%	0.1031	✓	1.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.04957	0.049154	-0.84%	0.04796	-3.25%	0.0641	✓	1.46
2026-07-01	oos	0.04514	0.044957	-0.40%	0.04733	+4.85%	0.0006	✓	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.04523	0.044954	-0.61%	0.05032	+11.25%	0.0032	✓	1.39
2026-06-29	oos	0.04809	0.047721	-0.77%	0.04941	+2.74%	0.0507	✓	1.38
2026-06-28	oos	0.04569	0.045445	-0.54%	0.05132	+12.32%	0.0318	✗	1.34
2026-06-27	oos	0.04725	0.046971	-0.59%	0.05242	+10.94%	0.0409	✗	1.34
2026-06-26	oos	0.04671	0.046501	-0.45%	0.05103	+9.25%	0.0379	✗	1.34
2026-06-25	oos	0.04651	0.046373	-0.29%	0.04957	+6.58%	0.0275	✗	1.33
2026-06-24	oos	0.05069	0.050387	-0.60%	0.04514	-10.95%	0.0880	✓	1.30
2026-06-23	oos	0.05551	0.054899	-1.10%	0.04523	-18.52%	0.1085	✓	1.25
2026-06-22	oos	0.055825	0.055199	-1.12%	0.04809	-13.86%	0.0594	✓	1.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.05648	0.055745	-1.30%	0.04569	-19.10%	0.1197	✓	1.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.0547	0.054156	-0.99%	0.04725	-13.62%	0.0442	✓	1.33
2026-06-19	oos	0.05704	0.056235	-1.41%	0.04671	-18.11%	0.1087	✓	1.37
2026-06-18	oos	0.06217	0.060596	-2.53%	0.04651	-25.19%	0.1908	✓	1.42
2026-06-17	oos	0.05711	0.056202	-1.59%	0.05069	-11.24%	0.0162	✓	1.58
2026-06-16	oos	0.05749	0.056469	-1.78%	0.05551	-3.44%	0.0574	✗	1.61
2026-06-15	oos	0.06028	0.058806	-2.45%	0.055825	-7.39%	0.0052	✓	1.60
2026-06-14	oos	0.06287	0.060597	-3.61%	0.05648	-10.16%	0.0080	✓	1.63
2026-06-13	oos	0.06271	0.059881	-4.51%	0.0547	-12.77%	0.0852	✓	1.65
2026-06-12	oos	0.04665	0.0463	-0.75%	0.05704	+22.27%	0.2100	✗	1.34
2026-06-11	oos	0.04609	0.04575	-0.74%	0.06217	+34.89%	0.3211	✗	1.33
2026-06-10	oos	0.04252	0.042569	+0.12%	0.05711	+34.31%	0.2374	✓	1.19
2026-06-09	oos	0.04721	0.046899	-0.66%	0.05749	+21.78%	0.1300	✗	1.19
2026-06-08	oos	0.0501	0.049386	-1.42%	0.06028	+20.32%	0.1405	✗	1.18
2026-06-07	oos	0.04848	0.047938	-1.12%	0.06287	+29.68%	0.2272	✗	1.18
2026-06-06	oos	0.0446	0.044688	+0.20%	0.06271	+40.61%	0.2837	✓	0.96
2026-06-05	oos	0.04611	0.046194	+0.18%	0.04665	+1.17%	0.0290	✗	0.96
2026-06-04	oos	0.05057	0.050189	-0.75%	0.04609	-8.86%	0.0818	✓	0.90
2026-06-03	oos	0.05429	0.053644	-1.19%	0.04252	-21.68%	0.1950	✓	0.90
2026-06-02	oos	0.05456	0.053873	-1.26%	0.04721	-13.47%	0.0464	✓	1.10
2026-06-01	oos	0.05913	0.057745	-2.34%	0.0501	-15.27%	0.0224	✓	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.06097	0.059313	-2.72%	0.04848	-20.49%	0.0314	✗	1.55
2026-05-30	oos	0.06306	0.061217	-2.92%	0.0446	-29.27%	0.0182	✓	1.55
2026-05-29	oos	0.061625	0.060109	-2.46%	0.04611	-25.18%	0.0811	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.0634	0.061832	-2.47%	0.05057	-20.24%	0.0594	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.06753	0.065727	-2.67%	0.05429	-19.61%	0.0424	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.0677	0.065898	-2.66%	0.05456	-19.41%	0.0599	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.073915	0.071465	-3.31%	0.05913	-20.00%	0.1095	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.07738	0.074798	-3.34%	0.06097	-21.21%	0.1592	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.08015	0.077359	-3.48%	0.06306	-21.32%	0.1661	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.08032	0.077858	-3.07%	0.061625	-23.28%	0.2059	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.087	0.083185	-4.39%	0.0634	-27.13%	0.2182	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.081605	0.079256	-2.88%	0.06753	-17.25%	0.1185	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.08112	0.079475	-2.03%	0.0677	-16.54%	0.1480	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.086	0.084025	-2.30%	0.073915	-14.05%	0.1322	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.08994	0.087889	-2.28%	0.07738	-13.96%	0.1218	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.09273	0.090674	-2.22%	0.08015	-13.57%	0.1046	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.10026	0.097524	-2.73%	0.08032	-19.89%	0.1473	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.10538	0.10243	-2.80%	0.087	-17.44%	0.1187	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.10337	0.100746	-2.54%	0.081605	-21.06%	0.1876	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.10977	0.106859	-2.65%	0.08112	-26.10%	0.2283	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.11857	0.115344	-2.72%	0.086	-27.47%	0.2333	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.12692	0.123181	-2.95%	0.08994	-29.14%	0.2544	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.12551	0.121465	-3.22%	0.09273	-26.12%	0.2378	✓	1.00