MEGA

MegaETH · Megaeth · beta_5y

token id: #156
symbol: MEGA
variant: –
chain: Megaeth
address: 0x28b7e77f82b25b95953825f1e3ea0e36c1c29861
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-30
predictions: 501

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

137

of 167 predictions shown

direction hit

62.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1820

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0140

actual -0.1607

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.04613	0.044749	-2.99%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-21	oos	0.04599	0.044856	-2.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.56
2026-10-20	oos	0.043355	0.042244	-2.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.04405	0.042708	-3.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-18	oos	0.043835	0.042672	-2.65%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-17	oos	0.045285	0.043843	-3.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-16	oos	0.046835	0.045199	-3.49%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-15	oos	0.04549	0.044119	-3.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-14	oos	0.04571	0.044026	-3.68%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-13	oos	0.04441	0.043022	-3.12%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.04366	0.041852	-4.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.04673	0.044826	-4.07%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.04303	0.041319	-3.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-09	oos	0.04147	0.039828	-3.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-08	oos	0.041015	0.039281	-4.23%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-07	oos	0.044345	0.042555	-4.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-06	oos	0.04624	0.044615	-3.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-05	oos	0.05004	0.047853	-4.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-04	oos	0.049155	0.047093	-4.19%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-03	oos	0.049975	0.047759	-4.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.04632	0.04469	-3.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.050135	0.047817	-4.62%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.04177	0.040648	-2.68%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-09-29	oos	0.04198	0.041011	-2.31%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-28	oos	0.042205	0.04144	-1.81%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-09-27	oos	0.0439	0.04305	-1.94%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-09-26	oos	0.04483	0.043973	-1.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-25	oos	0.046525	0.045614	-1.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-24	oos	0.04491	0.044371	-1.20%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-09-23	oos	0.04363	0.043495	-0.31%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-09-22	oos	0.046545	0.046137	-0.88%	0.04613	-0.89%	0.0342	✗	1.48
2026-09-21	oos	0.045275	0.045117	-0.35%	0.04599	+1.58%	0.0650	✗	1.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.04299	0.042719	-0.63%	0.043355	+0.85%	0.0192	✓	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	0.042385	0.042318	-0.16%	0.04405	+3.93%	0.0285	✗	1.56
2026-09-18	oos	0.04088	0.041107	+0.56%	0.043835	+7.23%	0.0430	✓	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.03529	0.035397	+0.30%	0.045285	+28.32%	0.1569	✓	1.40
2026-09-16	oos	0.03452	0.034837	+0.92%	0.046835	+35.67%	0.2021	✓	1.38
2026-09-15	oos	0.03408	0.034352	+0.80%	0.04549	+33.48%	0.1748	✓	1.28
2026-09-14	oos	0.03571	0.036371	+1.85%	0.04571	+28.00%	0.1747	✓	1.27
2026-09-13	oos	0.03547	0.035906	+1.23%	0.04441	+25.20%	0.1116	✓	1.28
2026-09-12	oos	0.037075	0.037645	+1.54%	0.04366	+17.76%	0.0770	✓	1.26
2026-09-11	oos	0.037625	0.038269	+1.71%	0.04673	+24.20%	0.0986	✓	1.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.036865	0.037512	+1.75%	0.04303	+16.72%	0.0287	✓	1.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.038645	0.03984	+3.09%	0.04147	+7.31%	0.0313	✗	1.35
2026-09-08	oos	0.042145	0.04304	+2.12%	0.041015	-2.68%	0.1038	✗	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.04017	0.041467	+3.23%	0.044345	+10.39%	0.0057	✓	1.41
2026-09-06	oos	0.03958	0.041206	+4.11%	0.04624	+16.83%	0.0241	✓	1.45
2026-09-05	oos	0.04015	0.041644	+3.72%	0.05004	+24.63%	0.0802	✓	1.45
2026-09-04	oos	0.03859	0.040391	+4.67%	0.049155	+27.38%	0.0745	✓	1.48
2026-09-03	oos	0.04007	0.042299	+5.56%	0.049975	+24.72%	0.1046	✓	1.48
2026-09-02	oos	0.03669	0.03787	+3.22%	0.04632	+26.25%	0.0694	✓	1.48
2026-09-01	oos	0.03744	0.038605	+3.11%	0.050135	+33.91%	0.1242	✓	1.49
2026-08-31	oos	0.03794	0.039506	+4.13%	0.04177	+10.09%	0.0322	✓	1.43
2026-08-30	oos	0.036695	0.038036	+3.65%	0.04198	+14.40%	0.0038	✓	1.38
2026-08-29	oos	0.03841	0.039927	+3.95%	0.042205	+9.88%	0.0325	✓	1.36
2026-08-28	oos	0.03741	0.038996	+4.24%	0.0439	+17.35%	0.0073	✓	1.36
2026-08-27	oos	0.03913	0.041671	+6.49%	0.04483	+14.57%	0.0043	✓	1.37
2026-08-26	oos	0.03951	0.041725	+5.61%	0.046525	+17.75%	0.0233	✓	1.38
2026-08-25	oos	0.0389	0.041093	+5.64%	0.04491	+15.45%	0.0110	✓	1.39
2026-08-24	oos	0.04019	0.042549	+5.87%	0.04363	+8.56%	0.0653	✗	1.37
2026-08-23	oos	0.04286	0.044731	+4.37%	0.046545	+8.60%	0.1076	✗	1.42
2026-08-22	oos	0.04024	0.042064	+4.53%	0.045275	+12.51%	0.0909	✗	1.41
2026-08-21	oos	0.04248	0.044726	+5.29%	0.04299	+1.20%	0.0892	✗	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.03781	0.038397	+1.55%	0.042385	+12.10%	0.0438	✗	1.34
2026-08-19	oos	0.03489	0.034379	-1.47%	0.04088	+17.17%	0.0329	✓	1.33
2026-08-18	oos	0.03205	0.030838	-3.78%	0.03529	+10.11%	0.0871	✓	1.34
2026-08-17	oos	0.0322	0.030861	-4.16%	0.03452	+7.20%	0.1107	✓	1.34
2026-08-16	oos	0.03155	0.030094	-4.62%	0.03408	+8.02%	0.1242	✓	1.35
2026-08-15	oos	0.03123	0.029717	-4.85%	0.03571	+14.35%	0.1073	✓	1.35
2026-08-14	oos	0.03115	0.029612	-4.94%	0.03547	+13.87%	0.0877	✓	1.35
2026-08-13	oos	0.032655	0.031004	-5.06%	0.037075	+13.54%	0.0905	✓	1.36
2026-08-12	oos	0.03322	0.031472	-5.26%	0.037625	+13.26%	0.0913	✓	1.37
2026-08-11	oos	0.03314	0.031269	-5.65%	0.036865	+11.24%	0.0902	✓	1.37
2026-08-10	oos	0.0364	0.034129	-6.24%	0.038645	+6.17%	0.1541	✓	1.37
2026-08-09	oos	0.03598	0.033605	-6.60%	0.042145	+17.13%	0.0419	✓	1.41
2026-08-08	oos	0.036165	0.033702	-6.81%	0.04017	+11.07%	0.1040	✓	1.41
2026-08-07	oos	0.03528	0.032846	-6.90%	0.03958	+12.19%	0.1141	✓	1.41
2026-08-06	oos	0.03555	0.03299	-7.20%	0.04015	+12.94%	0.1114	✓	1.42
2026-08-05	oos	0.03607	0.033392	-7.42%	0.03859	+6.99%	0.1538	✓	1.42
2026-08-04	oos	0.03584	0.03314	-7.53%	0.04007	+11.80%	0.1496	✓	1.43
2026-08-03	oos	0.03669	0.033924	-7.54%	0.03669	+0.00%	0.2040	✓	1.43
2026-08-02	oos	0.03651	0.033769	-7.51%	0.03744	+2.55%	0.1808	✓	1.43
2026-08-01	oos	0.0365	0.033802	-7.39%	0.03794	+3.95%	0.2072	✓	1.44
2026-07-31	oos	0.03654	0.034018	-6.90%	0.036695	+0.42%	0.2283	✓	1.43
2026-07-30	oos	0.037	0.03507	-5.22%	0.03841	+3.81%	0.1812	✓	1.44
2026-07-29	oos	0.036395	0.034566	-5.02%	0.03741	+2.79%	0.1910	✓	1.37
2026-07-28	oos	0.03957	0.037854	-4.34%	0.03913	-1.11%	0.2816	✓	1.37
2026-07-27	oos	0.03972	0.038136	-3.99%	0.03951	-0.53%	0.2609	✓	1.37
2026-07-26	oos	0.04325	0.042123	-2.61%	0.0389	-10.06%	0.3267	✓	1.34
2026-07-25	oos	0.042525	0.041476	-2.47%	0.04019	-5.49%	0.3070	✓	1.34
2026-07-24	oos	0.04349	0.042607	-2.03%	0.04286	-1.45%	0.2531	✓	1.34
2026-07-23	oos	0.043165	0.042781	-0.89%	0.04024	-6.78%	0.2915	✓	1.36
2026-07-22	oos	0.04369	0.043749	+0.13%	0.04248	-2.77%	0.2624	✗	1.37
2026-07-21	oos	0.04336	0.043692	+0.77%	0.03781	-12.80%	0.2728	✗	1.38
2026-07-20	oos	0.04278	0.04312	+0.80%	0.03489	-18.44%	0.2954	✗	1.38
2026-07-19	oos	0.04405	0.044336	+0.65%	0.03205	-27.24%	0.3245	✗	1.39
2026-07-18	oos	0.04448	0.044925	+1.00%	0.0322	-27.61%	0.3262	✗	1.39
2026-07-17	oos	0.0433	0.04374	+1.02%	0.03155	-27.14%	0.3038	✗	1.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.0461	0.046453	+0.77%	0.03123	-32.26%	0.3807	✗	1.38
2026-07-15	oos	0.048025	0.048409	+0.80%	0.03115	-35.14%	0.4033	✗	1.38
2026-07-14	oos	0.04904	0.049467	+0.87%	0.032655	-33.41%	0.3818	✗	1.38
2026-07-13	oos	0.04726	0.047474	+0.45%	0.03322	-29.71%	0.3824	✗	1.39
2026-07-12	oos	0.046095	0.046614	+1.13%	0.03314	-28.11%	0.3364	✗	1.45
2026-07-11	oos	0.04668	0.04741	+1.56%	0.0364	-22.02%	0.2674	✗	1.45
2026-07-10	oos	0.04743	0.048393	+2.03%	0.03598	-24.14%	0.3126	✗	1.45
2026-07-09	oos	0.04796	0.049004	+2.18%	0.036165	-24.59%	0.3435	✗	1.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.04733	0.0484	+2.26%	0.03528	-25.46%	0.3772	✗	1.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.05032	0.051297	+1.94%	0.03555	-29.35%	0.3881	✗	1.45
2026-07-06	oos	0.04941	0.050484	+2.17%	0.03607	-27.00%	0.3499	✗	1.46
2026-07-05	oos	0.05132	0.052316	+1.94%	0.03584	-30.16%	0.3891	✗	1.48
2026-07-04	oos	0.05242	0.053344	+1.76%	0.03669	-30.01%	0.3832	✗	1.49
2026-07-03	oos	0.05103	0.05198	+1.86%	0.03651	-28.45%	0.3762	✗	1.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.04957	0.050527	+1.93%	0.0365	-26.37%	0.3552	✗	1.46
2026-07-01	oos	0.04514	0.046264	+2.49%	0.03654	-19.05%	0.2997	✗	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.04523	0.04627	+2.30%	0.037	-18.20%	0.3635	✗	1.39
2026-06-29	oos	0.04809	0.049009	+1.91%	0.036395	-24.32%	0.3808	✗	1.38
2026-06-28	oos	0.04569	0.046685	+2.18%	0.03957	-13.39%	0.2607	✗	1.34
2026-06-27	oos	0.04725	0.048218	+2.05%	0.03972	-15.94%	0.2756	✗	1.34
2026-06-26	oos	0.04671	0.04779	+2.31%	0.04325	-7.41%	0.2139	✗	1.34
2026-06-25	oos	0.04651	0.04765	+2.45%	0.042525	-8.57%	0.2125	✗	1.33
2026-06-24	oos	0.05069	0.051656	+1.91%	0.04349	-14.20%	0.2365	✗	1.30
2026-06-23	oos	0.05551	0.056034	+0.94%	0.043165	-22.24%	0.3082	✗	1.25
2026-06-22	oos	0.055825	0.056235	+0.74%	0.04369	-21.74%	0.2946	✗	1.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.05648	0.056835	+0.63%	0.04336	-23.23%	0.3359	✗	1.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.0547	0.055109	+0.75%	0.04278	-21.79%	0.2736	✗	1.33
2026-06-19	oos	0.05704	0.057271	+0.41%	0.04405	-22.77%	0.2882	✗	1.37
2026-06-18	oos	0.06217	0.061776	-0.63%	0.04448	-28.45%	0.3713	✓	1.42
2026-06-17	oos	0.05711	0.05704	-0.12%	0.0433	-24.18%	0.2620	✓	1.58
2026-06-16	oos	0.05749	0.057163	-0.57%	0.0461	-19.81%	0.1692	✓	1.61
2026-06-15	oos	0.06028	0.059404	-1.45%	0.048025	-20.33%	0.1745	✓	1.60
2026-06-14	oos	0.06287	0.061416	-2.31%	0.04904	-22.00%	0.2071	✓	1.63
2026-06-13	oos	0.06271	0.061034	-2.67%	0.04726	-24.64%	0.1995	✓	1.65
2026-06-12	oos	0.04665	0.046905	+0.55%	0.046095	-1.19%	0.0217	✗	1.34
2026-06-11	oos	0.04609	0.046232	+0.31%	0.04668	+1.28%	0.0053	✓	1.33
2026-06-10	oos	0.04252	0.042924	+0.95%	0.04743	+11.55%	0.0492	✓	1.19
2026-06-09	oos	0.04721	0.047277	+0.14%	0.04796	+1.59%	0.0141	✗	1.19
2026-06-08	oos	0.0501	0.049563	-1.07%	0.04733	-5.53%	0.0305	✓	1.18
2026-06-07	oos	0.04848	0.047798	-1.41%	0.05032	+3.80%	0.0510	✗	1.18
2026-06-06	oos	0.0446	0.044279	-0.72%	0.04941	+10.78%	0.0610	✗	0.96
2026-06-05	oos	0.04611	0.045508	-1.31%	0.05132	+11.30%	0.0807	✗	0.96
2026-06-04	oos	0.05057	0.049064	-2.98%	0.05242	+3.66%	0.0764	✗	0.90
2026-06-03	oos	0.05429	0.05223	-3.79%	0.05103	-6.00%	0.0015	✓	0.90
2026-06-02	oos	0.05456	0.051793	-5.07%	0.04957	-9.15%	0.0454	✓	1.10
2026-06-01	oos	0.05913	0.05474	-7.42%	0.04514	-23.66%	0.0390	✓	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.06097	0.055908	-8.30%	0.04523	-25.82%	0.1428	✗	1.55
2026-05-30	oos	0.06306	0.05774	-8.44%	0.04809	-23.74%	0.1332	✗	1.55
2026-05-29	oos	0.061625	0.056619	-8.12%	0.04569	-25.86%	0.0045	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.0634	0.058188	-8.22%	0.04725	-25.47%	0.0040	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.06753	0.061789	-8.50%	0.04671	-30.83%	0.0658	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.0677	0.061908	-8.56%	0.04651	-31.30%	0.0469	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.073915	0.067467	-8.72%	0.05069	-31.42%	0.0495	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.07738	0.070764	-8.55%	0.05551	-28.26%	0.0368	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.08015	0.073419	-8.40%	0.055825	-30.35%	0.0928	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.08032	0.073522	-8.46%	0.05648	-29.68%	0.0872	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.087	0.079652	-8.45%	0.0547	-37.13%	0.1873	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.081605	0.074832	-8.30%	0.05704	-30.10%	0.0722	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.08112	0.074221	-8.50%	0.06217	-23.36%	0.0224	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.086	0.079128	-7.99%	0.05711	-33.59%	0.1488	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.08994	0.083289	-7.40%	0.05749	-36.08%	0.2054	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.09273	0.086843	-6.35%	0.06028	-34.99%	0.2009	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.10026	0.095338	-4.91%	0.06287	-37.29%	0.2314	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.10538	0.10226	-2.96%	0.06271	-40.49%	0.2592	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.10337	0.099218	-4.02%	0.04665	-54.87%	0.5332	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.10977	0.10694	-2.58%	0.04609	-58.01%	0.6056	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.11857	0.116955	-1.36%	0.04252	-64.14%	0.7266	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.12692	0.125809	-0.88%	0.04721	-62.80%	0.6931	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.12551	0.123387	-1.69%	0.0501	-60.08%	0.6552	✓	1.00