MARSCOIN

MarsCoin · Binance Smart Chain · beta_5y

token id: #52
symbol: MARSCOIN
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0xfe189e97832da1573e4e4ff034f4ffc3a15c7777
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-09-04
predictions: 120

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 40 predictions shown

direction hit

63.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1597

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0437

actual -0.0628

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.08135	0.078636	-3.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-21	oos	0.07975	0.077199	-3.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-10-20	oos	0.07935	0.07664	-3.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-19	oos	0.07795	0.075384	-3.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-18	oos	0.07555	0.073379	-2.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-17	oos	0.07685	0.074695	-2.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-16	oos	0.07985	0.077279	-3.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-15	oos	0.07715	0.074937	-2.87%	0.08135	+5.44%	0.0607	✗	0.85
2026-10-14	oos	0.08255	0.079872	-3.24%	0.07975	-3.39%	0.0135	✓	0.87
2026-10-13	oos	0.07945	0.077123	-2.93%	0.07935	-0.13%	0.0304	✗	0.98
2026-10-12	oos	0.08085	0.078675	-2.69%	0.07795	-3.59%	0.0104	✓	0.99
2026-10-11	oos	0.09555	0.091836	-3.89%	0.07555	-20.93%	0.1799	✓	0.76
2026-10-10	oos	0.09625	0.092499	-3.90%	0.07685	-20.16%	0.1713	✓	0.76
2026-10-09	oos	0.09325	0.089879	-3.62%	0.07985	-14.37%	0.1088	✓	0.74
2026-10-08	oos	0.09105	0.08801	-3.34%	0.07715	-15.27%	0.1355	✓	0.71
2026-10-07	oos	0.09505	0.091629	-3.60%	0.08255	-13.15%	0.0898	✓	0.70
2026-10-06	oos	0.10535	0.100797	-4.32%	0.07945	-24.58%	0.2222	✓	0.55
2026-10-05	oos	0.10525	0.100856	-4.17%	0.08085	-23.18%	0.1946	✓	0.55
2026-10-04	oos	0.10865	0.104068	-4.22%	0.09555	-12.06%	0.0672	✓	0.55
2026-10-03	oos	0.11095	0.106045	-4.42%	0.09625	-13.25%	0.0751	✓	1.00
2026-10-02	oos	0.1074	0.102731	-4.35%	0.09325	-13.18%	0.0734	✓	1.00
2026-10-01	oos	0.12765	0.121703	-4.66%	0.09105	-28.67%	0.2523	✓	1.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.1371	0.130232	-5.01%	0.09505	-30.67%	0.3115	✓	1.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.14065	0.133152	-5.33%	0.10535	-25.10%	0.2567	✓	1.00
2026-09-28	oos	0.15785	0.145954	-7.54%	0.10525	-33.32%	0.3541	✓	1.00
2026-09-27	oos	0.1233	0.116598	-5.44%	0.10865	-11.88%	0.0945	✓	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.13445	0.125924	-6.34%	0.11095	-17.48%	0.1304	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.11835	0.111614	-5.69%	0.1074	-9.25%	0.0434	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.1152	0.108703	-5.64%	0.12765	+10.81%	0.1552	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.1364	0.127587	-6.46%	0.1371	+0.51%	0.0817	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.14165	0.130248	-8.05%	0.14065	-0.71%	0.1070	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.10195	0.0958	-6.03%	0.15785	+54.83%	0.5363	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.09225	0.088736	-3.81%	0.1233	+33.66%	0.2891	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.09905	0.094859	-4.23%	0.13445	+35.74%	0.3104	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.11315	0.107	-5.44%	0.11835	+4.60%	0.0618	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.1172	0.110717	-5.53%	0.1152	-1.71%	0.0604	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.092	0.090238	-1.91%	0.1364	+48.26%	0.3105	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.08655	0.086221	-0.38%	0.14165	+63.66%	0.3650	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.09165	0.090923	-0.79%	0.10195	+11.24%	0.0122	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.09765	0.09701	-0.65%	0.09225	-5.53%	0.1055	✓	1.00