MARSCOIN

MarsCoin · Binance Smart Chain · beta_5y

token id: #52
symbol: MARSCOIN
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0xfe189e97832da1573e4e4ff034f4ffc3a15c7777
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-09-04
predictions: 120

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 40 predictions shown

direction hit

53.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0720

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0088

actual -0.0076

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.08135	0.080756	-0.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-21	oos	0.07975	0.079205	-0.68%	0.08135	+0.25%	0.0074	✗	0.82
2026-10-20	oos	0.07935	0.078771	-0.73%	0.07975	+0.50%	0.0148	✗	0.83
2026-10-19	oos	0.07795	0.077392	-0.72%	0.07935	+1.80%	0.0143	✗	0.80
2026-10-18	oos	0.07555	0.075141	-0.54%	0.07795	+3.18%	0.0384	✗	0.81
2026-10-17	oos	0.07685	0.076451	-0.52%	0.07555	-1.69%	0.0181	✓	0.81
2026-10-16	oos	0.07985	0.079323	-0.66%	0.07685	-3.76%	0.0305	✓	0.81
2026-10-15	oos	0.07715	0.076765	-0.50%	0.07985	+3.50%	0.0459	✗	0.85
2026-10-14	oos	0.08255	0.082004	-0.66%	0.07715	-6.54%	0.0669	✓	0.87
2026-10-13	oos	0.07945	0.079055	-0.50%	0.08255	+3.90%	0.0616	✗	0.98
2026-10-12	oos	0.08085	0.080487	-0.45%	0.07945	-1.73%	0.0294	✓	0.99
2026-10-11	oos	0.09555	0.094723	-0.87%	0.08085	-15.38%	0.1406	✓	0.76
2026-10-10	oos	0.09625	0.095394	-0.89%	0.09555	-0.73%	0.0053	✓	0.76
2026-10-09	oos	0.09325	0.092533	-0.77%	0.09625	+3.22%	0.0361	✗	0.74
2026-10-08	oos	0.09105	0.090446	-0.66%	0.09325	+2.42%	0.0231	✗	0.71
2026-10-07	oos	0.09505	0.094381	-0.70%	0.09105	-4.21%	0.0224	✓	0.70
2026-10-06	oos	0.10535	0.104274	-1.02%	0.09505	-9.78%	0.0780	✓	0.55
2026-10-05	oos	0.10525	0.10427	-0.93%	0.10535	+0.10%	0.0117	✗	0.55
2026-10-04	oos	0.10865	0.107646	-0.92%	0.10525	-3.13%	0.0177	✓	0.55
2026-10-03	oos	0.11095	0.109909	-0.94%	0.10865	-2.07%	0.0321	✓	1.00
2026-10-02	oos	0.1074	0.106576	-0.77%	0.11095	+3.31%	0.0374	✗	1.00
2026-10-01	oos	0.12765	0.126426	-0.96%	0.1074	-15.86%	0.1590	✓	1.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.1371	0.135637	-1.07%	0.12765	-6.89%	0.0760	✓	1.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.14065	0.13905	-1.14%	0.1371	-2.52%	0.0131	✓	1.00
2026-09-28	oos	0.15785	0.15396	-2.46%	0.14065	-10.90%	0.0926	✓	1.00
2026-09-27	oos	0.1233	0.121903	-1.13%	0.15785	+28.02%	0.2704	✗	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.13445	0.132254	-1.63%	0.1233	-8.29%	0.0706	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.11835	0.116949	-1.18%	0.13445	+13.60%	0.1356	✗	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.1152	0.114056	-0.99%	0.11835	+2.73%	0.0404	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.1364	0.134393	-1.47%	0.1152	-15.54%	0.1542	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.14165	0.137933	-2.62%	0.1364	-3.71%	0.0102	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.10195	0.100572	-1.35%	0.14165	+38.94%	0.3471	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.09225	0.091773	-0.52%	0.10195	+10.51%	0.0403	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.09905	0.098452	-0.60%	0.09225	-6.87%	0.0642	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.11315	0.111948	-1.06%	0.09905	-12.46%	0.1268	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.1172	0.11546	-1.48%	0.11315	-3.46%	0.0778	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.092	0.091753	-0.27%	0.1172	+27.39%	0.2421	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.08655	0.086636	+0.10%	0.092	+6.30%	0.0527	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.09165	0.091661	+0.01%	0.08655	-5.56%	0.0237	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.09765	0.097666	+0.02%	0.09165	-6.14%	0.0813	✗	1.00