MAP

MAP · · beta_5y

token id: #624
symbol: MAP
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-11-23
predictions: 1,446

Track record at +7d

assessed

371

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

52.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1112

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0139

actual -0.0248

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.003485	0.003407	-2.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.15
2026-10-21	oos	0.003395	0.003319	-2.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.13
2026-10-20	oos	0.003295	0.003225	-2.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.13
2026-10-19	oos	0.003225	0.003157	-2.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.13
2026-10-18	oos	0.003205	0.00314	-2.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.12
2026-10-17	oos	0.003205	0.003136	-2.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.11
2026-10-16	oos	0.00306	0.00301	-1.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.12
2026-10-15	oos	0.00303	0.002991	-1.29%	0.003485	+15.02%	0.1498	✗	0.12
2026-10-14	oos	0.00312	0.00307	-1.60%	0.003395	+8.81%	0.0988	✗	0.13
2026-10-13	oos	0.003265	0.003206	-1.81%	0.003295	+0.92%	0.0276	✗	0.11
2026-10-12	oos	0.003385	0.003306	-2.33%	0.003225	-4.73%	0.0250	✓	0.13
2026-10-11	oos	0.003515	0.003427	-2.51%	0.003205	-8.82%	0.0652	✓	0.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.00354	0.003441	-2.80%	0.003205	-9.46%	0.0685	✓	0.14
2026-10-09	oos	0.003565	0.003455	-3.07%	0.00306	-14.17%	0.1199	✓	0.13
2026-10-08	oos	0.003565	0.003447	-3.31%	0.00303	-15.01%	0.1296	✓	0.12
2026-10-07	oos	0.003565	0.003447	-3.31%	0.00312	-12.48%	0.0971	✓	0.13
2026-10-06	oos	0.00349	0.003385	-3.00%	0.003265	-6.45%	0.0320	✓	0.15
2026-10-05	oos	0.00357	0.003461	-3.06%	0.003385	-5.18%	0.0122	✓	0.21
2026-10-04	oos	0.003605	0.003495	-3.06%	0.003515	-2.50%	0.0131	✓	0.22
2026-10-03	oos	0.003535	0.003422	-3.19%	0.00354	+0.14%	0.0384	✗	0.21
2026-10-02	oos	0.003475	0.003365	-3.17%	0.003565	+2.59%	0.0627	✗	0.21
2026-10-01	oos	0.00341	0.003308	-2.98%	0.003565	+4.55%	0.0827	✗	0.21
2026-09-30	oos	0.00333	0.003232	-2.95%	0.003565	+7.06%	0.0988	✗	0.20
2026-09-29	oos	0.00322	0.003136	-2.59%	0.00349	+8.39%	0.1028	✗	0.18
2026-09-28	oos	0.003205	0.003124	-2.52%	0.00357	+11.39%	0.1288	✗	0.17
2026-09-27	oos	0.0032	0.003125	-2.35%	0.003605	+12.66%	0.1389	✗	0.17
2026-09-26	oos	0.003185	0.003116	-2.17%	0.003535	+10.99%	0.1255	✗	0.17
2026-09-25	oos	0.00316	0.003096	-2.02%	0.003475	+9.97%	0.1148	✗	0.14
2026-09-24	oos	0.00319	0.003126	-2.00%	0.00341	+6.90%	0.0861	✗	0.14
2026-09-23	oos	0.00321	0.003147	-1.98%	0.00333	+3.74%	0.0580	✗	0.14
2026-09-22	oos	0.00327	0.003207	-1.92%	0.00322	-1.53%	0.0084	✓	0.15
2026-09-21	oos	0.00327	0.00321	-1.83%	0.003205	-1.99%	0.0042	✓	0.16
2026-09-20	oos	0.00328	0.003201	-2.40%	0.0032	-2.44%	0.0082	✓	0.20
2026-09-19	oos	0.00326	0.003184	-2.32%	0.003185	-2.30%	0.0074	✓	0.20
2026-09-18	oos	0.003185	0.003121	-2.01%	0.00316	-0.78%	0.0045	✓	0.20
2026-09-17	oos	0.00311	0.003041	-2.23%	0.00319	+2.57%	0.0300	✗	0.18
2026-09-16	oos	0.00306	0.003	-1.95%	0.00321	+4.90%	0.0494	✗	0.18
2026-09-15	oos	0.003025	0.002974	-1.70%	0.00327	+8.10%	0.0724	✗	0.17
2026-09-14	oos	0.00301	0.002984	-0.88%	0.00327	+8.64%	0.0729	✗	0.18
2026-09-13	oos	0.002985	0.002961	-0.80%	0.00328	+9.88%	0.0924	✗	0.18
2026-09-12	oos	0.003	0.002982	-0.60%	0.00326	+8.67%	0.0800	✗	0.18
2026-09-11	oos	0.003015	0.002997	-0.59%	0.003185	+5.64%	0.0523	✗	0.18
2026-09-10	oos	0.002955	0.002944	-0.37%	0.00311	+5.25%	0.0552	✗	0.18
2026-09-09	oos	0.00305	0.003032	-0.58%	0.00306	+0.33%	0.0135	✗	0.16
2026-09-08	oos	0.003025	0.003006	-0.63%	0.003025	+0.00%	0.0123	✗	0.16
2026-09-07	oos	0.00298	0.00296	-0.66%	0.00301	+1.01%	0.0186	✗	0.17
2026-09-06	oos	0.00288	0.002878	-0.06%	0.002985	+3.65%	0.0460	✗	0.21
2026-09-05	oos	0.002775	0.002791	+0.59%	0.003	+8.11%	0.0788	✓	0.21
2026-09-04	oos	0.002765	0.0028	+1.26%	0.003015	+9.04%	0.0797	✓	0.18
2026-09-03	oos	0.00301	0.003056	+1.53%	0.002955	-1.83%	0.0260	✗	0.13
2026-09-02	oos	0.00307	0.00311	+1.30%	0.00305	-0.65%	0.0212	✗	0.14
2026-09-01	oos	0.00306	0.003102	+1.39%	0.003025	-1.14%	0.0273	✗	0.15
2026-08-31	oos	0.00286	0.002933	+2.55%	0.00298	+4.20%	0.0147	✓	0.18
2026-08-30	oos	0.0028	0.00287	+2.50%	0.00288	+2.86%	0.0016	✓	0.15
2026-08-29	oos	0.00276	0.002836	+2.75%	0.002775	+0.54%	0.0246	✓	0.14
2026-08-28	oos	0.00276	0.002831	+2.58%	0.002765	+0.18%	0.0270	✗	0.14
2026-08-27	oos	0.00289	0.002959	+2.39%	0.00301	+4.15%	0.0157	✓	0.11
2026-08-26	oos	0.00289	0.002942	+1.79%	0.00307	+6.23%	0.0452	✓	0.11
2026-08-25	oos	0.00287	0.002914	+1.52%	0.00306	+6.62%	0.0507	✓	0.11
2026-08-24	oos	0.00287	0.002909	+1.35%	0.00286	-0.35%	0.0163	✗	0.11
2026-08-23	oos	0.00282	0.00285	+1.06%	0.0028	-0.71%	0.0176	✗	0.10
2026-08-22	oos	0.0028	0.002822	+0.78%	0.00276	-1.43%	0.0236	✗	0.10
2026-08-21	oos	0.00279	0.002813	+0.81%	0.00276	-1.08%	0.0183	✗	0.10
2026-08-20	oos	0.00281	0.002795	-0.55%	0.00289	+2.85%	0.0210	✗	0.13
2026-08-19	oos	0.00279	0.002747	-1.55%	0.00289	+3.58%	0.0356	✗	0.12
2026-08-18	oos	0.00279	0.002723	-2.40%	0.00287	+2.87%	0.0265	✗	0.13
2026-08-17	oos	0.00278	0.002719	-2.20%	0.00287	+3.24%	0.0271	✗	0.13
2026-08-16	oos	0.00276	0.002701	-2.14%	0.00282	+2.17%	0.0158	✓	0.13
2026-08-15	oos	0.00289	0.00282	-2.43%	0.0028	-3.11%	0.0325	✓	0.13
2026-08-14	oos	0.00291	0.002841	-2.37%	0.00279	-4.12%	0.0457	✓	0.13
2026-08-13	oos	0.00323	0.003122	-3.35%	0.00281	-13.00%	0.1207	✓	0.11
2026-08-12	oos	0.00317	0.003058	-3.53%	0.00279	-11.99%	0.1012	✓	0.11
2026-08-11	oos	0.00298	0.002864	-3.91%	0.00279	-6.38%	0.0280	✓	0.11
2026-08-10	oos	0.00227	0.002236	-1.48%	0.00278	+22.47%	0.2171	✗	0.06
2026-08-09	oos	0.00212	0.002102	-0.87%	0.00276	+30.19%	0.2749	✗	0.08
2026-08-08	oos	0.00211	0.002092	-0.84%	0.00289	+36.97%	0.3250	✗	0.07
2026-08-07	oos	0.00211	0.002093	-0.81%	0.00291	+37.91%	0.3321	✗	0.08
2026-08-06	oos	0.00211	0.002092	-0.86%	0.00323	+53.08%	0.4358	✗	0.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.00213	0.00211	-0.92%	0.00317	+48.83%	0.4088	✗	0.11
2026-08-04	oos	0.00212	0.002099	-0.99%	0.00298	+40.57%	0.3513	✗	0.11
2026-08-03	oos	0.00208	0.00206	-0.96%	0.00227	+9.13%	0.0963	✗	0.10
2026-08-02	oos	0.00216	0.002135	-1.15%	0.00212	-1.85%	0.0093	✓	0.11
2026-08-01	oos	0.00211	0.002087	-1.09%	0.00211	+0.00%	0.0077	✓	0.10
2026-07-31	oos	0.00215	0.002126	-1.13%	0.00211	-1.86%	0.0106	✓	0.10
2026-07-30	oos	0.0022	0.002178	-1.01%	0.00211	-4.09%	0.0311	✓	0.08
2026-07-29	oos	0.002	0.001991	-0.44%	0.00213	+6.50%	0.0673	✗	0.01
2026-07-28	oos	0.0021	0.002091	-0.42%	0.00212	+0.95%	0.0136	✗	0.01
2026-07-27	oos	0.00222	0.002208	-0.52%	0.00208	-6.31%	0.0598	✓	0.02
2026-07-26	oos	0.00222	0.002219	-0.06%	0.00216	-2.70%	0.0260	✓	0.03
2026-07-25	oos	0.0022	0.002198	-0.10%	0.00211	-4.09%	0.0402	✓	0.02
2026-07-24	oos	0.00224	0.002237	-0.13%	0.00215	-4.02%	0.0393	✓	0.03
2026-07-23	oos	0.00224	0.002243	+0.13%	0.0022	-1.79%	0.0192	✗	0.02
2026-07-22	oos	0.0022	0.002211	+0.49%	0.002	-9.09%	0.0991	✗	0.03
2026-07-21	oos	0.00223	0.002242	+0.55%	0.0021	-5.83%	0.0642	✗	0.03
2026-07-20	oos	0.00225	0.002258	+0.35%	0.00222	-1.33%	0.0160	✗	0.04
2026-07-19	oos	0.00231	0.002316	+0.24%	0.00222	-3.90%	0.0426	✗	0.04
2026-07-18	oos	0.0024	0.002404	+0.16%	0.0022	-8.33%	0.0883	✗	0.04
2026-07-17	oos	0.00242	0.002421	+0.04%	0.00224	-7.44%	0.0778	✗	0.04
2026-07-16	oos	0.00249	0.002488	-0.08%	0.00224	-10.04%	0.1059	✓	0.05
2026-07-15	oos	0.00253	0.00253	+0.01%	0.0022	-13.04%	0.1407	✗	0.04
2026-07-14	oos	0.00262	0.002617	-0.13%	0.00223	-14.89%	0.1608	✓	0.04
2026-07-13	oos	0.00264	0.002627	-0.49%	0.00225	-14.77%	0.1576	✓	0.06
2026-07-12	oos	0.00282	0.002794	-0.91%	0.00231	-18.09%	0.1905	✓	0.01
2026-07-11	oos	0.00257	0.002558	-0.48%	0.0024	-6.61%	0.0636	✓	0.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.00244	0.002435	-0.21%	0.00242	-0.82%	0.0061	✓	0.01
2026-07-09	oos	0.00235	0.002347	-0.13%	0.00249	+5.96%	0.0592	✗	-0.01
2026-07-08	oos	0.00231	0.002309	-0.04%	0.00253	+9.52%	0.0926	✗	-0.03
2026-07-07	oos	0.00258	0.002571	-0.33%	0.00262	+1.55%	0.0209	✗	-0.09
2026-07-06	oos	0.00267	0.002659	-0.43%	0.00264	-1.12%	0.0095	✓	-0.09
2026-07-05	oos	0.00271	0.002694	-0.59%	0.00282	+4.06%	0.0459	✗	-0.08
2026-07-04	oos	0.00273	0.002711	-0.71%	0.00257	-5.86%	0.0524	✓	-0.08
2026-07-03	oos	0.00274	0.002717	-0.84%	0.00244	-10.95%	0.1055	✓	-0.08
2026-07-02	oos	0.00275	0.002724	-0.96%	0.00235	-14.55%	0.1454	✓	-0.08
2026-07-01	oos	0.00287	0.002831	-1.36%	0.00231	-19.51%	0.2017	✓	-0.04
2026-06-30	oos	0.00289	0.002844	-1.61%	0.00258	-10.73%	0.0943	✓	-0.04
2026-06-29	oos	0.00289	0.002844	-1.60%	0.00267	-7.61%	0.0605	✓	-0.04
2026-06-28	oos	0.00293	0.002872	-1.97%	0.00271	-7.51%	0.0559	✓	-0.03
2026-06-27	oos	0.00274	0.002698	-1.55%	0.00273	-0.36%	0.0127	✓	-0.01
2026-06-26	oos	0.00267	0.002634	-1.34%	0.00274	+2.62%	0.0398	✗	-0.01
2026-06-25	oos	0.00275	0.002708	-1.52%	0.00275	+0.00%	0.0154	✗	-0.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.00284	0.002794	-1.62%	0.00287	+1.06%	0.0267	✗	-0.01
2026-06-23	oos	0.00289	0.002843	-1.62%	0.00289	+0.00%	0.0153	✓	-0.02
2026-06-22	oos	0.00295	0.0029	-1.70%	0.00289	-2.03%	0.0053	✓	-0.03
2026-06-21	oos	0.00293	0.002879	-1.73%	0.00293	+0.00%	0.0156	✓	-0.03
2026-06-20	oos	0.00298	0.002929	-1.71%	0.00274	-8.05%	0.0695	✓	-0.04
2026-06-19	oos	0.00301	0.002952	-1.93%	0.00267	-11.30%	0.1022	✓	-0.03
2026-06-18	oos	0.00302	0.002958	-2.05%	0.00275	-8.94%	0.0746	✓	-0.03
2026-06-17	oos	0.00302	0.002958	-2.06%	0.00284	-5.96%	0.0424	✓	-0.03
2026-06-16	oos	0.00303	0.002967	-2.07%	0.00289	-4.62%	0.0277	✓	-0.03
2026-06-15	oos	0.00303	0.002965	-2.15%	0.00295	-2.64%	0.0060	✓	-0.03
2026-06-14	oos	0.00299	0.002927	-2.10%	0.00293	-2.01%	0.0001	✓	-0.03
2026-06-13	oos	0.00297	0.002907	-2.12%	0.00298	+0.34%	0.0246	✗	-0.04
2026-06-12	oos	0.00297	0.002904	-2.22%	0.00301	+1.35%	0.0358	✗	-0.04
2026-06-11	oos	0.00294	0.002877	-2.13%	0.00302	+2.72%	0.0480	✗	-0.04
2026-06-10	oos	0.00291	0.002849	-2.11%	0.00302	+3.78%	0.0606	✗	-0.05
2026-06-09	oos	0.00292	0.002861	-2.03%	0.00303	+3.77%	0.0605	✗	-0.05
2026-06-08	oos	0.00302	0.002949	-2.34%	0.00303	+0.33%	0.0304	✗	-0.07
2026-06-07	oos	0.00302	0.002949	-2.34%	0.00299	-0.99%	0.0164	✓	-0.07
2026-06-06	oos	0.00308	0.003004	-2.46%	0.00297	-3.57%	0.0090	✓	-0.04
2026-06-05	oos	0.00311	0.003029	-2.61%	0.00297	-4.50%	0.0182	✓	-0.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.00308	0.003003	-2.50%	0.00294	-4.55%	0.0213	✓	-0.03
2026-06-03	oos	0.00322	0.003124	-3.00%	0.00291	-9.63%	0.0719	✓	-0.03
2026-06-02	oos	0.00323	0.003131	-3.07%	0.00292	-9.60%	0.0726	✓	-0.04
2026-06-01	oos	0.00323	0.003132	-3.02%	0.00302	-6.50%	0.0383	✓	-0.01
2026-05-31	oos	0.00322	0.003126	-2.93%	0.00302	-6.21%	0.0358	✓	-0.01
2026-05-30	oos	0.00322	0.003124	-2.99%	0.00308	-4.35%	0.0178	✓	-0.02
2026-05-29	oos	0.00321	0.003114	-3.01%	0.00311	-3.12%	0.0047	✓	-0.02
2026-05-28	oos	0.00323	0.00313	-3.09%	0.00308	-4.64%	0.0195	✓	-0.02
2026-05-27	oos	0.00323	0.003129	-3.12%	0.00322	-0.31%	0.0262	✓	-0.02
2026-05-26	oos	0.00323	0.003128	-3.17%	0.00323	+0.00%	0.0299	✓	-0.02
2026-05-25	oos	0.00322	0.003117	-3.20%	0.00323	+0.31%	0.0349	✗	-0.01
2026-05-24	oos	0.00321	0.003105	-3.27%	0.00322	+0.31%	0.0359	✗	-0.01
2026-05-23	oos	0.00317	0.003066	-3.28%	0.00322	+1.58%	0.0482	✗	-0.02
2026-05-22	oos	0.00315	0.003044	-3.35%	0.00321	+1.90%	0.0524	✗	-0.02
2026-05-21	oos	0.00311	0.003008	-3.28%	0.00323	+3.86%	0.0705	✗	-0.01
2026-05-20	oos	0.00309	0.002989	-3.27%	0.00323	+4.53%	0.0768	✗	-0.02
2026-05-19	oos	0.00309	0.002986	-3.37%	0.00323	+4.53%	0.0784	✗	-0.02
2026-05-18	oos	0.00306	0.002956	-3.40%	0.00322	+5.23%	0.0856	✗	-0.02
2026-05-17	oos	0.00304	0.00294	-3.30%	0.00321	+5.59%	0.0879	✗	-0.02
2026-05-16	oos	0.00304	0.00294	-3.28%	0.00317	+4.28%	0.0749	✗	-0.02
2026-05-15	oos	0.00305	0.00295	-3.27%	0.00315	+3.28%	0.0646	✗	-0.02
2026-05-14	oos	0.00305	0.002951	-3.24%	0.00311	+1.97%	0.0514	✗	-0.02
2026-05-13	oos	0.00302	0.002897	-4.08%	0.00309	+2.32%	0.0645	✗	-0.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.00246	0.002419	-1.67%	0.00309	+25.61%	0.2485	✗	0.08
2026-05-11	oos	0.00242	0.002383	-1.51%	0.00306	+26.45%	0.2540	✗	0.07
2026-05-10	oos	0.00226	0.00224	-0.88%	0.00304	+34.51%	0.3092	✗	0.06
2026-05-09	oos	0.00221	0.002186	-1.07%	0.00304	+37.56%	0.3314	✗	0.05
2026-05-08	oos	0.00206	0.002049	-0.54%	0.00305	+48.06%	0.3985	✗	0.05
2026-05-07	oos	0.00202	0.002015	-0.22%	0.00305	+50.99%	0.4137	✗	0.04
2026-05-06	oos	0.00203	0.002034	+0.20%	0.00302	+48.77%	0.3963	✓	0.04
2026-05-05	oos	0.00203	0.002038	+0.40%	0.00246	+21.18%	0.1884	✓	0.04
2026-05-04	oos	0.00201	0.002023	+0.64%	0.00242	+20.40%	0.1783	✓	0.04
2026-05-03	oos	0.002	0.002016	+0.81%	0.00226	+13.00%	0.1119	✓	0.05
2026-05-02	oos	0.00201	0.002034	+1.18%	0.00221	+9.95%	0.0820	✓	0.05
2026-05-01	oos	0.00202	0.002049	+1.42%	0.00206	+1.98%	0.0044	✓	0.05
2026-04-30	oos	0.00207	0.002088	+0.86%	0.00202	-2.42%	0.0347	✗	0.04
2026-04-29	oos	0.00205	0.00207	+0.99%	0.00203	-0.98%	0.0222	✗	0.04
2026-04-28	oos	0.00209	0.002117	+1.27%	0.00203	-2.87%	0.0437	✗	0.03
2026-04-27	oos	0.0021	0.002138	+1.81%	0.00201	-4.29%	0.0628	✗	0.03
2026-04-26	oos	0.0021	0.00215	+2.38%	0.002	-4.76%	0.0722	✗	0.03
2026-04-25	oos	0.0021	0.002139	+1.85%	0.00201	-4.29%	0.0626	✗	0.03
2026-04-24	oos	0.0021	0.002134	+1.61%	0.00202	-3.81%	0.0551	✗	0.03
2026-04-23	oos	0.00211	0.002142	+1.52%	0.00207	-1.90%	0.0334	✗	0.03
2026-04-22	oos	0.00211	0.002137	+1.26%	0.00205	-2.84%	0.0403	✗	0.03
2026-04-21	oos	0.00211	0.002126	+0.75%	0.00209	-0.95%	0.0170	✗	0.03
2026-04-20	oos	0.00213	0.002139	+0.44%	0.0021	-1.41%	0.0192	✗	0.03
2026-04-19	oos	0.00214	0.002134	-0.29%	0.0021	-1.87%	0.0183	✓	0.04
2026-04-18	oos	0.00212	0.002126	+0.26%	0.0021	-0.94%	0.0131	✗	0.04
2026-04-17	oos	0.00215	0.00216	+0.47%	0.0021	-2.33%	0.0283	✗	0.03
2026-04-16	oos	0.00214	0.002138	-0.08%	0.00211	-1.40%	0.0144	✓	0.03
2026-04-15	oos	0.00215	0.002144	-0.26%	0.00211	-1.86%	0.0174	✓	0.03
2026-04-14	oos	0.00213	0.002122	-0.38%	0.00211	-0.94%	0.0067	✓	0.04
2026-04-13	oos	0.00215	0.002142	-0.39%	0.00213	-0.93%	0.0066	✓	0.06
2026-04-12	oos	0.00215	0.002126	-1.13%	0.00214	-0.47%	0.0074	✓	0.33
2026-04-11	oos	0.00215	0.002136	-0.66%	0.00212	-1.40%	0.0221	✓	0.41
2026-04-10	oos	0.00217	0.002154	-0.75%	0.00215	-0.92%	0.0195	✓	0.32
2026-04-09	oos	0.00222	0.002196	-1.09%	0.00214	-3.60%	0.0410	✓	0.33
2026-04-08	oos	0.00222	0.002193	-1.21%	0.00215	-3.15%	0.0376	✓	0.35
2026-04-07	oos	0.00226	0.002234	-1.15%	0.00213	-5.75%	0.0583	✓	0.34
2026-04-06	oos	0.00226	0.002222	-1.66%	0.00215	-4.87%	0.0562	✓	0.29
2026-04-05	oos	0.00226	0.002223	-1.64%	0.00215	-4.87%	0.0406	✓	0.29
2026-04-04	oos	0.00226	0.002217	-1.88%	0.00215	-4.87%	0.0549	✓	0.29
2026-04-03	oos	0.00226	0.002216	-1.96%	0.00217	-3.98%	0.0459	✓	0.29
2026-04-02	oos	0.00222	0.002179	-1.84%	0.00222	+0.00%	0.0015	✓	0.28
2026-04-01	oos	0.00221	0.002174	-1.62%	0.00222	+0.45%	0.0104	✓	0.24
2026-03-31	oos	0.0022	0.002167	-1.51%	0.00226	+2.73%	0.0316	✗	0.20
2026-03-30	oos	0.00219	0.002152	-1.74%	0.00226	+3.20%	0.0427	✗	0.20
2026-03-29	oos	0.00215	0.002114	-1.66%	0.00226	+5.12%	0.0591	✗	0.17
2026-03-28	oos	0.00222	0.002182	-1.70%	0.00226	+1.80%	0.0326	✗	0.17
2026-03-27	oos	0.00221	0.002176	-1.53%	0.00226	+2.26%	0.0363	✗	0.17
2026-03-26	oos	0.00224	0.002219	-0.92%	0.00222	-0.89%	0.0050	✓	0.17
2026-03-25	oos	0.00225	0.002245	-0.20%	0.00221	-1.78%	0.0078	✓	0.18
2026-03-24	oos	0.00225	0.00224	-0.42%	0.0022	-2.22%	0.0124	✓	0.17
2026-03-23	oos	0.00226	0.002249	-0.47%	0.00219	-3.10%	0.0161	✓	0.18
2026-03-22	oos	0.00226	0.002234	-1.15%	0.00215	-4.87%	0.0334	✓	0.18
2026-03-21	oos	0.00227	0.002246	-1.04%	0.00222	-2.20%	0.0050	✓	0.18
2026-03-20	oos	0.00226	0.00224	-0.88%	0.00221	-2.21%	0.0025	✓	0.18
2026-03-19	oos	0.00224	0.002218	-1.00%	0.00224	+0.00%	0.0131	✗	0.18
2026-03-18	oos	0.00227	0.002242	-1.24%	0.00225	-0.88%	0.0035	✓	0.18
2026-03-17	oos	0.00226	0.002233	-1.21%	0.00225	-0.44%	0.0167	✗	0.19
2026-03-16	oos	0.002265	0.002236	-1.30%	0.00226	-0.22%	0.0216	✗	0.20
2026-03-15	oos	0.00228	0.002248	-1.41%	0.00226	-0.88%	0.0191	✗	0.19
2026-03-14	oos	0.00227	0.002236	-1.51%	0.00227	+0.00%	0.0209	✗	0.17
2026-03-13	oos	0.00227	0.002235	-1.55%	0.00226	-0.44%	0.0123	✓	0.17
2026-03-12	oos	0.00228	0.002245	-1.54%	0.00224	-1.75%	0.0007	✓	0.17
2026-03-11	oos	0.00228	0.002256	-1.07%	0.00227	-0.44%	0.0040	✓	0.16
2026-03-10	oos	0.00226	0.002236	-1.04%	0.00226	+0.00%	0.0013	✓	0.17
2026-03-09	oos	0.00227	0.002244	-1.17%	0.002265	-0.22%	0.0051	✓	0.16
2026-03-08	oos	0.00225	0.00222	-1.32%	0.00228	+1.33%	0.0110	✓	0.16
2026-03-07	oos	0.00227	0.002241	-1.26%	0.00227	+0.00%	0.0037	✓	0.16
2026-03-06	oos	0.00228	0.002253	-1.19%	0.00227	-0.44%	0.0012	✓	0.16
2026-03-05	oos	0.00228	0.002254	-1.13%	0.00228	+0.00%	0.0122	✗	0.17
2026-03-04	oos	0.00226	0.002234	-1.13%	0.00228	+0.88%	0.0259	✗	0.16
2026-03-03	oos	0.00221	0.002185	-1.14%	0.00226	+2.26%	0.0305	✗	0.14
2026-03-02	oos	0.00226	0.002232	-1.22%	0.00227	+0.44%	0.0175	✗	0.15
2026-03-01	oos	0.00227	0.002238	-1.40%	0.00225	-0.88%	0.0048	✓	0.14
2026-02-28	oos	0.00226	0.002228	-1.44%	0.00227	+0.44%	0.0179	✗	0.22
2026-02-27	oos	0.00227	0.002234	-1.60%	0.00228	+0.44%	0.0127	✓	0.23
2026-02-26	oos	0.00229	0.002249	-1.77%	0.00228	-0.44%	0.0019	✓	0.24
2026-02-25	oos	0.00229	0.002247	-1.88%	0.00226	-1.31%	0.0100	✓	0.24
2026-02-24	oos	0.00227	0.002223	-2.05%	0.00221	-2.64%	0.0207	✓	0.23
2026-02-23	oos	0.00226	0.002213	-2.09%	0.00226	+0.00%	0.0067	✓	0.23
2026-02-22	oos	0.00223	0.002185	-2.00%	0.00227	+1.79%	0.0451	✗	0.25
2026-02-21	oos	0.00224	0.002193	-2.08%	0.00226	+0.89%	0.0336	✗	0.26
2026-02-20	oos	0.00223	0.002183	-2.09%	0.00227	+1.79%	0.0470	✗	0.25
2026-02-19	oos	0.00225	0.002201	-2.16%	0.00229	+1.78%	0.0375	✗	0.25
2026-02-18	oos	0.00225	0.0022	-2.21%	0.00229	+1.78%	0.0341	✗	0.25
2026-02-17	oos	0.00224	0.002191	-2.21%	0.00227	+1.34%	0.0488	✗	0.26
2026-02-16	oos	0.00222	0.00217	-2.27%	0.00226	+1.80%	0.0576	✗	0.26
2026-02-15	oos	0.00223	0.002178	-2.35%	0.00223	+0.00%	0.0283	✗	0.26
2026-02-14	oos	0.00224	0.002183	-2.56%	0.00224	+0.00%	0.0330	✗	0.27
2026-02-13	oos	0.00225	0.002191	-2.61%	0.00223	-0.89%	0.0207	✓	0.26
2026-02-12	oos	0.00218	0.002128	-2.40%	0.00225	+3.21%	0.0532	✗	0.24
2026-02-11	oos	0.00217	0.002116	-2.50%	0.00225	+3.69%	0.0637	✗	0.24
2026-02-10	oos	0.00212	0.002064	-2.66%	0.00224	+5.66%	0.0871	✗	0.26
2026-02-09	oos	0.00205	0.001995	-2.68%	0.00222	+8.29%	0.1118	✗	0.28
2026-02-08	oos	0.00199	0.001939	-2.56%	0.00223	+12.06%	0.1457	✗	0.28
2026-02-07	oos	0.00198	0.001934	-2.31%	0.00224	+13.13%	0.1446	✗	0.27
2026-02-06	oos	0.00196	0.001913	-2.38%	0.00225	+14.80%	0.1690	✗	0.28
2026-02-05	oos	0.00195	0.001946	-0.21%	0.00218	+11.79%	0.0983	✗	0.29
2026-02-04	oos	0.00196	0.001917	-2.20%	0.00217	+10.71%	0.1808	✗	0.67
2026-02-03	oos	0.00197	0.001923	-2.39%	0.00212	+7.61%	0.1668	✗	0.73
2026-02-02	oos	0.00201	0.001959	-2.52%	0.00205	+1.99%	0.1361	✗	0.79
2026-02-01	oos	0.00202	0.001985	-1.75%	0.00199	-1.49%	0.0732	✗	0.78
2026-01-31	oos	0.00202	0.001991	-1.45%	0.00198	-1.98%	0.1003	✗	0.83
2026-01-30	oos	0.00198	0.001948	-1.63%	0.00196	-1.01%	0.2274	✗	1.25
2026-01-18	oos	0.016	0.015215	-4.90%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-01-17	oos	0.01502	0.014365	-4.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.37
2026-01-16	oos	0.0162	0.015329	-5.38%	–	pending	–	–	1.36
2026-01-15	oos	0.01582	0.014996	-5.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.36
2026-01-14	oos	0.01685	0.015745	-6.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-01-13	oos	0.0148	0.014034	-5.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.22
2026-01-12	oos	0.0092	0.009103	-1.06%	–	pending	–	–	-0.29
2026-01-11	oos	0.00251	0.001006	-59.93%	0.016	+537.45%	2.7856	✗	-0.63
2026-01-10	oos	0.00698	0.007175	+2.79%	0.01502	+115.19%	0.7510	✓	-0.24
2026-01-09	oos	0.01365	0.013649	-0.01%	0.0162	+18.68%	0.1877	✗	-0.31
2026-01-08	oos	0.01735	0.016914	-2.52%	0.01582	-8.82%	0.0477	✓	-0.39
2026-01-07	oos	0.01783	0.017312	-2.91%	0.01685	-5.50%	0.0035	✓	-0.39
2026-01-06	oos	0.01477	0.014656	-0.77%	0.0148	+0.20%	0.0087	✗	0.06
2026-01-05	oos	0.02047	0.01945	-4.98%	0.0092	-55.06%	0.7485	✓	0.00
2026-01-04	oos	0.02045	0.019672	-3.80%	0.00251	-87.73%	2.0593	✓	-0.06
2026-01-03	oos	0.02063	0.019968	-3.21%	0.00698	-66.17%	1.0513	✓	-0.08
2026-01-02	oos	0.02142	0.020768	-3.05%	0.01365	-36.27%	0.4192	✓	-0.08
2026-01-01	oos	0.02652	0.02549	-3.89%	0.01735	-34.58%	0.3882	✓	0.14
2025-12-31	oos	0.033085	0.032116	-2.93%	0.01783	-46.11%	0.6052	✓	0.40
2025-12-30	oos	0.035535	0.034568	-2.72%	0.01477	-58.44%	0.8712	✓	0.36
2025-12-29	oos	0.04177	0.040589	-2.83%	0.02047	-50.99%	0.7270	✓	0.57
2025-12-28	oos	0.043405	0.04222	-2.73%	0.02045	-52.89%	0.7653	✓	1.00
2025-12-27	oos	0.04503	0.043659	-3.04%	0.02063	-54.19%	0.7810	✓	1.00
2025-12-26	oos	0.04464	0.043273	-3.06%	0.02142	-52.02%	0.7332	✓	1.00
2025-12-25	oos	0.0449	0.043476	-3.17%	0.02652	-40.94%	0.5121	✓	1.00
2025-12-24	oos	0.04446	0.043027	-3.22%	0.033085	-25.58%	0.2615	✓	1.00
2025-12-23	oos	0.04242	0.041129	-3.04%	0.035535	-16.23%	0.1572	✓	1.00
2025-12-22	oos	0.04292	0.04161	-3.05%	0.04177	-2.68%	0.0203	✓	1.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.04195	0.040722	-2.93%	0.043405	+3.47%	0.0725	✗	1.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.04248	0.041213	-2.98%	0.04503	+6.00%	0.0944	✗	1.00
2025-12-19	oos	0.04246	0.041187	-3.00%	0.04464	+5.13%	0.0896	✗	1.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.04286	0.04152	-3.13%	0.0449	+4.76%	0.0584	✗	1.00
2025-12-17	oos	0.04366	0.042303	-3.11%	0.04446	+1.83%	0.0336	✗	1.00
2025-12-16	oos	0.04486	0.043389	-3.28%	0.04242	-5.44%	0.0177	✓	1.00
2025-12-15	oos	0.04555	0.043904	-3.61%	0.04292	-5.77%	0.0471	✓	1.00
2025-12-14	oos	0.04304	0.041677	-3.17%	0.04195	-2.53%	0.0012	✓	1.00
2025-12-13	oos	0.04337	0.041987	-3.19%	0.04248	-2.05%	0.0333	✗	1.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.04394	0.042453	-3.39%	0.04246	-3.37%	0.0247	✓	1.00
2025-12-11	oos	0.04376	0.042196	-3.57%	0.04286	-2.06%	0.0952	✗	1.00
2025-12-10	oos	0.04159	0.040267	-3.18%	0.04366	+4.98%	0.1463	✗	1.00
2025-12-09	oos	0.03961	0.038452	-2.92%	0.04486	+13.25%	0.2077	✗	1.00
2025-12-08	oos	0.03963	0.038459	-2.96%	0.04555	+14.94%	0.2171	✗	1.00
2024-05-25	in	0.01318	0.013094	-0.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.29
2024-05-24	in	0.01303	0.012951	-0.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.29
2024-05-23	in	0.015	0.014749	-1.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.29
2024-05-22	in	0.01492	0.014723	-1.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.30
2024-05-21	in	0.01455	0.014348	-1.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.30
2024-05-20	in	0.01506	0.014753	-2.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.30
2024-05-19	in	0.01277	0.012702	-0.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.19
2024-05-18	in	0.0139	0.013771	-0.92%	0.01318	-5.18%	0.0498	✓	0.17
2024-05-17	in	0.02106	0.02042	-3.04%	0.01303	-38.13%	0.4525	✓	0.15
2024-05-16	in	0.02143	0.020666	-3.57%	0.015	-30.00%	0.3267	✓	0.15
2024-05-15	in	0.01842	0.018116	-1.65%	0.01492	-19.00%	0.2019	✓	0.19
2024-05-14	in	0.01898	0.018681	-1.58%	0.01455	-23.34%	0.2784	✓	0.22
2024-05-13	in	0.01992	0.019544	-1.89%	0.01506	-24.40%	0.2910	✓	0.24
2024-05-12	in	0.02084	0.02038	-2.21%	0.01277	-38.72%	0.4867	✓	0.26
2024-05-11	in	0.02091	0.020437	-2.26%	0.0139	-33.52%	0.4100	✓	0.26
2024-05-10	in	0.0208	0.020333	-2.24%	0.02106	+1.25%	0.0099	✓	0.26
2024-05-09	in	0.02086	0.020366	-2.37%	0.02143	+2.73%	0.0421	✗	0.26
2024-05-08	in	0.01942	0.019074	-1.78%	0.01842	-5.15%	0.0535	✓	0.23
2024-05-07	in	0.01985	0.019478	-1.87%	0.01898	-4.38%	0.0230	✓	0.23
2024-05-06	in	0.02016	0.019761	-1.98%	0.01992	-1.19%	0.0089	✓	0.23
2024-05-05	in	0.02281	0.022154	-2.88%	0.02084	-8.64%	0.0529	✓	0.20
2024-05-04	in	0.02392	0.023102	-3.42%	0.02091	-12.58%	0.0898	✓	0.20
2024-05-03	in	0.02282	0.02211	-3.11%	0.0208	-8.85%	0.0542	✓	0.20
2024-05-02	in	0.02435	0.023468	-3.62%	0.02086	-14.33%	0.1344	✓	0.25
2024-05-01	in	0.02097	0.020483	-2.32%	0.01942	-7.39%	0.0648	✓	0.24
2024-04-30	in	0.02015	0.019744	-2.01%	0.01985	-1.49%	0.0021	✓	0.27
2024-04-29	in	0.02293	0.022176	-3.29%	0.02016	-12.08%	0.0931	✓	0.21
2024-04-28	in	0.0245	0.025817	+5.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.21
2024-04-27	in	0.02435	0.02597	+6.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.17
2024-04-26	in	0.02423	0.026002	+7.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.16
2024-04-25	in	0.02626	0.025168	-4.16%	0.02435	-7.27%	0.0190	✓	0.16
2024-04-24	in	0.02703	0.025854	-4.35%	0.02097	-22.42%	0.1922	✓	0.18
2024-04-23	in	0.027	0.025669	-4.93%	0.02015	-25.37%	0.2257	✓	0.18
2024-04-22	in	0.02669	0.025339	-5.06%	0.02293	-14.09%	0.0916	✓	0.18
2024-04-21	in	0.02599	0.02487	-4.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.17
2024-04-20	in	0.02558	0.024526	-4.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.23
2024-04-19	in	0.02598	0.02496	-3.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.24
2024-04-18	in	0.02532	0.024466	-3.37%	0.02626	+3.71%	0.0666	✗	0.24
2024-04-17	in	0.02369	0.023264	-1.80%	0.02703	+14.10%	0.1398	✗	0.22
2024-04-16	in	0.02315	0.022893	-1.11%	0.027	+16.63%	0.1539	✗	0.28
2024-04-15	in	0.02325	0.023195	-0.24%	0.02669	+14.80%	0.1263	✗	0.27
2024-04-14	in	0.02903	0.028323	-2.43%	0.02599	-10.47%	0.0840	✓	0.16
2024-04-13	in	0.03004	0.029365	-2.25%	0.02558	-14.85%	0.1405	✓	0.17
2024-04-12	in	0.0332	0.032044	-3.48%	0.02598	-21.75%	0.2024	✓	0.15
2024-04-11	in	0.03425	0.033008	-3.63%	0.02532	-26.07%	0.2531	✓	0.12
2024-04-10	in	0.03462	0.033251	-3.95%	0.02369	-31.57%	0.3387	✓	0.00
2024-04-09	in	0.03512	0.03365	-4.19%	0.02315	-34.08%	0.3738	✓	0.00
2024-04-08	in	0.0334	0.031989	-4.22%	0.02325	-30.39%	0.3159	✓	0.03
2024-04-07	in	0.03248	0.031237	-3.83%	0.02903	-10.62%	0.0714	✓	0.04
2024-04-06	in	0.03219	0.031068	-3.49%	0.03004	-6.68%	0.0316	✓	0.03
2024-04-05	in	0.03233	0.031292	-3.21%	0.0332	+2.69%	0.0593	✗	0.02
2024-04-04	in	0.03273	0.031659	-3.27%	0.03425	+4.64%	0.0784	✗	0.01
2024-04-03	in	0.03202	0.031371	-2.03%	0.03462	+8.12%	0.0976	✗	0.01
2024-04-02	in	0.03355	0.032808	-2.21%	0.03512	+4.68%	0.0684	✗	-0.01
2024-04-01	in	0.03349	0.032493	-2.98%	0.0334	-0.27%	0.0264	✓	0.04
2024-03-31	in	0.03688	0.035249	-4.42%	0.03248	-11.93%	0.0817	✓	0.00
2024-03-30	in	0.03402	0.033166	-2.51%	0.03219	-5.38%	0.0302	✓	-0.03
2024-03-29	in	0.03666	0.035518	-3.12%	0.03233	-11.81%	0.0952	✓	-0.04
2024-03-28	in	0.03577	0.03487	-2.52%	0.03273	-8.50%	0.0643	✓	-0.03
2024-03-27	in	0.03686	0.036084	-2.10%	0.03202	-13.13%	0.1209	✓	-0.03
2024-03-26	in	0.03745	0.036794	-1.75%	0.03355	-10.41%	0.0984	✓	-0.09
2024-03-25	in	0.03409	0.034323	+0.68%	0.03349	-1.76%	0.0248	✗	-0.10
2024-03-24	in	0.03725	0.037684	+1.17%	0.03688	-0.99%	0.0181	✗	-0.06
2024-03-23	in	0.04137	0.041447	+0.19%	0.03402	-17.77%	0.1964	✗	-0.01
2024-03-22	in	0.03915	0.039821	+1.71%	0.03666	-6.36%	0.0845	✗	0.02
2024-03-21	in	0.03636	0.037919	+4.29%	0.03577	-1.62%	0.0623	✗	0.05
2024-03-20	in	0.03555	0.037549	+5.62%	0.03686	+3.68%	0.0200	✓	0.06
2024-03-19	in	0.03452	0.036491	+5.71%	0.03745	+8.49%	0.0218	✓	0.03
2024-03-18	in	0.03238	0.035021	+8.15%	0.03409	+5.28%	0.0319	✓	0.15
2024-03-15	in	0.03782	0.041438	+9.57%	0.03915	+3.52%	0.0404	✓	0.19
2024-03-14	in	0.04192	0.04542	+8.35%	0.03636	-13.26%	0.2096	✗	0.15
2024-03-13	in	0.03145	0.035275	+12.16%	0.03555	+13.04%	0.0153	✓	0.10
2024-03-12	in	0.03096	0.034764	+12.29%	0.03452	+11.50%	0.0051	✓	0.08
2024-03-11	in	0.03076	0.0345	+12.16%	0.03238	+5.27%	0.0584	✓	0.08
2024-03-10	in	0.03021	0.033825	+11.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.07
2024-03-09	in	0.03103	0.034667	+11.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2024-03-08	in	0.03067	0.034033	+10.96%	0.03782	+23.31%	0.1048	✓	0.04
2024-03-07	in	0.03203	0.035121	+9.65%	0.04192	+30.88%	0.1768	✓	0.00
2024-03-06	in	0.03185	0.034621	+8.70%	0.03145	-1.26%	0.0918	✗	-0.04
2024-03-05	in	0.03223	0.034444	+6.87%	0.03096	-3.94%	0.0900	✗	-0.15
2024-03-04	in	0.03272	0.035168	+7.48%	0.03076	-5.99%	0.1240	✗	-0.19
2024-03-03	in	0.03195	0.033575	+5.09%	0.03021	-5.45%	0.0889	✗	-0.19
2024-03-02	in	0.03243	0.033789	+4.19%	0.03103	-4.32%	0.0684	✗	-0.17
2024-03-01	in	0.03357	0.034814	+3.70%	0.03067	-8.64%	0.1104	✗	-0.18
2024-02-29	in	0.03435	0.035344	+2.89%	0.03203	-6.75%	0.0826	✗	-0.18
2024-02-28	in	0.03541	0.036341	+2.63%	0.03185	-10.05%	0.1209	✗	-0.20
2024-02-27	in	0.03443	0.034763	+0.97%	0.03223	-6.39%	0.0495	✗	-0.24
2024-02-26	in	0.03237	0.032625	+0.79%	0.03272	+1.08%	0.0661	✓	-0.28
2024-02-25	in	0.03101	0.031068	+0.19%	0.03195	+3.03%	0.0924	✓	-0.32
2024-02-24	in	0.0299	0.029985	+0.28%	0.03243	+8.46%	0.1369	✓	-0.32
2024-02-23	in	0.02978	0.029744	-0.12%	0.03357	+12.73%	0.1828	✗	-0.30
2024-02-22	in	0.03038	0.030315	-0.21%	0.03435	+13.07%	0.1798	✗	-0.31

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.