MAP

MAP · · beta_5y

token id: #624
symbol: MAP
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-11-23
predictions: 1,446

Track record at +1d

assessed

392

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

52.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0396

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0052

actual -0.0015

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.003485	0.00346	-0.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.15
2026-10-21	oos	0.003485	0.003458	-0.78%	0.003485	+0.00%	0.0075	✓	0.15
2026-10-20	oos	0.003295	0.003273	-0.68%	0.003485	+5.77%	0.0612	✗	0.13
2026-10-19	oos	0.003225	0.003204	-0.65%	0.003295	+2.17%	0.0263	✗	0.13
2026-10-18	oos	0.003205	0.003184	-0.65%	0.003225	+0.62%	0.0130	✗	0.12
2026-10-17	oos	0.003205	0.003183	-0.70%	0.003205	+0.00%	0.0061	✓	0.11
2026-10-16	oos	0.00306	0.003044	-0.54%	0.003205	+4.74%	0.0519	✗	0.12
2026-10-15	oos	0.00303	0.003017	-0.44%	0.00306	+0.99%	0.0152	✗	0.12
2026-10-14	oos	0.00312	0.003105	-0.48%	0.00303	-2.88%	0.0254	✓	0.13
2026-10-13	oos	0.003265	0.003248	-0.53%	0.00312	-4.44%	0.0381	✓	0.11
2026-10-12	oos	0.003385	0.003364	-0.62%	0.003265	-3.55%	0.0320	✓	0.13
2026-10-11	oos	0.003515	0.003491	-0.69%	0.003385	-3.70%	0.0288	✓	0.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.00354	0.003514	-0.75%	0.003515	-0.71%	0.0009	✓	0.14
2026-10-09	oos	0.003565	0.003536	-0.81%	0.00354	-0.70%	0.0006	✓	0.13
2026-10-08	oos	0.003565	0.003534	-0.87%	0.003565	+0.00%	0.0075	✓	0.12
2026-10-07	oos	0.003565	0.003533	-0.88%	0.003565	+0.00%	0.0113	✗	0.13
2026-10-06	oos	0.00349	0.003463	-0.77%	0.003565	+2.15%	0.0330	✗	0.15
2026-10-05	oos	0.00357	0.003541	-0.81%	0.00349	-2.24%	0.0140	✓	0.21
2026-10-04	oos	0.003605	0.003574	-0.85%	0.00357	-0.97%	0.0007	✓	0.22
2026-10-03	oos	0.003535	0.003504	-0.87%	0.003605	+1.98%	0.0240	✗	0.21
2026-10-02	oos	0.003475	0.003444	-0.88%	0.003535	+1.73%	0.0254	✗	0.21
2026-10-01	oos	0.00341	0.003381	-0.84%	0.003475	+1.91%	0.0282	✗	0.21
2026-09-30	oos	0.00333	0.003302	-0.84%	0.00341	+2.40%	0.0291	✗	0.20
2026-09-29	oos	0.00322	0.003196	-0.75%	0.00333	+3.42%	0.0413	✗	0.18
2026-09-28	oos	0.003205	0.003181	-0.74%	0.00322	+0.47%	0.0117	✗	0.17
2026-09-27	oos	0.0032	0.003177	-0.73%	0.003205	+0.16%	0.0109	✗	0.17
2026-09-26	oos	0.003185	0.003163	-0.68%	0.0032	+0.47%	0.0114	✗	0.17
2026-09-25	oos	0.00316	0.00314	-0.64%	0.003185	+0.79%	0.0138	✗	0.14
2026-09-24	oos	0.00319	0.003169	-0.65%	0.00316	-0.94%	0.0025	✓	0.14
2026-09-23	oos	0.00321	0.003189	-0.65%	0.00319	-0.62%	0.0002	✓	0.14
2026-09-22	oos	0.00327	0.003248	-0.69%	0.00321	-1.83%	0.0085	✓	0.15
2026-09-21	oos	0.00327	0.003247	-0.69%	0.00327	+0.00%	0.0076	✗	0.16
2026-09-20	oos	0.00328	0.003256	-0.74%	0.00327	-0.30%	0.0083	✓	0.20
2026-09-19	oos	0.00326	0.003236	-0.75%	0.00328	+0.61%	0.0138	✗	0.20
2026-09-18	oos	0.003185	0.003163	-0.69%	0.00326	+2.35%	0.0293	✗	0.20
2026-09-17	oos	0.00311	0.003089	-0.66%	0.003185	+2.41%	0.0202	✗	0.18
2026-09-16	oos	0.00306	0.003041	-0.61%	0.00311	+1.63%	0.0219	✗	0.18
2026-09-15	oos	0.003025	0.003009	-0.54%	0.00306	+1.16%	0.0156	✗	0.17
2026-09-14	oos	0.00301	0.002998	-0.41%	0.003025	+0.50%	0.0153	✗	0.18
2026-09-13	oos	0.002985	0.002974	-0.38%	0.00301	+0.84%	0.0089	✗	0.18
2026-09-12	oos	0.003	0.002989	-0.35%	0.002985	-0.50%	0.0004	✓	0.18
2026-09-11	oos	0.003015	0.003004	-0.37%	0.003	-0.50%	0.0014	✓	0.18
2026-09-10	oos	0.002955	0.002946	-0.31%	0.003015	+2.03%	0.0217	✗	0.18
2026-09-09	oos	0.00305	0.003038	-0.40%	0.002955	-3.11%	0.0240	✓	0.16
2026-09-08	oos	0.003025	0.003011	-0.46%	0.00305	+0.83%	0.0132	✗	0.16
2026-09-07	oos	0.00298	0.002964	-0.55%	0.003025	+1.51%	0.0219	✗	0.17
2026-09-06	oos	0.00288	0.00287	-0.35%	0.00298	+3.47%	0.0410	✗	0.21
2026-09-05	oos	0.002775	0.002769	-0.23%	0.00288	+3.78%	0.0382	✗	0.21
2026-09-04	oos	0.002765	0.002761	-0.13%	0.002775	+0.36%	0.0046	✗	0.18
2026-09-03	oos	0.00301	0.003005	-0.17%	0.002765	-8.14%	0.0807	✓	0.13
2026-09-02	oos	0.00307	0.003063	-0.23%	0.00301	-1.95%	0.0245	✓	0.14
2026-09-01	oos	0.00306	0.003051	-0.29%	0.00307	+0.33%	0.0063	✗	0.15
2026-08-31	oos	0.00286	0.002858	-0.08%	0.00306	+6.99%	0.0710	✗	0.18
2026-08-30	oos	0.0028	0.002798	-0.07%	0.00286	+2.14%	0.0202	✗	0.15
2026-08-29	oos	0.00276	0.002759	-0.02%	0.0028	+1.45%	0.0157	✗	0.14
2026-08-28	oos	0.00276	0.002759	-0.03%	0.00276	+0.00%	0.0004	✓	0.14
2026-08-27	oos	0.00289	0.002885	-0.16%	0.00276	-4.50%	0.0409	✓	0.11
2026-08-26	oos	0.00289	0.002883	-0.26%	0.00289	+0.00%	0.0008	✓	0.11
2026-08-25	oos	0.00287	0.002862	-0.29%	0.00289	+0.70%	0.0091	✗	0.11
2026-08-24	oos	0.00287	0.00286	-0.35%	0.00287	+0.00%	0.0042	✗	0.11
2026-08-23	oos	0.00282	0.00281	-0.37%	0.00287	+1.77%	0.0196	✗	0.10
2026-08-22	oos	0.0028	0.002789	-0.40%	0.00282	+0.71%	0.0102	✗	0.10
2026-08-21	oos	0.00279	0.002779	-0.40%	0.0028	+0.36%	0.0093	✗	0.10
2026-08-20	oos	0.00281	0.002795	-0.52%	0.00279	-0.71%	0.0112	✓	0.13
2026-08-19	oos	0.00279	0.002772	-0.65%	0.00281	+0.72%	0.0076	✗	0.12
2026-08-18	oos	0.00279	0.002768	-0.79%	0.00279	+0.00%	0.0013	✓	0.13
2026-08-17	oos	0.00278	0.002761	-0.67%	0.00279	+0.36%	0.0099	✗	0.13
2026-08-16	oos	0.00276	0.002743	-0.61%	0.00278	+0.72%	0.0100	✗	0.13
2026-08-15	oos	0.00289	0.00287	-0.69%	0.00276	-4.50%	0.0387	✓	0.13
2026-08-14	oos	0.00291	0.002891	-0.66%	0.00289	-0.69%	0.0004	✓	0.13
2026-08-13	oos	0.00323	0.003197	-1.01%	0.00291	-9.91%	0.0934	✓	0.11
2026-08-12	oos	0.00317	0.003133	-1.16%	0.00323	+1.89%	0.0304	✗	0.11
2026-08-11	oos	0.00298	0.002935	-1.50%	0.00317	+6.38%	0.0771	✗	0.11
2026-08-10	oos	0.00227	0.002255	-0.65%	0.00298	+31.28%	0.2790	✗	0.06
2026-08-09	oos	0.00212	0.00211	-0.47%	0.00227	+7.08%	0.0741	✗	0.08
2026-08-08	oos	0.00211	0.0021	-0.46%	0.00212	+0.47%	0.0094	✗	0.07
2026-08-07	oos	0.00211	0.002101	-0.45%	0.00211	+0.00%	0.0045	✓	0.08
2026-08-06	oos	0.00211	0.002101	-0.45%	0.00211	+0.00%	0.0035	✓	0.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.00213	0.00212	-0.49%	0.00211	-0.94%	0.0040	✓	0.11
2026-08-04	oos	0.00212	0.00211	-0.49%	0.00213	+0.47%	0.0087	✗	0.11
2026-08-03	oos	0.00208	0.002071	-0.44%	0.00212	+1.92%	0.0225	✗	0.10
2026-08-02	oos	0.00216	0.002149	-0.52%	0.00208	-3.70%	0.0325	✓	0.11
2026-08-01	oos	0.00211	0.0021	-0.46%	0.00216	+2.37%	0.0269	✗	0.10
2026-07-31	oos	0.00215	0.002139	-0.50%	0.00211	-1.86%	0.0137	✓	0.10
2026-07-30	oos	0.0022	0.002188	-0.57%	0.00215	-2.27%	0.0150	✓	0.08
2026-07-29	oos	0.002	0.001994	-0.32%	0.0022	+10.00%	0.0984	✗	0.01
2026-07-28	oos	0.0021	0.002093	-0.34%	0.002	-4.76%	0.0454	✓	0.01
2026-07-27	oos	0.00222	0.002211	-0.41%	0.0021	-5.41%	0.0515	✓	0.02
2026-07-26	oos	0.00222	0.002212	-0.36%	0.00222	+0.00%	0.0043	✗	0.03
2026-07-25	oos	0.0022	0.002193	-0.34%	0.00222	+0.91%	0.0121	✗	0.02
2026-07-24	oos	0.00224	0.002232	-0.36%	0.0022	-1.79%	0.0145	✓	0.03
2026-07-23	oos	0.00224	0.002233	-0.33%	0.00224	+0.00%	0.0037	✗	0.02
2026-07-22	oos	0.0022	0.002195	-0.24%	0.00224	+1.82%	0.0210	✗	0.03
2026-07-21	oos	0.00223	0.002225	-0.24%	0.0022	-1.35%	0.0110	✓	0.03
2026-07-20	oos	0.00225	0.002245	-0.23%	0.00223	-0.89%	0.0074	✓	0.04
2026-07-19	oos	0.00231	0.002305	-0.24%	0.00225	-2.60%	0.0243	✓	0.04
2026-07-18	oos	0.0024	0.002394	-0.27%	0.00231	-3.75%	0.0355	✓	0.04
2026-07-17	oos	0.00242	0.002414	-0.27%	0.0024	-0.83%	0.0061	✓	0.04
2026-07-16	oos	0.00249	0.002483	-0.29%	0.00242	-2.81%	0.0257	✓	0.05
2026-07-15	oos	0.00253	0.002523	-0.28%	0.00249	-1.58%	0.0125	✓	0.04
2026-07-14	oos	0.00262	0.002611	-0.33%	0.00253	-3.44%	0.0315	✓	0.04
2026-07-13	oos	0.00264	0.00263	-0.38%	0.00262	-0.76%	0.0063	✓	0.06
2026-07-12	oos	0.00282	0.002803	-0.59%	0.00264	-6.38%	0.0599	✓	0.01
2026-07-11	oos	0.00257	0.002559	-0.42%	0.00282	+9.73%	0.0971	✗	0.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.00244	0.002432	-0.32%	0.00257	+5.33%	0.0552	✗	0.01
2026-07-09	oos	0.00235	0.002344	-0.25%	0.00244	+3.83%	0.0402	✗	-0.01
2026-07-08	oos	0.00231	0.002306	-0.18%	0.00235	+1.73%	0.0195	✗	-0.03
2026-07-07	oos	0.00258	0.002572	-0.30%	0.00231	-10.47%	0.1090	✓	-0.09
2026-07-06	oos	0.00267	0.002661	-0.32%	0.00258	-3.37%	0.0320	✓	-0.09
2026-07-05	oos	0.00271	0.002701	-0.35%	0.00267	-1.48%	0.0108	✓	-0.08
2026-07-04	oos	0.00273	0.00272	-0.36%	0.00271	-0.73%	0.0031	✓	-0.08
2026-07-03	oos	0.00274	0.00273	-0.37%	0.00273	-0.36%	0.0008	✓	-0.08
2026-07-02	oos	0.00275	0.002739	-0.38%	0.00274	-0.36%	0.0015	✓	-0.08
2026-07-01	oos	0.00287	0.002856	-0.49%	0.00275	-4.18%	0.0367	✓	-0.04
2026-06-30	oos	0.00289	0.002874	-0.54%	0.00287	-0.69%	0.0006	✓	-0.04
2026-06-29	oos	0.00289	0.002874	-0.54%	0.00289	+0.00%	0.0043	✓	-0.04
2026-06-28	oos	0.00293	0.00291	-0.67%	0.00289	-1.37%	0.0067	✓	-0.03
2026-06-27	oos	0.00274	0.002726	-0.52%	0.00293	+6.93%	0.0721	✗	-0.01
2026-06-26	oos	0.00267	0.002659	-0.43%	0.00274	+2.62%	0.0302	✗	-0.01
2026-06-25	oos	0.00275	0.002737	-0.47%	0.00267	-2.91%	0.0247	✓	-0.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.00284	0.002826	-0.50%	0.00275	-3.17%	0.0274	✓	-0.01
2026-06-23	oos	0.00289	0.002876	-0.49%	0.00284	-1.73%	0.0130	✓	-0.02
2026-06-22	oos	0.00295	0.002935	-0.51%	0.00289	-2.03%	0.0161	✓	-0.03
2026-06-21	oos	0.00293	0.002915	-0.50%	0.00295	+0.68%	0.0121	✗	-0.03
2026-06-20	oos	0.00298	0.002965	-0.50%	0.00293	-1.68%	0.0125	✓	-0.04
2026-06-19	oos	0.00301	0.002993	-0.55%	0.00298	-1.00%	0.0041	✓	-0.03
2026-06-18	oos	0.00302	0.003003	-0.57%	0.00301	-0.33%	0.0027	✓	-0.03
2026-06-17	oos	0.00302	0.003003	-0.56%	0.00302	+0.00%	0.0049	✓	-0.03
2026-06-16	oos	0.00303	0.003013	-0.56%	0.00302	-0.33%	0.0018	✓	-0.03
2026-06-15	oos	0.00303	0.003012	-0.58%	0.00303	+0.00%	0.0056	✓	-0.03
2026-06-14	oos	0.00299	0.002973	-0.56%	0.00303	+1.34%	0.0192	✗	-0.03
2026-06-13	oos	0.00297	0.002954	-0.55%	0.00299	+0.67%	0.0130	✗	-0.04
2026-06-12	oos	0.00297	0.002953	-0.59%	0.00297	+0.00%	0.0064	✗	-0.04
2026-06-11	oos	0.00294	0.002924	-0.55%	0.00297	+1.02%	0.0157	✗	-0.04
2026-06-10	oos	0.00291	0.002894	-0.56%	0.00294	+1.03%	0.0175	✗	-0.05
2026-06-09	oos	0.00292	0.002905	-0.53%	0.00291	-0.34%	0.0017	✓	-0.05
2026-06-08	oos	0.00302	0.003002	-0.60%	0.00292	-3.31%	0.0292	✓	-0.07
2026-06-07	oos	0.00302	0.003002	-0.60%	0.00302	+0.00%	0.0058	✓	-0.07
2026-06-06	oos	0.00308	0.003059	-0.67%	0.00302	-1.95%	0.0113	✓	-0.04
2026-06-05	oos	0.00311	0.003087	-0.73%	0.00308	-0.96%	0.0025	✓	-0.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.00308	0.00306	-0.66%	0.00311	+0.97%	0.0151	✗	-0.03
2026-06-03	oos	0.00322	0.003194	-0.82%	0.00308	-4.35%	0.0363	✓	-0.03
2026-06-02	oos	0.00323	0.003203	-0.83%	0.00322	-0.31%	0.0037	✓	-0.04
2026-06-01	oos	0.00323	0.003204	-0.80%	0.00323	+0.00%	0.0071	✓	-0.01
2026-05-31	oos	0.00322	0.003195	-0.77%	0.00323	+0.31%	0.0105	✗	-0.01
2026-05-30	oos	0.00322	0.003195	-0.79%	0.00322	+0.00%	0.0079	✓	-0.02
2026-05-29	oos	0.00321	0.003184	-0.80%	0.00322	+0.31%	0.0112	✗	-0.02
2026-05-28	oos	0.00323	0.003203	-0.83%	0.00321	-0.62%	0.0020	✓	-0.02
2026-05-27	oos	0.00323	0.003203	-0.83%	0.00323	+0.00%	0.0082	✓	-0.02
2026-05-26	oos	0.00323	0.003203	-0.84%	0.00323	+0.00%	0.0081	✓	-0.02
2026-05-25	oos	0.00322	0.003192	-0.86%	0.00323	+0.31%	0.0115	✗	-0.01
2026-05-24	oos	0.00321	0.003182	-0.88%	0.00322	+0.31%	0.0120	✗	-0.01
2026-05-23	oos	0.00317	0.003142	-0.89%	0.00321	+1.26%	0.0215	✗	-0.02
2026-05-22	oos	0.00315	0.003121	-0.91%	0.00317	+0.63%	0.0158	✗	-0.02
2026-05-21	oos	0.00311	0.003082	-0.88%	0.00315	+1.29%	0.0213	✗	-0.01
2026-05-20	oos	0.00309	0.003063	-0.87%	0.00311	+0.65%	0.0152	✗	-0.02
2026-05-19	oos	0.00309	0.003062	-0.90%	0.00309	+0.00%	0.0092	✗	-0.02
2026-05-18	oos	0.00306	0.003032	-0.92%	0.00309	+0.98%	0.0189	✗	-0.02
2026-05-17	oos	0.00304	0.003013	-0.88%	0.00306	+0.66%	0.0153	✗	-0.02
2026-05-16	oos	0.00304	0.003013	-0.89%	0.00304	+0.00%	0.0087	✓	-0.02
2026-05-15	oos	0.00305	0.003022	-0.91%	0.00304	-0.33%	0.0056	✓	-0.02
2026-05-14	oos	0.00305	0.00302	-0.98%	0.00305	+0.00%	0.0093	✓	-0.02
2026-05-13	oos	0.00302	0.002977	-1.43%	0.00305	+0.99%	0.0243	✗	-0.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.00246	0.002444	-0.67%	0.00302	+22.76%	0.2130	✗	0.08
2026-05-11	oos	0.00242	0.002402	-0.74%	0.00246	+1.65%	0.0249	✗	0.07
2026-05-10	oos	0.00226	0.002247	-0.59%	0.00242	+7.08%	0.0747	✗	0.06
2026-05-09	oos	0.00221	0.002196	-0.65%	0.00226	+2.26%	0.0278	✗	0.05
2026-05-08	oos	0.00206	0.00205	-0.49%	0.00221	+7.28%	0.0749	✗	0.05
2026-05-07	oos	0.00202	0.002012	-0.40%	0.00206	+1.98%	0.0235	✗	0.04
2026-05-06	oos	0.00203	0.002023	-0.36%	0.00202	-0.49%	0.0006	✓	0.04
2026-05-05	oos	0.00203	0.002023	-0.34%	0.00203	+0.00%	0.0032	✓	0.04
2026-05-04	oos	0.00201	0.002004	-0.27%	0.00203	+1.00%	0.0121	✗	0.04
2026-05-03	oos	0.002	0.001996	-0.22%	0.00201	+0.50%	0.0064	✗	0.05
2026-05-02	oos	0.00201	0.002007	-0.16%	0.002	-0.50%	0.0033	✓	0.05
2026-05-01	oos	0.00202	0.002018	-0.11%	0.00201	-0.50%	0.0041	✓	0.05
2026-04-30	oos	0.00207	0.002066	-0.21%	0.00202	-2.42%	0.0232	✓	0.04
2026-04-29	oos	0.00205	0.002046	-0.17%	0.00207	+0.98%	0.0112	✗	0.04
2026-04-28	oos	0.00209	0.002087	-0.16%	0.00205	-1.91%	0.0175	✓	0.03
2026-04-27	oos	0.0021	0.002098	-0.08%	0.00209	-0.48%	0.0035	✓	0.03
2026-04-26	oos	0.0021	0.0021	-0.01%	0.0021	+0.00%	0.0006	✗	0.03
2026-04-25	oos	0.0021	0.002098	-0.09%	0.0021	+0.00%	0.0005	✓	0.03
2026-04-24	oos	0.0021	0.002097	-0.15%	0.0021	+0.00%	0.0014	✓	0.03
2026-04-23	oos	0.00211	0.002105	-0.23%	0.0021	-0.47%	0.0021	✓	0.03
2026-04-22	oos	0.00211	0.002106	-0.21%	0.00211	+0.00%	0.0021	✓	0.03
2026-04-21	oos	0.00211	0.002104	-0.27%	0.00211	+0.00%	0.0019	✓	0.03
2026-04-20	oos	0.00213	0.002123	-0.32%	0.00211	-0.94%	0.0065	✓	0.03
2026-04-19	oos	0.00214	0.002131	-0.42%	0.00213	-0.47%	0.0015	✓	0.04
2026-04-18	oos	0.00212	0.002113	-0.34%	0.00214	+0.94%	0.0138	✗	0.04
2026-04-17	oos	0.00215	0.002142	-0.35%	0.00212	-1.40%	0.0101	✓	0.03
2026-04-16	oos	0.00214	0.002131	-0.40%	0.00215	+0.47%	0.0080	✗	0.03
2026-04-15	oos	0.00215	0.002141	-0.44%	0.00214	-0.47%	0.0004	✓	0.03
2026-04-14	oos	0.00213	0.002121	-0.43%	0.00215	+0.94%	0.0133	✗	0.04
2026-04-13	oos	0.00215	0.002141	-0.44%	0.00213	-0.93%	0.0047	✓	0.06
2026-04-12	oos	0.00215	0.00214	-0.48%	0.00215	+0.00%	0.0121	✓	0.33
2026-04-11	oos	0.00215	0.00214	-0.45%	0.00215	+0.00%	0.0178	✗	0.41
2026-04-10	oos	0.00217	0.00216	-0.47%	0.00215	-0.92%	0.0049	✓	0.32
2026-04-09	oos	0.00222	0.002209	-0.50%	0.00217	-2.25%	0.0233	✓	0.33
2026-04-08	oos	0.00222	0.002209	-0.51%	0.00222	+0.00%	0.0017	✓	0.35
2026-04-07	oos	0.00226	0.002248	-0.54%	0.00222	-1.77%	0.0085	✓	0.34
2026-04-06	oos	0.00226	0.002247	-0.57%	0.00226	+0.00%	0.0071	✓	0.29
2026-04-05	oos	0.00226	0.002247	-0.57%	0.00226	+0.00%	0.0064	✗	0.29
2026-04-04	oos	0.00226	0.002246	-0.60%	0.00226	+0.00%	0.0013	✓	0.29
2026-04-03	oos	0.00226	0.002246	-0.63%	0.00226	+0.00%	0.0049	✓	0.29
2026-04-02	oos	0.00222	0.002207	-0.59%	0.00226	+1.80%	0.0235	✗	0.28
2026-04-01	oos	0.00221	0.002197	-0.57%	0.00222	+0.45%	0.0146	✗	0.24
2026-03-31	oos	0.0022	0.002188	-0.55%	0.00221	+0.45%	0.0104	✗	0.20
2026-03-30	oos	0.00219	0.002177	-0.59%	0.0022	+0.46%	0.0059	✗	0.20
2026-03-29	oos	0.00215	0.002139	-0.53%	0.00219	+1.86%	0.0217	✗	0.17
2026-03-28	oos	0.00222	0.002207	-0.58%	0.00215	-3.15%	0.0253	✓	0.17
2026-03-27	oos	0.00221	0.002198	-0.54%	0.00222	+0.45%	0.0100	✗	0.17
2026-03-26	oos	0.00224	0.002229	-0.47%	0.00221	-1.34%	0.0026	✓	0.17
2026-03-25	oos	0.00225	0.002241	-0.39%	0.00224	-0.44%	0.0059	✗	0.18
2026-03-24	oos	0.00225	0.002241	-0.41%	0.00225	+0.00%	0.0023	✓	0.17
2026-03-23	oos	0.00226	0.00225	-0.43%	0.00225	-0.44%	0.0007	✓	0.18
2026-03-22	oos	0.00226	0.002248	-0.52%	0.00226	+0.00%	0.0024	✓	0.18
2026-03-21	oos	0.00227	0.002258	-0.51%	0.00226	-0.44%	0.0035	✓	0.18
2026-03-20	oos	0.00226	0.002249	-0.48%	0.00227	+0.44%	0.0134	✗	0.18
2026-03-19	oos	0.00224	0.002229	-0.48%	0.00226	+0.89%	0.0122	✗	0.18
2026-03-18	oos	0.00227	0.002258	-0.52%	0.00224	-1.32%	0.0047	✓	0.18
2026-03-17	oos	0.00226	0.002249	-0.51%	0.00227	+0.44%	0.0166	✗	0.19
2026-03-16	oos	0.002265	0.002253	-0.51%	0.00226	-0.22%	0.0054	✗	0.20
2026-03-15	oos	0.00228	0.002268	-0.53%	0.002265	-0.66%	0.0067	✓	0.19
2026-03-14	oos	0.00227	0.002258	-0.53%	0.00228	+0.44%	0.0059	✗	0.17
2026-03-13	oos	0.00227	0.002258	-0.53%	0.00227	+0.00%	0.0046	✓	0.17
2026-03-12	oos	0.00228	0.002268	-0.53%	0.00227	-0.44%	0.0000	✓	0.17
2026-03-11	oos	0.00228	0.002269	-0.46%	0.00228	+0.00%	0.0039	✓	0.16
2026-03-10	oos	0.00226	0.00225	-0.45%	0.00228	+0.88%	0.0127	✗	0.17
2026-03-09	oos	0.00227	0.002259	-0.47%	0.00226	-0.44%	0.0033	✓	0.16
2026-03-08	oos	0.00225	0.002239	-0.49%	0.00227	+0.89%	0.0080	✗	0.16
2026-03-07	oos	0.00227	0.002259	-0.48%	0.00225	-0.88%	0.0010	✓	0.16
2026-03-06	oos	0.00228	0.002269	-0.47%	0.00227	-0.44%	0.0023	✓	0.16
2026-03-05	oos	0.00228	0.002269	-0.46%	0.00228	+0.00%	0.0113	✗	0.17
2026-03-04	oos	0.00226	0.002249	-0.47%	0.00228	+0.88%	0.0176	✗	0.16
2026-03-03	oos	0.00221	0.002201	-0.43%	0.00226	+2.26%	0.0178	✗	0.14
2026-03-02	oos	0.00226	0.00225	-0.45%	0.00221	-2.21%	0.0168	✓	0.15
2026-03-01	oos	0.00227	0.002259	-0.49%	0.00226	-0.44%	0.0059	✓	0.14
2026-02-28	oos	0.00226	0.002249	-0.49%	0.00227	+0.44%	0.0134	✗	0.22
2026-02-27	oos	0.00227	0.002258	-0.52%	0.00226	-0.44%	0.0031	✓	0.23
2026-02-26	oos	0.00229	0.002278	-0.54%	0.00227	-0.87%	0.0024	✓	0.24
2026-02-25	oos	0.00229	0.002277	-0.56%	0.00229	+0.00%	0.0074	✗	0.24
2026-02-24	oos	0.00227	0.002256	-0.61%	0.00229	+0.88%	0.0014	✓	0.23
2026-02-23	oos	0.00226	0.002246	-0.61%	0.00227	+0.44%	0.0125	✗	0.23
2026-02-22	oos	0.00223	0.002218	-0.56%	0.00226	+1.35%	0.0305	✗	0.25
2026-02-21	oos	0.00224	0.002227	-0.58%	0.00223	-0.45%	0.0026	✓	0.26
2026-02-20	oos	0.00223	0.002217	-0.57%	0.00224	+0.45%	0.0103	✗	0.25
2026-02-19	oos	0.00225	0.002237	-0.59%	0.00223	-0.89%	0.0068	✓	0.25
2026-02-18	oos	0.00225	0.002236	-0.61%	0.00225	+0.00%	0.0040	✓	0.25
2026-02-17	oos	0.00224	0.002227	-0.59%	0.00225	+0.45%	0.0143	✗	0.26
2026-02-16	oos	0.00222	0.002207	-0.58%	0.00224	+0.90%	0.0202	✗	0.26
2026-02-15	oos	0.00223	0.002216	-0.61%	0.00222	-0.45%	0.0014	✓	0.26
2026-02-14	oos	0.00224	0.002225	-0.69%	0.00223	-0.45%	0.0063	✓	0.27
2026-02-13	oos	0.00225	0.002234	-0.73%	0.00224	-0.44%	0.0009	✓	0.26
2026-02-12	oos	0.00218	0.002165	-0.69%	0.00225	+3.21%	0.0294	✗	0.24
2026-02-11	oos	0.00217	0.002154	-0.74%	0.00218	+0.46%	0.0149	✗	0.24
2026-02-10	oos	0.00212	0.002103	-0.79%	0.00217	+2.36%	0.0380	✗	0.26
2026-02-09	oos	0.00205	0.002034	-0.79%	0.00212	+3.41%	0.0467	✗	0.28
2026-02-08	oos	0.00199	0.001975	-0.77%	0.00205	+3.02%	0.0381	✗	0.28
2026-02-07	oos	0.00198	0.001965	-0.75%	0.00199	+0.51%	0.0085	✗	0.27
2026-02-06	oos	0.00196	0.001944	-0.80%	0.00198	+1.02%	0.0233	✗	0.28
2026-02-05	oos	0.00195	0.001943	-0.37%	0.00196	+0.51%	0.0245	✓	0.29
2026-02-04	oos	0.00196	0.001945	-0.76%	0.00195	-0.51%	0.1027	✗	0.67
2026-02-03	oos	0.00197	0.001954	-0.81%	0.00196	-0.51%	0.0291	✗	0.73
2026-02-02	oos	0.00201	0.001993	-0.86%	0.00197	-1.99%	0.0192	✗	0.79
2026-02-01	oos	0.00202	0.002006	-0.69%	0.00201	-0.50%	0.0159	✓	0.78
2026-01-31	oos	0.00202	0.002008	-0.59%	0.00202	+0.00%	0.0246	✗	0.83
2026-01-30	oos	0.00198	0.001969	-0.53%	0.00202	+2.02%	0.1096	✗	1.25
2026-01-18	oos	0.016	0.015927	-0.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-01-17	oos	0.01502	0.014974	-0.30%	0.016	+6.52%	0.0877	✗	1.37
2026-01-16	oos	0.0162	0.016115	-0.52%	0.01502	-7.28%	0.0648	✓	1.36
2026-01-15	oos	0.01582	0.015747	-0.46%	0.0162	+2.40%	0.0296	✗	1.36
2026-01-14	oos	0.01685	0.016719	-0.78%	0.01582	-6.11%	0.0361	✓	1.35
2026-01-13	oos	0.0148	0.014729	-0.48%	0.01685	+13.85%	0.1147	✗	1.22
2026-01-12	oos	0.0092	0.009231	+0.33%	0.0148	+60.87%	0.4850	✓	-0.29
2026-01-11	oos	0.00251	0.002225	-11.37%	0.0092	+266.53%	1.4218	✗	-0.63
2026-01-10	oos	0.00698	0.007037	+0.82%	0.00251	-64.04%	1.0297	✗	-0.24
2026-01-09	oos	0.01365	0.013717	+0.49%	0.00698	-48.86%	0.6760	✗	-0.31
2026-01-08	oos	0.01735	0.017354	+0.02%	0.01365	-21.33%	0.2423	✗	-0.39
2026-01-07	oos	0.01783	0.017818	-0.07%	0.01735	-2.69%	0.0277	✓	-0.39
2026-01-06	oos	0.01477	0.014821	+0.34%	0.01783	+20.72%	0.1864	✓	0.06
2026-01-05	oos	0.02047	0.020359	-0.54%	0.01477	-27.85%	0.3209	✓	0.00
2026-01-04	oos	0.02045	0.02038	-0.34%	0.02047	+0.10%	0.0060	✗	-0.06
2026-01-03	oos	0.02063	0.020575	-0.27%	0.02045	-0.87%	0.0053	✓	-0.08
2026-01-02	oos	0.02142	0.021361	-0.27%	0.02063	-3.69%	0.0343	✓	-0.08
2026-01-01	oos	0.02652	0.026363	-0.59%	0.02142	-19.23%	0.2095	✓	0.14
2025-12-31	oos	0.033085	0.032892	-0.58%	0.02652	-19.84%	0.2209	✓	0.40
2025-12-30	oos	0.035535	0.035341	-0.55%	0.033085	-6.89%	0.0623	✓	0.36
2025-12-29	oos	0.04177	0.041464	-0.73%	0.035535	-14.93%	0.1626	✓	0.57
2025-12-28	oos	0.043405	0.043099	-0.70%	0.04177	-3.77%	0.0226	✓	1.00
2025-12-27	oos	0.04503	0.044651	-0.84%	0.043405	-3.61%	0.0291	✓	1.00
2025-12-26	oos	0.04464	0.044268	-0.83%	0.04503	+0.87%	0.0112	✗	1.00
2025-12-25	oos	0.0449	0.044506	-0.88%	0.04464	-0.58%	0.0016	✓	1.00
2025-12-24	oos	0.04446	0.044058	-0.90%	0.0449	+0.99%	0.0239	✗	1.00
2025-12-23	oos	0.04242	0.042079	-0.80%	0.04446	+4.81%	0.0530	✗	1.00
2025-12-22	oos	0.04292	0.042565	-0.83%	0.04242	-1.16%	0.0094	✗	1.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.04195	0.041632	-0.76%	0.04292	+2.31%	0.0314	✗	1.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.04248	0.042151	-0.77%	0.04195	-1.25%	0.0084	✓	1.00
2025-12-19	oos	0.04246	0.042132	-0.77%	0.04248	+0.05%	0.0056	✓	1.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.04286	0.04252	-0.79%	0.04246	-0.93%	0.0317	✓	1.00
2025-12-17	oos	0.04366	0.043315	-0.79%	0.04286	-1.83%	0.0018	✓	1.00
2025-12-16	oos	0.04486	0.044462	-0.89%	0.04366	-2.67%	0.0007	✓	1.00
2025-12-15	oos	0.04555	0.045089	-1.01%	0.04486	-1.51%	0.0216	✓	1.00
2025-12-14	oos	0.04304	0.042683	-0.83%	0.04555	+5.83%	0.0851	✗	1.00
2025-12-13	oos	0.04337	0.042991	-0.87%	0.04304	-0.76%	0.0245	✗	1.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.04394	0.04352	-0.96%	0.04337	-1.30%	0.0032	✓	1.00
2025-12-11	oos	0.04376	0.043282	-1.09%	0.04394	+0.41%	0.0399	✗	1.00
2025-12-10	oos	0.04159	0.041232	-0.86%	0.04376	+5.22%	0.0540	✗	1.00
2025-12-09	oos	0.03961	0.039324	-0.72%	0.04159	+5.00%	0.0631	✗	1.00
2025-12-08	oos	0.03963	0.039352	-0.70%	0.03961	-0.05%	0.0157	✓	1.00
2024-05-25	in	0.01318	0.013142	-0.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.29
2024-05-24	in	0.01303	0.012996	-0.26%	0.01318	+1.15%	0.0110	✗	0.29
2024-05-23	in	0.015	0.014909	-0.61%	0.01303	-13.13%	0.1373	✓	0.29
2024-05-22	in	0.01492	0.01485	-0.47%	0.015	+0.54%	0.0151	✗	0.30
2024-05-21	in	0.01455	0.014486	-0.44%	0.01492	+2.54%	0.0340	✗	0.30
2024-05-20	in	0.01506	0.014967	-0.62%	0.01455	-3.39%	0.0228	✓	0.30
2024-05-19	in	0.01277	0.012755	-0.11%	0.01506	+17.93%	0.1521	✗	0.19
2024-05-18	in	0.0139	0.013875	-0.18%	0.01277	-8.13%	0.0813	✓	0.17
2024-05-17	in	0.02106	0.020866	-0.92%	0.0139	-34.00%	0.4059	✓	0.15
2024-05-16	in	0.02143	0.021162	-1.25%	0.02106	-1.73%	0.0091	✓	0.15
2024-05-15	in	0.01842	0.018344	-0.41%	0.02143	+16.34%	0.1583	✗	0.19
2024-05-14	in	0.01898	0.018899	-0.43%	0.01842	-2.95%	0.0417	✓	0.22
2024-05-13	in	0.01992	0.019822	-0.49%	0.01898	-4.72%	0.0381	✓	0.24
2024-05-12	in	0.02084	0.020718	-0.59%	0.01992	-4.41%	0.0454	✓	0.26
2024-05-11	in	0.02091	0.020782	-0.61%	0.02084	-0.33%	0.0001	✓	0.26
2024-05-10	in	0.0208	0.020674	-0.61%	0.02091	+0.53%	0.0112	✗	0.26
2024-05-09	in	0.02086	0.020731	-0.62%	0.0208	-0.29%	0.0129	✗	0.26
2024-05-08	in	0.01942	0.019333	-0.45%	0.02086	+7.42%	0.0689	✗	0.23
2024-05-07	in	0.01985	0.019765	-0.43%	0.01942	-2.17%	0.0133	✓	0.23
2024-05-06	in	0.02016	0.020079	-0.40%	0.01985	-1.54%	0.0084	✓	0.23
2024-05-05	in	0.02281	0.022666	-0.63%	0.02016	-11.62%	0.1145	✓	0.20
2024-05-04	in	0.02392	0.023728	-0.80%	0.02281	-4.64%	0.0398	✓	0.20
2024-05-03	in	0.02282	0.022664	-0.68%	0.02392	+4.82%	0.0508	✗	0.20
2024-05-02	in	0.02435	0.024118	-0.95%	0.02282	-6.28%	0.0713	✓	0.25
2024-05-01	in	0.02097	0.02086	-0.53%	0.02435	+16.12%	0.1515	✗	0.24
2024-04-30	in	0.02015	0.020077	-0.36%	0.02097	+4.07%	0.0542	✗	0.27
2024-04-29	in	0.02293	0.022787	-0.62%	0.02015	-12.12%	0.1123	✓	0.21
2024-04-28	in	0.0245	0.024642	+0.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.21
2024-04-27	in	0.02435	0.024552	+0.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.17
2024-04-26	in	0.02423	0.024481	+1.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.16
2024-04-25	in	0.02626	0.026041	-0.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.16
2024-04-24	in	0.02703	0.026784	-0.91%	0.02626	-2.85%	0.0207	✓	0.18
2024-04-23	in	0.027	0.026732	-0.99%	0.02703	+0.11%	0.0170	✗	0.18
2024-04-22	in	0.02669	0.026422	-1.01%	0.027	+1.16%	0.0229	✗	0.18
2024-04-21	in	0.02599	0.02577	-0.85%	0.02669	+2.69%	0.0301	✗	0.17
2024-04-20	in	0.02558	0.025376	-0.80%	0.02599	+1.60%	0.0240	✗	0.23
2024-04-19	in	0.02598	0.025763	-0.84%	0.02558	-1.54%	0.0113	✓	0.24
2024-04-18	in	0.02532	0.025135	-0.73%	0.02598	+2.61%	0.0318	✗	0.24
2024-04-17	in	0.02369	0.023595	-0.40%	0.02532	+6.88%	0.0628	✗	0.22
2024-04-16	in	0.02315	0.023106	-0.19%	0.02369	+2.33%	0.0362	✗	0.28
2024-04-15	in	0.02325	0.023245	-0.02%	0.02315	-0.43%	0.0056	✓	0.27
2024-04-14	in	0.02903	0.028868	-0.56%	0.02325	-19.91%	0.2108	✓	0.16
2024-04-13	in	0.03004	0.029876	-0.55%	0.02903	-3.36%	0.0333	✓	0.17
2024-04-12	in	0.0332	0.032914	-0.86%	0.03004	-9.52%	0.0844	✓	0.15
2024-04-11	in	0.03425	0.033946	-0.89%	0.0332	-3.07%	0.0171	✓	0.12
2024-04-10	in	0.03462	0.03429	-0.95%	0.03425	-1.07%	0.0011	✓	0.00
2024-04-09	in	0.03512	0.034756	-1.04%	0.03462	-1.42%	0.0040	✓	0.00
2024-04-08	in	0.0334	0.033065	-1.00%	0.03512	+5.15%	0.0612	✗	0.03
2024-04-07	in	0.03248	0.032188	-0.90%	0.0334	+2.83%	0.0358	✗	0.04
2024-04-06	in	0.03219	0.031933	-0.80%	0.03248	+0.90%	0.0168	✗	0.03
2024-04-05	in	0.03233	0.032086	-0.75%	0.03219	-0.43%	0.0030	✓	0.02
2024-04-04	in	0.03273	0.032482	-0.76%	0.03233	-1.22%	0.0046	✓	0.01
2024-04-03	in	0.03202	0.031873	-0.46%	0.03273	+2.22%	0.0260	✗	0.01
2024-04-02	in	0.03355	0.033375	-0.52%	0.03202	-4.56%	0.0414	✓	-0.01
2024-04-01	in	0.03349	0.033295	-0.58%	0.03355	+0.18%	0.0102	✗	0.04
2024-03-31	in	0.03688	0.036501	-1.03%	0.03349	-9.19%	0.0860	✓	0.00
2024-03-30	in	0.03402	0.033854	-0.49%	0.03688	+8.41%	0.0864	✗	-0.03
2024-03-29	in	0.03666	0.036412	-0.68%	0.03402	-7.20%	0.0681	✓	-0.04
2024-03-28	in	0.03577	0.035586	-0.51%	0.03666	+2.49%	0.0294	✗	-0.03
2024-03-27	in	0.03686	0.036684	-0.48%	0.03577	-2.96%	0.0247	✓	-0.03
2024-03-26	in	0.03745	0.037283	-0.44%	0.03686	-1.58%	0.0122	✓	-0.09
2024-03-25	in	0.03409	0.034133	+0.13%	0.03745	+9.86%	0.0929	✓	-0.10
2024-03-24	in	0.03725	0.037308	+0.16%	0.03409	-8.48%	0.0879	✗	-0.06
2024-03-23	in	0.04137	0.041276	-0.23%	0.03725	-9.96%	0.1020	✓	-0.01
2024-03-22	in	0.03915	0.039121	-0.07%	0.04137	+5.67%	0.0558	✗	0.02
2024-03-21	in	0.03636	0.036557	+0.54%	0.03915	+7.67%	0.0698	✓	0.05
2024-03-20	in	0.03555	0.03581	+0.73%	0.03636	+2.28%	0.0175	✓	0.06
2024-03-19	in	0.03452	0.034761	+0.70%	0.03555	+2.98%	0.0193	✓	0.03
2024-03-18	in	0.03238	0.032735	+1.10%	0.03452	+6.61%	0.0664	✓	0.15
2024-03-15	in	0.03782	0.03825	+1.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.19
2024-03-14	in	0.04192	0.042215	+0.70%	0.03782	-9.78%	0.1060	✗	0.15
2024-03-13	in	0.03145	0.031879	+1.36%	0.04192	+33.29%	0.2763	✓	0.10
2024-03-12	in	0.03096	0.031377	+1.35%	0.03145	+1.58%	0.0004	✓	0.08
2024-03-11	in	0.03076	0.031159	+1.30%	0.03096	+0.65%	0.0057	✓	0.08
2024-03-10	in	0.03021	0.030596	+1.28%	0.03076	+1.82%	0.0021	✓	0.07
2024-03-09	in	0.03103	0.031403	+1.20%	0.03021	-2.64%	0.0390	✗	0.03
2024-03-08	in	0.03067	0.031	+1.07%	0.03103	+1.17%	0.0009	✓	0.04
2024-03-07	in	0.03203	0.032306	+0.86%	0.03067	-4.25%	0.0520	✗	0.00
2024-03-06	in	0.03185	0.032075	+0.71%	0.03203	+0.57%	0.0009	✓	-0.04
2024-03-05	in	0.03223	0.032366	+0.42%	0.03185	-1.18%	0.0108	✗	-0.15
2024-03-04	in	0.03272	0.032864	+0.44%	0.03223	-1.50%	0.0323	✗	-0.19
2024-03-03	in	0.03195	0.031995	+0.14%	0.03272	+2.41%	0.0373	✓	-0.19
2024-03-02	in	0.03243	0.032428	-0.01%	0.03195	-1.48%	0.0118	✓	-0.17
2024-03-01	in	0.03357	0.033529	-0.12%	0.03243	-3.40%	0.0345	✓	-0.18
2024-02-29	in	0.03435	0.034248	-0.30%	0.03357	-2.27%	0.0164	✓	-0.18
2024-02-28	in	0.03541	0.035233	-0.50%	0.03435	-2.99%	0.0296	✓	-0.20
2024-02-27	in	0.03443	0.034159	-0.79%	0.03541	+2.85%	0.0574	✗	-0.24
2024-02-26	in	0.03237	0.032147	-0.69%	0.03443	+6.36%	0.0814	✗	-0.28
2024-02-25	in	0.03101	0.030801	-0.68%	0.03237	+4.39%	0.0667	✗	-0.32
2024-02-24	in	0.0299	0.029713	-0.63%	0.03101	+3.71%	0.0437	✗	-0.32
2024-02-23	in	0.02978	0.029583	-0.66%	0.0299	+0.40%	0.0155	✗	-0.30
2024-02-22	in	0.03038	0.030169	-0.69%	0.02978	-1.97%	0.0161	✓	-0.31

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.