MANTLE

? · · beta_5y

token id: #484
symbol: MANTLE
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-05-01
predictions: 1,593

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

61.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1226

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0373

actual -0.0297

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.557	0.524222	-5.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-21	oos	0.5382	0.504644	-6.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-10-20	oos	0.53495	0.502749	-6.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-19	oos	0.534	0.499877	-6.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-18	oos	0.52945	0.497162	-6.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-17	oos	0.5277	0.495364	-6.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-16	oos	0.53675	0.504235	-6.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-15	oos	0.53085	0.500742	-5.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-10-14	oos	0.52305	0.49341	-5.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-10-13	oos	0.54095	0.513373	-5.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-12	oos	0.53655	0.505946	-5.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-11	oos	0.56565	0.535001	-5.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-10	oos	0.5686	0.536364	-5.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-09	oos	0.5524	0.521317	-5.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-08	oos	0.5538	0.52095	-5.93%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-07	oos	0.5815	0.54904	-5.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-06	oos	0.59135	0.562456	-4.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-10-05	oos	0.6521	0.615288	-5.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-04	oos	0.6643	0.625826	-5.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-03	oos	0.6437	0.60164	-6.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-02	oos	0.6534	0.60814	-6.93%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-01	oos	0.68125	0.63153	-7.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-30	oos	0.6969	0.64175	-7.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-29	oos	0.6649	0.614149	-7.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-09-28	oos	0.6647	0.612753	-7.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-09-27	oos	0.6761	0.623189	-7.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-09-26	oos	0.69405	0.637221	-8.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-09-25	oos	0.6735	0.620218	-7.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-09-24	oos	0.6771	0.624352	-7.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-09-23	oos	0.6531	0.605822	-7.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-09-22	oos	0.6686	0.622428	-6.91%	0.557	-16.69%	0.0900	✓	0.91
2026-09-21	oos	0.65115	0.608998	-6.47%	0.5382	-17.35%	0.0815	✓	0.91
2026-09-20	oos	0.6071	0.566043	-6.76%	0.53495	-11.88%	0.0761	✓	0.90
2026-09-19	oos	0.62265	0.578778	-7.05%	0.534	-14.24%	0.0872	✓	0.90
2026-09-18	oos	0.6246	0.580193	-7.11%	0.52945	-15.23%	0.1040	✓	0.90
2026-09-17	oos	0.5697	0.534697	-6.14%	0.5277	-7.37%	0.0663	✓	0.83
2026-09-16	oos	0.55185	0.522128	-5.39%	0.53675	-2.74%	0.0288	✓	0.83
2026-09-15	oos	0.5444	0.517836	-4.88%	0.53085	-2.49%	0.0438	✓	0.83
2026-09-14	oos	0.5725	0.545376	-4.74%	0.52305	-8.64%	0.0762	✓	0.81
2026-09-13	oos	0.55665	0.533165	-4.22%	0.54095	-2.82%	0.0496	✓	0.81
2026-09-12	oos	0.55705	0.535585	-3.85%	0.53655	-3.68%	0.0442	✓	0.82
2026-09-11	oos	0.5807	0.559747	-3.61%	0.56565	-2.59%	0.0553	✓	0.82
2026-09-10	oos	0.56825	0.548662	-3.45%	0.5686	+0.06%	0.0303	✓	0.82
2026-09-09	oos	0.6011	0.579384	-3.61%	0.5524	-8.10%	0.0899	✓	0.80
2026-09-08	oos	0.63665	0.606679	-4.71%	0.5538	-13.01%	0.1230	✓	0.79
2026-09-07	oos	0.62095	0.596821	-3.89%	0.5815	-6.35%	0.0672	✓	0.80
2026-09-06	oos	0.6084	0.587564	-3.42%	0.59135	-2.80%	0.0450	✓	0.82
2026-09-05	oos	0.5878	0.570156	-3.00%	0.6521	+10.94%	0.0761	✗	0.81
2026-09-04	oos	0.5741	0.563803	-1.79%	0.6643	+15.71%	0.0951	✗	0.84
2026-09-03	oos	0.5687	0.562594	-1.07%	0.6437	+13.19%	0.0987	✗	0.86
2026-09-02	oos	0.5638	0.546795	-3.02%	0.6534	+15.89%	0.0942	✗	0.94
2026-09-01	oos	0.5365	0.526529	-1.86%	0.68125	+26.98%	0.1695	✗	0.96
2026-08-31	oos	0.5467	0.541701	-0.91%	0.6969	+27.47%	0.1948	✗	0.93
2026-08-30	oos	0.5482	0.539325	-1.62%	0.6649	+21.29%	0.1427	✗	0.90
2026-08-29	oos	0.51925	0.519267	+0.00%	0.6647	+28.01%	0.1871	✓	0.93
2026-08-28	oos	0.50805	0.517862	+1.93%	0.6761	+33.08%	0.1912	✓	0.92
2026-08-27	oos	0.5168	0.537105	+3.93%	0.69405	+34.30%	0.2090	✓	0.94
2026-08-26	oos	0.5051	0.521218	+3.19%	0.6735	+33.34%	0.1982	✓	0.94
2026-08-25	oos	0.51735	0.533032	+3.03%	0.6771	+30.88%	0.1720	✓	0.93
2026-08-24	oos	0.5158	0.538669	+4.43%	0.6531	+26.62%	0.1310	✓	0.93
2026-08-23	oos	0.512	0.529621	+3.44%	0.6686	+30.59%	0.1361	✓	0.94
2026-08-22	oos	0.4828	0.504808	+4.56%	0.65115	+34.87%	0.1465	✓	0.93
2026-08-21	oos	0.5171	0.537571	+3.96%	0.6071	+17.40%	0.0895	✓	0.90
2026-08-20	oos	0.51655	0.513087	-0.67%	0.62265	+20.54%	0.0830	✗	1.04
2026-08-19	oos	0.4671	0.456889	-2.19%	0.6246	+33.72%	0.1607	✗	0.98
2026-08-18	oos	0.42655	0.411579	-3.51%	0.5697	+33.56%	0.1723	✗	0.92
2026-08-17	oos	0.4392	0.422461	-3.81%	0.55185	+25.65%	0.1092	✗	0.95
2026-08-16	oos	0.4476	0.426995	-4.60%	0.5444	+21.63%	0.0597	✗	0.99
2026-08-15	oos	0.43255	0.415554	-3.93%	0.5725	+32.35%	0.1064	✗	0.99
2026-08-14	oos	0.44275	0.424411	-4.14%	0.55665	+25.73%	0.0736	✗	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	0.448	0.428582	-4.33%	0.55705	+24.34%	0.0642	✗	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.4581	0.435534	-4.93%	0.5807	+26.76%	0.0874	✗	1.02
2026-08-11	oos	0.43485	0.417427	-4.01%	0.56825	+30.68%	0.1172	✗	1.03
2026-08-10	oos	0.44495	0.425091	-4.46%	0.6011	+35.09%	0.1405	✗	1.02
2026-08-09	oos	0.42305	0.409447	-3.22%	0.63665	+50.49%	0.2407	✗	1.05
2026-08-08	oos	0.4297	0.415109	-3.40%	0.62095	+44.51%	0.1939	✗	1.06
2026-08-07	oos	0.41835	0.406603	-2.81%	0.6084	+45.43%	0.1737	✗	1.07
2026-08-06	oos	0.409	0.39845	-2.58%	0.5878	+43.72%	0.1577	✗	1.07
2026-08-05	oos	0.40675	0.398475	-2.03%	0.5741	+41.14%	0.1403	✗	1.07
2026-08-04	oos	0.401	0.392962	-2.00%	0.5687	+41.82%	0.1168	✗	1.06
2026-08-03	oos	0.3966	0.387269	-2.35%	0.5638	+42.16%	0.1646	✗	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	0.3983	0.388142	-2.55%	0.5365	+34.70%	0.1121	✗	1.07
2026-08-01	oos	0.39445	0.38347	-2.78%	0.5467	+38.60%	0.1150	✗	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	0.39235	0.382091	-2.61%	0.5482	+39.72%	0.1347	✗	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	0.397	0.390219	-1.71%	0.51925	+30.79%	0.0794	✗	1.09
2026-07-29	oos	0.39615	0.390527	-1.42%	0.50805	+28.25%	0.0511	✗	1.07
2026-07-28	oos	0.40155	0.395763	-1.44%	0.5168	+28.70%	0.0207	✗	1.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.4003	0.395471	-1.21%	0.5051	+26.18%	0.0130	✗	1.07
2026-07-26	oos	0.4159	0.41358	-0.56%	0.51735	+24.39%	0.0280	✗	1.07
2026-07-25	oos	0.4115	0.408259	-0.79%	0.5158	+25.35%	0.0136	✗	1.07
2026-07-24	oos	0.41015	0.408095	-0.50%	0.512	+24.83%	0.0220	✗	1.06
2026-07-23	oos	0.40705	0.40943	+0.58%	0.4828	+18.61%	0.0172	✗	1.08
2026-07-22	oos	0.42095	0.427538	+1.57%	0.5171	+22.84%	0.0094	✓	1.06
2026-07-21	oos	0.42935	0.437886	+1.99%	0.51655	+20.31%	0.0662	✓	1.06
2026-07-20	oos	0.4246	0.430627	+1.42%	0.4671	+10.01%	0.0165	✓	1.07
2026-07-19	oos	0.4243	0.427962	+0.86%	0.42655	+0.53%	0.0033	✓	1.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.4199	0.425273	+1.28%	0.4392	+4.60%	0.0374	✓	1.06
2026-07-17	oos	0.42625	0.431001	+1.11%	0.4476	+5.01%	0.0561	✓	1.09
2026-07-16	oos	0.44125	0.444735	+0.79%	0.43255	-1.97%	0.0147	✗	1.10
2026-07-15	oos	0.4255	0.433284	+1.83%	0.44275	+4.05%	0.0520	✓	1.12
2026-07-14	oos	0.42295	0.431988	+2.14%	0.448	+5.92%	0.0636	✓	1.12
2026-07-13	oos	0.42095	0.424174	+0.77%	0.4581	+8.83%	0.0554	✓	1.18
2026-07-12	oos	0.4176	0.42391	+1.51%	0.43485	+4.13%	0.0295	✓	1.21
2026-07-11	oos	0.4224	0.428767	+1.51%	0.44495	+5.34%	0.0345	✓	1.16
2026-07-10	oos	0.4296	0.436392	+1.58%	0.42305	-1.52%	0.0438	✗	1.14
2026-07-09	oos	0.4288	0.433839	+1.18%	0.4297	+0.21%	0.0407	✗	1.15
2026-07-08	oos	0.421	0.424827	+0.91%	0.41835	-0.63%	0.0638	✗	1.16
2026-07-07	oos	0.4221	0.428237	+1.45%	0.409	-3.10%	0.0633	✗	1.17
2026-07-06	oos	0.4414	0.447906	+1.47%	0.40675	-7.85%	0.1073	✗	1.17
2026-07-05	oos	0.44085	0.446703	+1.33%	0.401	-9.04%	0.1163	✗	1.14
2026-07-04	oos	0.453	0.456962	+0.87%	0.3966	-12.45%	0.1486	✗	1.15
2026-07-03	oos	0.4487	0.452698	+0.89%	0.3983	-11.23%	0.1457	✗	1.13
2026-07-02	oos	0.4365	0.43997	+0.80%	0.39445	-9.63%	0.1324	✗	1.13
2026-07-01	oos	0.4229	0.425164	+0.54%	0.39235	-7.22%	0.1326	✗	1.12
2026-06-30	oos	0.4106	0.411896	+0.32%	0.397	-3.31%	0.1501	✗	1.13
2026-06-29	oos	0.42845	0.430964	+0.59%	0.39615	-7.54%	0.1516	✗	1.12
2026-06-28	oos	0.4265	0.428359	+0.44%	0.40155	-5.85%	0.1439	✗	1.12
2026-06-27	oos	0.436	0.438626	+0.60%	0.4003	-8.19%	0.1596	✗	1.12
2026-06-26	oos	0.438	0.44122	+0.74%	0.4159	-5.05%	0.1545	✗	1.12
2026-06-25	oos	0.4421	0.44453	+0.55%	0.4115	-6.92%	0.1603	✗	1.12
2026-06-24	oos	0.5028	0.499903	-0.58%	0.41015	-18.43%	0.2499	✓	1.05
2026-06-23	oos	0.51505	0.512515	-0.49%	0.40705	-20.97%	0.2710	✓	1.08
2026-06-22	oos	0.5334	0.529178	-0.79%	0.42095	-21.08%	0.2643	✓	1.08
2026-06-21	oos	0.52865	0.523539	-0.97%	0.42935	-18.78%	0.2528	✓	1.08
2026-06-20	oos	0.53535	0.529793	-1.04%	0.4246	-20.69%	0.2369	✓	1.02
2026-06-19	oos	0.52935	0.523169	-1.17%	0.4243	-19.85%	0.2287	✓	1.02
2026-06-18	oos	0.53095	0.5228	-1.53%	0.4199	-20.92%	0.2499	✓	1.02
2026-06-17	oos	0.5418	0.532559	-1.71%	0.42625	-21.33%	0.2138	✓	1.03
2026-06-16	oos	0.5575	0.546069	-2.05%	0.44125	-20.85%	0.1838	✓	1.03
2026-06-15	oos	0.57695	0.561302	-2.71%	0.4255	-26.25%	0.2518	✓	1.06
2026-06-14	oos	0.5687	0.553113	-2.74%	0.42295	-25.63%	0.2567	✓	1.06
2026-06-13	oos	0.557	0.541837	-2.72%	0.42095	-24.43%	0.2150	✓	1.09
2026-06-12	oos	0.53675	0.52372	-2.43%	0.4176	-22.20%	0.2299	✓	1.08
2026-06-11	oos	0.5408	0.526606	-2.62%	0.4224	-21.89%	0.2241	✓	1.09
2026-06-10	oos	0.52835	0.514933	-2.54%	0.4296	-18.69%	0.2283	✓	1.10
2026-06-09	oos	0.5362	0.520729	-2.89%	0.4288	-20.03%	0.2207	✓	1.11
2026-06-08	oos	0.5476	0.529453	-3.31%	0.421	-23.12%	0.2146	✓	1.11
2026-06-07	oos	0.543	0.524425	-3.42%	0.4221	-22.27%	0.2174	✓	1.12
2026-06-06	oos	0.5145	0.499253	-2.96%	0.4414	-14.21%	0.1788	✓	1.10
2026-06-05	oos	0.5189	0.501937	-3.27%	0.44085	-15.04%	0.1752	✓	1.11
2026-06-04	oos	0.556	0.532177	-4.28%	0.453	-18.53%	0.1488	✓	1.09
2026-06-03	oos	0.5969	0.565486	-5.26%	0.4487	-24.83%	0.2059	✓	1.06
2026-06-02	oos	0.6062	0.57678	-4.85%	0.4365	-27.99%	0.1926	✓	1.07
2026-06-01	oos	0.6354	0.608109	-4.30%	0.4229	-33.44%	0.1879	✓	1.01
2026-05-31	oos	0.66695	0.637289	-4.45%	0.4106	-38.44%	0.2144	✓	0.98
2026-05-30	oos	0.6773	0.644503	-4.84%	0.42845	-36.74%	0.2102	✓	0.97
2026-05-29	oos	0.6428	0.615536	-4.24%	0.4265	-33.65%	0.1657	✓	0.96
2026-05-28	oos	0.6297	0.604277	-4.04%	0.436	-30.76%	0.1311	✓	0.96
2026-05-27	oos	0.6269	0.603464	-3.74%	0.438	-30.13%	0.1172	✓	0.95
2026-05-26	oos	0.6374	0.614304	-3.62%	0.4421	-30.64%	0.1032	✓	0.94
2026-05-25	oos	0.65335	0.629221	-3.69%	0.5028	-23.04%	0.0022	✓	0.94
2026-05-24	oos	0.6514	0.626068	-3.89%	0.51505	-20.93%	0.0036	✓	0.93
2026-05-23	oos	0.66505	0.634501	-4.59%	0.5334	-19.80%	0.0033	✓	0.94
2026-05-22	oos	0.6363	0.607871	-4.47%	0.52865	-16.92%	0.0254	✓	0.94
2026-05-21	oos	0.6775	0.6451	-4.78%	0.53535	-20.98%	0.0150	✓	0.91
2026-05-20	oos	0.6653	0.633434	-4.79%	0.52935	-20.43%	0.0020	✓	0.91
2026-05-19	oos	0.6229	0.596291	-4.27%	0.53095	-14.76%	0.0634	✗	0.90
2026-05-18	oos	0.6278	0.601485	-4.19%	0.5418	-13.70%	0.0552	✗	0.90
2026-05-17	oos	0.6342	0.608464	-4.06%	0.5575	-12.09%	0.0611	✗	0.90
2026-05-16	oos	0.6429	0.619314	-3.67%	0.57695	-10.26%	0.0766	✗	0.90
2026-05-15	oos	0.66595	0.643503	-3.37%	0.5687	-14.60%	0.0440	✗	0.91
2026-05-14	oos	0.69485	0.675958	-2.72%	0.557	-19.84%	0.0139	✓	0.90
2026-05-13	oos	0.6716	0.647715	-3.56%	0.53675	-20.08%	0.0114	✓	0.90
2026-05-12	oos	0.66775	0.649005	-2.81%	0.5408	-19.01%	0.0314	✗	0.91
2026-05-11	oos	0.69755	0.680442	-2.45%	0.52835	-24.26%	0.0023	✓	0.90
2026-05-10	oos	0.71375	0.696826	-2.37%	0.5362	-24.88%	0.0052	✓	0.89
2026-05-09	oos	0.6826	0.664266	-2.69%	0.5476	-19.78%	0.0239	✓	0.88
2026-05-08	oos	0.6845	0.664919	-2.86%	0.543	-20.67%	0.0051	✓	0.88
2026-05-07	oos	0.66245	0.650044	-1.87%	0.5145	-22.33%	0.0048	✓	0.87
2026-05-06	oos	0.6677	0.662471	-0.78%	0.5189	-22.29%	0.0084	✓	0.82
2026-05-05	oos	0.64595	0.645272	-0.10%	0.556	-13.93%	0.0561	✗	0.86
2026-05-04	oos	0.6396	0.638055	-0.24%	0.5969	-6.68%	0.1222	✗	0.86
2026-05-03	oos	0.6316	0.627803	-0.60%	0.6062	-4.02%	0.1041	✗	0.85
2026-05-02	oos	0.6309	0.630419	-0.08%	0.6354	+0.71%	0.0921	✗	0.86
2026-05-01	oos	0.6305	0.632756	+0.36%	0.66695	+5.78%	0.1060	✓	0.87
2026-04-30	oos	0.62805	0.623091	-0.79%	0.6773	+7.84%	0.1129	✗	0.87
2026-04-29	oos	0.6247	0.619791	-0.79%	0.6428	+2.90%	0.0645	✗	0.88
2026-04-28	oos	0.6309	0.628311	-0.41%	0.6297	-0.19%	0.0359	✗	0.90
2026-04-27	oos	0.6378	0.642713	+0.77%	0.6269	-1.71%	0.0113	✓	0.90
2026-04-26	oos	0.6548	0.66248	+1.17%	0.6374	-2.66%	0.0053	✓	0.90
2026-04-25	oos	0.65925	0.665067	+0.88%	0.65335	-0.89%	0.0131	✗	0.91
2026-04-24	oos	0.6481	0.65867	+1.63%	0.6514	+0.51%	0.0053	✓	0.92
2026-04-23	oos	0.64735	0.665986	+2.88%	0.66505	+2.73%	0.0179	✓	0.92
2026-04-22	oos	0.64435	0.666094	+3.37%	0.6363	-1.25%	0.0128	✓	0.92
2026-04-21	oos	0.6314	0.643344	+1.89%	0.6775	+7.30%	0.0374	✓	0.92
2026-04-20	oos	0.6314	0.638617	+1.14%	0.6653	+5.37%	0.0216	✓	0.92
2026-04-19	oos	0.6219	0.615922	-0.96%	0.6229	+0.16%	0.0249	✓	0.92
2026-04-18	oos	0.6615	0.657212	-0.65%	0.6278	-5.09%	0.0603	✓	0.92
2026-04-17	oos	0.6819	0.681244	-0.10%	0.6342	-7.00%	0.0752	✓	0.91
2026-04-16	oos	0.67305	0.662732	-1.53%	0.6429	-4.48%	0.0655	✓	0.92
2026-04-15	oos	0.6652	0.654029	-1.68%	0.66595	+0.11%	0.0321	✓	0.91
2026-04-14	oos	0.65505	0.642207	-1.96%	0.69485	+6.08%	0.0025	✓	0.91
2026-04-13	oos	0.6832	0.666428	-2.45%	0.6716	-1.70%	0.0495	✓	0.91
2026-04-12	oos	0.66475	0.637857	-4.05%	0.66775	+0.45%	0.0730	✓	0.92
2026-04-11	oos	0.68055	0.660584	-2.93%	0.69755	+2.50%	0.0485	✓	0.92
2026-04-10	oos	0.6932	0.671046	-3.20%	0.71375	+2.96%	0.0478	✓	0.92
2026-04-09	oos	0.6659	0.643106	-3.42%	0.6826	+2.51%	0.0471	✓	0.92
2026-04-08	oos	0.6586	0.634706	-3.63%	0.6845	+3.93%	0.0350	✓	0.92
2026-04-07	oos	0.67465	0.651236	-3.47%	0.66245	-1.81%	0.0807	✓	0.92
2026-04-06	oos	0.655	0.624412	-4.67%	0.6677	+1.94%	0.0897	✓	0.93
2026-04-05	oos	0.6707	0.638046	-4.87%	0.64595	-3.69%	0.1365	✓	0.94
2026-04-04	oos	0.669	0.633057	-5.37%	0.6396	-4.39%	0.1515	✓	0.95
2026-04-03	oos	0.6751	0.637552	-5.56%	0.6316	-6.44%	0.1609	✓	0.95
2026-04-02	oos	0.6721	0.634586	-5.58%	0.6309	-6.13%	0.1598	✓	0.95
2026-04-01	oos	0.70075	0.660291	-5.77%	0.6305	-10.02%	0.1778	✓	0.95
2026-03-31	oos	0.697	0.656606	-5.80%	0.62805	-9.89%	0.1508	✓	0.95
2026-03-30	oos	0.6867	0.644823	-6.10%	0.6247	-9.03%	0.1522	✓	0.95
2026-03-29	oos	0.6711	0.631343	-5.92%	0.6309	-5.99%	0.1373	✓	0.94
2026-03-28	oos	0.6726	0.634925	-5.60%	0.6378	-5.17%	0.1399	✓	0.94
2026-03-27	oos	0.67445	0.638591	-5.32%	0.6548	-2.91%	0.1345	✓	0.94
2026-03-26	oos	0.69535	0.664113	-4.49%	0.65925	-5.19%	0.1216	✓	0.94
2026-03-25	oos	0.7403	0.711783	-3.85%	0.6481	-12.45%	0.1708	✓	0.93
2026-03-24	oos	0.7161	0.69149	-3.44%	0.64735	-9.60%	0.1625	✓	0.93
2026-03-23	oos	0.70575	0.68846	-2.45%	0.64435	-8.70%	0.1574	✓	0.93
2026-03-22	oos	0.71065	0.682198	-4.00%	0.6314	-11.15%	0.1902	✓	0.96
2026-03-21	oos	0.737	0.709406	-3.74%	0.6314	-14.33%	0.2079	✓	0.95
2026-03-20	oos	0.7516	0.72946	-2.95%	0.6219	-17.26%	0.2034	✓	0.95
2026-03-19	oos	0.7501	0.727945	-2.95%	0.6615	-11.81%	0.1719	✓	0.95
2026-03-18	oos	0.7754	0.756544	-2.43%	0.6819	-12.06%	0.1784	✓	0.94
2026-03-17	oos	0.8376	0.818116	-2.33%	0.67305	-19.65%	0.2105	✓	0.93
2026-03-16	oos	0.8656	0.84395	-2.50%	0.6652	-23.15%	0.2374	✓	0.93
2026-03-15	oos	0.8046	0.788736	-1.97%	0.65505	-18.59%	0.2023	✓	0.90
2026-03-14	oos	0.7965	0.776738	-2.48%	0.6832	-14.22%	0.1676	✓	0.89
2026-03-13	oos	0.7156	0.711241	-0.61%	0.66475	-7.11%	0.0652	✓	0.89
2026-03-12	oos	0.7162	0.709761	-0.90%	0.68055	-4.98%	0.0739	✓	0.89
2026-03-11	oos	0.6905	0.689237	-0.18%	0.6932	+0.39%	0.0283	✓	0.87
2026-03-10	oos	0.70015	0.697479	-0.38%	0.6659	-4.89%	0.0691	✓	0.88
2026-03-09	oos	0.66845	0.666003	-0.37%	0.6586	-1.47%	0.0441	✓	0.86
2026-03-08	oos	0.6487	0.642206	-1.00%	0.67465	+4.00%	0.0252	✓	0.86
2026-03-07	oos	0.6747	0.667307	-1.10%	0.655	-2.92%	0.0388	✓	0.86
2026-03-06	oos	0.6844	0.678228	-0.90%	0.6707	-2.00%	0.0225	✓	0.86
2026-03-05	oos	0.6999	0.697641	-0.32%	0.669	-4.41%	0.0034	✗	0.87
2026-03-04	oos	0.6945	0.697045	+0.37%	0.6751	-2.79%	0.0385	✓	0.86
2026-03-03	oos	0.6907	0.684182	-0.94%	0.6721	-2.69%	0.0014	✓	0.90
2026-03-02	oos	0.6591	0.659409	+0.05%	0.70075	+6.32%	0.0705	✓	0.93
2026-03-01	oos	0.6364	0.633479	-0.46%	0.697	+9.52%	0.0615	✗	0.93
2026-02-28	oos	0.63865	0.6383	-0.05%	0.6867	+7.52%	0.0764	✗	0.96
2026-02-27	oos	0.6349	0.632941	-0.31%	0.6711	+5.70%	0.0571	✗	0.96
2026-02-26	oos	0.6401	0.641034	+0.15%	0.6726	+5.08%	0.0649	✓	0.96
2026-02-25	oos	0.6235	0.62836	+0.78%	0.67445	+8.17%	0.0943	✓	0.97
2026-02-24	oos	0.5908	0.591608	+0.14%	0.69535	+17.70%	0.0933	✓	0.96
2026-02-23	oos	0.5764	0.581198	+0.83%	0.7403	+28.44%	0.1464	✓	0.97
2026-02-22	oos	0.6058	0.613387	+1.25%	0.7161	+18.21%	0.1139	✓	0.97
2026-02-21	oos	0.6329	0.636553	+0.58%	0.70575	+11.51%	0.0626	✓	0.97
2026-02-20	oos	0.63055	0.635316	+0.76%	0.71065	+12.70%	0.1140	✓	0.97
2026-02-19	oos	0.62075	0.624795	+0.65%	0.737	+18.73%	0.1376	✓	0.97
2026-02-18	oos	0.62075	0.623962	+0.52%	0.7516	+21.08%	0.1276	✓	0.98
2026-02-17	oos	0.6335	0.636633	+0.49%	0.7501	+18.41%	0.1287	✓	0.99
2026-02-16	oos	0.645	0.647252	+0.35%	0.7754	+20.22%	0.1470	✓	0.99
2026-02-15	oos	0.6278	0.632291	+0.72%	0.8376	+33.42%	0.2102	✓	0.98
2026-02-14	oos	0.6638	0.661324	-0.37%	0.8656	+30.40%	0.1992	✗	0.99
2026-02-13	oos	0.6373	0.637154	-0.02%	0.8046	+26.25%	0.1775	✗	0.98
2026-02-12	oos	0.61275	0.613246	+0.08%	0.7965	+29.99%	0.1894	✓	0.99
2026-02-11	oos	0.6159	0.615817	-0.01%	0.7156	+16.19%	0.0944	✗	0.98
2026-02-10	oos	0.632	0.629972	-0.32%	0.7162	+13.32%	0.1039	✗	0.98
2026-02-09	oos	0.64615	0.641811	-0.67%	0.6905	+6.86%	0.0716	✗	0.98
2026-02-08	oos	0.64165	0.637716	-0.61%	0.70015	+9.12%	0.0979	✗	0.99
2026-02-07	oos	0.6433	0.638204	-0.79%	0.66845	+3.91%	0.0580	✗	0.99
2026-02-06	oos	0.646	0.638852	-1.11%	0.6487	+0.42%	0.0811	✗	0.99
2026-02-05	oos	0.60115	0.606301	+0.86%	0.6747	+12.23%	0.0343	✓	1.06
2026-02-04	oos	0.6979	0.679818	-2.59%	0.6844	-1.93%	0.0848	✗	1.13
2026-02-03	oos	0.7095	0.686906	-3.18%	0.6999	-1.35%	0.0935	✗	1.15
2026-02-02	oos	0.72145	0.693866	-3.82%	0.6945	-3.74%	0.0916	✗	1.15
2026-02-01	oos	0.6847	0.664032	-3.02%	0.6907	+0.88%	0.1608	✗	1.03
2026-01-31	oos	0.7323	0.702819	-4.03%	0.6591	-10.00%	0.0820	✗	1.10
2026-01-30	oos	0.777	0.737944	-5.03%	0.6364	-18.10%	0.1285	✗	1.12
2026-01-29	oos	0.8409	0.790976	-5.94%	0.63865	-24.05%	0.0464	✓	1.12
2026-01-28	oos	0.91915	0.863277	-6.08%	0.6349	-30.93%	0.0204	✓	1.08
2026-01-27	oos	0.8926	0.839287	-5.97%	0.6401	-28.29%	0.0365	✓	1.11
2026-01-26	oos	0.8655	0.813147	-6.05%	0.6235	-27.96%	0.0181	✓	1.09
2026-01-25	oos	0.8472	0.796431	-5.99%	0.5908	-30.26%	0.0290	✓	1.09
2026-01-24	oos	0.904	0.854941	-5.43%	0.5764	-36.24%	0.0509	✓	1.07
2026-01-23	oos	0.8815	0.839855	-4.72%	0.6058	-31.28%	0.0173	✓	1.10
2026-01-22	oos	0.88205	0.842268	-4.51%	0.6329	-28.25%	0.0183	✓	1.11
2026-01-21	oos	0.8882	0.84796	-4.53%	0.63055	-29.01%	0.0039	✓	1.10
2026-01-20	oos	0.87	0.828274	-4.80%	0.62075	-28.65%	0.0203	✓	1.12
2026-01-19	oos	0.915	0.888996	-2.84%	0.62075	-32.16%	0.0143	✓	1.13
2026-01-18	oos	0.9463	0.920818	-2.69%	0.6335	-33.06%	0.0067	✓	1.16
2026-01-17	oos	0.9499	0.933472	-1.73%	0.645	-32.10%	0.0011	✓	1.15
2026-01-16	oos	0.9499	0.936612	-1.40%	0.6278	-33.91%	0.0100	✓	1.19
2026-01-15	oos	0.9631	0.945834	-1.79%	0.6638	-31.08%	0.0223	✗	1.20
2026-01-14	oos	0.97685	0.964192	-1.30%	0.6373	-34.76%	0.0028	✓	1.22
2026-01-13	oos	0.9887	0.965473	-2.35%	0.61275	-38.02%	0.0011	✓	1.24
2026-01-12	oos	0.9442	0.905697	-4.08%	0.6159	-34.77%	0.0077	✓	1.28
2026-01-11	oos	0.9841	0.938728	-4.61%	0.632	-35.78%	0.0331	✓	1.30
2026-01-10	oos	0.97685	0.932455	-4.54%	0.64615	-33.85%	0.0379	✓	1.29
2026-01-09	oos	0.9638	0.924761	-4.05%	0.64165	-33.42%	0.0400	✓	1.60
2026-01-08	oos	0.9992	0.957032	-4.22%	0.6433	-35.62%	0.0439	✗	1.61
2026-01-07	oos	1.0332	0.985039	-4.66%	0.646	-37.48%	0.0736	✗	1.92
2026-01-06	oos	1.1155	1.0592	-5.05%	0.60115	-46.11%	0.2089	✗	1.94
2026-01-05	oos	1.0789	1.0288	-4.65%	0.6979	-35.31%	0.1131	✗	1.99
2026-01-04	oos	1.0433	0.99187	-4.93%	0.7095	-31.99%	0.0474	✓	2.01
2026-01-03	oos	1.02	0.97129	-4.78%	0.72145	-29.27%	0.0072	✓	2.05
2026-01-02	oos	1.0146	0.964759	-4.91%	0.6847	-32.52%	0.0175	✓	2.07
2026-01-01	oos	0.973	0.929002	-4.52%	0.7323	-24.74%	0.0119	✓	2.07
2025-12-31	oos	0.9624	0.92134	-4.27%	0.777	-19.26%	0.0893	✓	2.05
2025-12-30	oos	0.96835	0.933267	-3.62%	0.8409	-13.16%	0.0116	✓	2.06
2025-12-29	oos	1.0142	0.971346	-4.22%	0.91915	-9.37%	0.1037	✓	2.08
2025-12-28	oos	1.0407	0.996833	-4.21%	0.8926	-14.23%	0.1396	✓	2.08
2025-12-27	oos	1.0617	1.0171	-4.20%	0.8655	-18.48%	0.1720	✓	2.10
2025-12-26	oos	1.0439	1.0024	-3.98%	0.8472	-18.85%	0.1505	✓	2.09
2025-12-25	oos	1.0325	0.99374	-3.75%	0.904	-12.45%	0.1400	✓	2.09
2025-12-24	oos	1.0386	1.0016	-3.56%	0.8815	-15.13%	0.1721	✓	2.11
2025-12-23	oos	1.0579	1.0211	-3.48%	0.88205	-16.62%	0.1948	✓	2.11
2025-12-22	oos	1.1093	1.0695	-3.59%	0.8882	-19.93%	0.2046	✓	2.09
2025-12-21	oos	1.1743	1.1233	-4.34%	0.87	-25.91%	0.2478	✓	2.09
2025-12-20	oos	1.1913	1.136	-4.64%	0.915	-23.20%	0.3112	✓	2.02
2025-12-19	oos	1.1525	1.1029	-4.31%	0.9463	-17.89%	0.2765	✓	2.02
2025-12-18	oos	1.1439	1.0901	-4.71%	0.9499	-16.96%	0.3586	✓	2.06
2025-12-17	oos	1.2092	1.1443	-5.37%	0.9499	-21.44%	0.3981	✓	2.07
2025-12-16	oos	1.2475	1.1807	-5.36%	0.9631	-22.80%	0.3790	✓	2.08
2025-12-15	oos	1.2895	1.2079	-6.33%	0.97685	-24.25%	0.4549	✓	2.11
2025-12-14	oos	1.2492	1.1783	-5.68%	0.9887	-20.85%	0.3444	✓	2.15
2025-12-13	oos	1.332	1.2474	-6.35%	0.9442	-29.11%	0.3005	✓	2.14
2025-12-12	oos	1.2521	1.1806	-5.71%	0.9841	-21.40%	0.1961	✓	2.14
2025-12-11	oos	1.1987	1.1403	-4.87%	0.97685	-18.51%	0.1030	✓	2.18
2025-12-10	oos	1.1666	1.1077	-5.05%	0.9638	-17.39%	0.1027	✓	2.19
2025-12-09	oos	1.1132	1.0649	-4.33%	0.9992	-10.24%	0.0236	✓	2.22
2025-12-08	oos	1.0939	1.046	-4.38%	1.0332	-5.55%	0.0279	✓	2.26
2025-12-07	oos	1.0965	1.0458	-4.63%	1.1155	+1.73%	0.0167	✓	2.25
2025-12-06	oos	1.0658	1.0169	-4.59%	1.0789	+1.22%	0.0542	✓	2.26
2025-12-05	oos	1.0882	1.0339	-4.99%	1.0433	-4.13%	0.0445	✓	2.25
2025-12-04	oos	1.0583	1.014	-4.19%	1.02	-3.62%	0.0438	✗	2.31
2025-12-03	oos	1.1061	1.0535	-4.75%	1.0146	-8.27%	0.0504	✗	2.31
2025-12-02	oos	1.0247	0.985506	-3.82%	0.973	-5.05%	0.0527	✗	2.29
2025-12-01	oos	0.97575	0.94059	-3.60%	0.9624	-1.37%	0.0109	✓	2.42
2025-11-30	oos	1.0664	1.0159	-4.74%	0.96835	-9.20%	0.0052	✓	2.41
2025-11-29	oos	1.0875	1.0304	-5.25%	1.0142	-6.74%	0.0840	✗	2.39
2025-11-28	oos	1.0763	1.0204	-5.20%	1.0407	-3.31%	0.1006	✗	2.39
2025-11-27	oos	1.0633	1.0078	-5.22%	1.0617	-0.15%	0.1460	✗	2.40
2025-11-26	oos	1.0705	1.0116	-5.50%	1.0439	-2.48%	0.1179	✗	2.42
2025-11-25	oos	1.0265	0.972869	-5.22%	1.0325	+0.58%	0.0638	✗	2.47
2025-11-24	oos	1.022	0.966493	-5.43%	1.0386	+1.62%	0.0905	✗	2.48
2025-11-23	oos	1.0158	0.959683	-5.52%	1.0579	+4.14%	0.0796	✗	2.50
2025-11-22	oos	0.9871	0.935977	-5.18%	1.1093	+12.37%	0.0568	✗	2.53
2025-11-21	oos	0.94735	0.902123	-4.77%	1.1743	+23.96%	0.1600	✗	2.52
2025-11-20	oos	1.0422	0.977001	-6.26%	1.1913	+14.31%	0.1471	✗	2.51
2025-11-19	oos	1.1181	1.0356	-7.38%	1.1525	+3.07%	0.2020	✗	2.53
2025-11-18	oos	1.1084	1.0284	-7.22%	1.1439	+3.20%	0.3205	✗	2.56
2025-11-17	oos	1.1051	1.0286	-6.92%	1.2092	+9.42%	0.3299	✗	2.54
2025-11-16	oos	1.192	1.0963	-8.03%	1.2475	+4.66%	0.2995	✗	2.45
2025-11-15	oos	1.2014	1.1021	-8.27%	1.2895	+7.33%	0.4029	✗	2.45
2025-11-14	oos	1.1661	1.0732	-7.97%	1.2492	+7.13%	0.3215	✗	2.45
2025-11-13	oos	1.2232	1.1102	-9.24%	1.332	+8.89%	0.4354	✗	2.57
2025-11-12	oos	1.2643	1.1391	-9.90%	1.2521	-0.96%	0.3972	✗	2.55
2025-11-11	oos	1.2367	1.1128	-10.02%	1.1987	-3.07%	0.3416	✗	2.49
2025-11-10	oos	1.3199	1.1758	-10.92%	1.1666	-11.61%	0.3463	✗	2.51
2025-11-09	oos	1.3355	1.1836	-11.37%	1.1132	-16.65%	0.2475	✗	2.54
2025-11-08	oos	1.336	1.1835	-11.41%	1.0939	-18.12%	0.2339	✗	2.59
2025-11-07	oos	1.2914	1.1437	-11.43%	1.0965	-15.09%	0.2944	✗	2.53
2025-11-06	oos	1.2093	1.09	-9.87%	1.0658	-11.86%	0.2960	✗	2.52
2025-11-05	oos	1.2479	1.132	-9.28%	1.0882	-12.80%	0.3423	✗	2.53
2025-11-04	oos	1.2699	1.1476	-9.63%	1.0583	-16.66%	0.1787	✗	2.68
2025-11-03	oos	1.2269	1.1242	-8.37%	1.1061	-9.85%	0.3643	✗	2.90
2025-11-02	oos	1.4307	1.3036	-8.88%	1.0247	-28.38%	0.2973	✗	2.82
2025-11-01	oos	1.4412	1.3211	-8.34%	0.97575	-32.30%	0.3920	✗	2.86
2025-10-31	oos	1.4536	1.3341	-8.22%	1.0664	-26.63%	0.3251	✗	2.85
2025-10-30	oos	1.4418	1.329	-7.83%	1.0875	-24.58%	0.3039	✗	2.87
2025-10-29	oos	1.5839	1.4538	-8.21%	1.0763	-32.05%	0.2420	✗	2.84
2025-10-28	oos	1.608	1.4814	-7.87%	1.0633	-33.88%	0.2770	✗	2.87
2025-10-27	oos	1.6634	1.5274	-8.18%	1.0705	-35.64%	0.3089	✗	2.86
2025-10-26	oos	1.7735	1.6132	-9.04%	1.0265	-42.12%	0.3234	✗	2.86
2025-10-25	oos	1.6585	1.5176	-8.50%	1.022	-38.38%	0.2821	✗	2.88
2025-10-24	oos	1.6436	1.5039	-8.50%	1.0158	-38.19%	0.3178	✗	2.88
2025-10-23	oos	1.6854	1.532	-9.10%	0.9871	-41.43%	0.3232	✗	2.90
2025-10-22	oos	1.5951	1.449	-9.16%	0.94735	-40.61%	0.2600	✗	2.92
2025-10-21	oos	1.6283	1.4782	-9.22%	1.0422	-35.99%	0.3071	✗	2.92
2025-10-20	oos	1.8123	1.6346	-9.80%	1.1181	-38.30%	0.1683	✗	2.89
2025-10-19	oos	1.8595	1.6592	-10.77%	1.1084	-40.39%	0.0524	✓	2.91
2025-10-18	oos	1.6695	1.5027	-9.99%	1.1051	-33.81%	0.1300	✗	2.88
2025-10-17	oos	1.6085	1.4515	-9.76%	1.192	-25.90%	0.1556	✗	2.88
2025-10-16	oos	1.7167	1.5502	-9.70%	1.2014	-30.01%	0.1011	✓	2.86
2025-10-15	oos	1.8153	1.6479	-9.22%	1.1661	-35.76%	0.1082	✗	2.85
2025-10-14	oos	1.9764	1.8002	-8.91%	1.2232	-38.11%	0.0273	✓	2.84
2025-10-13	oos	2.118	1.9314	-8.81%	1.2643	-40.31%	0.0694	✓	2.82
2025-10-12	oos	2.2453	2.0218	-9.95%	1.2367	-44.92%	0.1805	✓	2.81
2025-10-11	oos	1.6232	1.4689	-9.51%	1.3199	-18.69%	0.0041	✓	2.51
2025-10-10	oos	1.7255	1.5638	-9.37%	1.3355	-22.60%	0.0336	✓	2.51
2025-10-09	oos	2.3402	2.1404	-8.54%	1.336	-42.91%	0.1156	✓	2.05
2025-10-08	oos	2.6927	2.4303	-9.74%	1.2914	-52.04%	0.2905	✓	1.93
2025-10-07	oos	2.2989	2.0884	-9.16%	1.2093	-47.40%	0.2292	✓	1.75
2025-10-06	oos	2.4751	2.247	-9.22%	1.2479	-49.58%	0.2774	✓	1.70
2025-10-05	oos	2.1182	1.9505	-7.92%	1.2699	-40.05%	0.1053	✓	1.65
2025-10-04	oos	1.9637	1.8148	-7.58%	1.2269	-37.52%	0.1645	✓	1.63
2025-10-03	oos	1.9263	1.784	-7.39%	1.4307	-25.73%	0.0559	✓	1.63
2025-10-02	oos	1.9791	1.8145	-8.32%	1.4412	-27.18%	0.0778	✓	1.66
2025-10-01	oos	1.8996	1.7258	-9.15%	1.4536	-23.48%	0.0373	✓	1.68
2025-09-30	oos	1.7711	1.588	-10.34%	1.4418	-18.59%	0.0089	✓	1.69
2025-09-29	oos	1.9229	1.7014	-11.52%	1.5839	-17.63%	0.0079	✓	1.65
2025-09-28	oos	1.7842	1.5876	-11.02%	1.608	-9.88%	0.0024	✓	1.65
2025-09-27	oos	1.7156	1.5175	-11.55%	1.6634	-3.04%	0.0262	✓	1.67
2025-09-26	oos	1.7512	1.5436	-11.85%	1.7735	+1.27%	0.0674	✓	1.65
2025-09-25	oos	1.5966	1.4192	-11.11%	1.6585	+3.88%	0.1170	✓	1.63
2025-09-24	oos	1.723	1.5314	-11.12%	1.6436	-4.61%	0.1032	✓	1.58
2025-09-23	oos	1.76	1.5493	-11.97%	1.6854	-4.24%	0.1119	✓	1.62
2025-09-22	oos	1.7384	1.5242	-12.32%	1.5951	-8.24%	0.1202	✓	1.60
2025-09-21	oos	1.5555	1.3924	-10.48%	1.6283	+4.68%	0.2657	✗	1.76
2025-09-20	oos	1.6741	1.4893	-11.04%	1.8123	+8.26%	0.2715	✗	1.64
2025-09-19	oos	1.6508	1.4687	-11.03%	1.8595	+12.64%	0.3399	✗	1.66
2025-09-18	oos	1.7761	1.5641	-11.94%	1.6695	-6.00%	0.2093	✗	1.63

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.