MANTLE

? · · beta_5y

token id: #484
symbol: MANTLE
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-05-01
predictions: 1,593

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

54.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0250

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0052

actual -0.0010

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.557	0.553458	-0.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-21	oos	0.5382	0.534898	-0.61%	0.557	+0.04%	0.0043	✓	0.94
2026-10-20	oos	0.53495	0.531466	-0.65%	0.5382	+0.61%	0.0154	✗	0.95
2026-10-19	oos	0.534	0.530564	-0.64%	0.53495	+0.18%	0.0045	✓	0.95
2026-10-18	oos	0.52945	0.526387	-0.58%	0.534	+0.86%	0.0163	✗	0.95
2026-10-17	oos	0.5277	0.524855	-0.54%	0.52945	+0.33%	0.0014	✓	0.95
2026-10-16	oos	0.53675	0.533469	-0.61%	0.5277	-1.69%	0.0095	✓	0.95
2026-10-15	oos	0.53085	0.527944	-0.55%	0.53675	+1.11%	0.0237	✗	0.94
2026-10-14	oos	0.52305	0.52057	-0.47%	0.53085	+1.49%	0.0131	✗	0.94
2026-10-13	oos	0.54095	0.538011	-0.54%	0.52305	-3.31%	0.0112	✓	0.91
2026-10-12	oos	0.53655	0.533793	-0.51%	0.54095	+0.82%	0.0017	✓	0.91
2026-10-11	oos	0.56565	0.562427	-0.57%	0.53655	-5.14%	0.0272	✓	0.85
2026-10-10	oos	0.5686	0.565248	-0.59%	0.56565	-0.52%	0.0070	✓	0.83
2026-10-09	oos	0.5524	0.54941	-0.54%	0.5686	+2.93%	0.0307	✗	0.83
2026-10-08	oos	0.5538	0.551189	-0.47%	0.5524	-0.25%	0.0065	✓	0.84
2026-10-07	oos	0.5815	0.578571	-0.50%	0.5538	-4.76%	0.0282	✓	0.81
2026-10-06	oos	0.59135	0.588484	-0.48%	0.5815	-1.67%	0.0100	✗	0.82
2026-10-05	oos	0.6521	0.648033	-0.62%	0.59135	-9.32%	0.0896	✓	0.80
2026-10-04	oos	0.6643	0.659919	-0.66%	0.6521	-1.84%	0.0048	✓	0.81
2026-10-03	oos	0.6437	0.63969	-0.62%	0.6643	+3.20%	0.0213	✗	0.80
2026-10-02	oos	0.6534	0.648999	-0.67%	0.6437	-1.48%	0.0104	✓	0.80
2026-10-01	oos	0.68125	0.676387	-0.71%	0.6534	-4.09%	0.0314	✓	0.79
2026-09-30	oos	0.6969	0.690494	-0.92%	0.68125	-2.25%	0.0258	✓	0.80
2026-09-29	oos	0.6649	0.660219	-0.70%	0.6969	+4.81%	0.0549	✗	0.82
2026-09-28	oos	0.6647	0.65993	-0.72%	0.6649	+0.03%	0.0057	✓	0.82
2026-09-27	oos	0.6761	0.671195	-0.73%	0.6647	-1.69%	0.0003	✓	0.83
2026-09-26	oos	0.69405	0.688189	-0.84%	0.6761	-2.59%	0.0182	✓	0.83
2026-09-25	oos	0.6735	0.66865	-0.72%	0.69405	+3.05%	0.0341	✗	0.84
2026-09-24	oos	0.6771	0.67146	-0.83%	0.6735	-0.53%	0.0059	✓	0.84
2026-09-23	oos	0.6531	0.648518	-0.70%	0.6771	+3.67%	0.0431	✗	0.84
2026-09-22	oos	0.6686	0.663051	-0.83%	0.6531	-2.32%	0.0043	✓	0.91
2026-09-21	oos	0.65115	0.645249	-0.91%	0.6686	+2.68%	0.0398	✗	0.91
2026-09-20	oos	0.6071	0.603541	-0.59%	0.65115	+7.26%	0.0173	✗	0.90
2026-09-19	oos	0.62265	0.618474	-0.67%	0.6071	-2.50%	0.0177	✓	0.90
2026-09-18	oos	0.6246	0.619196	-0.87%	0.62265	-0.31%	0.0016	✓	0.90
2026-09-17	oos	0.5697	0.566923	-0.49%	0.6246	+9.64%	0.0490	✗	0.83
2026-09-16	oos	0.55185	0.55017	-0.30%	0.5697	+3.23%	0.0327	✗	0.83
2026-09-15	oos	0.5444	0.543227	-0.22%	0.55185	+1.37%	0.0096	✗	0.83
2026-09-14	oos	0.5725	0.570797	-0.30%	0.5444	-4.91%	0.0200	✓	0.81
2026-09-13	oos	0.55665	0.555678	-0.17%	0.5725	+2.85%	0.0154	✗	0.81
2026-09-12	oos	0.55705	0.556965	-0.02%	0.55665	-0.07%	0.0043	✗	0.82
2026-09-11	oos	0.5807	0.58001	-0.12%	0.55705	-4.07%	0.0410	✓	0.82
2026-09-10	oos	0.56825	0.568227	-0.00%	0.5807	+2.19%	0.0145	✗	0.82
2026-09-09	oos	0.6011	0.600437	-0.11%	0.56825	-5.46%	0.0371	✓	0.80
2026-09-08	oos	0.63665	0.634499	-0.34%	0.6011	-5.58%	0.0524	✓	0.79
2026-09-07	oos	0.62095	0.618864	-0.34%	0.63665	+2.53%	0.0349	✗	0.80
2026-09-06	oos	0.6084	0.606773	-0.27%	0.62095	+2.06%	0.0359	✗	0.82
2026-09-05	oos	0.5878	0.586643	-0.20%	0.6084	+3.50%	0.0313	✗	0.81
2026-09-04	oos	0.5741	0.573234	-0.15%	0.5878	+2.39%	0.0234	✗	0.84
2026-09-03	oos	0.5687	0.567994	-0.12%	0.5741	+0.95%	0.0276	✗	0.86
2026-09-02	oos	0.5638	0.561831	-0.35%	0.5687	+0.87%	0.0349	✓	0.94
2026-09-01	oos	0.5365	0.535098	-0.26%	0.5638	+5.09%	0.0534	✗	0.96
2026-08-31	oos	0.5467	0.544933	-0.32%	0.5365	-1.87%	0.0018	✓	0.93
2026-08-30	oos	0.5482	0.545549	-0.48%	0.5467	-0.27%	0.0082	✓	0.90
2026-08-29	oos	0.51925	0.517405	-0.36%	0.5482	+5.58%	0.0646	✗	0.93
2026-08-28	oos	0.50805	0.506416	-0.32%	0.51925	+2.20%	0.0204	✗	0.92
2026-08-27	oos	0.5168	0.514541	-0.44%	0.50805	-1.69%	0.0163	✗	0.94
2026-08-26	oos	0.5051	0.503274	-0.36%	0.5168	+2.32%	0.0119	✗	0.94
2026-08-25	oos	0.51735	0.514908	-0.47%	0.5051	-2.37%	0.0252	✓	0.93
2026-08-24	oos	0.5158	0.512765	-0.59%	0.51735	+0.30%	0.0143	✗	0.93
2026-08-23	oos	0.512	0.508942	-0.60%	0.5158	+0.74%	0.0016	✓	0.94
2026-08-22	oos	0.4828	0.480644	-0.45%	0.512	+6.05%	0.0551	✗	0.93
2026-08-21	oos	0.5171	0.513534	-0.69%	0.4828	-6.63%	0.0469	✓	0.90
2026-08-20	oos	0.51655	0.510482	-1.17%	0.5171	+0.11%	0.0599	✓	1.04
2026-08-19	oos	0.4671	0.463233	-0.83%	0.51655	+10.59%	0.0576	✗	0.98
2026-08-18	oos	0.42655	0.424523	-0.48%	0.4671	+9.51%	0.0320	✗	0.92
2026-08-17	oos	0.4392	0.436647	-0.58%	0.42655	-2.88%	0.0264	✓	0.95
2026-08-16	oos	0.4476	0.444777	-0.63%	0.4392	-1.88%	0.0382	✓	0.99
2026-08-15	oos	0.43255	0.430589	-0.45%	0.4476	+3.48%	0.0416	✗	0.99
2026-08-14	oos	0.44275	0.440614	-0.48%	0.43255	-2.30%	0.0192	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	0.448	0.445554	-0.55%	0.44275	-1.17%	0.0008	✓	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.4581	0.454843	-0.71%	0.448	-2.20%	0.0154	✓	1.02
2026-08-11	oos	0.43485	0.432337	-0.58%	0.4581	+5.35%	0.0598	✗	1.03
2026-08-10	oos	0.44495	0.441459	-0.78%	0.43485	-2.27%	0.0090	✓	1.02
2026-08-09	oos	0.42305	0.420962	-0.49%	0.44495	+5.18%	0.0708	✗	1.05
2026-08-08	oos	0.4297	0.427412	-0.53%	0.42305	-1.55%	0.0093	✓	1.06
2026-08-07	oos	0.41835	0.416046	-0.55%	0.4297	+2.71%	0.0320	✗	1.07
2026-08-06	oos	0.409	0.407198	-0.44%	0.41835	+2.29%	0.0167	✗	1.07
2026-08-05	oos	0.40675	0.404978	-0.44%	0.409	+0.55%	0.0155	✗	1.07
2026-08-04	oos	0.401	0.39906	-0.48%	0.40675	+1.43%	0.0100	✗	1.06
2026-08-03	oos	0.3966	0.394835	-0.44%	0.401	+1.11%	0.0057	✗	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	0.3983	0.396502	-0.45%	0.3966	-0.43%	0.0008	✓	1.07
2026-08-01	oos	0.39445	0.392697	-0.44%	0.3983	+0.98%	0.0017	✓	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	0.39235	0.390708	-0.42%	0.39445	+0.54%	0.0106	✗	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	0.397	0.395486	-0.38%	0.39235	-1.17%	0.0244	✗	1.09
2026-07-29	oos	0.39615	0.394683	-0.37%	0.397	+0.21%	0.0079	✓	1.07
2026-07-28	oos	0.40155	0.400025	-0.38%	0.39615	-1.34%	0.0106	✓	1.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.4003	0.398785	-0.38%	0.40155	+0.31%	0.0043	✗	1.07
2026-07-26	oos	0.4159	0.41429	-0.39%	0.4003	-3.75%	0.0072	✓	1.07
2026-07-25	oos	0.4115	0.409979	-0.37%	0.4159	+1.07%	0.0029	✓	1.07
2026-07-24	oos	0.41015	0.408681	-0.36%	0.4115	+0.33%	0.0034	✓	1.06
2026-07-23	oos	0.40705	0.405847	-0.30%	0.41015	+0.76%	0.0267	✗	1.08
2026-07-22	oos	0.42095	0.419626	-0.31%	0.40705	-3.30%	0.0136	✓	1.06
2026-07-21	oos	0.42935	0.427855	-0.35%	0.42095	-1.96%	0.0094	✓	1.06
2026-07-20	oos	0.4246	0.423036	-0.37%	0.42935	+1.12%	0.0063	✓	1.07
2026-07-19	oos	0.4243	0.42285	-0.34%	0.4246	+0.07%	0.0046	✓	1.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.4199	0.418611	-0.31%	0.4243	+1.05%	0.0154	✗	1.06
2026-07-17	oos	0.42625	0.424786	-0.34%	0.4199	-1.49%	0.0269	✓	1.09
2026-07-16	oos	0.44125	0.439234	-0.46%	0.42625	-3.40%	0.0321	✓	1.10
2026-07-15	oos	0.4255	0.424011	-0.35%	0.44125	+3.70%	0.0563	✗	1.12
2026-07-14	oos	0.42295	0.421583	-0.32%	0.4255	+0.60%	0.0139	✗	1.12
2026-07-13	oos	0.42095	0.419544	-0.33%	0.42295	+0.48%	0.0425	✓	1.18
2026-07-12	oos	0.4176	0.4165	-0.26%	0.42095	+0.80%	0.0390	✗	1.21
2026-07-11	oos	0.4224	0.421203	-0.28%	0.4176	-1.14%	0.0080	✓	1.16
2026-07-10	oos	0.4296	0.428361	-0.29%	0.4224	-1.68%	0.0077	✓	1.14
2026-07-09	oos	0.4288	0.427511	-0.30%	0.4296	+0.19%	0.0123	✓	1.15
2026-07-08	oos	0.421	0.419762	-0.29%	0.4288	+1.85%	0.0040	✗	1.16
2026-07-07	oos	0.4221	0.421073	-0.24%	0.421	-0.26%	0.0201	✗	1.17
2026-07-06	oos	0.4414	0.440117	-0.29%	0.4221	-4.37%	0.0294	✓	1.17
2026-07-05	oos	0.44085	0.439638	-0.27%	0.4414	+0.12%	0.0035	✓	1.14
2026-07-04	oos	0.453	0.45144	-0.34%	0.44085	-2.68%	0.0328	✓	1.15
2026-07-03	oos	0.4487	0.447134	-0.35%	0.453	+0.96%	0.0028	✓	1.13
2026-07-02	oos	0.4365	0.435116	-0.32%	0.4487	+2.79%	0.0119	✗	1.13
2026-07-01	oos	0.4229	0.421605	-0.31%	0.4365	+3.22%	0.0066	✗	1.12
2026-06-30	oos	0.4106	0.409573	-0.25%	0.4229	+3.00%	0.0047	✗	1.13
2026-06-29	oos	0.42845	0.427364	-0.25%	0.4106	-4.17%	0.0091	✓	1.12
2026-06-28	oos	0.4265	0.425635	-0.20%	0.42845	+0.46%	0.0063	✓	1.12
2026-06-27	oos	0.436	0.435084	-0.21%	0.4265	-2.18%	0.0113	✓	1.12
2026-06-26	oos	0.438	0.436969	-0.24%	0.436	-0.46%	0.0010	✓	1.12
2026-06-25	oos	0.4421	0.44131	-0.18%	0.438	-0.93%	0.0131	✓	1.12
2026-06-24	oos	0.5028	0.50122	-0.31%	0.4421	-12.07%	0.1033	✓	1.05
2026-06-23	oos	0.51505	0.513525	-0.30%	0.5028	-2.38%	0.0078	✗	1.08
2026-06-22	oos	0.5334	0.53157	-0.34%	0.51505	-3.44%	0.0093	✓	1.08
2026-06-21	oos	0.52865	0.526976	-0.32%	0.5334	+0.90%	0.0000	✓	1.08
2026-06-20	oos	0.53535	0.533629	-0.32%	0.52865	-1.25%	0.0064	✗	1.02
2026-06-19	oos	0.52935	0.527711	-0.31%	0.53535	+1.13%	0.0024	✓	1.02
2026-06-18	oos	0.53095	0.529298	-0.31%	0.52935	-0.30%	0.0095	✓	1.02
2026-06-17	oos	0.5418	0.539951	-0.34%	0.53095	-2.00%	0.0084	✗	1.03
2026-06-16	oos	0.5575	0.555385	-0.38%	0.5418	-2.82%	0.0063	✓	1.03
2026-06-15	oos	0.57695	0.57408	-0.50%	0.5575	-3.37%	0.0187	✓	1.06
2026-06-14	oos	0.5687	0.566177	-0.44%	0.57695	+1.45%	0.0097	✗	1.06
2026-06-13	oos	0.557	0.554659	-0.42%	0.5687	+2.10%	0.0035	✓	1.09
2026-06-12	oos	0.53675	0.534691	-0.38%	0.557	+3.77%	0.0259	✗	1.08
2026-06-11	oos	0.5408	0.538691	-0.39%	0.53675	-0.75%	0.0032	✓	1.09
2026-06-10	oos	0.52835	0.526516	-0.35%	0.5408	+2.36%	0.0106	✓	1.10
2026-06-09	oos	0.5362	0.534245	-0.36%	0.52835	-1.46%	0.0068	✓	1.11
2026-06-08	oos	0.5476	0.545363	-0.41%	0.5362	-2.08%	0.0075	✗	1.11
2026-06-07	oos	0.543	0.540884	-0.39%	0.5476	+0.85%	0.0166	✗	1.12
2026-06-06	oos	0.5145	0.513158	-0.26%	0.543	+5.54%	0.0130	✗	1.10
2026-06-05	oos	0.5189	0.517393	-0.29%	0.5145	-0.85%	0.0023	✓	1.11
2026-06-04	oos	0.556	0.553738	-0.41%	0.5189	-6.67%	0.0167	✓	1.09
2026-06-03	oos	0.5969	0.593925	-0.50%	0.556	-6.85%	0.0621	✓	1.06
2026-06-02	oos	0.6062	0.603434	-0.46%	0.5969	-1.53%	0.0318	✗	1.07
2026-06-01	oos	0.6354	0.63241	-0.47%	0.6062	-4.60%	0.0259	✗	1.01
2026-05-31	oos	0.66695	0.663456	-0.52%	0.6354	-4.73%	0.0125	✓	0.98
2026-05-30	oos	0.6773	0.672789	-0.67%	0.66695	-1.53%	0.0061	✓	0.97
2026-05-29	oos	0.6428	0.639451	-0.52%	0.6773	+5.37%	0.0522	✗	0.96
2026-05-28	oos	0.6297	0.626576	-0.50%	0.6428	+2.08%	0.0275	✗	0.96
2026-05-27	oos	0.6269	0.624179	-0.43%	0.6297	+0.45%	0.0191	✗	0.95
2026-05-26	oos	0.6374	0.634358	-0.48%	0.6269	-1.65%	0.0072	✗	0.94
2026-05-25	oos	0.65335	0.650144	-0.49%	0.6374	-2.44%	0.0023	✓	0.94
2026-05-24	oos	0.6514	0.648263	-0.48%	0.65335	+0.30%	0.0045	✓	0.93
2026-05-23	oos	0.66505	0.661248	-0.57%	0.6514	-2.05%	0.0190	✓	0.94
2026-05-22	oos	0.6363	0.633346	-0.46%	0.66505	+4.52%	0.0340	✗	0.94
2026-05-21	oos	0.6775	0.672185	-0.78%	0.6363	-6.08%	0.0298	✓	0.91
2026-05-20	oos	0.6653	0.660098	-0.78%	0.6775	+1.83%	0.0252	✗	0.91
2026-05-19	oos	0.6229	0.620019	-0.46%	0.6653	+6.81%	0.0622	✗	0.90
2026-05-18	oos	0.6278	0.624803	-0.48%	0.6229	-0.78%	0.0010	✓	0.90
2026-05-17	oos	0.6342	0.631524	-0.42%	0.6278	-1.01%	0.0005	✓	0.90
2026-05-16	oos	0.6429	0.640477	-0.38%	0.6342	-1.35%	0.0018	✓	0.90
2026-05-15	oos	0.66595	0.663286	-0.40%	0.6429	-3.46%	0.0202	✓	0.91
2026-05-14	oos	0.69485	0.691136	-0.53%	0.66595	-4.16%	0.0143	✓	0.90
2026-05-13	oos	0.6716	0.6683	-0.49%	0.69485	+3.46%	0.0188	✗	0.90
2026-05-12	oos	0.66775	0.66526	-0.37%	0.6716	+0.58%	0.0231	✗	0.91
2026-05-11	oos	0.69755	0.694304	-0.47%	0.66775	-4.27%	0.0253	✓	0.90
2026-05-10	oos	0.71375	0.709526	-0.59%	0.69755	-2.27%	0.0119	✓	0.89
2026-05-09	oos	0.6826	0.679393	-0.47%	0.71375	+4.56%	0.0326	✗	0.88
2026-05-08	oos	0.6845	0.681253	-0.47%	0.6826	-0.28%	0.0031	✓	0.88
2026-05-07	oos	0.66245	0.659664	-0.42%	0.6845	+3.33%	0.0350	✗	0.87
2026-05-06	oos	0.6677	0.6646	-0.46%	0.66245	-0.79%	0.0113	✗	0.82
2026-05-05	oos	0.64595	0.643783	-0.34%	0.6677	+3.37%	0.0308	✗	0.86
2026-05-04	oos	0.6396	0.637405	-0.34%	0.64595	+0.99%	0.0021	✓	0.86
2026-05-03	oos	0.6316	0.62971	-0.30%	0.6396	+1.27%	0.0018	✓	0.85
2026-05-02	oos	0.6309	0.629331	-0.25%	0.6316	+0.11%	0.0049	✗	0.86
2026-05-01	oos	0.6305	0.629041	-0.23%	0.6309	+0.06%	0.0020	✓	0.87
2026-04-30	oos	0.62805	0.626193	-0.30%	0.6305	+0.39%	0.0150	✓	0.87
2026-04-29	oos	0.6247	0.622733	-0.31%	0.62805	+0.54%	0.0021	✓	0.88
2026-04-28	oos	0.6309	0.629182	-0.27%	0.6247	-0.98%	0.0005	✓	0.90
2026-04-27	oos	0.6378	0.636236	-0.25%	0.6309	-1.08%	0.0038	✗	0.90
2026-04-26	oos	0.6548	0.653275	-0.23%	0.6378	-2.60%	0.0088	✓	0.90
2026-04-25	oos	0.65925	0.657209	-0.31%	0.6548	-0.68%	0.0155	✓	0.91
2026-04-24	oos	0.6481	0.646303	-0.28%	0.65925	+1.72%	0.0176	✗	0.92
2026-04-23	oos	0.64735	0.645866	-0.23%	0.6481	+0.12%	0.0131	✗	0.92
2026-04-22	oos	0.64435	0.64288	-0.23%	0.64735	+0.47%	0.0061	✗	0.92
2026-04-21	oos	0.6314	0.629592	-0.29%	0.64435	+2.05%	0.0011	✓	0.92
2026-04-20	oos	0.6314	0.629021	-0.38%	0.6314	+0.00%	0.0021	✓	0.92
2026-04-19	oos	0.6219	0.619752	-0.35%	0.6314	+1.53%	0.0066	✓	0.92
2026-04-18	oos	0.6615	0.659182	-0.35%	0.6219	-5.99%	0.0348	✓	0.92
2026-04-17	oos	0.6819	0.679055	-0.42%	0.6615	-2.99%	0.0099	✓	0.91
2026-04-16	oos	0.67305	0.670078	-0.44%	0.6819	+1.31%	0.0058	✓	0.92
2026-04-15	oos	0.6652	0.662352	-0.43%	0.67305	+1.18%	0.0120	✗	0.91
2026-04-14	oos	0.65505	0.652238	-0.43%	0.6652	+1.55%	0.0116	✗	0.91
2026-04-13	oos	0.6832	0.679857	-0.49%	0.65505	-4.12%	0.0339	✓	0.91
2026-04-12	oos	0.66475	0.661597	-0.47%	0.6832	+2.78%	0.0147	✓	0.92
2026-04-11	oos	0.68055	0.677296	-0.48%	0.66475	-2.32%	0.0112	✗	0.92
2026-04-10	oos	0.6932	0.689453	-0.54%	0.68055	-1.82%	0.0141	✓	0.92
2026-04-09	oos	0.6659	0.662738	-0.47%	0.6932	+4.10%	0.0297	✗	0.92
2026-04-08	oos	0.6586	0.65531	-0.50%	0.6659	+1.11%	0.0069	✗	0.92
2026-04-07	oos	0.67465	0.67085	-0.56%	0.6586	-2.38%	0.0079	✓	0.92
2026-04-06	oos	0.655	0.651341	-0.56%	0.67465	+3.00%	0.0054	✓	0.93
2026-04-05	oos	0.6707	0.666636	-0.61%	0.655	-2.34%	0.0156	✓	0.94
2026-04-04	oos	0.669	0.665502	-0.52%	0.6707	+0.25%	0.0160	✓	0.95
2026-04-03	oos	0.6751	0.671509	-0.53%	0.669	-0.90%	0.0084	✓	0.95
2026-04-02	oos	0.6721	0.668656	-0.51%	0.6751	+0.45%	0.0087	✗	0.95
2026-04-01	oos	0.70075	0.696567	-0.60%	0.6721	-4.09%	0.0186	✓	0.95
2026-03-31	oos	0.697	0.692663	-0.62%	0.70075	+0.54%	0.0131	✗	0.95
2026-03-30	oos	0.6867	0.682386	-0.63%	0.697	+1.50%	0.0003	✓	0.95
2026-03-29	oos	0.6711	0.667673	-0.51%	0.6867	+2.32%	0.0171	✗	0.94
2026-03-28	oos	0.6726	0.669171	-0.51%	0.6711	-0.22%	0.0080	✗	0.94
2026-03-27	oos	0.67445	0.671254	-0.47%	0.6726	-0.27%	0.0025	✓	0.94
2026-03-26	oos	0.69535	0.691972	-0.49%	0.67445	-3.01%	0.0080	✗	0.94
2026-03-25	oos	0.7403	0.734643	-0.76%	0.69535	-6.07%	0.0213	✓	0.93
2026-03-24	oos	0.7161	0.712456	-0.51%	0.7403	+3.38%	0.0283	✗	0.93
2026-03-23	oos	0.70575	0.701912	-0.54%	0.7161	+1.47%	0.0245	✗	0.93
2026-03-22	oos	0.71065	0.707245	-0.48%	0.70575	-0.69%	0.0438	✓	0.96
2026-03-21	oos	0.737	0.733605	-0.46%	0.71065	-3.58%	0.0169	✓	0.95
2026-03-20	oos	0.7516	0.748371	-0.43%	0.737	-1.94%	0.0063	✗	0.95
2026-03-19	oos	0.7501	0.747266	-0.38%	0.7516	+0.20%	0.0021	✓	0.95
2026-03-18	oos	0.7754	0.772244	-0.41%	0.7501	-3.26%	0.0114	✓	0.94
2026-03-17	oos	0.8376	0.833037	-0.54%	0.7754	-7.43%	0.0372	✓	0.93
2026-03-16	oos	0.8656	0.859058	-0.76%	0.8376	-3.23%	0.0134	✓	0.93
2026-03-15	oos	0.8046	0.799936	-0.58%	0.8656	+7.58%	0.0538	✗	0.90
2026-03-14	oos	0.7965	0.789834	-0.84%	0.8046	+1.02%	0.0012	✓	0.89
2026-03-13	oos	0.7156	0.712664	-0.41%	0.7965	+11.31%	0.1076	✗	0.89
2026-03-12	oos	0.7162	0.71328	-0.41%	0.7156	-0.08%	0.0020	✓	0.89
2026-03-11	oos	0.6905	0.688165	-0.34%	0.7162	+3.72%	0.0359	✗	0.87
2026-03-10	oos	0.70015	0.697131	-0.43%	0.6905	-1.38%	0.0126	✓	0.88
2026-03-09	oos	0.66845	0.666068	-0.36%	0.70015	+4.74%	0.0308	✗	0.86
2026-03-08	oos	0.6487	0.646258	-0.38%	0.66845	+3.04%	0.0021	✓	0.86
2026-03-07	oos	0.6747	0.67237	-0.35%	0.6487	-3.85%	0.0192	✓	0.86
2026-03-06	oos	0.6844	0.682066	-0.34%	0.6747	-1.42%	0.0000	✓	0.86
2026-03-05	oos	0.6999	0.697497	-0.34%	0.6844	-2.21%	0.0159	✗	0.87
2026-03-04	oos	0.6945	0.692032	-0.36%	0.6999	+0.78%	0.0328	✗	0.86
2026-03-03	oos	0.6907	0.687454	-0.47%	0.6945	+0.55%	0.0455	✓	0.90
2026-03-02	oos	0.6591	0.656908	-0.33%	0.6907	+4.79%	0.0569	✗	0.93
2026-03-01	oos	0.6364	0.634307	-0.33%	0.6591	+3.57%	0.0039	✓	0.93
2026-02-28	oos	0.63865	0.636669	-0.31%	0.6364	-0.35%	0.0168	✗	0.96
2026-02-27	oos	0.6349	0.632746	-0.34%	0.63865	+0.59%	0.0067	✓	0.96
2026-02-26	oos	0.6401	0.637679	-0.38%	0.6349	-0.81%	0.0192	✗	0.96
2026-02-25	oos	0.6235	0.621733	-0.28%	0.6401	+2.66%	0.0363	✗	0.97
2026-02-24	oos	0.5908	0.589136	-0.28%	0.6235	+5.53%	0.0006	✓	0.96
2026-02-23	oos	0.5764	0.575159	-0.22%	0.5908	+2.50%	0.0352	✗	0.97
2026-02-22	oos	0.6058	0.604509	-0.21%	0.5764	-4.85%	0.0038	✓	0.97
2026-02-21	oos	0.6329	0.631272	-0.26%	0.6058	-4.28%	0.0364	✓	0.97
2026-02-20	oos	0.63055	0.628929	-0.26%	0.6329	+0.37%	0.0067	✗	0.97
2026-02-19	oos	0.62075	0.619256	-0.24%	0.63055	+1.58%	0.0036	✗	0.97
2026-02-18	oos	0.62075	0.619305	-0.23%	0.62075	+0.00%	0.0058	✓	0.98
2026-02-17	oos	0.6335	0.631949	-0.24%	0.62075	-2.01%	0.0024	✓	0.99
2026-02-16	oos	0.645	0.643263	-0.27%	0.6335	-1.78%	0.0048	✗	0.99
2026-02-15	oos	0.6278	0.626222	-0.25%	0.645	+2.74%	0.0286	✗	0.98
2026-02-14	oos	0.6638	0.66164	-0.33%	0.6278	-5.42%	0.0383	✓	0.99
2026-02-13	oos	0.6373	0.635552	-0.27%	0.6638	+4.16%	0.0297	✗	0.98
2026-02-12	oos	0.61275	0.611257	-0.24%	0.6373	+4.01%	0.0037	✗	0.99
2026-02-11	oos	0.6159	0.614473	-0.23%	0.61275	-0.51%	0.0092	✗	0.98
2026-02-10	oos	0.632	0.630557	-0.23%	0.6159	-2.55%	0.0023	✓	0.98
2026-02-09	oos	0.64615	0.644509	-0.25%	0.632	-2.19%	0.0013	✓	0.98
2026-02-08	oos	0.64165	0.640262	-0.22%	0.64615	+0.70%	0.0117	✗	0.99
2026-02-07	oos	0.6433	0.641961	-0.21%	0.64165	-0.26%	0.0152	✓	0.99
2026-02-06	oos	0.646	0.644344	-0.26%	0.6433	-0.42%	0.0165	✗	0.99
2026-02-05	oos	0.60115	0.601492	+0.06%	0.646	+7.46%	0.0514	✗	1.06
2026-02-04	oos	0.6979	0.695695	-0.32%	0.60115	-13.86%	0.0235	✗	1.13
2026-02-03	oos	0.7095	0.70658	-0.41%	0.6979	-1.63%	0.0287	✗	1.15
2026-02-02	oos	0.72145	0.718295	-0.44%	0.7095	-1.66%	0.0323	✗	1.15
2026-02-01	oos	0.6847	0.68317	-0.22%	0.72145	+5.37%	0.0311	✗	1.03
2026-01-31	oos	0.7323	0.729602	-0.37%	0.6847	-6.50%	0.0388	✓	1.10
2026-01-30	oos	0.777	0.773729	-0.42%	0.7323	-5.75%	0.0205	✗	1.12
2026-01-29	oos	0.8409	0.836384	-0.54%	0.777	-7.60%	0.0683	✓	1.12
2026-01-28	oos	0.91915	0.912781	-0.69%	0.8409	-8.51%	0.0241	✓	1.08
2026-01-27	oos	0.8926	0.886859	-0.64%	0.91915	+2.97%	0.0352	✗	1.11
2026-01-26	oos	0.8655	0.860421	-0.59%	0.8926	+3.13%	0.0261	✗	1.09
2026-01-25	oos	0.8472	0.842587	-0.54%	0.8655	+2.16%	0.0058	✗	1.09
2026-01-24	oos	0.904	0.898824	-0.57%	0.8472	-6.28%	0.0284	✓	1.07
2026-01-23	oos	0.8815	0.877093	-0.50%	0.904	+2.55%	0.0351	✗	1.10
2026-01-22	oos	0.88205	0.87774	-0.49%	0.8815	-0.06%	0.0041	✓	1.11
2026-01-21	oos	0.8882	0.883352	-0.55%	0.88205	-0.69%	0.0027	✓	1.10
2026-01-20	oos	0.87	0.864849	-0.59%	0.8882	+2.09%	0.0134	✗	1.12
2026-01-19	oos	0.915	0.910203	-0.52%	0.87	-4.92%	0.0077	✗	1.13
2026-01-18	oos	0.9463	0.942042	-0.45%	0.915	-3.31%	0.0157	✓	1.16
2026-01-17	oos	0.9499	0.94619	-0.39%	0.9463	-0.38%	0.0181	✗	1.15
2026-01-16	oos	0.9499	0.946273	-0.38%	0.9499	+0.00%	0.0087	✗	1.19
2026-01-15	oos	0.9631	0.958856	-0.44%	0.9499	-1.37%	0.0083	✓	1.20
2026-01-14	oos	0.97685	0.972645	-0.43%	0.9631	-1.41%	0.0074	✗	1.22
2026-01-13	oos	0.9887	0.983679	-0.51%	0.97685	-1.20%	0.0273	✓	1.24
2026-01-12	oos	0.9442	0.939104	-0.54%	0.9887	+4.71%	0.0060	✓	1.28
2026-01-11	oos	0.9841	0.97881	-0.54%	0.9442	-4.05%	0.0405	✓	1.30
2026-01-10	oos	0.97685	0.971958	-0.50%	0.9841	+0.74%	0.0053	✗	1.29
2026-01-09	oos	0.9638	0.959617	-0.43%	0.97685	+1.35%	0.0203	✗	1.60
2026-01-08	oos	0.9992	0.994723	-0.45%	0.9638	-3.54%	0.0225	✓	1.61
2026-01-07	oos	1.0332	1.0281	-0.49%	0.9992	-3.29%	0.0232	✓	1.92
2026-01-06	oos	1.1155	1.1069	-0.77%	1.0332	-7.38%	0.0178	✓	1.94
2026-01-05	oos	1.0789	1.0722	-0.62%	1.1155	+3.39%	0.0428	✗	1.99
2026-01-04	oos	1.0433	1.0362	-0.68%	1.0789	+3.41%	0.0112	✓	2.01
2026-01-03	oos	1.02	1.0142	-0.57%	1.0433	+2.28%	0.0081	✗	2.05
2026-01-02	oos	1.0146	1.0084	-0.61%	1.02	+0.53%	0.0033	✓	2.07
2026-01-01	oos	0.973	0.968142	-0.50%	1.0146	+4.28%	0.0186	✗	2.07
2025-12-31	oos	0.9624	0.95774	-0.48%	0.973	+1.10%	0.0131	✓	2.05
2025-12-30	oos	0.96835	0.964245	-0.42%	0.9624	-0.61%	0.0192	✗	2.06
2025-12-29	oos	1.0142	1.0089	-0.52%	0.96835	-4.52%	0.0715	✓	2.08
2025-12-28	oos	1.0407	1.0355	-0.50%	1.0142	-2.55%	0.0026	✓	2.08
2025-12-27	oos	1.0617	1.0561	-0.53%	1.0407	-1.98%	0.0164	✓	2.10
2025-12-26	oos	1.0439	1.0387	-0.51%	1.0617	+1.70%	0.0097	✗	2.09
2025-12-25	oos	1.0325	1.0277	-0.46%	1.0439	+1.11%	0.0127	✗	2.09
2025-12-24	oos	1.0386	1.034	-0.44%	1.0325	-0.59%	0.0091	✗	2.11
2025-12-23	oos	1.0579	1.0535	-0.41%	1.0386	-1.82%	0.0186	✓	2.11
2025-12-22	oos	1.1093	1.1041	-0.46%	1.0579	-4.63%	0.0160	✓	2.09
2025-12-21	oos	1.1743	1.1679	-0.55%	1.1093	-5.54%	0.0496	✓	2.09
2025-12-20	oos	1.1913	1.1845	-0.58%	1.1743	-1.43%	0.0158	✓	2.02
2025-12-19	oos	1.1525	1.1466	-0.52%	1.1913	+3.37%	0.0330	✗	2.02
2025-12-18	oos	1.1439	1.1386	-0.46%	1.1525	+0.75%	0.0505	✓	2.06
2025-12-17	oos	1.2092	1.202	-0.59%	1.1439	-5.40%	0.0315	✓	2.07
2025-12-16	oos	1.2475	1.2403	-0.58%	1.2092	-3.07%	0.0138	✗	2.08
2025-12-15	oos	1.2895	1.2791	-0.81%	1.2475	-3.25%	0.0597	✓	2.11
2025-12-14	oos	1.2492	1.2411	-0.65%	1.2895	+3.23%	0.0814	✗	2.15
2025-12-13	oos	1.332	1.3211	-0.82%	1.2492	-6.22%	0.0060	✓	2.14
2025-12-12	oos	1.2521	1.2425	-0.77%	1.332	+6.38%	0.0701	✗	2.14
2025-12-11	oos	1.1987	1.1912	-0.62%	1.2521	+4.45%	0.1039	✗	2.18
2025-12-10	oos	1.1666	1.1583	-0.71%	1.1987	+2.75%	0.0223	✗	2.19
2025-12-09	oos	1.1132	1.1065	-0.60%	1.1666	+4.80%	0.0686	✗	2.22
2025-12-08	oos	1.0939	1.0883	-0.52%	1.1132	+1.76%	0.0276	✓	2.26
2025-12-07	oos	1.0965	1.0906	-0.54%	1.0939	-0.23%	0.0032	✓	2.25
2025-12-06	oos	1.0658	1.0605	-0.50%	1.0965	+2.88%	0.0049	✓	2.26
2025-12-05	oos	1.0882	1.0816	-0.60%	1.0658	-2.05%	0.0127	✓	2.25
2025-12-04	oos	1.0583	1.0533	-0.48%	1.0882	+2.83%	0.1027	✗	2.31
2025-12-03	oos	1.1061	1.0997	-0.58%	1.0583	-4.32%	0.0045	✓	2.31
2025-12-02	oos	1.0247	1.0198	-0.48%	1.1061	+7.94%	0.0280	✗	2.29
2025-12-01	oos	0.97575	0.972299	-0.35%	1.0247	+5.02%	0.0844	✓	2.42
2025-11-30	oos	1.0664	1.0607	-0.54%	0.97575	-8.50%	0.0280	✗	2.41
2025-11-29	oos	1.0875	1.081	-0.59%	1.0664	-1.93%	0.0014	✓	2.39
2025-11-28	oos	1.0763	1.07	-0.58%	1.0875	+1.04%	0.0181	✗	2.39
2025-11-27	oos	1.0633	1.0579	-0.51%	1.0763	+1.23%	0.0282	✗	2.40
2025-11-26	oos	1.0705	1.0647	-0.54%	1.0633	-0.68%	0.0239	✓	2.42
2025-11-25	oos	1.0265	1.0219	-0.45%	1.0705	+4.29%	0.0410	✓	2.47
2025-11-24	oos	1.022	1.0173	-0.46%	1.0265	+0.44%	0.0356	✗	2.48
2025-11-23	oos	1.0158	1.0111	-0.46%	1.022	+0.61%	0.0308	✓	2.50
2025-11-22	oos	0.9871	0.983493	-0.37%	1.0158	+2.91%	0.0303	✓	2.53
2025-11-21	oos	0.94735	0.944789	-0.27%	0.9871	+4.20%	0.0552	✗	2.52
2025-11-20	oos	1.0422	1.0382	-0.38%	0.94735	-9.10%	0.0487	✓	2.51
2025-11-19	oos	1.1181	1.1124	-0.52%	1.0422	-6.79%	0.0750	✗	2.53
2025-11-18	oos	1.1084	1.1028	-0.50%	1.1181	+0.88%	0.0542	✗	2.56
2025-11-17	oos	1.1051	1.1001	-0.45%	1.1084	+0.30%	0.0149	✓	2.54
2025-11-16	oos	1.192	1.1854	-0.55%	1.1051	-7.29%	0.0154	✓	2.45
2025-11-15	oos	1.2014	1.1949	-0.54%	1.192	-0.79%	0.0327	✗	2.45
2025-11-14	oos	1.1661	1.1604	-0.49%	1.2014	+3.03%	0.0079	✗	2.45
2025-11-13	oos	1.2232	1.2164	-0.56%	1.1661	-4.67%	0.0930	✗	2.57
2025-11-12	oos	1.2643	1.2562	-0.64%	1.2232	-3.25%	0.0248	✗	2.55
2025-11-11	oos	1.2367	1.2301	-0.53%	1.2643	+2.23%	0.0608	✗	2.49
2025-11-10	oos	1.3199	1.31	-0.75%	1.2367	-6.30%	0.0137	✗	2.51
2025-11-09	oos	1.3355	1.324	-0.86%	1.3199	-1.17%	0.0340	✓	2.54
2025-11-08	oos	1.336	1.3253	-0.80%	1.3355	-0.04%	0.0526	✓	2.59
2025-11-07	oos	1.2914	1.2827	-0.67%	1.336	+3.45%	0.0653	✗	2.53
2025-11-06	oos	1.2093	1.2054	-0.32%	1.2914	+6.79%	0.0198	✗	2.52
2025-11-05	oos	1.2479	1.2421	-0.46%	1.2093	-3.09%	0.0370	✗	2.53
2025-11-04	oos	1.2699	1.2622	-0.61%	1.2479	-1.73%	0.0741	✓	2.68
2025-11-03	oos	1.2269	1.2225	-0.36%	1.2699	+3.50%	0.1800	✗	2.90
2025-11-02	oos	1.4307	1.4203	-0.73%	1.2269	-14.24%	0.0432	✓	2.82
2025-11-01	oos	1.4412	1.4318	-0.66%	1.4307	-0.73%	0.0133	✓	2.86
2025-10-31	oos	1.4536	1.4443	-0.64%	1.4412	-0.85%	0.0150	✓	2.85
2025-10-30	oos	1.4418	1.4333	-0.59%	1.4536	+0.82%	0.0187	✓	2.87
2025-10-29	oos	1.5839	1.5729	-0.70%	1.4418	-8.97%	0.0421	✓	2.84
2025-10-28	oos	1.608	1.597	-0.68%	1.5839	-1.50%	0.0657	✗	2.87
2025-10-27	oos	1.6634	1.6508	-0.76%	1.608	-3.33%	0.0035	✓	2.86
2025-10-26	oos	1.7735	1.755	-1.04%	1.6634	-6.21%	0.0421	✓	2.86
2025-10-25	oos	1.6585	1.6462	-0.75%	1.7735	+6.93%	0.0011	✓	2.88
2025-10-24	oos	1.6436	1.6316	-0.73%	1.6585	+0.91%	0.0002	✓	2.88
2025-10-23	oos	1.6854	1.6707	-0.87%	1.6436	-2.48%	0.0407	✓	2.90
2025-10-22	oos	1.5951	1.5845	-0.67%	1.6854	+5.66%	0.0060	✓	2.92
2025-10-21	oos	1.6283	1.6177	-0.65%	1.5951	-2.04%	0.0069	✗	2.92
2025-10-20	oos	1.8123	1.7956	-0.92%	1.6283	-10.15%	0.0396	✓	2.89
2025-10-19	oos	1.8595	1.8352	-1.31%	1.8123	-2.54%	0.0627	✓	2.91
2025-10-18	oos	1.6695	1.6591	-0.62%	1.8595	+11.38%	0.0749	✗	2.88
2025-10-17	oos	1.6085	1.6007	-0.48%	1.6695	+3.79%	0.0220	✗	2.88
2025-10-16	oos	1.7167	1.7068	-0.58%	1.6085	-6.30%	0.0131	✓	2.86
2025-10-15	oos	1.8153	1.8053	-0.55%	1.7167	-5.43%	0.0176	✗	2.85
2025-10-14	oos	1.9764	1.9612	-0.77%	1.8153	-8.15%	0.0200	✓	2.84
2025-10-13	oos	2.118	2.0957	-1.05%	1.9764	-6.69%	0.0042	✓	2.82
2025-10-12	oos	2.2453	2.1979	-2.11%	2.118	-5.67%	0.0421	✓	2.81
2025-10-11	oos	1.6232	1.6163	-0.42%	2.2453	+38.33%	0.2331	✗	2.51
2025-10-10	oos	1.7255	1.7171	-0.49%	1.6232	-5.93%	0.0064	✓	2.51
2025-10-09	oos	2.3402	2.315	-1.08%	1.7255	-26.27%	0.1417	✓	2.05
2025-10-08	oos	2.6927	2.6422	-1.87%	2.3402	-13.09%	0.0958	✓	1.93
2025-10-07	oos	2.2989	2.272	-1.17%	2.6927	+17.13%	0.1420	✗	1.75
2025-10-06	oos	2.4751	2.4257	-1.99%	2.2989	-7.12%	0.0078	✓	1.70
2025-10-05	oos	2.1182	2.0907	-1.30%	2.4751	+16.85%	0.1529	✗	1.65
2025-10-04	oos	1.9637	1.9469	-0.86%	2.1182	+7.87%	0.0702	✗	1.63
2025-10-03	oos	1.9263	1.9101	-0.84%	1.9637	+1.94%	0.0258	✗	1.63
2025-10-02	oos	1.9791	1.9568	-1.13%	1.9263	-2.67%	0.0389	✓	1.66
2025-10-01	oos	1.8996	1.8785	-1.11%	1.9791	+4.19%	0.0246	✗	1.68
2025-09-30	oos	1.7711	1.7548	-0.92%	1.8996	+7.26%	0.0125	✗	1.69
2025-09-29	oos	1.9229	1.8898	-1.72%	1.7711	-7.89%	0.0606	✓	1.65
2025-09-28	oos	1.7842	1.7657	-1.04%	1.9229	+7.77%	0.0538	✗	1.65
2025-09-27	oos	1.7156	1.6964	-1.12%	1.7842	+4.00%	0.0126	✗	1.67
2025-09-26	oos	1.7512	1.7296	-1.24%	1.7156	-2.03%	0.0079	✓	1.65
2025-09-25	oos	1.5966	1.5837	-0.81%	1.7512	+9.68%	0.0907	✗	1.63
2025-09-24	oos	1.723	1.7052	-1.03%	1.5966	-7.33%	0.0043	✓	1.58
2025-09-23	oos	1.76	1.7334	-1.51%	1.723	-2.10%	0.0251	✓	1.62
2025-09-22	oos	1.7384	1.7073	-1.79%	1.76	+1.24%	0.0406	✗	1.60
2025-09-21	oos	1.5555	1.5417	-0.89%	1.7384	+11.76%	0.1595	✗	1.76
2025-09-20	oos	1.6741	1.6584	-0.94%	1.5555	-7.08%	0.0574	✓	1.64
2025-09-19	oos	1.6508	1.636	-0.89%	1.6741	+1.41%	0.0221	✗	1.66
2025-09-18	oos	1.7761	1.7527	-1.32%	1.6508	-7.05%	0.0399	✓	1.63

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.