HMM
Thinking Cat · Robinhood · beta_5y
- token id
- #766
- symbol
- HMM
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0x7fe995a80075df3dc8ae11a9b82c7fe4202cd87f
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-12
- predictions
- 189
Track record at +30d
assessed
33
of 63 predictions shown
direction hit
87.9%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.3995
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0803
actual -0.4630
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.007225 | 0.006402 | -11.38% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.007181 | 0.006401 | -10.85% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.006935 | 0.006162 | -11.14% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.006911 | 0.006124 | -11.39% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.007476 | 0.006581 | -11.97% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.008448 | 0.007287 | -13.75% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.008892 | 0.007581 | -14.75% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.008617 | 0.007334 | -14.89% | – | pending | – | – | 3.39 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.009034 | 0.007636 | -15.47% | – | pending | – | – | 3.39 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.008849 | 0.007436 | -15.96% | – | pending | – | – | 3.48 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.008725 | 0.007306 | -16.27% | – | pending | – | – | 3.48 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.009124 | 0.007574 | -16.99% | – | pending | – | – | 3.55 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.010989 | 0.009001 | -18.10% | – | pending | – | – | 3.58 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.010006 | 0.008106 | -18.99% | – | pending | – | – | 3.58 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.008488 | 0.006883 | -18.91% | – | pending | – | – | 3.54 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.010855 | 0.008812 | -18.82% | – | pending | – | – | 3.43 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.012157 | 0.009959 | -18.08% | – | pending | – | – | 3.44 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.011895 | 0.009768 | -17.88% | – | pending | – | – | 3.45 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.013768 | 0.01134 | -17.63% | – | pending | – | – | 3.41 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.014797 | 0.012066 | -18.45% | – | pending | – | – | 3.47 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.013097 | 0.010657 | -18.63% | – | pending | – | – | 3.48 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.014907 | 0.012023 | -19.34% | – | pending | – | – | 3.45 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.011815 | 0.009621 | -18.57% | – | pending | – | – | 3.38 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.012816 | 0.010326 | -19.43% | – | pending | – | – | 3.37 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.010778 | 0.008919 | -17.24% | – | pending | – | – | 3.40 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.011668 | 0.009616 | -17.58% | – | pending | – | – | 3.39 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.014306 | 0.011499 | -19.62% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.013554 | 0.010885 | -19.69% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.009953 | 0.008469 | -14.91% | – | pending | – | – | 3.50 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.009004 | 0.007785 | -13.53% | – | pending | – | – | 3.53 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.009465 | 0.008239 | -12.95% | 0.007225 | -23.67% | 0.0474 | ✓ | 3.61 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.012424 | 0.010436 | -15.99% | 0.007181 | -42.20% | 0.2680 | ✓ | 3.51 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.01087 | 0.009427 | -13.27% | 0.006935 | -36.20% | 0.3860 | ✓ | 3.65 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.011822 | 0.010232 | -13.44% | 0.006911 | -41.54% | 0.4193 | ✓ | 3.63 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.016224 | 0.013424 | -17.26% | 0.007476 | -53.92% | 0.6354 | ✓ | 3.61 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.011992 | 0.010588 | -11.70% | 0.008448 | -29.55% | 0.4344 | ✓ | 3.27 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.012992 | 0.011375 | -12.45% | 0.008892 | -31.55% | 0.4679 | ✓ | 3.26 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.011416 | 0.010221 | -10.47% | 0.008617 | -24.52% | 0.4400 | ✓ | 3.25 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.009685 | 0.008774 | -9.41% | 0.009034 | -6.73% | 0.1376 | ✓ | 3.93 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.008004 | 0.006978 | -12.82% | 0.008849 | +10.56% | 0.0634 | ✓ | 3.82 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.010047 | 0.009067 | -9.76% | 0.008725 | -13.16% | 0.2477 | ✓ | 3.71 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.01206 | 0.010894 | -9.66% | 0.009124 | -24.34% | 0.4727 | ✓ | 3.67 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.010417 | 0.00906 | -13.02% | 0.010989 | +5.50% | 0.1131 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.0096 | 0.008062 | -16.02% | 0.010006 | +4.23% | 0.1630 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.012026 | 0.010707 | -10.97% | 0.008488 | -29.42% | 0.2728 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.012792 | 0.011622 | -9.15% | 0.010855 | -15.14% | 0.1198 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.015676 | 0.014717 | -6.12% | 0.012157 | -22.45% | 0.2538 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.022874 | 0.021298 | -6.89% | 0.011895 | -47.99% | 0.6540 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.018372 | 0.01743 | -5.13% | 0.013768 | -25.06% | 0.3181 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.024546 | 0.02322 | -5.40% | 0.014797 | -39.72% | 0.4925 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.019138 | 0.018091 | -5.47% | 0.013097 | -31.57% | 0.4121 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.021014 | 0.019879 | -5.40% | 0.014907 | -29.06% | 0.3797 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.025262 | 0.023775 | -5.88% | 0.011815 | -53.23% | 0.7609 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.026994 | 0.025005 | -7.37% | 0.012816 | -52.52% | 0.7425 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.022167 | 0.021144 | -4.62% | 0.010778 | -51.38% | 0.7385 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.014283 | 0.014236 | -0.33% | 0.011668 | -18.31% | 0.2806 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.016661 | 0.016809 | +0.89% | 0.014306 | -14.13% | 0.2115 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.02285 | 0.022209 | -2.81% | 0.013554 | -40.68% | 0.5560 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.019711 | 0.019439 | -1.38% | 0.009953 | -49.51% | 0.7414 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.018916 | 0.01884 | -0.40% | 0.009004 | -52.40% | 0.8044 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.01615 | 0.016249 | +0.62% | 0.009465 | -41.39% | 0.6439 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.013719 | 0.013954 | +1.71% | 0.012424 | -9.44% | 0.2329 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.013329 | 0.013756 | +3.20% | 0.01087 | -18.45% | 0.2710 | ✗ | 1.00 |