HMM

Thinking Cat · Robinhood · beta_5y

token id: #766
symbol: HMM
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0x7fe995a80075df3dc8ae11a9b82c7fe4202cd87f
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-12
predictions: 189

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 63 predictions shown

direction hit

53.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1367

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0086

actual -0.0142

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.007225	0.007183	-0.57%	–	pending	–	–	3.36
2026-10-21	oos	0.007181	0.007137	-0.60%	0.007225	+0.61%	0.0044	✓	3.36
2026-10-20	oos	0.006935	0.006905	-0.44%	0.007181	+3.54%	0.0044	✓	3.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.006911	0.006887	-0.34%	0.006935	+0.35%	0.0379	✓	3.35
2026-10-18	oos	0.007476	0.007443	-0.44%	0.006911	-7.56%	0.0673	✓	3.35
2026-10-17	oos	0.008448	0.008391	-0.68%	0.007476	-11.50%	0.1411	✓	3.36
2026-10-16	oos	0.008892	0.00882	-0.81%	0.008448	-5.00%	0.0382	✓	3.36
2026-10-15	oos	0.008617	0.008555	-0.72%	0.008892	+3.20%	0.0645	✗	3.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.009034	0.008959	-0.83%	0.008617	-4.62%	0.0620	✓	3.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.008849	0.008775	-0.84%	0.009034	+2.10%	0.0940	✗	3.48
2026-10-12	oos	0.008725	0.008667	-0.67%	0.008849	+1.42%	0.0367	✓	3.48
2026-10-11	oos	0.009124	0.009058	-0.73%	0.008725	-4.37%	0.0456	✗	3.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.010989	0.010858	-1.20%	0.009124	-16.98%	0.2069	✓	3.58
2026-10-09	oos	0.010006	0.009901	-1.05%	0.010989	+9.83%	0.0885	✗	3.58
2026-10-08	oos	0.008488	0.00844	-0.57%	0.010006	+17.88%	0.1335	✗	3.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.010855	0.010749	-0.98%	0.008488	-21.81%	0.1704	✓	3.43
2026-10-06	oos	0.012157	0.012006	-1.24%	0.010855	-10.71%	0.0086	✓	3.44
2026-10-05	oos	0.011895	0.011756	-1.18%	0.012157	+2.20%	0.0420	✗	3.45
2026-10-04	oos	0.013768	0.013562	-1.49%	0.011895	-13.60%	0.1011	✓	3.41
2026-10-03	oos	0.014797	0.01453	-1.80%	0.013768	-6.95%	0.1254	✓	3.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.013097	0.012907	-1.45%	0.014797	+12.98%	0.1268	✗	3.48
2026-10-01	oos	0.014907	0.014573	-2.24%	0.013097	-12.15%	0.0928	✓	3.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.011815	0.011657	-1.33%	0.014907	+26.17%	0.1940	✗	3.38
2026-09-29	oos	0.012816	0.012567	-1.95%	0.011815	-7.81%	0.0584	✓	3.37
2026-09-28	oos	0.010778	0.010663	-1.07%	0.012816	+18.92%	0.1766	✗	3.40
2026-09-27	oos	0.011668	0.011518	-1.29%	0.010778	-7.63%	0.0258	✓	3.39
2026-09-26	oos	0.014306	0.014024	-1.98%	0.011668	-18.44%	0.1857	✓	3.36
2026-09-25	oos	0.013554	0.013248	-2.26%	0.014306	+5.55%	0.0640	✗	3.36
2026-09-24	oos	0.009953	0.009842	-1.11%	0.013554	+36.18%	0.3321	✗	3.50
2026-09-23	oos	0.009004	0.008949	-0.61%	0.009953	+10.54%	0.1061	✗	3.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.009465	0.009394	-0.75%	0.009004	-4.87%	0.0346	✗	3.61
2026-09-21	oos	0.012424	0.012242	-1.46%	0.009465	-23.81%	0.2411	✓	3.51
2026-09-20	oos	0.01087	0.010798	-0.66%	0.012424	+14.30%	0.0961	✓	3.65
2026-09-19	oos	0.011822	0.011734	-0.74%	0.01087	-8.05%	0.0732	✓	3.63
2026-09-18	oos	0.016224	0.015896	-2.02%	0.011822	-27.14%	0.3121	✓	3.61
2026-09-17	oos	0.011992	0.011912	-0.67%	0.016224	+35.29%	0.1207	✗	3.27
2026-09-16	oos	0.012992	0.012858	-1.03%	0.011992	-7.70%	0.0784	✓	3.26
2026-09-15	oos	0.011416	0.011347	-0.61%	0.012992	+13.81%	0.1114	✗	3.25
2026-09-14	oos	0.009685	0.009696	+0.11%	0.011416	+17.87%	0.2957	✓	3.93
2026-09-13	oos	0.008004	0.00807	+0.83%	0.009685	+21.02%	0.1148	✓	3.82
2026-09-12	oos	0.010047	0.010095	+0.48%	0.008004	-20.34%	0.2099	✗	3.71
2026-09-11	oos	0.01206	0.012065	+0.05%	0.010047	-16.69%	0.1856	✗	3.67
2026-09-10	oos	0.010417	0.010473	+0.54%	0.01206	+15.77%	0.1323	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.0096	0.009676	+0.80%	0.010417	+8.51%	0.0963	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.012026	0.012096	+0.58%	0.0096	-20.18%	0.2291	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.012792	0.012861	+0.54%	0.012026	-5.99%	0.0589	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.015676	0.015718	+0.26%	0.012792	-18.40%	0.1903	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.022874	0.022702	-0.75%	0.015676	-31.46%	0.3766	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.018372	0.018327	-0.25%	0.022874	+24.50%	0.2197	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.024546	0.024315	-0.94%	0.018372	-25.15%	0.2605	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.019138	0.019005	-0.70%	0.024546	+28.26%	0.2060	✗	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.021014	0.020848	-0.79%	0.019138	-8.93%	0.0844	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.025262	0.025035	-0.90%	0.021014	-16.82%	0.1601	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.026994	0.026551	-1.64%	0.025262	-6.42%	0.0612	✓	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.022167	0.021774	-1.77%	0.026994	+21.78%	0.2222	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.014283	0.014102	-1.27%	0.022167	+55.20%	0.4472	✗	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.016661	0.016497	-0.99%	0.014283	-14.27%	0.1133	✓	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.02285	0.022555	-1.29%	0.016661	-27.09%	0.3186	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.019711	0.01949	-1.12%	0.02285	+15.93%	0.1527	✗	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.018916	0.018666	-1.32%	0.019711	+4.20%	0.0603	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.01615	0.01594	-1.30%	0.018916	+17.13%	0.1552	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.013719	0.013578	-1.03%	0.01615	+17.72%	0.1647	✗	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.013329	0.013177	-1.14%	0.013719	+2.93%	0.0567	✗	1.00