HANDL

HandlPay · Base · beta_5y

token id: #867
symbol: HANDL
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x3bbcb624cb9a1f73163a886f460f47603e5e4425
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-25
predictions: 609

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

196

of 203 predictions shown

direction hit

60.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2718

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0391

actual +0.0214

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.002755	0.002688	-2.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.73
2026-10-21	oos	0.002835	0.002756	-2.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-20	oos	0.002568	0.002515	-2.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-19	oos	0.002577	0.002526	-1.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-18	oos	0.002627	0.002576	-1.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-17	oos	0.00268	0.002624	-2.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-16	oos	0.002766	0.002703	-2.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-15	oos	0.002896	0.002822	-2.53%	0.002755	-4.86%	0.0474	✓	0.92
2026-10-14	oos	0.002931	0.002851	-2.72%	0.002835	-3.27%	0.0331	✓	0.92
2026-10-13	oos	0.003045	0.002946	-3.27%	0.002568	-15.68%	0.1355	✓	0.92
2026-10-12	oos	0.00257	0.002519	-1.98%	0.002577	+0.26%	0.0217	✗	0.84
2026-10-11	oos	0.002744	0.002681	-2.27%	0.002627	-4.24%	0.0066	✓	0.68
2026-10-10	oos	0.002932	0.002857	-2.55%	0.00268	-8.60%	0.0491	✓	0.80
2026-10-09	oos	0.003323	0.003213	-3.31%	0.002766	-16.78%	0.1398	✓	0.80
2026-10-08	oos	0.003348	0.003238	-3.29%	0.002896	-13.52%	0.1159	✓	0.77
2026-10-07	oos	0.003766	0.003609	-4.17%	0.002931	-22.18%	0.1921	✓	0.77
2026-10-06	oos	0.004313	0.004051	-6.08%	0.003045	-29.39%	0.2649	✓	0.70
2026-10-05	oos	0.003204	0.003092	-3.48%	0.00257	-19.77%	0.1467	✓	0.80
2026-10-04	oos	0.002963	0.002867	-3.24%	0.002744	-7.40%	0.0135	✓	0.92
2026-10-03	oos	0.002505	0.002438	-2.69%	0.002932	+17.04%	0.2027	✗	0.83
2026-10-02	oos	0.00233	0.002271	-2.54%	0.003323	+42.65%	0.4004	✗	0.83
2026-10-01	oos	0.002286	0.002228	-2.55%	0.003348	+46.45%	0.4377	✗	0.80
2026-09-30	oos	0.002259	0.002203	-2.50%	0.003766	+66.72%	0.5391	✗	0.78
2026-09-29	oos	0.002245	0.002191	-2.41%	0.004313	+92.12%	0.6619	✗	0.68
2026-09-28	oos	0.002244	0.002191	-2.37%	0.003204	+42.74%	0.3628	✗	0.63
2026-09-27	oos	0.002407	0.00234	-2.78%	0.002963	+23.11%	0.2213	✗	0.62
2026-09-26	oos	0.002653	0.002566	-3.27%	0.002505	-5.57%	0.0266	✓	0.67
2026-09-25	oos	0.002693	0.002594	-3.68%	0.00233	-13.49%	0.1101	✓	0.56
2026-09-24	oos	0.002335	0.002267	-2.94%	0.002286	-2.10%	0.0054	✓	0.58
2026-09-23	oos	0.002356	0.002285	-3.00%	0.002259	-4.09%	0.0057	✓	0.58
2026-09-22	oos	0.002528	0.002436	-3.65%	0.002245	-11.21%	0.0650	✓	0.55
2026-09-21	oos	0.002459	0.002366	-3.79%	0.002244	-8.73%	0.0376	✓	0.41
2026-09-20	oos	0.002342	0.002275	-2.85%	0.002407	+2.77%	0.0432	✗	0.33
2026-09-19	oos	0.002353	0.00228	-3.12%	0.002653	+12.74%	0.1385	✗	0.34
2026-09-18	oos	0.002306	0.002241	-2.79%	0.002693	+16.79%	0.1704	✗	0.34
2026-09-17	oos	0.002375	0.002311	-2.69%	0.002335	-1.66%	0.0362	✓	0.47
2026-09-16	oos	0.002358	0.002292	-2.80%	0.002356	-0.11%	0.0245	✓	0.50
2026-09-15	oos	0.002162	0.002115	-2.21%	0.002528	+16.92%	0.0824	✗	0.73
2026-09-14	oos	0.002293	0.002236	-2.49%	0.002459	+7.24%	0.0317	✗	0.62
2026-09-13	oos	0.002153	0.002112	-1.91%	0.002342	+8.78%	0.0832	✗	0.37
2026-09-12	oos	0.002319	0.00227	-2.15%	0.002353	+1.44%	0.0157	✓	0.41
2026-09-11	oos	0.002513	0.002439	-2.95%	0.002306	-8.24%	0.0843	✓	0.61
2026-09-10	oos	0.002318	0.002269	-2.13%	0.002375	+2.45%	0.0472	✗	0.61
2026-09-09	oos	0.002295	0.002257	-1.64%	0.002358	+2.75%	0.0607	✗	0.61
2026-09-08	oos	0.002464	0.002414	-2.06%	0.002162	-12.25%	0.0839	✓	0.70
2026-09-07	oos	0.00247	0.002421	-2.00%	0.002293	-7.17%	0.0469	✓	0.62
2026-09-06	oos	0.002376	0.002362	-0.58%	0.002153	-9.40%	0.0681	✓	0.55
2026-09-05	oos	0.002098	0.002111	+0.64%	0.002319	+10.58%	0.1117	✓	0.54
2026-09-04	oos	0.00193	0.001931	+0.08%	0.002513	+30.24%	0.2837	✓	0.65
2026-09-03	oos	0.001971	0.002027	+2.82%	0.002318	+17.58%	0.1730	✓	0.65
2026-09-02	oos	0.001953	0.001938	-0.78%	0.002295	+17.50%	0.1588	✗	0.82
2026-09-01	oos	0.002051	0.002056	+0.25%	0.002464	+20.17%	0.1701	✓	0.83
2026-08-31	oos	0.002147	0.002194	+2.20%	0.00247	+15.06%	0.1133	✓	0.79
2026-08-30	oos	0.002273	0.002325	+2.32%	0.002376	+4.55%	0.0263	✗	1.42
2026-08-29	oos	0.002369	0.002431	+2.60%	0.002098	-11.46%	0.1762	✗	1.42
2026-08-28	oos	0.002286	0.002298	+0.51%	0.00193	-15.60%	0.2079	✗	1.42
2026-08-27	oos	0.002201	0.002202	+0.02%	0.001971	-10.45%	0.1287	✗	1.48
2026-08-26	oos	0.002561	0.002575	+0.54%	0.001953	-23.72%	0.2415	✗	1.58
2026-08-25	oos	0.002741	0.002758	+0.60%	0.002051	-25.19%	0.2731	✗	1.59
2026-08-24	oos	0.002813	0.002822	+0.31%	0.002147	-23.68%	0.2647	✗	1.62
2026-08-23	oos	0.002679	0.002669	-0.36%	0.002273	-15.17%	0.1595	✓	1.59
2026-08-22	oos	0.002623	0.002597	-1.00%	0.002369	-9.68%	0.1159	✓	1.59
2026-08-21	oos	0.002321	0.002296	-1.10%	0.002286	-1.52%	0.0060	✓	1.64
2026-08-20	oos	0.00222	0.002135	-3.80%	0.002201	-0.83%	0.1368	✓	1.76
2026-08-19	oos	0.002071	0.001976	-4.59%	0.002561	+23.66%	0.0174	✓	1.84
2026-08-18	oos	0.002001	0.001968	-1.66%	0.002741	+36.99%	0.0784	✓	2.11
2026-08-17	oos	0.002435	0.002331	-4.28%	0.002813	+15.54%	0.2505	✓	2.16
2026-08-16	oos	0.002721	0.002589	-4.86%	0.002679	-1.54%	0.4645	✓	2.35
2026-08-15	oos	0.002724	0.002599	-4.58%	0.002623	-3.70%	0.4629	✓	2.35
2026-08-14	oos	0.002768	0.002647	-4.38%	0.002321	-16.13%	0.6469	✓	2.36
2026-08-13	oos	0.002774	0.002657	-4.22%	0.00222	-19.98%	0.5234	✓	2.44
2026-08-12	oos	0.002908	0.002779	-4.43%	0.002071	-28.79%	0.4873	✓	2.17
2026-08-11	oos	0.002851	0.002727	-4.33%	0.002001	-29.81%	0.3465	✓	2.05
2026-08-10	oos	0.002879	0.002749	-4.53%	0.002435	-15.42%	0.1392	✓	2.05
2026-08-09	oos	0.002784	0.002675	-3.94%	0.002721	-2.27%	0.0827	✗	2.08
2026-08-08	oos	0.003008	0.002881	-4.22%	0.002724	-9.45%	0.0054	✓	2.08
2026-08-07	oos	0.002899	0.002788	-3.81%	0.002768	-4.52%	0.0502	✗	1.92
2026-08-06	oos	0.003063	0.002942	-3.94%	0.002774	-9.44%	0.0332	✓	1.96
2026-08-05	oos	0.00352	0.003369	-4.27%	0.002908	-17.38%	0.1108	✓	1.96
2026-08-04	oos	0.00322	0.003089	-4.08%	0.002851	-11.48%	0.0644	✓	1.95
2026-08-03	oos	0.003544	0.003394	-4.23%	0.002879	-18.77%	0.1786	✓	1.98
2026-08-02	oos	0.003796	0.003628	-4.43%	0.002784	-26.65%	0.3064	✓	1.99
2026-08-01	oos	0.003897	0.003718	-4.60%	0.003008	-22.82%	0.2793	✓	2.00
2026-07-31	oos	0.004087	0.003887	-4.89%	0.002899	-29.06%	0.3582	✓	2.01
2026-07-30	oos	0.004026	0.003821	-5.08%	0.003063	-23.91%	0.2071	✓	2.00
2026-07-29	oos	0.003978	0.003769	-5.26%	0.00352	-11.53%	0.0899	✓	1.95
2026-07-28	oos	0.00384	0.003641	-5.18%	0.00322	-16.14%	0.1290	✓	1.95
2026-07-27	oos	0.004067	0.003846	-5.45%	0.003544	-12.86%	0.0747	✓	1.96
2026-07-26	oos	0.004159	0.003917	-5.80%	0.003796	-8.72%	0.0282	✓	2.09
2026-07-25	oos	0.004036	0.003765	-6.71%	0.003897	-3.44%	0.0853	✗	2.11
2026-07-24	oos	0.003914	0.003634	-7.14%	0.004087	+4.42%	0.1612	✗	2.21
2026-07-23	oos	0.004071	0.003767	-7.48%	0.004026	-1.12%	0.0778	✗	2.23
2026-07-22	oos	0.004379	0.004061	-7.27%	0.003978	-9.15%	0.0538	✓	2.20
2026-07-21	oos	0.004947	0.004539	-8.25%	0.00384	-22.37%	0.0784	✓	2.17
2026-07-20	oos	0.004109	0.003813	-7.21%	0.004067	-1.02%	0.1110	✗	1.97
2026-07-19	oos	0.004335	0.004014	-7.42%	0.004159	-4.07%	0.0153	✓	1.99
2026-07-18	oos	0.004966	0.004543	-8.51%	0.004036	-18.72%	0.1034	✓	1.92
2026-07-17	oos	0.003998	0.003688	-7.75%	0.003914	-2.12%	0.0537	✓	1.86
2026-07-16	oos	0.003851	0.003571	-7.28%	0.004071	+5.70%	0.0949	✗	1.82
2026-07-15	oos	0.003984	0.003674	-7.77%	0.004379	+9.92%	0.1392	✗	1.73
2026-07-14	oos	0.003652	0.003386	-7.27%	0.004947	+35.47%	0.3387	✗	1.74
2026-07-13	oos	0.003994	0.003719	-6.89%	0.004109	+2.88%	0.0077	✓	1.99
2026-07-12	oos	0.004789	0.004389	-8.35%	0.004335	-9.47%	0.0397	✓	1.87
2026-07-11	oos	0.004183	0.003837	-8.26%	0.004966	+18.73%	0.2316	✗	1.65
2026-07-10	oos	0.003775	0.003449	-8.65%	0.003998	+5.90%	0.1537	✗	1.61
2026-07-09	oos	0.003099	0.002885	-6.91%	0.003851	+24.29%	0.2748	✗	1.52
2026-07-08	oos	0.002817	0.002667	-5.34%	0.003984	+41.40%	0.3413	✗	1.54
2026-07-07	oos	0.003076	0.002867	-6.80%	0.003652	+18.71%	0.2031	✗	1.49
2026-07-06	oos	0.003946	0.003667	-7.07%	0.003994	+1.21%	0.1245	✗	1.42
2026-07-05	oos	0.004679	0.004353	-6.96%	0.004789	+2.34%	0.0919	✗	1.38
2026-07-04	oos	0.004555	0.004234	-7.05%	0.004183	-8.17%	0.0271	✓	1.38
2026-07-03	oos	0.005829	0.005394	-7.46%	0.003775	-35.23%	0.3937	✓	1.45
2026-07-02	oos	0.006024	0.005601	-7.02%	0.003099	-48.56%	0.6321	✓	1.48
2026-07-01	oos	0.00711	0.00656	-7.72%	0.002817	-60.37%	0.9073	✓	1.66
2026-06-30	oos	0.007826	0.007157	-8.54%	0.003076	-60.69%	0.9860	✓	1.80
2026-06-29	oos	0.008166	0.007302	-10.58%	0.003946	-51.67%	0.7255	✓	1.78
2026-06-28	oos	0.006209	0.005573	-10.23%	0.004679	-24.64%	0.2844	✓	1.64
2026-06-27	oos	0.004459	0.004095	-8.15%	0.004555	+2.16%	0.0239	✓	1.61
2026-06-26	oos	0.003925	0.003642	-7.21%	0.005829	+48.49%	0.4040	✗	1.61
2026-06-25	oos	0.00388	0.003604	-7.10%	0.006024	+55.28%	0.4662	✗	1.62
2026-06-24	oos	0.004037	0.003691	-8.58%	0.00711	+76.11%	0.6978	✗	2.49
2026-06-23	oos	0.003414	0.003159	-7.46%	0.007826	+129.22%	1.0568	✗	2.20
2026-06-22	oos	0.00327	0.00301	-7.96%	0.008166	+149.67%	1.1350	✗	2.24
2026-06-21	oos	0.003061	0.002833	-7.46%	0.006209	+102.83%	0.9217	✗	2.23
2026-06-20	oos	0.003072	0.002792	-9.13%	0.004459	+45.13%	0.6231	✗	2.24
2026-06-19	oos	0.002581	0.002364	-8.39%	0.003925	+52.11%	0.6302	✗	2.19
2026-06-18	oos	0.002174	0.002031	-6.60%	0.00388	+78.45%	0.7584	✗	2.14
2026-06-17	oos	0.002988	0.00269	-9.96%	0.004037	+35.12%	0.5137	✗	1.95
2026-06-16	oos	0.002667	0.00236	-11.52%	0.003414	+28.02%	0.4632	✗	2.02
2026-06-15	oos	0.001445	0.001329	-8.06%	0.00327	+126.27%	0.9791	✗	2.20
2026-06-14	oos	0.001098	0.001017	-7.42%	0.003061	+178.77%	1.1836	✗	2.12
2026-06-13	oos	0.0007385	0.00071266	-3.50%	0.003072	+316.02%	1.4673	✗	1.89
2026-06-12	oos	0.0006968	0.000674333	-3.22%	0.002581	+270.35%	1.3439	✗	1.87
2026-06-11	oos	0.0006502	0.000630349	-3.05%	0.002174	+234.36%	1.2583	✗	1.87
2026-06-10	oos	0.0005672	0.000553966	-2.33%	0.002988	+426.75%	1.6007	✗	1.77
2026-06-09	oos	0.000395	0.000400282	+1.34%	0.002667	+575.14%	1.7855	✓	1.80
2026-06-08	oos	0.0003471	0.000356716	+2.77%	0.001445	+316.42%	1.3037	✓	1.92
2026-06-07	oos	0.0003432	0.000353679	+3.05%	0.001098	+219.96%	1.0613	✓	1.92
2026-06-06	oos	0.0002984	0.000314628	+5.44%	0.0007385	+147.49%	0.7502	✓	1.80
2026-06-05	oos	0.00033	0.000345974	+4.84%	0.0006968	+111.15%	0.6276	✓	1.80
2026-06-04	oos	0.0003641	0.000378048	+3.83%	0.0006502	+78.58%	0.5491	✓	1.80
2026-06-03	oos	0.0003851	0.000398932	+3.59%	0.0005672	+47.29%	0.4263	✓	1.80
2026-06-02	oos	0.0003871	0.000401279	+3.66%	0.000395	+2.04%	0.1340	✓	1.93
2026-06-01	oos	0.0005712	0.000567612	-0.63%	0.0003471	-39.23%	0.3488	✓	1.16
2026-05-31	oos	0.0006019	0.00059612	-0.96%	0.0003432	-42.98%	0.3771	✓	1.16
2026-05-30	oos	0.0006	0.000595303	-0.78%	0.0002984	-50.27%	0.4659	✓	1.17
2026-05-29	oos	0.0005629	0.00056374	+0.15%	0.00033	-41.38%	0.3241	✗	1.15
2026-05-28	oos	0.000873	0.000842986	-3.44%	0.0003641	-58.29%	0.6842	✓	1.10
2026-05-27	oos	0.000875	0.000858778	-1.85%	0.0003851	-55.99%	0.6370	✓	1.11
2026-05-26	oos	0.0009405	0.000918852	-2.30%	0.0003871	-58.84%	0.7269	✓	1.07
2026-05-25	oos	0.000918	0.000898955	-2.07%	0.0005712	-37.78%	0.3636	✓	1.13
2026-05-24	oos	0.000931	0.000910221	-2.23%	0.0006019	-35.35%	0.3627	✓	1.13
2026-05-23	oos	0.0009455	0.000920837	-2.61%	0.0006	-36.54%	0.3852	✓	1.13
2026-05-22	oos	0.000992	0.000960751	-3.15%	0.0005629	-43.26%	0.5019	✓	1.17
2026-05-21	oos	0.001069	0.001025	-4.12%	0.000873	-18.33%	0.1007	✓	1.12
2026-05-20	oos	0.000905	0.000881413	-2.61%	0.000875	-3.31%	0.0395	✗	1.12
2026-05-19	oos	0.000854	0.00083291	-2.47%	0.0009405	+10.13%	0.1350	✗	1.10
2026-05-18	oos	0.000854	0.000836489	-2.05%	0.000918	+7.49%	0.0886	✗	1.10
2026-05-17	oos	0.000867	0.000849578	-2.01%	0.000931	+7.38%	0.0977	✗	1.10
2026-05-16	oos	0.000918	0.000898224	-2.15%	0.0009455	+3.00%	0.0717	✗	1.08
2026-05-15	oos	0.00116	0.001108	-4.49%	0.000992	-14.48%	0.0677	✓	0.92
2026-05-14	oos	0.0008585	0.000850229	-0.96%	0.001069	+24.52%	0.2945	✗	1.47
2026-05-13	oos	0.000924	0.000910314	-1.48%	0.000905	-2.06%	0.0307	✗	1.58
2026-05-12	oos	0.000926	0.000915363	-1.15%	0.000854	-7.78%	0.0073	✓	1.62
2026-05-11	oos	0.000965	0.00095488	-1.05%	0.000854	-11.50%	0.0137	✓	1.62
2026-05-10	oos	0.000975	0.000965935	-0.93%	0.000867	-11.08%	0.0100	✓	1.63
2026-05-09	oos	0.001147	0.001119	-2.44%	0.000918	-19.97%	0.1396	✓	1.82
2026-05-08	oos	0.001138	0.001107	-2.71%	0.00116	+1.93%	0.0724	✗	1.82
2026-05-07	oos	0.0009895	0.000973073	-1.66%	0.0008585	-13.24%	0.1495	✓	1.82
2026-05-06	oos	0.00103	0.001013	-1.68%	0.000924	-10.33%	0.0431	✓	1.83
2026-05-05	oos	0.001073	0.001048	-2.32%	0.000926	-13.66%	0.1138	✓	1.84
2026-05-04	oos	0.001025	0.001005	-2.00%	0.000965	-5.85%	0.0822	✓	1.81
2026-05-03	oos	0.001002	0.000979967	-2.20%	0.000975	-2.69%	0.0868	✓	1.80
2026-05-02	oos	0.0009	0.000885039	-1.66%	0.001147	+27.44%	0.2137	✗	1.84
2026-05-01	oos	0.0011	0.001074	-2.33%	0.001138	+3.45%	0.0111	✓	1.88
2026-04-30	oos	0.001102	0.001069	-3.00%	0.0009895	-10.21%	0.1687	✓	1.93
2026-04-29	oos	0.001077	0.001041	-3.31%	0.00103	-4.32%	0.1497	✓	1.92
2026-04-28	oos	0.00107	0.001041	-2.71%	0.001073	+0.23%	0.0840	✓	1.95
2026-04-27	oos	0.001478	0.0014	-5.25%	0.001025	-30.65%	0.3634	✓	1.62
2026-04-26	oos	0.001527	0.001427	-6.57%	0.001002	-34.38%	0.3510	✓	1.63
2026-04-25	oos	0.001183	0.001118	-5.46%	0.0009	-23.92%	0.2363	✓	1.44
2026-04-24	oos	0.000974	0.000947245	-2.75%	0.0011	+12.94%	0.1352	✗	1.44
2026-04-23	oos	0.000981	0.000954307	-2.72%	0.001102	+12.33%	0.1695	✗	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.00115	0.001109	-3.53%	0.001077	-6.35%	0.0022	✓	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.001214	0.001159	-4.52%	0.00107	-11.86%	0.0796	✓	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.001189	0.001132	-4.83%	0.001478	+24.31%	0.2475	✗	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.00119	0.001129	-5.15%	0.001527	+28.32%	0.2385	✗	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.001277	0.001204	-5.71%	0.001183	-7.36%	0.0426	✓	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.001192	0.001129	-5.27%	0.000974	-18.29%	0.1525	✓	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.001225	0.00115	-6.11%	0.000981	-19.92%	0.1997	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.001178	0.001103	-6.36%	0.00115	-2.38%	0.0025	✓	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.001206	0.001122	-6.98%	0.001214	+0.66%	0.0502	✓	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.001043	0.000981576	-5.89%	0.001189	+14.00%	0.1728	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.001063	0.001001	-5.88%	0.00119	+11.89%	0.1305	✗	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.001047	0.000979309	-6.47%	0.001277	+21.97%	0.2298	✗	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.001208	0.001111	-8.01%	0.001192	-1.32%	0.0155	✓	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.001066	0.000997123	-6.46%	0.001225	+14.92%	0.1600	✗	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.001055	0.000989399	-6.22%	0.001178	+11.66%	0.1231	✗	1.00
2026-04-07	oos	0.001057	0.000987669	-6.56%	0.001206	+14.10%	0.1687	✗	1.00
2026-04-06	oos	0.001048	0.000985419	-5.97%	0.001043	-0.48%	0.0213	✓	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.001042	0.000980413	-5.91%	0.001063	+2.06%	0.0563	✓	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.00099	0.000937512	-5.30%	0.001047	+5.76%	0.0279	✓	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.001044	0.000984696	-5.68%	0.001208	+15.71%	0.1181	✗	1.00