HANDL

HandlPay · Base · beta_5y

token id: #867
symbol: HANDL
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x3bbcb624cb9a1f73163a886f460f47603e5e4425
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-25
predictions: 609

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

173

of 203 predictions shown

direction hit

64.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.6311

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0571

actual +0.1107

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.002755	0.002621	-4.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.73
2026-10-21	oos	0.002835	0.002707	-4.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-20	oos	0.002568	0.002452	-4.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-19	oos	0.002577	0.00245	-4.93%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-18	oos	0.002627	0.002499	-4.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-17	oos	0.00268	0.002538	-5.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-16	oos	0.002766	0.002607	-5.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-15	oos	0.002896	0.002721	-6.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-14	oos	0.002931	0.002749	-6.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-13	oos	0.003045	0.002864	-5.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-12	oos	0.00257	0.002434	-5.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-11	oos	0.002744	0.002609	-4.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-10	oos	0.002932	0.002769	-5.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-09	oos	0.003323	0.003107	-6.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-08	oos	0.003348	0.003124	-6.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-07	oos	0.003766	0.003502	-7.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-06	oos	0.004313	0.003981	-7.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.70
2026-10-05	oos	0.003204	0.003032	-5.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-04	oos	0.002963	0.002826	-4.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-03	oos	0.002505	0.002412	-3.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-02	oos	0.00233	0.002251	-3.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-01	oos	0.002286	0.002207	-3.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-30	oos	0.002259	0.002169	-3.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-09-29	oos	0.002245	0.002153	-4.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-09-28	oos	0.002244	0.002159	-3.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-09-27	oos	0.002407	0.002316	-3.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-09-26	oos	0.002653	0.002535	-4.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-09-25	oos	0.002693	0.00257	-4.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-09-24	oos	0.002335	0.002247	-3.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.58
2026-09-23	oos	0.002356	0.002268	-3.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.58
2026-09-22	oos	0.002528	0.00244	-3.51%	0.002755	+8.95%	0.1343	✗	0.55
2026-09-21	oos	0.002459	0.002389	-2.85%	0.002835	+15.29%	0.1836	✗	0.41
2026-09-20	oos	0.002342	0.002246	-4.08%	0.002568	+9.65%	0.1267	✗	0.33
2026-09-19	oos	0.002353	0.002265	-3.75%	0.002577	+9.53%	0.1267	✗	0.34
2026-09-18	oos	0.002306	0.00221	-4.16%	0.002627	+13.95%	0.1684	✗	0.34
2026-09-17	oos	0.002375	0.002236	-5.84%	0.00268	+12.85%	0.1513	✗	0.47
2026-09-16	oos	0.002358	0.002221	-5.82%	0.002766	+17.29%	0.1851	✗	0.50
2026-09-15	oos	0.002162	0.002031	-6.06%	0.002896	+33.90%	0.2936	✗	0.73
2026-09-14	oos	0.002293	0.002198	-4.17%	0.002931	+27.82%	0.2617	✗	0.62
2026-09-13	oos	0.002153	0.002053	-4.63%	0.003045	+41.45%	0.3652	✗	0.37
2026-09-12	oos	0.002319	0.002226	-4.04%	0.00257	+10.82%	0.1211	✗	0.41
2026-09-11	oos	0.002513	0.002412	-4.01%	0.002744	+9.18%	0.0798	✗	0.61
2026-09-10	oos	0.002318	0.002228	-3.86%	0.002932	+26.49%	0.2257	✗	0.61
2026-09-09	oos	0.002295	0.002239	-2.45%	0.003323	+44.81%	0.3626	✗	0.61
2026-09-08	oos	0.002464	0.002407	-2.34%	0.003348	+35.86%	0.3018	✗	0.70
2026-09-07	oos	0.00247	0.002432	-1.56%	0.003766	+52.47%	0.4054	✗	0.62
2026-09-06	oos	0.002376	0.002363	-0.54%	0.004313	+81.51%	0.5671	✗	0.55
2026-09-05	oos	0.002098	0.002103	+0.25%	0.003204	+52.74%	0.3826	✓	0.54
2026-09-04	oos	0.00193	0.001942	+0.64%	0.002963	+53.56%	0.3695	✓	0.65
2026-09-03	oos	0.001971	0.00203	+2.96%	0.002505	+27.08%	0.1833	✓	0.65
2026-09-02	oos	0.001953	0.001943	-0.53%	0.00233	+19.28%	0.1083	✗	0.82
2026-09-01	oos	0.002051	0.002054	+0.18%	0.002286	+11.48%	0.0306	✓	0.83
2026-08-31	oos	0.002147	0.002179	+1.47%	0.002259	+5.23%	0.0125	✓	0.79
2026-08-30	oos	0.002273	0.002306	+1.48%	0.002245	-1.22%	0.1318	✗	1.42
2026-08-29	oos	0.002369	0.002435	+2.79%	0.002244	-5.26%	0.1736	✗	1.42
2026-08-28	oos	0.002286	0.002342	+2.45%	0.002407	+5.27%	0.0890	✗	1.42
2026-08-27	oos	0.002201	0.002288	+3.94%	0.002653	+20.51%	0.0735	✓	1.48
2026-08-26	oos	0.002561	0.00266	+3.89%	0.002693	+5.17%	0.0861	✗	1.58
2026-08-25	oos	0.002741	0.002869	+4.65%	0.002335	-14.81%	0.3204	✗	1.59
2026-08-24	oos	0.002813	0.002964	+5.37%	0.002356	-16.26%	0.3366	✗	1.62
2026-08-23	oos	0.002679	0.002787	+4.04%	0.002528	-5.63%	0.2621	✗	1.59
2026-08-22	oos	0.002623	0.002717	+3.60%	0.002459	-6.24%	0.2853	✗	1.59
2026-08-21	oos	0.002321	0.00242	+4.23%	0.002342	+0.88%	0.0910	✗	1.64
2026-08-20	oos	0.00222	0.002194	-1.17%	0.002353	+6.00%	0.1182	✓	1.76
2026-08-19	oos	0.002071	0.001948	-5.90%	0.002306	+11.35%	0.1162	✓	1.84
2026-08-18	oos	0.002001	0.001836	-8.27%	0.002375	+18.68%	0.0929	✓	2.11
2026-08-17	oos	0.002435	0.00225	-7.60%	0.002358	-3.15%	0.3126	✓	2.16
2026-08-16	oos	0.002721	0.002508	-7.82%	0.002162	-20.53%	0.5816	✓	2.35
2026-08-15	oos	0.002724	0.002523	-7.36%	0.002293	-15.81%	0.6015	✓	2.35
2026-08-14	oos	0.002768	0.002575	-6.96%	0.002153	-22.22%	0.6483	✓	2.36
2026-08-13	oos	0.002774	0.002598	-6.35%	0.002319	-16.38%	0.5951	✓	2.44
2026-08-12	oos	0.002908	0.002744	-5.64%	0.002513	-13.59%	0.5159	✓	2.17
2026-08-11	oos	0.002851	0.002664	-6.54%	0.002318	-18.69%	0.5216	✓	2.05
2026-08-10	oos	0.002879	0.002678	-6.97%	0.002295	-20.28%	0.5694	✓	2.05
2026-08-09	oos	0.002784	0.002576	-7.47%	0.002464	-11.49%	0.4398	✓	2.08
2026-08-08	oos	0.003008	0.002824	-6.11%	0.00247	-17.87%	0.5458	✓	2.08
2026-08-07	oos	0.002899	0.002685	-7.37%	0.002376	-18.03%	0.5332	✓	1.92
2026-08-06	oos	0.003063	0.002832	-7.55%	0.002098	-31.52%	0.7243	✓	1.96
2026-08-05	oos	0.00352	0.003326	-5.52%	0.00193	-45.18%	0.9555	✓	1.96
2026-08-04	oos	0.00322	0.002979	-7.50%	0.001971	-38.79%	0.8776	✓	1.95
2026-08-03	oos	0.003544	0.003309	-6.64%	0.001953	-44.89%	0.9183	✓	1.98
2026-08-02	oos	0.003796	0.003558	-6.27%	0.002051	-45.98%	0.9448	✓	1.99
2026-08-01	oos	0.003897	0.003641	-6.57%	0.002147	-44.91%	0.9781	✓	2.00
2026-07-31	oos	0.004087	0.003811	-6.74%	0.002273	-44.39%	0.9431	✓	2.01
2026-07-30	oos	0.004026	0.003779	-6.14%	0.002369	-41.15%	0.8455	✓	2.00
2026-07-29	oos	0.003978	0.003716	-6.59%	0.002286	-42.53%	0.8707	✓	1.95
2026-07-28	oos	0.00384	0.003565	-7.16%	0.002201	-42.68%	0.9278	✓	1.95
2026-07-27	oos	0.004067	0.003777	-7.13%	0.002561	-37.04%	0.8108	✓	1.96
2026-07-26	oos	0.004159	0.003897	-6.29%	0.002741	-34.09%	0.7358	✓	2.09
2026-07-25	oos	0.004036	0.003527	-12.62%	0.002813	-30.30%	0.6596	✓	2.11
2026-07-24	oos	0.003914	0.003363	-14.06%	0.002679	-31.54%	0.6550	✓	2.21
2026-07-23	oos	0.004071	0.003533	-13.22%	0.002623	-35.58%	0.6754	✓	2.23
2026-07-22	oos	0.004379	0.003853	-12.02%	0.002321	-46.99%	0.8809	✓	2.20
2026-07-21	oos	0.004947	0.004413	-10.79%	0.00222	-55.13%	0.8890	✓	2.17
2026-07-20	oos	0.004109	0.003593	-12.57%	0.002071	-49.61%	0.6705	✓	1.97
2026-07-19	oos	0.004335	0.003813	-12.04%	0.002001	-53.84%	0.6448	✓	1.99
2026-07-18	oos	0.004966	0.004406	-11.27%	0.002435	-50.97%	0.5837	✓	1.92
2026-07-17	oos	0.003998	0.003485	-12.82%	0.002721	-31.94%	0.2165	✓	1.86
2026-07-16	oos	0.003851	0.003348	-13.08%	0.002724	-29.28%	0.1847	✓	1.82
2026-07-15	oos	0.003984	0.003477	-12.72%	0.002768	-30.53%	0.1809	✓	1.73
2026-07-14	oos	0.003652	0.003163	-13.38%	0.002774	-24.04%	0.0890	✓	1.74
2026-07-13	oos	0.003994	0.003468	-13.17%	0.002908	-27.19%	0.2124	✓	1.99
2026-07-12	oos	0.004789	0.004206	-12.17%	0.002851	-40.47%	0.3827	✓	1.87
2026-07-11	oos	0.004183	0.003638	-13.01%	0.002879	-31.17%	0.2378	✓	1.65
2026-07-10	oos	0.003775	0.00325	-13.93%	0.002784	-26.25%	0.1726	✓	1.61
2026-07-09	oos	0.003099	0.002598	-16.15%	0.003008	-2.93%	0.1053	✓	1.52
2026-07-08	oos	0.002817	0.002311	-17.96%	0.002899	+2.89%	0.1623	✓	1.54
2026-07-07	oos	0.003076	0.002568	-16.51%	0.003063	-0.43%	0.1540	✓	1.49
2026-07-06	oos	0.003946	0.003422	-13.29%	0.00352	-10.81%	0.0150	✓	1.42
2026-07-05	oos	0.004679	0.00412	-11.94%	0.00322	-31.17%	0.2565	✓	1.38
2026-07-04	oos	0.004555	0.00402	-11.75%	0.003544	-22.19%	0.1343	✓	1.38
2026-07-03	oos	0.005829	0.00517	-11.31%	0.003796	-34.88%	0.3315	✓	1.45
2026-07-02	oos	0.006024	0.005338	-11.40%	0.003897	-35.30%	0.3449	✓	1.48
2026-07-01	oos	0.00711	0.006248	-12.11%	0.004087	-42.52%	0.5023	✓	1.66
2026-06-30	oos	0.007826	0.006821	-12.84%	0.004026	-48.56%	0.7081	✓	1.80
2026-06-29	oos	0.008166	0.007047	-13.70%	0.003978	-51.28%	0.6789	✓	1.78
2026-06-28	oos	0.006209	0.005416	-12.77%	0.00384	-38.15%	0.4600	✓	1.64
2026-06-27	oos	0.004459	0.00402	-9.84%	0.004067	-8.78%	0.0862	✓	1.61
2026-06-26	oos	0.003925	0.003569	-9.08%	0.004159	+5.94%	0.0156	✓	1.61
2026-06-25	oos	0.00388	0.00353	-9.01%	0.004036	+4.04%	0.0143	✓	1.62
2026-06-24	oos	0.004037	0.003668	-9.14%	0.003914	-3.06%	0.0588	✓	2.49
2026-06-23	oos	0.003414	0.003152	-7.67%	0.004071	+19.25%	0.1729	✗	2.20
2026-06-22	oos	0.00327	0.003037	-7.15%	0.004379	+33.90%	0.2923	✗	2.24
2026-06-21	oos	0.003061	0.002852	-6.84%	0.004947	+61.61%	0.4379	✗	2.23
2026-06-20	oos	0.003072	0.002861	-6.88%	0.004109	+33.75%	0.3278	✗	2.24
2026-06-19	oos	0.002581	0.002421	-6.20%	0.004335	+67.99%	0.5415	✗	2.19
2026-06-18	oos	0.002174	0.002057	-5.36%	0.004966	+128.43%	0.8168	✗	2.14
2026-06-17	oos	0.002988	0.002787	-6.71%	0.003998	+33.82%	0.3776	✗	1.95
2026-06-16	oos	0.002667	0.002458	-7.83%	0.003851	+44.42%	0.5069	✗	2.02
2026-06-15	oos	0.001445	0.001355	-6.26%	0.003984	+175.63%	1.1309	✗	2.20
2026-06-14	oos	0.001098	0.001037	-5.58%	0.003652	+232.55%	1.2823	✗	2.12
2026-06-13	oos	0.0007385	0.000721399	-2.32%	0.003994	+440.81%	1.7759	✗	1.89
2026-06-12	oos	0.0006968	0.00068406	-1.83%	0.004789	+587.21%	1.9400	✗	1.87
2026-06-11	oos	0.0006502	0.000641499	-1.34%	0.004183	+543.29%	1.8688	✗	1.87
2026-06-10	oos	0.0005672	0.000567569	+0.07%	0.003775	+565.62%	1.8192	✓	1.77
2026-06-09	oos	0.000395	0.000407531	+3.17%	0.003099	+684.51%	1.9858	✓	1.80
2026-06-08	oos	0.0003471	0.00035788	+3.11%	0.002817	+711.70%	2.0887	✓	1.92
2026-06-07	oos	0.0003432	0.000353732	+3.07%	0.003076	+796.33%	2.1623	✓	1.92
2026-06-06	oos	0.0002984	0.000307008	+2.88%	0.003946	+1222.45%	2.4626	✓	1.80
2026-06-05	oos	0.00033	0.00034088	+3.30%	0.004679	+1317.82%	2.5455	✓	1.80
2026-06-04	oos	0.0003641	0.00037413	+2.75%	0.004555	+1151.03%	2.5198	✓	1.80
2026-06-03	oos	0.0003851	0.000394951	+2.56%	0.005829	+1413.58%	2.7350	✓	1.80
2026-06-02	oos	0.0003871	0.000393568	+1.67%	0.006024	+1456.19%	2.8843	✓	1.93
2026-06-01	oos	0.0005712	0.000568808	-0.42%	0.00711	+1144.66%	2.7274	✗	1.16
2026-05-31	oos	0.0006019	0.000596952	-0.82%	0.007826	+1200.15%	2.8397	✗	1.16
2026-05-30	oos	0.0006	0.00059365	-1.06%	0.008166	+1260.93%	2.8594	✗	1.17
2026-05-29	oos	0.0005629	0.000554732	-1.45%	0.006209	+1003.02%	2.6564	✗	1.15
2026-05-28	oos	0.000873	0.000826292	-5.35%	0.004459	+410.74%	1.9097	✗	1.10
2026-05-27	oos	0.000875	0.00083399	-4.69%	0.003925	+348.62%	1.7863	✗	1.11
2026-05-26	oos	0.0009405	0.000895322	-4.80%	0.00388	+312.49%	1.7215	✗	1.07
2026-05-25	oos	0.000918	0.000879846	-4.16%	0.004037	+339.76%	1.7895	✗	1.13
2026-05-24	oos	0.000931	0.000887642	-4.66%	0.003414	+266.70%	1.5790	✗	1.13
2026-05-23	oos	0.0009455	0.000898954	-4.92%	0.00327	+245.90%	1.4956	✗	1.13
2026-05-22	oos	0.000992	0.00093441	-5.81%	0.003061	+208.59%	1.3932	✗	1.17
2026-05-21	oos	0.001069	0.001007	-5.76%	0.003072	+187.40%	1.3260	✗	1.12
2026-05-20	oos	0.000905	0.000862943	-4.65%	0.002581	+185.15%	1.3195	✗	1.12
2026-05-19	oos	0.000854	0.00081516	-4.55%	0.002174	+154.57%	1.2000	✗	1.10
2026-05-18	oos	0.000854	0.000815284	-4.53%	0.002988	+249.85%	1.4939	✗	1.10
2026-05-17	oos	0.000867	0.000831574	-4.09%	0.002667	+207.59%	1.3477	✗	1.10
2026-05-16	oos	0.000918	0.000881925	-3.93%	0.001445	+57.45%	0.6721	✗	1.08
2026-05-15	oos	0.00116	0.001101	-5.09%	0.001098	-5.34%	0.1670	✗	0.92
2026-05-14	oos	0.0008585	0.000838807	-2.29%	0.0007385	-13.98%	0.2110	✗	1.47
2026-05-13	oos	0.000924	0.000895766	-3.06%	0.0006968	-24.59%	0.0990	✗	1.58
2026-05-12	oos	0.000926	0.000905839	-2.18%	0.0006502	-29.78%	0.0514	✗	1.62
2026-05-11	oos	0.000965	0.000949784	-1.58%	0.0005672	-41.22%	0.0525	✓	1.62
2026-05-10	oos	0.000975	0.00095995	-1.54%	0.000395	-59.49%	0.4192	✓	1.63
2026-05-09	oos	0.001147	0.001109	-3.33%	0.0003471	-69.74%	0.7140	✓	1.82
2026-05-08	oos	0.001138	0.001097	-3.58%	0.0003432	-69.84%	0.7329	✓	1.82
2026-05-07	oos	0.0009895	0.000959402	-3.04%	0.0002984	-69.84%	0.6698	✓	1.82
2026-05-06	oos	0.00103	0.00101	-1.96%	0.00033	-67.98%	0.5901	✓	1.83
2026-05-05	oos	0.001073	0.001044	-2.64%	0.0003641	-66.05%	0.6163	✓	1.84
2026-05-04	oos	0.001025	0.000989436	-3.47%	0.0003851	-62.43%	0.5433	✓	1.81
2026-05-03	oos	0.001002	0.000960976	-4.09%	0.0003871	-61.37%	0.6130	✓	1.80
2026-05-02	oos	0.0009	0.000863646	-4.04%	0.0005712	-36.53%	0.2325	✓	1.84
2026-05-01	oos	0.0011	0.001055	-4.05%	0.0006019	-45.28%	0.4460	✓	1.88
2026-04-30	oos	0.001102	0.001045	-5.14%	0.0006	-45.55%	0.4898	✓	1.93
2026-04-29	oos	0.001077	0.001017	-5.54%	0.0005629	-47.73%	0.5303	✓	1.92
2026-04-28	oos	0.00107	0.001012	-5.40%	0.000873	-18.41%	0.0750	✓	1.95
2026-04-27	oos	0.001478	0.00139	-5.98%	0.000875	-40.80%	0.3973	✓	1.62
2026-04-26	oos	0.001527	0.001438	-5.85%	0.0009405	-38.41%	0.3643	✓	1.63
2026-04-25	oos	0.001183	0.001119	-5.41%	0.000918	-22.40%	0.1906	✓	1.44
2026-04-24	oos	0.000974	0.000925675	-4.96%	0.000931	-4.41%	0.0148	✓	1.44
2026-04-23	oos	0.000981	0.000940887	-4.09%	0.0009455	-3.62%	0.0259	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.00115	0.001095	-4.77%	0.000992	-13.74%	0.0629	✓	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.001214	0.001138	-6.24%	0.001069	-11.94%	0.0784	✓	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.001189	0.001113	-6.37%	0.000905	-23.89%	0.2282	✓	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.00119	0.001099	-7.61%	0.000854	-28.24%	0.2917	✓	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.001277	0.001193	-6.59%	0.000854	-33.12%	0.3500	✓	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.001192	0.00113	-5.22%	0.000867	-27.27%	0.2687	✓	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.001225	0.001144	-6.62%	0.000918	-25.06%	0.2584	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.001178	0.001101	-6.51%	0.00116	-1.53%	0.0030	✓	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.001206	0.00112	-7.11%	0.0008585	-28.81%	0.3551	✓	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.001043	0.000978164	-6.22%	0.000924	-11.41%	0.1200	✓	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.001063	0.000974755	-8.34%	0.000926	-12.93%	0.1802	✓	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.001047	0.000975109	-6.87%	0.000965	-7.83%	0.1222	✓	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.001208	0.001117	-7.52%	0.000975	-19.29%	0.2549	✓	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.001066	0.000986029	-7.50%	0.001147	+7.60%	0.0349	✓	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.001055	0.000973855	-7.69%	0.001138	+7.87%	0.0353	✓	1.00
2026-04-07	oos	0.001057	0.000983555	-6.95%	0.0009895	-6.39%	0.1006	✓	1.00
2026-04-06	oos	0.001048	0.000963071	-8.10%	0.00103	-1.67%	0.1002	✓	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.001042	0.000959501	-7.92%	0.001073	+2.93%	0.0478	✓	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.00099	0.000909405	-8.14%	0.001025	+3.54%	0.0515	✓	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.001044	0.000961878	-7.87%	0.001002	-4.02%	0.1189	✓	1.00