HAJIMI

? · · beta_5y

token id: #996
symbol: HAJIMI
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-11-04
predictions: 519

Track record at +7d

assessed

145

of 173 predictions shown

direction hit

51.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1872

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0311

actual +0.0386

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.0216	0.020984	-2.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2026-10-21	oos	0.020435	0.019897	-2.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.020605	0.019991	-2.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-10-19	oos	0.01981	0.019308	-2.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-18	oos	0.01918	0.018752	-2.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-17	oos	0.02	0.019552	-2.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-16	oos	0.02154	0.020979	-2.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-15	oos	0.02146	0.020917	-2.53%	0.0216	+0.65%	0.0070	✓	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	0.02186	0.021368	-2.25%	0.020435	-6.52%	0.0584	✓	1.00
2026-10-13	oos	0.025095	0.024362	-2.92%	0.020605	-17.89%	0.1658	✓	0.86
2026-10-12	oos	0.02587	0.025142	-2.81%	0.01981	-23.42%	0.2394	✓	0.89
2026-10-11	oos	0.02807	0.027195	-3.12%	0.01918	-31.67%	0.3327	✓	0.82
2026-10-10	oos	0.028755	0.027804	-3.31%	0.02	-30.45%	0.3142	✓	0.82
2026-10-09	oos	0.02823	0.027304	-3.28%	0.02154	-23.70%	0.2268	✓	0.81
2026-10-08	oos	0.02805	0.027131	-3.28%	0.02146	-23.49%	0.2387	✓	0.79
2026-10-07	oos	0.02808	0.027177	-3.22%	0.02186	-22.15%	0.1999	✓	0.86
2026-10-06	oos	0.0278	0.027011	-2.84%	0.025095	-9.73%	0.0443	✓	1.01
2026-10-05	oos	0.025615	0.024997	-2.41%	0.02587	+1.00%	0.0822	✗	1.00
2026-10-04	oos	0.02911	0.028392	-2.47%	0.02807	-3.57%	0.0218	✓	1.00
2026-10-03	oos	0.030485	0.02959	-2.94%	0.028755	-5.67%	0.0068	✓	1.00
2026-10-02	oos	0.030735	0.029801	-3.04%	0.02823	-8.15%	0.0307	✓	1.00
2026-10-01	oos	0.03306	0.031945	-3.37%	0.02805	-15.15%	0.0921	✓	1.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.030975	0.029944	-3.33%	0.02808	-9.35%	0.0609	✓	1.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.03383	0.03255	-3.79%	0.0278	-17.82%	0.1802	✓	1.00
2026-09-28	oos	0.03435	0.032962	-4.04%	0.025615	-25.43%	0.2793	✓	1.00
2026-09-27	oos	0.03413	0.032762	-4.01%	0.02911	-14.71%	0.1421	✓	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.03457	0.033118	-4.20%	0.030485	-11.82%	0.0867	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.03425	0.032768	-4.33%	0.030735	-10.26%	0.0689	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.03382	0.032346	-4.36%	0.03306	-2.25%	0.0164	✓	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.03548	0.033798	-4.74%	0.030975	-12.70%	0.0774	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.03985	0.037623	-5.59%	0.03383	-15.11%	0.0761	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.033935	0.03253	-4.14%	0.03435	+1.22%	0.0913	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.034595	0.032848	-5.05%	0.03413	-1.34%	0.0016	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.033255	0.031686	-4.72%	0.03457	+3.95%	0.0487	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.0348	0.033033	-5.08%	0.03425	-1.58%	0.0029	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.03351	0.032139	-4.09%	0.03382	+0.93%	0.0491	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.03063	0.029732	-2.93%	0.03548	+15.83%	0.0741	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.03338	0.032283	-3.29%	0.03985	+19.38%	0.0792	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.013255	0.013068	-1.41%	–	pending	–	–	3.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.013	0.012817	-1.40%	–	pending	–	–	3.09
2026-06-16	oos	0.01248	0.012336	-1.16%	–	pending	–	–	3.15
2026-06-15	oos	0.013	0.012806	-1.49%	–	pending	–	–	3.14
2026-06-14	oos	0.01264	0.01247	-1.35%	–	pending	–	–	3.15
2026-06-13	oos	0.01348	0.013223	-1.90%	–	pending	–	–	3.29
2026-06-12	oos	0.01236	0.012196	-1.32%	–	pending	–	–	3.27
2026-06-11	oos	0.01294	0.012721	-1.69%	0.013255	+2.43%	0.0766	✗	3.27
2026-06-10	oos	0.01202	0.011889	-1.09%	0.013	+8.15%	0.0711	✓	3.37
2026-06-09	oos	0.01261	0.012451	-1.26%	0.01248	-1.03%	0.2056	✓	3.37
2026-06-08	oos	0.01487	0.01448	-2.62%	0.013	-12.58%	0.2701	✓	3.26
2026-06-07	oos	0.01372	0.01343	-2.11%	0.01264	-7.87%	0.1824	✓	3.27
2026-06-06	oos	0.01441	0.014022	-2.69%	0.01348	-6.45%	0.2545	✓	3.76
2026-06-05	oos	0.01224	0.012087	-1.25%	0.01236	+0.98%	0.1286	✓	3.75
2026-06-04	oos	0.0133	0.01304	-1.95%	0.01294	-2.71%	0.0073	✓	3.93
2026-06-03	oos	0.0137	0.01342	-2.04%	0.01202	-12.26%	0.0524	✗	3.93
2026-06-02	oos	0.01373	0.013446	-2.07%	0.01261	-8.16%	0.2701	✗	4.31
2026-06-01	oos	0.01548	0.015022	-2.96%	0.01487	-3.94%	0.6549	✗	5.41
2026-05-31	oos	0.01792	0.017147	-4.31%	0.01372	-23.44%	0.5966	✗	5.45
2026-05-30	oos	0.01655	0.015845	-4.26%	0.01441	-12.93%	0.9582	✗	5.47
2026-05-29	oos	0.01367	0.013269	-2.94%	0.01224	-10.46%	0.9057	✗	5.36
2026-05-28	oos	0.01434	0.013888	-3.15%	0.0133	-7.25%	0.7147	✗	5.35
2026-05-27	oos	0.01417	0.013735	-3.07%	0.0137	-3.32%	0.8057	✗	5.43
2026-05-26	oos	0.01463	0.014167	-3.17%	0.01373	-6.15%	0.6921	✗	5.61
2026-05-25	oos	0.01469	0.014227	-3.15%	0.01548	+5.38%	0.5526	✗	5.86
2026-05-24	oos	0.0155	0.014996	-3.25%	0.01792	+15.61%	0.4441	✗	5.89
2026-05-23	oos	0.01662	0.016031	-3.54%	0.01655	-0.42%	0.2591	✗	5.93
2026-05-22	oos	0.0159	0.015367	-3.35%	0.01367	-14.03%	0.0519	✗	6.05
2026-05-21	oos	0.01805	0.017353	-3.86%	0.01434	-20.55%	0.1402	✗	6.19
2026-05-20	oos	0.01789	0.017214	-3.78%	0.01417	-20.79%	0.0633	✗	6.19
2026-05-19	oos	0.01798	0.017292	-3.83%	0.01463	-18.63%	0.0897	✓	6.28
2026-05-18	oos	0.0198	0.018866	-4.72%	0.01469	-25.81%	0.2749	✓	6.24
2026-05-17	oos	0.01949	0.018452	-5.32%	0.0155	-20.47%	0.1688	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.01506	0.014578	-3.20%	0.01662	+10.36%	0.1499	✗	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.01473	0.014284	-3.03%	0.0159	+7.94%	0.1540	✗	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.0176	0.0167	-5.12%	0.01805	+2.56%	0.1223	✗	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.01145	0.0111	-3.06%	0.01789	+56.24%	0.5004	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.01212	0.011783	-2.78%	0.01798	+48.35%	0.4699	✗	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.01232	0.012022	-2.42%	0.0198	+60.71%	0.5593	✗	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.01407	0.013736	-2.38%	0.01949	+38.52%	0.4100	✗	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.01243	0.012115	-2.54%	0.01506	+21.16%	0.2498	✗	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.0131	0.012758	-2.61%	0.01473	+12.44%	0.1579	✗	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.01278	0.012456	-2.54%	0.0176	+37.72%	0.3324	✗	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.01372	0.013417	-2.20%	0.01145	-16.55%	0.1318	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.01414	0.013814	-2.31%	0.01212	-14.29%	0.1256	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.0147	0.014307	-2.67%	0.01232	-16.19%	0.1727	✓	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.01436	0.01395	-2.85%	0.01407	-2.02%	0.0368	✓	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.01562	0.015066	-3.55%	0.01243	-20.42%	0.2171	✓	1.00
2026-05-01	oos	0.01347	0.013088	-2.83%	0.0131	-2.75%	0.0238	✓	1.00
2026-04-30	oos	0.01318	0.012743	-3.31%	0.01278	-3.03%	0.0445	✓	1.00
2026-04-29	oos	0.01246	0.012041	-3.36%	0.01372	+10.11%	0.0582	✗	1.00
2026-04-28	oos	0.01247	0.012015	-3.65%	0.01414	+13.39%	0.1045	✗	1.00
2026-04-27	oos	0.01326	0.012802	-3.45%	0.0147	+10.86%	0.1066	✗	1.00
2026-02-13	oos	0.02087	0.020308	-2.69%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-02-12	oos	0.01921	0.018709	-2.61%	–	pending	–	–	1.67
2026-02-11	oos	0.01657	0.016265	-1.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-02-10	oos	0.01683	0.016521	-1.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-02-09	oos	0.01782	0.017458	-2.03%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-02-08	oos	0.01952	0.018989	-2.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-02-07	oos	0.0161	0.015828	-1.69%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-02-06	oos	0.01679	0.016493	-1.77%	0.02087	+24.30%	0.2697	✗	1.39
2026-02-05	oos	0.01441	0.014474	+0.45%	0.01921	+33.31%	0.2069	✓	1.44
2026-02-04	oos	0.01967	0.019443	-1.15%	0.01657	-15.76%	0.0697	✓	1.06
2026-02-03	oos	0.02106	0.020823	-1.13%	0.01683	-20.09%	0.1005	✓	1.18
2026-02-02	oos	0.02438	0.024011	-1.51%	0.01782	-26.91%	0.1416	✓	1.36
2026-02-01	oos	0.02551	0.02517	-1.33%	0.01952	-23.48%	0.1263	✓	1.42
2026-01-31	oos	0.02839	0.027948	-1.56%	0.0161	-43.29%	0.3772	✓	1.37
2026-01-30	oos	0.02879	0.028298	-1.71%	0.01679	-41.68%	0.2560	✓	1.51
2026-01-18	oos	0.04019	0.039033	-2.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.51
2026-01-17	oos	0.0415	0.040216	-3.09%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-01-16	oos	0.04227	0.040859	-3.34%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-01-15	oos	0.04026	0.038985	-3.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-01-14	oos	0.04247	0.040966	-3.54%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-01-13	oos	0.04033	0.038913	-3.51%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-01-12	oos	0.03617	0.035073	-3.03%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-01-11	oos	0.03813	0.036859	-3.33%	0.04019	+5.40%	0.0437	✗	1.43
2026-01-10	oos	0.03571	0.034629	-3.03%	0.0415	+16.21%	0.1085	✗	1.42
2026-01-09	oos	0.03562	0.034516	-3.10%	0.04227	+18.67%	0.1265	✗	1.42
2026-01-08	oos	0.03617	0.034998	-3.24%	0.04026	+11.31%	0.0708	✗	1.42
2026-01-07	oos	0.03658	0.035385	-3.27%	0.04247	+16.10%	0.0971	✗	1.42
2026-01-06	oos	0.04091	0.039354	-3.80%	0.04033	-1.42%	0.0011	✓	1.33
2026-01-05	oos	0.04253	0.040757	-4.17%	0.03617	-14.95%	0.0809	✓	1.33
2026-01-04	oos	0.04192	0.039986	-4.61%	0.03813	-9.04%	0.0382	✓	1.37
2026-01-03	oos	0.03634	0.034904	-3.95%	0.03571	-1.73%	0.0261	✓	1.32
2026-01-02	oos	0.03165	0.030627	-3.23%	0.03562	+12.54%	0.1431	✗	1.28
2026-01-01	oos	0.02802	0.027325	-2.48%	0.03617	+29.09%	0.2494	✗	1.22
2025-12-31	oos	0.02892	0.028127	-2.74%	0.03658	+26.49%	0.2095	✗	1.26
2025-12-30	oos	0.02701	0.026414	-2.21%	0.04091	+51.46%	0.3626	✗	1.28
2025-12-29	oos	0.02795	0.027321	-2.25%	0.04253	+52.16%	0.3434	✗	1.33
2025-12-28	oos	0.02852	0.027886	-2.22%	0.04192	+46.98%	0.3543	✗	1.32
2025-12-27	oos	0.03008	0.029364	-2.38%	0.03634	+20.81%	0.1715	✗	1.33
2025-12-26	oos	0.03048	0.029764	-2.35%	0.03165	+3.84%	0.0210	✓	1.34
2025-12-25	oos	0.03247	0.031611	-2.64%	0.02802	-13.70%	0.1448	✓	1.36
2025-12-24	oos	0.03236	0.031522	-2.59%	0.02892	-10.63%	0.0844	✓	1.36
2025-12-23	oos	0.03228	0.031462	-2.53%	0.02701	-16.33%	0.1676	✓	1.36
2025-12-22	oos	0.03319	0.032322	-2.62%	0.02795	-15.79%	0.1231	✓	1.35
2025-12-21	oos	0.03697	0.035696	-3.45%	0.02852	-22.86%	0.2127	✓	1.36
2025-12-20	oos	0.03573	0.034505	-3.43%	0.03008	-15.81%	0.1293	✓	1.36
2025-12-19	oos	0.03309	0.032087	-3.03%	0.03048	-7.89%	0.0391	✓	1.35
2025-12-18	oos	0.03151	0.03059	-2.92%	0.03247	+3.05%	0.0326	✗	1.36
2025-12-17	oos	0.03225	0.031128	-3.48%	0.03236	+0.34%	0.0170	✓	1.36
2025-12-16	oos	0.02812	0.02742	-2.49%	0.03228	+14.79%	0.1702	✗	1.45
2025-12-15	oos	0.02815	0.027409	-2.63%	0.03319	+17.90%	0.1548	✗	1.49
2025-12-14	oos	0.02679	0.026182	-2.27%	0.03697	+38.00%	0.3369	✗	1.54
2025-12-13	oos	0.02917	0.0284	-2.64%	0.03573	+22.49%	0.2615	✗	1.48
2025-12-12	oos	0.02983	0.028954	-2.94%	0.03309	+10.93%	0.1698	✗	1.48
2025-12-11	oos	0.02945	0.028497	-3.23%	0.03151	+6.99%	0.2209	✗	1.51
2025-12-10	oos	0.02442	0.023863	-2.28%	0.03225	+32.06%	0.3960	✗	1.45
2025-12-09	oos	0.02448	0.023896	-2.38%	0.02812	+14.87%	0.2404	✗	1.45
2025-12-08	oos	0.02409	0.023472	-2.57%	0.02815	+16.85%	0.2530	✗	1.49
2025-12-07	oos	0.02244	0.021904	-2.39%	0.02679	+19.39%	0.2382	✗	1.47
2025-12-06	oos	0.02155	0.021066	-2.25%	0.02917	+35.36%	0.3094	✗	1.47
2025-12-05	oos	0.0227	0.022182	-2.28%	0.02983	+31.41%	0.2809	✗	1.48
2025-12-04	oos	0.02301	0.022498	-2.23%	0.02945	+27.99%	0.2620	✗	1.50
2025-12-03	oos	0.02497	0.024359	-2.45%	0.02442	-2.20%	0.0178	✓	1.00
2025-12-02	oos	0.02613	0.02539	-2.83%	0.02448	-6.31%	0.0515	✓	1.00
2025-12-01	oos	0.02323	0.022705	-2.26%	0.02409	+3.70%	0.0098	✓	1.00
2025-11-30	oos	0.02678	0.026009	-2.88%	0.02244	-16.21%	0.1480	✓	1.00
2025-11-29	oos	0.0263	0.025543	-2.88%	0.02155	-18.06%	0.1526	✓	1.00
2025-11-28	oos	0.02881	0.027658	-4.00%	0.0227	-21.21%	0.1803	✓	1.00
2025-11-27	oos	0.02423	0.023533	-2.88%	0.02301	-5.04%	0.0309	✓	1.00
2025-11-26	oos	0.02497	0.02413	-3.36%	0.02497	+0.00%	0.0018	✓	1.00
2025-11-25	oos	0.02264	0.021967	-2.97%	0.02613	+15.42%	0.1289	✗	1.00
2025-11-24	oos	0.02171	0.021106	-2.78%	0.02323	+7.00%	0.1186	✗	1.00
2025-11-23	oos	0.0226	0.02193	-2.97%	0.02678	+18.50%	0.1596	✗	1.00
2025-11-22	oos	0.02268	0.022015	-2.93%	0.0263	+15.96%	0.1078	✗	1.00
2025-11-21	oos	0.02678	0.025495	-4.80%	0.02881	+7.58%	0.0559	✗	1.00
2025-11-20	oos	0.02092	0.020284	-3.04%	0.02423	+15.82%	0.1240	✗	1.00
2025-11-19	oos	0.01944	0.018898	-2.79%	0.02497	+28.45%	0.2895	✗	1.00
2025-11-18	oos	0.0214	0.020786	-2.87%	0.02264	+5.79%	0.1475	✗	1.00
2025-11-17	oos	0.02315	0.022474	-2.92%	0.02171	-6.22%	0.0079	✓	1.00
2025-11-16	oos	0.03151	0.030027	-4.71%	0.0226	-28.28%	0.2026	✓	1.00
2025-11-15	oos	0.03674	0.034055	-7.31%	0.02268	-38.27%	0.2858	✓	1.00
2025-11-14	oos	0.02743	0.025904	-5.56%	0.02678	-2.37%	0.1384	✗	1.00
2025-11-13	oos	0.02199	0.021001	-4.50%	0.02092	-4.87%	0.1369	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.