HAJIMI

? · · beta_5y

token id: #996
symbol: HAJIMI
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-11-04
predictions: 516

Track record at +1d

assessed

168

of 172 predictions shown

direction hit

54.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0697

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0067

actual +0.0060

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.020435	0.020336	-0.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.020605	0.020486	-0.58%	0.020435	-0.83%	0.0004	✓	1.01
2026-10-19	oos	0.01981	0.019725	-0.43%	0.020605	+4.01%	0.0309	✗	0.96
2026-10-18	oos	0.01918	0.019119	-0.32%	0.01981	+3.28%	0.0375	✗	0.97
2026-10-17	oos	0.02	0.019935	-0.32%	0.01918	-4.10%	0.0461	✓	0.98
2026-10-16	oos	0.02154	0.021448	-0.43%	0.02	-7.15%	0.0685	✓	0.98
2026-10-15	oos	0.02146	0.021378	-0.38%	0.02154	+0.37%	0.0151	✗	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	0.02186	0.021795	-0.30%	0.02146	-1.83%	0.0223	✓	1.00
2026-10-13	oos	0.025095	0.024967	-0.51%	0.02186	-12.89%	0.1168	✓	0.86
2026-10-12	oos	0.02587	0.025744	-0.49%	0.025095	-3.00%	0.0401	✓	0.89
2026-10-11	oos	0.02807	0.027893	-0.63%	0.02587	-7.84%	0.0562	✓	0.82
2026-10-10	oos	0.028755	0.028552	-0.71%	0.02807	-2.38%	0.0246	✓	0.82
2026-10-09	oos	0.02823	0.028034	-0.69%	0.028755	+1.86%	0.0218	✗	0.81
2026-10-08	oos	0.02805	0.027855	-0.70%	0.02823	+0.64%	0.0051	✓	0.79
2026-10-07	oos	0.02808	0.027884	-0.70%	0.02805	-0.11%	0.0224	✗	0.86
2026-10-06	oos	0.0278	0.027626	-0.63%	0.02808	+1.01%	0.0434	✗	1.01
2026-10-05	oos	0.025615	0.025508	-0.42%	0.0278	+8.53%	0.0885	✗	1.00
2026-10-04	oos	0.02911	0.028956	-0.53%	0.025615	-12.01%	0.1138	✓	1.00
2026-10-03	oos	0.030485	0.030294	-0.63%	0.02911	-4.51%	0.0605	✓	1.00
2026-10-02	oos	0.030735	0.030543	-0.63%	0.030485	-0.81%	0.0047	✓	1.00
2026-10-01	oos	0.03306	0.032811	-0.75%	0.030735	-7.03%	0.0613	✓	1.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.030975	0.030777	-0.64%	0.03306	+6.73%	0.0562	✗	1.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.03383	0.033565	-0.78%	0.030975	-8.44%	0.0793	✓	1.00
2026-09-28	oos	0.03435	0.034059	-0.85%	0.03383	-1.51%	0.0089	✓	1.00
2026-09-27	oos	0.03413	0.033844	-0.84%	0.03435	+0.64%	0.0268	✗	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.03457	0.034271	-0.87%	0.03413	-1.27%	0.0047	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.03425	0.033955	-0.86%	0.03457	+0.93%	0.0141	✗	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.03382	0.033541	-0.83%	0.03425	+1.27%	0.0244	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.03548	0.035156	-0.91%	0.03382	-4.68%	0.0388	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.03985	0.039303	-1.37%	0.03548	-10.97%	0.0810	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.033935	0.033636	-0.88%	0.03985	+17.43%	0.1741	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.034595	0.03425	-1.00%	0.033935	-1.91%	0.0741	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.033255	0.032957	-0.90%	0.034595	+4.03%	0.0494	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.0348	0.03444	-1.04%	0.033255	-4.44%	0.0394	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.03351	0.033226	-0.85%	0.0348	+3.85%	0.0113	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.03063	0.030474	-0.51%	0.03351	+9.40%	0.0923	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.03338	0.033169	-0.63%	0.03063	-8.24%	0.0870	✓	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.013255	0.013205	-0.38%	–	pending	–	–	3.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.013	0.012952	-0.37%	0.013255	+1.96%	0.0991	✗	3.09
2026-06-16	oos	0.01248	0.012444	-0.29%	0.013	+4.17%	0.1004	✗	3.15
2026-06-15	oos	0.013	0.012952	-0.37%	0.01248	-4.00%	0.0056	✓	3.14
2026-06-14	oos	0.01264	0.012601	-0.31%	0.013	+2.85%	0.0040	✗	3.15
2026-06-13	oos	0.01348	0.013416	-0.48%	0.01264	-6.23%	0.1241	✓	3.29
2026-06-12	oos	0.01236	0.012323	-0.30%	0.01348	+9.06%	0.0442	✗	3.27
2026-06-11	oos	0.01294	0.012889	-0.40%	0.01236	-4.48%	0.0406	✓	3.27
2026-06-10	oos	0.01202	0.011992	-0.23%	0.01294	+7.65%	0.0379	✓	3.37
2026-06-09	oos	0.01261	0.012577	-0.26%	0.01202	-4.68%	0.0323	✓	3.37
2026-06-08	oos	0.01487	0.014774	-0.64%	0.01261	-15.20%	0.0863	✓	3.26
2026-06-07	oos	0.01372	0.013655	-0.47%	0.01487	+8.38%	0.0976	✗	3.27
2026-06-06	oos	0.01441	0.014304	-0.73%	0.01372	-4.79%	0.1904	✓	3.76
2026-06-05	oos	0.01224	0.012206	-0.28%	0.01441	+17.73%	0.1771	✗	3.75
2026-06-04	oos	0.0133	0.013244	-0.42%	0.01224	-7.97%	0.0960	✗	3.93
2026-06-03	oos	0.0137	0.013639	-0.44%	0.0133	-2.92%	0.0108	✓	3.93
2026-06-02	oos	0.01373	0.013677	-0.39%	0.0137	-0.22%	0.1745	✗	4.31
2026-06-01	oos	0.01548	0.01539	-0.58%	0.01373	-11.30%	0.2510	✗	5.41
2026-05-31	oos	0.01792	0.017727	-1.08%	0.01548	-13.62%	0.0346	✗	5.45
2026-05-30	oos	0.01655	0.016362	-1.14%	0.01792	+8.28%	0.1055	✗	5.47
2026-05-29	oos	0.01367	0.013589	-0.59%	0.01655	+21.07%	0.1677	✗	5.36
2026-05-28	oos	0.01434	0.014242	-0.68%	0.01367	-4.67%	0.0304	✓	5.35
2026-05-27	oos	0.01417	0.014081	-0.63%	0.01434	+1.20%	0.0773	✗	5.43
2026-05-26	oos	0.01463	0.014534	-0.66%	0.01417	-3.14%	0.0876	✗	5.61
2026-05-25	oos	0.01469	0.014599	-0.62%	0.01463	-0.41%	0.1110	✗	5.86
2026-05-24	oos	0.0155	0.015399	-0.65%	0.01469	-5.23%	0.0679	✓	5.89
2026-05-23	oos	0.01662	0.016492	-0.77%	0.0155	-6.74%	0.0872	✓	5.93
2026-05-22	oos	0.0159	0.0158	-0.63%	0.01662	+4.53%	0.0453	✓	6.05
2026-05-21	oos	0.01805	0.017898	-0.84%	0.0159	-11.91%	0.0519	✗	6.19
2026-05-20	oos	0.01789	0.017747	-0.80%	0.01805	+0.89%	0.0112	✗	6.19
2026-05-19	oos	0.01798	0.017839	-0.78%	0.01789	-0.50%	0.0549	✓	6.28
2026-05-18	oos	0.0198	0.019578	-1.12%	0.01798	-9.19%	0.0708	✓	6.24
2026-05-17	oos	0.01949	0.019186	-1.56%	0.0198	+1.59%	0.0375	✗	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.01506	0.014946	-0.76%	0.01949	+29.42%	0.2745	✗	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.01473	0.014623	-0.73%	0.01506	+2.24%	0.0416	✗	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.0176	0.017235	-2.07%	0.01473	-16.31%	0.1318	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.01145	0.011382	-0.59%	0.0176	+53.71%	0.4135	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.01212	0.012046	-0.61%	0.01145	-5.53%	0.0358	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.01232	0.012252	-0.56%	0.01212	-1.62%	0.0045	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.01407	0.013962	-0.77%	0.01232	-12.44%	0.1193	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.01243	0.012359	-0.57%	0.01407	+13.19%	0.1107	✗	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.0131	0.013015	-0.65%	0.01243	-5.11%	0.0518	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.01278	0.01271	-0.55%	0.0131	+2.50%	0.0279	✗	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.01372	0.013642	-0.57%	0.01278	-6.85%	0.0475	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.01414	0.014056	-0.60%	0.01372	-2.97%	0.0307	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.0147	0.014598	-0.70%	0.01414	-3.81%	0.0450	✓	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.01436	0.014262	-0.68%	0.0147	+2.37%	0.0139	✗	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.01562	0.015456	-1.05%	0.01436	-8.07%	0.0720	✓	1.00
2026-05-01	oos	0.01347	0.01337	-0.74%	0.01562	+15.96%	0.1498	✗	1.00
2026-04-30	oos	0.01318	0.013077	-0.78%	0.01347	+2.20%	0.0047	✓	1.00
2026-04-29	oos	0.01246	0.012377	-0.67%	0.01318	+5.78%	0.0556	✗	1.00
2026-04-28	oos	0.01247	0.01239	-0.64%	0.01246	-0.08%	0.0131	✗	1.00
2026-04-27	oos	0.01326	0.013179	-0.61%	0.01247	-5.96%	0.0417	✓	1.00
2026-02-13	oos	0.02087	0.02073	-0.67%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-02-12	oos	0.01921	0.019079	-0.68%	0.02087	+8.64%	0.0252	✗	1.67
2026-02-11	oos	0.01657	0.016507	-0.38%	0.01921	+15.93%	0.1698	✗	1.48
2026-02-10	oos	0.01683	0.01677	-0.36%	0.01657	-1.54%	0.0255	✗	1.43
2026-02-09	oos	0.01782	0.017745	-0.42%	0.01683	-5.56%	0.0265	✓	1.41
2026-02-08	oos	0.01952	0.019379	-0.72%	0.01782	-8.71%	0.0802	✓	1.45
2026-02-07	oos	0.0161	0.016047	-0.33%	0.01952	+21.24%	0.1754	✗	1.38
2026-02-06	oos	0.01679	0.016727	-0.38%	0.0161	-4.11%	0.0126	✓	1.39
2026-02-05	oos	0.01441	0.014429	+0.13%	0.01679	+16.52%	0.0155	✗	1.44
2026-02-04	oos	0.01967	0.019629	-0.21%	0.01441	-26.74%	0.1500	✓	1.06
2026-02-03	oos	0.02106	0.02102	-0.19%	0.01967	-6.60%	0.0240	✓	1.18
2026-02-02	oos	0.02438	0.024309	-0.29%	0.02106	-13.62%	0.0906	✓	1.36
2026-02-01	oos	0.02551	0.02544	-0.27%	0.02438	-4.43%	0.0750	✓	1.42
2026-01-31	oos	0.02839	0.02829	-0.35%	0.02551	-10.14%	0.0726	✓	1.37
2026-01-30	oos	0.02879	0.028689	-0.35%	0.02839	-1.39%	0.0910	✗	1.51
2026-01-18	oos	0.04019	0.039933	-0.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.51
2026-01-17	oos	0.0415	0.041209	-0.70%	0.04019	-3.16%	0.0016	✓	1.50
2026-01-16	oos	0.04227	0.041939	-0.78%	0.0415	-1.82%	0.0043	✓	1.50
2026-01-15	oos	0.04026	0.039979	-0.70%	0.04227	+4.99%	0.0570	✗	1.50
2026-01-14	oos	0.04247	0.042102	-0.87%	0.04026	-5.20%	0.0238	✓	1.48
2026-01-13	oos	0.04033	0.039974	-0.88%	0.04247	+5.31%	0.0366	✗	1.47
2026-01-12	oos	0.03617	0.035934	-0.65%	0.04033	+11.50%	0.0516	✗	1.42
2026-01-11	oos	0.03813	0.037826	-0.80%	0.03617	-5.14%	0.0497	✓	1.43
2026-01-10	oos	0.03571	0.035472	-0.67%	0.03813	+6.78%	0.0645	✗	1.42
2026-01-09	oos	0.03562	0.035389	-0.65%	0.03571	+0.25%	0.0112	✗	1.42
2026-01-08	oos	0.03617	0.035931	-0.66%	0.03562	-1.52%	0.0007	✓	1.42
2026-01-07	oos	0.03658	0.036348	-0.64%	0.03617	-1.12%	0.0010	✓	1.42
2026-01-06	oos	0.04091	0.040574	-0.82%	0.03658	-10.58%	0.0685	✓	1.33
2026-01-05	oos	0.04253	0.042115	-0.98%	0.04091	-3.81%	0.0269	✓	1.33
2026-01-04	oos	0.04192	0.041412	-1.21%	0.04253	+1.46%	0.0084	✓	1.37
2026-01-03	oos	0.03634	0.035951	-1.07%	0.04192	+15.35%	0.1406	✗	1.32
2026-01-02	oos	0.03165	0.031382	-0.85%	0.03634	+14.82%	0.1376	✗	1.28
2026-01-01	oos	0.02802	0.027864	-0.56%	0.03165	+12.96%	0.1108	✗	1.22
2025-12-31	oos	0.02892	0.028727	-0.67%	0.02802	-3.11%	0.0427	✓	1.26
2025-12-30	oos	0.02701	0.026882	-0.47%	0.02892	+7.07%	0.0862	✗	1.28
2025-12-29	oos	0.02795	0.027811	-0.50%	0.02701	-3.36%	0.0487	✓	1.33
2025-12-28	oos	0.02852	0.028382	-0.48%	0.02795	-2.00%	0.0038	✓	1.32
2025-12-27	oos	0.03008	0.029917	-0.54%	0.02852	-5.19%	0.0489	✓	1.33
2025-12-26	oos	0.03048	0.030321	-0.52%	0.03008	-1.31%	0.0158	✓	1.34
2025-12-25	oos	0.03247	0.032267	-0.63%	0.03048	-6.13%	0.0589	✓	1.36
2025-12-24	oos	0.03236	0.032165	-0.60%	0.03247	+0.34%	0.0162	✗	1.36
2025-12-23	oos	0.03228	0.032097	-0.57%	0.03236	+0.25%	0.0054	✓	1.36
2025-12-22	oos	0.03319	0.032998	-0.58%	0.03228	-2.74%	0.0047	✓	1.35
2025-12-21	oos	0.03697	0.036653	-0.86%	0.03319	-10.22%	0.0980	✓	1.36
2025-12-20	oos	0.03573	0.035413	-0.89%	0.03697	+3.47%	0.0382	✗	1.36
2025-12-19	oos	0.03309	0.032835	-0.77%	0.03573	+7.98%	0.0810	✗	1.35
2025-12-18	oos	0.03151	0.031281	-0.73%	0.03309	+5.01%	0.0148	✗	1.36
2025-12-17	oos	0.03225	0.031934	-0.98%	0.03151	-2.29%	0.0015	✓	1.36
2025-12-16	oos	0.02812	0.027948	-0.61%	0.03225	+14.69%	0.1706	✗	1.45
2025-12-15	oos	0.02815	0.027966	-0.66%	0.02812	-0.11%	0.0191	✓	1.49
2025-12-14	oos	0.02679	0.026653	-0.51%	0.02815	+5.08%	0.0856	✗	1.54
2025-12-13	oos	0.02917	0.028983	-0.64%	0.02679	-8.16%	0.0442	✓	1.48
2025-12-12	oos	0.02983	0.029603	-0.76%	0.02917	-2.21%	0.0144	✓	1.48
2025-12-11	oos	0.02945	0.029172	-0.94%	0.02983	+1.29%	0.0598	✗	1.51
2025-12-10	oos	0.02442	0.024286	-0.55%	0.02945	+20.60%	0.1848	✗	1.45
2025-12-09	oos	0.02448	0.024337	-0.59%	0.02442	-0.25%	0.0137	✗	1.45
2025-12-08	oos	0.02409	0.023935	-0.64%	0.02448	+1.62%	0.0106	✓	1.49
2025-12-07	oos	0.02244	0.022319	-0.54%	0.02409	+7.35%	0.0723	✗	1.47
2025-12-06	oos	0.02155	0.021452	-0.45%	0.02244	+4.13%	0.0265	✗	1.47
2025-12-05	oos	0.0227	0.022591	-0.48%	0.02155	-5.07%	0.0459	✓	1.48
2025-12-04	oos	0.02301	0.022907	-0.45%	0.0227	-1.35%	0.0363	✗	1.50
2025-12-03	oos	0.02497	0.024837	-0.53%	0.02301	-7.85%	0.0617	✓	1.00
2025-12-02	oos	0.02613	0.025953	-0.68%	0.02497	-4.44%	0.0619	✓	1.00
2025-12-01	oos	0.02323	0.023128	-0.44%	0.02613	+12.48%	0.0654	✗	1.00
2025-11-30	oos	0.02678	0.026609	-0.64%	0.02323	-13.26%	0.0895	✓	1.00
2025-11-29	oos	0.0263	0.026137	-0.62%	0.02678	+1.83%	0.0294	✗	1.00
2025-11-28	oos	0.02881	0.028505	-1.06%	0.0263	-8.71%	0.0797	✓	1.00
2025-11-27	oos	0.02423	0.024079	-0.62%	0.02881	+18.90%	0.1839	✗	1.00
2025-11-26	oos	0.02497	0.024769	-0.81%	0.02423	-2.96%	0.0313	✓	1.00
2025-11-25	oos	0.02264	0.022491	-0.66%	0.02497	+10.29%	0.0692	✗	1.00
2025-11-24	oos	0.02171	0.021588	-0.56%	0.02264	+4.28%	0.0583	✗	1.00
2025-11-23	oos	0.0226	0.022458	-0.63%	0.02171	-3.94%	0.0505	✓	1.00
2025-11-22	oos	0.02268	0.02254	-0.62%	0.0226	-0.35%	0.0221	✓	1.00
2025-11-21	oos	0.02678	0.026407	-1.39%	0.02268	-15.31%	0.1476	✓	1.00
2025-11-20	oos	0.02092	0.020781	-0.66%	0.02678	+28.01%	0.2707	✗	1.00
2025-11-19	oos	0.01944	0.019349	-0.47%	0.02092	+7.61%	0.1334	✗	1.00
2025-11-18	oos	0.0214	0.021295	-0.49%	0.01944	-9.16%	0.0754	✓	1.00
2025-11-17	oos	0.02315	0.023038	-0.48%	0.0214	-7.56%	0.0826	✓	1.00
2025-11-16	oos	0.03151	0.031201	-0.98%	0.02315	-26.53%	0.2761	✓	1.00
2025-11-15	oos	0.03674	0.035951	-2.15%	0.03151	-14.24%	0.1175	✓	1.00
2025-11-14	oos	0.02743	0.026989	-1.61%	0.03674	+33.94%	0.2975	✗	1.00
2025-11-13	oos	0.02199	0.021726	-1.20%	0.02743	+24.74%	0.2858	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.