GNS

Syli · · beta_5y

token id: #462
symbol: GNS
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-02-17
predictions: 4,002

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

56.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0823

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0091

actual -0.0168

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.437	0.429156	-1.79%	–	pending	–	–	1.12
2026-10-21	oos	0.499	0.484692	-2.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.12
2026-10-20	oos	0.454	0.439769	-3.13%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-19	oos	0.408	0.401229	-1.66%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.4145	0.408509	-1.45%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-17	oos	0.453	0.443908	-2.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-16	oos	0.467	0.458503	-1.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-15	oos	0.503	0.49119	-2.35%	0.437	-13.12%	0.1436	✓	1.06
2026-10-14	oos	0.535	0.516068	-3.54%	0.499	-6.73%	0.0483	✓	1.07
2026-10-13	oos	0.7175	0.653026	-8.99%	0.454	-36.72%	0.3617	✓	0.91
2026-10-12	oos	0.369	0.366241	-0.75%	0.408	+10.57%	0.1072	✗	0.65
2026-10-11	oos	0.3875	0.38716	-0.09%	0.4145	+6.97%	0.0815	✗	0.66
2026-10-10	oos	0.3985	0.397062	-0.36%	0.453	+13.68%	0.1441	✗	0.66
2026-10-09	oos	0.3935	0.392467	-0.26%	0.467	+18.68%	0.1823	✗	0.66
2026-10-08	oos	0.3835	0.382495	-0.26%	0.503	+31.16%	0.2704	✗	0.65
2026-10-07	oos	0.3815	0.381806	+0.08%	0.535	+40.24%	0.3513	✓	0.67
2026-10-06	oos	0.403	0.402377	-0.15%	0.7175	+78.04%	0.5971	✗	0.65
2026-10-05	oos	0.4235	0.420642	-0.67%	0.369	-12.87%	0.1004	✓	0.64
2026-10-04	oos	0.426	0.422951	-0.72%	0.3875	-9.04%	0.0661	✓	0.64
2026-10-03	oos	0.421	0.417002	-0.95%	0.3985	-5.34%	0.0314	✓	0.64
2026-10-02	oos	0.432	0.426667	-1.23%	0.3935	-8.91%	0.0659	✓	0.64
2026-10-01	oos	0.461	0.453537	-1.62%	0.3835	-16.81%	0.1439	✓	0.63
2026-09-30	oos	0.467	0.457211	-2.10%	0.3815	-18.31%	0.1789	✓	0.64
2026-09-29	oos	0.483	0.473545	-1.96%	0.403	-16.56%	0.1760	✓	0.65
2026-09-28	oos	0.4795	0.470353	-1.91%	0.4235	-11.68%	0.1234	✓	0.68
2026-09-27	oos	0.507	0.49514	-2.34%	0.426	-15.98%	0.1642	✓	0.58
2026-09-26	oos	0.4785	0.469618	-1.86%	0.421	-12.02%	0.1116	✓	0.59
2026-09-25	oos	0.486	0.47542	-2.18%	0.432	-11.11%	0.0987	✓	0.59
2026-09-24	oos	0.472	0.463362	-1.83%	0.461	-2.33%	0.0084	✓	0.60
2026-09-23	oos	0.464	0.456208	-1.68%	0.467	+0.65%	0.0292	✗	0.60
2026-09-22	oos	0.4795	0.472156	-1.53%	0.483	+0.73%	0.0404	✗	0.59
2026-09-21	oos	0.45	0.444525	-1.22%	0.4795	+6.56%	0.0984	✗	0.61
2026-09-20	oos	0.4425	0.433183	-2.11%	0.507	+14.58%	0.1310	✗	0.66
2026-09-19	oos	0.436	0.427414	-1.97%	0.4785	+9.75%	0.0876	✗	0.66
2026-09-18	oos	0.4365	0.42812	-1.92%	0.486	+11.34%	0.1010	✗	0.66
2026-09-17	oos	0.416	0.409582	-1.54%	0.472	+13.46%	0.0774	✗	0.64
2026-09-16	oos	0.407	0.4031	-0.96%	0.464	+14.00%	0.0747	✗	0.64
2026-09-15	oos	0.4075	0.405867	-0.40%	0.4795	+17.67%	0.0815	✗	0.65
2026-09-14	oos	0.4255	0.424319	-0.28%	0.45	+5.76%	0.0050	✓	0.62
2026-09-13	oos	0.4295	0.430354	+0.20%	0.4425	+3.03%	0.0073	✗	0.64
2026-09-12	oos	0.4305	0.434436	+0.91%	0.436	+1.28%	0.0285	✗	0.64
2026-09-11	oos	0.4425	0.448533	+1.36%	0.4365	-1.36%	0.0568	✗	0.64
2026-09-10	oos	0.44	0.44969	+2.20%	0.416	-5.45%	0.0763	✗	0.63
2026-09-09	oos	0.4695	0.483503	+2.98%	0.407	-13.31%	0.1561	✗	0.58
2026-09-08	oos	0.486	0.503214	+3.54%	0.4075	-16.15%	0.1871	✗	0.64
2026-09-07	oos	0.487	0.508056	+4.32%	0.4255	-12.63%	0.1699	✗	0.63
2026-09-06	oos	0.488	0.513642	+5.25%	0.4295	-11.99%	0.1509	✗	0.62
2026-09-05	oos	0.4775	0.506201	+6.01%	0.4305	-9.84%	0.1419	✗	0.61
2026-09-04	oos	0.4745	0.504197	+6.26%	0.4425	-6.74%	0.1105	✗	0.64
2026-09-03	oos	0.521	0.550939	+5.75%	0.44	-15.55%	0.1899	✗	0.58
2026-09-02	oos	0.512	0.540286	+5.52%	0.4695	-8.30%	0.1488	✗	0.67
2026-09-01	oos	0.519	0.547497	+5.49%	0.486	-6.36%	0.1283	✗	0.68
2026-08-31	oos	0.521	0.54865	+5.31%	0.487	-6.53%	0.1229	✗	0.55
2026-08-30	oos	0.507	0.53056	+4.65%	0.488	-3.75%	0.1015	✗	0.53
2026-08-29	oos	0.523	0.547294	+4.65%	0.4775	-8.70%	0.1468	✗	0.51
2026-08-28	oos	0.523	0.547138	+4.62%	0.4745	-9.27%	0.1544	✗	0.51
2026-08-27	oos	0.534	0.559874	+4.85%	0.521	-2.43%	0.0782	✗	0.51
2026-08-26	oos	0.531	0.553385	+4.22%	0.512	-3.58%	0.0665	✗	0.51
2026-08-25	oos	0.536	0.55507	+3.56%	0.519	-3.17%	0.0598	✗	0.51
2026-08-24	oos	0.541	0.558362	+3.21%	0.521	-3.70%	0.0665	✗	0.52
2026-08-23	oos	0.554	0.566795	+2.31%	0.507	-8.48%	0.1110	✗	0.54
2026-08-22	oos	0.546	0.556144	+1.86%	0.523	-4.21%	0.0697	✗	0.54
2026-08-21	oos	0.537	0.548367	+2.12%	0.523	-2.61%	0.0439	✗	0.55
2026-08-20	oos	0.529	0.531788	+0.53%	0.534	+0.95%	0.0552	✗	0.63
2026-08-19	oos	0.519	0.51704	-0.38%	0.531	+2.31%	0.0587	✓	0.65
2026-08-18	oos	0.502	0.497497	-0.90%	0.536	+6.77%	0.0585	✓	0.69
2026-08-17	oos	0.507	0.502128	-0.96%	0.541	+6.71%	0.0609	✓	0.67
2026-08-16	oos	0.506	0.499889	-1.21%	0.554	+9.49%	0.0429	✓	0.68
2026-08-15	oos	0.518	0.511633	-1.23%	0.546	+5.41%	0.0718	✓	0.68
2026-08-14	oos	0.524	0.517093	-1.32%	0.537	+2.48%	0.1146	✓	0.70
2026-08-13	oos	0.526	0.519116	-1.31%	0.529	+0.57%	0.0810	✓	0.71
2026-08-12	oos	0.524	0.516905	-1.35%	0.519	-0.95%	0.0617	✓	0.74
2026-08-11	oos	0.53	0.522514	-1.41%	0.502	-5.28%	0.0533	✓	0.74
2026-08-10	oos	0.531	0.522889	-1.53%	0.507	-4.52%	0.0375	✓	0.76
2026-08-09	oos	0.529	0.520583	-1.59%	0.506	-4.35%	0.0044	✓	0.76
2026-08-08	oos	0.515	0.5077	-1.42%	0.518	+0.58%	0.0427	✗	0.77
2026-08-07	oos	0.504	0.496435	-1.50%	0.524	+3.97%	0.0790	✗	0.83
2026-08-06	oos	0.496	0.488674	-1.48%	0.526	+6.05%	0.0846	✗	0.83
2026-08-05	oos	0.495	0.488301	-1.35%	0.524	+5.86%	0.0861	✗	0.83
2026-08-04	oos	0.497	0.490109	-1.39%	0.53	+6.64%	0.0849	✗	0.82
2026-08-03	oos	0.498	0.490482	-1.51%	0.531	+6.63%	0.0736	✗	0.83
2026-08-02	oos	0.499	0.491366	-1.53%	0.529	+6.01%	0.0567	✗	0.82
2026-08-01	oos	0.489	0.481855	-1.46%	0.515	+5.32%	0.0393	✗	0.81
2026-07-31	oos	0.491	0.483627	-1.50%	0.504	+2.65%	0.0150	✓	0.81
2026-07-30	oos	0.493	0.486384	-1.34%	0.496	+0.61%	0.0255	✗	0.84
2026-07-29	oos	0.487	0.481021	-1.23%	0.495	+1.64%	0.0191	✗	0.87
2026-07-28	oos	0.496	0.489927	-1.22%	0.497	+0.20%	0.0116	✓	0.85
2026-07-27	oos	0.498	0.49221	-1.16%	0.498	+0.00%	0.0149	✗	0.88
2026-07-26	oos	0.533	0.526518	-1.22%	0.499	-6.38%	0.0289	✓	0.87
2026-07-25	oos	0.538	0.531019	-1.30%	0.489	-9.11%	0.0612	✓	0.88
2026-07-24	oos	0.533	0.526553	-1.21%	0.491	-7.88%	0.0524	✓	0.88
2026-07-23	oos	0.55	0.543592	-1.17%	0.493	-10.36%	0.0933	✓	0.87
2026-07-22	oos	0.559	0.55313	-1.05%	0.487	-12.88%	0.0982	✓	0.86
2026-07-21	oos	0.559	0.553465	-0.99%	0.496	-11.27%	0.0743	✓	0.86
2026-07-20	oos	0.561	0.554007	-1.25%	0.498	-11.23%	0.0866	✓	0.85
2026-07-19	oos	0.602	0.593297	-1.45%	0.533	-11.46%	0.1161	✓	0.88
2026-07-18	oos	0.607	0.598108	-1.46%	0.538	-11.37%	0.0991	✓	0.88
2026-07-17	oos	0.614	0.604045	-1.62%	0.533	-13.19%	0.1278	✓	0.91
2026-07-16	oos	0.618	0.607535	-1.69%	0.55	-11.00%	0.1176	✓	0.91
2026-07-15	oos	0.636	0.624436	-1.82%	0.559	-12.11%	0.1298	✓	0.91
2026-07-14	oos	0.628	0.616448	-1.84%	0.559	-10.99%	0.1190	✓	0.91
2026-07-13	oos	0.598	0.587361	-1.78%	0.561	-6.19%	0.0870	✓	0.89
2026-07-12	oos	0.61	0.599622	-1.70%	0.602	-1.31%	0.0091	✓	0.89
2026-07-11	oos	0.614	0.603394	-1.73%	0.607	-1.14%	0.0073	✓	0.83
2026-07-10	oos	0.615	0.604537	-1.70%	0.614	-0.16%	0.0186	✗	0.84
2026-07-09	oos	0.606	0.595631	-1.71%	0.618	+1.98%	0.0290	✗	0.84
2026-07-08	oos	0.606	0.595091	-1.80%	0.636	+4.95%	0.0338	✗	0.84
2026-07-07	oos	0.615	0.604164	-1.76%	0.628	+2.11%	0.0170	✓	0.83
2026-07-06	oos	0.629	0.617397	-1.84%	0.598	-4.93%	0.0089	✓	0.84
2026-07-05	oos	0.636	0.623531	-1.96%	0.61	-4.09%	0.0240	✓	0.84
2026-07-04	oos	0.641	0.627006	-2.18%	0.614	-4.21%	0.0301	✓	0.84
2026-07-03	oos	0.635	0.621157	-2.18%	0.615	-3.15%	0.0307	✓	0.82
2026-07-02	oos	0.632	0.616568	-2.44%	0.606	-4.11%	0.0396	✓	0.82
2026-07-01	oos	0.605	0.587664	-2.87%	0.606	+0.17%	0.0008	✓	0.80
2026-06-30	oos	0.568	0.551497	-2.91%	0.615	+8.27%	0.0481	✗	0.77
2026-06-29	oos	0.5255	0.516135	-1.78%	0.629	+19.70%	0.1451	✗	0.85
2026-06-28	oos	0.511	0.502176	-1.73%	0.636	+24.46%	0.1798	✗	0.84
2026-06-27	oos	0.518	0.50846	-1.84%	0.641	+23.75%	0.1883	✗	0.85
2026-06-26	oos	0.518	0.50822	-1.89%	0.635	+22.59%	0.1879	✗	0.85
2026-06-25	oos	0.515	0.505557	-1.83%	0.632	+22.72%	0.1984	✗	0.85
2026-06-24	oos	0.524	0.514702	-1.77%	0.605	+15.46%	0.1760	✗	0.85
2026-06-23	oos	0.542	0.532603	-1.73%	0.568	+4.80%	0.1225	✗	0.85
2026-06-22	oos	0.562	0.551832	-1.81%	0.5255	-6.49%	0.0024	✓	0.84
2026-06-21	oos	0.57	0.558942	-1.94%	0.511	-10.35%	0.0377	✓	0.85
2026-06-20	oos	0.583	0.570995	-2.06%	0.518	-11.15%	0.0379	✓	0.86
2026-06-19	oos	0.568	0.557179	-1.91%	0.518	-8.80%	0.0246	✓	0.86
2026-06-18	oos	0.569	0.557813	-1.97%	0.515	-9.49%	0.0352	✓	0.86
2026-06-17	oos	0.585	0.573049	-2.04%	0.524	-10.43%	0.0420	✓	0.86
2026-06-16	oos	0.588	0.575864	-2.06%	0.542	-7.82%	0.0199	✓	0.88
2026-06-15	oos	0.604	0.590054	-2.31%	0.562	-6.95%	0.0163	✓	0.91
2026-06-14	oos	0.6	0.585453	-2.42%	0.57	-5.00%	0.0077	✓	0.90
2026-06-13	oos	0.596	0.580158	-2.66%	0.583	-2.18%	0.0078	✓	0.91
2026-06-12	oos	0.611	0.588175	-3.74%	0.568	-7.04%	0.0340	✓	0.92
2026-06-11	oos	0.563	0.547327	-2.78%	0.569	+1.07%	0.0488	✗	0.92
2026-06-10	oos	0.519	0.506245	-2.46%	0.585	+12.72%	0.1033	✗	0.87
2026-06-09	oos	0.498	0.486859	-2.24%	0.588	+18.07%	0.1348	✗	0.87
2026-06-08	oos	0.495	0.483972	-2.23%	0.604	+22.02%	0.1771	✗	0.89
2026-06-07	oos	0.481	0.470726	-2.14%	0.6	+24.74%	0.2096	✗	0.89
2026-06-06	oos	0.46	0.451356	-1.88%	0.596	+29.57%	0.2288	✗	0.86
2026-06-05	oos	0.458	0.449656	-1.82%	0.611	+33.41%	0.2723	✗	0.85
2026-06-04	oos	0.494	0.482654	-2.30%	0.563	+13.97%	0.1571	✗	0.81
2026-06-03	oos	0.53	0.514754	-2.88%	0.519	-2.08%	0.0408	✗	0.79
2026-06-02	oos	0.487	0.476119	-2.23%	0.498	+2.26%	0.1154	✗	0.91
2026-06-01	oos	0.502	0.491801	-2.03%	0.495	-1.39%	0.1176	✗	0.90
2026-05-31	oos	0.503	0.493553	-1.88%	0.481	-4.37%	0.1145	✗	0.93
2026-05-30	oos	0.502	0.492302	-1.93%	0.46	-8.37%	0.1121	✗	0.93
2026-05-29	oos	0.483	0.473985	-1.87%	0.458	-5.18%	0.1370	✗	0.93
2026-05-28	oos	0.464	0.456618	-1.59%	0.494	+6.47%	0.2097	✗	0.93
2026-05-27	oos	0.465	0.459477	-1.19%	0.53	+13.98%	0.2815	✗	0.93
2026-05-26	oos	0.474	0.470221	-0.80%	0.487	+2.74%	0.1552	✗	0.93
2026-05-25	oos	0.492	0.489255	-0.56%	0.502	+2.03%	0.1046	✗	0.99
2026-05-24	oos	0.478	0.475184	-0.59%	0.503	+5.23%	0.1014	✗	0.98
2026-05-23	oos	0.493	0.488303	-0.95%	0.502	+1.83%	0.0625	✗	0.91
2026-05-22	oos	0.459	0.456001	-0.65%	0.483	+5.23%	0.0823	✗	0.89
2026-05-21	oos	0.466	0.465016	-0.21%	0.464	-0.43%	0.0458	✗	0.90
2026-05-20	oos	0.455	0.454585	-0.09%	0.465	+2.20%	0.0604	✗	0.91
2026-05-19	oos	0.476	0.474466	-0.32%	0.474	-0.42%	0.0103	✗	0.91
2026-05-18	oos	0.496	0.493322	-0.54%	0.492	-0.81%	0.0065	✓	0.97
2026-05-17	oos	0.483	0.481002	-0.41%	0.478	-1.04%	0.0008	✓	0.98
2026-05-16	oos	0.52	0.518248	-0.34%	0.493	-5.19%	0.0319	✓	0.96
2026-05-15	oos	0.541	0.540612	-0.07%	0.459	-15.16%	0.1190	✓	0.95
2026-05-14	oos	0.572	0.572841	+0.15%	0.466	-18.53%	0.1648	✗	0.94
2026-05-13	oos	0.564	0.562943	-0.19%	0.455	-19.33%	0.1911	✓	0.94
2026-05-12	oos	0.594	0.593571	-0.07%	0.476	-19.87%	0.1778	✓	0.91
2026-05-11	oos	0.599	0.599863	+0.14%	0.496	-17.20%	0.1348	✗	0.92
2026-05-10	oos	0.64	0.637051	-0.46%	0.483	-24.53%	0.2216	✓	0.92
2026-05-09	oos	0.573	0.571842	-0.20%	0.52	-9.25%	0.0668	✓	0.88
2026-05-08	oos	0.563	0.561863	-0.20%	0.541	-3.91%	0.0255	✓	0.87
2026-05-07	oos	0.561	0.560358	-0.11%	0.572	+1.96%	0.0092	✗	0.85
2026-05-06	oos	0.553	0.55671	+0.67%	0.564	+1.99%	0.0358	✓	0.85
2026-05-05	oos	0.544	0.549207	+0.96%	0.594	+9.19%	0.0822	✓	0.73
2026-05-04	oos	0.554	0.55817	+0.75%	0.599	+8.12%	0.0535	✓	0.73
2026-05-03	oos	0.546	0.548911	+0.53%	0.64	+17.22%	0.1206	✓	0.73
2026-05-02	oos	0.545	0.549583	+0.84%	0.573	+5.14%	0.0237	✓	0.73
2026-05-01	oos	0.53	0.534752	+0.90%	0.563	+6.23%	0.0335	✓	0.73
2026-04-30	oos	0.5	0.501443	+0.29%	0.561	+12.20%	0.0795	✓	0.69
2026-04-29	oos	0.534	0.535257	+0.24%	0.553	+3.56%	0.0179	✗	0.70
2026-04-28	oos	0.649	0.649789	+0.12%	0.544	-16.18%	0.2178	✗	0.69
2026-04-27	oos	0.691	0.691589	+0.09%	0.554	-19.83%	0.2434	✗	0.68
2026-04-26	oos	0.705	0.706894	+0.27%	0.546	-22.55%	0.2573	✗	0.68
2026-04-25	oos	0.698	0.697793	-0.03%	0.545	-21.92%	0.2562	✓	0.69
2026-04-24	oos	0.701	0.699871	-0.16%	0.53	-24.39%	0.2849	✓	0.69
2026-04-23	oos	0.687	0.689469	+0.36%	0.5	-27.22%	0.3036	✗	0.69
2026-04-22	oos	0.696	0.697508	+0.22%	0.534	-23.28%	0.2450	✗	0.69
2026-04-21	oos	0.705	0.701738	-0.46%	0.649	-7.94%	0.0778	✓	0.70
2026-04-20	oos	0.691	0.68788	-0.45%	0.691	+0.00%	0.0091	✓	0.69
2026-04-19	oos	0.673	0.668159	-0.72%	0.705	+4.75%	0.0096	✗	0.69
2026-04-18	oos	0.707	0.702935	-0.57%	0.698	-1.27%	0.0241	✓	0.69
2026-04-17	oos	0.715	0.71225	-0.38%	0.701	-1.96%	0.0192	✓	0.69
2026-04-16	oos	0.692	0.687642	-0.63%	0.687	-0.72%	0.0286	✓	0.68
2026-04-15	oos	0.7	0.69529	-0.67%	0.696	-0.57%	0.0290	✓	0.68
2026-04-14	oos	0.712	0.70532	-0.94%	0.705	-0.98%	0.0203	✓	0.69
2026-04-13	oos	0.703	0.697397	-0.80%	0.691	-1.71%	0.0225	✓	0.70
2026-04-12	oos	0.696	0.689096	-0.99%	0.673	-3.30%	0.0521	✓	0.67
2026-04-11	oos	0.723	0.716242	-0.93%	0.707	-2.21%	0.0367	✓	0.67
2026-04-10	oos	0.727	0.71997	-0.97%	0.715	-1.65%	0.0430	✓	0.66
2026-04-09	oos	0.729	0.721793	-0.99%	0.692	-5.08%	0.0725	✓	0.66
2026-04-08	oos	0.729	0.721648	-1.01%	0.7	-3.98%	0.0645	✓	0.66
2026-04-07	oos	0.749	0.739907	-1.21%	0.712	-4.94%	0.0590	✓	0.66
2026-04-06	oos	0.724	0.71369	-1.42%	0.703	-2.90%	0.0667	✓	0.66
2026-04-05	oos	0.719	0.71005	-1.24%	0.696	-3.20%	0.0365	✓	0.66
2026-04-04	oos	0.726	0.715836	-1.40%	0.723	-0.41%	0.0448	✓	0.66
2026-04-03	oos	0.722	0.711379	-1.47%	0.727	+0.69%	0.0353	✓	0.66
2026-04-02	oos	0.723	0.711246	-1.63%	0.729	+0.83%	0.0221	✓	0.66
2026-04-01	oos	0.738	0.725947	-1.63%	0.729	-1.22%	0.0241	✓	0.66
2026-03-31	oos	0.733	0.72104	-1.63%	0.749	+2.18%	0.0032	✓	0.66
2026-03-30	oos	0.721	0.709826	-1.55%	0.724	+0.42%	0.0008	✓	0.66
2026-03-29	oos	0.711	0.701699	-1.31%	0.719	+1.13%	0.0054	✓	0.66
2026-03-28	oos	0.721	0.712222	-1.22%	0.726	+0.69%	0.0096	✓	0.66
2026-03-27	oos	0.726	0.717712	-1.14%	0.722	-0.55%	0.0000	✓	0.66
2026-03-26	oos	0.75	0.742351	-1.02%	0.723	-3.60%	0.0085	✓	0.65
2026-03-25	oos	0.786	0.77878	-0.92%	0.738	-6.11%	0.0245	✓	0.64
2026-03-24	oos	0.793	0.785514	-0.94%	0.733	-7.57%	0.0478	✓	0.64
2026-03-23	oos	0.795	0.787588	-0.93%	0.721	-9.31%	0.0498	✓	0.64
2026-03-22	oos	0.758	0.750676	-0.97%	0.711	-6.20%	0.0367	✓	0.63
2026-03-21	oos	0.776	0.769174	-0.88%	0.721	-7.09%	0.0408	✓	0.62
2026-03-20	oos	0.796	0.790402	-0.70%	0.726	-8.79%	0.0473	✓	0.62
2026-03-19	oos	0.79	0.784716	-0.67%	0.75	-5.06%	0.0350	✓	0.62
2026-03-18	oos	0.824	0.818582	-0.66%	0.786	-4.61%	0.0411	✓	0.63
2026-03-17	oos	0.885	0.878586	-0.72%	0.793	-10.40%	0.0738	✓	0.61
2026-03-16	oos	0.873	0.867988	-0.57%	0.795	-8.93%	0.0539	✓	0.62
2026-03-15	oos	0.852	0.845614	-0.75%	0.758	-11.03%	0.0657	✓	0.62
2026-03-14	oos	0.838	0.830748	-0.87%	0.776	-7.40%	0.0477	✓	0.62
2026-03-13	oos	0.835	0.827508	-0.90%	0.796	-4.67%	0.0349	✓	0.62
2026-03-12	oos	0.831	0.823147	-0.95%	0.79	-4.93%	0.0357	✓	0.62
2026-03-11	oos	0.815	0.807111	-0.97%	0.824	+1.10%	0.0116	✗	0.62
2026-03-10	oos	0.787	0.780927	-0.77%	0.885	+12.45%	0.0910	✗	0.62
2026-03-09	oos	0.787	0.779797	-0.92%	0.873	+10.93%	0.0569	✗	0.62
2026-03-08	oos	0.774	0.76569	-1.07%	0.852	+10.08%	0.0446	✗	0.63
2026-03-07	oos	0.776	0.769263	-0.87%	0.838	+7.99%	0.0493	✗	0.63
2026-03-06	oos	0.779	0.773172	-0.75%	0.835	+7.19%	0.0513	✗	0.63
2026-03-05	oos	0.796	0.791364	-0.58%	0.831	+4.40%	0.0521	✗	0.63
2026-03-04	oos	0.804	0.800108	-0.48%	0.815	+1.37%	0.0408	✗	0.64
2026-03-03	oos	0.797	0.790839	-0.77%	0.787	-1.25%	0.0206	✓	0.67
2026-03-02	oos	0.8065	0.799919	-0.82%	0.787	-2.42%	0.0123	✓	0.68
2026-03-01	oos	0.777	0.770084	-0.89%	0.774	-0.39%	0.0030	✓	0.66
2026-02-28	oos	0.796	0.788823	-0.90%	0.776	-2.51%	0.0193	✓	0.67
2026-02-27	oos	0.807	0.79816	-1.10%	0.779	-3.47%	0.0471	✓	0.68
2026-02-26	oos	0.834	0.824045	-1.19%	0.796	-4.56%	0.0678	✓	0.67
2026-02-25	oos	0.832	0.82105	-1.32%	0.804	-3.37%	0.0660	✓	0.68
2026-02-24	oos	0.76	0.750478	-1.25%	0.797	+4.87%	0.0196	✗	0.63
2026-02-23	oos	0.769	0.757155	-1.54%	0.8065	+4.88%	0.0238	✗	0.62
2026-02-22	oos	0.756	0.747724	-1.09%	0.777	+2.78%	0.0565	✗	0.65
2026-02-21	oos	0.761	0.753598	-0.97%	0.796	+4.60%	0.0645	✗	0.66
2026-02-20	oos	0.734	0.7282	-0.79%	0.807	+9.95%	0.1238	✗	0.66
2026-02-19	oos	0.711	0.706021	-0.70%	0.834	+17.30%	0.1615	✗	0.66
2026-02-18	oos	0.714	0.70987	-0.58%	0.832	+16.53%	0.1433	✗	0.66
2026-02-17	oos	0.841	0.831476	-1.13%	0.76	-9.63%	0.0576	✓	0.63
2026-02-16	oos	0.864	0.853518	-1.21%	0.769	-11.00%	0.0648	✓	0.62
2026-02-15	oos	0.861	0.850347	-1.24%	0.756	-12.20%	0.1068	✓	0.62
2026-02-14	oos	0.878	0.865844	-1.38%	0.761	-13.33%	0.1126	✓	0.62
2026-02-13	oos	0.881	0.867678	-1.51%	0.734	-16.69%	0.1598	✓	0.62
2026-02-12	oos	0.85	0.837605	-1.46%	0.711	-16.35%	0.1710	✓	0.62
2026-02-11	oos	0.816	0.806307	-1.19%	0.714	-12.50%	0.1160	✓	0.61
2026-02-10	oos	0.846	0.835745	-1.21%	0.841	-0.59%	0.0182	✗	0.61
2026-02-09	oos	0.886	0.873216	-1.44%	0.864	-2.48%	0.0002	✓	0.60
2026-02-08	oos	0.892	0.87843	-1.52%	0.861	-3.48%	0.0071	✓	0.61
2026-02-07	oos	0.903	0.886877	-1.79%	0.878	-2.77%	0.0148	✓	0.61
2026-02-06	oos	0.879	0.863194	-1.80%	0.881	+0.23%	0.0357	✗	0.62
2026-02-05	oos	0.806	0.799928	-0.75%	0.85	+5.46%	0.0295	✗	0.59
2026-02-04	oos	0.867	0.853762	-1.53%	0.816	-5.88%	0.0150	✓	0.71
2026-02-03	oos	0.896	0.8814	-1.63%	0.846	-5.58%	0.0254	✗	0.70
2026-02-02	oos	0.915	0.899405	-1.70%	0.886	-3.17%	0.0682	✗	0.72
2026-02-01	oos	0.899	0.884204	-1.65%	0.892	-0.78%	0.0731	✗	0.72
2026-01-31	oos	0.924	0.907992	-1.73%	0.903	-2.27%	0.0913	✗	0.76
2026-01-30	oos	0.948	0.933531	-1.53%	0.879	-7.28%	0.0819	✗	0.81
2026-01-29	oos	0.935	0.922277	-1.36%	0.806	-13.80%	0.1062	✗	0.81
2026-01-28	oos	0.978	0.967033	-1.12%	0.867	-11.35%	0.0550	✗	0.82
2026-01-27	oos	0.974	0.963561	-1.07%	0.896	-8.01%	0.0606	✗	0.81
2026-01-26	oos	0.949	0.938725	-1.08%	0.915	-3.58%	0.0657	✗	0.79
2026-01-25	oos	0.912	0.901907	-1.11%	0.899	-1.43%	0.0888	✗	0.78
2026-01-24	oos	0.94	0.931586	-0.90%	0.924	-1.70%	0.0883	✗	0.77
2026-01-23	oos	0.93	0.923267	-0.72%	0.948	+1.94%	0.0756	✗	0.80
2026-01-22	oos	0.912	0.906552	-0.60%	0.935	+2.52%	0.0761	✗	0.79
2026-01-21	oos	0.911	0.90476	-0.69%	0.978	+7.35%	0.0796	✗	0.80
2026-01-20	oos	0.945	0.93773	-0.77%	0.974	+3.07%	0.0306	✗	0.81
2026-01-19	oos	0.983	0.978451	-0.46%	0.949	-3.46%	0.0080	✗	0.81
2026-01-18	oos	0.991	0.988098	-0.29%	0.912	-7.97%	0.0166	✓	0.81
2026-01-17	oos	1.006	1.0053	-0.07%	0.94	-6.56%	0.0143	✓	0.81
2026-01-16	oos	1.014	1.0135	-0.05%	0.93	-8.28%	0.0332	✓	0.81
2026-01-15	oos	0.987	0.98602	-0.10%	0.912	-7.60%	0.0243	✓	0.81
2026-01-14	oos	1.026	1.0249	-0.10%	0.911	-11.21%	0.0533	✓	0.79
2026-01-13	oos	0.951	0.949416	-0.17%	0.945	-0.63%	0.0539	✗	0.76
2026-01-12	oos	1.007	1.0005	-0.65%	0.983	-2.38%	0.0308	✓	0.88
2026-01-11	oos	1.007	1.0004	-0.66%	0.991	-1.59%	0.0360	✓	0.89
2026-01-10	oos	1.078	1.0696	-0.78%	1.006	-6.68%	0.1079	✓	0.91
2026-01-09	oos	1.078	1.0704	-0.70%	1.014	-5.94%	0.1035	✓	0.92
2026-01-08	oos	1.087	1.0802	-0.63%	0.987	-9.20%	0.1357	✓	0.93
2026-01-07	oos	1.116	1.1088	-0.64%	1.026	-8.06%	0.1499	✓	1.20
2026-01-06	oos	1.157	1.1505	-0.56%	0.951	-17.80%	0.2116	✓	1.20
2026-01-05	oos	1.155	1.1484	-0.57%	1.007	-12.81%	0.0965	✓	1.20
2026-01-04	oos	1.159	1.1504	-0.74%	1.007	-13.11%	0.1246	✓	1.24
2026-01-03	oos	1.167	1.1572	-0.84%	1.078	-7.63%	0.0678	✓	1.25
2026-01-02	oos	1.162	1.1513	-0.92%	1.078	-7.23%	0.0735	✓	1.25
2026-01-01	oos	1.149	1.1376	-0.99%	1.087	-5.40%	0.0772	✓	1.24
2025-12-31	oos	1.136	1.125	-0.97%	1.116	-1.76%	0.0597	✓	1.22
2025-12-30	oos	1.135	1.1252	-0.86%	1.157	+1.94%	0.0441	✓	1.23
2025-12-29	oos	1.119	1.1096	-0.84%	1.155	+3.22%	0.0531	✓	1.25
2025-12-28	oos	1.106	1.0989	-0.64%	1.159	+4.79%	0.0028	✓	1.25
2025-12-27	oos	1.141	1.133	-0.70%	1.167	+2.28%	0.0097	✓	1.25
2025-12-26	oos	1.203	1.193	-0.83%	1.162	-3.41%	0.0641	✓	1.26
2025-12-25	oos	1.233	1.2216	-0.92%	1.149	-6.81%	0.0838	✓	1.26
2025-12-24	oos	1.266	1.2536	-0.98%	1.136	-10.27%	0.0969	✓	1.27
2025-12-23	oos	1.3	1.2852	-1.14%	1.135	-12.69%	0.1385	✓	1.29
2025-12-22	oos	1.286	1.2722	-1.07%	1.119	-12.99%	0.1069	✓	1.30
2025-12-21	oos	1.274	1.2611	-1.01%	1.106	-13.19%	0.1200	✓	1.30
2025-12-20	oos	1.267	1.254	-1.02%	1.141	-9.94%	0.0866	✓	1.34
2025-12-19	oos	1.281	1.2658	-1.19%	1.203	-6.09%	0.0387	✓	1.34
2025-12-18	oos	1.218	1.2042	-1.14%	1.233	+1.23%	0.0028	✓	1.34
2025-12-17	oos	1.229	1.215	-1.14%	1.266	+3.01%	0.0195	✗	1.35
2025-12-16	oos	1.266	1.2517	-1.13%	1.3	+2.69%	0.0443	✗	1.34
2025-12-15	oos	1.24	1.2259	-1.14%	1.286	+3.71%	0.0151	✗	1.34
2025-12-14	oos	1.285	1.2709	-1.10%	1.274	-0.86%	0.0047	✓	1.34
2025-12-13	oos	1.321	1.3081	-0.98%	1.267	-4.09%	0.0029	✓	1.34
2025-12-12	oos	1.308	1.296	-0.92%	1.281	-2.06%	0.0212	✗	1.34
2025-12-11	oos	1.352	1.3402	-0.87%	1.218	-9.91%	0.0114	✗	1.34
2025-12-10	oos	1.392	1.3774	-1.05%	1.229	-11.71%	0.0255	✓	1.35
2025-12-09	oos	1.44	1.4223	-1.23%	1.266	-12.08%	0.0440	✓	1.35
2025-12-08	oos	1.394	1.3767	-1.24%	1.24	-11.05%	0.0398	✓	1.35
2025-12-07	oos	1.391	1.3734	-1.26%	1.285	-7.62%	0.0328	✓	1.35
2025-12-06	oos	1.416	1.3972	-1.32%	1.321	-6.71%	0.0712	✓	1.37
2025-12-05	oos	1.389	1.373	-1.15%	1.308	-5.83%	0.0627	✓	1.37
2025-12-04	oos	1.454	1.4371	-1.16%	1.352	-7.02%	0.0677	✓	1.37
2025-12-03	oos	1.482	1.4646	-1.18%	1.392	-6.07%	0.0299	✓	1.37
2025-12-02	oos	1.429	1.4128	-1.14%	1.44	+0.77%	0.0014	✓	1.37
2025-12-01	oos	1.393	1.3748	-1.30%	1.394	+0.07%	0.0577	✓	1.45
2025-11-30	oos	1.472	1.4531	-1.28%	1.391	-5.50%	0.0442	✓	1.46
2025-11-29	oos	1.4735	1.4551	-1.25%	1.416	-3.90%	0.0021	✓	1.45
2025-11-28	oos	1.492	1.4718	-1.35%	1.389	-6.90%	0.0328	✓	1.45
2025-11-27	oos	1.496	1.4747	-1.42%	1.454	-2.81%	0.0265	✓	1.46
2025-11-26	oos	1.484	1.4613	-1.53%	1.482	-0.13%	0.0330	✓	1.45
2025-11-25	oos	1.471	1.4467	-1.65%	1.429	-2.86%	0.0792	✓	1.50
2025-11-24	oos	1.466	1.4408	-1.72%	1.393	-4.98%	0.0004	✓	1.50
2025-11-23	oos	1.396	1.3745	-1.54%	1.472	+5.44%	0.0082	✓	1.50
2025-11-22	oos	1.377	1.3551	-1.59%	1.4735	+7.01%	0.0239	✓	1.54
2025-11-21	oos	1.369	1.3465	-1.64%	1.492	+8.98%	0.0008	✓	1.53
2025-11-20	oos	1.415	1.3899	-1.77%	1.496	+5.72%	0.0088	✓	1.53
2025-11-19	oos	1.452	1.4259	-1.80%	1.484	+2.20%	0.0582	✗	1.68
2025-11-18	oos	1.463	1.4364	-1.82%	1.471	+0.55%	0.1286	✗	1.69
2025-11-17	oos	1.43	1.4044	-1.79%	1.466	+2.52%	0.1155	✗	1.71
2025-11-16	oos	1.429	1.4035	-1.78%	1.396	-2.31%	0.1344	✗	1.71
2025-11-15	oos	1.451	1.425	-1.79%	1.377	-5.10%	0.1731	✗	1.72
2025-11-14	oos	1.403	1.3796	-1.67%	1.369	-2.42%	0.1725	✗	1.71
2025-11-13	oos	1.424	1.4029	-1.49%	1.415	-0.63%	0.2659	✗	1.83
2025-11-12	oos	1.468	1.4454	-1.54%	1.452	-1.09%	0.1973	✗	1.83
2025-11-11	oos	1.468	1.4471	-1.42%	1.463	-0.34%	0.2015	✗	1.85
2025-11-10	oos	1.519	1.4963	-1.50%	1.43	-5.86%	0.2132	✗	1.84
2025-11-09	oos	1.509	1.4855	-1.56%	1.429	-5.30%	0.1586	✗	1.87
2025-11-08	oos	1.483	1.4589	-1.63%	1.451	-2.16%	0.1232	✗	1.89
2025-11-07	oos	1.522	1.4913	-2.01%	1.403	-7.82%	0.1019	✗	1.83
2025-11-06	oos	1.378	1.3584	-1.43%	1.424	+3.34%	0.0771	✗	1.79
2025-11-05	oos	1.397	1.3784	-1.33%	1.468	+5.08%	0.1023	✗	1.81
2025-11-04	oos	1.345	1.3279	-1.27%	1.468	+9.14%	0.0727	✗	1.83
2025-11-03	oos	1.391	1.3768	-1.02%	1.519	+9.20%	0.1088	✗	1.92
2025-11-02	oos	1.527	1.5086	-1.20%	1.509	-1.18%	0.1031	✗	1.89
2025-11-01	oos	1.5255	1.5069	-1.22%	1.483	-2.79%	0.1235	✗	1.91
2025-10-31	oos	1.496	1.4778	-1.22%	1.522	+1.74%	0.1421	✗	1.91
2025-10-30	oos	1.455	1.4377	-1.19%	1.378	-5.29%	0.0855	✗	1.91
2025-10-29	oos	1.455	1.4384	-1.14%	1.397	-3.99%	0.0827	✗	1.94
2025-10-28	oos	1.457	1.4422	-1.02%	1.345	-7.69%	0.1427	✗	1.99
2025-10-27	oos	1.471	1.4535	-1.19%	1.391	-5.44%	0.0921	✗	1.99
2025-10-26	oos	1.496	1.4752	-1.39%	1.527	+2.07%	0.1055	✗	1.99
2025-10-25	oos	1.432	1.4122	-1.38%	1.5255	+6.53%	0.1063	✗	2.00
2025-10-24	oos	1.428	1.4071	-1.47%	1.496	+4.76%	0.0885	✗	2.02
2025-10-23	oos	1.4	1.3797	-1.45%	1.455	+3.93%	0.0865	✗	2.02
2025-10-22	oos	1.389	1.3676	-1.54%	1.455	+4.75%	0.0160	✗	2.04
2025-10-21	oos	1.386	1.3658	-1.46%	1.457	+5.12%	0.0195	✓	2.05
2025-10-20	oos	1.408	1.3862	-1.55%	1.471	+4.47%	0.0058	✓	2.08
2025-10-19	oos	1.399	1.3761	-1.63%	1.496	+6.93%	0.0245	✓	2.05
2025-10-18	oos	1.375	1.3542	-1.51%	1.432	+4.15%	0.0279	✓	2.06
2025-10-17	oos	1.356	1.3349	-1.55%	1.428	+5.31%	0.0191	✓	2.05
2025-10-16	oos	1.341	1.323	-1.34%	1.4	+4.40%	0.0201	✗	2.08
2025-10-15	oos	1.37	1.3521	-1.31%	1.389	+1.39%	0.0891	✗	2.11
2025-10-14	oos	1.399	1.3813	-1.26%	1.386	-0.93%	0.0938	✗	2.13
2025-10-13	oos	1.44	1.4214	-1.29%	1.408	-2.22%	0.0796	✗	2.14
2025-10-12	oos	1.342	1.3299	-0.90%	1.399	+4.25%	0.1697	✗	2.08
2025-10-11	oos	1.288	1.2784	-0.75%	1.375	+6.75%	0.1423	✗	2.12
2025-10-10	oos	1.341	1.3326	-0.62%	1.356	+1.12%	0.1428	✗	2.11
2025-10-09	oos	1.685	1.6754	-0.57%	1.341	-20.42%	0.0033	✓	1.86
2025-10-08	oos	1.772	1.7593	-0.71%	1.37	-22.69%	0.0501	✓	1.87
2025-10-07	oos	1.751	1.7354	-0.89%	1.399	-20.10%	0.0851	✓	1.84
2025-10-06	oos	1.868	1.85	-0.96%	1.44	-22.91%	0.1093	✓	1.79
2025-10-05	oos	1.818	1.8006	-0.96%	1.342	-26.18%	0.1670	✓	1.79
2025-10-04	oos	1.855	1.835	-1.08%	1.288	-30.57%	0.1728	✓	1.81
2025-10-03	oos	1.903	1.8796	-1.23%	1.341	-29.53%	0.1942	✓	1.81
2025-10-02	oos	1.983	1.9497	-1.68%	1.685	-15.03%	0.1626	✓	1.85
2025-10-01	oos	1.92	1.8887	-1.63%	1.772	-7.71%	0.1354	✓	1.85
2025-09-30	oos	1.804	1.7749	-1.61%	1.751	-2.94%	0.1298	✓	1.87
2025-09-29	oos	1.881	1.845	-1.91%	1.868	-0.69%	0.1385	✓	1.74
2025-09-28	oos	1.84	1.8066	-1.81%	1.818	-1.20%	0.1652	✓	1.78
2025-09-27	oos	1.806	1.7726	-1.85%	1.855	+2.71%	0.1587	✓	1.85
2025-09-26	oos	1.787	1.7555	-1.76%	1.903	+6.49%	0.1229	✓	1.87
2025-09-25	oos	1.729	1.7041	-1.44%	1.983	+14.69%	0.0373	✓	1.87
2025-09-24	oos	1.87	1.8434	-1.42%	1.92	+2.67%	0.0444	✓	1.86
2025-09-23	oos	1.83	1.8075	-1.23%	1.804	-1.42%	0.0358	✓	1.87
2025-09-22	oos	1.925	1.8998	-1.31%	1.881	-2.29%	0.0383	✓	1.97
2025-09-21	oos	2.176	2.1388	-1.71%	1.84	-15.44%	0.1006	✓	1.84
2025-09-20	oos	2.156	2.1225	-1.55%	1.806	-16.23%	0.0816	✓	1.48
2025-09-19	oos	2.134	2.1036	-1.42%	1.787	-16.26%	0.0961	✓	1.26
2025-09-18	oos	2.295	2.2572	-1.65%	1.729	-24.66%	0.1810	✓	1.20

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.