GNS

Syli · · beta_5y

token id: #462
symbol: GNS
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-02-17
predictions: 4,002

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

51.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0239

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0036

actual -0.0023

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.437	0.434561	-0.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.12
2026-10-21	oos	0.499	0.494491	-0.90%	0.437	-0.57%	0.0008	✓	1.12
2026-10-20	oos	0.454	0.448246	-1.27%	0.499	+9.91%	0.1106	✗	1.13
2026-10-19	oos	0.408	0.406241	-0.43%	0.454	+11.27%	0.0965	✗	1.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.4145	0.413028	-0.36%	0.408	-1.57%	0.0100	✓	1.09
2026-10-17	oos	0.453	0.450179	-0.62%	0.4145	-8.50%	0.0909	✓	1.09
2026-10-16	oos	0.467	0.464334	-0.57%	0.453	-3.00%	0.0231	✓	1.09
2026-10-15	oos	0.503	0.498428	-0.91%	0.467	-7.16%	0.0570	✓	1.06
2026-10-14	oos	0.535	0.526915	-1.51%	0.503	-5.98%	0.0537	✓	1.07
2026-10-13	oos	0.7175	0.68745	-4.19%	0.535	-25.44%	0.2338	✓	0.91
2026-10-12	oos	0.369	0.367903	-0.30%	0.7175	+94.44%	0.6573	✗	0.65
2026-10-11	oos	0.3875	0.386487	-0.26%	0.369	-4.77%	0.0309	✓	0.66
2026-10-10	oos	0.3985	0.397229	-0.32%	0.3875	-2.76%	0.0309	✓	0.66
2026-10-09	oos	0.3935	0.392307	-0.30%	0.3985	+1.27%	0.0127	✗	0.66
2026-10-08	oos	0.3835	0.382441	-0.28%	0.3935	+2.61%	0.0217	✗	0.65
2026-10-07	oos	0.3815	0.380686	-0.21%	0.3835	+0.52%	0.0203	✗	0.67
2026-10-06	oos	0.403	0.401846	-0.29%	0.3815	-5.33%	0.0346	✓	0.65
2026-10-05	oos	0.4235	0.421905	-0.38%	0.403	-4.84%	0.0443	✓	0.64
2026-10-04	oos	0.426	0.424425	-0.37%	0.4235	-0.59%	0.0035	✓	0.64
2026-10-03	oos	0.421	0.419582	-0.34%	0.426	+1.19%	0.0020	✓	0.64
2026-10-02	oos	0.432	0.430356	-0.38%	0.421	-2.55%	0.0238	✓	0.64
2026-10-01	oos	0.461	0.458819	-0.47%	0.432	-6.29%	0.0577	✓	0.63
2026-09-30	oos	0.467	0.46394	-0.66%	0.461	-1.28%	0.0161	✓	0.64
2026-09-29	oos	0.483	0.480554	-0.51%	0.467	-3.31%	0.0280	✓	0.65
2026-09-28	oos	0.4795	0.477118	-0.50%	0.483	+0.73%	0.0108	✗	0.68
2026-09-27	oos	0.507	0.502781	-0.83%	0.4795	-5.42%	0.0405	✓	0.58
2026-09-26	oos	0.4785	0.475875	-0.55%	0.507	+5.96%	0.0630	✗	0.59
2026-09-25	oos	0.486	0.482264	-0.77%	0.4785	-1.54%	0.0101	✓	0.59
2026-09-24	oos	0.472	0.46932	-0.57%	0.486	+2.97%	0.0370	✗	0.60
2026-09-23	oos	0.464	0.461509	-0.54%	0.472	+1.72%	0.0224	✗	0.60
2026-09-22	oos	0.4795	0.476252	-0.68%	0.464	-3.23%	0.0135	✓	0.59
2026-09-21	oos	0.45	0.447345	-0.59%	0.4795	+6.56%	0.0722	✗	0.61
2026-09-20	oos	0.4425	0.4396	-0.66%	0.45	+1.69%	0.0195	✓	0.66
2026-09-19	oos	0.436	0.433412	-0.59%	0.4425	+1.49%	0.0214	✗	0.66
2026-09-18	oos	0.4365	0.434164	-0.54%	0.436	-0.11%	0.0013	✓	0.66
2026-09-17	oos	0.416	0.414654	-0.32%	0.4365	+4.93%	0.0142	✗	0.64
2026-09-16	oos	0.407	0.406233	-0.19%	0.416	+2.21%	0.0220	✗	0.64
2026-09-15	oos	0.4075	0.40733	-0.04%	0.407	-0.12%	0.0056	✓	0.65
2026-09-14	oos	0.4255	0.425189	-0.07%	0.4075	-4.23%	0.0215	✓	0.62
2026-09-13	oos	0.4295	0.42953	+0.01%	0.4255	-0.93%	0.0207	✗	0.64
2026-09-12	oos	0.4305	0.431079	+0.13%	0.4295	-0.23%	0.0002	✓	0.64
2026-09-11	oos	0.4425	0.443308	+0.18%	0.4305	-2.71%	0.0298	✗	0.64
2026-09-10	oos	0.44	0.441456	+0.33%	0.4425	+0.57%	0.0031	✓	0.63
2026-09-09	oos	0.4695	0.471146	+0.35%	0.44	-6.28%	0.0552	✗	0.58
2026-09-08	oos	0.486	0.487841	+0.38%	0.4695	-3.40%	0.0370	✗	0.64
2026-09-07	oos	0.487	0.489269	+0.47%	0.486	-0.21%	0.0015	✓	0.63
2026-09-06	oos	0.488	0.490717	+0.56%	0.487	-0.20%	0.0021	✓	0.62
2026-09-05	oos	0.4775	0.480577	+0.64%	0.488	+2.20%	0.0114	✓	0.61
2026-09-04	oos	0.4745	0.477514	+0.64%	0.4775	+0.63%	0.0013	✓	0.64
2026-09-03	oos	0.521	0.523833	+0.54%	0.4745	-8.93%	0.0874	✗	0.58
2026-09-02	oos	0.512	0.514705	+0.53%	0.521	+1.76%	0.0211	✗	0.67
2026-09-01	oos	0.519	0.521449	+0.47%	0.512	-1.35%	0.0175	✗	0.68
2026-08-31	oos	0.521	0.523169	+0.42%	0.519	-0.38%	0.0002	✓	0.55
2026-08-30	oos	0.507	0.508661	+0.33%	0.521	+2.76%	0.0179	✓	0.53
2026-08-29	oos	0.523	0.52451	+0.29%	0.507	-3.06%	0.0302	✗	0.51
2026-08-28	oos	0.523	0.524428	+0.27%	0.523	+0.00%	0.0053	✗	0.51
2026-08-27	oos	0.534	0.535355	+0.25%	0.523	-2.06%	0.0076	✗	0.51
2026-08-26	oos	0.531	0.531865	+0.16%	0.534	+0.56%	0.0040	✗	0.51
2026-08-25	oos	0.536	0.536317	+0.06%	0.531	-0.93%	0.0132	✗	0.51
2026-08-24	oos	0.541	0.54098	-0.00%	0.536	-0.92%	0.0063	✓	0.52
2026-08-23	oos	0.554	0.553095	-0.16%	0.541	-2.35%	0.0308	✓	0.54
2026-08-22	oos	0.546	0.54452	-0.27%	0.554	+1.47%	0.0125	✗	0.54
2026-08-21	oos	0.537	0.535881	-0.21%	0.546	+1.68%	0.0277	✗	0.55
2026-08-20	oos	0.529	0.527338	-0.31%	0.537	+1.51%	0.0258	✓	0.63
2026-08-19	oos	0.519	0.517159	-0.35%	0.529	+1.93%	0.0113	✓	0.65
2026-08-18	oos	0.502	0.500484	-0.30%	0.519	+3.39%	0.0110	✓	0.69
2026-08-17	oos	0.507	0.505381	-0.32%	0.502	-0.99%	0.0088	✓	0.67
2026-08-16	oos	0.506	0.504159	-0.36%	0.507	+0.20%	0.0120	✓	0.68
2026-08-15	oos	0.518	0.516181	-0.35%	0.506	-2.32%	0.0180	✓	0.68
2026-08-14	oos	0.524	0.522046	-0.37%	0.518	-1.15%	0.0083	✓	0.70
2026-08-13	oos	0.526	0.524059	-0.37%	0.524	-0.38%	0.0049	✗	0.71
2026-08-12	oos	0.524	0.522005	-0.38%	0.526	+0.38%	0.0075	✗	0.74
2026-08-11	oos	0.53	0.527979	-0.38%	0.524	-1.13%	0.0062	✓	0.74
2026-08-10	oos	0.531	0.528796	-0.42%	0.53	-0.19%	0.0068	✗	0.76
2026-08-09	oos	0.529	0.526543	-0.46%	0.531	+0.38%	0.0195	✗	0.76
2026-08-08	oos	0.515	0.513015	-0.39%	0.529	+2.72%	0.0314	✗	0.77
2026-08-07	oos	0.504	0.501818	-0.43%	0.515	+2.18%	0.0257	✗	0.83
2026-08-06	oos	0.496	0.493984	-0.41%	0.504	+1.61%	0.0120	✗	0.83
2026-08-05	oos	0.495	0.493241	-0.36%	0.496	+0.20%	0.0099	✗	0.83
2026-08-04	oos	0.497	0.495257	-0.35%	0.495	-0.40%	0.0076	✓	0.82
2026-08-03	oos	0.498	0.496087	-0.38%	0.497	-0.20%	0.0058	✓	0.83
2026-08-02	oos	0.499	0.497063	-0.39%	0.498	-0.20%	0.0023	✓	0.82
2026-08-01	oos	0.489	0.487271	-0.35%	0.499	+2.04%	0.0143	✗	0.81
2026-07-31	oos	0.491	0.489169	-0.37%	0.489	-0.41%	0.0005	✓	0.81
2026-07-30	oos	0.493	0.491201	-0.36%	0.491	-0.41%	0.0244	✗	0.84
2026-07-29	oos	0.487	0.485509	-0.31%	0.493	+1.23%	0.0042	✗	0.87
2026-07-28	oos	0.496	0.494469	-0.31%	0.487	-1.81%	0.0159	✓	0.85
2026-07-27	oos	0.498	0.496533	-0.29%	0.496	-0.40%	0.0032	✓	0.88
2026-07-26	oos	0.533	0.531168	-0.34%	0.498	-6.57%	0.0424	✓	0.87
2026-07-25	oos	0.538	0.536109	-0.35%	0.533	-0.93%	0.0201	✓	0.88
2026-07-24	oos	0.533	0.53126	-0.33%	0.538	+0.94%	0.0097	✗	0.88
2026-07-23	oos	0.55	0.548227	-0.32%	0.533	-3.09%	0.0151	✓	0.87
2026-07-22	oos	0.559	0.557298	-0.30%	0.55	-1.61%	0.0004	✓	0.86
2026-07-21	oos	0.559	0.557317	-0.30%	0.559	+0.00%	0.0086	✗	0.86
2026-07-20	oos	0.561	0.558902	-0.37%	0.559	-0.36%	0.0166	✓	0.85
2026-07-19	oos	0.602	0.599696	-0.38%	0.561	-6.81%	0.0739	✓	0.88
2026-07-18	oos	0.607	0.604664	-0.38%	0.602	-0.82%	0.0029	✓	0.88
2026-07-17	oos	0.614	0.611447	-0.42%	0.607	-1.14%	0.0201	✓	0.91
2026-07-16	oos	0.618	0.61531	-0.44%	0.614	-0.65%	0.0039	✓	0.91
2026-07-15	oos	0.636	0.632864	-0.49%	0.618	-2.83%	0.0103	✓	0.91
2026-07-14	oos	0.628	0.624644	-0.53%	0.636	+1.27%	0.0218	✗	0.91
2026-07-13	oos	0.598	0.595216	-0.47%	0.628	+5.02%	0.0156	✗	0.89
2026-07-12	oos	0.61	0.607205	-0.46%	0.598	-1.97%	0.0055	✗	0.89
2026-07-11	oos	0.614	0.611144	-0.47%	0.61	-0.65%	0.0014	✓	0.83
2026-07-10	oos	0.615	0.61216	-0.46%	0.614	-0.16%	0.0077	✗	0.84
2026-07-09	oos	0.606	0.603295	-0.45%	0.615	+1.49%	0.0066	✗	0.84
2026-07-08	oos	0.606	0.603297	-0.45%	0.606	+0.00%	0.0080	✓	0.84
2026-07-07	oos	0.615	0.612332	-0.43%	0.606	-1.46%	0.0040	✓	0.83
2026-07-06	oos	0.629	0.626092	-0.46%	0.615	-2.23%	0.0090	✓	0.84
2026-07-05	oos	0.636	0.632896	-0.49%	0.629	-1.10%	0.0117	✓	0.84
2026-07-04	oos	0.641	0.637353	-0.57%	0.636	-0.78%	0.0087	✓	0.84
2026-07-03	oos	0.635	0.631492	-0.55%	0.641	+0.94%	0.0076	✗	0.82
2026-07-02	oos	0.632	0.627957	-0.64%	0.635	+0.47%	0.0026	✓	0.82
2026-07-01	oos	0.605	0.599777	-0.86%	0.632	+4.46%	0.0322	✗	0.80
2026-06-30	oos	0.568	0.562794	-0.92%	0.605	+6.51%	0.0536	✗	0.77
2026-06-29	oos	0.5255	0.523072	-0.46%	0.568	+8.09%	0.1059	✗	0.85
2026-06-28	oos	0.511	0.508801	-0.43%	0.5255	+2.84%	0.0226	✗	0.84
2026-06-27	oos	0.518	0.515629	-0.46%	0.511	-1.35%	0.0025	✓	0.85
2026-06-26	oos	0.518	0.515593	-0.46%	0.518	+0.00%	0.0056	✗	0.85
2026-06-25	oos	0.515	0.512722	-0.44%	0.518	+0.58%	0.0060	✗	0.85
2026-06-24	oos	0.524	0.521718	-0.44%	0.515	-1.72%	0.0050	✗	0.85
2026-06-23	oos	0.542	0.53969	-0.43%	0.524	-3.32%	0.0065	✓	0.85
2026-06-22	oos	0.562	0.559483	-0.45%	0.542	-3.56%	0.0144	✓	0.84
2026-06-21	oos	0.57	0.567266	-0.48%	0.562	-1.40%	0.0189	✓	0.85
2026-06-20	oos	0.583	0.57992	-0.53%	0.57	-2.23%	0.0039	✓	0.86
2026-06-19	oos	0.568	0.565326	-0.47%	0.583	+2.64%	0.0207	✗	0.86
2026-06-18	oos	0.569	0.566308	-0.47%	0.568	-0.18%	0.0052	✓	0.86
2026-06-17	oos	0.585	0.582146	-0.49%	0.569	-2.74%	0.0017	✓	0.86
2026-06-16	oos	0.588	0.585165	-0.48%	0.585	-0.51%	0.0155	✗	0.88
2026-06-15	oos	0.604	0.600737	-0.54%	0.588	-2.65%	0.0123	✓	0.91
2026-06-14	oos	0.6	0.596672	-0.55%	0.604	+0.67%	0.0044	✓	0.90
2026-06-13	oos	0.596	0.592349	-0.61%	0.6	+0.67%	0.0049	✓	0.91
2026-06-12	oos	0.611	0.604384	-1.08%	0.596	-2.45%	0.0268	✓	0.92
2026-06-11	oos	0.563	0.559123	-0.69%	0.611	+8.53%	0.0891	✗	0.92
2026-06-10	oos	0.519	0.515927	-0.59%	0.563	+8.48%	0.0580	✗	0.87
2026-06-09	oos	0.498	0.495361	-0.53%	0.519	+4.22%	0.0500	✗	0.87
2026-06-08	oos	0.495	0.492429	-0.52%	0.498	+0.61%	0.0310	✗	0.89
2026-06-07	oos	0.481	0.478655	-0.49%	0.495	+2.91%	0.0369	✗	0.89
2026-06-06	oos	0.46	0.458115	-0.41%	0.481	+4.57%	0.0147	✗	0.86
2026-06-05	oos	0.458	0.456226	-0.39%	0.46	+0.44%	0.0108	✗	0.85
2026-06-04	oos	0.494	0.491504	-0.51%	0.458	-7.29%	0.0347	✓	0.81
2026-06-03	oos	0.53	0.526224	-0.71%	0.494	-6.79%	0.0603	✓	0.79
2026-06-02	oos	0.487	0.484504	-0.51%	0.53	+8.83%	0.1262	✗	0.91
2026-06-01	oos	0.502	0.499582	-0.48%	0.487	-2.99%	0.0355	✗	0.90
2026-05-31	oos	0.503	0.500602	-0.48%	0.502	-0.20%	0.0319	✗	0.93
2026-05-30	oos	0.502	0.499314	-0.53%	0.503	+0.20%	0.0098	✗	0.93
2026-05-29	oos	0.483	0.480606	-0.50%	0.502	+3.93%	0.0384	✗	0.93
2026-05-28	oos	0.464	0.462186	-0.39%	0.483	+4.09%	0.0459	✗	0.93
2026-05-27	oos	0.465	0.46345	-0.33%	0.464	-0.22%	0.0113	✗	0.93
2026-05-26	oos	0.474	0.472504	-0.32%	0.465	-1.90%	0.0027	✓	0.93
2026-05-25	oos	0.492	0.490056	-0.40%	0.474	-3.66%	0.0150	✓	0.99
2026-05-24	oos	0.478	0.476035	-0.41%	0.492	+2.93%	0.0295	✗	0.98
2026-05-23	oos	0.493	0.490167	-0.57%	0.478	-3.04%	0.0290	✓	0.91
2026-05-22	oos	0.459	0.457708	-0.28%	0.493	+7.41%	0.0602	✗	0.89
2026-05-21	oos	0.466	0.464809	-0.26%	0.459	-1.50%	0.0121	✗	0.90
2026-05-20	oos	0.455	0.454103	-0.20%	0.466	+2.42%	0.0250	✗	0.91
2026-05-19	oos	0.476	0.47486	-0.24%	0.455	-4.41%	0.0511	✓	0.91
2026-05-18	oos	0.496	0.494409	-0.32%	0.476	-4.03%	0.0357	✓	0.97
2026-05-17	oos	0.483	0.481667	-0.28%	0.496	+2.69%	0.0352	✗	0.98
2026-05-16	oos	0.52	0.518712	-0.25%	0.483	-7.12%	0.0627	✓	0.96
2026-05-15	oos	0.541	0.539714	-0.24%	0.52	-3.88%	0.0256	✓	0.95
2026-05-14	oos	0.572	0.570432	-0.27%	0.541	-5.42%	0.0294	✓	0.94
2026-05-13	oos	0.564	0.562558	-0.26%	0.572	+1.42%	0.0044	✓	0.94
2026-05-12	oos	0.594	0.592203	-0.30%	0.564	-5.05%	0.0352	✓	0.91
2026-05-11	oos	0.599	0.597039	-0.33%	0.594	-0.83%	0.0089	✗	0.92
2026-05-10	oos	0.64	0.635888	-0.64%	0.599	-6.41%	0.0545	✓	0.92
2026-05-09	oos	0.573	0.570861	-0.37%	0.64	+11.69%	0.0977	✗	0.88
2026-05-08	oos	0.563	0.560983	-0.36%	0.573	+1.78%	0.0161	✗	0.87
2026-05-07	oos	0.561	0.559011	-0.35%	0.563	+0.36%	0.0052	✗	0.85
2026-05-06	oos	0.553	0.551608	-0.25%	0.561	+1.45%	0.0320	✗	0.85
2026-05-05	oos	0.544	0.542918	-0.20%	0.553	+1.65%	0.0136	✗	0.73
2026-05-04	oos	0.554	0.552627	-0.25%	0.544	-1.81%	0.0254	✓	0.73
2026-05-03	oos	0.546	0.544811	-0.22%	0.554	+1.47%	0.0049	✗	0.73
2026-05-02	oos	0.545	0.544162	-0.15%	0.546	+0.18%	0.0045	✗	0.73
2026-05-01	oos	0.53	0.529455	-0.10%	0.545	+2.83%	0.0248	✗	0.73
2026-04-30	oos	0.5	0.499677	-0.06%	0.53	+6.00%	0.0416	✗	0.69
2026-04-29	oos	0.534	0.53341	-0.11%	0.5	-6.37%	0.0698	✓	0.70
2026-04-28	oos	0.649	0.647491	-0.23%	0.534	-17.72%	0.1876	✓	0.69
2026-04-27	oos	0.691	0.68908	-0.28%	0.649	-6.08%	0.0507	✓	0.68
2026-04-26	oos	0.705	0.703013	-0.28%	0.691	-1.99%	0.0058	✓	0.68
2026-04-25	oos	0.698	0.695835	-0.31%	0.705	+1.00%	0.0041	✗	0.69
2026-04-24	oos	0.701	0.698476	-0.36%	0.698	-0.43%	0.0024	✓	0.69
2026-04-23	oos	0.687	0.685119	-0.27%	0.701	+2.04%	0.0302	✗	0.69
2026-04-22	oos	0.696	0.693791	-0.32%	0.687	-1.29%	0.0105	✓	0.69
2026-04-21	oos	0.705	0.702223	-0.39%	0.696	-1.28%	0.0258	✓	0.70
2026-04-20	oos	0.691	0.688629	-0.34%	0.705	+2.03%	0.0191	✗	0.69
2026-04-19	oos	0.673	0.671005	-0.30%	0.691	+2.67%	0.0105	✗	0.69
2026-04-18	oos	0.707	0.704092	-0.41%	0.673	-4.81%	0.0276	✓	0.69
2026-04-17	oos	0.715	0.712039	-0.41%	0.707	-1.12%	0.0051	✗	0.69
2026-04-16	oos	0.692	0.68945	-0.37%	0.715	+3.32%	0.0191	✗	0.68
2026-04-15	oos	0.7	0.697691	-0.33%	0.692	-1.14%	0.0112	✓	0.68
2026-04-14	oos	0.712	0.709191	-0.39%	0.7	-1.69%	0.0191	✓	0.69
2026-04-13	oos	0.703	0.700622	-0.34%	0.712	+1.28%	0.0186	✗	0.70
2026-04-12	oos	0.696	0.693953	-0.29%	0.703	+1.01%	0.0211	✓	0.67
2026-04-11	oos	0.723	0.720693	-0.32%	0.696	-3.73%	0.0133	✓	0.67
2026-04-10	oos	0.727	0.724481	-0.35%	0.723	-0.55%	0.0028	✓	0.66
2026-04-09	oos	0.729	0.726647	-0.32%	0.727	-0.27%	0.0105	✓	0.66
2026-04-08	oos	0.729	0.726614	-0.33%	0.729	+0.00%	0.0033	✓	0.66
2026-04-07	oos	0.749	0.745913	-0.41%	0.729	-2.67%	0.0153	✓	0.66
2026-04-06	oos	0.724	0.720802	-0.44%	0.749	+3.45%	0.0097	✗	0.66
2026-04-05	oos	0.719	0.716541	-0.34%	0.724	+0.70%	0.0118	✗	0.66
2026-04-04	oos	0.726	0.723436	-0.35%	0.719	-0.96%	0.0228	✓	0.66
2026-04-03	oos	0.722	0.719397	-0.36%	0.726	+0.55%	0.0059	✗	0.66
2026-04-02	oos	0.723	0.720034	-0.41%	0.722	-0.14%	0.0021	✓	0.66
2026-04-01	oos	0.738	0.734999	-0.41%	0.723	-2.03%	0.0045	✓	0.66
2026-03-31	oos	0.733	0.729932	-0.42%	0.738	+0.68%	0.0121	✗	0.66
2026-03-30	oos	0.721	0.718106	-0.40%	0.733	+1.66%	0.0060	✗	0.66
2026-03-29	oos	0.711	0.708631	-0.33%	0.721	+1.41%	0.0095	✗	0.66
2026-03-28	oos	0.721	0.718654	-0.33%	0.711	-1.39%	0.0071	✓	0.66
2026-03-27	oos	0.726	0.723676	-0.32%	0.721	-0.69%	0.0034	✓	0.66
2026-03-26	oos	0.75	0.747557	-0.33%	0.726	-3.20%	0.0061	✓	0.65
2026-03-25	oos	0.786	0.783304	-0.34%	0.75	-4.58%	0.0203	✓	0.64
2026-03-24	oos	0.793	0.790128	-0.36%	0.786	-0.88%	0.0122	✓	0.64
2026-03-23	oos	0.795	0.791792	-0.40%	0.793	-0.25%	0.0046	✗	0.64
2026-03-22	oos	0.758	0.755349	-0.35%	0.795	+4.88%	0.0239	✗	0.63
2026-03-21	oos	0.776	0.773481	-0.32%	0.758	-2.32%	0.0105	✓	0.62
2026-03-20	oos	0.796	0.793608	-0.30%	0.776	-2.51%	0.0083	✓	0.62
2026-03-19	oos	0.79	0.787838	-0.27%	0.796	+0.76%	0.0052	✗	0.62
2026-03-18	oos	0.824	0.821635	-0.29%	0.79	-4.13%	0.0274	✓	0.63
2026-03-17	oos	0.885	0.881887	-0.35%	0.824	-6.89%	0.0453	✓	0.61
2026-03-16	oos	0.873	0.870025	-0.34%	0.885	+1.37%	0.0250	✗	0.62
2026-03-15	oos	0.852	0.849031	-0.35%	0.873	+2.46%	0.0107	✗	0.62
2026-03-14	oos	0.838	0.83512	-0.34%	0.852	+1.67%	0.0063	✗	0.62
2026-03-13	oos	0.835	0.832138	-0.34%	0.838	+0.36%	0.0045	✗	0.62
2026-03-12	oos	0.831	0.828013	-0.36%	0.835	+0.48%	0.0048	✗	0.62
2026-03-11	oos	0.815	0.811986	-0.37%	0.831	+1.96%	0.0203	✗	0.62
2026-03-10	oos	0.787	0.784569	-0.31%	0.815	+3.56%	0.0359	✗	0.62
2026-03-09	oos	0.787	0.784348	-0.34%	0.787	+0.00%	0.0103	✓	0.62
2026-03-08	oos	0.774	0.7712	-0.36%	0.787	+1.68%	0.0028	✓	0.63
2026-03-07	oos	0.776	0.77358	-0.31%	0.774	-0.26%	0.0128	✗	0.63
2026-03-06	oos	0.779	0.776793	-0.28%	0.776	-0.39%	0.0069	✗	0.63
2026-03-05	oos	0.796	0.79387	-0.27%	0.779	-2.14%	0.0064	✗	0.63
2026-03-04	oos	0.804	0.801856	-0.27%	0.796	-1.00%	0.0088	✗	0.64
2026-03-03	oos	0.797	0.794634	-0.30%	0.804	+0.88%	0.0295	✓	0.67
2026-03-02	oos	0.8065	0.803977	-0.31%	0.797	-1.18%	0.0038	✓	0.68
2026-03-01	oos	0.777	0.774706	-0.30%	0.8065	+3.80%	0.0100	✗	0.66
2026-02-28	oos	0.796	0.793574	-0.30%	0.777	-2.39%	0.0090	✓	0.67
2026-02-27	oos	0.807	0.804245	-0.34%	0.796	-1.36%	0.0216	✓	0.68
2026-02-26	oos	0.834	0.830812	-0.38%	0.807	-3.24%	0.0126	✓	0.67
2026-02-25	oos	0.832	0.828375	-0.44%	0.834	+0.24%	0.0118	✗	0.68
2026-02-24	oos	0.76	0.757178	-0.37%	0.832	+9.47%	0.0568	✗	0.63
2026-02-23	oos	0.769	0.765113	-0.51%	0.76	-1.17%	0.0013	✓	0.62
2026-02-22	oos	0.756	0.753263	-0.36%	0.769	+1.72%	0.0502	✗	0.65
2026-02-21	oos	0.761	0.758701	-0.30%	0.756	-0.66%	0.0003	✓	0.66
2026-02-20	oos	0.734	0.732196	-0.25%	0.761	+3.68%	0.0389	✗	0.66
2026-02-19	oos	0.711	0.709449	-0.22%	0.734	+3.23%	0.0242	✗	0.66
2026-02-18	oos	0.714	0.712672	-0.19%	0.711	-0.42%	0.0078	✓	0.66
2026-02-17	oos	0.841	0.838267	-0.32%	0.714	-15.10%	0.1507	✓	0.63
2026-02-16	oos	0.864	0.861029	-0.34%	0.841	-2.66%	0.0108	✓	0.62
2026-02-15	oos	0.861	0.858031	-0.34%	0.864	+0.35%	0.0063	✗	0.62
2026-02-14	oos	0.878	0.874599	-0.39%	0.861	-1.94%	0.0068	✓	0.62
2026-02-13	oos	0.881	0.877335	-0.42%	0.878	-0.34%	0.0080	✓	0.62
2026-02-12	oos	0.85	0.84661	-0.40%	0.881	+3.65%	0.0159	✗	0.62
2026-02-11	oos	0.816	0.813326	-0.33%	0.85	+4.17%	0.0516	✗	0.61
2026-02-10	oos	0.846	0.843265	-0.32%	0.816	-3.55%	0.0169	✓	0.61
2026-02-09	oos	0.886	0.882681	-0.37%	0.846	-4.51%	0.0312	✓	0.60
2026-02-08	oos	0.892	0.888546	-0.39%	0.886	-0.67%	0.0013	✓	0.61
2026-02-07	oos	0.903	0.898783	-0.47%	0.892	-1.22%	0.0167	✓	0.61
2026-02-06	oos	0.879	0.874753	-0.48%	0.903	+2.73%	0.0432	✗	0.62
2026-02-05	oos	0.806	0.803835	-0.27%	0.879	+9.06%	0.0210	✗	0.59
2026-02-04	oos	0.867	0.863807	-0.37%	0.806	-7.04%	0.0371	✗	0.71
2026-02-03	oos	0.896	0.892437	-0.40%	0.867	-3.24%	0.0039	✓	0.70
2026-02-02	oos	0.915	0.910958	-0.44%	0.896	-2.08%	0.0116	✗	0.72
2026-02-01	oos	0.899	0.895283	-0.41%	0.915	+1.78%	0.0055	✗	0.72
2026-01-31	oos	0.924	0.919812	-0.45%	0.899	-2.71%	0.0057	✓	0.76
2026-01-30	oos	0.948	0.943978	-0.42%	0.924	-2.53%	0.0328	✗	0.81
2026-01-29	oos	0.935	0.931648	-0.36%	0.948	+1.39%	0.0213	✗	0.81
2026-01-28	oos	0.978	0.974208	-0.39%	0.935	-4.40%	0.0029	✓	0.82
2026-01-27	oos	0.974	0.970066	-0.40%	0.978	+0.41%	0.0077	✗	0.81
2026-01-26	oos	0.949	0.945127	-0.41%	0.974	+2.63%	0.0223	✗	0.79
2026-01-25	oos	0.912	0.908582	-0.37%	0.949	+4.06%	0.0285	✗	0.78
2026-01-24	oos	0.94	0.936809	-0.34%	0.912	-2.98%	0.0046	✓	0.77
2026-01-23	oos	0.93	0.927044	-0.32%	0.94	+1.08%	0.0174	✗	0.80
2026-01-22	oos	0.912	0.909443	-0.28%	0.93	+1.97%	0.0223	✗	0.79
2026-01-21	oos	0.911	0.90792	-0.34%	0.912	+0.11%	0.0036	✗	0.80
2026-01-20	oos	0.945	0.942214	-0.29%	0.911	-3.60%	0.0433	✓	0.81
2026-01-19	oos	0.983	0.979724	-0.33%	0.945	-3.87%	0.0019	✓	0.81
2026-01-18	oos	0.991	0.988072	-0.30%	0.983	-0.81%	0.0042	✗	0.81
2026-01-17	oos	1.006	1.0031	-0.28%	0.991	-1.49%	0.0004	✓	0.81
2026-01-16	oos	1.014	1.0109	-0.31%	1.006	-0.79%	0.0015	✓	0.81
2026-01-15	oos	0.987	0.983748	-0.33%	1.014	+2.74%	0.0310	✗	0.81
2026-01-14	oos	1.026	1.0218	-0.41%	0.987	-3.80%	0.0234	✓	0.79
2026-01-13	oos	0.951	0.948213	-0.29%	1.026	+7.89%	0.0664	✗	0.76
2026-01-12	oos	1.007	1.0042	-0.28%	0.951	-5.56%	0.0941	✓	0.88
2026-01-11	oos	1.007	1.004	-0.29%	1.007	+0.00%	0.0001	✓	0.89
2026-01-10	oos	1.078	1.0748	-0.30%	1.007	-6.59%	0.0702	✓	0.91
2026-01-09	oos	1.078	1.075	-0.28%	1.078	+0.00%	0.0042	✗	0.92
2026-01-08	oos	1.087	1.0842	-0.26%	1.078	-0.83%	0.0005	✓	0.93
2026-01-07	oos	1.116	1.113	-0.27%	1.087	-2.60%	0.0203	✓	1.20
2026-01-06	oos	1.157	1.1535	-0.30%	1.116	-3.54%	0.0013	✓	1.20
2026-01-05	oos	1.155	1.1515	-0.30%	1.157	+0.17%	0.0066	✗	1.20
2026-01-04	oos	1.159	1.1555	-0.31%	1.155	-0.35%	0.0322	✓	1.24
2026-01-03	oos	1.167	1.1632	-0.32%	1.159	-0.69%	0.0160	✓	1.25
2026-01-02	oos	1.162	1.1582	-0.33%	1.167	+0.43%	0.0012	✓	1.25
2026-01-01	oos	1.149	1.1452	-0.33%	1.162	+1.13%	0.0024	✓	1.24
2025-12-31	oos	1.136	1.1325	-0.31%	1.149	+1.14%	0.0027	✓	1.22
2025-12-30	oos	1.135	1.1315	-0.31%	1.136	+0.09%	0.0166	✗	1.23
2025-12-29	oos	1.119	1.1159	-0.27%	1.135	+1.43%	0.0013	✓	1.25
2025-12-28	oos	1.106	1.1035	-0.22%	1.119	+1.18%	0.0249	✗	1.25
2025-12-27	oos	1.141	1.1381	-0.25%	1.106	-3.07%	0.0296	✓	1.25
2025-12-26	oos	1.203	1.1996	-0.28%	1.141	-5.15%	0.0575	✓	1.26
2025-12-25	oos	1.233	1.2293	-0.30%	1.203	-2.43%	0.0235	✓	1.26
2025-12-24	oos	1.266	1.262	-0.32%	1.233	-2.61%	0.0169	✓	1.27
2025-12-23	oos	1.3	1.2952	-0.37%	1.266	-2.62%	0.0255	✓	1.29
2025-12-22	oos	1.286	1.2812	-0.37%	1.3	+1.09%	0.0312	✗	1.30
2025-12-21	oos	1.274	1.2696	-0.34%	1.286	+0.94%	0.0140	✗	1.30
2025-12-20	oos	1.267	1.2628	-0.33%	1.274	+0.55%	0.0040	✗	1.34
2025-12-19	oos	1.281	1.2761	-0.39%	1.267	-1.09%	0.0106	✓	1.34
2025-12-18	oos	1.218	1.214	-0.32%	1.281	+5.17%	0.0132	✗	1.34
2025-12-17	oos	1.229	1.2249	-0.33%	1.218	-0.90%	0.0061	✗	1.35
2025-12-16	oos	1.266	1.2616	-0.35%	1.229	-2.92%	0.0008	✓	1.34
2025-12-15	oos	1.24	1.2359	-0.33%	1.266	+2.10%	0.0019	✓	1.34
2025-12-14	oos	1.285	1.2808	-0.33%	1.24	-3.50%	0.0054	✓	1.34
2025-12-13	oos	1.321	1.317	-0.30%	1.285	-2.73%	0.0067	✗	1.34
2025-12-12	oos	1.308	1.3044	-0.28%	1.321	+0.99%	0.0130	✗	1.34
2025-12-11	oos	1.352	1.3482	-0.28%	1.308	-3.25%	0.0030	✗	1.34
2025-12-10	oos	1.392	1.3875	-0.32%	1.352	-2.87%	0.0334	✓	1.35
2025-12-09	oos	1.44	1.4344	-0.39%	1.392	-3.33%	0.0205	✓	1.35
2025-12-08	oos	1.394	1.389	-0.36%	1.44	+3.30%	0.0060	✗	1.35
2025-12-07	oos	1.391	1.386	-0.36%	1.394	+0.22%	0.0020	✓	1.35
2025-12-06	oos	1.416	1.4109	-0.36%	1.391	-1.77%	0.0314	✓	1.37
2025-12-05	oos	1.389	1.3847	-0.31%	1.416	+1.94%	0.0236	✗	1.37
2025-12-04	oos	1.454	1.4491	-0.34%	1.389	-4.47%	0.0010	✓	1.37
2025-12-03	oos	1.482	1.4767	-0.36%	1.454	-1.89%	0.0046	✗	1.37
2025-12-02	oos	1.429	1.4241	-0.35%	1.482	+3.71%	0.0081	✗	1.37
2025-12-01	oos	1.393	1.388	-0.36%	1.429	+2.58%	0.0528	✓	1.45
2025-11-30	oos	1.472	1.4666	-0.37%	1.393	-5.37%	0.0159	✗	1.46
2025-11-29	oos	1.4735	1.4683	-0.35%	1.472	-0.10%	0.0099	✗	1.45
2025-11-28	oos	1.492	1.4864	-0.37%	1.4735	-1.24%	0.0075	✓	1.45
2025-11-27	oos	1.496	1.4901	-0.39%	1.492	-0.27%	0.0079	✗	1.46
2025-11-26	oos	1.484	1.4776	-0.43%	1.496	+0.81%	0.0012	✓	1.45
2025-11-25	oos	1.471	1.4646	-0.44%	1.484	+0.88%	0.0398	✓	1.50
2025-11-24	oos	1.466	1.4592	-0.47%	1.471	+0.34%	0.0242	✗	1.50
2025-11-23	oos	1.396	1.3904	-0.40%	1.466	+5.01%	0.0280	✗	1.50
2025-11-22	oos	1.377	1.3713	-0.42%	1.396	+1.38%	0.0202	✓	1.54
2025-11-21	oos	1.369	1.363	-0.44%	1.377	+0.58%	0.0172	✗	1.53
2025-11-20	oos	1.415	1.4085	-0.46%	1.369	-3.25%	0.0023	✓	1.53
2025-11-19	oos	1.452	1.4453	-0.46%	1.415	-2.55%	0.0717	✗	1.68
2025-11-18	oos	1.463	1.4562	-0.46%	1.452	-0.75%	0.0237	✗	1.69
2025-11-17	oos	1.43	1.4235	-0.45%	1.463	+2.31%	0.0124	✗	1.71
2025-11-16	oos	1.429	1.4224	-0.46%	1.43	+0.07%	0.0437	✗	1.71
2025-11-15	oos	1.451	1.4444	-0.45%	1.429	-1.52%	0.0139	✗	1.72
2025-11-14	oos	1.403	1.3972	-0.42%	1.451	+3.42%	0.0190	✗	1.71
2025-11-13	oos	1.424	1.4187	-0.37%	1.403	-1.47%	0.0851	✗	1.83
2025-11-12	oos	1.468	1.4622	-0.40%	1.424	-3.00%	0.0103	✗	1.83
2025-11-11	oos	1.468	1.4626	-0.37%	1.468	+0.00%	0.0285	✗	1.85
2025-11-10	oos	1.519	1.5126	-0.42%	1.468	-3.36%	0.0225	✗	1.84
2025-11-09	oos	1.509	1.5023	-0.44%	1.519	+0.66%	0.0117	✓	1.87
2025-11-08	oos	1.483	1.4763	-0.45%	1.509	+1.75%	0.0220	✓	1.89
2025-11-07	oos	1.522	1.5124	-0.63%	1.483	-2.56%	0.0018	✓	1.83
2025-11-06	oos	1.378	1.3727	-0.38%	1.522	+10.45%	0.0683	✗	1.79
2025-11-05	oos	1.397	1.3918	-0.37%	1.378	-1.36%	0.0355	✗	1.81
2025-11-04	oos	1.345	1.3401	-0.37%	1.397	+3.87%	0.0013	✓	1.83
2025-11-03	oos	1.391	1.3867	-0.31%	1.345	-3.31%	0.0635	✗	1.92
2025-11-02	oos	1.527	1.5211	-0.38%	1.391	-8.91%	0.0200	✓	1.89
2025-11-01	oos	1.5255	1.5196	-0.39%	1.527	+0.10%	0.0035	✓	1.91
2025-10-31	oos	1.496	1.4902	-0.39%	1.5255	+1.97%	0.0148	✗	1.91
2025-10-30	oos	1.455	1.4497	-0.37%	1.496	+2.82%	0.0096	✗	1.91
2025-10-29	oos	1.455	1.45	-0.35%	1.455	+0.00%	0.0341	✗	1.94
2025-10-28	oos	1.457	1.4522	-0.33%	1.455	-0.14%	0.0532	✗	1.99
2025-10-27	oos	1.471	1.4654	-0.38%	1.457	-0.95%	0.0150	✗	1.99
2025-10-26	oos	1.496	1.4898	-0.42%	1.471	-1.67%	0.0046	✓	1.99
2025-10-25	oos	1.432	1.4267	-0.37%	1.496	+4.47%	0.0037	✓	2.00
2025-10-24	oos	1.428	1.4226	-0.38%	1.432	+0.28%	0.0047	✓	2.02
2025-10-23	oos	1.4	1.3948	-0.37%	1.428	+2.00%	0.0066	✗	2.02
2025-10-22	oos	1.389	1.3834	-0.40%	1.4	+0.79%	0.0356	✓	2.04
2025-10-21	oos	1.386	1.3809	-0.37%	1.389	+0.22%	0.0206	✗	2.05
2025-10-20	oos	1.408	1.4026	-0.39%	1.386	-1.56%	0.0300	✗	2.08
2025-10-19	oos	1.399	1.3931	-0.42%	1.408	+0.64%	0.0248	✓	2.05
2025-10-18	oos	1.375	1.3699	-0.37%	1.399	+1.75%	0.0070	✓	2.06
2025-10-17	oos	1.356	1.3509	-0.38%	1.375	+1.40%	0.0034	✓	2.05
2025-10-16	oos	1.341	1.3369	-0.30%	1.356	+1.12%	0.0477	✗	2.08
2025-10-15	oos	1.37	1.3658	-0.31%	1.341	-2.12%	0.0318	✗	2.11
2025-10-14	oos	1.399	1.3944	-0.33%	1.37	-2.07%	0.0254	✗	2.13
2025-10-13	oos	1.44	1.4343	-0.40%	1.399	-2.85%	0.0164	✗	2.14
2025-10-12	oos	1.342	1.3389	-0.23%	1.44	+7.30%	0.0690	✗	2.08
2025-10-11	oos	1.288	1.2861	-0.15%	1.342	+4.19%	0.0384	✓	2.12
2025-10-10	oos	1.341	1.3391	-0.14%	1.288	-3.95%	0.0029	✗	2.11
2025-10-09	oos	1.685	1.6806	-0.26%	1.341	-20.42%	0.0871	✓	1.86
2025-10-08	oos	1.772	1.7666	-0.31%	1.685	-4.91%	0.0225	✓	1.87
2025-10-07	oos	1.751	1.7459	-0.29%	1.772	+1.20%	0.0144	✓	1.84
2025-10-06	oos	1.868	1.8608	-0.39%	1.751	-6.26%	0.0123	✓	1.79
2025-10-05	oos	1.818	1.8121	-0.32%	1.868	+2.75%	0.0131	✗	1.79
2025-10-04	oos	1.855	1.8488	-0.33%	1.818	-1.99%	0.0324	✓	1.81
2025-10-03	oos	1.903	1.8957	-0.38%	1.855	-2.52%	0.0238	✓	1.81
2025-10-02	oos	1.983	1.973	-0.50%	1.903	-4.03%	0.0620	✓	1.85
2025-10-01	oos	1.92	1.9111	-0.46%	1.983	+3.28%	0.0066	✗	1.85
2025-09-30	oos	1.804	1.7969	-0.40%	1.92	+6.43%	0.0074	✓	1.87
2025-09-29	oos	1.881	1.8715	-0.50%	1.804	-4.09%	0.0322	✓	1.74
2025-09-28	oos	1.84	1.8322	-0.42%	1.881	+2.23%	0.0078	✓	1.78
2025-09-27	oos	1.806	1.7986	-0.41%	1.84	+1.88%	0.0193	✓	1.85
2025-09-26	oos	1.787	1.7803	-0.37%	1.806	+1.06%	0.0146	✗	1.87
2025-09-25	oos	1.729	1.7243	-0.27%	1.787	+3.35%	0.0244	✗	1.87
2025-09-24	oos	1.87	1.8642	-0.31%	1.729	-7.54%	0.0032	✓	1.86
2025-09-23	oos	1.83	1.8254	-0.25%	1.87	+2.19%	0.0021	✓	1.87
2025-09-22	oos	1.925	1.9194	-0.29%	1.83	-4.94%	0.0351	✓	1.97
2025-09-21	oos	2.176	2.1662	-0.45%	1.925	-11.53%	0.0770	✓	1.84
2025-09-20	oos	2.156	2.1478	-0.38%	2.176	+0.93%	0.0191	✗	1.48
2025-09-19	oos	2.134	2.1269	-0.33%	2.156	+1.03%	0.0129	✗	1.26
2025-09-18	oos	2.295	2.2855	-0.42%	2.134	-7.02%	0.0539	✓	1.20

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.