GENIUS

Genius · Binance Smart Chain · beta_5y

token id: #408
symbol: GENIUS
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x1f12b85aac097e43aa1555b2881e98a51090e9a6
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-15
predictions: 456

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

145

of 152 predictions shown

direction hit

58.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0817

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0179

actual -0.0280

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.3105	0.305609	-1.58%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-21	oos	0.3071	0.301781	-1.73%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.3057	0.300787	-1.61%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-19	oos	0.30015	0.295404	-1.58%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.3024	0.297673	-1.56%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-17	oos	0.29965	0.295339	-1.44%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-16	oos	0.3056	0.301419	-1.37%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-15	oos	0.30045	0.297184	-1.09%	0.3105	+3.34%	0.0448	✗	-0.04
2026-10-14	oos	0.31885	0.313692	-1.62%	0.3071	-3.69%	0.0208	✓	-0.03
2026-10-13	oos	0.3176	0.313779	-1.20%	0.3057	-3.75%	0.0261	✓	-0.03
2026-10-12	oos	0.32945	0.323625	-1.77%	0.30015	-8.89%	0.0753	✓	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.3359	0.330269	-1.68%	0.3024	-9.97%	0.0885	✓	-0.02
2026-10-10	oos	0.346	0.338733	-2.10%	0.29965	-13.40%	0.1224	✓	0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.3428	0.335444	-2.15%	0.3056	-10.85%	0.0930	✓	0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.3213	0.315453	-1.82%	0.30045	-6.49%	0.0487	✓	0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.324	0.318305	-1.76%	0.31885	-1.59%	0.0017	✓	-0.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.32765	0.322018	-1.72%	0.3176	-3.07%	0.0143	✓	-0.02
2026-10-05	oos	0.32845	0.322417	-1.84%	0.32945	+0.30%	0.0222	✗	0.01
2026-10-04	oos	0.31975	0.314531	-1.63%	0.3359	+5.05%	0.0665	✗	0.02
2026-10-03	oos	0.32535	0.318827	-2.01%	0.346	+6.35%	0.0824	✗	0.03
2026-10-02	oos	0.32695	0.31979	-2.19%	0.3428	+4.85%	0.0701	✗	0.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.31835	0.311921	-2.02%	0.3213	+0.93%	0.0310	✗	0.04
2026-09-30	oos	0.3226	0.315113	-2.32%	0.324	+0.43%	0.0279	✗	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.31945	0.312368	-2.22%	0.32765	+2.57%	0.0471	✗	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.3168	0.309686	-2.25%	0.32845	+3.68%	0.0580	✗	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.3292	0.321566	-2.32%	0.31975	-2.87%	0.0059	✓	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.34275	0.334253	-2.48%	0.32535	-5.08%	0.0271	✓	0.02
2026-09-25	oos	0.349	0.34015	-2.54%	0.32695	-6.32%	0.0396	✓	0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.35475	0.345743	-2.54%	0.31835	-10.26%	0.0826	✓	0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.3426	0.334344	-2.41%	0.3226	-5.84%	0.0356	✓	0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.35245	0.342486	-2.83%	0.31945	-9.36%	0.0702	✓	-0.02
2026-09-21	oos	0.35885	0.348961	-2.76%	0.3168	-11.72%	0.0967	✓	-0.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.3747	0.359543	-4.05%	0.3292	-12.14%	0.0917	✓	0.09
2026-09-19	oos	0.34085	0.33066	-2.99%	0.34275	+0.56%	0.0324	✗	0.09
2026-09-18	oos	0.3402	0.328631	-3.40%	0.349	+2.59%	0.0563	✗	0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.3605	0.342646	-4.95%	0.35475	-1.60%	0.0135	✓	0.21
2026-09-16	oos	0.3024	0.296388	-1.99%	0.3426	+13.29%	0.1216	✗	0.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.3036	0.298013	-1.84%	0.35245	+16.09%	0.1275	✗	0.31
2026-09-14	oos	0.2988	0.294125	-1.56%	0.35885	+20.10%	0.1629	✗	0.35
2026-09-13	oos	0.29545	0.291546	-1.32%	0.3747	+26.82%	0.2315	✗	0.35
2026-09-12	oos	0.29705	0.29356	-1.18%	0.34085	+14.74%	0.1331	✗	0.33
2026-09-11	oos	0.30415	0.300563	-1.18%	0.3402	+11.85%	0.1064	✗	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.2871	0.286144	-0.33%	0.3605	+25.57%	0.2319	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.28855	0.288687	+0.05%	0.3024	+4.80%	0.0566	✓	0.37
2026-09-08	oos	0.30395	0.303468	-0.16%	0.3036	-0.12%	0.0138	✗	0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.2922	0.293855	+0.57%	0.2988	+2.26%	0.0210	✓	0.37
2026-09-06	oos	0.2962	0.298923	+0.92%	0.29545	-0.25%	0.0051	✓	0.37
2026-09-05	oos	0.30035	0.30365	+1.10%	0.29705	-1.10%	0.0098	✓	0.37
2026-09-04	oos	0.2933	0.298178	+1.66%	0.30415	+3.70%	0.0360	✓	0.52
2026-09-03	oos	0.29125	0.300201	+3.07%	0.2871	-1.42%	0.0121	✓	0.54
2026-09-02	oos	0.2859	0.293624	+2.70%	0.28855	+0.93%	0.0235	✓	0.49
2026-09-01	oos	0.2773	0.285396	+2.92%	0.30395	+9.61%	0.0562	✓	0.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.2837	0.292535	+3.11%	0.2922	+3.00%	0.0048	✓	0.54
2026-08-30	oos	0.28175	0.289961	+2.91%	0.2962	+5.13%	0.0131	✓	0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.2845	0.293103	+3.02%	0.30035	+5.57%	0.0196	✓	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.28265	0.290688	+2.84%	0.2933	+3.77%	0.0033	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.3045	0.313023	+2.80%	0.29125	-4.35%	0.0745	✗	0.20
2026-08-26	oos	0.30725	0.314119	+2.24%	0.2859	-6.95%	0.0892	✗	0.22
2026-08-25	oos	0.3083	0.315503	+2.34%	0.2773	-10.06%	0.1254	✗	0.26
2026-08-24	oos	0.3126	0.3195	+2.21%	0.2837	-9.25%	0.1177	✗	0.22
2026-08-23	oos	0.324	0.329327	+1.64%	0.28175	-13.04%	0.1559	✗	0.20
2026-08-22	oos	0.3344	0.337933	+1.06%	0.2845	-14.92%	0.1751	✗	0.20
2026-08-21	oos	0.34135	0.344696	+0.98%	0.28265	-17.20%	0.1972	✗	0.20
2026-08-20	oos	0.3111	0.312842	+0.56%	0.3045	-2.12%	0.0324	✗	0.06
2026-08-19	oos	0.3291	0.326923	-0.66%	0.30725	-6.64%	0.0439	✓	-0.14
2026-08-18	oos	0.36445	0.3579	-1.80%	0.3083	-15.41%	0.1657	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.36775	0.360933	-1.85%	0.3126	-15.00%	0.1640	✓	0.10
2026-08-16	oos	0.36445	0.357471	-1.91%	0.324	-11.10%	0.1179	✓	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3723	0.364434	-2.11%	0.3344	-10.18%	0.1033	✓	0.09
2026-08-14	oos	0.3686	0.361406	-1.95%	0.34135	-7.39%	0.0810	✓	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.3931	0.383993	-2.32%	0.3111	-20.86%	0.2227	✓	0.09
2026-08-12	oos	0.376	0.367679	-2.21%	0.3291	-12.47%	0.1181	✓	0.08
2026-08-11	oos	0.3729	0.36387	-2.42%	0.36445	-2.27%	0.0001	✓	0.08
2026-08-10	oos	0.36395	0.355284	-2.38%	0.36775	+1.04%	0.0337	✗	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.34505	0.338937	-1.77%	0.36445	+5.62%	0.0761	✗	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.34625	0.339707	-1.89%	0.3723	+7.52%	0.0949	✗	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.3416	0.335417	-1.81%	0.3686	+7.90%	0.0976	✗	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.33865	0.33256	-1.80%	0.3931	+16.08%	0.1686	✗	0.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.3583	0.350464	-2.19%	0.376	+4.94%	0.0722	✗	0.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.34955	0.341264	-2.37%	0.3729	+6.68%	0.0894	✗	0.09
2026-08-03	oos	0.3431	0.33446	-2.52%	0.36395	+6.08%	0.0839	✗	0.08
2026-08-02	oos	0.32795	0.321008	-2.12%	0.34505	+5.21%	0.0707	✗	0.07
2026-08-01	oos	0.3215	0.315149	-1.98%	0.34625	+7.70%	0.0920	✗	0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.3287	0.321709	-2.13%	0.3416	+3.92%	0.0579	✗	0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.3309	0.324302	-1.99%	0.33865	+2.34%	0.0437	✗	0.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.32935	0.323392	-1.81%	0.3583	+8.79%	0.1019	✗	0.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.35	0.342976	-2.01%	0.34955	-0.13%	0.0188	✓	0.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.36775	0.359425	-2.26%	0.3431	-6.70%	0.0462	✓	0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.37585	0.366985	-2.36%	0.32795	-12.74%	0.1107	✓	0.06
2026-07-25	oos	0.37075	0.360692	-2.71%	0.3215	-13.28%	0.1139	✓	0.05
2026-07-24	oos	0.3617	0.35376	-2.20%	0.3287	-9.12%	0.0726	✓	0.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.3527	0.345564	-2.02%	0.3309	-6.18%	0.0431	✓	0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.35555	0.348345	-2.03%	0.32935	-7.37%	0.0542	✓	0.05
2026-07-21	oos	0.36335	0.352874	-2.88%	0.35	-3.67%	0.0061	✓	0.05
2026-07-20	oos	0.3239	0.317405	-2.01%	0.36775	+13.54%	0.1459	✗	-0.06
2026-07-19	oos	0.31675	0.311027	-1.81%	0.37585	+18.66%	0.1900	✗	-0.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.31925	0.313473	-1.81%	0.37075	+16.13%	0.1673	✗	-0.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.3248	0.318399	-1.97%	0.3617	+11.36%	0.1277	✗	-0.06
2026-07-16	oos	0.33275	0.326012	-2.03%	0.3527	+6.00%	0.0799	✗	-0.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.3329	0.326059	-2.05%	0.35555	+6.80%	0.0878	✗	-0.06
2026-07-14	oos	0.33125	0.325918	-1.61%	0.36335	+9.69%	0.1101	✗	-0.06
2026-07-13	oos	0.32705	0.32128	-1.76%	0.3239	-0.96%	0.0129	✓	-0.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.3384	0.333217	-1.53%	0.31675	-6.40%	0.0488	✓	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.3452	0.340236	-1.44%	0.31925	-7.52%	0.0616	✓	-0.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.34765	0.343102	-1.31%	0.3248	-6.57%	0.0553	✓	-0.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.3484	0.343568	-1.39%	0.33275	-4.49%	0.0307	✓	-0.13
2026-07-08	oos	0.35555	0.349849	-1.60%	0.3329	-6.37%	0.0449	✓	-0.12
2026-07-07	oos	0.3748	0.369349	-1.45%	0.33125	-11.62%	0.1049	✓	-0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.3765	0.371277	-1.39%	0.32705	-13.13%	0.1311	✓	-0.15
2026-07-05	oos	0.38175	0.376047	-1.49%	0.3384	-11.36%	0.1051	✓	-0.15
2026-07-04	oos	0.3877	0.381403	-1.62%	0.3452	-10.96%	0.0982	✓	-0.14
2026-07-03	oos	0.384	0.377477	-1.70%	0.34765	-9.47%	0.0784	✓	-0.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.3888	0.381474	-1.88%	0.3484	-10.39%	0.0866	✓	-0.15
2026-07-01	oos	0.3947	0.385931	-2.22%	0.35555	-9.92%	0.0768	✓	-0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.3947	0.385216	-2.40%	0.3748	-5.04%	0.0154	✓	-0.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.39385	0.384583	-2.35%	0.3765	-4.41%	0.0120	✓	-0.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.3783	0.369567	-2.31%	0.38175	+0.91%	0.0457	✗	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.37735	0.368971	-2.22%	0.3877	+2.74%	0.0597	✗	-0.20
2026-06-26	oos	0.39065	0.381487	-2.35%	0.384	-1.70%	0.0143	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.3913	0.381837	-2.42%	0.3888	-0.64%	0.0237	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.3809	0.372438	-2.22%	0.3947	+3.62%	0.0552	✗	-0.17
2026-06-23	oos	0.3911	0.382564	-2.18%	0.3947	+0.92%	0.0177	✓	-0.20
2026-06-22	oos	0.39995	0.391274	-2.17%	0.39385	-1.53%	0.0068	✓	-0.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.411	0.401481	-2.32%	0.3783	-7.96%	0.0716	✓	-0.20
2026-06-20	oos	0.4169	0.40701	-2.37%	0.37735	-9.49%	0.0898	✓	-0.21
2026-06-19	oos	0.40235	0.392985	-2.33%	0.39065	-2.91%	0.0204	✓	-0.26
2026-06-18	oos	0.3724	0.364228	-2.19%	0.3913	+5.08%	0.0536	✗	-0.35
2026-06-17	oos	0.415	0.405623	-2.26%	0.3809	-8.22%	0.0898	✓	-0.49
2026-06-16	oos	0.4273	0.417379	-2.32%	0.3911	-8.47%	0.0888	✓	-0.51
2026-06-15	oos	0.4357	0.425243	-2.40%	0.39995	-8.21%	0.0799	✓	-0.52
2026-06-14	oos	0.4935	0.477887	-3.16%	0.411	-16.72%	0.1661	✓	-0.40
2026-06-13	oos	0.44765	0.435909	-2.62%	0.4169	-6.87%	0.0414	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.45495	0.442198	-2.80%	0.40235	-11.56%	0.0934	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.4724	0.457945	-3.06%	0.3724	-21.17%	0.1960	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.4711	0.45574	-3.26%	0.415	-11.91%	0.1413	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.4527	0.439409	-2.94%	0.4273	-5.61%	0.0897	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.4637	0.448532	-3.27%	0.4357	-6.04%	0.0787	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.4677	0.450455	-3.69%	0.4935	+5.52%	0.0540	✗	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.4055	0.395794	-2.39%	0.44765	+10.39%	0.0660	✗	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.4356	0.424028	-2.66%	0.45495	+4.44%	0.0301	✗	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.4301	0.418609	-2.67%	0.4724	+9.83%	0.1247	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.4796	0.462611	-3.54%	0.4711	-1.77%	0.0595	✗	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.509	0.486016	-4.52%	0.4527	-11.06%	0.0065	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.4463	0.430114	-3.63%	0.4637	+3.90%	0.1982	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.4511	0.434993	-3.57%	0.4677	+3.68%	0.2229	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.47675	0.458922	-3.74%	0.4055	-14.94%	0.0688	✗	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.45355	0.437595	-3.52%	0.4356	-3.96%	0.1795	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.62785	0.597116	-4.90%	0.4301	-31.50%	0.1865	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.71265	0.672458	-5.64%	0.4796	-32.70%	0.1892	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.67035	0.630779	-5.90%	0.509	-24.07%	0.0856	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6361	0.601217	-5.48%	0.4463	-29.84%	0.2180	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.72305	0.67067	-7.24%	0.4511	-37.61%	0.3514	✓	1.00