GENIUS

Genius · Binance Smart Chain · beta_5y

token id: #408
symbol: GENIUS
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x1f12b85aac097e43aa1555b2881e98a51090e9a6
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-15
predictions: 453

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

150

of 151 predictions shown

direction hit

56.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0336

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0046

actual -0.0049

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.3071	0.305888	-0.39%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.3057	0.30454	-0.38%	0.3071	+0.46%	0.0081	✗	-0.10
2026-10-19	oos	0.30015	0.299082	-0.36%	0.3057	+1.85%	0.0232	✗	-0.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.3024	0.301288	-0.37%	0.30015	-0.74%	0.0039	✓	-0.04
2026-10-17	oos	0.29965	0.298731	-0.31%	0.3024	+0.92%	0.0125	✗	-0.04
2026-10-16	oos	0.3056	0.304615	-0.32%	0.29965	-1.95%	0.0165	✓	-0.04
2026-10-15	oos	0.30045	0.299571	-0.29%	0.3056	+1.71%	0.0196	✗	-0.04
2026-10-14	oos	0.31885	0.3175	-0.42%	0.30045	-5.77%	0.0550	✓	-0.03
2026-10-13	oos	0.3176	0.316592	-0.32%	0.31885	+0.39%	0.0065	✗	-0.03
2026-10-12	oos	0.32945	0.328042	-0.43%	0.3176	-3.60%	0.0321	✓	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.3359	0.334493	-0.42%	0.32945	-1.92%	0.0156	✓	-0.02
2026-10-10	oos	0.346	0.344219	-0.51%	0.3359	-2.92%	0.0246	✓	0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.3428	0.340974	-0.53%	0.346	+0.93%	0.0146	✗	0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.3213	0.319836	-0.46%	0.3428	+6.69%	0.0693	✗	0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.324	0.32255	-0.45%	0.3213	-0.83%	0.0039	✓	-0.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.32765	0.326186	-0.45%	0.324	-1.11%	0.0072	✓	-0.02
2026-10-05	oos	0.32845	0.326923	-0.46%	0.32765	-0.24%	0.0022	✓	0.01
2026-10-04	oos	0.31975	0.318435	-0.41%	0.32845	+2.72%	0.0312	✗	0.02
2026-10-03	oos	0.32535	0.323778	-0.48%	0.31975	-1.72%	0.0131	✓	0.03
2026-10-02	oos	0.32695	0.325199	-0.54%	0.32535	-0.49%	0.0004	✓	0.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.31835	0.316825	-0.48%	0.32695	+2.70%	0.0316	✗	0.04
2026-09-30	oos	0.3226	0.320788	-0.56%	0.31835	-1.32%	0.0082	✓	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.31945	0.317845	-0.50%	0.3226	+0.99%	0.0149	✗	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.3168	0.315129	-0.53%	0.31945	+0.84%	0.0136	✗	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.3292	0.327452	-0.53%	0.3168	-3.77%	0.0329	✓	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.34275	0.340711	-0.59%	0.3292	-3.95%	0.0344	✓	0.02
2026-09-25	oos	0.349	0.346747	-0.65%	0.34275	-1.79%	0.0117	✓	0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.35475	0.352266	-0.70%	0.349	-1.62%	0.0093	✓	0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.3426	0.340104	-0.73%	0.35475	+3.55%	0.0422	✗	0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.35245	0.348572	-1.10%	0.3426	-2.79%	0.0177	✓	-0.02
2026-09-21	oos	0.35885	0.354943	-1.09%	0.35245	-1.78%	0.0070	✓	-0.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.3747	0.36874	-1.59%	0.35885	-4.23%	0.0329	✓	0.09
2026-09-19	oos	0.34085	0.337421	-1.01%	0.3747	+9.93%	0.1049	✗	0.09
2026-09-18	oos	0.3402	0.336035	-1.22%	0.34085	+0.19%	0.0138	✗	0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.3605	0.353694	-1.89%	0.3402	-5.63%	0.0511	✓	0.21
2026-09-16	oos	0.3024	0.3012	-0.40%	0.3605	+19.21%	0.1791	✗	0.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.3036	0.302407	-0.39%	0.3024	-0.40%	0.0023	✓	0.31
2026-09-14	oos	0.2988	0.297813	-0.33%	0.3036	+1.61%	0.0311	✗	0.35
2026-09-13	oos	0.29545	0.294611	-0.28%	0.2988	+1.13%	0.0079	✗	0.35
2026-09-12	oos	0.29705	0.296299	-0.25%	0.29545	-0.54%	0.0009	✓	0.33
2026-09-11	oos	0.30415	0.30311	-0.34%	0.29705	-2.33%	0.0205	✓	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.2871	0.286751	-0.12%	0.30415	+5.94%	0.0558	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.28855	0.288346	-0.07%	0.2871	-0.50%	0.0040	✗	0.37
2026-09-08	oos	0.30395	0.303506	-0.15%	0.28855	-5.07%	0.0498	✓	0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.2922	0.29219	-0.00%	0.30395	+4.02%	0.0424	✗	0.37
2026-09-06	oos	0.2962	0.296273	+0.02%	0.2922	-1.35%	0.0080	✗	0.37
2026-09-05	oos	0.30035	0.300427	+0.03%	0.2962	-1.38%	0.0165	✗	0.37
2026-09-04	oos	0.2933	0.293587	+0.10%	0.30035	+2.40%	0.0218	✓	0.52
2026-09-03	oos	0.29125	0.291997	+0.26%	0.2933	+0.70%	0.0152	✓	0.54
2026-09-02	oos	0.2859	0.286449	+0.19%	0.29125	+1.87%	0.0077	✗	0.49
2026-09-01	oos	0.2773	0.277877	+0.21%	0.2859	+3.10%	0.0291	✓	0.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.2837	0.284391	+0.24%	0.2773	-2.26%	0.0172	✗	0.54
2026-08-30	oos	0.28175	0.282373	+0.22%	0.2837	+0.69%	0.0019	✓	0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.2845	0.285139	+0.22%	0.28175	-0.97%	0.0102	✗	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.28265	0.283219	+0.20%	0.2845	+0.65%	0.0033	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.3045	0.304857	+0.12%	0.28265	-7.18%	0.0695	✗	0.20
2026-08-26	oos	0.30725	0.307341	+0.03%	0.3045	-0.90%	0.0128	✗	0.22
2026-08-25	oos	0.3083	0.308457	+0.05%	0.30725	-0.34%	0.0055	✗	0.26
2026-08-24	oos	0.3126	0.31268	+0.03%	0.3083	-1.38%	0.0128	✗	0.22
2026-08-23	oos	0.324	0.323824	-0.05%	0.3126	-3.52%	0.0385	✓	0.20
2026-08-22	oos	0.3344	0.333913	-0.15%	0.324	-3.11%	0.0318	✓	0.20
2026-08-21	oos	0.34135	0.340685	-0.19%	0.3344	-2.04%	0.0153	✓	0.20
2026-08-20	oos	0.3111	0.310836	-0.08%	0.34135	+9.72%	0.0897	✗	0.06
2026-08-19	oos	0.3291	0.328374	-0.22%	0.3111	-5.47%	0.0468	✓	-0.14
2026-08-18	oos	0.36445	0.362961	-0.41%	0.3291	-9.70%	0.1038	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.36775	0.366207	-0.42%	0.36445	-0.90%	0.0051	✓	0.10
2026-08-16	oos	0.36445	0.362978	-0.40%	0.36775	+0.91%	0.0107	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3723	0.370471	-0.49%	0.36445	-2.11%	0.0161	✓	0.09
2026-08-14	oos	0.3686	0.367038	-0.42%	0.3723	+1.00%	0.0142	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.3931	0.390897	-0.56%	0.3686	-6.23%	0.0581	✓	0.09
2026-08-12	oos	0.376	0.373948	-0.55%	0.3931	+4.55%	0.0499	✗	0.08
2026-08-11	oos	0.3729	0.370367	-0.68%	0.376	+0.83%	0.0153	✗	0.08
2026-08-10	oos	0.36395	0.361534	-0.66%	0.3729	+2.46%	0.0315	✗	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.34505	0.343659	-0.40%	0.36395	+5.48%	0.0590	✗	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.34625	0.344784	-0.42%	0.34505	-0.35%	0.0009	✓	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.3416	0.340268	-0.39%	0.34625	+1.36%	0.0174	✗	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.33865	0.33741	-0.37%	0.3416	+0.87%	0.0113	✗	0.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.3583	0.356528	-0.49%	0.33865	-5.48%	0.0509	✓	0.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.34955	0.347578	-0.56%	0.3583	+2.50%	0.0296	✗	0.09
2026-08-03	oos	0.3431	0.340995	-0.61%	0.34955	+1.88%	0.0241	✗	0.08
2026-08-02	oos	0.32795	0.326524	-0.43%	0.3431	+4.62%	0.0496	✗	0.07
2026-08-01	oos	0.3215	0.320348	-0.36%	0.32795	+2.01%	0.0227	✗	0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.3287	0.327347	-0.41%	0.3215	-2.19%	0.0180	✓	0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.3309	0.329569	-0.40%	0.3287	-0.66%	0.0008	✓	0.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.32935	0.328266	-0.33%	0.3309	+0.47%	0.0072	✗	0.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.35	0.348612	-0.40%	0.32935	-5.90%	0.0569	✓	0.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.36775	0.36597	-0.48%	0.35	-4.83%	0.0448	✓	0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.37585	0.373594	-0.60%	0.36775	-2.16%	0.0142	✓	0.06
2026-07-25	oos	0.37075	0.367909	-0.77%	0.37585	+1.38%	0.0206	✗	0.05
2026-07-24	oos	0.3617	0.359937	-0.49%	0.37075	+2.50%	0.0295	✗	0.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.3527	0.351094	-0.46%	0.3617	+2.55%	0.0306	✗	0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.35555	0.353691	-0.52%	0.3527	-0.80%	0.0020	✓	0.05
2026-07-21	oos	0.36335	0.359711	-1.00%	0.35555	-2.15%	0.0113	✓	0.05
2026-07-20	oos	0.3239	0.322526	-0.42%	0.36335	+12.18%	0.1203	✗	-0.06
2026-07-19	oos	0.31675	0.315595	-0.36%	0.3239	+2.26%	0.0266	✗	-0.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.31925	0.318112	-0.36%	0.31675	-0.78%	0.0044	✓	-0.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.3248	0.323556	-0.38%	0.31925	-1.71%	0.0125	✓	-0.06
2026-07-16	oos	0.33275	0.331312	-0.43%	0.3248	-2.39%	0.0197	✓	-0.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.3329	0.331154	-0.52%	0.33275	-0.05%	0.0040	✓	-0.06
2026-07-14	oos	0.33125	0.330108	-0.34%	0.3329	+0.50%	0.0082	✗	-0.06
2026-07-13	oos	0.32705	0.325917	-0.35%	0.33125	+1.28%	0.0206	✗	-0.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.3384	0.337309	-0.32%	0.32705	-3.35%	0.0340	✓	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.3452	0.344122	-0.31%	0.3384	-1.97%	0.0168	✓	-0.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.34765	0.346619	-0.30%	0.3452	-0.70%	0.0048	✓	-0.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.3484	0.347357	-0.30%	0.34765	-0.22%	0.0029	✓	-0.13
2026-07-08	oos	0.35555	0.354232	-0.37%	0.3484	-2.01%	0.0148	✓	-0.12
2026-07-07	oos	0.3748	0.373542	-0.34%	0.35555	-5.14%	0.0520	✓	-0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.3765	0.375294	-0.32%	0.3748	-0.45%	0.0030	✓	-0.15
2026-07-05	oos	0.38175	0.380464	-0.34%	0.3765	-1.38%	0.0095	✓	-0.15
2026-07-04	oos	0.3877	0.386302	-0.36%	0.38175	-1.53%	0.0107	✓	-0.14
2026-07-03	oos	0.384	0.382625	-0.36%	0.3877	+0.96%	0.0146	✗	-0.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.3888	0.387283	-0.39%	0.384	-1.23%	0.0060	✓	-0.15
2026-07-01	oos	0.3947	0.39284	-0.47%	0.3888	-1.49%	0.0069	✓	-0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.3947	0.392706	-0.51%	0.3947	+0.00%	0.0088	✗	-0.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.39385	0.391872	-0.50%	0.3947	+0.22%	0.0031	✓	-0.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.3783	0.376546	-0.46%	0.39385	+4.11%	0.0472	✗	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.37735	0.375731	-0.43%	0.3783	+0.25%	0.0053	✗	-0.20
2026-06-26	oos	0.39065	0.388806	-0.47%	0.37735	-3.40%	0.0301	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.3913	0.38939	-0.49%	0.39065	-0.17%	0.0042	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.3809	0.379339	-0.41%	0.3913	+2.73%	0.0275	✗	-0.17
2026-06-23	oos	0.3911	0.389526	-0.40%	0.3809	-2.61%	0.0278	✓	-0.20
2026-06-22	oos	0.39995	0.398331	-0.40%	0.3911	-2.21%	0.0228	✓	-0.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.411	0.409156	-0.45%	0.39995	-2.69%	0.0205	✓	-0.20
2026-06-20	oos	0.4169	0.41494	-0.47%	0.411	-1.42%	0.0127	✓	-0.21
2026-06-19	oos	0.40235	0.400609	-0.43%	0.4169	+3.62%	0.0429	✗	-0.26
2026-06-18	oos	0.3724	0.371084	-0.35%	0.40235	+8.04%	0.0842	✗	-0.35
2026-06-17	oos	0.415	0.413361	-0.39%	0.3724	-10.27%	0.1163	✓	-0.49
2026-06-16	oos	0.4273	0.42559	-0.40%	0.415	-2.88%	0.0344	✓	-0.51
2026-06-15	oos	0.4357	0.433945	-0.40%	0.4273	-1.93%	0.0206	✓	-0.52
2026-06-14	oos	0.4935	0.490279	-0.65%	0.4357	-11.71%	0.1146	✓	-0.40
2026-06-13	oos	0.44765	0.445642	-0.45%	0.4935	+10.24%	0.0824	✗	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.45495	0.452707	-0.49%	0.44765	-1.60%	0.0252	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.4724	0.469761	-0.56%	0.45495	-3.69%	0.0316	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.4711	0.468021	-0.65%	0.4724	+0.28%	0.0246	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.4527	0.450391	-0.51%	0.4711	+4.06%	0.0488	✗	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.4637	0.460979	-0.59%	0.4527	-2.37%	0.0040	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.4677	0.464187	-0.75%	0.4637	-0.86%	0.0027	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.4055	0.404072	-0.35%	0.4677	+15.34%	0.1067	✗	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.4356	0.433696	-0.44%	0.4055	-6.91%	0.0642	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.4301	0.428544	-0.36%	0.4356	+1.28%	0.0608	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.4796	0.476304	-0.69%	0.4301	-10.32%	0.0984	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.509	0.503554	-1.07%	0.4796	-5.78%	0.0087	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.4463	0.443816	-0.56%	0.509	+14.05%	0.2046	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.4511	0.448823	-0.50%	0.4463	-1.06%	0.0256	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.47675	0.473827	-0.61%	0.4511	-5.38%	0.0465	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.45355	0.451282	-0.50%	0.47675	+5.12%	0.0494	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.62785	0.620938	-1.10%	0.45355	-27.76%	0.3121	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.71265	0.702953	-1.36%	0.62785	-11.90%	0.1021	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.67035	0.659338	-1.64%	0.71265	+6.31%	0.0979	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6361	0.626498	-1.51%	0.67035	+5.38%	0.0862	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.72305	0.705449	-2.43%	0.6361	-12.03%	0.1070	✓	1.00