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ESP

Espresso · Ethereum · beta_5y

token id
#281
symbol
ESP
variant
–
chain
Ethereum
address
0x031de51f3e8016514bd0963d0b2ab825a591db9a
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-02-13
predictions
729
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +7d

assessed
236
of 243 predictions shown
direction hit
58.5%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0914
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0222
actual -0.0174

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-22live0.0898150.087431-2.65%–pending––1.38
2026-10-21oos0.085780.083675-2.45%–pending––1.34
2026-10-20oos0.085150.08322-2.27%–pending––1.34
2026-10-19oos0.08390.082258-1.96%–pending––1.33
2026-10-18oos0.085280.083859-1.67%–pending––1.31
2026-10-17oos0.0882250.086925-1.47%–pending––1.31
2026-10-16oos0.0925750.091348-1.33%–pending––1.31
2026-10-15oos0.094110.093055-1.12%0.089815-4.56%0.0678✓1.29
2026-10-14oos0.0969850.095715-1.31%0.08578-11.55%0.1274✓1.29
2026-10-13oos0.103490.101942-1.50%0.08515-17.72%0.1775✓1.25
2026-10-12oos0.106040.104245-1.69%0.0839-20.88%0.2186✓1.26
2026-10-11oos0.119560.116869-2.25%0.08528-28.67%0.2914✓1.18
2026-10-10oos0.117720.115084-2.24%0.088225-25.06%0.2448✓1.12
2026-10-09oos0.113530.11125-2.01%0.092575-18.46%0.1694✓1.13
2026-10-08oos0.1104350.108314-1.92%0.09411-14.78%0.1465✓1.12
2026-10-07oos0.1155250.113104-2.10%0.096985-16.05%0.1307✓1.11
2026-10-06oos0.1176450.115066-2.19%0.10349-12.03%0.0739✓1.11
2026-10-05oos0.1135050.111241-1.99%0.10604-6.58%0.0054✓1.11
2026-10-04oos0.1058650.103667-2.08%0.11956+12.94%0.1808✗1.15
2026-10-03oos0.101920.10022-1.67%0.11772+15.50%0.1858✗1.14
2026-10-02oos0.103590.101609-1.91%0.11353+9.60%0.1375✗1.13
2026-10-01oos0.1053550.103025-2.21%0.110435+4.82%0.1124✗1.13
2026-09-30oos0.1050950.102486-2.48%0.115525+9.92%0.1236✗1.13
2026-09-29oos0.0973750.095518-1.91%0.117645+20.82%0.1828✗1.14
2026-09-28oos0.0981050.096201-1.94%0.113505+15.70%0.1351✗1.12
2026-09-27oos0.10420.101737-2.36%0.105865+1.60%0.0132✓1.11
2026-09-26oos0.104920.102186-2.61%0.10192-2.86%0.0069✓1.12
2026-09-25oos0.097510.095614-1.94%0.10359+6.24%0.0747✗1.12
2026-09-24oos0.097280.09538-1.95%0.105355+8.30%0.0933✗1.12
2026-09-23oos0.091820.090288-1.67%0.105095+14.46%0.1630✗1.13
2026-09-22oos0.0951250.093544-1.66%0.097375+2.37%0.0720✗1.06
2026-09-21oos0.0941450.092554-1.69%0.098105+4.21%0.0965✗1.04
2026-09-20oos0.0936750.091395-2.43%0.1042+11.24%0.0851✗1.15
2026-09-19oos0.095920.092601-3.46%0.10492+9.38%0.0811✗1.14
2026-09-18oos0.0888650.086807-2.32%0.09751+9.73%0.0722✗1.13
2026-09-17oos0.084810.083014-2.12%0.09728+14.70%0.0424✗1.16
2026-09-16oos0.082810.081496-1.59%0.09182+10.88%0.0013✓1.15
2026-09-15oos0.082450.081426-1.24%0.095125+15.37%0.0005✓1.18
2026-09-14oos0.0862450.085067-1.37%0.094145+9.16%0.0236✓1.22
2026-09-13oos0.084710.083862-1.00%0.093675+10.58%0.0440✗1.21
2026-09-12oos0.0898050.088684-1.25%0.09592+6.81%0.0186✗1.19
2026-09-11oos0.091860.090583-1.39%0.088865-3.26%0.0740✓1.18
2026-09-10oos0.0870850.086775-0.36%0.08481-2.61%0.0200✓1.16
2026-09-09oos0.092170.091546-0.68%0.08281-10.16%0.0689✓1.13
2026-09-08oos0.09260.091965-0.69%0.08245-10.96%0.0669✓1.14
2026-09-07oos0.087350.087982+0.72%0.086245-1.27%0.0063✓1.17
2026-09-06oos0.092110.092171+0.07%0.08471-8.03%0.0343✗1.11
2026-09-05oos0.087420.088104+0.78%0.089805+2.73%0.0554✓1.11
2026-09-04oos0.085090.085933+0.99%0.09186+7.96%0.1004✓1.07
2026-09-03oos0.087110.087593+0.55%0.087085-0.03%0.0581✓1.07
2026-09-02oos0.083120.083319+0.24%0.09217+10.89%0.0868✓1.13
2026-09-01oos0.083280.083212-0.08%0.0926+11.19%0.0920✗1.11
2026-08-31oos0.0782050.078509+0.39%0.08735+11.69%0.0999✓1.01
2026-08-30oos0.07870.078606-0.12%0.09211+17.04%0.1238✗1.03
2026-08-29oos0.0820450.081791-0.31%0.08742+6.55%0.0460✗1.02
2026-08-28oos0.084050.084038-0.01%0.08509+1.24%0.0114✓1.02
2026-08-27oos0.08660.086681+0.09%0.08711+0.59%0.0076✗1.02
2026-08-26oos0.0912150.090653-0.62%0.08312-8.87%0.0636✓1.05
2026-08-25oos0.0897450.089148-0.66%0.08328-7.20%0.0529✓1.05
2026-08-24oos0.089410.088833-0.65%0.078205-12.53%0.1219✓1.05
2026-08-23oos0.091150.090113-1.14%0.0787-13.66%0.1345✓1.08
2026-08-22oos0.086550.085627-1.07%0.082045-5.21%0.0590✓1.07
2026-08-21oos0.085920.084753-1.36%0.08405-2.18%0.0016✓1.08
2026-08-20oos0.0838350.082004-2.18%0.0866+3.30%0.0584✓1.19
2026-08-19oos0.079440.077805-2.06%0.091215+14.82%0.0016✓1.22
2026-08-18oos0.071170.070163-1.41%0.089745+26.10%0.0191✗1.17
2026-08-17oos0.072640.071404-1.70%0.08941+23.09%0.0134✓1.17
2026-08-16oos0.0710750.069866-1.70%0.09115+28.24%0.0136✓1.19
2026-08-15oos0.0723550.071021-1.84%0.08655+19.62%0.0398✓1.18
2026-08-14oos0.0733150.071811-2.05%0.08592+17.19%0.0820✓1.20
2026-08-13oos0.0751950.07322-2.63%0.083835+11.49%0.0364✓1.22
2026-08-12oos0.071470.069938-2.14%0.07944+11.15%0.0238✗1.17
2026-08-11oos0.0712050.069648-2.19%0.07117-0.05%0.0008✓1.16
2026-08-10oos0.0722650.070098-3.00%0.07264+0.52%0.0254✓1.16
2026-08-09oos0.07160.069626-2.76%0.071075-0.73%0.0577✗1.18
2026-08-08oos0.064450.063119-2.06%0.072355+12.27%0.1712✗1.17
2026-08-07oos0.0671150.064713-3.58%0.073315+9.24%0.1605✗1.19
2026-08-06oos0.061080.060078-1.64%0.075195+23.11%0.2396✗1.15
2026-08-05oos0.0607350.059927-1.33%0.07147+17.68%0.1977✗1.16
2026-08-04oos0.0611850.060384-1.31%0.071205+16.38%0.1742✗1.15
2026-08-03oos0.063690.062681-1.58%0.072265+13.46%0.1342✗1.16
2026-08-02oos0.0640.063031-1.51%0.0716+11.88%0.1028✗1.17
2026-08-01oos0.065720.064736-1.50%0.06445-1.93%0.0441✓1.18
2026-07-31oos0.0643550.063446-1.41%0.067115+4.29%0.0180✗1.18
2026-07-30oos0.070680.069041-2.32%0.06108-13.58%0.1146✓1.12
2026-07-29oos0.0655950.064741-1.30%0.060735-7.41%0.0756✓1.06
2026-07-28oos0.068750.067764-1.43%0.061185-11.00%0.1055✓1.07
2026-07-27oos0.080950.078727-2.75%0.06369-21.32%0.2081✓1.09
2026-07-26oos0.109890.102334-6.88%0.064-41.76%0.4448✓0.86
2026-07-25oos0.074760.073197-2.09%0.06572-12.09%0.0922✓0.64
2026-07-24oos0.074610.073213-1.87%0.064355-13.74%0.1164✓0.63
2026-07-23oos0.071630.070572-1.48%0.07068-1.33%0.0048✓0.64
2026-07-22oos0.0731250.072042-1.48%0.065595-10.30%0.0728✓0.62
2026-07-21oos0.070470.069644-1.17%0.06875-2.44%0.0131✗0.63
2026-07-20oos0.071770.070597-1.63%0.08095+12.79%0.1521✗0.65
2026-07-19oos0.070160.069208-1.36%0.10989+56.63%0.4558✗0.64
2026-07-18oos0.0714450.070468-1.37%0.07476+4.64%0.0641✗0.64
2026-07-17oos0.0751150.073709-1.87%0.07461-0.67%0.0100✓0.74
2026-07-16oos0.07410.072742-1.83%0.07163-3.33%0.0305✓0.76
2026-07-15oos0.072620.071433-1.63%0.073125+0.70%0.0074✓0.76
2026-07-14oos0.070420.069351-1.52%0.07047+0.07%0.0018✓0.77
2026-07-13oos0.067470.066257-1.80%0.07177+6.37%0.0448✗0.76
2026-07-12oos0.064410.063608-1.24%0.07016+8.93%0.0862✗0.81
2026-07-11oos0.0663350.065296-1.57%0.071445+7.70%0.0767✗0.84
2026-07-10oos0.066360.065435-1.39%0.075115+13.19%0.1412✗0.87
2026-07-09oos0.064070.063257-1.27%0.0741+15.65%0.1501✗0.86
2026-07-08oos0.064150.063279-1.36%0.07262+13.20%0.1040✗0.86
2026-07-07oos0.064630.063812-1.27%0.07042+8.96%0.0760✗0.87
2026-07-06oos0.066560.06564-1.38%0.06747+1.37%0.0522✗0.90
2026-07-05oos0.0666850.065762-1.38%0.06441-3.41%0.0232✓0.99
2026-07-04oos0.069950.068691-1.80%0.066335-5.17%0.0458✓1.01
2026-07-03oos0.06720.066109-1.62%0.06636-1.25%0.0210✓0.98
2026-07-02oos0.0679850.066675-1.93%0.06407-5.76%0.0667✓0.99
2026-07-01oos0.066160.064754-2.13%0.06415-3.04%0.0462✓0.99
2026-06-30oos0.066520.06446-3.10%0.06463-2.84%0.0774✓1.01
2026-06-29oos0.069740.068193-2.22%0.06656-4.56%0.0861✓1.00
2026-06-28oos0.0661250.064854-1.92%0.066685+0.85%0.0366✓0.97
2026-06-27oos0.066540.065135-2.11%0.06995+5.12%0.0223✗0.96
2026-06-26oos0.069340.067133-3.18%0.0672-3.09%0.0382✓0.95
2026-06-25oos0.063360.061933-2.25%0.067985+7.30%0.0657✗0.94
2026-06-24oos0.058580.057802-1.33%0.06616+12.94%0.1526✗1.04
2026-06-23oos0.0585050.057881-1.07%0.06652+13.70%0.2128✗1.08
2026-06-22oos0.0599150.059252-1.11%0.06974+16.40%0.2288✗1.08
2026-06-21oos0.0616450.060818-1.34%0.066125+7.27%0.1510✗1.10
2026-06-20oos0.061780.061038-1.20%0.06654+7.70%0.1624✗1.10
2026-06-19oos0.061280.060626-1.07%0.06934+13.15%0.1947✗1.07
2026-06-18oos0.0635750.06279-1.23%0.06336-0.34%0.0663✗1.11
2026-06-17oos0.067850.066883-1.43%0.05858-13.66%0.0725✓1.09
2026-06-16oos0.074910.073341-2.09%0.058505-21.90%0.1775✓1.05
2026-06-15oos0.0725550.071167-1.91%0.059915-17.42%0.1339✓1.07
2026-06-14oos0.072160.07078-1.91%0.061645-14.57%0.0967✓1.08
2026-06-13oos0.071790.07002-2.47%0.06178-13.94%0.1215✓1.13
2026-06-12oos0.072520.070955-2.16%0.06128-15.50%0.1455✓1.13
2026-06-11oos0.066540.065388-1.73%0.063575-4.46%0.0159✓1.12
2026-06-10oos0.0636950.062734-1.51%0.06785+6.52%0.0257✗1.11
2026-06-09oos0.067980.066619-2.00%0.07491+10.19%0.0487✗1.11
2026-06-08oos0.066120.064889-1.86%0.072555+9.73%0.0551✗1.14
2026-06-07oos0.06680.065282-2.27%0.07216+8.02%0.0592✗1.10
2026-06-06oos0.066170.064734-2.17%0.07179+8.49%0.0401✗1.11
2026-06-05oos0.064740.06303-2.64%0.07252+12.02%0.0955✗1.11
2026-06-04oos0.070640.06763-4.26%0.06654-5.80%0.0121✓1.08
2026-06-03oos0.061860.060454-2.27%0.063695+2.97%0.0991✗1.14
2026-06-02oos0.057580.056665-1.59%0.06798+18.06%0.2764✗1.22
2026-06-01oos0.061980.060818-1.87%0.06612+6.68%0.2243✗1.14
2026-05-31oos0.063880.062766-1.74%0.0668+4.57%0.2359✗1.15
2026-05-30oos0.065240.063987-1.92%0.06617+1.43%0.2265✗1.00
2026-05-29oos0.064470.063283-1.84%0.06474+0.42%0.1986✗0.96
2026-05-28oos0.065880.064673-1.83%0.07064+7.23%0.2203✗0.93
2026-05-27oos0.066450.065175-1.92%0.06186-6.91%0.0926✗0.97
2026-05-26oos0.067280.066055-1.82%0.05758-14.42%0.0070✓1.01
2026-05-25oos0.070450.068938-2.15%0.06198-12.02%0.0457✓0.76
2026-05-24oos0.065660.064585-1.64%0.06388-2.71%0.0163✓0.60
2026-05-23oos0.066040.064941-1.66%0.06524-1.21%0.0115✓0.18
2026-05-22oos0.064450.063331-1.74%0.06447+0.03%0.0230✗0.18
2026-05-21oos0.067540.066138-2.08%0.06588-2.46%0.0042✓0.15
2026-05-20oos0.065590.064438-1.76%0.06645+1.31%0.0366✗0.14
2026-05-19oos0.064840.063691-1.77%0.06728+3.76%0.0561✗0.10
2026-05-18oos0.0663050.065065-1.87%0.07045+6.25%0.0798✗-0.06
2026-05-17oos0.064320.063309-1.57%0.06566+2.08%0.0362✗-0.05
2026-05-16oos0.068910.067699-1.76%0.06604-4.16%0.0262✓-0.07
2026-05-15oos0.0750350.073496-2.05%0.06445-14.11%0.1339✓-0.05
2026-05-14oos0.0725750.071461-1.54%0.06754-6.94%0.0584✓-0.04
2026-05-13oos0.071220.070137-1.52%0.06559-7.91%0.0683✓-0.05
2026-05-12oos0.0731850.072219-1.32%0.06484-11.40%0.1109✓-0.07
2026-05-11oos0.0753550.074363-1.32%0.066305-12.01%0.1195✓-0.08
2026-05-10oos0.0766850.075545-1.49%0.06432-16.12%0.1659✓-0.08
2026-05-09oos0.073520.072552-1.32%0.06891-6.27%0.0547✓-0.10
2026-05-08oos0.075260.07398-1.70%0.075035-0.30%0.0128✓-0.10
2026-05-07oos0.0712650.070427-1.18%0.072575+1.84%0.0314✗-0.10
2026-05-06oos0.0700550.069505-0.78%0.07122+1.66%0.0219✗-0.09
2026-05-05oos0.0709750.070157-1.15%0.073185+3.11%0.0418✗-0.09
2026-05-04oos0.068120.067366-1.11%0.075355+10.62%0.1144✗-0.10
2026-05-03oos0.067960.067084-1.29%0.076685+12.84%0.1384✗-0.10
2026-05-02oos0.06820.067366-1.22%0.07352+7.80%0.0900✗-0.10
2026-05-01oos0.067640.066809-1.23%0.07526+11.27%0.1217✗-0.10
2026-04-30oos0.06790.066914-1.45%0.071265+4.96%0.0678✗-0.10
2026-04-29oos0.0677350.066639-1.62%0.070055+3.43%0.0574✗-0.10
2026-04-28oos0.068310.067175-1.66%0.070975+3.90%0.0612✗-0.11
2026-04-27oos0.0681950.067134-1.56%0.06812-0.11%0.0179✗-0.11
2026-04-26oos0.0701150.069064-1.50%0.06796-3.07%0.0163✓-0.12
2026-04-25oos0.07080.069496-1.84%0.0682-3.67%0.0173✓-0.12
2026-04-24oos0.077960.075421-3.26%0.06764-13.24%0.1077✓-0.12
2026-04-23oos0.074640.072623-2.70%0.0679-9.03%0.0699✓-0.10
2026-04-22oos0.068860.067355-2.19%0.067735-1.63%0.0024✓-0.10
2026-04-21oos0.068450.066782-2.44%0.06831-0.20%0.0226✓-0.11
2026-04-20oos0.068050.066289-2.59%0.068195+0.21%0.0304✗-0.11
2026-04-19oos0.067120.065237-2.81%0.070115+4.46%0.0795✗-0.12
2026-04-18oos0.074840.072516-3.11%0.0708-5.40%0.0189✓-0.20
2026-04-17oos0.07830.075811-3.18%0.07796-0.43%0.0290✓-0.23
2026-04-16oos0.077370.074466-3.75%0.07464-3.53%0.0121✓-0.24
2026-04-15oos0.076030.073348-3.53%0.06886-9.43%0.0525✓-0.24
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