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ESP

Espresso · Ethereum · beta_5y

token id
#281
symbol
ESP
variant
–
chain
Ethereum
address
0x031de51f3e8016514bd0963d0b2ab825a591db9a
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-02-13
predictions
729
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +30d

assessed
213
of 243 predictions shown
direction hit
57.7%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1128
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0613
actual -0.0378

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-22live0.0898150.082933-7.66%–pending––1.38
2026-10-21oos0.085780.079182-7.69%–pending––1.34
2026-10-20oos0.085150.079348-6.81%–pending––1.34
2026-10-19oos0.08390.078303-6.67%–pending––1.33
2026-10-18oos0.085280.080318-5.82%–pending––1.31
2026-10-17oos0.0882250.083433-5.43%–pending––1.31
2026-10-16oos0.0925750.08832-4.60%–pending––1.31
2026-10-15oos0.094110.090503-3.83%–pending––1.29
2026-10-14oos0.0969850.09281-4.30%–pending––1.29
2026-10-13oos0.103490.098732-4.60%–pending––1.25
2026-10-12oos0.106040.10019-5.52%–pending––1.26
2026-10-11oos0.119560.111784-6.50%–pending––1.18
2026-10-10oos0.117720.110196-6.39%–pending––1.12
2026-10-09oos0.113530.106605-6.10%–pending––1.13
2026-10-08oos0.1104350.103879-5.94%–pending––1.12
2026-10-07oos0.1155250.108556-6.03%–pending––1.11
2026-10-06oos0.1176450.111144-5.53%–pending––1.11
2026-10-05oos0.1135050.10791-4.93%–pending––1.11
2026-10-04oos0.1058650.101662-3.97%–pending––1.15
2026-10-03oos0.101920.096775-5.05%–pending––1.14
2026-10-02oos0.103590.097898-5.49%–pending––1.13
2026-10-01oos0.1053550.099392-5.66%–pending––1.13
2026-09-30oos0.1050950.098431-6.34%–pending––1.13
2026-09-29oos0.0973750.091783-5.74%–pending––1.14
2026-09-28oos0.0981050.092521-5.69%–pending––1.12
2026-09-27oos0.10420.09832-5.64%–pending––1.11
2026-09-26oos0.104920.098727-5.90%–pending––1.12
2026-09-25oos0.097510.092326-5.32%–pending––1.12
2026-09-24oos0.097280.092439-4.98%–pending––1.12
2026-09-23oos0.091820.088034-4.12%–pending––1.13
2026-09-22oos0.0951250.091384-3.93%0.089815-5.58%0.0072✓1.06
2026-09-21oos0.0941450.090659-3.70%0.08578-8.89%0.0075✓1.04
2026-09-20oos0.0936750.088003-6.06%0.08515-9.10%0.0579✓1.15
2026-09-19oos0.095920.089812-6.37%0.0839-12.53%0.0765✓1.14
2026-09-18oos0.0888650.083809-5.69%0.08528-4.03%0.0017✓1.13
2026-09-17oos0.084810.079306-6.49%0.088225+4.03%0.0325✓1.16
2026-09-16oos0.082810.078162-5.61%0.092575+11.79%0.0911✗1.15
2026-09-15oos0.082450.078075-5.31%0.09411+14.14%0.0889✗1.18
2026-09-14oos0.0862450.082031-4.89%0.096985+12.45%0.1156✗1.22
2026-09-13oos0.084710.080844-4.56%0.10349+22.17%0.1518✗1.21
2026-09-12oos0.0898050.085046-5.30%0.10604+18.08%0.1534✗1.19
2026-09-11oos0.091860.086799-5.51%0.11956+30.15%0.2251✗1.18
2026-09-10oos0.0870850.083129-4.54%0.11772+35.18%0.2548✗1.16
2026-09-09oos0.092170.088011-4.51%0.11353+23.17%0.1945✗1.13
2026-09-08oos0.09260.088628-4.29%0.110435+19.26%0.1739✗1.14
2026-09-07oos0.087350.084972-2.72%0.115525+32.26%0.2468✗1.17
2026-09-06oos0.092110.089275-3.08%0.117645+27.72%0.2062✗1.11
2026-09-05oos0.087420.085723-1.94%0.113505+29.84%0.2015✗1.11
2026-09-04oos0.085090.084131-1.13%0.105865+24.42%0.1415✗1.07
2026-09-03oos0.087110.086186-1.06%0.10192+17.00%0.1230✗1.07
2026-09-02oos0.083120.081595-1.83%0.10359+24.63%0.1381✗1.13
2026-09-01oos0.083280.081613-2.00%0.105355+26.51%0.1536✗1.11
2026-08-31oos0.0782050.078022-0.23%0.105095+34.38%0.2357✗1.01
2026-08-30oos0.07870.07757-1.44%0.097375+23.73%0.1514✗1.03
2026-08-29oos0.0820450.080759-1.57%0.098105+19.57%0.1287✗1.02
2026-08-28oos0.084050.083711-0.40%0.1042+23.97%0.1354✗1.02
2026-08-27oos0.08660.087273+0.78%0.10492+21.15%0.1327✓1.02
2026-08-26oos0.0912150.090577-0.70%0.09751+6.90%0.0084✗1.05
2026-08-25oos0.0897450.089635-0.12%0.09728+8.40%0.0063✗1.05
2026-08-24oos0.089410.090146+0.82%0.09182+2.70%0.0509✗1.05
2026-08-23oos0.091150.091232+0.09%0.095125+4.36%0.0696✗1.08
2026-08-22oos0.086550.087728+1.36%0.094145+8.78%0.0548✗1.07
2026-08-21oos0.085920.087613+1.97%0.093675+9.03%0.0285✓1.08
2026-08-20oos0.0838350.082493-1.60%0.09592+14.42%0.0237✗1.19
2026-08-19oos0.079440.077008-3.06%0.088865+11.86%0.0457✓1.22
2026-08-18oos0.071170.068617-3.59%0.08481+19.17%0.0178✓1.17
2026-08-17oos0.072640.069661-4.10%0.08281+14.00%0.0224✓1.17
2026-08-16oos0.0710750.067812-4.59%0.08245+16.00%0.0237✓1.19
2026-08-15oos0.0723550.068813-4.90%0.086245+19.20%0.0288✓1.18
2026-08-14oos0.0733150.069489-5.22%0.08471+15.54%0.0397✓1.20
2026-08-13oos0.0751950.070958-5.63%0.089805+19.43%0.0053✓1.22
2026-08-12oos0.071470.067824-5.10%0.09186+28.53%0.0736✗1.17
2026-08-11oos0.0712050.067546-5.14%0.087085+22.30%0.0383✓1.16
2026-08-10oos0.0722650.068474-5.25%0.09217+27.54%0.0614✗1.16
2026-08-09oos0.07160.068135-4.84%0.0926+29.33%0.0825✗1.18
2026-08-08oos0.064450.062108-3.63%0.08735+35.53%0.1091✗1.17
2026-08-07oos0.0671150.064055-4.56%0.09211+37.24%0.1089✗1.19
2026-08-06oos0.061080.058797-3.74%0.08742+43.12%0.1475✗1.15
2026-08-05oos0.0607350.058557-3.59%0.08509+40.10%0.1309✗1.16
2026-08-04oos0.0611850.059016-3.54%0.08711+42.37%0.1165✗1.15
2026-08-03oos0.063690.061055-4.14%0.08312+30.51%0.0796✗1.16
2026-08-02oos0.0640.061388-4.08%0.08328+30.13%0.0728✗1.17
2026-08-01oos0.065720.062732-4.55%0.078205+19.00%0.0448✓1.18
2026-07-31oos0.0643550.061743-4.06%0.0787+22.29%0.0076✓1.18
2026-07-30oos0.070680.06788-3.96%0.082045+16.08%0.0234✓1.12
2026-07-29oos0.0655950.063216-3.63%0.08405+28.13%0.0750✗1.06
2026-07-28oos0.068750.065911-4.13%0.0866+25.96%0.0291✓1.07
2026-07-27oos0.080950.075901-6.24%0.091215+12.68%0.0514✓1.09
2026-07-26oos0.109890.097962-10.85%0.089745-18.33%0.2458✓0.86
2026-07-25oos0.074760.070929-5.12%0.08941+19.60%0.0992✗0.64
2026-07-24oos0.074610.070675-5.27%0.09115+22.17%0.1321✗0.63
2026-07-23oos0.071630.068523-4.34%0.08655+20.83%0.1252✗0.64
2026-07-22oos0.0731250.070145-4.07%0.08592+17.50%0.0974✗0.62
2026-07-21oos0.070470.068246-3.16%0.083835+18.97%0.1467✗0.63
2026-07-20oos0.071770.068828-4.10%0.07944+10.69%0.1040✗0.65
2026-07-19oos0.070160.067278-4.11%0.07117+1.44%0.0562✗0.64
2026-07-18oos0.0714450.068591-3.99%0.07264+1.67%0.0605✗0.64
2026-07-17oos0.0751150.071166-5.26%0.071075-5.38%0.0111✓0.74
2026-07-16oos0.07410.070301-5.13%0.072355-2.35%0.0378✓0.76
2026-07-15oos0.072620.0694-4.43%0.073315+0.96%0.0757✗0.76
2026-07-14oos0.070420.067646-3.94%0.075195+6.78%0.1245✗0.77
2026-07-13oos0.067470.064288-4.72%0.07147+5.93%0.0921✗0.76
2026-07-12oos0.064410.062122-3.55%0.071205+10.55%0.1391✗0.81
2026-07-11oos0.0663350.063664-4.03%0.072265+8.94%0.1249✗0.84
2026-07-10oos0.066360.063705-4.00%0.0716+7.90%0.1071✗0.87
2026-07-09oos0.064070.061628-3.81%0.06445+0.59%0.0214✓0.86
2026-07-08oos0.064150.061518-4.10%0.067115+4.62%0.0511✗0.86
2026-07-07oos0.064630.062173-3.80%0.06108-5.49%0.0306✓0.87
2026-07-06oos0.066560.063898-4.00%0.060735-8.75%0.0592✓0.90
2026-07-05oos0.0666850.064012-4.01%0.061185-8.25%0.0524✓0.99
2026-07-04oos0.069950.066645-4.72%0.06369-8.95%0.0514✓1.01
2026-07-03oos0.06720.064213-4.44%0.064-4.76%0.0185✓0.98
2026-07-02oos0.0679850.064518-5.10%0.06572-3.33%0.0020✓0.99
2026-07-01oos0.066160.062667-5.28%0.064355-2.73%0.0195✓0.99
2026-06-30oos0.066520.062493-6.05%0.07068+6.25%0.0210✓1.01
2026-06-29oos0.069740.065618-5.91%0.065595-5.94%0.0605✓1.00
2026-06-28oos0.0661250.062532-5.43%0.06875+3.97%0.0263✓0.97
2026-06-27oos0.066540.062882-5.50%0.08095+21.66%0.1944✗0.96
2026-06-26oos0.069340.064805-6.54%0.10989+58.48%0.4468✗0.95
2026-06-25oos0.063360.059976-5.34%0.07476+17.99%0.1509✗0.94
2026-06-24oos0.058580.0563-3.89%0.07461+27.36%0.2300✗1.04
2026-06-23oos0.0585050.056607-3.24%0.07163+22.43%0.1945✗1.08
2026-06-22oos0.0599150.058032-3.14%0.073125+22.05%0.1957✗1.08
2026-06-21oos0.0616450.05929-3.82%0.07047+14.32%0.1172✗1.10
2026-06-20oos0.061780.059579-3.56%0.07177+16.17%0.1693✗1.10
2026-06-19oos0.061280.059251-3.31%0.07016+14.49%0.1488✗1.07
2026-06-18oos0.0635750.0613-3.58%0.071445+12.38%0.1199✗1.11
2026-06-17oos0.067850.065024-4.16%0.075115+10.71%0.1536✗1.09
2026-06-16oos0.074910.070882-5.38%0.0741-1.08%0.0743✗1.05
2026-06-15oos0.0725550.069-4.90%0.07262+0.09%0.0766✗1.07
2026-06-14oos0.072160.068492-5.08%0.07042-2.41%0.0396✓1.08
2026-06-13oos0.071790.067875-5.45%0.06747-6.02%0.0328✓1.13
2026-06-12oos0.072520.068335-5.77%0.06441-11.18%0.0627✓1.13
2026-06-11oos0.066540.063431-4.67%0.066335-0.31%0.0411✓1.12
2026-06-10oos0.0636950.060835-4.49%0.06636+4.18%0.0397✓1.11
2026-06-09oos0.067980.064114-5.69%0.06407-5.75%0.0272✓1.11
2026-06-08oos0.066120.062548-5.40%0.06415-2.98%0.0403✓1.14
2026-06-07oos0.06680.062845-5.92%0.06463-3.25%0.0276✓1.10
2026-06-06oos0.066170.062001-6.30%0.06656+0.59%0.0150✓1.11
2026-06-05oos0.064740.060326-6.82%0.066685+3.00%0.0547✓1.11
2026-06-04oos0.070640.064536-8.64%0.06995-0.98%0.0928✗1.08
2026-06-03oos0.061860.057746-6.65%0.0672+8.63%0.1789✗1.14
2026-06-02oos0.057580.054462-5.42%0.067985+18.07%0.3201✗1.22
2026-06-01oos0.061980.058572-5.50%0.06616+6.74%0.3203✗1.14
2026-05-31oos0.063880.060524-5.25%0.06652+4.13%0.3586✗1.15
2026-05-30oos0.065240.061749-5.35%0.06974+6.90%0.3260✗1.00
2026-05-29oos0.064470.061075-5.27%0.066125+2.57%0.2800✗0.96
2026-05-28oos0.065880.062293-5.45%0.06654+1.00%0.2564✗0.93
2026-05-27oos0.066450.062908-5.33%0.06934+4.35%0.3056✗0.97
2026-05-26oos0.067280.06398-4.90%0.06336-5.83%0.2320✗1.01
2026-05-25oos0.070450.066861-5.09%0.05858-16.85%0.0473✓0.76
2026-05-24oos0.065660.06278-4.39%0.058505-10.90%0.0541✗0.60
2026-05-23oos0.066040.062877-4.79%0.059915-9.27%0.0156✓0.18
2026-05-22oos0.064450.061066-5.25%0.061645-4.35%0.0420✓0.18
2026-05-21oos0.067540.063956-5.31%0.06178-8.53%0.0061✓0.15
2026-05-20oos0.065590.062064-5.38%0.06128-6.57%0.0152✓0.14
2026-05-19oos0.064840.061262-5.52%0.063575-1.95%0.0576✗0.10
2026-05-18oos0.0663050.062572-5.63%0.06785+2.33%0.0704✗-0.06
2026-05-17oos0.064320.061048-5.09%0.07491+16.46%0.1957✗-0.05
2026-05-16oos0.068910.065379-5.12%0.072555+5.29%0.0922✗-0.07
2026-05-15oos0.0750350.071134-5.20%0.07216-3.83%0.0044✓-0.05
2026-05-14oos0.0725750.069457-4.30%0.07179-1.08%0.0228✓-0.04
2026-05-13oos0.071220.068021-4.49%0.07252+1.83%0.0522✗-0.05
2026-05-12oos0.0731850.070372-3.84%0.06654-9.08%0.0715✓-0.07
2026-05-11oos0.0753550.072858-3.31%0.063695-15.47%0.1570✓-0.08
2026-05-10oos0.0766850.074241-3.19%0.06798-11.35%0.1120✓-0.08
2026-05-09oos0.073520.071124-3.26%0.06612-10.07%0.0977✓-0.10
2026-05-08oos0.075260.072364-3.85%0.0668-11.24%0.1032✓-0.10
2026-05-07oos0.0712650.06904-3.12%0.06617-7.15%0.0695✓-0.10
2026-05-06oos0.0700550.068916-1.63%0.06474-7.59%0.0891✓-0.09
2026-05-05oos0.0709750.069618-1.91%0.07064-0.47%0.0069✓-0.09
2026-05-04oos0.068120.066536-2.33%0.06186-9.19%0.0954✓-0.10
2026-05-03oos0.067960.065527-3.58%0.05758-15.27%0.1462✓-0.10
2026-05-02oos0.06820.065641-3.75%0.06198-9.12%0.0675✓-0.10
2026-05-01oos0.067640.065187-3.63%0.06388-5.56%0.0266✓-0.10
2026-04-30oos0.06790.064897-4.42%0.06524-3.92%0.0018✓-0.10
2026-04-29oos0.0677350.064409-4.91%0.06447-4.82%0.0024✓-0.10
2026-04-28oos0.068310.064957-4.91%0.06588-3.56%0.0102✓-0.11
2026-04-27oos0.0681950.064973-4.72%0.06645-2.56%0.0182✓-0.11
2026-04-26oos0.0701150.0671-4.30%0.06728-4.04%0.0018✓-0.12
2026-04-25oos0.07080.067198-5.09%0.07045-0.49%0.0466✓-0.12
2026-04-24oos0.077960.072983-6.38%0.06566-15.78%0.1065✓-0.12
2026-04-23oos0.074640.070114-6.06%0.06604-11.52%0.0620✓-0.10
2026-04-22oos0.068860.064804-5.89%0.06445-6.40%0.0091✓-0.10
2026-04-21oos0.068450.063711-6.92%0.06754-1.33%0.0600✓-0.11
2026-04-20oos0.068050.063055-7.34%0.06559-3.61%0.0416✓-0.11
2026-04-19oos0.067120.061831-7.88%0.06484-3.40%0.0521✓-0.12
2026-04-18oos0.074840.068438-8.55%0.066305-11.40%0.0285✓-0.20
2026-04-17oos0.07830.071848-8.24%0.06432-17.85%0.1098✓-0.23
2026-04-16oos0.077370.070012-9.51%0.06891-10.93%0.0067✓-0.24
2026-04-15oos0.076030.068851-9.44%0.075035-1.31%0.0992✗-0.24
2026-04-14oos0.074310.067317-9.41%0.072575-2.33%0.0970✓-0.25
2026-04-13oos0.0771950.069358-10.15%0.07122-7.74%0.0423✓-0.25
2026-04-12oos0.072870.066251-9.08%0.073185+0.43%0.1451✗-0.35
2026-04-11oos0.0778450.069562-10.64%0.075355-3.20%0.1291✗-0.44
2026-04-10oos0.0781450.069625-10.90%0.076685-1.87%0.1487✗-0.44
2026-04-09oos0.0781250.069772-10.69%0.07352-5.89%0.1036✓-0.44
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