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ESP

Espresso · Ethereum · beta_5y

token id
#281
symbol
ESP
variant
–
chain
Ethereum
address
0x031de51f3e8016514bd0963d0b2ab825a591db9a
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-02-13
predictions
729
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +1d

assessed
242
of 243 predictions shown
direction hit
54.1%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0416
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0056
actual -0.0001

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-22live0.0898150.089326-0.54%–pending––1.38
2026-10-21oos0.085780.085381-0.46%0.089815+2.40%0.0253✗1.34
2026-10-20oos0.085150.084767-0.45%0.08578+0.74%0.0158✗1.34
2026-10-19oos0.08390.08361-0.35%0.08515+1.49%0.0005✓1.33
2026-10-18oos0.085280.085026-0.30%0.0839-1.62%0.0106✓1.31
2026-10-17oos0.0882250.087996-0.26%0.08528-3.34%0.0414✓1.31
2026-10-16oos0.0925750.092323-0.27%0.088225-4.70%0.0435✓1.31
2026-10-15oos0.094110.093871-0.25%0.092575-1.63%0.0041✓1.29
2026-10-14oos0.0969850.096688-0.31%0.09411-2.96%0.0358✓1.29
2026-10-13oos0.103490.103109-0.37%0.096985-6.29%0.0380✓1.25
2026-10-12oos0.106040.105636-0.38%0.10349-2.40%0.0413✓1.26
2026-10-11oos0.119560.118878-0.57%0.10604-11.31%0.0868✓1.18
2026-10-10oos0.117720.117038-0.58%0.11956+1.56%0.0110✗1.12
2026-10-09oos0.113530.112966-0.50%0.11772+3.69%0.0362✗1.13
2026-10-08oos0.1104350.109906-0.48%0.11353+2.80%0.0208✗1.12
2026-10-07oos0.1155250.114863-0.57%0.110435-4.41%0.0180✓1.11
2026-10-06oos0.1176450.116818-0.70%0.115525-1.80%0.0187✗1.11
2026-10-05oos0.1135050.112735-0.68%0.117645+3.65%0.0453✗1.11
2026-10-04oos0.1058650.104991-0.83%0.113505+7.22%0.0881✗1.15
2026-10-03oos0.101920.101475-0.44%0.105865+3.87%0.0189✗1.14
2026-10-02oos0.103590.103087-0.49%0.10192-1.61%0.0146✓1.13
2026-10-01oos0.1053550.104698-0.62%0.10359-1.68%0.0060✓1.13
2026-09-30oos0.1050950.104367-0.69%0.105355+0.25%0.0079✓1.13
2026-09-29oos0.0973750.09696-0.43%0.105095+7.93%0.0817✗1.14
2026-09-28oos0.0981050.097685-0.43%0.097375-0.74%0.0056✓1.12
2026-09-27oos0.10420.103482-0.69%0.098105-5.85%0.0401✓1.11
2026-09-26oos0.104920.10409-0.79%0.1042-0.69%0.0005✓1.12
2026-09-25oos0.097510.097057-0.46%0.10492+7.60%0.0736✗1.12
2026-09-24oos0.097280.096785-0.51%0.09751+0.24%0.0114✗1.12
2026-09-23oos0.091820.091417-0.44%0.09728+5.95%0.0621✗1.13
2026-09-22oos0.0951250.094672-0.48%0.09182-3.47%0.0080✓1.06
2026-09-21oos0.0941450.093664-0.51%0.095125+1.04%0.0202✗1.04
2026-09-20oos0.0936750.09309-0.62%0.094145+0.50%0.0635✓1.15
2026-09-19oos0.095920.094814-1.15%0.093675-2.34%0.0110✓1.14
2026-09-18oos0.0888650.088382-0.54%0.09592+7.94%0.0768✗1.13
2026-09-17oos0.084810.084462-0.41%0.088865+4.78%0.0160✓1.16
2026-09-16oos0.082810.082577-0.28%0.08481+2.42%0.0236✗1.15
2026-09-15oos0.082450.082292-0.19%0.08281+0.44%0.0024✓1.18
2026-09-14oos0.0862450.086014-0.27%0.08245-4.40%0.0011✓1.22
2026-09-13oos0.084710.084532-0.21%0.086245+1.81%0.0014✓1.21
2026-09-12oos0.0898050.08956-0.27%0.08471-5.67%0.0485✓1.19
2026-09-11oos0.091860.09152-0.37%0.089805-2.24%0.0197✓1.18
2026-09-10oos0.0870850.086992-0.11%0.09186+5.48%0.0443✗1.16
2026-09-09oos0.092170.091926-0.26%0.087085-5.52%0.0285✓1.13
2026-09-08oos0.09260.092258-0.37%0.09217-0.46%0.0014✓1.14
2026-09-07oos0.087350.087324-0.03%0.0926+6.01%0.0682✗1.17
2026-09-06oos0.092110.091898-0.23%0.08735-5.17%0.0334✓1.11
2026-09-05oos0.087420.087337-0.09%0.09211+5.36%0.0462✗1.11
2026-09-04oos0.085090.085032-0.07%0.08742+2.74%0.0256✗1.07
2026-09-03oos0.087110.086938-0.20%0.08509-2.32%0.0004✓1.07
2026-09-02oos0.083120.082946-0.21%0.08711+4.80%0.0074✓1.13
2026-09-01oos0.083280.083046-0.28%0.08312-0.19%0.0022✓1.11
2026-08-31oos0.0782050.078057-0.19%0.08328+6.49%0.0798✗1.01
2026-08-30oos0.07870.078502-0.25%0.078205-0.63%0.0156✓1.03
2026-08-29oos0.0820450.081795-0.30%0.0787-4.08%0.0311✓1.02
2026-08-28oos0.084050.08383-0.26%0.082045-2.39%0.0267✓1.02
2026-08-27oos0.08660.08634-0.30%0.08405-2.94%0.0047✗1.02
2026-08-26oos0.0912150.090786-0.47%0.0866-5.06%0.0637✓1.05
2026-08-25oos0.0897450.089286-0.51%0.091215+1.64%0.0147✗1.05
2026-08-24oos0.089410.088903-0.57%0.089745+0.37%0.0155✗1.05
2026-08-23oos0.091150.090498-0.72%0.08941-1.91%0.0293✓1.08
2026-08-22oos0.086550.085893-0.76%0.09115+5.31%0.0500✗1.07
2026-08-21oos0.085920.085084-0.97%0.08655+0.73%0.0348✗1.08
2026-08-20oos0.0838350.082938-1.07%0.08592+2.49%0.0483✓1.19
2026-08-19oos0.079440.078799-0.81%0.083835+5.53%0.0019✓1.22
2026-08-18oos0.071170.070901-0.38%0.07944+11.62%0.0330✗1.17
2026-08-17oos0.072640.072301-0.47%0.07117-2.02%0.0195✓1.17
2026-08-16oos0.0710750.070781-0.41%0.07264+2.20%0.0046✓1.19
2026-08-15oos0.0723550.072031-0.45%0.071075-1.77%0.0099✓1.18
2026-08-14oos0.0733150.072943-0.51%0.072355-1.31%0.0089✓1.20
2026-08-13oos0.0751950.074618-0.77%0.073315-2.50%0.0089✓1.22
2026-08-12oos0.071470.071066-0.57%0.075195+5.21%0.0562✗1.17
2026-08-11oos0.0712050.070784-0.59%0.07147+0.37%0.0118✗1.16
2026-08-10oos0.0722650.071512-1.04%0.071205-1.47%0.0026✓1.16
2026-08-09oos0.07160.070922-0.95%0.072265+0.93%0.0359✗1.18
2026-08-08oos0.064450.064006-0.69%0.0716+11.09%0.1132✗1.17
2026-08-07oos0.0671150.06613-1.47%0.06445-3.97%0.0261✓1.19
2026-08-06oos0.061080.060816-0.43%0.067115+9.88%0.0875✗1.15
2026-08-05oos0.0607350.060554-0.30%0.06108+0.57%0.0147✗1.16
2026-08-04oos0.0611850.061012-0.28%0.060735-0.74%0.0144✓1.15
2026-08-03oos0.063690.063451-0.38%0.061185-3.93%0.0470✓1.16
2026-08-02oos0.0640.063766-0.37%0.06369-0.48%0.0006✓1.17
2026-08-01oos0.065720.065495-0.34%0.064-2.62%0.0368✓1.18
2026-07-31oos0.0643550.064131-0.35%0.06572+2.12%0.0256✗1.18
2026-07-30oos0.070680.070068-0.87%0.064355-8.95%0.0517✓1.12
2026-07-29oos0.0655950.06536-0.36%0.07068+7.75%0.0646✗1.06
2026-07-28oos0.068750.068486-0.38%0.065595-4.59%0.0439✓1.07
2026-07-27oos0.080950.080224-0.90%0.06875-15.07%0.1570✓1.09
2026-07-26oos0.109890.106697-2.91%0.08095-26.34%0.2542✓0.86
2026-07-25oos0.074760.074301-0.61%0.10989+46.99%0.3810✗0.64
2026-07-24oos0.074610.074245-0.49%0.07476+0.20%0.0048✓0.63
2026-07-23oos0.071630.071355-0.38%0.07461+4.16%0.0542✗0.64
2026-07-22oos0.0731250.072818-0.42%0.07163-2.04%0.0066✓0.62
2026-07-21oos0.070470.070216-0.36%0.073125+3.77%0.0447✗0.63
2026-07-20oos0.071770.071403-0.51%0.07047-1.81%0.0260✓0.65
2026-07-19oos0.070160.069896-0.38%0.07177+2.29%0.0212✗0.64
2026-07-18oos0.0714450.071169-0.39%0.07016-1.80%0.0132✓0.64
2026-07-17oos0.0751150.074726-0.52%0.071445-4.89%0.0553✓0.74
2026-07-16oos0.07410.073722-0.51%0.075115+1.37%0.0173✗0.76
2026-07-15oos0.072620.072276-0.47%0.0741+2.04%0.0362✗0.76
2026-07-14oos0.070420.070101-0.45%0.07262+3.12%0.0385✗0.77
2026-07-13oos0.067470.067127-0.51%0.07042+4.37%0.0154✗0.76
2026-07-12oos0.064410.064184-0.35%0.06747+4.75%0.0689✗0.81
2026-07-11oos0.0663350.066027-0.46%0.06441-2.90%0.0244✓0.84
2026-07-10oos0.066360.066097-0.40%0.066335-0.04%0.0085✗0.87
2026-07-09oos0.064070.063848-0.35%0.06636+3.57%0.0257✗0.86
2026-07-08oos0.064150.063923-0.35%0.06407-0.12%0.0106✓0.86
2026-07-07oos0.064630.064414-0.33%0.06415-0.74%0.0109✗0.87
2026-07-06oos0.066560.066311-0.37%0.06463-2.90%0.0161✓0.90
2026-07-05oos0.0666850.066434-0.38%0.06656-0.19%0.0046✓0.99
2026-07-04oos0.069950.069616-0.48%0.066685-4.67%0.0509✓1.01
2026-07-03oos0.06720.066925-0.41%0.06995+4.09%0.0354✗0.98
2026-07-02oos0.0679850.067648-0.50%0.0672-1.15%0.0232✓0.99
2026-07-01oos0.066160.065772-0.59%0.067985+2.76%0.0083✗0.99
2026-06-30oos0.066520.065816-1.06%0.06616-0.54%0.0194✓1.01
2026-06-29oos0.069740.069343-0.57%0.06652-4.62%0.0139✓1.00
2026-06-28oos0.0661250.065813-0.47%0.06974+5.47%0.0468✗0.97
2026-06-27oos0.066540.066175-0.55%0.066125-0.62%0.0066✗0.96
2026-06-26oos0.069340.068624-1.03%0.06654-4.04%0.0298✓0.95
2026-06-25oos0.063360.062943-0.66%0.06934+9.44%0.0921✗0.94
2026-06-24oos0.058580.058381-0.34%0.06336+8.16%0.1039✗1.04
2026-06-23oos0.0585050.058348-0.27%0.05858+0.13%0.0331✗1.08
2026-06-22oos0.0599150.059756-0.27%0.058505-2.35%0.0011✓1.08
2026-06-21oos0.0616450.061454-0.31%0.059915-2.81%0.0377✓1.10
2026-06-20oos0.061780.061618-0.26%0.061645-0.22%0.0175✗1.10
2026-06-19oos0.061280.061149-0.21%0.06178+0.82%0.0023✓1.07
2026-06-18oos0.0635750.063407-0.26%0.06128-3.61%0.0446✓1.11
2026-06-17oos0.067850.067645-0.30%0.063575-6.30%0.0353✓1.09
2026-06-16oos0.074910.074518-0.52%0.06785-9.42%0.0749✓1.05
2026-06-15oos0.0725550.072206-0.48%0.07491+3.25%0.0475✗1.07
2026-06-14oos0.072160.071824-0.47%0.072555+0.55%0.0008✓1.08
2026-06-13oos0.071790.071268-0.73%0.07216+0.52%0.0098✓1.13
2026-06-12oos0.072520.072139-0.53%0.07179-1.01%0.0206✓1.13
2026-06-11oos0.066540.066267-0.41%0.07252+8.99%0.0906✗1.12
2026-06-10oos0.0636950.06348-0.34%0.06654+4.47%0.0096✗1.11
2026-06-09oos0.067980.067661-0.47%0.063695-6.30%0.0561✓1.11
2026-06-08oos0.066120.065842-0.42%0.06798+2.81%0.0571✗1.14
2026-06-07oos0.06680.066415-0.58%0.06612-1.02%0.0003✓1.10
2026-06-06oos0.066170.06582-0.53%0.0668+0.95%0.0290✓1.11
2026-06-05oos0.064740.064269-0.73%0.06617+2.21%0.0325✗1.11
2026-06-04oos0.070640.069641-1.41%0.06474-8.35%0.0250✓1.08
2026-06-03oos0.061860.06153-0.53%0.07064+14.19%0.1422✗1.14
2026-06-02oos0.057580.057403-0.31%0.06186+7.43%0.1235✗1.22
2026-06-01oos0.061980.061735-0.40%0.05758-7.10%0.0076✗1.14
2026-05-31oos0.063880.063653-0.36%0.06198-2.97%0.0094✗1.15
2026-05-30oos0.065240.064966-0.42%0.06388-2.08%0.0142✓1.00
2026-05-29oos0.064470.06421-0.40%0.06524+1.19%0.0107✗0.96
2026-05-28oos0.065880.065622-0.39%0.06447-2.14%0.0159✓0.93
2026-05-27oos0.066450.066154-0.44%0.06588-0.86%0.0064✗0.97
2026-05-26oos0.067280.066979-0.45%0.06645-1.23%0.0124✗1.01
2026-05-25oos0.070450.070018-0.61%0.06728-4.50%0.0258✓0.76
2026-05-24oos0.065660.065377-0.43%0.07045+7.30%0.0726✗0.60
2026-05-23oos0.066040.065765-0.42%0.06566-0.58%0.0024✓0.18
2026-05-22oos0.064450.064189-0.40%0.06604+2.47%0.0255✗0.18
2026-05-21oos0.067540.067159-0.56%0.06445-4.58%0.0370✓0.15
2026-05-20oos0.065590.065327-0.40%0.06754+2.97%0.0332✗0.14
2026-05-19oos0.064840.064597-0.38%0.06559+1.16%0.0143✗0.10
2026-05-18oos0.0663050.06604-0.40%0.06484-2.21%0.0185✓-0.06
2026-05-17oos0.064320.064129-0.30%0.066305+3.09%0.0330✗-0.05
2026-05-16oos0.068910.068643-0.39%0.06432-6.66%0.0657✓-0.07
2026-05-15oos0.0750350.07461-0.57%0.06891-8.16%0.0801✓-0.05
2026-05-14oos0.0725750.072289-0.39%0.075035+3.39%0.0362✗-0.04
2026-05-13oos0.071220.070963-0.36%0.072575+1.90%0.0237✗-0.05
2026-05-12oos0.0731850.072939-0.34%0.07122-2.68%0.0248✓-0.07
2026-05-11oos0.0753550.075064-0.39%0.073185-2.88%0.0266✓-0.08
2026-05-10oos0.0766850.076304-0.50%0.075355-1.73%0.0130✓-0.08
2026-05-09oos0.073520.073226-0.40%0.076685+4.30%0.0481✗-0.10
2026-05-08oos0.075260.074847-0.55%0.07352-2.31%0.0173✓-0.10
2026-05-07oos0.0712650.07101-0.36%0.07526+5.61%0.0584✗-0.10
2026-05-06oos0.0700550.069837-0.31%0.071265+1.73%0.0186✗-0.09
2026-05-05oos0.0709750.070638-0.47%0.070055-1.30%0.0077✓-0.09
2026-05-04oos0.068120.067837-0.41%0.070975+4.19%0.0466✗-0.10
2026-05-03oos0.067960.067696-0.39%0.06812+0.24%0.0079✗-0.10
2026-05-02oos0.06820.067958-0.36%0.06796-0.35%0.0001✓-0.10
2026-05-01oos0.067640.067404-0.35%0.0682+0.83%0.0123✗-0.10
2026-04-30oos0.06790.067645-0.38%0.06764-0.38%0.0025✓-0.10
2026-04-29oos0.0677350.067473-0.39%0.0679+0.24%0.0071✗-0.10
2026-04-28oos0.068310.06804-0.40%0.067735-0.84%0.0053✓-0.11
2026-04-27oos0.0681950.067954-0.35%0.06831+0.17%0.0038✗-0.11
2026-04-26oos0.0701150.06986-0.36%0.068195-2.74%0.0261✓-0.12
2026-04-25oos0.07080.070494-0.43%0.070115-0.97%0.0038✓-0.12
2026-04-24oos0.077960.077113-1.09%0.0708-9.18%0.0851✓-0.12
2026-04-23oos0.074640.074066-0.77%0.07796+4.45%0.0502✗-0.10
2026-04-22oos0.068860.068536-0.47%0.07464+8.39%0.0854✗-0.10
2026-04-21oos0.068450.068127-0.47%0.06886+0.60%0.0132✗-0.11
2026-04-20oos0.068050.067729-0.47%0.06845+0.59%0.0113✗-0.11
2026-04-19oos0.067120.066788-0.49%0.06805+1.39%0.0219✗-0.12
2026-04-18oos0.074840.074411-0.57%0.06712-10.32%0.1083✓-0.20
2026-04-17oos0.07830.077798-0.64%0.07484-4.42%0.0429✓-0.23
2026-04-16oos0.077370.076774-0.77%0.0783+1.20%0.0258✗-0.24
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