ERG

Ergo · native · beta_5y

token id: #922
symbol: ERG
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-04-29
predictions: 2,670

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

61.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0956

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0313

actual -0.0219

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.3079	0.291951	-5.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-21	oos	0.31945	0.300915	-5.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-20	oos	0.3475	0.324696	-6.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.36
2026-10-19	oos	0.32025	0.300785	-6.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-18	oos	0.31585	0.297097	-5.94%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-17	oos	0.32405	0.30231	-6.71%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.3098	0.288544	-6.86%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-15	oos	0.3241	0.300138	-7.39%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.2956	0.273613	-7.44%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.311	0.287522	-7.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-12	oos	0.3215	0.295604	-8.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-11	oos	0.32625	0.300028	-8.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-10	oos	0.3262	0.298674	-8.44%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-10-09	oos	0.2942	0.268404	-8.77%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-10-08	oos	0.3076	0.280364	-8.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-07	oos	0.2978	0.271107	-8.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-06	oos	0.32115	0.29393	-8.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-05	oos	0.3138	0.286683	-8.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-04	oos	0.32445	0.296558	-8.60%	–	pending	–	–	1.26
2026-10-03	oos	0.3062	0.277662	-9.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.3255	0.295593	-9.19%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-10-01	oos	0.32945	0.29888	-9.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-09-30	oos	0.3314	0.299989	-9.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.26
2026-09-29	oos	0.3359	0.303712	-9.58%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.3236	0.292038	-9.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-09-27	oos	0.3311	0.298833	-9.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.3278	0.295627	-9.81%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.33875	0.305172	-9.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-24	oos	0.3396	0.305897	-9.92%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-23	oos	0.3478	0.31298	-10.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-09-22	oos	0.3403	0.307348	-9.68%	0.3079	-9.52%	0.0325	✓	1.32
2026-09-21	oos	0.32345	0.293585	-9.23%	0.31945	-1.24%	0.1448	✗	1.31
2026-09-20	oos	0.2769	0.252483	-8.82%	0.3475	+25.50%	0.2942	✗	1.17
2026-09-19	oos	0.28165	0.256558	-8.91%	0.32025	+13.70%	0.2131	✗	1.16
2026-09-18	oos	0.28615	0.260226	-9.06%	0.31585	+10.38%	0.1777	✗	1.16
2026-09-17	oos	0.2532	0.232654	-8.11%	0.32405	+27.98%	0.2636	✗	1.06
2026-09-16	oos	0.2491	0.229227	-7.98%	0.3098	+24.37%	0.2292	✗	1.06
2026-09-15	oos	0.24205	0.223413	-7.70%	0.3241	+33.90%	0.2842	✗	1.06
2026-09-14	oos	0.2686	0.245655	-8.54%	0.2956	+10.05%	0.1431	✗	0.99
2026-09-13	oos	0.2597	0.238169	-8.29%	0.311	+19.75%	0.1889	✗	0.99
2026-09-12	oos	0.2606	0.238849	-8.35%	0.3215	+23.37%	0.2412	✗	0.99
2026-09-11	oos	0.2549	0.234162	-8.14%	0.32625	+27.99%	0.2516	✗	0.99
2026-09-10	oos	0.256	0.235293	-8.09%	0.3262	+27.42%	0.2473	✗	0.99
2026-09-09	oos	0.2494	0.230163	-7.71%	0.2942	+17.96%	0.1909	✗	1.03
2026-09-08	oos	0.2522	0.232984	-7.62%	0.3076	+21.97%	0.2356	✗	1.04
2026-09-07	oos	0.2215	0.208643	-5.80%	0.2978	+34.45%	0.2995	✗	1.09
2026-09-06	oos	0.2646	0.244485	-7.60%	0.32115	+21.37%	0.2118	✗	0.97
2026-09-05	oos	0.2593	0.242824	-6.35%	0.3138	+21.02%	0.1871	✗	0.97
2026-09-04	oos	0.2538	0.241772	-4.74%	0.32445	+27.84%	0.2163	✗	0.95
2026-09-03	oos	0.2634	0.255605	-2.96%	0.3062	+16.25%	0.1413	✗	0.94
2026-09-02	oos	0.26055	0.255437	-1.96%	0.3255	+24.93%	0.1527	✗	1.01
2026-09-01	oos	0.2516	0.251219	-0.15%	0.32945	+30.94%	0.1776	✗	1.02
2026-08-31	oos	0.2584	0.259064	+0.26%	0.3314	+28.25%	0.1821	✓	1.04
2026-08-30	oos	0.2469	0.246977	+0.03%	0.3359	+36.05%	0.2314	✓	1.03
2026-08-29	oos	0.2507	0.251188	+0.19%	0.3236	+29.08%	0.1879	✓	1.01
2026-08-28	oos	0.2563	0.255852	-0.17%	0.3311	+29.18%	0.1751	✗	1.01
2026-08-27	oos	0.2586	0.261387	+1.08%	0.3278	+26.76%	0.1743	✓	1.04
2026-08-26	oos	0.2625	0.264031	+0.58%	0.33875	+29.05%	0.1842	✓	1.05
2026-08-25	oos	0.2624	0.264558	+0.82%	0.3396	+29.42%	0.1739	✓	1.05
2026-08-24	oos	0.2673	0.270016	+1.02%	0.3478	+30.12%	0.1827	✓	1.07
2026-08-23	oos	0.2667	0.269269	+0.96%	0.3403	+27.60%	0.1252	✓	1.05
2026-08-22	oos	0.2709	0.272053	+0.43%	0.32345	+19.40%	0.0498	✓	1.06
2026-08-21	oos	0.2675	0.273618	+2.29%	0.2769	+3.51%	0.0260	✗	1.07
2026-08-20	oos	0.2429	0.24486	+0.81%	0.28165	+15.95%	0.0313	✓	1.02
2026-08-19	oos	0.2155	0.214552	-0.44%	0.28615	+32.78%	0.1515	✗	0.88
2026-08-18	oos	0.2014	0.194579	-3.39%	0.2532	+25.72%	0.1208	✗	0.86
2026-08-17	oos	0.2026	0.195445	-3.53%	0.2491	+22.95%	0.0995	✗	0.86
2026-08-16	oos	0.2051	0.1962	-4.34%	0.24205	+18.02%	0.0452	✗	0.89
2026-08-15	oos	0.2025	0.19411	-4.14%	0.2686	+32.64%	0.1327	✗	0.89
2026-08-14	oos	0.207	0.198322	-4.19%	0.2597	+25.46%	0.0918	✗	0.90
2026-08-13	oos	0.209	0.200576	-4.03%	0.2606	+24.69%	0.0824	✗	0.91
2026-08-12	oos	0.2159	0.206797	-4.22%	0.2549	+18.06%	0.0320	✓	0.90
2026-08-11	oos	0.2216	0.211997	-4.33%	0.256	+15.52%	0.0238	✓	0.88
2026-08-10	oos	0.2382	0.226517	-4.90%	0.2494	+4.70%	0.0811	✓	0.87
2026-08-09	oos	0.2358	0.225131	-4.52%	0.2522	+6.96%	0.0568	✓	0.89
2026-08-08	oos	0.2388	0.227708	-4.65%	0.2215	-7.24%	0.2038	✓	0.89
2026-08-07	oos	0.2356	0.224995	-4.50%	0.2646	+12.31%	0.0270	✓	0.89
2026-08-06	oos	0.2341	0.223186	-4.66%	0.2593	+10.76%	0.0418	✓	0.88
2026-08-05	oos	0.2253	0.215843	-4.20%	0.2538	+12.65%	0.0245	✓	0.89
2026-08-04	oos	0.222	0.212524	-4.27%	0.2634	+18.65%	0.0028	✓	0.89
2026-08-03	oos	0.2162	0.207018	-4.25%	0.26055	+20.51%	0.0567	✗	0.88
2026-08-02	oos	0.2141	0.205208	-4.15%	0.2516	+17.52%	0.0252	✓	0.90
2026-08-01	oos	0.202	0.194056	-3.93%	0.2584	+27.92%	0.0898	✗	0.88
2026-07-31	oos	0.2046	0.196487	-3.97%	0.2469	+20.67%	0.0427	✗	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.2073	0.200918	-3.08%	0.2507	+20.94%	0.0530	✗	0.89
2026-07-29	oos	0.2084	0.201084	-3.51%	0.2563	+22.98%	0.0660	✗	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.2074	0.200528	-3.31%	0.2586	+24.69%	0.0500	✗	0.89
2026-07-27	oos	0.2007	0.194981	-2.85%	0.2625	+30.79%	0.1053	✗	0.89
2026-07-26	oos	0.2085	0.204217	-2.05%	0.2624	+25.85%	0.0899	✗	0.87
2026-07-25	oos	0.2153	0.209991	-2.47%	0.2673	+24.15%	0.0552	✗	0.90
2026-07-24	oos	0.2163	0.211341	-2.29%	0.2667	+23.30%	0.0604	✗	0.89
2026-07-23	oos	0.2203	0.216369	-1.78%	0.2709	+22.97%	0.0735	✗	0.89
2026-07-22	oos	0.2181	0.215914	-1.00%	0.2675	+22.65%	0.0607	✗	0.90
2026-07-21	oos	0.2235	0.221424	-0.93%	0.2429	+8.68%	0.0087	✓	0.90
2026-07-20	oos	0.2198	0.217136	-1.21%	0.2155	-1.96%	0.0619	✓	0.89
2026-07-19	oos	0.2206	0.217397	-1.45%	0.2014	-8.70%	0.0764	✓	0.89
2026-07-18	oos	0.2211	0.21807	-1.37%	0.2026	-8.37%	0.0693	✓	0.86
2026-07-17	oos	0.2211	0.217322	-1.71%	0.2051	-7.24%	0.0435	✓	0.86
2026-07-16	oos	0.22	0.216378	-1.65%	0.2025	-7.95%	0.0561	✓	0.86
2026-07-15	oos	0.22	0.217268	-1.24%	0.207	-5.91%	0.0246	✓	0.87
2026-07-14	oos	0.2129	0.211241	-0.78%	0.209	-1.83%	0.0108	✗	0.88
2026-07-13	oos	0.2103	0.206977	-1.58%	0.2159	+2.66%	0.0255	✗	0.92
2026-07-12	oos	0.2215	0.21819	-1.49%	0.2216	+0.05%	0.0184	✗	0.90
2026-07-11	oos	0.2202	0.217216	-1.36%	0.2382	+8.17%	0.0904	✗	0.86
2026-07-10	oos	0.2189	0.216447	-1.12%	0.2358	+7.72%	0.0759	✗	0.87
2026-07-09	oos	0.2182	0.215292	-1.33%	0.2388	+9.44%	0.0798	✗	0.88
2026-07-08	oos	0.2216	0.21787	-1.68%	0.2356	+6.32%	0.0408	✗	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	0.2215	0.218632	-1.29%	0.2341	+5.69%	0.0550	✗	0.90
2026-07-06	oos	0.2231	0.220563	-1.14%	0.2253	+0.99%	0.0129	✗	0.90
2026-07-05	oos	0.2159	0.213946	-0.91%	0.222	+2.83%	0.0308	✗	0.84
2026-07-04	oos	0.2129	0.211028	-0.88%	0.2162	+1.55%	0.0192	✗	0.84
2026-07-03	oos	0.2128	0.210594	-1.04%	0.2141	+0.61%	0.0036	✓	0.83
2026-07-02	oos	0.2079	0.205529	-1.14%	0.202	-2.84%	0.0344	✓	0.83
2026-07-01	oos	0.2034	0.200418	-1.47%	0.2046	+0.59%	0.0178	✓	0.82
2026-06-30	oos	0.1904	0.187739	-1.40%	0.2073	+8.88%	0.0198	✗	0.79
2026-06-29	oos	0.2025	0.199667	-1.40%	0.2084	+2.91%	0.0029	✓	0.76
2026-06-28	oos	0.2027	0.199397	-1.63%	0.2074	+2.32%	0.0148	✓	0.76
2026-06-27	oos	0.2048	0.201441	-1.64%	0.2007	-2.00%	0.0503	✓	0.77
2026-06-26	oos	0.2051	0.201705	-1.66%	0.2085	+1.66%	0.0325	✓	0.77
2026-06-25	oos	0.2124	0.208042	-2.05%	0.2153	+1.37%	0.0232	✓	0.78
2026-06-24	oos	0.2201	0.21537	-2.15%	0.2163	-1.73%	0.0329	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	0.2215	0.217244	-1.92%	0.2203	-0.54%	0.0142	✓	0.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.221	0.217169	-1.73%	0.2181	-1.31%	0.0207	✓	0.76
2026-06-21	oos	0.2177	0.213868	-1.76%	0.2235	+2.66%	0.0058	✓	0.76
2026-06-20	oos	0.2176	0.214016	-1.65%	0.2198	+1.01%	0.0149	✓	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.2143	0.210726	-1.67%	0.2206	+2.94%	0.0314	✗	0.77
2026-06-18	oos	0.2135	0.209766	-1.75%	0.2211	+3.56%	0.0299	✗	0.76
2026-06-17	oos	0.2198	0.215751	-1.84%	0.2211	+0.59%	0.0309	✗	0.74
2026-06-16	oos	0.2256	0.221077	-2.01%	0.22	-2.48%	0.0166	✓	0.75
2026-06-15	oos	0.2333	0.227759	-2.38%	0.22	-5.70%	0.0165	✓	0.76
2026-06-14	oos	0.2264	0.221176	-2.31%	0.2129	-5.96%	0.0298	✓	0.76
2026-06-13	oos	0.2221	0.21659	-2.48%	0.2103	-5.31%	0.0035	✓	0.76
2026-06-12	oos	0.2221	0.215886	-2.80%	0.2215	-0.27%	0.0232	✓	0.77
2026-06-11	oos	0.2206	0.214011	-2.99%	0.2202	-0.18%	0.0260	✓	0.77
2026-06-10	oos	0.2103	0.204192	-2.90%	0.2189	+4.09%	0.0375	✗	0.75
2026-06-09	oos	0.2162	0.208823	-3.41%	0.2182	+0.93%	0.0261	✓	0.75
2026-06-08	oos	0.2124	0.205221	-3.38%	0.2216	+4.33%	0.0869	✗	0.77
2026-06-07	oos	0.2127	0.205163	-3.54%	0.2215	+4.14%	0.0764	✗	0.76
2026-06-06	oos	0.2096	0.202264	-3.50%	0.2231	+6.44%	0.0602	✗	0.75
2026-06-05	oos	0.2146	0.206603	-3.73%	0.2159	+0.61%	0.0139	✓	0.74
2026-06-04	oos	0.2273	0.217637	-4.25%	0.2129	-6.34%	0.0140	✓	0.71
2026-06-03	oos	0.2368	0.225926	-4.59%	0.2128	-10.14%	0.0441	✓	0.65
2026-06-02	oos	0.2532	0.240448	-5.04%	0.2079	-17.89%	0.0955	✓	0.62
2026-06-01	oos	0.2713	0.257703	-5.01%	0.2034	-25.03%	0.1549	✓	0.47
2026-05-31	oos	0.2757	0.26268	-4.72%	0.1904	-30.94%	0.2130	✓	0.48
2026-05-30	oos	0.2721	0.259377	-4.68%	0.2025	-25.58%	0.1608	✓	0.43
2026-05-29	oos	0.2634	0.25112	-4.66%	0.2027	-23.04%	0.1239	✓	0.43
2026-05-28	oos	0.2594	0.247547	-4.57%	0.2048	-21.05%	0.0996	✓	0.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.2701	0.257497	-4.67%	0.2051	-24.07%	0.1342	✓	0.44
2026-05-26	oos	0.2839	0.270158	-4.84%	0.2124	-25.18%	0.1411	✓	0.42
2026-05-25	oos	0.2783	0.266253	-4.33%	0.2201	-20.91%	0.0521	✓	0.58
2026-05-24	oos	0.2851	0.271484	-4.78%	0.2215	-22.31%	0.0867	✓	0.57
2026-05-23	oos	0.2851	0.270901	-4.98%	0.221	-22.48%	0.1083	✓	0.53
2026-05-22	oos	0.2834	0.26839	-5.30%	0.2177	-23.18%	0.1156	✓	0.53
2026-05-21	oos	0.2818	0.268181	-4.83%	0.2176	-22.78%	0.1060	✓	0.55
2026-05-20	oos	0.2889	0.273941	-5.18%	0.2143	-25.82%	0.1383	✓	0.54
2026-05-19	oos	0.2876	0.272016	-5.42%	0.2135	-25.76%	0.1360	✓	0.53
2026-05-18	oos	0.285	0.269738	-5.36%	0.2198	-22.88%	0.1091	✓	0.54
2026-05-17	oos	0.2835	0.268817	-5.18%	0.2256	-20.42%	0.0869	✓	0.53
2026-05-16	oos	0.2893	0.274482	-5.12%	0.2333	-19.36%	0.0752	✓	0.53
2026-05-15	oos	0.3044	0.288588	-5.19%	0.2264	-25.62%	0.1392	✓	0.56
2026-05-14	oos	0.3073	0.29396	-4.34%	0.2221	-27.73%	0.1502	✓	0.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.3072	0.291355	-5.16%	0.2221	-27.70%	0.1441	✓	0.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.3097	0.295133	-4.70%	0.2206	-28.77%	0.1562	✓	0.57
2026-05-11	oos	0.322	0.308116	-4.31%	0.2103	-34.69%	0.2157	✓	0.58
2026-05-10	oos	0.312	0.300328	-3.74%	0.2162	-30.71%	0.1597	✓	0.59
2026-05-09	oos	0.3089	0.295112	-4.46%	0.2124	-31.24%	0.1837	✓	0.59
2026-05-08	oos	0.3094	0.295057	-4.64%	0.2127	-31.25%	0.1891	✓	0.58
2026-05-07	oos	0.3081	0.293967	-4.59%	0.2096	-31.97%	0.1783	✓	0.58
2026-05-06	oos	0.3159	0.30358	-3.90%	0.2146	-32.07%	0.1387	✓	0.72
2026-05-05	oos	0.3184	0.305123	-4.17%	0.2273	-28.61%	0.1630	✓	0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.3008	0.289185	-3.86%	0.2368	-21.28%	0.0816	✓	0.54
2026-05-03	oos	0.2986	0.286695	-3.99%	0.2532	-15.20%	0.0397	✓	0.51
2026-05-02	oos	0.3012	0.290278	-3.63%	0.2713	-9.93%	0.0164	✓	0.52
2026-05-01	oos	0.3025	0.292155	-3.42%	0.2757	-8.86%	0.0254	✓	0.53
2026-04-30	oos	0.2967	0.286184	-3.54%	0.2721	-8.29%	0.0317	✓	0.55
2026-04-29	oos	0.297	0.287281	-3.27%	0.2634	-11.31%	0.0690	✓	0.56
2026-04-28	oos	0.3045	0.296036	-2.78%	0.2594	-14.81%	0.1112	✓	0.56
2026-04-27	oos	0.3048	0.299443	-1.76%	0.2701	-11.38%	0.0806	✓	0.56
2026-04-26	oos	0.3118	0.309309	-0.80%	0.2839	-8.95%	0.0651	✓	0.56
2026-04-25	oos	0.317	0.312625	-1.38%	0.2783	-12.21%	0.1134	✓	0.56
2026-04-24	oos	0.3129	0.309894	-0.96%	0.2851	-8.88%	0.0799	✓	0.56
2026-04-23	oos	0.3148	0.31403	-0.24%	0.2851	-9.43%	0.0849	✓	0.56
2026-04-22	oos	0.3196	0.318391	-0.38%	0.2834	-11.33%	0.0964	✓	0.56
2026-04-21	oos	0.3156	0.31144	-1.32%	0.2818	-10.71%	0.1087	✓	0.56
2026-04-20	oos	0.3163	0.311061	-1.66%	0.2889	-8.66%	0.0857	✓	0.56
2026-04-19	oos	0.3194	0.309783	-3.01%	0.2876	-9.96%	0.0969	✓	0.58
2026-04-18	oos	0.3251	0.318507	-2.03%	0.285	-12.33%	0.1203	✓	0.58
2026-04-17	oos	0.3307	0.326682	-1.22%	0.2835	-14.27%	0.1441	✓	0.58
2026-04-16	oos	0.3227	0.316738	-1.85%	0.2893	-10.35%	0.1127	✓	0.58
2026-04-15	oos	0.3162	0.311117	-1.61%	0.3044	-3.73%	0.0533	✓	0.57
2026-04-14	oos	0.3113	0.305113	-1.99%	0.3073	-1.28%	0.0441	✓	0.58
2026-04-13	oos	0.3071	0.301434	-1.84%	0.3072	+0.03%	0.0187	✓	0.60
2026-04-12	oos	0.3009	0.290033	-3.61%	0.3097	+2.92%	0.0120	✓	0.60
2026-04-11	oos	0.3148	0.305181	-3.06%	0.322	+2.29%	0.0127	✓	0.59
2026-04-10	oos	0.3055	0.296686	-2.89%	0.312	+2.13%	0.0199	✓	0.59
2026-04-09	oos	0.2999	0.290004	-3.30%	0.3089	+3.00%	0.0054	✓	0.59
2026-04-08	oos	0.3008	0.289975	-3.60%	0.3094	+2.86%	0.0062	✓	0.59
2026-04-07	oos	0.2992	0.289422	-3.27%	0.3081	+2.97%	0.0005	✓	0.59
2026-04-06	oos	0.2993	0.286724	-4.20%	0.3159	+5.55%	0.0060	✓	0.61
2026-04-05	oos	0.2963	0.284073	-4.13%	0.3184	+7.46%	0.0167	✓	0.61
2026-04-04	oos	0.2965	0.283581	-4.36%	0.3008	+1.45%	0.0467	✓	0.62
2026-04-03	oos	0.2858	0.274562	-3.93%	0.2986	+4.48%	0.0143	✓	0.62
2026-04-02	oos	0.2881	0.277028	-3.84%	0.3012	+4.55%	0.0160	✓	0.61
2026-04-01	oos	0.2941	0.283425	-3.63%	0.3025	+2.86%	0.0201	✓	0.62
2026-03-31	oos	0.2794	0.271247	-2.92%	0.2967	+6.19%	0.0202	✓	0.62
2026-03-30	oos	0.2749	0.266546	-3.04%	0.297	+8.04%	0.0292	✓	0.62
2026-03-29	oos	0.2709	0.262828	-2.98%	0.3045	+12.40%	0.0555	✗	0.63
2026-03-28	oos	0.2802	0.272112	-2.89%	0.3048	+8.78%	0.0168	✓	0.63
2026-03-27	oos	0.2859	0.277709	-2.86%	0.3118	+9.06%	0.0080	✓	0.63
2026-03-26	oos	0.2899	0.284946	-1.71%	0.317	+9.35%	0.0291	✗	0.64
2026-03-25	oos	0.2946	0.294337	-0.09%	0.3129	+6.21%	0.0080	✗	0.64
2026-03-24	oos	0.2932	0.292221	-0.33%	0.3148	+7.37%	0.0075	✗	0.64
2026-03-23	oos	0.2964	0.296317	-0.03%	0.3196	+7.83%	0.0125	✗	0.64
2026-03-22	oos	0.2855	0.281379	-1.44%	0.3156	+10.54%	0.0394	✗	0.64
2026-03-21	oos	0.2883	0.286039	-0.78%	0.3163	+9.71%	0.0392	✗	0.64
2026-03-20	oos	0.2895	0.290324	+0.28%	0.3194	+10.33%	0.0660	✓	0.64
2026-03-19	oos	0.2995	0.299322	-0.06%	0.3251	+8.55%	0.0311	✗	0.64
2026-03-18	oos	0.3148	0.315975	+0.37%	0.3307	+5.05%	0.0066	✗	0.66
2026-03-17	oos	0.3292	0.333469	+1.30%	0.3227	-1.97%	0.0436	✗	0.65
2026-03-16	oos	0.3351	0.339951	+1.45%	0.3162	-5.64%	0.0720	✗	0.65
2026-03-15	oos	0.3261	0.329912	+1.17%	0.3113	-4.54%	0.0699	✗	0.64
2026-03-14	oos	0.3161	0.318508	+0.76%	0.3071	-2.85%	0.0650	✗	0.65
2026-03-13	oos	0.3232	0.324774	+0.49%	0.3009	-6.90%	0.0746	✗	0.64
2026-03-12	oos	0.3165	0.318166	+0.53%	0.3148	-0.54%	0.0334	✗	0.64
2026-03-11	oos	0.3187	0.319802	+0.35%	0.3055	-4.14%	0.0708	✗	0.64
2026-03-10	oos	0.3219	0.322379	+0.15%	0.2999	-6.83%	0.0889	✗	0.64
2026-03-09	oos	0.3212	0.319985	-0.38%	0.3008	-6.35%	0.0863	✓	0.64
2026-03-08	oos	0.3212	0.317219	-1.24%	0.2992	-6.85%	0.1143	✓	0.65
2026-03-07	oos	0.3189	0.316546	-0.74%	0.2993	-6.15%	0.0713	✓	0.65
2026-03-06	oos	0.3199	0.318365	-0.48%	0.2963	-7.38%	0.0804	✓	0.65
2026-03-05	oos	0.3148	0.31617	+0.44%	0.2965	-5.81%	0.0289	✗	0.68
2026-03-04	oos	0.3237	0.325658	+0.60%	0.2858	-11.71%	0.0755	✗	0.67
2026-03-03	oos	0.3307	0.328759	-0.59%	0.2881	-12.88%	0.1166	✓	0.72
2026-03-02	oos	0.3376	0.335234	-0.70%	0.2941	-12.89%	0.1235	✓	0.71
2026-03-01	oos	0.3457	0.339703	-1.73%	0.2794	-19.18%	0.2235	✓	0.77
2026-02-28	oos	0.3555	0.349074	-1.81%	0.2749	-22.67%	0.2362	✓	0.79
2026-02-27	oos	0.3473	0.340592	-1.93%	0.2709	-22.00%	0.2301	✓	0.78
2026-02-26	oos	0.3555	0.348786	-1.89%	0.2802	-21.18%	0.2053	✓	0.78
2026-02-25	oos	0.3599	0.352447	-2.07%	0.2859	-20.56%	0.1902	✓	0.78
2026-02-24	oos	0.3165	0.310254	-1.97%	0.2899	-8.40%	0.1177	✓	0.70
2026-02-23	oos	0.2971	0.292794	-1.45%	0.2946	-0.84%	0.0619	✓	0.69
2026-02-22	oos	0.2942	0.292363	-0.62%	0.2932	-0.34%	0.0273	✓	0.71
2026-02-21	oos	0.3041	0.301733	-0.78%	0.2964	-2.53%	0.0475	✓	0.71
2026-02-20	oos	0.3051	0.302667	-0.80%	0.2855	-6.42%	0.0568	✓	0.76
2026-02-19	oos	0.3108	0.307304	-1.12%	0.2883	-7.24%	0.0855	✓	0.76
2026-02-18	oos	0.3208	0.316097	-1.47%	0.2895	-9.76%	0.1333	✓	0.76
2026-02-17	oos	0.3293	0.324265	-1.53%	0.2995	-9.05%	0.1066	✓	0.76
2026-02-16	oos	0.3295	0.325017	-1.36%	0.3148	-4.46%	0.0584	✓	0.78
2026-02-15	oos	0.3322	0.327599	-1.38%	0.3292	-0.90%	0.0512	✓	0.78
2026-02-14	oos	0.3748	0.364887	-2.64%	0.3351	-10.59%	0.1391	✓	0.76
2026-02-13	oos	0.3708	0.360489	-2.78%	0.3261	-12.06%	0.1436	✓	0.76
2026-02-12	oos	0.3621	0.351667	-2.88%	0.3161	-12.70%	0.1626	✓	0.77
2026-02-11	oos	0.3606	0.350331	-2.85%	0.3232	-10.37%	0.1257	✓	0.79
2026-02-10	oos	0.3798	0.366669	-3.46%	0.3165	-16.67%	0.1668	✓	0.79
2026-02-09	oos	0.3844	0.37021	-3.69%	0.3187	-17.09%	0.1510	✓	0.80
2026-02-08	oos	0.3955	0.378492	-4.30%	0.3219	-18.61%	0.1584	✓	0.79
2026-02-07	oos	0.401	0.381478	-4.87%	0.3212	-19.90%	0.1627	✓	0.79
2026-02-06	oos	0.4073	0.385117	-5.45%	0.3212	-21.14%	0.1292	✓	0.78
2026-02-05	oos	0.3562	0.34207	-3.97%	0.3189	-10.47%	0.1180	✓	0.70
2026-02-04	oos	0.3647	0.347281	-4.78%	0.3199	-12.28%	0.0124	✓	1.01
2026-02-03	oos	0.3649	0.346981	-4.91%	0.3148	-13.73%	0.0293	✓	1.04
2026-02-02	oos	0.3573	0.340671	-4.65%	0.3237	-9.40%	0.0409	✓	1.16
2026-02-01	oos	0.3458	0.330527	-4.42%	0.3307	-4.37%	0.1276	✗	1.08
2026-01-31	oos	0.3625	0.346358	-4.45%	0.3376	-6.87%	0.1208	✗	1.10
2026-01-30	oos	0.3901	0.373574	-4.24%	0.3457	-11.38%	0.1919	✗	1.10
2026-01-29	oos	0.4085	0.390361	-4.44%	0.3555	-12.97%	0.1611	✗	1.09
2026-01-28	oos	0.424	0.407237	-3.95%	0.3473	-18.09%	0.1797	✗	1.12
2026-01-27	oos	0.4317	0.414178	-4.06%	0.3555	-17.65%	0.1531	✗	1.10
2026-01-26	oos	0.426	0.40842	-4.13%	0.3599	-15.52%	0.1538	✗	1.07
2026-01-25	oos	0.4285	0.409117	-4.52%	0.3165	-26.14%	0.0787	✗	1.11
2026-01-24	oos	0.4337	0.415675	-4.16%	0.2971	-31.50%	0.0276	✓	1.13
2026-01-23	oos	0.4331	0.415318	-4.11%	0.2942	-32.07%	0.0143	✓	1.18
2026-01-22	oos	0.4377	0.419818	-4.09%	0.3041	-30.52%	0.0015	✓	1.18
2026-01-21	oos	0.449	0.428999	-4.45%	0.3051	-32.05%	0.0164	✓	1.19
2026-01-20	oos	0.4326	0.41275	-4.59%	0.3108	-28.16%	0.0511	✗	1.21
2026-01-19	oos	0.4542	0.437581	-3.66%	0.3208	-29.37%	0.0961	✗	1.23
2026-01-18	oos	0.4629	0.44837	-3.14%	0.3293	-28.86%	0.0968	✗	1.24
2026-01-17	oos	0.474	0.463572	-2.20%	0.3295	-30.49%	0.0529	✗	1.22
2026-01-16	oos	0.4795	0.471687	-1.63%	0.3322	-30.72%	0.0583	✗	1.25
2026-01-15	oos	0.4907	0.483603	-1.45%	0.3748	-23.62%	0.1378	✗	1.25
2026-01-14	oos	0.5107	0.506722	-0.78%	0.3708	-27.39%	0.1130	✗	1.24
2026-01-13	oos	0.4585	0.458874	+0.08%	0.3621	-21.03%	0.2038	✓	1.21
2026-01-12	oos	0.4475	0.437152	-2.31%	0.3606	-19.42%	0.1917	✗	1.25
2026-01-11	oos	0.4526	0.441483	-2.46%	0.3798	-16.08%	0.1984	✗	1.25
2026-01-10	oos	0.454	0.441935	-2.66%	0.3844	-15.33%	0.1792	✗	1.25
2026-01-09	oos	0.4606	0.447952	-2.75%	0.3955	-14.13%	0.2178	✗	1.35
2026-01-08	oos	0.4526	0.441863	-2.37%	0.401	-11.40%	0.2637	✗	1.32
2026-01-07	oos	0.4587	0.44802	-2.33%	0.4073	-11.21%	0.2678	✗	1.41
2026-01-06	oos	0.4844	0.474957	-1.95%	0.3562	-26.47%	0.2746	✗	1.40
2026-01-05	oos	0.4995	0.488947	-2.11%	0.3647	-26.99%	0.0589	✗	1.40
2026-01-04	oos	0.4915	0.479637	-2.41%	0.3649	-25.76%	0.0042	✓	1.42
2026-01-03	oos	0.4866	0.474729	-2.44%	0.3573	-26.57%	0.0832	✓	1.42
2026-01-02	oos	0.4923	0.479607	-2.58%	0.3458	-29.76%	0.1039	✓	1.42
2026-01-01	oos	0.4832	0.471006	-2.52%	0.3625	-24.98%	0.0903	✓	1.42
2025-12-31	oos	0.4664	0.455961	-2.24%	0.3901	-16.36%	0.1008	✓	1.40
2025-12-30	oos	0.4959	0.483899	-2.42%	0.4085	-17.62%	0.1069	✓	1.39
2025-12-29	oos	0.476	0.465348	-2.24%	0.424	-10.92%	0.1253	✓	1.39
2025-12-28	oos	0.4782	0.467618	-2.21%	0.4317	-9.72%	0.0994	✓	1.39
2025-12-27	oos	0.4315	0.424897	-1.53%	0.426	-1.27%	0.0042	✓	1.35
2025-12-26	oos	0.4283	0.421442	-1.60%	0.4285	+0.05%	0.0280	✗	1.35
2025-12-25	oos	0.4313	0.424246	-1.64%	0.4337	+0.56%	0.0073	✓	1.35
2025-12-24	oos	0.4427	0.434929	-1.76%	0.4331	-2.17%	0.0326	✓	1.35
2025-12-23	oos	0.4458	0.437741	-1.81%	0.4377	-1.82%	0.0311	✓	1.35
2025-12-22	oos	0.4655	0.457267	-1.77%	0.449	-3.54%	0.0305	✓	1.35
2025-12-21	oos	0.476	0.467177	-1.85%	0.4326	-9.12%	0.0719	✓	1.35
2025-12-20	oos	0.496	0.484292	-2.36%	0.4542	-8.43%	0.1282	✓	1.37
2025-12-19	oos	0.4871	0.475869	-2.31%	0.4629	-4.97%	0.1109	✓	1.37
2025-12-18	oos	0.4528	0.441804	-2.43%	0.474	+4.68%	0.0731	✓	1.34
2025-12-17	oos	0.4629	0.451589	-2.44%	0.4795	+3.59%	0.0771	✓	1.34
2025-12-16	oos	0.4552	0.446177	-1.98%	0.4907	+7.80%	0.0198	✓	1.36
2025-12-15	oos	0.4505	0.440468	-2.23%	0.5107	+13.36%	0.0092	✓	1.37
2025-12-14	oos	0.4757	0.465491	-2.15%	0.4585	-3.62%	0.1210	✓	1.35
2025-12-13	oos	0.4768	0.468515	-1.74%	0.4475	-6.15%	0.0599	✓	1.36
2025-12-12	oos	0.4816	0.473108	-1.76%	0.4526	-6.02%	0.0532	✓	1.36
2025-12-11	oos	0.4952	0.487991	-1.46%	0.454	-8.32%	0.0399	✓	1.36
2025-12-10	oos	0.5148	0.50499	-1.91%	0.4606	-10.53%	0.0692	✓	1.37
2025-12-09	oos	0.5209	0.511249	-1.85%	0.4526	-13.11%	0.0970	✓	1.37
2025-12-08	oos	0.5243	0.512577	-2.24%	0.4587	-12.51%	0.1205	✓	1.38
2025-12-07	oos	0.5344	0.521235	-2.46%	0.4844	-9.36%	0.1231	✓	1.38
2025-12-06	oos	0.5254	0.512287	-2.50%	0.4995	-4.93%	0.0947	✓	1.38
2025-12-05	oos	0.5042	0.493721	-2.08%	0.4915	-2.52%	0.0374	✓	1.38
2025-12-04	oos	0.51	0.501398	-1.69%	0.4866	-4.59%	0.0070	✓	1.41
2025-12-03	oos	0.5193	0.51099	-1.60%	0.4923	-5.20%	0.0164	✗	1.41
2025-12-02	oos	0.5385	0.526335	-2.26%	0.4832	-10.27%	0.0442	✓	1.45
2025-12-01	oos	0.5006	0.489442	-2.23%	0.4664	-6.83%	0.0686	✓	1.46
2025-11-30	oos	0.5414	0.528302	-2.42%	0.4959	-8.40%	0.0314	✓	1.45
2025-11-29	oos	0.5481	0.534351	-2.51%	0.476	-13.15%	0.0554	✓	1.44
2025-11-28	oos	0.5844	0.565164	-3.29%	0.4782	-18.17%	0.1182	✓	1.44
2025-11-27	oos	0.6029	0.580325	-3.74%	0.4315	-28.43%	0.2398	✓	1.44
2025-11-26	oos	0.6179	0.590694	-4.40%	0.4283	-30.68%	0.2704	✓	1.43
2025-11-25	oos	0.6249	0.592051	-5.26%	0.4313	-30.98%	0.3142	✓	1.48
2025-11-24	oos	0.6041	0.573897	-5.00%	0.4427	-26.72%	0.2484	✓	1.49
2025-11-23	oos	0.62	0.582509	-6.05%	0.4458	-28.10%	0.2783	✓	1.52
2025-11-22	oos	0.5308	0.505994	-4.67%	0.4655	-12.30%	0.1484	✓	1.45
2025-11-21	oos	0.4518	0.437316	-3.21%	0.476	+5.36%	0.0253	✓	1.44
2025-11-20	oos	0.4514	0.436925	-3.21%	0.496	+9.88%	0.0970	✗	1.46
2025-11-19	oos	0.4723	0.456727	-3.30%	0.4871	+3.13%	0.1221	✗	1.54
2025-11-18	oos	0.5104	0.491088	-3.78%	0.4528	-11.29%	0.0465	✗	1.53
2025-11-17	oos	0.501	0.48213	-3.77%	0.4629	-7.60%	0.0601	✗	1.52
2025-11-16	oos	0.514	0.494628	-3.77%	0.4552	-11.44%	0.0250	✓	1.55
2025-11-15	oos	0.5203	0.501476	-3.62%	0.4505	-13.42%	0.0489	✗	1.55
2025-11-14	oos	0.5215	0.503271	-3.50%	0.4757	-8.78%	0.0519	✗	1.56
2025-11-13	oos	0.5679	0.547942	-3.51%	0.4768	-16.04%	0.0150	✓	1.56
2025-11-12	oos	0.597	0.575426	-3.61%	0.4816	-19.33%	0.0061	✓	1.55
2025-11-11	oos	0.6214	0.597998	-3.77%	0.4952	-20.31%	0.0228	✓	1.55
2025-11-10	oos	0.6228	0.601781	-3.37%	0.5148	-17.34%	0.0674	✗	1.58
2025-11-09	oos	0.6417	0.616693	-3.90%	0.5209	-18.82%	0.0265	✓	1.60
2025-11-08	oos	0.6406	0.612679	-4.36%	0.5243	-18.15%	0.0408	✓	1.63
2025-11-07	oos	0.6439	0.615328	-4.44%	0.5344	-17.01%	0.0764	✗	1.63
2025-11-06	oos	0.6153	0.587717	-4.48%	0.5254	-14.61%	0.0927	✗	1.62
2025-11-05	oos	0.6439	0.613347	-4.74%	0.5042	-21.70%	0.0473	✓	1.61
2025-11-04	oos	0.5716	0.546804	-4.34%	0.51	-10.78%	0.0791	✗	1.53
2025-11-03	oos	0.5617	0.541394	-3.62%	0.5193	-7.55%	0.1808	✗	1.70
2025-11-02	oos	0.6098	0.587712	-3.62%	0.5385	-11.69%	0.2352	✗	1.69
2025-11-01	oos	0.6287	0.604432	-3.86%	0.5006	-20.38%	0.2254	✗	1.70
2025-10-31	oos	0.6247	0.600667	-3.85%	0.5414	-13.33%	0.2240	✗	1.70
2025-10-30	oos	0.6303	0.60521	-3.98%	0.5481	-13.04%	0.2024	✗	1.71
2025-10-29	oos	0.609	0.586878	-3.63%	0.5844	-4.04%	0.3309	✗	1.75
2025-10-28	oos	0.603	0.583754	-3.19%	0.6029	-0.02%	0.4077	✗	1.77
2025-10-27	oos	0.69	0.663783	-3.80%	0.6179	-10.45%	0.3294	✗	1.73
2025-10-26	oos	0.7419	0.709313	-4.39%	0.6249	-15.77%	0.3403	✗	1.72
2025-10-25	oos	0.6788	0.649852	-4.26%	0.6041	-11.00%	0.3227	✗	1.68
2025-10-24	oos	0.6829	0.653223	-4.35%	0.62	-9.21%	0.3586	✗	1.67
2025-10-23	oos	0.6635	0.634913	-4.31%	0.5308	-20.00%	0.2578	✗	1.66
2025-10-22	oos	0.6152	0.58957	-4.17%	0.4518	-26.56%	0.1138	✗	1.62
2025-10-21	oos	0.6325	0.605491	-4.27%	0.4514	-28.63%	0.0696	✗	1.62
2025-10-20	oos	0.6661	0.637342	-4.32%	0.4723	-29.09%	0.0109	✓	1.64
2025-10-19	oos	0.6731	0.640134	-4.90%	0.5104	-24.17%	0.0298	✓	1.64
2025-10-18	oos	0.6227	0.593048	-4.76%	0.501	-19.54%	0.0743	✗	1.60
2025-10-17	oos	0.6126	0.583129	-4.81%	0.514	-16.10%	0.0690	✗	1.59
2025-10-16	oos	0.6252	0.595975	-4.67%	0.5203	-16.78%	0.0631	✗	1.60
2025-10-15	oos	0.6547	0.625114	-4.52%	0.5215	-20.35%	0.0691	✗	1.57
2025-10-14	oos	0.6761	0.646442	-4.39%	0.5679	-16.00%	0.0712	✗	1.58
2025-10-13	oos	0.6991	0.669531	-4.23%	0.597	-14.60%	0.0877	✗	1.61
2025-10-12	oos	0.7064	0.674665	-4.49%	0.6214	-12.03%	0.0975	✗	1.62
2025-10-11	oos	0.6166	0.584533	-5.20%	0.6228	+1.01%	0.1304	✗	1.52
2025-10-10	oos	0.5866	0.559052	-4.70%	0.6417	+9.39%	0.2608	✗	1.61
2025-10-09	oos	0.6817	0.670002	-1.72%	0.6406	-6.03%	0.2177	✗	1.51
2025-10-08	oos	0.7125	0.703217	-1.30%	0.6439	-9.63%	0.1739	✗	1.48
2025-10-07	oos	0.7047	0.687753	-2.40%	0.6153	-12.69%	0.1518	✗	1.45
2025-10-06	oos	0.736	0.730946	-0.69%	0.6439	-12.51%	0.1379	✗	1.45
2025-10-05	oos	0.7141	0.703522	-1.48%	0.5716	-19.96%	0.0747	✗	1.44
2025-10-04	oos	0.7215	0.704414	-2.37%	0.5617	-22.15%	0.0279	✓	1.43
2025-10-03	oos	0.7328	0.713037	-2.70%	0.6098	-16.78%	0.0106	✓	1.44
2025-10-02	oos	0.7458	0.717948	-3.73%	0.6287	-15.70%	0.0012	✓	1.46
2025-10-01	oos	0.728	0.691933	-4.95%	0.6247	-14.19%	0.0146	✓	1.46
2025-09-30	oos	0.6868	0.638968	-6.96%	0.6303	-8.23%	0.0614	✓	1.45
2025-09-29	oos	0.693	0.643695	-7.11%	0.609	-12.12%	0.0039	✓	1.54
2025-09-28	oos	0.7095	0.656797	-7.43%	0.603	-15.01%	0.0958	✓	1.64
2025-09-27	oos	0.6949	0.63972	-7.94%	0.69	-0.71%	0.0105	✓	1.66
2025-09-26	oos	0.6826	0.627925	-8.01%	0.7419	+8.69%	0.0952	✗	1.65
2025-09-25	oos	0.6951	0.641414	-7.72%	0.6788	-2.34%	0.0167	✓	1.68
2025-09-24	oos	0.7374	0.690075	-6.42%	0.6829	-7.39%	0.0245	✓	1.70
2025-09-23	oos	0.7157	0.668903	-6.54%	0.6635	-7.29%	0.0211	✓	1.70
2025-09-22	oos	0.7471	0.706347	-5.45%	0.6152	-17.65%	0.0553	✓	1.77
2025-09-21	oos	0.7844	0.75233	-4.09%	0.6325	-19.37%	0.0621	✓	1.80
2025-09-20	oos	0.8044	0.775537	-3.59%	0.6661	-17.19%	0.0738	✓	1.71
2025-09-19	oos	0.8018	0.774712	-3.38%	0.6731	-16.05%	0.0321	✓	1.74
2025-09-18	oos	0.813	0.791235	-2.68%	0.6227	-23.41%	0.0864	✓	1.73

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.