CSPR

Casper Network · native · beta_5y

token id: #586
symbol: CSPR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-21
predictions: 255

Track record at +7d

assessed

78

of 85 predictions shown

direction hit

59.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0893

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0277

actual -0.0019

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.002272	0.002242	-1.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-21	oos	0.002257	0.002221	-1.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-20	oos	0.002253	0.002217	-1.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-19	oos	0.002189	0.002154	-1.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-18	oos	0.002275	0.002237	-1.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-17	oos	0.002348	0.002304	-1.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-16	oos	0.002345	0.002302	-1.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-15	oos	0.002311	0.002273	-1.68%	0.002272	-1.70%	0.0144	✓	0.56
2026-10-14	oos	0.002449	0.002401	-1.95%	0.002257	-7.85%	0.0699	✓	0.57
2026-10-13	oos	0.00249	0.002444	-1.85%	0.002253	-9.52%	0.0803	✓	0.56
2026-10-12	oos	0.002435	0.002383	-2.15%	0.002189	-10.10%	0.0853	✓	0.56
2026-10-11	oos	0.002483	0.002435	-1.90%	0.002275	-8.36%	0.0569	✓	0.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.002443	0.002393	-2.03%	0.002348	-3.87%	0.0088	✓	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.002498	0.002434	-2.53%	0.002345	-6.12%	0.0304	✓	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.002343	0.002288	-2.38%	0.002311	-1.36%	0.0075	✓	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.002432	0.002378	-2.22%	0.002449	+0.71%	0.0404	✗	0.52
2026-10-06	oos	0.002499	0.002448	-2.04%	0.00249	-0.37%	0.0314	✗	0.50
2026-10-05	oos	0.002604	0.002548	-2.13%	0.002435	-6.48%	0.0217	✓	0.50
2026-10-04	oos	0.00258	0.002529	-1.97%	0.002483	-3.79%	0.0021	✓	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.002571	0.002508	-2.45%	0.002443	-4.96%	0.0151	✓	0.51
2026-10-02	oos	0.002537	0.002474	-2.48%	0.002498	-1.56%	0.0212	✓	0.51
2026-10-01	oos	0.002563	0.002498	-2.51%	0.002343	-8.56%	0.0451	✓	0.50
2026-09-30	oos	0.002648	0.002567	-3.06%	0.002432	-8.16%	0.0523	✓	0.52
2026-09-29	oos	0.002717	0.002632	-3.14%	0.002499	-8.02%	0.0633	✓	0.52
2026-09-28	oos	0.002731	0.002638	-3.40%	0.002604	-4.67%	0.0272	✓	0.52
2026-09-27	oos	0.00279	0.002701	-3.19%	0.00258	-7.53%	0.0579	✓	0.50
2026-09-26	oos	0.002743	0.002658	-3.08%	0.002571	-6.28%	0.0355	✓	0.51
2026-09-25	oos	0.002707	0.002624	-3.06%	0.002537	-6.26%	0.0360	✓	0.51
2026-09-24	oos	0.002674	0.002599	-2.82%	0.002563	-4.18%	0.0169	✓	0.51
2026-09-23	oos	0.00273	0.002653	-2.83%	0.002648	-3.03%	0.0028	✓	0.50
2026-09-22	oos	0.002788	0.002717	-2.56%	0.002717	-2.55%	0.0148	✓	0.49
2026-09-21	oos	0.002786	0.002719	-2.39%	0.002731	-1.95%	0.0225	✓	0.49
2026-09-20	oos	0.002651	0.002588	-2.40%	0.00279	+5.25%	0.0570	✗	0.46
2026-09-19	oos	0.00285	0.002767	-2.89%	0.002743	-3.76%	0.0263	✓	0.45
2026-09-18	oos	0.002697	0.002637	-2.22%	0.002707	+0.37%	0.0086	✓	0.45
2026-09-17	oos	0.002583	0.00254	-1.68%	0.002674	+3.52%	0.0088	✓	0.43
2026-09-16	oos	0.002491	0.002466	-1.01%	0.00273	+9.61%	0.0580	✗	0.43
2026-09-15	oos	0.002579	0.002548	-1.18%	0.002788	+8.13%	0.0325	✗	0.44
2026-09-14	oos	0.00289	0.002827	-2.16%	0.002786	-3.60%	0.0416	✓	0.26
2026-09-13	oos	0.002902	0.002843	-2.01%	0.002651	-8.63%	0.0851	✓	0.27
2026-09-12	oos	0.003038	0.002964	-2.44%	0.00285	-6.20%	0.0520	✓	0.25
2026-09-11	oos	0.002933	0.00288	-1.79%	0.002697	-8.05%	0.0777	✓	0.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.002973	0.002917	-1.88%	0.002583	-13.11%	0.1209	✓	0.26
2026-09-09	oos	0.003018	0.00296	-1.94%	0.002491	-17.47%	0.1659	✓	0.24
2026-09-08	oos	0.002894	0.002858	-1.25%	0.002579	-10.88%	0.0936	✓	0.25
2026-09-07	oos	0.002854	0.002825	-1.00%	0.00289	+1.25%	0.0254	✗	0.25
2026-09-06	oos	0.002809	0.002788	-0.75%	0.002902	+3.31%	0.0516	✗	0.26
2026-09-05	oos	0.002845	0.002818	-0.94%	0.003038	+6.79%	0.0836	✗	0.26
2026-09-04	oos	0.002662	0.002648	-0.52%	0.002933	+10.19%	0.1105	✗	0.26
2026-09-03	oos	0.002657	0.002641	-0.61%	0.002973	+11.91%	0.1342	✗	0.26
2026-09-02	oos	0.002679	0.002649	-1.14%	0.003018	+12.66%	0.1263	✗	0.34
2026-09-01	oos	0.002757	0.002726	-1.14%	0.002894	+4.95%	0.0553	✗	0.33
2026-08-31	oos	0.002768	0.002741	-0.98%	0.002854	+3.10%	0.0382	✗	0.32
2026-08-30	oos	0.002631	0.002599	-1.22%	0.002809	+6.75%	0.0673	✗	0.30
2026-08-29	oos	0.00288	0.002846	-1.20%	0.002845	-1.22%	0.0051	✓	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.002962	0.002946	-0.54%	0.002662	-10.15%	0.1072	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.002917	0.002931	+0.47%	0.002657	-8.94%	0.1014	✗	0.26
2026-08-26	oos	0.002761	0.002761	-0.00%	0.002679	-2.95%	0.0248	✓	0.23
2026-08-25	oos	0.003037	0.003	-1.25%	0.002757	-9.23%	0.0807	✓	0.24
2026-08-24	oos	0.002855	0.002813	-1.46%	0.002768	-3.04%	0.0147	✓	0.28
2026-08-23	oos	0.00248	0.00245	-1.19%	0.002631	+6.10%	0.0714	✗	0.19
2026-08-22	oos	0.002637	0.002596	-1.59%	0.00288	+9.21%	0.1009	✗	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.002832	0.002783	-1.74%	0.002962	+4.60%	0.0631	✗	0.09
2026-08-20	oos	0.002643	0.002565	-2.95%	0.002917	+10.37%	0.1451	✗	-0.17
2026-08-19	oos	0.002541	0.002441	-3.97%	0.002761	+8.62%	0.0082	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	0.002767	0.002626	-5.09%	0.003037	+9.77%	0.0486	✓	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	0.003116	0.002909	-6.64%	0.002855	-8.38%	0.2217	✓	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	0.002687	0.002534	-5.66%	0.00248	-7.70%	0.2345	✓	1.00
2026-08-15	oos	0.002798	0.00262	-6.36%	0.002637	-5.74%	0.1945	✓	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	0.002543	0.002399	-5.67%	0.002832	+11.36%	0.0521	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	0.002369	0.002244	-5.27%	0.002643	+11.58%	0.0230	✓	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.002229	0.002118	-4.99%	0.002541	+14.00%	0.0934	✗	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	0.0022	0.002086	-5.17%	0.002767	+25.79%	0.2646	✗	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	0.002055	0.001955	-4.85%	0.003116	+51.64%	0.4573	✗	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	0.001954	0.00187	-4.27%	0.002687	+37.51%	0.3938	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	0.001931	0.001847	-4.36%	0.002798	+44.91%	0.4451	✗	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	0.002011	0.001907	-5.17%	0.002543	+26.43%	0.3175	✗	1.00
2026-08-06	oos	0.001839	0.001762	-4.16%	0.002369	+28.84%	0.3091	✗	1.00
2026-08-05	oos	0.00184	0.001763	-4.18%	0.002229	+21.14%	0.2531	✗	1.00
2026-08-04	oos	0.001926	0.001835	-4.73%	0.0022	+14.21%	0.1894	✗	1.00
2026-08-03	oos	0.001892	0.001806	-4.51%	0.002055	+8.63%	0.1220	✗	1.00
2026-08-02	oos	0.001897	0.001809	-4.63%	0.001954	+2.98%	0.0558	✗	1.00
2026-08-01	oos	0.00193	0.001833	-5.03%	0.001931	+0.06%	0.0186	✓	1.00
2026-07-31	oos	0.00186	0.001772	-4.75%	0.002011	+8.13%	0.0945	✗	1.00
2026-07-30	oos	0.001836	0.001724	-6.11%	0.001839	+0.13%	0.0714	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.