CSPR

Casper Network · native · beta_5y

token id: #586
symbol: CSPR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-21
predictions: 255

Track record at +30d

assessed

55

of 85 predictions shown

direction hit

63.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1338

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0839

actual -0.0503

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.002272	0.002199	-3.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-21	oos	0.002257	0.002167	-3.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-20	oos	0.002253	0.002168	-3.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-19	oos	0.002189	0.002098	-4.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-18	oos	0.002275	0.002176	-4.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-17	oos	0.002348	0.002235	-4.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-16	oos	0.002345	0.002232	-4.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-15	oos	0.002311	0.00221	-4.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-14	oos	0.002449	0.002325	-5.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.57
2026-10-13	oos	0.00249	0.002376	-4.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-12	oos	0.002435	0.002306	-5.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-11	oos	0.002483	0.002366	-4.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.002443	0.002313	-5.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.002498	0.002347	-6.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.002343	0.002193	-6.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.002432	0.002285	-6.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-10-06	oos	0.002499	0.002373	-5.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-05	oos	0.002604	0.00246	-5.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-04	oos	0.00258	0.002452	-4.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.002571	0.002403	-6.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-10-02	oos	0.002537	0.002363	-6.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-10-01	oos	0.002563	0.002389	-6.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-09-30	oos	0.002648	0.002438	-7.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-29	oos	0.002717	0.002495	-8.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-28	oos	0.002731	0.0025	-8.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-27	oos	0.00279	0.002557	-8.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-09-26	oos	0.002743	0.002515	-8.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-09-25	oos	0.002707	0.002486	-8.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-09-24	oos	0.002674	0.002474	-7.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-09-23	oos	0.00273	0.002529	-7.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-09-22	oos	0.002788	0.002605	-6.55%	0.002272	-18.51%	0.1255	✓	0.49
2026-09-21	oos	0.002786	0.002623	-5.86%	0.002257	-18.99%	0.1277	✓	0.49
2026-09-20	oos	0.002651	0.002451	-7.53%	0.002253	-15.02%	0.0945	✓	0.46
2026-09-19	oos	0.00285	0.002622	-7.98%	0.002189	-23.18%	0.1838	✓	0.45
2026-09-18	oos	0.002697	0.002504	-7.16%	0.002275	-15.64%	0.1020	✓	0.45
2026-09-17	oos	0.002583	0.00239	-7.50%	0.002348	-9.10%	0.0447	✓	0.43
2026-09-16	oos	0.002491	0.002324	-6.73%	0.002345	-5.87%	0.0199	✓	0.43
2026-09-15	oos	0.002579	0.002403	-6.83%	0.002311	-10.37%	0.0750	✓	0.44
2026-09-14	oos	0.00289	0.002665	-7.79%	0.002449	-15.25%	0.0955	✓	0.26
2026-09-13	oos	0.002902	0.00268	-7.62%	0.00249	-14.19%	0.0954	✓	0.27
2026-09-12	oos	0.003038	0.002788	-8.25%	0.002435	-19.85%	0.1494	✓	0.25
2026-09-11	oos	0.002933	0.002716	-7.39%	0.002483	-15.35%	0.1105	✓	0.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.002973	0.002747	-7.60%	0.002443	-17.83%	0.1383	✓	0.26
2026-09-09	oos	0.003018	0.002796	-7.38%	0.002498	-17.25%	0.1252	✓	0.24
2026-09-08	oos	0.002894	0.00271	-6.35%	0.002343	-19.02%	0.1553	✓	0.25
2026-09-07	oos	0.002854	0.002686	-5.87%	0.002432	-14.80%	0.1124	✓	0.25
2026-09-06	oos	0.002809	0.002665	-5.10%	0.002499	-11.02%	0.0804	✓	0.26
2026-09-05	oos	0.002845	0.002689	-5.48%	0.002604	-8.48%	0.0507	✓	0.26
2026-09-04	oos	0.002662	0.002533	-4.83%	0.00258	-3.05%	0.0032	✓	0.26
2026-09-03	oos	0.002657	0.002537	-4.49%	0.002571	-3.24%	0.0021	✓	0.26
2026-09-02	oos	0.002679	0.002504	-6.53%	0.002537	-5.29%	0.0173	✓	0.34
2026-09-01	oos	0.002757	0.002581	-6.39%	0.002563	-7.05%	0.0375	✓	0.33
2026-08-31	oos	0.002768	0.002613	-5.61%	0.002648	-4.36%	0.0066	✓	0.32
2026-08-30	oos	0.002631	0.002472	-6.04%	0.002717	+3.27%	0.0719	✗	0.30
2026-08-29	oos	0.00288	0.002697	-6.35%	0.002731	-5.17%	0.0030	✓	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.002962	0.002826	-4.59%	0.00279	-5.80%	0.0325	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.002917	0.002893	-0.85%	0.002743	-5.98%	0.0661	✓	0.26
2026-08-26	oos	0.002761	0.002778	+0.63%	0.002707	-1.95%	0.0404	✗	0.23
2026-08-25	oos	0.003037	0.003006	-1.04%	0.002674	-11.95%	0.1344	✓	0.24
2026-08-24	oos	0.002855	0.002813	-1.47%	0.00273	-4.36%	0.0480	✓	0.28
2026-08-23	oos	0.00248	0.002419	-2.44%	0.002788	+12.44%	0.1224	✗	0.19
2026-08-22	oos	0.002637	0.002551	-3.27%	0.002786	+5.62%	0.0635	✗	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.002832	0.002767	-2.31%	0.002651	-6.39%	0.0460	✓	0.09
2026-08-20	oos	0.002643	0.002474	-6.40%	0.00285	+7.81%	0.1600	✗	-0.17
2026-08-19	oos	0.002541	0.002289	-9.92%	0.002697	+6.10%	0.0092	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	0.002767	0.002409	-12.93%	0.002583	-6.64%	0.0961	✓	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	0.003116	0.002659	-14.68%	0.002491	-20.06%	0.2315	✓	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	0.002687	0.002322	-13.58%	0.002579	-4.02%	0.0797	✓	1.00
2026-08-15	oos	0.002798	0.002394	-14.43%	0.00289	+3.28%	0.0275	✓	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	0.002543	0.002201	-13.43%	0.002902	+14.10%	0.0777	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	0.002369	0.002068	-12.71%	0.003038	+28.25%	0.1874	✗	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.002229	0.001958	-12.17%	0.002933	+31.55%	0.2072	✗	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	0.0022	0.001929	-12.29%	0.002973	+35.15%	0.2462	✗	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	0.002055	0.001819	-11.49%	0.003018	+46.88%	0.3036	✗	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	0.001954	0.001746	-10.62%	0.002894	+48.11%	0.3146	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	0.001931	0.001724	-10.72%	0.002854	+47.82%	0.3066	✗	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	0.002011	0.001777	-11.65%	0.002809	+39.63%	0.2442	✗	1.00
2026-08-06	oos	0.001839	0.001649	-10.35%	0.002845	+54.73%	0.3289	✗	1.00
2026-08-05	oos	0.00184	0.001648	-10.44%	0.002662	+44.63%	0.2696	✗	1.00
2026-08-04	oos	0.001926	0.001706	-11.42%	0.002657	+37.93%	0.2047	✗	1.00
2026-08-03	oos	0.001892	0.001678	-11.31%	0.002679	+41.63%	0.2708	✗	1.00
2026-08-02	oos	0.001897	0.001678	-11.54%	0.002757	+45.33%	0.2985	✗	1.00
2026-08-01	oos	0.00193	0.001695	-12.16%	0.002768	+43.46%	0.2661	✗	1.00
2026-07-31	oos	0.00186	0.001641	-11.77%	0.002631	+41.44%	0.2599	✗	1.00
2026-07-30	oos	0.001836	0.00162	-11.81%	0.00288	+56.85%	0.3861	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.