ASSET

REAL · Ethereum · beta_5y

token id: #914
symbol: ASSET
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x99e980265bf36516c442be982df1772a6ccb3233
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-30
predictions: 501

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

160

of 167 predictions shown

direction hit

50.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1054

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0263

actual +0.0344

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.17994	0.178659	-0.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.00
2026-10-21	oos	0.18042	0.178991	-0.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-20	oos	0.18043	0.179152	-0.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-19	oos	0.18359	0.182184	-0.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.184295	0.182909	-0.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-17	oos	0.182895	0.181368	-0.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-16	oos	0.178165	0.177071	-0.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-15	oos	0.18215	0.181043	-0.61%	0.17994	-1.21%	0.0065	✓	0.02
2026-10-14	oos	0.18487	0.183538	-0.72%	0.18042	-2.41%	0.0174	✓	0.02
2026-10-13	oos	0.182	0.181173	-0.45%	0.18043	-0.86%	0.0041	✓	-0.02
2026-10-12	oos	0.1805	0.179435	-0.59%	0.18359	+1.71%	0.0229	✗	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.18504	0.184259	-0.42%	0.184295	-0.40%	0.0001	✓	-0.01
2026-10-10	oos	0.18501	0.184059	-0.51%	0.182895	-1.14%	0.0064	✓	-0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.182435	0.181405	-0.56%	0.178165	-2.34%	0.0181	✓	-0.00
2026-10-08	oos	0.1874	0.186087	-0.70%	0.18215	-2.80%	0.0214	✓	-0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.185	0.184089	-0.49%	0.18487	-0.07%	0.0046	✓	0.02
2026-10-06	oos	0.19033	0.189892	-0.23%	0.182	-4.38%	0.0427	✓	-0.01
2026-10-05	oos	0.178	0.178175	+0.10%	0.1805	+1.40%	0.0140	✓	0.02
2026-10-04	oos	0.1936	0.193466	-0.07%	0.18504	-4.42%	0.0448	✓	-0.01
2026-10-03	oos	0.194695	0.193583	-0.57%	0.18501	-4.97%	0.0455	✓	-0.01
2026-10-02	oos	0.202175	0.201289	-0.44%	0.182435	-9.76%	0.0985	✓	-0.01
2026-10-01	oos	0.197955	0.197414	-0.27%	0.1874	-5.33%	0.0522	✓	-0.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.2008	0.199924	-0.44%	0.185	-7.87%	0.0776	✓	0.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.19782	0.197229	-0.30%	0.19033	-3.79%	0.0367	✓	0.05
2026-09-28	oos	0.195415	0.195089	-0.17%	0.178	-8.91%	0.0926	✓	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.2026	0.202145	-0.22%	0.1936	-4.44%	0.0411	✓	-0.09
2026-09-26	oos	0.22275	0.221661	-0.49%	0.194695	-12.59%	0.1293	✓	-0.10
2026-09-25	oos	0.22897	0.227429	-0.67%	0.202175	-11.70%	0.1172	✓	-0.10
2026-09-24	oos	0.23369	0.232439	-0.54%	0.197955	-15.29%	0.1600	✓	-0.10
2026-09-23	oos	0.24311	0.241459	-0.68%	0.2008	-17.40%	0.1854	✓	-0.10
2026-09-22	oos	0.238275	0.237553	-0.30%	0.19782	-16.98%	0.1852	✓	-0.07
2026-09-21	oos	0.24785	0.246787	-0.43%	0.195415	-21.16%	0.2388	✓	-0.15
2026-09-20	oos	0.24671	0.243365	-1.36%	0.2026	-17.88%	0.1775	✓	-0.14
2026-09-19	oos	0.23124	0.229274	-0.85%	0.22275	-3.67%	0.0236	✓	-0.14
2026-09-18	oos	0.23163	0.22972	-0.82%	0.22897	-1.15%	0.0023	✓	-0.14
2026-09-17	oos	0.23271	0.229685	-1.30%	0.23369	+0.42%	0.0318	✗	-0.15
2026-09-16	oos	0.2335	0.229917	-1.53%	0.24311	+4.12%	0.0711	✗	-0.15
2026-09-15	oos	0.24225	0.238735	-1.45%	0.238275	-1.64%	0.0105	✓	-0.09
2026-09-14	oos	0.24074	0.238434	-0.96%	0.24785	+2.95%	0.0468	✗	-0.08
2026-09-13	oos	0.240105	0.237407	-1.12%	0.24671	+2.75%	0.0426	✗	-0.08
2026-09-12	oos	0.2405	0.237709	-1.16%	0.23124	-3.85%	0.0238	✓	-0.07
2026-09-11	oos	0.24871	0.244912	-1.53%	0.23163	-6.87%	0.0524	✓	-0.07
2026-09-10	oos	0.25068	0.246525	-1.66%	0.23271	-7.17%	0.0579	✓	-0.08
2026-09-09	oos	0.24441	0.242691	-0.70%	0.2335	-4.46%	0.0404	✓	-0.06
2026-09-08	oos	0.245365	0.244271	-0.45%	0.24225	-1.27%	0.0083	✓	-0.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.24287	0.24278	-0.04%	0.24074	-0.88%	0.0085	✓	-0.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.245	0.245542	+0.22%	0.240105	-2.00%	0.0259	✗	-0.08
2026-09-05	oos	0.245875	0.246411	+0.22%	0.2405	-2.19%	0.0273	✗	-0.09
2026-09-04	oos	0.252975	0.253313	+0.13%	0.24871	-1.69%	0.0207	✗	-0.07
2026-09-03	oos	0.26135	0.262403	+0.40%	0.25068	-4.08%	0.0513	✗	-0.09
2026-09-02	oos	0.25512	0.255871	+0.29%	0.24441	-4.20%	0.0452	✗	-0.05
2026-09-01	oos	0.26499	0.264688	-0.11%	0.245365	-7.41%	0.0747	✓	-0.08
2026-08-31	oos	0.252875	0.253144	+0.11%	0.24287	-3.96%	0.0406	✗	-0.13
2026-08-30	oos	0.259595	0.257424	-0.84%	0.245	-5.62%	0.0406	✓	-0.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.24012	0.239742	-0.16%	0.245875	+2.40%	0.0297	✗	-0.22
2026-08-28	oos	0.233425	0.233433	+0.00%	0.252975	+8.38%	0.0855	✓	-0.22
2026-08-27	oos	0.24205	0.241883	-0.07%	0.26135	+7.97%	0.0806	✗	-0.26
2026-08-26	oos	0.2484	0.247324	-0.43%	0.25512	+2.71%	0.0256	✗	-0.25
2026-08-25	oos	0.24627	0.244812	-0.59%	0.26499	+7.60%	0.0757	✗	-0.24
2026-08-24	oos	0.25147	0.250048	-0.57%	0.252875	+0.56%	0.0097	✗	-0.29
2026-08-23	oos	0.25364	0.252288	-0.53%	0.259595	+2.35%	0.0283	✗	-0.26
2026-08-22	oos	0.258565	0.256932	-0.63%	0.24012	-7.13%	0.0638	✓	-0.25
2026-08-21	oos	0.253835	0.252479	-0.53%	0.233425	-8.04%	0.0801	✓	-0.26
2026-08-20	oos	0.2488	0.247055	-0.70%	0.24205	-2.71%	0.0101	✗	-0.32
2026-08-19	oos	0.251865	0.249222	-1.05%	0.2484	-1.38%	0.0403	✗	-0.33
2026-08-18	oos	0.257515	0.253599	-1.52%	0.24627	-4.37%	0.0329	✗	-0.32
2026-08-17	oos	0.263055	0.25903	-1.53%	0.25147	-4.40%	0.0403	✗	-0.34
2026-08-16	oos	0.261825	0.25778	-1.54%	0.25364	-3.13%	0.0593	✗	-0.36
2026-08-15	oos	0.26281	0.258992	-1.45%	0.258565	-1.62%	0.0717	✗	-0.36
2026-08-14	oos	0.26914	0.265014	-1.53%	0.253835	-5.69%	0.0303	✗	-0.34
2026-08-13	oos	0.26543	0.261751	-1.39%	0.2488	-6.27%	0.0080	✓	-0.42
2026-08-12	oos	0.257655	0.254657	-1.16%	0.251865	-2.25%	0.0443	✗	-0.62
2026-08-11	oos	0.26611	0.262451	-1.37%	0.257515	-3.23%	0.0095	✓	-0.53
2026-08-10	oos	0.258425	0.255327	-1.20%	0.263055	+1.79%	0.0336	✗	-0.43
2026-08-09	oos	0.258105	0.255141	-1.15%	0.261825	+1.44%	0.0093	✓	-0.53
2026-08-08	oos	0.262765	0.25942	-1.27%	0.26281	+0.02%	0.0033	✓	-0.55
2026-08-07	oos	0.2584	0.255151	-1.26%	0.26914	+4.16%	0.0355	✗	-0.60
2026-08-06	oos	0.2601	0.256701	-1.31%	0.26543	+2.05%	0.0258	✗	-0.58
2026-08-05	oos	0.26411	0.260437	-1.39%	0.257655	-2.44%	0.0214	✓	-0.57
2026-08-04	oos	0.25658	0.253315	-1.27%	0.26611	+3.71%	0.0450	✗	-0.53
2026-08-03	oos	0.267695	0.263527	-1.56%	0.258425	-3.46%	0.0162	✓	-0.48
2026-08-02	oos	0.266015	0.261762	-1.60%	0.258105	-2.97%	0.0033	✓	-0.51
2026-08-01	oos	0.258765	0.2549	-1.49%	0.262765	+1.55%	0.0453	✗	-0.44
2026-07-31	oos	0.26543	0.261038	-1.65%	0.2584	-2.65%	0.0044	✓	-0.45
2026-07-30	oos	0.26337	0.259579	-1.44%	0.2601	-1.24%	0.0013	✓	-0.47
2026-07-29	oos	0.27105	0.266354	-1.73%	0.26411	-2.56%	0.0062	✓	-0.21
2026-07-28	oos	0.27033	0.266152	-1.55%	0.25658	-5.09%	0.0360	✓	-0.20
2026-07-27	oos	0.27	0.265956	-1.50%	0.267695	-0.85%	0.0058	✓	-0.20
2026-07-26	oos	0.27424	0.269882	-1.59%	0.266015	-3.00%	0.0211	✓	-0.23
2026-07-25	oos	0.285335	0.280057	-1.85%	0.258765	-9.31%	0.0839	✓	-0.20
2026-07-24	oos	0.27427	0.269708	-1.66%	0.26543	-3.22%	0.0200	✓	-0.20
2026-07-23	oos	0.28433	0.279035	-1.86%	0.26337	-7.37%	0.0589	✓	-0.23
2026-07-22	oos	0.27796	0.273637	-1.56%	0.27105	-2.49%	0.0172	✓	-0.23
2026-07-21	oos	0.28398	0.278947	-1.77%	0.27033	-4.81%	0.0410	✓	-0.23
2026-07-20	oos	0.28799	0.281926	-2.11%	0.27	-6.25%	0.0483	✓	-0.21
2026-07-19	oos	0.27379	0.269182	-1.68%	0.27424	+0.16%	0.0209	✗	-0.23
2026-07-18	oos	0.281705	0.276681	-1.78%	0.285335	+1.29%	0.0290	✗	-0.23
2026-07-17	oos	0.28486	0.278969	-2.07%	0.27427	-3.72%	0.0164	✓	-0.21
2026-07-16	oos	0.27849	0.272494	-2.15%	0.28433	+2.10%	0.0467	✗	-0.21
2026-07-15	oos	0.252995	0.249359	-1.44%	0.27796	+9.87%	0.1123	✗	-0.18
2026-07-14	oos	0.26841	0.263991	-1.65%	0.28398	+5.80%	0.0772	✗	-0.18
2026-07-13	oos	0.26562	0.260637	-1.88%	0.28799	+8.42%	0.1083	✗	-0.18
2026-07-12	oos	0.26993	0.264771	-1.91%	0.27379	+1.43%	0.0367	✗	-0.22
2026-07-11	oos	0.27867	0.272293	-2.29%	0.281705	+1.09%	0.0373	✗	-0.21
2026-07-10	oos	0.27803	0.272142	-2.12%	0.28486	+2.46%	0.0449	✗	-0.21
2026-07-09	oos	0.27415	0.268215	-2.16%	0.27849	+1.58%	0.0396	✗	-0.21
2026-07-08	oos	0.28	0.273191	-2.43%	0.252995	-9.64%	0.0696	✓	-0.18
2026-07-07	oos	0.29089	0.283634	-2.49%	0.26841	-7.73%	0.0494	✓	-0.22
2026-07-06	oos	0.28952	0.282099	-2.56%	0.26562	-8.26%	0.0665	✓	-0.23
2026-07-05	oos	0.29238	0.284412	-2.73%	0.26993	-7.68%	0.0517	✓	-0.22
2026-07-04	oos	0.29104	0.282636	-2.89%	0.27867	-4.25%	0.0119	✓	-0.21
2026-07-03	oos	0.29352	0.283987	-3.25%	0.27803	-5.28%	0.0163	✓	-0.19
2026-07-02	oos	0.292	0.281581	-3.57%	0.27415	-6.11%	0.0218	✓	-0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.27333	0.264212	-3.34%	0.28	+2.44%	0.0671	✗	-0.24
2026-06-30	oos	0.280855	0.269985	-3.87%	0.29089	+3.57%	0.0892	✗	-0.19
2026-06-29	oos	0.24758	0.239483	-3.27%	0.28952	+16.94%	0.1945	✗	-0.08
2026-06-28	oos	0.25	0.242486	-3.01%	0.29238	+16.95%	0.1907	✗	-0.05
2026-06-27	oos	0.250875	0.242925	-3.17%	0.29104	+16.01%	0.1837	✗	-0.06
2026-06-26	oos	0.25667	0.248071	-3.35%	0.29352	+14.36%	0.1703	✗	-0.05
2026-06-25	oos	0.258	0.248839	-3.55%	0.292	+13.18%	0.1611	✗	-0.04
2026-06-24	oos	0.26441	0.253006	-4.31%	0.27333	+3.37%	0.0759	✗	-0.08
2026-06-23	oos	0.243305	0.234962	-3.43%	0.280855	+15.43%	0.1774	✗	-0.02
2026-06-22	oos	0.25176	0.241124	-4.22%	0.24758	-1.66%	0.0224	✓	-0.07
2026-06-21	oos	0.25175	0.243151	-3.42%	0.25	-0.70%	0.0248	✓	-0.05
2026-06-20	oos	0.24887	0.240479	-3.37%	0.250875	+0.81%	0.0384	✗	-0.06
2026-06-19	oos	0.245725	0.237054	-3.53%	0.25667	+4.45%	0.0768	✗	-0.05
2026-06-18	oos	0.25078	0.24119	-3.82%	0.258	+2.88%	0.0666	✗	-0.01
2026-06-17	oos	0.265975	0.25509	-4.09%	0.26441	-0.59%	0.0297	✓	-0.11
2026-06-16	oos	0.27077	0.259227	-4.26%	0.243305	-10.14%	0.0704	✓	-0.15
2026-06-15	oos	0.27511	0.262731	-4.50%	0.25176	-8.49%	0.0487	✓	-0.17
2026-06-14	oos	0.274525	0.262117	-4.52%	0.25175	-8.30%	0.0462	✓	-0.15
2026-06-13	oos	0.27333	0.260297	-4.77%	0.24887	-8.95%	0.0453	✓	-0.12
2026-06-12	oos	0.282715	0.268044	-5.19%	0.245725	-13.08%	0.0870	✓	-0.05
2026-06-11	oos	0.281995	0.265917	-5.70%	0.25078	-11.07%	0.0591	✓	-0.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.26464	0.249921	-5.56%	0.265975	+0.50%	0.0680	✗	-0.12
2026-06-09	oos	0.256955	0.241119	-6.16%	0.27077	+5.38%	0.1234	✗	-0.12
2026-06-08	oos	0.23368	0.222116	-4.95%	0.27511	+17.73%	0.2167	✗	-0.06
2026-06-07	oos	0.2178	0.207697	-4.64%	0.274525	+26.04%	0.2811	✗	-0.06
2026-06-06	oos	0.21444	0.204382	-4.69%	0.27333	+27.46%	0.2914	✗	-0.01
2026-06-05	oos	0.21939	0.2074	-5.47%	0.282715	+28.86%	0.3097	✗	0.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.23152	0.21517	-7.06%	0.281995	+21.80%	0.2694	✗	-0.29
2026-06-03	oos	0.1936	0.184099	-4.91%	0.26464	+36.69%	0.3504	✗	-0.30
2026-06-02	oos	0.18198	0.172705	-5.10%	0.256955	+41.20%	0.3788	✗	-0.24
2026-06-01	oos	0.16522	0.158363	-4.15%	0.23368	+41.44%	0.4209	✗	0.26
2026-05-31	oos	0.169535	0.161828	-4.55%	0.2178	+28.47%	0.2987	✗	0.01
2026-05-30	oos	0.17431	0.165796	-4.88%	0.21444	+23.02%	0.2564	✗	-0.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.177695	0.168327	-5.27%	0.21939	+23.46%	0.4490	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.178315	0.168427	-5.55%	0.23152	+29.84%	0.4598	✗	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.180295	0.169402	-6.04%	0.1936	+7.38%	0.2823	✗	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.164055	0.153972	-6.15%	0.18198	+10.93%	0.2960	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.17311	0.161505	-6.70%	0.16522	-4.56%	0.1027	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.17411	0.161767	-7.09%	0.169535	-2.63%	0.0921	✗	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.18742	0.173584	-7.38%	0.17431	-6.99%	0.0425	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.185295	0.171306	-7.55%	0.177695	-4.10%	0.0645	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.181295	0.166816	-7.99%	0.178315	-1.64%	0.1201	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.17322	0.159754	-7.77%	0.180295	+4.08%	0.1626	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.18601	0.171517	-7.79%	0.164055	-11.80%	0.0321	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.19024	0.174511	-8.27%	0.17311	-9.00%	0.0120	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.17619	0.161707	-8.22%	0.17411	-1.18%	0.0795	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.19502	0.174371	-10.59%	0.18742	-3.90%	0.0910	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.15268	0.137894	-9.68%	0.185295	+21.36%	0.3423	✗	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.116155	0.108284	-6.78%	0.181295	+56.08%	0.5599	✗	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.10455	0.097979	-6.29%	0.17322	+65.68%	0.5929	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.12761	0.115691	-9.34%	0.18601	+45.76%	0.5222	✗	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.10276	0.096233	-6.35%	0.19024	+85.13%	0.7418	✗	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.08032	0.077594	-3.39%	0.17619	+119.36%	0.8801	✗	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.08549	0.08188	-4.22%	0.19502	+128.12%	0.9000	✗	1.00