ASSET

REAL · Ethereum · beta_5y

token id: #914
symbol: ASSET
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x99e980265bf36516c442be982df1772a6ccb3233
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-30
predictions: 501

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

166

of 167 predictions shown

direction hit

54.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0354

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0066

actual +0.0055

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.17994	0.17944	-0.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.00
2026-10-21	oos	0.18042	0.179899	-0.29%	0.17994	+0.23%	0.0051	✗	0.02
2026-10-20	oos	0.18043	0.179932	-0.28%	0.18042	-0.01%	0.0027	✓	0.01
2026-10-19	oos	0.18359	0.183054	-0.29%	0.18043	-1.72%	0.0146	✓	0.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.184295	0.183771	-0.28%	0.18359	-0.38%	0.0010	✓	0.01
2026-10-17	oos	0.182895	0.182332	-0.31%	0.184295	+0.77%	0.0106	✗	0.02
2026-10-16	oos	0.178165	0.177738	-0.24%	0.182895	+2.65%	0.0286	✗	0.02
2026-10-15	oos	0.18215	0.181706	-0.24%	0.178165	-2.19%	0.0196	✓	0.02
2026-10-14	oos	0.18487	0.184371	-0.27%	0.18215	-1.47%	0.0122	✓	0.02
2026-10-13	oos	0.182	0.18158	-0.23%	0.18487	+1.58%	0.0176	✗	-0.02
2026-10-12	oos	0.1805	0.180032	-0.26%	0.182	+0.83%	0.0111	✗	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.18504	0.184605	-0.24%	0.1805	-2.45%	0.0228	✓	-0.01
2026-10-10	oos	0.18501	0.184575	-0.23%	0.18504	+0.02%	0.0026	✗	-0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.182435	0.18197	-0.25%	0.18501	+1.41%	0.0166	✗	-0.00
2026-10-08	oos	0.1874	0.18692	-0.26%	0.182435	-2.65%	0.0243	✓	-0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.185	0.184559	-0.24%	0.1874	+1.30%	0.0156	✗	0.02
2026-10-06	oos	0.19033	0.189901	-0.23%	0.185	-2.80%	0.0264	✓	-0.01
2026-10-05	oos	0.178	0.177796	-0.11%	0.19033	+6.93%	0.0682	✗	0.02
2026-10-04	oos	0.1936	0.193152	-0.23%	0.178	-8.06%	0.0818	✓	-0.01
2026-10-03	oos	0.194695	0.193956	-0.38%	0.1936	-0.56%	0.0017	✓	-0.01
2026-10-02	oos	0.202175	0.20163	-0.27%	0.194695	-3.70%	0.0350	✓	-0.01
2026-10-01	oos	0.197955	0.1975	-0.23%	0.202175	+2.13%	0.0234	✗	-0.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.2008	0.200334	-0.23%	0.197955	-1.42%	0.0120	✓	0.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.19782	0.197424	-0.20%	0.2008	+1.51%	0.0170	✗	0.05
2026-09-28	oos	0.195415	0.195123	-0.15%	0.19782	+1.23%	0.0137	✗	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.2026	0.202087	-0.25%	0.195415	-3.55%	0.0346	✓	-0.09
2026-09-26	oos	0.22275	0.22203	-0.32%	0.2026	-9.05%	0.0915	✓	-0.10
2026-09-25	oos	0.22897	0.228121	-0.37%	0.22275	-2.72%	0.0234	✓	-0.10
2026-09-24	oos	0.23369	0.233066	-0.27%	0.22897	-2.02%	0.0181	✓	-0.10
2026-09-23	oos	0.24311	0.242327	-0.32%	0.23369	-3.87%	0.0363	✓	-0.10
2026-09-22	oos	0.238275	0.237617	-0.28%	0.24311	+2.03%	0.0213	✗	-0.07
2026-09-21	oos	0.24785	0.246949	-0.36%	0.238275	-3.86%	0.0364	✓	-0.15
2026-09-20	oos	0.24671	0.2454	-0.53%	0.24785	+0.46%	0.0193	✗	-0.14
2026-09-19	oos	0.23124	0.230479	-0.33%	0.24671	+6.69%	0.0679	✗	-0.14
2026-09-18	oos	0.23163	0.230904	-0.31%	0.23124	-0.17%	0.0021	✓	-0.14
2026-09-17	oos	0.23271	0.231886	-0.35%	0.23163	-0.46%	0.0073	✗	-0.15
2026-09-16	oos	0.2335	0.232361	-0.49%	0.23271	-0.34%	0.0019	✓	-0.15
2026-09-15	oos	0.24225	0.241275	-0.40%	0.2335	-3.61%	0.0321	✓	-0.09
2026-09-14	oos	0.24074	0.240005	-0.31%	0.24225	+0.63%	0.0067	✗	-0.08
2026-09-13	oos	0.240105	0.239194	-0.38%	0.24074	+0.26%	0.0078	✗	-0.08
2026-09-12	oos	0.2405	0.239383	-0.46%	0.240105	-0.16%	0.0026	✓	-0.07
2026-09-11	oos	0.24871	0.247138	-0.63%	0.2405	-3.30%	0.0272	✓	-0.07
2026-09-10	oos	0.25068	0.249014	-0.66%	0.24871	-0.79%	0.0005	✓	-0.08
2026-09-09	oos	0.24441	0.243641	-0.31%	0.25068	+2.57%	0.0270	✗	-0.06
2026-09-08	oos	0.245365	0.24466	-0.29%	0.24441	-0.39%	0.0010	✓	-0.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.24287	0.242338	-0.22%	0.245365	+1.03%	0.0124	✗	-0.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.245	0.244528	-0.19%	0.24287	-0.87%	0.0080	✓	-0.08
2026-09-05	oos	0.245875	0.245396	-0.19%	0.245	-0.36%	0.0010	✓	-0.09
2026-09-04	oos	0.252975	0.252387	-0.23%	0.245875	-2.81%	0.0260	✓	-0.07
2026-09-03	oos	0.26135	0.260768	-0.22%	0.252975	-3.20%	0.0322	✓	-0.09
2026-09-02	oos	0.25512	0.254609	-0.20%	0.26135	+2.44%	0.0286	✗	-0.05
2026-09-01	oos	0.26499	0.264062	-0.35%	0.25512	-3.72%	0.0345	✓	-0.08
2026-08-31	oos	0.252875	0.251987	-0.35%	0.26499	+4.79%	0.0484	✗	-0.13
2026-08-30	oos	0.259595	0.257835	-0.68%	0.252875	-2.59%	0.0164	✓	-0.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.24012	0.239371	-0.31%	0.259595	+8.11%	0.0795	✗	-0.22
2026-08-28	oos	0.233425	0.232833	-0.25%	0.24012	+2.87%	0.0319	✗	-0.22
2026-08-27	oos	0.24205	0.241348	-0.29%	0.233425	-3.56%	0.0413	✓	-0.26
2026-08-26	oos	0.2484	0.247486	-0.37%	0.24205	-2.56%	0.0183	✓	-0.25
2026-08-25	oos	0.24627	0.2453	-0.39%	0.2484	+0.86%	0.0141	✗	-0.24
2026-08-24	oos	0.25147	0.250446	-0.41%	0.24627	-2.07%	0.0185	✓	-0.29
2026-08-23	oos	0.25364	0.252624	-0.40%	0.25147	-0.86%	0.0004	✓	-0.26
2026-08-22	oos	0.258565	0.257447	-0.43%	0.25364	-1.90%	0.0127	✓	-0.25
2026-08-21	oos	0.253835	0.252782	-0.41%	0.258565	+1.86%	0.0184	✗	-0.26
2026-08-20	oos	0.2488	0.247803	-0.40%	0.253835	+2.02%	0.0467	✗	-0.32
2026-08-19	oos	0.251865	0.250817	-0.42%	0.2488	-1.22%	0.0092	✗	-0.33
2026-08-18	oos	0.257515	0.256341	-0.46%	0.251865	-2.19%	0.0045	✓	-0.32
2026-08-17	oos	0.263055	0.261848	-0.46%	0.257515	-2.11%	0.0156	✓	-0.34
2026-08-16	oos	0.261825	0.260647	-0.45%	0.263055	+0.47%	0.0183	✗	-0.36
2026-08-15	oos	0.26281	0.261668	-0.43%	0.261825	-0.37%	0.0005	✓	-0.36
2026-08-14	oos	0.26914	0.267899	-0.46%	0.26281	-2.35%	0.0189	✓	-0.34
2026-08-13	oos	0.26543	0.264281	-0.43%	0.26914	+1.40%	0.0152	✗	-0.42
2026-08-12	oos	0.257655	0.256696	-0.37%	0.26543	+3.02%	0.0336	✗	-0.62
2026-08-11	oos	0.26611	0.264975	-0.43%	0.257655	-3.18%	0.0290	✓	-0.53
2026-08-10	oos	0.258425	0.257455	-0.38%	0.26611	+2.97%	0.0305	✗	-0.43
2026-08-09	oos	0.258105	0.257163	-0.36%	0.258425	+0.12%	0.0028	✓	-0.53
2026-08-08	oos	0.262765	0.261707	-0.40%	0.258105	-1.77%	0.0144	✓	-0.55
2026-08-07	oos	0.2584	0.257418	-0.38%	0.262765	+1.69%	0.0207	✗	-0.60
2026-08-06	oos	0.2601	0.259085	-0.39%	0.2584	-0.65%	0.0029	✓	-0.58
2026-08-05	oos	0.26411	0.262973	-0.43%	0.2601	-1.52%	0.0140	✓	-0.57
2026-08-04	oos	0.25658	0.255671	-0.35%	0.26411	+2.93%	0.0370	✗	-0.53
2026-08-03	oos	0.267695	0.266501	-0.45%	0.25658	-4.15%	0.0335	✓	-0.48
2026-08-02	oos	0.266015	0.264755	-0.47%	0.267695	+0.63%	0.0108	✗	-0.51
2026-08-01	oos	0.258765	0.257654	-0.43%	0.266015	+2.80%	0.0371	✗	-0.44
2026-07-31	oos	0.26543	0.264095	-0.50%	0.258765	-2.51%	0.0208	✓	-0.45
2026-07-30	oos	0.26337	0.26211	-0.48%	0.26543	+0.78%	0.0013	✓	-0.47
2026-07-29	oos	0.27105	0.269503	-0.57%	0.26337	-2.83%	0.0204	✓	-0.21
2026-07-28	oos	0.27033	0.269106	-0.45%	0.27105	+0.27%	0.0074	✗	-0.20
2026-07-27	oos	0.27	0.268863	-0.42%	0.27033	+0.12%	0.0059	✗	-0.20
2026-07-26	oos	0.27424	0.272735	-0.55%	0.27	-1.55%	0.0160	✓	-0.23
2026-07-25	oos	0.285335	0.2836	-0.61%	0.27424	-3.89%	0.0303	✓	-0.20
2026-07-24	oos	0.27427	0.272885	-0.50%	0.285335	+4.03%	0.0453	✗	-0.20
2026-07-23	oos	0.28433	0.282505	-0.64%	0.27427	-3.54%	0.0330	✓	-0.23
2026-07-22	oos	0.27796	0.276526	-0.52%	0.28433	+2.29%	0.0242	✗	-0.23
2026-07-21	oos	0.28398	0.282121	-0.65%	0.27796	-2.12%	0.0164	✓	-0.23
2026-07-20	oos	0.28799	0.285843	-0.75%	0.28398	-1.39%	0.0023	✓	-0.21
2026-07-19	oos	0.27379	0.272466	-0.48%	0.28799	+5.19%	0.0573	✗	-0.23
2026-07-18	oos	0.281705	0.280242	-0.52%	0.27379	-2.81%	0.0237	✓	-0.23
2026-07-17	oos	0.28486	0.283053	-0.63%	0.281705	-1.11%	0.0018	✓	-0.21
2026-07-16	oos	0.27849	0.276634	-0.67%	0.28486	+2.29%	0.0297	✗	-0.21
2026-07-15	oos	0.252995	0.25215	-0.33%	0.27849	+10.08%	0.0967	✗	-0.18
2026-07-14	oos	0.26841	0.267265	-0.43%	0.252995	-5.74%	0.0556	✓	-0.18
2026-07-13	oos	0.26562	0.264417	-0.45%	0.26841	+1.05%	0.0228	✗	-0.18
2026-07-12	oos	0.26993	0.268605	-0.49%	0.26562	-1.60%	0.0162	✓	-0.22
2026-07-11	oos	0.27867	0.276896	-0.64%	0.26993	-3.14%	0.0256	✓	-0.21
2026-07-10	oos	0.27803	0.276571	-0.52%	0.27867	+0.23%	0.0064	✗	-0.21
2026-07-09	oos	0.27415	0.272739	-0.51%	0.27803	+1.42%	0.0224	✗	-0.21
2026-07-08	oos	0.28	0.278404	-0.57%	0.27415	-2.09%	0.0126	✓	-0.18
2026-07-07	oos	0.29089	0.289222	-0.57%	0.28	-3.74%	0.0362	✓	-0.22
2026-07-06	oos	0.28952	0.287817	-0.59%	0.29089	+0.47%	0.0082	✗	-0.23
2026-07-05	oos	0.29238	0.290589	-0.61%	0.28952	-0.98%	0.0023	✓	-0.22
2026-07-04	oos	0.29104	0.289234	-0.62%	0.29238	+0.46%	0.0125	✗	-0.21
2026-07-03	oos	0.29352	0.291436	-0.71%	0.29104	-0.84%	0.0004	✓	-0.19
2026-07-02	oos	0.292	0.289534	-0.84%	0.29352	+0.52%	0.0167	✗	-0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.27333	0.271346	-0.73%	0.292	+6.83%	0.0794	✗	-0.24
2026-06-30	oos	0.280855	0.278215	-0.94%	0.27333	-2.68%	0.0132	✓	-0.19
2026-06-29	oos	0.24758	0.245602	-0.80%	0.280855	+13.44%	0.1320	✗	-0.08
2026-06-28	oos	0.25	0.248355	-0.66%	0.24758	-0.97%	0.0025	✓	-0.05
2026-06-27	oos	0.250875	0.249177	-0.68%	0.25	-0.35%	0.0028	✓	-0.06
2026-06-26	oos	0.25667	0.254803	-0.73%	0.250875	-2.26%	0.0156	✓	-0.05
2026-06-25	oos	0.258	0.255962	-0.79%	0.25667	-0.52%	0.0030	✓	-0.04
2026-06-24	oos	0.26441	0.261342	-1.16%	0.258	-2.42%	0.0146	✓	-0.08
2026-06-23	oos	0.243305	0.241451	-0.76%	0.26441	+8.67%	0.0904	✗	-0.02
2026-06-22	oos	0.25176	0.248849	-1.16%	0.243305	-3.36%	0.0239	✓	-0.07
2026-06-21	oos	0.25175	0.249851	-0.75%	0.25176	+0.00%	0.0082	✗	-0.05
2026-06-20	oos	0.24887	0.247104	-0.71%	0.25175	+1.16%	0.0177	✗	-0.06
2026-06-19	oos	0.245725	0.244089	-0.67%	0.24887	+1.28%	0.0200	✗	-0.05
2026-06-18	oos	0.25078	0.24897	-0.72%	0.245725	-2.02%	0.0130	✓	-0.01
2026-06-17	oos	0.265975	0.26382	-0.81%	0.25078	-5.71%	0.0535	✓	-0.11
2026-06-16	oos	0.27077	0.268454	-0.86%	0.265975	-1.77%	0.0120	✓	-0.15
2026-06-15	oos	0.27511	0.272513	-0.94%	0.27077	-1.58%	0.0081	✓	-0.17
2026-06-14	oos	0.274525	0.271987	-0.92%	0.27511	+0.21%	0.0127	✗	-0.15
2026-06-13	oos	0.27333	0.270699	-0.96%	0.274525	+0.44%	0.0164	✗	-0.12
2026-06-12	oos	0.282715	0.279635	-1.09%	0.27333	-3.32%	0.0221	✓	-0.05
2026-06-11	oos	0.281995	0.278343	-1.29%	0.282715	+0.26%	0.0156	✗	-0.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.26464	0.261334	-1.25%	0.281995	+6.56%	0.0802	✗	-0.12
2026-06-09	oos	0.256955	0.252812	-1.61%	0.26464	+2.99%	0.0453	✗	-0.12
2026-06-08	oos	0.23368	0.231072	-1.12%	0.256955	+9.96%	0.1050	✗	-0.06
2026-06-07	oos	0.2178	0.215637	-0.99%	0.23368	+7.29%	0.0801	✗	-0.06
2026-06-06	oos	0.21444	0.212301	-1.00%	0.2178	+1.57%	0.0260	✗	-0.01
2026-06-05	oos	0.21939	0.216598	-1.27%	0.21444	-2.26%	0.0100	✓	0.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.23152	0.226745	-2.06%	0.21939	-5.24%	0.0457	✓	-0.29
2026-06-03	oos	0.1936	0.191316	-1.18%	0.23152	+19.59%	0.1896	✗	-0.30
2026-06-02	oos	0.18198	0.179602	-1.31%	0.1936	+6.39%	0.0655	✗	-0.24
2026-06-01	oos	0.16522	0.163731	-0.90%	0.18198	+10.14%	0.1231	✗	0.26
2026-05-31	oos	0.169535	0.167888	-0.97%	0.16522	-2.55%	0.0157	✓	0.01
2026-05-30	oos	0.17431	0.172491	-1.04%	0.169535	-2.74%	0.0173	✓	-0.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.177695	0.175687	-1.13%	0.17431	-1.90%	0.0134	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.178315	0.176224	-1.17%	0.177695	-0.35%	0.0103	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.180295	0.177985	-1.28%	0.178315	-1.10%	0.0127	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.164055	0.162178	-1.14%	0.180295	+9.90%	0.1260	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.17311	0.170955	-1.24%	0.164055	-5.23%	0.0226	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.17411	0.171884	-1.28%	0.17311	-0.57%	0.0036	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.18742	0.184768	-1.41%	0.17411	-7.10%	0.0637	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.185295	0.18263	-1.44%	0.18742	+1.15%	0.0100	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.181295	0.178516	-1.53%	0.185295	+2.21%	0.0648	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.17322	0.170744	-1.43%	0.181295	+4.66%	0.0590	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.18601	0.183243	-1.49%	0.17322	-6.88%	0.0654	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.19024	0.18694	-1.73%	0.18601	-2.22%	0.0027	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.17619	0.173188	-1.70%	0.19024	+7.97%	0.0999	✗	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.19502	0.188847	-3.17%	0.17619	-9.66%	0.0604	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.15268	0.148847	-2.51%	0.19502	+27.73%	0.2823	✗	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.116155	0.11461	-1.33%	0.15268	+31.45%	0.3120	✗	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.10455	0.10341	-1.09%	0.116155	+11.10%	0.0939	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.12761	0.124302	-2.59%	0.10455	-18.07%	0.1581	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.10276	0.101212	-1.51%	0.12761	+24.18%	0.2471	✗	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.08032	0.07974	-0.72%	0.10276	+27.94%	0.2594	✗	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.08549	0.084715	-0.91%	0.08032	-6.05%	0.0722	✓	1.00