ARK

ARK · native · beta_5y

token id: #261
symbol: ARK
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-09-26
predictions: 3,273

Track record at +7d

assessed

381

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

64.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0570

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0088

actual -0.0093

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.18393	0.181038	-1.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-21	oos	0.18695	0.183331	-1.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-20	oos	0.17451	0.17193	-1.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-19	oos	0.173985	0.171928	-1.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-18	oos	0.16914	0.167828	-0.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-17	oos	0.173255	0.171888	-0.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-16	oos	0.17946	0.177708	-0.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-15	oos	0.18215	0.180298	-1.02%	0.18393	+0.98%	0.0029	✓	0.91
2026-10-14	oos	0.18125	0.178984	-1.25%	0.18695	+3.14%	0.0165	✗	0.91
2026-10-13	oos	0.19077	0.186698	-2.13%	0.17451	-8.52%	0.0657	✓	0.89
2026-10-12	oos	0.188815	0.185204	-1.91%	0.173985	-7.85%	0.0635	✓	0.90
2026-10-11	oos	0.20696	0.201162	-2.80%	0.16914	-18.27%	0.1567	✓	0.83
2026-10-10	oos	0.21283	0.207838	-2.35%	0.173255	-18.59%	0.1664	✓	0.84
2026-10-09	oos	0.21456	0.209051	-2.57%	0.17946	-16.36%	0.1420	✓	0.84
2026-10-08	oos	0.22464	0.214945	-4.32%	0.18215	-18.91%	0.1700	✓	0.85
2026-10-07	oos	0.2145	0.206362	-3.79%	0.18125	-15.50%	0.1114	✓	0.89
2026-10-06	oos	0.208695	0.205147	-1.70%	0.19077	-8.59%	0.0459	✓	0.93
2026-10-05	oos	0.21823	0.213848	-2.01%	0.188815	-13.48%	0.0802	✓	0.93
2026-10-04	oos	0.22409	0.218762	-2.38%	0.20696	-7.64%	0.0245	✓	0.93
2026-10-03	oos	0.231185	0.221404	-4.23%	0.21283	-7.94%	0.0186	✓	0.96
2026-10-02	oos	0.21165	0.204734	-3.27%	0.21456	+1.37%	0.0693	✗	0.95
2026-10-01	oos	0.243225	0.231917	-4.65%	0.22464	-7.64%	0.0031	✓	0.92
2026-09-30	oos	0.26057	0.24573	-5.70%	0.2145	-17.68%	0.1327	✓	0.95
2026-09-29	oos	0.251205	0.240304	-4.34%	0.208695	-16.92%	0.1626	✓	0.96
2026-09-28	oos	0.23865	0.22584	-5.37%	0.21823	-8.56%	0.0589	✓	0.91
2026-09-27	oos	0.247355	0.235895	-4.63%	0.22409	-9.41%	0.0728	✓	0.90
2026-09-26	oos	0.260575	0.242251	-7.03%	0.231185	-11.28%	0.0502	✓	0.89
2026-09-25	oos	0.25433	0.234491	-7.80%	0.21165	-16.78%	0.1069	✓	0.90
2026-09-24	oos	0.1933	0.185049	-4.27%	0.243225	+25.83%	0.2682	✗	0.95
2026-09-23	oos	0.15873	0.155258	-2.19%	0.26057	+64.16%	0.5273	✗	0.97
2026-09-22	oos	0.158	0.153258	-3.00%	0.251205	+58.99%	0.5240	✗	0.99
2026-09-21	oos	0.154	0.149869	-2.68%	0.23865	+54.97%	0.5018	✗	0.99
2026-09-20	oos	0.15176	0.149276	-1.64%	0.247355	+62.99%	0.4619	✗	1.08
2026-09-19	oos	0.15344	0.150614	-1.84%	0.260575	+69.82%	0.5069	✗	1.07
2026-09-18	oos	0.142255	0.140245	-1.41%	0.25433	+78.78%	0.5532	✗	1.08
2026-09-17	oos	0.13709	0.134754	-1.70%	0.1933	+41.00%	0.2483	✗	1.12
2026-09-16	oos	0.149755	0.143863	-3.93%	0.15873	+5.99%	0.0166	✓	1.12
2026-09-15	oos	0.145165	0.140323	-3.34%	0.158	+8.84%	0.0300	✓	1.13
2026-09-14	oos	0.168585	0.159344	-5.48%	0.154	-8.65%	0.1370	✓	1.01
2026-09-13	oos	0.13775	0.1334	-3.16%	0.15176	+10.17%	0.0786	✗	0.91
2026-09-12	oos	0.132925	0.130868	-1.55%	0.15344	+15.43%	0.1129	✗	0.92
2026-09-11	oos	0.114605	0.113551	-0.92%	0.142255	+24.13%	0.1820	✗	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.11005	0.109838	-0.19%	0.13709	+24.57%	0.2239	✗	0.93
2026-09-09	oos	0.117645	0.118161	+0.44%	0.149755	+27.29%	0.2618	✓	0.90
2026-09-08	oos	0.116325	0.117133	+0.69%	0.145165	+24.79%	0.2473	✓	0.88
2026-09-07	oos	0.114495	0.115761	+1.11%	0.168585	+47.24%	0.3862	✓	0.88
2026-09-06	oos	0.1178	0.119305	+1.28%	0.13775	+16.94%	0.1831	✓	0.87
2026-09-05	oos	0.1176	0.119163	+1.33%	0.132925	+13.03%	0.1378	✓	0.87
2026-09-04	oos	0.117595	0.119231	+1.39%	0.114605	-2.54%	0.0121	✓	0.87
2026-09-03	oos	0.11391	0.116342	+2.13%	0.11005	-3.39%	0.0010	✓	0.91
2026-09-02	oos	0.10991	0.111881	+1.79%	0.117645	+7.04%	0.0387	✓	0.92
2026-09-01	oos	0.10899	0.111149	+1.98%	0.116325	+6.73%	0.0331	✓	0.92
2026-08-31	oos	0.110155	0.112401	+2.04%	0.114495	+3.94%	0.0123	✓	0.92
2026-08-30	oos	0.1093	0.111268	+1.80%	0.1178	+7.78%	0.0263	✓	0.91
2026-08-29	oos	0.111545	0.113518	+1.77%	0.1176	+5.43%	0.0177	✓	0.87
2026-08-28	oos	0.112455	0.113918	+1.30%	0.117595	+4.57%	0.0115	✓	0.87
2026-08-27	oos	0.114335	0.116101	+1.54%	0.11391	-0.37%	0.0298	✗	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	0.11256	0.114197	+1.45%	0.10991	-2.35%	0.0190	✗	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	0.106795	0.108863	+1.94%	0.10899	+2.06%	0.0139	✓	0.88
2026-08-24	oos	0.107195	0.109207	+1.88%	0.110155	+2.76%	0.0133	✓	0.88
2026-08-23	oos	0.108375	0.109908	+1.41%	0.1093	+0.85%	0.0048	✓	0.89
2026-08-22	oos	0.1085	0.109568	+0.98%	0.111545	+2.81%	0.0043	✓	0.90
2026-08-21	oos	0.106915	0.107695	+0.73%	0.112455	+5.18%	0.0489	✓	0.91
2026-08-20	oos	0.097025	0.096804	-0.23%	0.114335	+17.84%	0.0873	✗	0.83
2026-08-19	oos	0.09194	0.091767	-0.19%	0.11256	+22.43%	0.0971	✗	0.82
2026-08-18	oos	0.08602	0.086195	+0.20%	0.106795	+24.15%	0.0638	✓	0.78
2026-08-17	oos	0.08748	0.08701	-0.54%	0.107195	+22.54%	0.0498	✗	0.78
2026-08-16	oos	0.08796	0.08792	-0.05%	0.108375	+23.21%	0.0370	✗	0.81
2026-08-15	oos	0.08962	0.08955	-0.08%	0.1085	+21.07%	0.0297	✗	0.81
2026-08-14	oos	0.088395	0.088396	+0.00%	0.106915	+20.95%	0.0136	✓	0.81
2026-08-13	oos	0.090045	0.089966	-0.09%	0.097025	+7.75%	0.0386	✓	0.81
2026-08-12	oos	0.089295	0.089037	-0.29%	0.09194	+2.96%	0.0415	✓	0.83
2026-08-11	oos	0.09124	0.090398	-0.92%	0.08602	-5.72%	0.0644	✓	0.82
2026-08-10	oos	0.092525	0.092156	-0.40%	0.08748	-5.45%	0.0594	✓	0.83
2026-08-09	oos	0.093465	0.093199	-0.28%	0.08796	-5.89%	0.0312	✓	0.85
2026-08-08	oos	0.094535	0.093579	-1.01%	0.08962	-5.20%	0.0183	✓	0.84
2026-08-07	oos	0.094245	0.093457	-0.84%	0.088395	-6.21%	0.0304	✓	0.84
2026-08-06	oos	0.09463	0.094054	-0.61%	0.090045	-4.85%	0.0324	✓	0.85
2026-08-05	oos	0.093025	0.093242	+0.23%	0.089295	-4.01%	0.0274	✗	0.85
2026-08-04	oos	0.093385	0.093486	+0.11%	0.09124	-2.30%	0.0174	✗	0.85
2026-08-03	oos	0.094775	0.094677	-0.10%	0.092525	-2.37%	0.0290	✓	0.86
2026-08-02	oos	0.09291	0.09292	+0.01%	0.093465	+0.60%	0.0123	✗	0.86
2026-08-01	oos	0.092585	0.092502	-0.09%	0.094535	+2.11%	0.0066	✓	0.84
2026-07-31	oos	0.09376	0.093598	-0.17%	0.094245	+0.52%	0.0204	✓	0.84
2026-07-30	oos	0.09442	0.094433	+0.01%	0.09463	+0.22%	0.0082	✓	0.87
2026-07-29	oos	0.09288	0.092905	+0.03%	0.093025	+0.16%	0.0080	✗	0.84
2026-07-28	oos	0.09666	0.096678	+0.02%	0.093385	-3.39%	0.0373	✗	0.84
2026-07-27	oos	0.097625	0.097535	-0.09%	0.094775	-2.92%	0.0257	✓	0.85
2026-07-26	oos	0.10425	0.104059	-0.18%	0.09291	-10.88%	0.0911	✓	0.78
2026-07-25	oos	0.1036	0.103335	-0.26%	0.092585	-10.63%	0.0909	✓	0.78
2026-07-24	oos	0.102	0.101752	-0.24%	0.09376	-8.08%	0.0662	✓	0.79
2026-07-23	oos	0.10346	0.103192	-0.26%	0.09442	-8.74%	0.0848	✓	0.79
2026-07-22	oos	0.105135	0.105039	-0.09%	0.09288	-11.66%	0.0966	✓	0.78
2026-07-21	oos	0.10553	0.105497	-0.03%	0.09666	-8.41%	0.0554	✓	0.78
2026-07-20	oos	0.102865	0.102865	+0.00%	0.097625	-5.09%	0.0346	✗	0.75
2026-07-19	oos	0.102685	0.102658	-0.03%	0.10425	+1.52%	0.0078	✗	0.75
2026-07-18	oos	0.105435	0.105232	-0.19%	0.1036	-1.74%	0.0097	✓	0.77
2026-07-17	oos	0.10409	0.103788	-0.29%	0.102	-2.01%	0.0197	✓	0.78
2026-07-16	oos	0.104335	0.103807	-0.51%	0.10346	-0.84%	0.0190	✓	0.79
2026-07-15	oos	0.1069	0.105695	-1.13%	0.105135	-1.65%	0.0217	✓	0.78
2026-07-14	oos	0.107745	0.107471	-0.25%	0.10553	-2.06%	0.0365	✓	0.79
2026-07-13	oos	0.10499	0.104527	-0.44%	0.102865	-2.02%	0.0532	✓	0.80
2026-07-12	oos	0.107	0.106608	-0.37%	0.102685	-4.03%	0.0493	✓	0.81
2026-07-11	oos	0.1078	0.107203	-0.55%	0.105435	-2.19%	0.0296	✓	0.81
2026-07-10	oos	0.1084	0.10757	-0.77%	0.10409	-3.98%	0.0299	✓	0.81
2026-07-09	oos	0.10599	0.104577	-1.33%	0.104335	-1.56%	0.0099	✓	0.80
2026-07-08	oos	0.10426	0.104072	-0.18%	0.1069	+2.53%	0.0044	✓	0.80
2026-07-07	oos	0.106835	0.106604	-0.22%	0.107745	+0.85%	0.0100	✓	0.79
2026-07-06	oos	0.110765	0.11033	-0.39%	0.10499	-5.21%	0.0280	✓	0.79
2026-07-05	oos	0.110715	0.110226	-0.44%	0.107	-3.36%	0.0316	✓	0.78
2026-07-04	oos	0.11172	0.110917	-0.72%	0.1078	-3.51%	0.0370	✓	0.79
2026-07-03	oos	0.112	0.111248	-0.67%	0.1084	-3.21%	0.0457	✓	0.78
2026-07-02	oos	0.1092	0.108257	-0.86%	0.10599	-2.94%	0.0420	✓	0.77
2026-07-01	oos	0.10592	0.104505	-1.34%	0.10426	-1.57%	0.0306	✓	0.76
2026-06-30	oos	0.11245	0.111363	-0.97%	0.106835	-4.99%	0.1075	✓	0.84
2026-06-28	oos	0.110405	0.109053	-1.22%	0.110715	+0.28%	0.0404	✓	0.83
2026-06-27	oos	0.112845	0.110192	-2.35%	0.11172	-1.00%	0.0290	✓	0.84
2026-06-26	oos	0.10684	0.106388	-0.42%	0.112	+4.83%	0.0169	✗	0.84
2026-06-25	oos	0.10414	0.103851	-0.28%	0.1092	+4.86%	0.0257	✗	0.83
2026-06-24	oos	0.106585	0.106202	-0.36%	0.10592	-0.62%	0.0113	✗	0.83
2026-06-23	oos	0.108595	0.10809	-0.46%	0.11245	+3.55%	0.0965	✗	0.84
2026-06-22	oos	0.11121	0.110908	-0.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-06-21	oos	0.11287	0.112488	-0.34%	0.110405	-2.18%	0.0330	✗	0.84
2026-06-20	oos	0.116545	0.115936	-0.52%	0.112845	-3.17%	0.0315	✗	0.85
2026-06-19	oos	0.113975	0.113377	-0.52%	0.10684	-6.26%	0.0114	✓	0.85
2026-06-18	oos	0.115755	0.114315	-1.24%	0.10414	-10.03%	0.0484	✓	0.87
2026-06-17	oos	0.121285	0.120593	-0.57%	0.106585	-12.12%	0.0767	✓	0.85
2026-06-16	oos	0.1241	0.123119	-0.79%	0.108595	-12.49%	0.0865	✓	0.84
2026-06-15	oos	0.124935	0.123653	-1.03%	0.11121	-10.99%	0.0750	✓	0.87
2026-06-14	oos	0.1246	0.122462	-1.72%	0.11287	-9.41%	0.0485	✓	0.86
2026-06-13	oos	0.121495	0.120994	-0.41%	0.116545	-4.07%	0.0346	✓	0.90
2026-06-12	oos	0.11965	0.119177	-0.40%	0.113975	-4.74%	0.0437	✓	0.91
2026-06-11	oos	0.121415	0.120865	-0.45%	0.115755	-4.66%	0.0334	✓	0.90
2026-06-10	oos	0.120205	0.120085	-0.10%	0.121285	+0.90%	0.0340	✓	0.92
2026-06-09	oos	0.115155	0.115454	+0.26%	0.1241	+7.77%	0.0148	✓	0.93
2026-06-03	oos	0.14344	0.140639	-1.95%	0.120205	-16.20%	0.1210	✓	0.87
2026-06-02	oos	0.14843	0.145392	-2.05%	0.115155	-22.42%	0.1658	✓	0.87
2026-06-01	oos	0.15781	0.15532	-1.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-05-31	oos	0.156685	0.153217	-2.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-05-30	oos	0.151745	0.149871	-1.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-05-29	oos	0.149	0.146395	-1.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-05-28	oos	0.14687	0.146214	-0.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-05-27	oos	0.151	0.149957	-0.69%	0.14344	-5.01%	0.0732	✗	0.79
2026-05-26	oos	0.15437	0.152143	-1.44%	0.14843	-3.85%	0.0770	✗	0.79
2026-05-25	oos	0.15909	0.156626	-1.55%	0.15781	-0.80%	0.0718	✗	0.80
2026-05-24	oos	0.158125	0.157986	-0.09%	0.156685	-0.91%	0.0281	✗	0.80
2026-05-23	oos	0.163095	0.162753	-0.21%	0.151745	-6.96%	0.0389	✓	0.81
2026-05-22	oos	0.15824	0.15833	+0.06%	0.149	-5.84%	0.0381	✗	0.81
2026-05-21	oos	0.16376	0.16414	+0.23%	0.14687	-10.31%	0.0683	✗	0.80
2026-05-20	oos	0.16008	0.161171	+0.68%	0.151	-5.67%	0.0317	✗	0.80
2026-05-19	oos	0.1582	0.159428	+0.78%	0.15437	-2.42%	0.0223	✗	0.80
2026-05-18	oos	0.16315	0.164155	+0.62%	0.15909	-2.49%	0.0345	✗	0.81
2026-05-17	oos	0.162445	0.163536	+0.67%	0.158125	-2.66%	0.0291	✗	0.81
2026-05-16	oos	0.166865	0.167441	+0.35%	0.163095	-2.26%	0.0112	✗	0.80
2026-05-15	oos	0.17048	0.171376	+0.53%	0.15824	-7.18%	0.0412	✗	0.82
2026-05-14	oos	0.1781	0.179755	+0.93%	0.16376	-8.05%	0.0569	✗	0.82
2026-05-13	oos	0.17641	0.176804	+0.22%	0.16008	-9.26%	0.0794	✗	0.86
2026-05-12	oos	0.18261	0.184662	+1.12%	0.1582	-13.37%	0.1147	✗	0.84
2026-05-11	oos	0.189155	0.191354	+1.16%	0.16315	-13.75%	0.1092	✗	0.83
2026-05-10	oos	0.18791	0.190712	+1.49%	0.162445	-13.55%	0.1112	✗	0.82
2026-05-07	oos	0.179	0.181411	+1.35%	0.1781	-0.50%	0.0291	✗	0.80
2026-05-06	oos	0.1802	0.182783	+1.43%	0.17641	-2.10%	0.0111	✓	0.91
2026-05-05	oos	0.177505	0.179146	+0.92%	0.18261	+2.88%	0.0249	✓	1.10
2026-05-04	oos	0.175	0.176569	+0.90%	0.189155	+8.09%	0.0435	✓	1.09
2026-05-03	oos	0.17779	0.178217	+0.24%	0.18791	+5.69%	0.0032	✓	1.10
2026-05-01	oos	0.17355	0.173962	+0.24%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-04-30	oos	0.17367	0.174574	+0.52%	0.179	+3.07%	0.0273	✗	1.11
2026-04-29	oos	0.17556	0.175749	+0.11%	0.1802	+2.64%	0.0552	✗	1.11
2026-04-28	oos	0.181895	0.180368	-0.84%	0.177505	-2.41%	0.0810	✓	1.11
2026-04-27	oos	0.17189	0.173347	+0.85%	0.175	+1.81%	0.0261	✗	1.12
2026-04-26	oos	0.176575	0.178094	+0.86%	0.17779	+0.69%	0.0001	✓	1.12
2026-04-25	oos	0.173675	0.174668	+0.57%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-04-24	oos	0.17244	0.173572	+0.66%	0.17355	+0.64%	0.0113	✗	1.12
2026-04-23	oos	0.171695	0.173666	+1.15%	0.17367	+1.15%	0.0288	✓	1.13
2026-04-22	oos	0.172625	0.174376	+1.01%	0.17556	+1.70%	0.0427	✓	1.13
2026-04-21	oos	0.17375	0.174696	+0.54%	0.181895	+4.69%	0.0408	✓	1.14
2026-04-20	oos	0.17181	0.172677	+0.50%	0.17189	+0.05%	0.0268	✗	1.13
2026-04-19	oos	0.16685	0.167427	+0.35%	0.176575	+5.83%	0.0173	✗	1.11
2026-04-18	oos	0.1744	0.174887	+0.28%	0.173675	-0.42%	0.0346	✗	1.11
2026-04-17	oos	0.17886	0.179456	+0.33%	0.17244	-3.59%	0.0451	✗	1.11
2026-04-16	oos	0.175965	0.176113	+0.08%	0.171695	-2.43%	0.0707	✗	1.11
2026-04-15	oos	0.17247	0.172637	+0.10%	0.172625	+0.09%	0.0491	✗	1.11
2026-04-14	oos	0.168605	0.168667	+0.04%	0.17375	+3.05%	0.0024	✗	1.11
2026-04-13	oos	0.17076	0.170384	-0.22%	0.17181	+0.61%	0.0126	✓	1.11
2026-04-12	oos	0.16379	0.162153	-1.00%	0.16685	+1.87%	0.0194	✓	1.13
2026-04-11	oos	0.16851	0.168452	-0.03%	0.1744	+3.50%	0.0056	✓	1.13
2026-04-10	oos	0.17066	0.170509	-0.09%	0.17886	+4.80%	0.0139	✓	1.13
2026-04-09	oos	0.16953	0.169125	-0.24%	0.175965	+3.80%	0.0122	✓	1.13
2026-04-08	oos	0.168575	0.16794	-0.38%	0.17247	+2.31%	0.0316	✓	1.13
2026-04-07	oos	0.171065	0.169805	-0.74%	0.168605	-1.44%	0.0423	✓	1.13
2026-04-06	oos	0.16605	0.16315	-1.75%	0.17076	+2.84%	0.0422	✓	1.12
2026-04-05	oos	0.166055	0.163282	-1.67%	0.16379	-1.36%	0.0251	✓	1.12
2026-04-04	oos	0.165295	0.164091	-0.73%	0.16851	+1.95%	0.0669	✓	1.13
2026-04-03	oos	0.16679	0.165043	-1.05%	0.17066	+2.32%	0.0644	✓	1.13
2026-04-02	oos	0.160885	0.158381	-1.56%	0.16953	+5.37%	0.0118	✓	1.13
2026-04-01	oos	0.16651	0.1652	-0.79%	0.168575	+1.24%	0.0282	✓	1.13
2026-03-31	oos	0.16275	0.161629	-0.69%	0.171065	+5.11%	0.0030	✓	1.13
2026-03-30	oos	0.16123	0.159914	-0.82%	0.16605	+2.99%	0.0021	✓	1.14
2026-03-29	oos	0.15744	0.156653	-0.50%	0.166055	+5.47%	0.0071	✗	1.13
2026-03-28	oos	0.161465	0.160562	-0.56%	0.165295	+2.37%	0.0126	✗	1.13
2026-03-27	oos	0.161995	0.161162	-0.51%	0.16679	+2.96%	0.0240	✗	1.13
2026-03-26	oos	0.166535	0.165942	-0.36%	0.160885	-3.39%	0.0006	✓	1.14
2026-03-25	oos	0.1729	0.172482	-0.24%	0.16651	-3.70%	0.0171	✗	1.14
2026-03-24	oos	0.17146	0.17091	-0.32%	0.16275	-5.08%	0.0108	✓	1.14
2026-03-23	oos	0.17144	0.170742	-0.41%	0.16123	-5.96%	0.0115	✗	1.14
2026-03-22	oos	0.164175	0.162748	-0.87%	0.15744	-4.10%	0.0008	✓	1.15
2026-03-21	oos	0.17075	0.169967	-0.46%	0.161465	-5.44%	0.0075	✓	1.14
2026-03-20	oos	0.176025	0.175166	-0.49%	0.161995	-7.97%	0.0090	✓	1.14
2026-03-19	oos	0.17606	0.174746	-0.75%	0.166535	-5.41%	0.0292	✓	1.14
2026-03-18	oos	0.17895	0.176561	-1.33%	0.1729	-3.38%	0.0219	✓	1.15
2026-03-17	oos	0.18915	0.186429	-1.44%	0.17146	-9.35%	0.0297	✓	1.15
2026-03-16	oos	0.18851	0.187881	-0.33%	0.17144	-9.06%	0.0281	✓	1.15
2026-03-15	oos	0.17487	0.174644	-0.13%	0.164175	-6.12%	0.0181	✗	1.13
2026-03-14	oos	0.17057	0.170187	-0.22%	0.17075	+0.11%	0.0406	✗	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.17268	0.171764	-0.53%	0.176025	+1.94%	0.0317	✗	1.13
2026-03-12	oos	0.17447	0.171938	-1.45%	0.17606	+0.91%	0.0336	✗	1.13
2026-03-11	oos	0.17011	0.169433	-0.40%	0.17895	+5.20%	0.0381	✗	1.13
2026-03-10	oos	0.165995	0.16523	-0.46%	0.18915	+13.95%	0.0732	✗	1.12
2026-03-09	oos	0.163925	0.162217	-1.04%	0.18851	+15.00%	0.0487	✗	1.13
2026-03-08	oos	0.162995	0.1623	-0.43%	0.17487	+7.29%	0.0387	✓	1.15
2026-03-07	oos	0.164055	0.16359	-0.28%	0.17057	+3.97%	0.0241	✓	1.15
2026-03-06	oos	0.169885	0.169318	-0.33%	0.17268	+1.65%	0.0269	✓	1.14
2026-03-05	oos	0.171755	0.171584	-0.10%	0.17447	+1.58%	0.0225	✗	1.16
2026-03-04	oos	0.17464	0.174614	-0.02%	0.17011	-2.59%	0.0135	✗	1.14
2026-03-03	oos	0.172185	0.171782	-0.23%	0.165995	-3.59%	0.0622	✓	1.19
2026-03-02	oos	0.17192	0.171601	-0.19%	0.163925	-4.65%	0.0388	✓	1.19
2026-03-01	oos	0.171345	0.170671	-0.39%	0.162995	-4.87%	0.0497	✓	1.20
2026-02-28	oos	0.175335	0.174324	-0.58%	0.164055	-6.43%	0.0659	✓	1.20
2026-02-27	oos	0.17458	0.173655	-0.53%	0.169885	-2.69%	0.0624	✓	1.21
2026-02-26	oos	0.17904	0.177524	-0.85%	0.171755	-4.07%	0.0925	✓	1.21
2026-02-25	oos	0.18074	0.179723	-0.56%	0.17464	-3.38%	0.1094	✓	1.21
2026-02-24	oos	0.170555	0.169636	-0.54%	0.172185	+0.96%	0.0642	✓	1.23
2026-02-23	oos	0.172325	0.171517	-0.47%	0.17192	-0.24%	0.0736	✓	1.20
2026-02-22	oos	0.18046	0.179966	-0.27%	0.171345	-5.05%	0.0156	✓	1.21
2026-02-21	oos	0.185815	0.185031	-0.42%	0.175335	-5.64%	0.0361	✓	1.21
2026-02-20	oos	0.184385	0.183724	-0.36%	0.17458	-5.32%	0.0125	✓	1.21
2026-02-19	oos	0.182425	0.181864	-0.31%	0.17904	-1.86%	0.0250	✓	1.22
2026-02-18	oos	0.181725	0.181171	-0.31%	0.18074	-0.54%	0.0309	✓	1.22
2026-02-17	oos	0.189235	0.188011	-0.65%	0.170555	-9.87%	0.0359	✓	1.19
2026-02-16	oos	0.191405	0.189766	-0.86%	0.172325	-9.97%	0.0206	✓	1.19
2026-02-15	oos	0.189955	0.187549	-1.27%	0.18046	-5.00%	0.0180	✓	1.19
2026-02-14	oos	0.20493	0.202256	-1.30%	0.185815	-9.33%	0.0535	✓	1.18
2026-02-13	oos	0.20067	0.197295	-1.68%	0.184385	-8.12%	0.0534	✓	1.18
2026-02-12	oos	0.18518	0.183867	-0.71%	0.182425	-1.49%	0.0211	✓	1.15
2026-02-11	oos	0.181585	0.179416	-1.19%	0.181725	+0.08%	0.0230	✗	1.13
2026-02-10	oos	0.18496	0.184152	-0.44%	0.189235	+2.31%	0.0495	✗	1.13
2026-02-09	oos	0.182105	0.181327	-0.43%	0.191405	+5.11%	0.0746	✗	1.14
2026-02-08	oos	0.18154	0.180463	-0.59%	0.189955	+4.64%	0.0753	✗	1.12
2026-02-07	oos	0.18568	0.182926	-1.48%	0.20493	+10.37%	0.1048	✗	1.13
2026-02-06	oos	0.18501	0.182584	-1.31%	0.20067	+8.46%	0.1225	✗	1.14
2026-02-05	oos	0.160015	0.161756	+1.09%	0.18518	+15.73%	0.0764	✓	1.11
2026-02-04	oos	0.20325	0.201636	-0.79%	0.181585	-10.66%	0.0290	✓	0.89
2026-02-03	oos	0.20823	0.205587	-1.27%	0.18496	-11.18%	0.0240	✓	0.86
2026-02-02	oos	0.21705	0.211332	-2.63%	0.182105	-16.10%	0.0498	✓	0.86
2026-02-01	oos	0.2103	0.205871	-2.11%	0.18154	-13.68%	0.0484	✓	0.86
2026-01-31	oos	0.219565	0.215654	-1.78%	0.18568	-15.43%	0.0314	✓	0.93
2026-01-30	oos	0.23511	0.230454	-1.98%	0.18501	-21.31%	0.0582	✓	0.92
2026-01-29	oos	0.23785	0.235571	-0.96%	0.160015	-32.72%	0.1125	✓	0.92
2026-01-28	oos	0.255955	0.253459	-0.98%	0.20325	-20.59%	0.0436	✓	0.89
2026-01-27	oos	0.26027	0.257333	-1.13%	0.20823	-19.99%	0.0653	✓	0.89
2026-01-26	oos	0.25924	0.256095	-1.21%	0.21705	-16.27%	0.0640	✓	0.88
2026-01-25	oos	0.24934	0.246478	-1.15%	0.2103	-15.66%	0.0555	✓	0.87
2026-01-24	oos	0.25788	0.255372	-0.97%	0.219565	-14.86%	0.0433	✓	0.87
2026-01-23	oos	0.25693	0.254462	-0.96%	0.23511	-8.49%	0.0254	✓	0.87
2026-01-22	oos	0.259115	0.256426	-1.04%	0.23785	-8.21%	0.0256	✓	0.87
2026-01-20	oos	0.26255	0.259798	-1.05%	0.26027	-0.87%	0.0062	✓	0.88
2026-01-19	oos	0.26284	0.260657	-0.83%	0.25924	-1.37%	0.0390	✗	0.93
2026-01-18	oos	0.27386	0.271781	-0.76%	0.24934	-8.95%	0.0131	✓	0.93
2026-01-17	oos	0.28892	0.286248	-0.92%	0.25788	-10.74%	0.0445	✓	0.91
2026-01-16	oos	0.28677	0.284219	-0.89%	0.25693	-10.41%	0.0411	✓	0.92
2026-01-15	oos	0.28772	0.285129	-0.90%	0.259115	-9.94%	0.0350	✓	0.92
2026-01-14	oos	0.29702	0.293635	-1.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-01-13	oos	0.296395	0.291615	-1.61%	0.26255	-11.42%	0.0323	✓	0.94
2026-01-12	oos	0.27538	0.269162	-2.26%	0.26284	-4.55%	0.0372	✓	0.90
2026-01-11	oos	0.2824	0.275737	-2.36%	0.27386	-3.02%	0.0346	✓	0.93
2026-01-10	oos	0.28944	0.282314	-2.46%	0.28892	-0.18%	0.0246	✓	0.93
2026-01-09	oos	0.28973	0.282558	-2.48%	0.28677	-1.02%	0.0387	✓	1.00
2026-01-08	oos	0.29088	0.281877	-3.10%	0.28772	-1.09%	0.0279	✓	0.99
2026-01-07	oos	0.29302	0.283496	-3.25%	0.29702	+1.37%	0.0259	✓	1.20
2026-01-06	oos	0.2836	0.275544	-2.84%	0.296395	+4.51%	0.0512	✗	1.24
2026-01-05	oos	0.28016	0.272381	-2.78%	0.27538	-1.71%	0.0465	✗	1.23
2026-01-03	oos	0.27195	0.263533	-3.10%	0.28944	+6.43%	0.0968	✗	1.23
2026-01-02	oos	0.27572	0.266349	-3.40%	0.28973	+5.08%	0.0765	✗	1.23
2026-01-01	oos	0.26246	0.254671	-2.97%	0.29088	+10.83%	0.1021	✗	1.21
2025-12-31	oos	0.257905	0.250767	-2.77%	0.29302	+13.62%	0.1048	✗	1.20
2025-12-30	oos	0.264	0.256992	-2.65%	0.2836	+7.42%	0.0275	✗	1.21
2025-12-29	oos	0.264925	0.25777	-2.70%	0.28016	+5.75%	0.0062	✓	1.20
2025-12-28	oos	0.26149	0.255242	-2.39%	–	pending	–	–	1.20
2025-12-27	oos	0.26159	0.258901	-1.03%	0.27195	+3.96%	0.0122	✗	1.18
2025-12-26	oos	0.250025	0.247917	-0.84%	0.27572	+10.28%	0.0712	✗	1.17
2025-12-25	oos	0.250575	0.248008	-1.02%	0.26246	+4.74%	0.0358	✗	1.17
2025-12-24	oos	0.25811	0.255815	-0.89%	0.257905	-0.08%	0.0096	✗	1.17
2025-12-23	oos	0.25794	0.255693	-0.87%	0.264	+2.35%	0.0189	✗	1.19
2025-12-22	oos	0.26017	0.257761	-0.93%	0.264925	+1.83%	0.0468	✗	1.18
2025-12-21	oos	0.25406	0.251833	-0.88%	0.26149	+2.92%	0.0478	✗	1.17
2025-12-20	oos	0.258335	0.255178	-1.22%	0.26159	+1.26%	0.0318	✗	1.19
2025-12-19	oos	0.25433	0.250099	-1.66%	0.250025	-1.69%	0.0105	✓	1.19
2025-12-18	oos	0.24288	0.241558	-0.54%	0.250575	+3.17%	0.0132	✗	1.18
2025-12-17	oos	0.253725	0.251556	-0.85%	0.25811	+1.73%	0.0066	✓	1.18
2025-12-16	oos	0.2625	0.259279	-1.23%	0.25794	-1.74%	0.0006	✓	1.18
2025-12-15	oos	0.26616	0.260288	-2.21%	0.26017	-2.25%	0.0297	✓	1.20
2025-12-14	oos	0.2745	0.272288	-0.81%	0.25406	-7.45%	0.0756	✓	1.19
2025-12-13	oos	0.28291	0.28048	-0.86%	0.258335	-8.69%	0.0566	✓	1.18
2025-12-12	oos	0.28005	0.277735	-0.83%	0.25433	-9.18%	0.0592	✓	1.18
2025-12-11	oos	0.28642	0.283808	-0.91%	0.24288	-15.20%	0.0616	✓	1.18
2025-12-10	oos	0.292285	0.289424	-0.98%	0.253725	-13.19%	0.0541	✓	1.19
2025-12-09	oos	0.29326	0.290362	-0.99%	0.2625	-10.49%	0.0375	✓	1.18
2025-12-08	oos	0.284875	0.282352	-0.89%	0.26616	-6.57%	0.0030	✓	1.17
2025-12-07	oos	0.28704	0.284876	-0.75%	0.2745	-4.37%	0.0078	✓	1.17
2025-12-06	oos	0.29035	0.287653	-0.93%	0.28291	-2.56%	0.0297	✓	1.19
2025-12-05	oos	0.296505	0.292808	-1.25%	0.28005	-5.55%	0.0569	✓	1.19
2025-12-04	oos	0.292345	0.289324	-1.03%	0.28642	-2.03%	0.0160	✓	1.23
2025-12-03	oos	0.29318	0.290609	-0.88%	0.292285	-0.31%	0.0246	✗	1.23
2025-12-02	oos	0.287035	0.283906	-1.09%	0.29326	+2.17%	0.0139	✗	1.24
2025-12-01	oos	0.27774	0.273511	-1.52%	0.284875	+2.57%	0.0231	✓	1.29
2025-11-30	oos	0.296985	0.292456	-1.53%	0.28704	-3.35%	0.0192	✓	1.28
2025-11-29	oos	0.31041	0.30111	-3.00%	0.29035	-6.46%	0.0144	✓	1.27
2025-11-28	oos	0.2863	0.280933	-1.87%	0.296505	+3.56%	0.0758	✗	1.27
2025-11-27	oos	0.282945	0.280069	-1.02%	0.292345	+3.32%	0.0322	✗	1.27
2025-11-26	oos	0.274165	0.27261	-0.57%	0.29318	+6.94%	0.0318	✗	1.26
2025-11-25	oos	0.273475	0.271042	-0.89%	0.287035	+4.96%	0.0007	✓	1.30
2025-11-24	oos	0.27588	0.273113	-1.00%	0.27774	+0.67%	0.0464	✗	1.30
2025-11-23	oos	0.27126	0.266127	-1.89%	0.296985	+9.48%	0.0567	✗	1.32
2025-11-22	oos	0.25884	0.257706	-0.44%	0.31041	+19.92%	0.0923	✗	1.34
2025-11-21	oos	0.26148	0.259547	-0.74%	0.2863	+9.49%	0.0094	✗	1.34
2025-11-20	oos	0.26911	0.268186	-0.34%	0.282945	+5.14%	0.0177	✓	1.33
2025-11-19	oos	0.27749	0.276105	-0.50%	0.274165	-1.20%	0.0085	✗	1.43
2025-11-18	oos	0.28673	0.284784	-0.68%	0.273475	-4.62%	0.0481	✗	1.43
2025-11-17	oos	0.289155	0.286993	-0.75%	0.27588	-4.59%	0.0225	✗	1.46
2025-11-16	oos	0.289095	0.286259	-0.98%	0.27126	-6.17%	0.0657	✗	1.47
2025-11-15	oos	0.29537	0.290281	-1.72%	0.25884	-12.37%	0.0625	✗	1.47
2025-11-14	oos	0.29554	0.289509	-2.04%	0.26148	-11.52%	0.0532	✗	1.47
2025-11-13	oos	0.300075	0.293869	-2.07%	0.26911	-10.32%	0.1330	✗	1.57
2025-11-12	oos	0.31321	0.307237	-1.91%	0.27749	-11.40%	0.0631	✗	1.56
2025-11-11	oos	0.32233	0.314006	-2.58%	0.28673	-11.04%	0.0698	✗	1.56
2025-11-10	oos	0.311865	0.306628	-1.68%	0.289155	-7.28%	0.1664	✗	1.60
2025-11-07	oos	0.31026	0.302381	-2.54%	0.29554	-4.74%	0.1128	✗	1.53
2025-11-06	oos	0.285505	0.280517	-1.75%	0.300075	+5.10%	0.0923	✗	1.49
2025-11-05	oos	0.274	0.271522	-0.90%	0.31321	+14.31%	0.1763	✗	1.54
2025-11-04	oos	0.26582	0.26602	+0.08%	0.32233	+21.26%	0.1686	✓	1.55
2025-11-03	oos	0.27914	0.278967	-0.06%	0.311865	+11.72%	0.1202	✗	1.60
2025-11-02	oos	0.318915	0.317261	-0.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.52
2025-11-01	oos	0.320415	0.319206	-0.38%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2025-10-31	oos	0.309865	0.308675	-0.38%	0.31026	+0.13%	0.0953	✗	1.53
2025-10-30	oos	0.308515	0.307951	-0.18%	0.285505	-7.46%	0.0271	✗	1.53
2025-10-29	oos	0.319275	0.318743	-0.17%	0.274	-14.18%	0.0637	✓	1.52
2025-10-28	oos	0.31918	0.318919	-0.08%	0.26582	-16.72%	0.0153	✓	1.56
2025-10-27	oos	0.328305	0.327848	-0.14%	0.27914	-14.98%	0.0544	✓	1.56
2025-10-26	oos	0.33998	0.339251	-0.21%	0.318915	-6.20%	0.0063	✓	1.56
2025-10-25	oos	0.33173	0.331389	-0.10%	0.320415	-3.41%	0.0107	✓	1.58
2025-10-24	oos	0.327525	0.327071	-0.14%	0.309865	-5.39%	0.0327	✓	1.59
2025-10-23	oos	0.32564	0.324748	-0.27%	0.308515	-5.26%	0.0250	✓	1.59
2025-10-22	oos	0.31558	0.315186	-0.12%	0.319275	+1.17%	0.0228	✓	1.59
2025-10-21	oos	0.32218	0.321297	-0.27%	0.31918	-0.93%	0.0719	✓	1.59
2025-10-20	oos	0.332165	0.331643	-0.16%	0.328305	-1.16%	0.0595	✓	1.58
2025-10-19	oos	0.327595	0.327179	-0.13%	0.33998	+3.78%	0.0428	✓	1.54
2025-10-18	oos	0.32185	0.322144	+0.09%	0.33173	+3.07%	0.0336	✗	1.54
2025-10-17	oos	0.3212	0.321992	+0.25%	0.327525	+1.97%	0.0479	✗	1.54
2025-10-16	oos	0.337535	0.33801	+0.14%	0.32564	-3.52%	0.0642	✗	1.53
2025-10-15	oos	0.352265	0.351776	-0.14%	0.31558	-10.41%	0.0640	✓	1.51
2025-10-14	oos	0.36235	0.36109	-0.35%	0.32218	-11.09%	0.0497	✓	1.51
2025-10-13	oos	0.38349	0.380088	-0.89%	0.332165	-13.38%	0.0726	✓	1.49
2025-10-12	oos	0.385365	0.38348	-0.49%	0.327595	-14.99%	0.0737	✓	1.47
2025-10-11	oos	0.35246	0.350792	-0.47%	0.32185	-8.68%	0.0402	✓	1.40
2025-10-10	oos	0.35363	0.353259	-0.10%	0.3212	-9.17%	0.0135	✓	1.37
2025-10-09	oos	0.42924	0.428336	-0.21%	0.337535	-21.36%	0.1152	✓	1.05
2025-10-08	oos	0.438	0.436984	-0.23%	0.352265	-19.57%	0.1036	✓	1.04
2025-10-07	oos	0.439955	0.437897	-0.47%	0.36235	-17.64%	0.1179	✓	1.01
2025-10-06	oos	0.452595	0.450178	-0.53%	0.38349	-15.27%	0.0812	✓	1.00
2025-10-05	oos	0.44116	0.438061	-0.70%	0.385365	-12.65%	0.0574	✓	1.00
2025-10-04	oos	0.443395	0.438222	-1.17%	0.35246	-20.51%	0.1162	✓	1.01
2025-10-03	oos	0.451335	0.448639	-0.60%	0.35363	-21.65%	0.1572	✓	1.02
2025-10-02	oos	0.45289	0.44859	-0.95%	0.42924	-5.22%	0.0534	✓	1.03
2025-10-01	oos	0.433395	0.430795	-0.60%	0.438	+1.06%	0.0193	✓	0.93
2025-09-30	oos	0.424195	0.42085	-0.79%	0.439955	+3.72%	0.0146	✓	0.95
2025-09-29	oos	0.41666	0.413806	-0.69%	0.452595	+8.62%	0.0034	✓	1.07
2025-09-28	oos	0.42299	0.418595	-1.04%	0.44116	+4.30%	0.0547	✓	1.12
2025-09-27	oos	0.415515	0.41006	-1.31%	0.443395	+6.71%	0.0474	✓	1.14
2025-09-26	oos	0.42021	0.411614	-2.05%	0.451335	+7.41%	0.0319	✓	1.14
2025-09-25	oos	0.40847	0.402111	-1.56%	0.45289	+10.87%	0.0045	✓	1.13
2025-09-24	oos	0.43509	0.429103	-1.38%	0.433395	-0.39%	0.0399	✓	1.09
2025-09-23	oos	0.442055	0.434863	-1.63%	0.424195	-4.04%	0.0450	✓	1.11
2025-09-22	oos	0.42058	0.411679	-2.12%	0.41666	-0.93%	0.0042	✓	1.13
2025-09-21	oos	0.45137	0.445806	-1.23%	0.42299	-6.29%	0.0232	✓	1.08
2025-09-20	oos	0.462155	0.455255	-1.49%	0.415515	-10.09%	0.0310	✓	1.12
2025-09-19	oos	0.453095	0.446451	-1.47%	0.42021	-7.26%	0.0009	✓	1.12
2025-09-18	oos	0.47161	0.463751	-1.67%	0.40847	-13.39%	0.0464	✓	1.13
2025-09-17	oos	0.466725	0.457808	-1.91%	0.43509	-6.78%	0.0197	✓	1.14
2025-09-16	oos	0.458205	0.44589	-2.69%	0.442055	-3.52%	0.0394	✗	1.14
2025-09-15	oos	0.459515	0.449821	-2.11%	0.42058	-8.47%	0.0405	✓	1.15
2025-09-14	oos	0.494815	0.476919	-3.62%	0.45137	-8.78%	0.0547	✓	1.19
2025-09-13	oos	0.45655	0.444517	-2.64%	0.462155	+1.23%	0.0412	✗	1.21
2025-09-12	oos	0.453335	0.442262	-2.44%	0.453095	-0.05%	0.0286	✗	1.22
2025-09-11	oos	0.4556	0.447083	-1.87%	0.47161	+3.51%	0.0369	✗	1.22
2025-09-10	oos	0.45231	0.445516	-1.50%	0.466725	+3.19%	0.0201	✗	1.22
2025-09-09	oos	0.449115	0.441151	-1.77%	0.458205	+2.02%	0.0195	✓	1.24
2025-09-08	oos	0.450765	0.441028	-2.16%	0.459515	+1.94%	0.0047	✓	1.25
2025-09-07	oos	0.42992	0.422427	-1.74%	0.494815	+15.09%	0.1126	✗	1.23
2025-09-06	oos	0.42645	0.417635	-2.07%	0.45655	+7.06%	0.0290	✗	1.18
2025-09-05	oos	0.42821	0.415796	-2.90%	0.453335	+5.87%	0.0298	✗	1.18

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.