ARK

ARK · native · beta_5y

token id: #261
symbol: ARK
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-09-26
predictions: 3,273

Track record at +30d

assessed

359

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

70.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1418

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0039

actual -0.0241

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.18393	0.176073	-4.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-21	oos	0.173565	0.166749	-3.93%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-20	oos	0.17451	0.167517	-4.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-19	oos	0.173985	0.167166	-3.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-18	oos	0.16914	0.164189	-2.93%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-17	oos	0.173255	0.168299	-2.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-16	oos	0.17946	0.174066	-3.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-15	oos	0.18215	0.177106	-2.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-14	oos	0.18125	0.175694	-3.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-13	oos	0.19077	0.183082	-4.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-12	oos	0.188815	0.180547	-4.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-11	oos	0.20696	0.195447	-5.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-10	oos	0.21283	0.200403	-5.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-09	oos	0.21456	0.202096	-5.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-08	oos	0.22464	0.208407	-7.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-07	oos	0.2145	0.200426	-6.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-06	oos	0.208695	0.199332	-4.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-05	oos	0.21823	0.207631	-4.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-04	oos	0.22409	0.212768	-5.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-03	oos	0.231185	0.214869	-7.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-02	oos	0.21165	0.197988	-6.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-01	oos	0.243225	0.222083	-8.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-09-30	oos	0.26057	0.23384	-10.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-09-29	oos	0.251205	0.228274	-9.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-09-28	oos	0.23865	0.216728	-9.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-09-27	oos	0.247355	0.225051	-9.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-09-26	oos	0.260575	0.231486	-11.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-09-25	oos	0.25433	0.223905	-11.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-09-24	oos	0.1933	0.179969	-6.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-09-23	oos	0.15873	0.153238	-3.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-09-22	oos	0.158	0.153548	-2.82%	0.18393	+16.41%	0.2035	✗	0.99
2026-09-21	oos	0.154	0.150455	-2.30%	0.173565	+12.70%	0.1885	✗	0.99
2026-09-20	oos	0.15176	0.146361	-3.56%	0.17451	+14.99%	0.1525	✗	1.08
2026-09-19	oos	0.15344	0.14783	-3.66%	0.173985	+13.39%	0.1550	✗	1.07
2026-09-18	oos	0.142255	0.13892	-2.34%	0.16914	+18.90%	0.1818	✗	1.08
2026-09-17	oos	0.13709	0.132658	-3.23%	0.173255	+26.38%	0.1952	✗	1.12
2026-09-16	oos	0.149755	0.141666	-5.40%	0.17946	+19.84%	0.1604	✗	1.12
2026-09-15	oos	0.145165	0.137986	-4.95%	0.18215	+25.48%	0.1838	✗	1.13
2026-09-14	oos	0.168585	0.156054	-7.43%	0.18125	+7.51%	0.1070	✗	1.01
2026-09-13	oos	0.13775	0.13261	-3.73%	0.19077	+38.49%	0.2917	✗	0.91
2026-09-12	oos	0.132925	0.130683	-1.69%	0.188815	+42.05%	0.3160	✗	0.92
2026-09-11	oos	0.114605	0.116344	+1.52%	0.20696	+80.59%	0.5008	✓	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.11005	0.112198	+1.95%	0.21283	+93.39%	0.5659	✓	0.93
2026-09-09	oos	0.117645	0.119633	+1.69%	0.21456	+82.38%	0.5367	✓	0.90
2026-09-08	oos	0.116325	0.118974	+2.28%	0.22464	+93.11%	0.5999	✓	0.88
2026-09-07	oos	0.114495	0.118301	+3.32%	0.2145	+87.34%	0.5497	✓	0.88
2026-09-06	oos	0.1178	0.122553	+4.04%	0.208695	+77.16%	0.4776	✓	0.87
2026-09-05	oos	0.1176	0.122543	+4.20%	0.21823	+85.57%	0.5147	✓	0.87
2026-09-04	oos	0.117595	0.122997	+4.59%	0.22409	+90.56%	0.5281	✓	0.87
2026-09-03	oos	0.11391	0.121899	+7.01%	0.231185	+102.95%	0.6018	✓	0.91
2026-09-02	oos	0.10991	0.115736	+5.30%	0.21165	+92.57%	0.5216	✓	0.92
2026-09-01	oos	0.10899	0.115732	+6.19%	0.243225	+123.16%	0.6579	✓	0.92
2026-08-31	oos	0.110155	0.118206	+7.31%	0.26057	+136.55%	0.7339	✓	0.92
2026-08-30	oos	0.1093	0.117354	+7.37%	0.251205	+129.83%	0.6937	✓	0.91
2026-08-29	oos	0.111545	0.121218	+8.67%	0.23865	+113.95%	0.6211	✓	0.87
2026-08-28	oos	0.112455	0.120587	+7.23%	0.247355	+119.96%	0.6475	✓	0.87
2026-08-27	oos	0.114335	0.123044	+7.62%	0.260575	+127.90%	0.7060	✓	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	0.11256	0.121201	+7.68%	0.25433	+125.95%	0.6866	✓	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	0.106795	0.117252	+9.79%	0.1933	+81.00%	0.4368	✓	0.88
2026-08-24	oos	0.107195	0.118519	+10.56%	0.15873	+48.08%	0.2341	✓	0.88
2026-08-23	oos	0.108375	0.118926	+9.74%	0.158	+45.79%	0.1916	✓	0.89
2026-08-22	oos	0.1085	0.118976	+9.66%	0.154	+41.94%	0.1535	✓	0.90
2026-08-21	oos	0.106915	0.119888	+12.13%	0.15176	+41.94%	0.2034	✓	0.91
2026-08-20	oos	0.097025	0.106814	+10.09%	0.15344	+58.14%	0.2732	✓	0.83
2026-08-19	oos	0.09194	0.097989	+6.58%	0.142255	+54.73%	0.2468	✓	0.82
2026-08-18	oos	0.08602	0.088953	+3.41%	0.13709	+59.37%	0.3039	✓	0.78
2026-08-17	oos	0.08748	0.089983	+2.86%	0.149755	+71.19%	0.3792	✓	0.78
2026-08-16	oos	0.08796	0.089036	+1.22%	0.145165	+65.04%	0.3393	✓	0.81
2026-08-15	oos	0.08962	0.090845	+1.37%	0.168585	+88.11%	0.4444	✓	0.81
2026-08-14	oos	0.088395	0.089834	+1.63%	0.13775	+55.83%	0.2668	✓	0.81
2026-08-13	oos	0.090045	0.09162	+1.75%	0.132925	+47.62%	0.2120	✓	0.81
2026-08-12	oos	0.089295	0.090708	+1.58%	0.114605	+28.34%	0.0707	✓	0.83
2026-08-11	oos	0.09124	0.09283	+1.74%	0.11005	+20.62%	0.0167	✓	0.82
2026-08-10	oos	0.092525	0.094224	+1.84%	0.117645	+27.15%	0.0531	✓	0.83
2026-08-09	oos	0.093465	0.095487	+2.16%	0.116325	+24.46%	0.0364	✓	0.85
2026-08-08	oos	0.094535	0.096749	+2.34%	0.114495	+21.11%	0.0017	✓	0.84
2026-08-07	oos	0.094245	0.096366	+2.25%	0.1178	+24.99%	0.0208	✓	0.84
2026-08-06	oos	0.09463	0.096137	+1.59%	0.1176	+24.27%	0.0178	✓	0.85
2026-08-05	oos	0.093025	0.094932	+2.05%	0.117595	+26.41%	0.0359	✓	0.85
2026-08-04	oos	0.093385	0.094815	+1.53%	0.11391	+21.98%	0.0177	✗	0.85
2026-08-03	oos	0.094775	0.095576	+0.84%	0.10991	+15.97%	0.0298	✗	0.86
2026-08-02	oos	0.09291	0.093853	+1.01%	0.10899	+17.31%	0.0210	✗	0.86
2026-08-01	oos	0.092585	0.093054	+0.51%	0.110155	+18.98%	0.0206	✗	0.84
2026-07-31	oos	0.09376	0.093968	+0.22%	0.1093	+16.57%	0.0278	✗	0.84
2026-07-30	oos	0.09442	0.095236	+0.86%	0.111545	+18.14%	0.0067	✓	0.87
2026-07-29	oos	0.09288	0.093454	+0.62%	0.112455	+21.08%	0.0186	✓	0.84
2026-07-28	oos	0.09666	0.097373	+0.74%	0.114335	+18.29%	0.0324	✗	0.84
2026-07-27	oos	0.097625	0.097887	+0.27%	0.11256	+15.30%	0.0436	✗	0.85
2026-07-26	oos	0.10425	0.10459	+0.33%	0.106795	+2.44%	0.1218	✗	0.78
2026-07-25	oos	0.1036	0.103612	+0.01%	0.107195	+3.47%	0.1275	✗	0.78
2026-07-24	oos	0.102	0.101891	-0.11%	0.108375	+6.25%	0.0903	✓	0.79
2026-07-23	oos	0.10346	0.103346	-0.11%	0.1085	+4.87%	0.0850	✓	0.79
2026-07-22	oos	0.105135	0.105783	+0.62%	0.106915	+1.69%	0.1225	✗	0.78
2026-07-21	oos	0.10553	0.106497	+0.92%	0.097025	-8.06%	0.1662	✗	0.78
2026-07-20	oos	0.102865	0.103734	+0.84%	0.09194	-10.62%	0.1662	✗	0.75
2026-07-19	oos	0.102685	0.10346	+0.76%	0.08602	-16.23%	0.1846	✗	0.75
2026-07-18	oos	0.105435	0.105932	+0.47%	0.08748	-17.03%	0.1876	✗	0.77
2026-07-17	oos	0.10409	0.104412	+0.31%	0.08796	-15.50%	0.1584	✗	0.78
2026-07-16	oos	0.104335	0.104542	+0.20%	0.08962	-14.10%	0.1447	✗	0.79
2026-07-15	oos	0.1069	0.106922	+0.02%	0.088395	-17.31%	0.1689	✗	0.78
2026-07-14	oos	0.107745	0.107836	+0.08%	0.090045	-16.43%	0.1611	✗	0.79
2026-07-13	oos	0.10499	0.104167	-0.78%	0.089295	-14.95%	0.1687	✓	0.80
2026-07-12	oos	0.107	0.10674	-0.24%	0.09124	-14.73%	0.1543	✓	0.81
2026-07-11	oos	0.1078	0.107177	-0.58%	0.092525	-14.17%	0.1488	✓	0.81
2026-07-10	oos	0.1084	0.107843	-0.51%	0.093465	-13.78%	0.1522	✓	0.81
2026-07-09	oos	0.10599	0.105186	-0.76%	0.094535	-10.81%	0.1285	✓	0.80
2026-07-08	oos	0.10426	0.104113	-0.14%	0.094245	-9.61%	0.1329	✓	0.80
2026-07-07	oos	0.106835	0.106664	-0.16%	0.09463	-11.42%	0.1315	✓	0.79
2026-07-06	oos	0.110765	0.110215	-0.50%	0.093025	-16.02%	0.1769	✓	0.79
2026-07-05	oos	0.110715	0.110226	-0.44%	0.093385	-15.65%	0.1715	✓	0.78
2026-07-04	oos	0.11172	0.110938	-0.70%	0.094775	-15.17%	0.1622	✓	0.79
2026-07-03	oos	0.112	0.110723	-1.14%	0.09291	-17.04%	0.1875	✓	0.78
2026-07-02	oos	0.1092	0.107629	-1.44%	0.092585	-15.22%	0.1664	✓	0.77
2026-07-01	oos	0.10592	0.103948	-1.86%	0.09376	-11.48%	0.1385	✓	0.76
2026-06-30	oos	0.11245	0.109645	-2.49%	0.09442	-16.03%	0.2338	✓	0.84
2026-06-28	oos	0.110405	0.107909	-2.26%	0.09666	-12.45%	0.1691	✓	0.83
2026-06-27	oos	0.112845	0.109314	-3.13%	0.097625	-13.49%	0.1639	✓	0.84
2026-06-26	oos	0.10684	0.105352	-1.39%	0.10425	-2.42%	0.0820	✓	0.84
2026-06-25	oos	0.10414	0.103046	-1.05%	0.1036	-0.52%	0.0564	✓	0.83
2026-06-24	oos	0.106585	0.105649	-0.88%	0.102	-4.30%	0.0761	✓	0.83
2026-06-23	oos	0.108595	0.107683	-0.84%	0.10346	-4.73%	0.0715	✓	0.84
2026-06-22	oos	0.11121	0.110251	-0.86%	0.105135	-5.46%	0.0749	✓	0.83
2026-06-21	oos	0.11287	0.111786	-0.96%	0.10553	-6.50%	0.1002	✓	0.84
2026-06-20	oos	0.116545	0.115191	-1.16%	0.102865	-11.74%	0.1261	✓	0.85
2026-06-19	oos	0.113975	0.112907	-0.94%	0.102685	-9.91%	0.1110	✓	0.85
2026-06-18	oos	0.115755	0.113789	-1.70%	0.105435	-8.92%	0.1023	✓	0.87
2026-06-17	oos	0.121285	0.119432	-1.53%	0.10409	-14.18%	0.1302	✓	0.85
2026-06-16	oos	0.1241	0.1218	-1.85%	0.104335	-15.93%	0.1307	✓	0.84
2026-06-15	oos	0.124935	0.122498	-1.95%	0.1069	-14.44%	0.1155	✓	0.87
2026-06-14	oos	0.1246	0.121517	-2.47%	0.107745	-13.53%	0.1108	✓	0.86
2026-06-13	oos	0.121495	0.119686	-1.49%	0.10499	-13.58%	0.1001	✓	0.90
2026-06-12	oos	0.11965	0.117915	-1.45%	0.107	-10.57%	0.1000	✓	0.91
2026-06-11	oos	0.121415	0.119649	-1.45%	0.1078	-11.21%	0.1073	✓	0.90
2026-06-10	oos	0.120205	0.118476	-1.44%	0.1084	-9.82%	0.1282	✓	0.92
2026-06-09	oos	0.115155	0.11468	-0.41%	0.10599	-7.96%	0.1010	✓	0.93
2026-06-03	oos	0.14344	0.137448	-4.18%	0.112	-21.92%	0.1838	✓	0.87
2026-06-02	oos	0.14843	0.142165	-4.22%	0.1092	-26.43%	0.1936	✓	0.87
2026-06-01	oos	0.15781	0.152134	-3.60%	0.10592	-32.88%	0.2232	✓	0.80
2026-05-31	oos	0.156685	0.151229	-3.48%	0.11245	-28.23%	0.1063	✓	0.83
2026-05-30	oos	0.151745	0.14812	-2.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-05-29	oos	0.149	0.145304	-2.48%	0.110405	-25.90%	0.1078	✓	0.79
2026-05-28	oos	0.14687	0.144779	-1.42%	0.112845	-23.17%	0.0871	✓	0.79
2026-05-27	oos	0.151	0.14883	-1.44%	0.10684	-29.25%	0.1623	✓	0.79
2026-05-26	oos	0.15437	0.152109	-1.46%	0.10414	-32.54%	0.1902	✓	0.79
2026-05-25	oos	0.15909	0.156755	-1.47%	0.106585	-33.00%	0.1956	✓	0.80
2026-05-24	oos	0.158125	0.157069	-0.67%	0.108595	-31.32%	0.2035	✓	0.80
2026-05-23	oos	0.163095	0.161663	-0.88%	0.11121	-31.81%	0.2268	✓	0.81
2026-05-22	oos	0.15824	0.157721	-0.33%	0.11287	-28.67%	0.1918	✓	0.81
2026-05-21	oos	0.16376	0.164865	+0.67%	0.116545	-28.83%	0.1955	✗	0.80
2026-05-20	oos	0.16008	0.163283	+2.00%	0.113975	-28.80%	0.1993	✗	0.80
2026-05-19	oos	0.1582	0.162004	+2.40%	0.115755	-26.83%	0.1761	✗	0.80
2026-05-18	oos	0.16315	0.167235	+2.50%	0.121285	-25.66%	0.1777	✗	0.81
2026-05-17	oos	0.162445	0.168025	+3.44%	0.1241	-23.60%	0.1696	✗	0.81
2026-05-16	oos	0.166865	0.173572	+4.02%	0.124935	-25.13%	0.1968	✗	0.80
2026-05-15	oos	0.17048	0.177954	+4.38%	0.1246	-26.91%	0.2041	✗	0.82
2026-05-14	oos	0.1781	0.187067	+5.03%	0.121495	-31.78%	0.2442	✗	0.82
2026-05-13	oos	0.17641	0.183467	+4.00%	0.11965	-32.18%	0.2363	✗	0.86
2026-05-12	oos	0.18261	0.190172	+4.14%	0.121415	-33.51%	0.2493	✗	0.84
2026-05-11	oos	0.189155	0.198263	+4.82%	0.120205	-36.45%	0.2628	✗	0.83
2026-05-10	oos	0.18791	0.20017	+6.52%	0.115155	-38.72%	0.3175	✗	0.82
2026-05-07	oos	0.179	0.191465	+6.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-05-06	oos	0.1802	0.197245	+9.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-05-05	oos	0.177505	0.19606	+10.45%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-05-04	oos	0.175	0.190667	+8.95%	0.14344	-18.03%	0.0433	✓	1.09
2026-05-03	oos	0.17779	0.188818	+6.20%	0.14843	-16.51%	0.0603	✗	1.10
2026-05-01	oos	0.17355	0.183874	+5.95%	0.156685	-9.72%	0.0922	✗	1.10
2026-04-30	oos	0.17367	0.179973	+3.63%	0.151745	-12.62%	0.1332	✗	1.11
2026-04-29	oos	0.17556	0.181054	+3.13%	0.149	-15.13%	0.1594	✗	1.11
2026-04-28	oos	0.181895	0.187151	+2.89%	0.14687	-19.26%	0.2007	✗	1.11
2026-04-27	oos	0.17189	0.180879	+5.23%	0.151	-12.15%	0.1354	✗	1.12
2026-04-26	oos	0.176575	0.186711	+5.74%	0.15437	-12.58%	0.1489	✗	1.12
2026-04-25	oos	0.173675	0.183147	+5.45%	0.15909	-8.40%	0.1350	✗	1.13
2026-04-24	oos	0.17244	0.181448	+5.22%	0.158125	-8.30%	0.1305	✗	1.12
2026-04-23	oos	0.171695	0.18153	+5.73%	0.163095	-5.01%	0.0834	✗	1.13
2026-04-22	oos	0.172625	0.18189	+5.37%	0.15824	-8.33%	0.0988	✗	1.13
2026-04-21	oos	0.17375	0.179803	+3.48%	0.16376	-5.75%	0.1111	✗	1.14
2026-04-20	oos	0.17181	0.177455	+3.29%	0.16008	-6.83%	0.1269	✗	1.13
2026-04-19	oos	0.16685	0.170806	+2.37%	0.1582	-5.18%	0.1200	✗	1.11
2026-04-18	oos	0.1744	0.179788	+3.09%	0.16315	-6.45%	0.1146	✗	1.11
2026-04-17	oos	0.17886	0.184652	+3.24%	0.162445	-9.18%	0.1326	✗	1.11
2026-04-16	oos	0.175965	0.179789	+2.17%	0.166865	-5.17%	0.1174	✗	1.11
2026-04-15	oos	0.17247	0.176689	+2.45%	0.17048	-1.15%	0.0968	✗	1.11
2026-04-14	oos	0.168605	0.173182	+2.71%	0.1781	+5.63%	0.0709	✗	1.11
2026-04-13	oos	0.17076	0.174506	+2.19%	0.17641	+3.31%	0.0590	✗	1.11
2026-04-12	oos	0.16379	0.164723	+0.57%	0.18261	+11.49%	0.0426	✗	1.13
2026-04-11	oos	0.16851	0.170737	+1.32%	0.189155	+12.25%	0.0241	✗	1.13
2026-04-10	oos	0.17066	0.172979	+1.36%	0.18791	+10.11%	0.0514	✗	1.13
2026-04-09	oos	0.16953	0.171073	+0.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-04-08	oos	0.168575	0.16982	+0.74%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-04-07	oos	0.171065	0.172171	+0.65%	0.179	+4.64%	0.0819	✗	1.13
2026-04-06	oos	0.16605	0.164297	-1.06%	0.1802	+8.52%	0.0963	✓	1.12
2026-04-05	oos	0.166055	0.16412	-1.17%	0.177505	+6.90%	0.1006	✓	1.12
2026-04-04	oos	0.165295	0.163536	-1.06%	0.175	+5.87%	0.1260	✓	1.13
2026-04-03	oos	0.16679	0.164386	-1.44%	0.17779	+6.60%	0.1027	✓	1.13
2026-04-02	oos	0.160885	0.15827	-1.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-04-01	oos	0.16651	0.164195	-1.39%	0.17355	+4.23%	0.1017	✓	1.13
2026-03-31	oos	0.16275	0.160757	-1.22%	0.17367	+6.71%	0.0497	✓	1.13
2026-03-30	oos	0.16123	0.158355	-1.78%	0.17556	+8.89%	0.0412	✓	1.14
2026-03-29	oos	0.15744	0.155817	-1.03%	0.181895	+15.53%	0.0105	✓	1.13
2026-03-28	oos	0.161465	0.159663	-1.12%	0.17189	+6.46%	0.1004	✓	1.13
2026-03-27	oos	0.161995	0.16026	-1.07%	0.176575	+9.00%	0.0957	✓	1.13
2026-03-26	oos	0.166535	0.165978	-0.33%	0.173675	+4.29%	0.0933	✓	1.14
2026-03-25	oos	0.1729	0.173758	+0.50%	0.17244	-0.27%	0.1023	✗	1.14
2026-03-24	oos	0.17146	0.172013	+0.32%	0.171695	+0.14%	0.1211	✗	1.14
2026-03-23	oos	0.17144	0.172389	+0.55%	0.172625	+0.69%	0.1113	✗	1.14
2026-03-22	oos	0.164175	0.163438	-0.45%	0.17375	+5.83%	0.0742	✓	1.15
2026-03-21	oos	0.17075	0.1699	-0.50%	0.17181	+0.62%	0.0988	✓	1.14
2026-03-20	oos	0.176025	0.175877	-0.08%	0.16685	-5.21%	0.1053	✓	1.14
2026-03-19	oos	0.17606	0.175406	-0.37%	0.1744	-0.94%	0.0972	✓	1.14
2026-03-18	oos	0.17895	0.178661	-0.16%	0.17886	-0.05%	0.0897	✓	1.15
2026-03-17	oos	0.18915	0.18933	+0.10%	0.175965	-6.97%	0.0921	✗	1.15
2026-03-16	oos	0.18851	0.190048	+0.82%	0.17247	-8.51%	0.0963	✗	1.15
2026-03-15	oos	0.17487	0.176809	+1.11%	0.168605	-3.58%	0.0682	✗	1.13
2026-03-14	oos	0.17057	0.171867	+0.76%	0.17076	+0.11%	0.0562	✗	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.17268	0.173408	+0.42%	0.16379	-5.15%	0.0540	✗	1.13
2026-03-12	oos	0.17447	0.173695	-0.44%	0.16851	-3.42%	0.0706	✓	1.13
2026-03-11	oos	0.17011	0.170048	-0.04%	0.17066	+0.32%	0.0404	✓	1.13
2026-03-10	oos	0.165995	0.166028	+0.02%	0.16953	+2.13%	0.0082	✗	1.12
2026-03-09	oos	0.163925	0.162708	-0.74%	0.168575	+2.84%	0.0074	✓	1.13
2026-03-08	oos	0.162995	0.1612	-1.10%	0.171065	+4.95%	0.0393	✓	1.15
2026-03-07	oos	0.164055	0.162871	-0.72%	0.16605	+1.22%	0.0076	✓	1.15
2026-03-06	oos	0.169885	0.168557	-0.78%	0.166055	-2.25%	0.0299	✓	1.14
2026-03-05	oos	0.171755	0.171881	+0.07%	0.165295	-3.76%	0.0212	✓	1.16
2026-03-04	oos	0.17464	0.17548	+0.48%	0.16679	-4.49%	0.0430	✓	1.14
2026-03-03	oos	0.172185	0.171296	-0.52%	0.160885	-6.56%	0.0373	✓	1.19
2026-03-02	oos	0.17192	0.171359	-0.33%	0.16651	-3.15%	0.0162	✓	1.19
2026-03-01	oos	0.171345	0.169548	-1.05%	0.16275	-5.02%	0.0847	✓	1.20
2026-02-28	oos	0.175335	0.173422	-1.09%	0.16123	-8.04%	0.0688	✓	1.20
2026-02-27	oos	0.17458	0.172328	-1.29%	0.15744	-9.82%	0.0921	✓	1.21
2026-02-26	oos	0.17904	0.176468	-1.44%	0.161465	-9.82%	0.0677	✓	1.21
2026-02-25	oos	0.18074	0.178326	-1.34%	0.161995	-10.37%	0.0665	✓	1.21
2026-02-24	oos	0.170555	0.168573	-1.16%	0.166535	-2.36%	0.0990	✓	1.23
2026-02-23	oos	0.172325	0.170584	-1.01%	0.1729	+0.33%	0.1049	✓	1.20
2026-02-22	oos	0.18046	0.178708	-0.97%	0.17146	-4.99%	0.0924	✓	1.21
2026-02-21	oos	0.185815	0.183464	-1.27%	0.17144	-7.74%	0.1186	✓	1.21
2026-02-20	oos	0.184385	0.18238	-1.09%	0.164175	-10.96%	0.1027	✓	1.21
2026-02-19	oos	0.182425	0.180618	-0.99%	0.17075	-6.40%	0.0909	✓	1.22
2026-02-18	oos	0.181725	0.179964	-0.97%	0.176025	-3.14%	0.0947	✓	1.22
2026-02-17	oos	0.189235	0.186139	-1.64%	0.17606	-6.96%	0.0981	✓	1.19
2026-02-16	oos	0.191405	0.187817	-1.87%	0.17895	-6.51%	0.0891	✓	1.19
2026-02-15	oos	0.189955	0.185958	-2.10%	0.18915	-0.42%	0.0688	✓	1.19
2026-02-14	oos	0.20493	0.198626	-3.08%	0.18851	-8.01%	0.1352	✓	1.18
2026-02-13	oos	0.20067	0.194228	-3.21%	0.17487	-12.86%	0.1717	✓	1.18
2026-02-12	oos	0.18518	0.181743	-1.86%	0.17057	-7.89%	0.1478	✓	1.15
2026-02-11	oos	0.181585	0.178109	-1.91%	0.17268	-4.90%	0.0950	✓	1.13
2026-02-10	oos	0.18496	0.181899	-1.66%	0.17447	-5.67%	0.0698	✓	1.13
2026-02-09	oos	0.182105	0.179441	-1.46%	0.17011	-6.59%	0.0551	✓	1.14
2026-02-08	oos	0.18154	0.178614	-1.61%	0.165995	-8.56%	0.0682	✓	1.12
2026-02-07	oos	0.18568	0.180697	-2.68%	0.163925	-11.72%	0.0840	✓	1.13
2026-02-06	oos	0.18501	0.180305	-2.54%	0.162995	-11.90%	0.0250	✓	1.14
2026-02-05	oos	0.160015	0.161232	+0.76%	0.164055	+2.52%	0.0589	✗	1.11
2026-02-04	oos	0.20325	0.196689	-3.23%	0.169885	-16.42%	0.0850	✓	0.89
2026-02-03	oos	0.20823	0.200266	-3.82%	0.171755	-17.52%	0.0975	✓	0.86
2026-02-02	oos	0.21705	0.206388	-4.91%	0.17464	-19.54%	0.0990	✓	0.86
2026-02-01	oos	0.2103	0.20055	-4.64%	0.172185	-18.12%	0.0510	✓	0.86
2026-01-31	oos	0.219565	0.210154	-4.29%	0.17192	-21.70%	0.0770	✓	0.93
2026-01-30	oos	0.23511	0.225595	-4.05%	0.171345	-27.12%	0.0496	✓	0.92
2026-01-29	oos	0.23785	0.230017	-3.29%	0.175335	-26.28%	0.0566	✓	0.92
2026-01-28	oos	0.255955	0.248974	-2.73%	0.17458	-31.79%	0.0867	✓	0.89
2026-01-27	oos	0.26027	0.252234	-3.09%	0.17904	-31.21%	0.0940	✓	0.89
2026-01-26	oos	0.25924	0.250607	-3.33%	0.18074	-30.28%	0.0967	✓	0.88
2026-01-25	oos	0.24934	0.241104	-3.30%	0.170555	-31.60%	0.0839	✓	0.87
2026-01-24	oos	0.25788	0.251107	-2.63%	0.172325	-33.18%	0.0987	✓	0.87
2026-01-23	oos	0.25693	0.250492	-2.51%	0.18046	-29.76%	0.0848	✓	0.87
2026-01-22	oos	0.259115	0.252568	-2.53%	0.185815	-28.29%	0.0675	✓	0.87
2026-01-20	oos	0.26255	0.25475	-2.97%	0.182425	-30.52%	0.0910	✓	0.88
2026-01-19	oos	0.26284	0.257251	-2.13%	0.181725	-30.86%	0.0380	✓	0.93
2026-01-18	oos	0.27386	0.269307	-1.66%	0.189235	-30.90%	0.0478	✓	0.93
2026-01-17	oos	0.28892	0.283771	-1.78%	0.191405	-33.75%	0.0984	✓	0.91
2026-01-16	oos	0.28677	0.282552	-1.47%	0.189955	-33.76%	0.0960	✓	0.92
2026-01-15	oos	0.28772	0.284504	-1.12%	0.20493	-28.77%	0.0398	✓	0.92
2026-01-14	oos	0.29702	0.294283	-0.92%	0.20067	-32.44%	0.0661	✓	0.92
2026-01-13	oos	0.296395	0.292424	-1.34%	0.18518	-37.52%	0.1124	✓	0.94
2026-01-12	oos	0.27538	0.268821	-2.38%	0.181585	-34.06%	0.1144	✓	0.90
2026-01-11	oos	0.2824	0.274512	-2.79%	0.18496	-34.50%	0.1370	✓	0.93
2026-01-10	oos	0.28944	0.280117	-3.22%	0.182105	-37.08%	0.1934	✓	0.93
2026-01-09	oos	0.28973	0.280482	-3.19%	0.18154	-37.34%	0.1826	✓	1.00
2026-01-08	oos	0.29088	0.280951	-3.41%	0.18568	-36.17%	0.1434	✓	0.99
2026-01-07	oos	0.29302	0.282234	-3.68%	0.18501	-36.86%	0.1125	✓	1.20
2026-01-06	oos	0.2836	0.275989	-2.68%	0.160015	-43.58%	0.0489	✓	1.24
2026-01-05	oos	0.28016	0.272749	-2.65%	0.20325	-27.45%	0.0143	✓	1.23
2026-01-03	oos	0.27195	0.262079	-3.63%	0.21705	-20.19%	0.0151	✓	1.23
2026-01-02	oos	0.27572	0.264109	-4.21%	0.2103	-23.73%	0.0350	✓	1.23
2026-01-01	oos	0.26246	0.251832	-4.05%	0.219565	-16.34%	0.0092	✓	1.21
2025-12-31	oos	0.257905	0.247087	-4.19%	0.23511	-8.84%	0.0022	✓	1.20
2025-12-30	oos	0.264	0.254556	-3.58%	0.23785	-9.91%	0.0133	✓	1.21
2025-12-29	oos	0.264925	0.254342	-3.99%	0.255955	-3.39%	0.0216	✓	1.20
2025-12-28	oos	0.26149	0.251975	-3.64%	0.26027	-0.47%	0.0156	✓	1.20
2025-12-27	oos	0.26159	0.254941	-2.54%	0.25924	-0.90%	0.0108	✓	1.18
2025-12-26	oos	0.250025	0.244738	-2.11%	0.24934	-0.27%	0.0285	✗	1.17
2025-12-25	oos	0.250575	0.244849	-2.29%	0.25788	+2.92%	0.0265	✗	1.17
2025-12-24	oos	0.25811	0.251912	-2.40%	0.25693	-0.46%	0.0050	✓	1.17
2025-12-23	oos	0.25794	0.252104	-2.26%	0.259115	+0.46%	0.0002	✓	1.19
2025-12-22	oos	0.26017	0.254538	-2.16%	–	pending	–	–	1.18
2025-12-21	oos	0.25406	0.249259	-1.89%	0.26255	+3.34%	0.0563	✗	1.17
2025-12-20	oos	0.258335	0.252223	-2.37%	0.26284	+1.74%	0.0147	✓	1.19
2025-12-19	oos	0.25433	0.247694	-2.61%	0.27386	+7.68%	0.0278	✗	1.19
2025-12-18	oos	0.24288	0.23847	-1.82%	0.28892	+18.96%	0.0653	✗	1.18
2025-12-17	oos	0.253725	0.247991	-2.26%	0.28677	+13.02%	0.0240	✗	1.18
2025-12-16	oos	0.2625	0.255726	-2.58%	0.28772	+9.61%	0.0181	✓	1.18
2025-12-15	oos	0.26616	0.256497	-3.63%	0.29702	+11.59%	0.0089	✓	1.20
2025-12-14	oos	0.2745	0.267784	-2.45%	0.296395	+7.98%	0.0080	✓	1.19
2025-12-13	oos	0.28291	0.276217	-2.37%	0.27538	-2.66%	0.0152	✓	1.18
2025-12-12	oos	0.28005	0.273686	-2.27%	0.2824	+0.84%	0.0236	✗	1.18
2025-12-11	oos	0.28642	0.279936	-2.26%	0.28944	+1.05%	0.0614	✗	1.18
2025-12-10	oos	0.292285	0.284448	-2.68%	0.28973	-0.87%	0.0381	✗	1.19
2025-12-09	oos	0.29326	0.285564	-2.62%	0.29088	-0.81%	0.0399	✗	1.18
2025-12-08	oos	0.284875	0.277953	-2.43%	0.29302	+2.86%	0.0447	✗	1.17
2025-12-07	oos	0.28704	0.281737	-1.85%	0.2836	-1.20%	0.0357	✓	1.17
2025-12-06	oos	0.29035	0.284158	-2.13%	0.28016	-3.51%	0.0741	✓	1.19
2025-12-05	oos	0.296505	0.289463	-2.38%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2025-12-04	oos	0.292345	0.28774	-1.58%	0.27195	-6.98%	0.0364	✓	1.23
2025-12-03	oos	0.29318	0.28918	-1.36%	0.27572	-5.96%	0.0007	✓	1.23
2025-12-02	oos	0.287035	0.282453	-1.60%	0.26246	-8.56%	0.0381	✓	1.24
2025-12-01	oos	0.27774	0.272346	-1.94%	0.257905	-7.14%	0.0725	✓	1.29
2025-11-30	oos	0.296985	0.289856	-2.40%	0.264	-11.11%	0.0652	✓	1.28
2025-11-29	oos	0.31041	0.299113	-3.64%	0.264925	-14.65%	0.0683	✓	1.27
2025-11-28	oos	0.2863	0.280675	-1.96%	0.26149	-8.67%	0.0279	✓	1.27
2025-11-27	oos	0.282945	0.279308	-1.29%	0.26159	-7.55%	0.0158	✓	1.27
2025-11-26	oos	0.274165	0.271708	-0.90%	0.250025	-8.80%	0.0382	✓	1.26
2025-11-25	oos	0.273475	0.269564	-1.43%	0.250575	-8.37%	0.0708	✓	1.30
2025-11-24	oos	0.27588	0.271238	-1.68%	0.25811	-6.44%	0.0399	✓	1.30
2025-11-23	oos	0.27126	0.264852	-2.36%	0.25794	-4.91%	0.0358	✓	1.32
2025-11-22	oos	0.25884	0.255599	-1.25%	0.26017	+0.51%	0.0421	✓	1.34
2025-11-21	oos	0.26148	0.258097	-1.29%	0.25406	-2.84%	0.0708	✓	1.34
2025-11-20	oos	0.26911	0.265126	-1.48%	0.258335	-4.00%	0.0530	✓	1.33
2025-11-19	oos	0.27749	0.274345	-1.13%	0.25433	-8.35%	0.0223	✓	1.43
2025-11-18	oos	0.28673	0.282831	-1.36%	0.24288	-15.29%	0.0328	✓	1.43
2025-11-17	oos	0.289155	0.284763	-1.52%	0.253725	-12.25%	0.0191	✓	1.46
2025-11-16	oos	0.289095	0.284779	-1.49%	0.2625	-9.20%	0.0205	✗	1.47
2025-11-15	oos	0.29537	0.289326	-2.05%	0.26616	-9.89%	0.0639	✗	1.47
2025-11-14	oos	0.29554	0.287622	-2.68%	0.2745	-7.12%	0.0555	✗	1.47
2025-11-13	oos	0.300075	0.29225	-2.61%	0.28291	-5.72%	0.1225	✗	1.57
2025-11-12	oos	0.31321	0.304317	-2.84%	0.28005	-10.59%	0.1022	✗	1.56
2025-11-11	oos	0.32233	0.311611	-3.33%	0.28642	-11.14%	0.0827	✗	1.56
2025-11-10	oos	0.311865	0.305197	-2.14%	0.292285	-6.28%	0.1830	✗	1.60
2025-11-07	oos	0.31026	0.301232	-2.91%	0.28704	-7.48%	0.1552	✗	1.53
2025-11-06	oos	0.285505	0.278951	-2.30%	0.29035	+1.70%	0.2287	✗	1.49
2025-11-05	oos	0.274	0.2721	-0.69%	0.296505	+8.21%	0.3180	✗	1.54
2025-11-04	oos	0.26582	0.265418	-0.15%	0.292345	+9.98%	0.2470	✗	1.55
2025-11-03	oos	0.27914	0.279582	+0.16%	0.29318	+5.03%	0.2577	✓	1.60
2025-11-02	oos	0.318915	0.318723	-0.06%	0.287035	-10.00%	0.1866	✗	1.52
2025-11-01	oos	0.320415	0.320093	-0.10%	0.27774	-13.32%	0.2313	✗	1.53
2025-10-31	oos	0.309865	0.310488	+0.20%	0.296985	-4.16%	0.2500	✓	1.53
2025-10-30	oos	0.308515	0.308171	-0.11%	0.31041	+0.61%	0.2773	✗	1.53
2025-10-29	oos	0.319275	0.320392	+0.35%	0.2863	-10.33%	0.1775	✓	1.52
2025-10-28	oos	0.31918	0.323506	+1.36%	0.282945	-11.35%	0.1975	✓	1.56
2025-10-27	oos	0.328305	0.332438	+1.26%	0.274165	-16.49%	0.1688	✓	1.56
2025-10-26	oos	0.33998	0.341898	+0.56%	0.273475	-19.56%	0.1990	✓	1.56
2025-10-25	oos	0.33173	0.33268	+0.29%	0.27588	-16.84%	0.1843	✓	1.58
2025-10-24	oos	0.327525	0.328315	+0.24%	0.27126	-17.18%	0.1995	✓	1.59
2025-10-23	oos	0.32564	0.325873	+0.07%	0.25884	-20.51%	0.1860	✓	1.59
2025-10-22	oos	0.31558	0.316655	+0.34%	0.26148	-17.14%	0.1816	✓	1.59
2025-10-21	oos	0.32218	0.322621	+0.14%	0.26911	-16.47%	0.1759	✓	1.59
2025-10-20	oos	0.332165	0.332223	+0.02%	0.27749	-16.46%	0.1189	✓	1.58
2025-10-19	oos	0.327595	0.327808	+0.07%	0.28673	-12.47%	0.1080	✓	1.54
2025-10-18	oos	0.32185	0.322007	+0.05%	0.289155	-10.16%	0.1268	✓	1.54
2025-10-17	oos	0.3212	0.321947	+0.23%	0.289095	-10.00%	0.0813	✓	1.54
2025-10-16	oos	0.337535	0.338826	+0.38%	0.29537	-12.49%	0.0531	✓	1.53
2025-10-15	oos	0.352265	0.354738	+0.70%	0.29554	-16.10%	0.0582	✓	1.51
2025-10-14	oos	0.36235	0.365365	+0.83%	0.300075	-17.19%	0.0052	✓	1.51
2025-10-13	oos	0.38349	0.385003	+0.39%	0.31321	-18.33%	0.0187	✗	1.49
2025-10-12	oos	0.385365	0.386565	+0.31%	0.32233	-16.36%	0.0194	✗	1.47
2025-10-11	oos	0.35246	0.353314	+0.24%	0.311865	-11.52%	0.0627	✗	1.40
2025-10-10	oos	0.35363	0.356135	+0.71%	–	pending	–	–	1.37
2025-10-09	oos	0.42924	0.4299	+0.15%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2025-10-08	oos	0.438	0.43993	+0.44%	0.31026	-29.16%	0.1640	✗	1.04
2025-10-07	oos	0.439955	0.438819	-0.26%	0.285505	-35.11%	0.2476	✓	1.01
2025-10-06	oos	0.452595	0.453711	+0.25%	0.274	-39.46%	0.3206	✗	1.00
2025-10-05	oos	0.44116	0.442345	+0.27%	0.26582	-39.75%	0.3130	✗	1.00
2025-10-04	oos	0.443395	0.443392	-0.00%	0.27914	-37.04%	0.3219	✓	1.01
2025-10-03	oos	0.451335	0.450545	-0.18%	0.318915	-29.34%	0.2424	✓	1.02
2025-10-02	oos	0.45289	0.44952	-0.74%	0.320415	-29.25%	0.2444	✓	1.03
2025-10-01	oos	0.433395	0.430466	-0.68%	0.309865	-28.50%	0.2547	✓	0.93
2025-09-30	oos	0.424195	0.418467	-1.35%	0.308515	-27.27%	0.2557	✓	0.95
2025-09-29	oos	0.41666	0.412205	-1.07%	0.319275	-23.37%	0.2140	✓	1.07
2025-09-28	oos	0.42299	0.415892	-1.68%	0.31918	-24.54%	0.2717	✓	1.12
2025-09-27	oos	0.415515	0.407063	-2.03%	0.328305	-20.99%	0.2599	✓	1.14
2025-09-26	oos	0.42021	0.409245	-2.61%	0.33998	-19.09%	0.2347	✓	1.14
2025-09-25	oos	0.40847	0.399015	-2.31%	0.33173	-18.79%	0.2117	✓	1.13
2025-09-24	oos	0.43509	0.425175	-2.28%	0.327525	-24.72%	0.2385	✓	1.09
2025-09-23	oos	0.442055	0.428531	-3.06%	0.32564	-26.33%	0.2556	✓	1.11
2025-09-22	oos	0.42058	0.40737	-3.14%	0.31558	-24.97%	0.2026	✓	1.13
2025-09-21	oos	0.45137	0.438188	-2.92%	0.32218	-28.62%	0.2405	✓	1.08
2025-09-20	oos	0.462155	0.447023	-3.27%	0.332165	-28.13%	0.2456	✓	1.12
2025-09-19	oos	0.453095	0.438537	-3.21%	0.327595	-27.70%	0.2215	✓	1.12
2025-09-18	oos	0.47161	0.455449	-3.43%	0.32185	-31.76%	0.2476	✓	1.13
2025-09-17	oos	0.466725	0.449792	-3.63%	0.3212	-31.18%	0.2340	✓	1.14
2025-09-16	oos	0.458205	0.440374	-3.89%	0.337535	-26.34%	0.1783	✓	1.14
2025-09-15	oos	0.459515	0.441136	-4.00%	0.352265	-23.34%	0.1783	✓	1.15
2025-09-14	oos	0.494815	0.468245	-5.37%	0.36235	-26.77%	0.2330	✓	1.19
2025-09-13	oos	0.45655	0.437132	-4.25%	0.38349	-16.00%	0.1236	✓	1.21
2025-09-12	oos	0.453335	0.435757	-3.88%	0.385365	-14.99%	0.1120	✓	1.22
2025-09-11	oos	0.4556	0.438761	-3.70%	0.35246	-22.64%	0.1677	✓	1.22
2025-09-10	oos	0.45231	0.435333	-3.75%	0.35363	-21.82%	0.1972	✓	1.22
2025-09-09	oos	0.449115	0.42999	-4.26%	0.42924	-4.43%	0.1100	✓	1.24
2025-09-08	oos	0.450765	0.430511	-4.49%	0.438	-2.83%	0.1024	✓	1.25
2025-09-07	oos	0.42992	0.412243	-4.11%	0.439955	+2.33%	0.0440	✓	1.23
2025-09-06	oos	0.42645	0.407028	-4.55%	0.452595	+6.13%	0.0399	✓	1.18
2025-09-05	oos	0.42821	0.406048	-5.18%	0.44116	+3.02%	0.0469	✓	1.18

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.