ARK

ARK · native · beta_5y

token id: #261
symbol: ARK
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-09-26
predictions: 3,273

Track record at +1d

assessed

392

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

58.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0221

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0054

actual -0.0011

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.18393	0.183018	-0.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-21	oos	0.173565	0.172808	-0.44%	0.18393	-1.62%	0.0140	✓	0.90
2026-10-20	oos	0.17451	0.173652	-0.49%	0.173565	-0.54%	0.0021	✓	0.90
2026-10-19	oos	0.173985	0.173292	-0.40%	0.17451	+0.30%	0.0051	✓	0.91
2026-10-18	oos	0.16914	0.16861	-0.31%	0.173985	+2.86%	0.0333	✗	0.91
2026-10-17	oos	0.173255	0.172666	-0.34%	0.16914	-2.38%	0.0276	✓	0.91
2026-10-16	oos	0.17946	0.178722	-0.41%	0.173255	-3.46%	0.0297	✓	0.91
2026-10-15	oos	0.18215	0.181322	-0.45%	0.17946	-1.48%	0.0034	✓	0.91
2026-10-14	oos	0.18125	0.180277	-0.54%	0.18215	+0.50%	0.0041	✓	0.91
2026-10-13	oos	0.19077	0.189121	-0.86%	0.18125	-4.99%	0.0258	✓	0.89
2026-10-12	oos	0.188815	0.187468	-0.71%	0.19077	+1.04%	0.0026	✓	0.90
2026-10-11	oos	0.20696	0.204719	-1.08%	0.188815	-8.77%	0.0616	✓	0.83
2026-10-10	oos	0.21283	0.211137	-0.80%	0.20696	-2.76%	0.0277	✓	0.84
2026-10-09	oos	0.21456	0.212549	-0.94%	0.21283	-0.81%	0.0024	✓	0.84
2026-10-08	oos	0.22464	0.220522	-1.83%	0.21456	-4.49%	0.0362	✓	0.85
2026-10-07	oos	0.2145	0.211095	-1.59%	0.22464	+4.73%	0.0792	✗	0.89
2026-10-06	oos	0.208695	0.207401	-0.62%	0.2145	+2.78%	0.0585	✗	0.93
2026-10-05	oos	0.21823	0.216602	-0.75%	0.208695	-4.37%	0.0349	✓	0.93
2026-10-04	oos	0.22409	0.222031	-0.92%	0.21823	-2.62%	0.0091	✓	0.93
2026-10-03	oos	0.231185	0.227084	-1.77%	0.22409	-3.07%	0.0330	✓	0.96
2026-10-02	oos	0.21165	0.208995	-1.25%	0.231185	+9.23%	0.0982	✗	0.95
2026-10-01	oos	0.243225	0.238825	-1.81%	0.21165	-12.98%	0.1171	✓	0.92
2026-09-30	oos	0.26057	0.254698	-2.25%	0.243225	-6.66%	0.0607	✓	0.95
2026-09-29	oos	0.251205	0.247339	-1.54%	0.26057	+3.73%	0.0531	✗	0.96
2026-09-28	oos	0.23865	0.233481	-2.17%	0.251205	+5.26%	0.0712	✗	0.91
2026-09-27	oos	0.247355	0.243072	-1.73%	0.23865	-3.52%	0.0076	✓	0.90
2026-09-26	oos	0.260575	0.252695	-3.02%	0.247355	-5.07%	0.0218	✓	0.89
2026-09-25	oos	0.25433	0.245644	-3.42%	0.260575	+2.46%	0.0556	✗	0.90
2026-09-24	oos	0.1933	0.18979	-1.82%	0.25433	+31.57%	0.2960	✗	0.95
2026-09-23	oos	0.15873	0.157122	-1.01%	0.1933	+21.78%	0.2071	✗	0.97
2026-09-22	oos	0.158	0.155544	-1.55%	0.15873	+0.46%	0.0414	✗	0.99
2026-09-21	oos	0.154	0.151814	-1.42%	0.158	+2.60%	0.0445	✗	0.99
2026-09-20	oos	0.15176	0.150754	-0.66%	0.154	+1.48%	0.0488	✓	1.08
2026-09-19	oos	0.15344	0.152247	-0.78%	0.15176	-1.09%	0.0022	✓	1.07
2026-09-18	oos	0.142255	0.14126	-0.70%	0.15344	+7.86%	0.0779	✗	1.08
2026-09-17	oos	0.13709	0.136054	-0.76%	0.142255	+3.77%	0.0202	✓	1.12
2026-09-16	oos	0.149755	0.147024	-1.82%	0.13709	-8.46%	0.0729	✓	1.12
2026-09-15	oos	0.145165	0.142949	-1.53%	0.149755	+3.16%	0.0382	✗	1.13
2026-09-14	oos	0.168585	0.16428	-2.55%	0.145165	-13.89%	0.0898	✓	1.01
2026-09-13	oos	0.13775	0.135592	-1.57%	0.168585	+22.38%	0.2016	✗	0.91
2026-09-12	oos	0.132925	0.13175	-0.88%	0.13775	+3.63%	0.0501	✗	0.92
2026-09-11	oos	0.114605	0.11355	-0.92%	0.132925	+15.99%	0.1569	✗	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.11005	0.109378	-0.61%	0.114605	+4.14%	0.0386	✗	0.93
2026-09-09	oos	0.117645	0.117399	-0.21%	0.11005	-6.46%	0.0444	✓	0.90
2026-09-08	oos	0.116325	0.116136	-0.16%	0.117645	+1.13%	0.0148	✗	0.88
2026-09-07	oos	0.114495	0.114397	-0.09%	0.116325	+1.60%	0.0239	✗	0.88
2026-09-06	oos	0.1178	0.117692	-0.09%	0.114495	-2.81%	0.0139	✓	0.87
2026-09-05	oos	0.1176	0.117482	-0.10%	0.1178	+0.17%	0.0028	✓	0.87
2026-09-04	oos	0.117595	0.11746	-0.12%	0.1176	+0.00%	0.0005	✓	0.87
2026-09-03	oos	0.11391	0.113912	+0.00%	0.117595	+3.24%	0.0498	✓	0.91
2026-09-02	oos	0.10991	0.109879	-0.03%	0.11391	+3.64%	0.0100	✓	0.92
2026-09-01	oos	0.10899	0.108982	-0.01%	0.10991	+0.84%	0.0096	✗	0.92
2026-08-31	oos	0.110155	0.110118	-0.03%	0.10899	-1.06%	0.0034	✗	0.92
2026-08-30	oos	0.1093	0.109203	-0.09%	0.110155	+0.78%	0.0018	✓	0.91
2026-08-29	oos	0.111545	0.111361	-0.17%	0.1093	-2.01%	0.0123	✓	0.87
2026-08-28	oos	0.112455	0.112169	-0.25%	0.111545	-0.81%	0.0100	✓	0.87
2026-08-27	oos	0.114335	0.114137	-0.17%	0.112455	-1.64%	0.0123	✗	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	0.11256	0.112328	-0.21%	0.114335	+1.58%	0.0039	✗	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	0.106795	0.106654	-0.13%	0.11256	+5.40%	0.0483	✗	0.88
2026-08-24	oos	0.107195	0.106987	-0.19%	0.106795	-0.37%	0.0033	✗	0.88
2026-08-23	oos	0.108375	0.108019	-0.33%	0.107195	-1.09%	0.0219	✓	0.89
2026-08-22	oos	0.1085	0.107952	-0.50%	0.108375	-0.12%	0.0039	✓	0.90
2026-08-21	oos	0.106915	0.106098	-0.76%	0.1085	+1.48%	0.0373	✗	0.91
2026-08-20	oos	0.097025	0.096025	-1.03%	0.106915	+10.19%	0.0488	✗	0.83
2026-08-19	oos	0.09194	0.091231	-0.77%	0.097025	+5.53%	0.0190	✗	0.82
2026-08-18	oos	0.08602	0.085749	-0.32%	0.09194	+6.88%	0.0162	✗	0.78
2026-08-17	oos	0.08748	0.086912	-0.65%	0.08602	-1.67%	0.0128	✓	0.78
2026-08-16	oos	0.08796	0.087751	-0.24%	0.08748	-0.55%	0.0240	✓	0.81
2026-08-15	oos	0.08962	0.089376	-0.27%	0.08796	-1.85%	0.0136	✓	0.81
2026-08-14	oos	0.088395	0.088167	-0.26%	0.08962	+1.39%	0.0158	✗	0.81
2026-08-13	oos	0.090045	0.089757	-0.32%	0.088395	-1.83%	0.0095	✓	0.81
2026-08-12	oos	0.089295	0.088937	-0.40%	0.090045	+0.84%	0.0122	✗	0.83
2026-08-11	oos	0.09124	0.090571	-0.73%	0.089295	-2.13%	0.0126	✓	0.82
2026-08-10	oos	0.092525	0.092094	-0.47%	0.09124	-1.39%	0.0044	✓	0.83
2026-08-09	oos	0.093465	0.093045	-0.45%	0.092525	-1.01%	0.0067	✗	0.85
2026-08-08	oos	0.094535	0.093741	-0.84%	0.093465	-1.13%	0.0022	✓	0.84
2026-08-07	oos	0.094245	0.093546	-0.74%	0.094535	+0.31%	0.0103	✗	0.84
2026-08-06	oos	0.09463	0.094098	-0.56%	0.094245	-0.41%	0.0066	✓	0.85
2026-08-05	oos	0.093025	0.092873	-0.16%	0.09463	+1.73%	0.0232	✗	0.85
2026-08-04	oos	0.093385	0.093215	-0.18%	0.093025	-0.39%	0.0093	✓	0.85
2026-08-03	oos	0.094775	0.094556	-0.23%	0.093385	-1.47%	0.0203	✓	0.86
2026-08-02	oos	0.09291	0.092732	-0.19%	0.094775	+2.01%	0.0222	✗	0.86
2026-08-01	oos	0.092585	0.0924	-0.20%	0.09291	+0.35%	0.0043	✓	0.84
2026-07-31	oos	0.09376	0.093556	-0.22%	0.092585	-1.25%	0.0096	✓	0.84
2026-07-30	oos	0.09442	0.094249	-0.18%	0.09376	-0.70%	0.0206	✗	0.87
2026-07-29	oos	0.09288	0.092737	-0.15%	0.09442	+1.66%	0.0072	✗	0.84
2026-07-28	oos	0.09666	0.096488	-0.18%	0.09288	-3.91%	0.0388	✓	0.84
2026-07-27	oos	0.097625	0.097439	-0.19%	0.09666	-0.99%	0.0101	✓	0.85
2026-07-26	oos	0.10425	0.103987	-0.25%	0.097625	-6.35%	0.0433	✓	0.78
2026-07-25	oos	0.1036	0.103329	-0.26%	0.10425	+0.63%	0.0038	✓	0.78
2026-07-24	oos	0.102	0.101753	-0.24%	0.1036	+1.57%	0.0154	✗	0.79
2026-07-23	oos	0.10346	0.103203	-0.25%	0.102	-1.41%	0.0001	✓	0.79
2026-07-22	oos	0.105135	0.104886	-0.24%	0.10346	-1.59%	0.0013	✓	0.78
2026-07-21	oos	0.10553	0.105283	-0.23%	0.105135	-0.37%	0.0037	✗	0.78
2026-07-20	oos	0.102865	0.102647	-0.21%	0.10553	+2.59%	0.0129	✗	0.75
2026-07-19	oos	0.102685	0.102461	-0.22%	0.102865	+0.18%	0.0022	✓	0.75
2026-07-18	oos	0.105435	0.105139	-0.28%	0.102685	-2.61%	0.0223	✓	0.77
2026-07-17	oos	0.10409	0.103757	-0.32%	0.105435	+1.29%	0.0051	✗	0.78
2026-07-16	oos	0.104335	0.103895	-0.42%	0.10409	-0.23%	0.0004	✓	0.79
2026-07-15	oos	0.1069	0.106115	-0.73%	0.104335	-2.40%	0.0054	✓	0.78
2026-07-14	oos	0.107745	0.107462	-0.26%	0.1069	-0.78%	0.0019	✓	0.79
2026-07-13	oos	0.10499	0.104695	-0.28%	0.107745	+2.62%	0.0057	✓	0.80
2026-07-12	oos	0.107	0.106686	-0.29%	0.10499	-1.88%	0.0029	✓	0.81
2026-07-11	oos	0.1078	0.107412	-0.36%	0.107	-0.74%	0.0034	✓	0.81
2026-07-10	oos	0.1084	0.10788	-0.48%	0.1078	-0.55%	0.0038	✓	0.81
2026-07-09	oos	0.10599	0.105182	-0.76%	0.1084	+2.27%	0.0181	✗	0.80
2026-07-08	oos	0.10426	0.104054	-0.20%	0.10599	+1.66%	0.0065	✗	0.80
2026-07-07	oos	0.106835	0.10661	-0.21%	0.10426	-2.41%	0.0086	✓	0.79
2026-07-06	oos	0.110765	0.110469	-0.27%	0.106835	-3.55%	0.0251	✓	0.79
2026-07-05	oos	0.110715	0.110384	-0.30%	0.110765	+0.05%	0.0017	✓	0.78
2026-07-04	oos	0.11172	0.111259	-0.41%	0.110715	-0.90%	0.0111	✓	0.79
2026-07-03	oos	0.112	0.111587	-0.37%	0.11172	-0.25%	0.0058	✓	0.78
2026-07-02	oos	0.1092	0.108706	-0.45%	0.112	+2.56%	0.0170	✗	0.77
2026-07-01	oos	0.10592	0.105196	-0.68%	0.1092	+3.10%	0.0183	✗	0.76
2026-06-30	oos	0.11245	0.111989	-0.41%	0.10592	-5.81%	0.0760	✓	0.84
2026-06-28	oos	0.110405	0.109749	-0.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-06-27	oos	0.112845	0.111561	-1.14%	0.110405	-2.16%	0.0040	✓	0.84
2026-06-26	oos	0.10684	0.106572	-0.25%	0.112845	+5.62%	0.0581	✗	0.84
2026-06-25	oos	0.10414	0.103919	-0.21%	0.10684	+2.59%	0.0236	✗	0.83
2026-06-24	oos	0.106585	0.106336	-0.23%	0.10414	-2.29%	0.0034	✓	0.83
2026-06-23	oos	0.108595	0.108268	-0.30%	0.106585	-1.85%	0.0068	✗	0.84
2026-06-22	oos	0.11121	0.110968	-0.22%	0.108595	-2.35%	0.0044	✓	0.83
2026-06-21	oos	0.11287	0.112596	-0.24%	0.11121	-1.47%	0.0219	✓	0.84
2026-06-20	oos	0.116545	0.116193	-0.30%	0.11287	-3.15%	0.0159	✓	0.85
2026-06-19	oos	0.113975	0.11362	-0.31%	0.116545	+2.25%	0.0154	✗	0.85
2026-06-18	oos	0.115755	0.114996	-0.66%	0.113975	-1.54%	0.0171	✓	0.87
2026-06-17	oos	0.121285	0.120939	-0.29%	0.115755	-4.56%	0.0230	✓	0.85
2026-06-16	oos	0.1241	0.123658	-0.36%	0.121285	-2.27%	0.0042	✓	0.84
2026-06-15	oos	0.124935	0.124347	-0.47%	0.1241	-0.67%	0.0067	✗	0.87
2026-06-14	oos	0.1246	0.123593	-0.81%	0.124935	+0.27%	0.0033	✓	0.86
2026-06-13	oos	0.121495	0.121235	-0.21%	0.1246	+2.56%	0.0097	✗	0.90
2026-06-12	oos	0.11965	0.119403	-0.21%	0.121495	+1.54%	0.0047	✗	0.91
2026-06-11	oos	0.121415	0.121107	-0.25%	0.11965	-1.45%	0.0117	✓	0.90
2026-06-10	oos	0.120205	0.120004	-0.17%	0.121415	+1.01%	0.0195	✓	0.92
2026-06-09	oos	0.115155	0.115038	-0.10%	0.120205	+4.39%	0.0475	✗	0.93
2026-06-03	oos	0.14344	0.1423	-0.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.87
2026-06-02	oos	0.14843	0.147208	-0.82%	0.14344	-3.36%	0.0089	✗	0.87
2026-06-01	oos	0.15781	0.156847	-0.61%	0.14843	-5.94%	0.0011	✓	0.80
2026-05-31	oos	0.156685	0.155075	-1.03%	0.15781	+0.72%	0.0434	✗	0.83
2026-05-30	oos	0.151745	0.150824	-0.61%	0.156685	+3.26%	0.0402	✗	0.79
2026-05-29	oos	0.149	0.147654	-0.90%	0.151745	+1.84%	0.0230	✗	0.79
2026-05-28	oos	0.14687	0.146411	-0.31%	0.149	+1.45%	0.0191	✗	0.79
2026-05-27	oos	0.151	0.150359	-0.42%	0.14687	-2.74%	0.0149	✓	0.79
2026-05-26	oos	0.15437	0.153044	-0.86%	0.151	-2.18%	0.0024	✓	0.79
2026-05-25	oos	0.15909	0.157623	-0.92%	0.15437	-2.97%	0.0059	✓	0.80
2026-05-24	oos	0.158125	0.157777	-0.22%	0.15909	+0.61%	0.0054	✗	0.80
2026-05-23	oos	0.163095	0.162665	-0.26%	0.158125	-3.05%	0.0318	✓	0.81
2026-05-22	oos	0.15824	0.157909	-0.21%	0.163095	+3.07%	0.0195	✗	0.81
2026-05-21	oos	0.16376	0.163407	-0.22%	0.15824	-3.37%	0.0101	✓	0.80
2026-05-20	oos	0.16008	0.159844	-0.15%	0.16376	+2.30%	0.0235	✗	0.80
2026-05-19	oos	0.1582	0.15797	-0.15%	0.16008	+1.19%	0.0059	✗	0.80
2026-05-18	oos	0.16315	0.162775	-0.23%	0.1582	-3.03%	0.0267	✓	0.81
2026-05-17	oos	0.162445	0.16198	-0.29%	0.16315	+0.43%	0.0120	✗	0.81
2026-05-16	oos	0.166865	0.16604	-0.49%	0.162445	-2.65%	0.0147	✓	0.80
2026-05-15	oos	0.17048	0.169723	-0.44%	0.166865	-2.12%	0.0070	✓	0.82
2026-05-14	oos	0.1781	0.177582	-0.29%	0.17048	-4.28%	0.0202	✓	0.82
2026-05-13	oos	0.17641	0.175429	-0.56%	0.1781	+0.96%	0.0042	✓	0.86
2026-05-12	oos	0.18261	0.182419	-0.10%	0.17641	-3.40%	0.0208	✓	0.84
2026-05-11	oos	0.189155	0.188873	-0.15%	0.18261	-3.46%	0.0210	✓	0.83
2026-05-10	oos	0.18791	0.187649	-0.14%	0.189155	+0.66%	0.0127	✗	0.82
2026-05-07	oos	0.179	0.178572	-0.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-05-06	oos	0.1802	0.179536	-0.37%	0.179	-0.67%	0.0132	✗	0.91
2026-05-05	oos	0.177505	0.176401	-0.62%	0.1802	+1.52%	0.0141	✗	1.10
2026-05-04	oos	0.175	0.174081	-0.53%	0.177505	+1.43%	0.0051	✓	1.09
2026-05-03	oos	0.17779	0.176637	-0.65%	0.175	-1.57%	0.0272	✓	1.10
2026-05-01	oos	0.17355	0.17245	-0.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-04-30	oos	0.17367	0.173186	-0.28%	0.17355	-0.07%	0.0255	✓	1.11
2026-04-29	oos	0.17556	0.174803	-0.43%	0.17367	-1.08%	0.0146	✓	1.11
2026-04-28	oos	0.181895	0.180282	-0.89%	0.17556	-3.48%	0.0183	✓	1.11
2026-04-27	oos	0.17189	0.171541	-0.20%	0.181895	+5.82%	0.0739	✗	1.12
2026-04-26	oos	0.176575	0.176128	-0.25%	0.17189	-2.65%	0.0055	✓	1.12
2026-04-25	oos	0.173675	0.173085	-0.34%	0.176575	+1.67%	0.0052	✗	1.13
2026-04-24	oos	0.17244	0.171933	-0.29%	0.173675	+0.72%	0.0073	✗	1.12
2026-04-23	oos	0.171695	0.171511	-0.11%	0.17244	+0.43%	0.0173	✗	1.13
2026-04-22	oos	0.172625	0.172395	-0.13%	0.171695	-0.54%	0.0051	✓	1.13
2026-04-21	oos	0.17375	0.173405	-0.20%	0.172625	-0.65%	0.0318	✓	1.14
2026-04-20	oos	0.17181	0.171473	-0.20%	0.17375	+1.13%	0.0060	✗	1.13
2026-04-19	oos	0.16685	0.166547	-0.18%	0.17181	+2.97%	0.0009	✓	1.11
2026-04-18	oos	0.1744	0.173924	-0.27%	0.16685	-4.33%	0.0132	✓	1.11
2026-04-17	oos	0.17886	0.178364	-0.28%	0.1744	-2.49%	0.0027	✓	1.11
2026-04-16	oos	0.175965	0.175425	-0.31%	0.17886	+1.65%	0.0089	✓	1.11
2026-04-15	oos	0.17247	0.171913	-0.32%	0.175965	+2.03%	0.0185	✗	1.11
2026-04-14	oos	0.168605	0.168001	-0.36%	0.17247	+2.29%	0.0164	✗	1.11
2026-04-13	oos	0.17076	0.169964	-0.47%	0.168605	-1.26%	0.0040	✓	1.11
2026-04-12	oos	0.16379	0.162617	-0.72%	0.17076	+4.26%	0.0086	✓	1.13
2026-04-11	oos	0.16851	0.168056	-0.27%	0.16379	-2.80%	0.0110	✗	1.13
2026-04-10	oos	0.17066	0.170139	-0.31%	0.16851	-1.26%	0.0110	✓	1.13
2026-04-09	oos	0.16953	0.168953	-0.34%	0.17066	+0.67%	0.0087	✓	1.13
2026-04-08	oos	0.168575	0.167908	-0.40%	0.16953	+0.57%	0.0017	✓	1.13
2026-04-07	oos	0.171065	0.170076	-0.58%	0.168575	-1.46%	0.0042	✓	1.13
2026-04-06	oos	0.16605	0.164476	-0.95%	0.171065	+3.02%	0.0096	✓	1.12
2026-04-05	oos	0.166055	0.164574	-0.89%	0.16605	-0.00%	0.0114	✗	1.12
2026-04-04	oos	0.165295	0.164662	-0.38%	0.166055	+0.46%	0.0200	✓	1.13
2026-04-03	oos	0.16679	0.165927	-0.52%	0.165295	-0.90%	0.0094	✓	1.13
2026-04-02	oos	0.160885	0.15965	-0.77%	0.16679	+3.67%	0.0426	✗	1.13
2026-04-01	oos	0.16651	0.165906	-0.36%	0.160885	-3.38%	0.0103	✓	1.13
2026-03-31	oos	0.16275	0.162216	-0.33%	0.16651	+2.31%	0.0279	✗	1.13
2026-03-30	oos	0.16123	0.160672	-0.35%	0.16275	+0.94%	0.0122	✓	1.14
2026-03-29	oos	0.15744	0.157006	-0.28%	0.16123	+2.41%	0.0132	✗	1.13
2026-03-28	oos	0.161465	0.160976	-0.30%	0.15744	-2.49%	0.0160	✓	1.13
2026-03-27	oos	0.161995	0.161525	-0.29%	0.161465	-0.33%	0.0002	✓	1.13
2026-03-26	oos	0.166535	0.166071	-0.28%	0.161995	-2.73%	0.0159	✗	1.14
2026-03-25	oos	0.1729	0.172374	-0.30%	0.166535	-3.68%	0.0069	✗	1.14
2026-03-24	oos	0.17146	0.170894	-0.33%	0.1729	+0.84%	0.0007	✓	1.14
2026-03-23	oos	0.17144	0.170761	-0.40%	0.17146	+0.01%	0.0096	✗	1.14
2026-03-22	oos	0.164175	0.163291	-0.54%	0.17144	+4.43%	0.0014	✓	1.15
2026-03-21	oos	0.17075	0.170192	-0.33%	0.164175	-3.85%	0.0181	✓	1.14
2026-03-20	oos	0.176025	0.175348	-0.38%	0.17075	-3.00%	0.0006	✓	1.14
2026-03-19	oos	0.17606	0.175197	-0.49%	0.176025	-0.02%	0.0047	✓	1.14
2026-03-18	oos	0.17895	0.177483	-0.82%	0.17606	-1.61%	0.0136	✗	1.15
2026-03-17	oos	0.18915	0.187423	-0.91%	0.17895	-5.39%	0.0038	✓	1.15
2026-03-16	oos	0.18851	0.187806	-0.37%	0.18915	+0.34%	0.0219	✗	1.15
2026-03-15	oos	0.17487	0.174372	-0.28%	0.18851	+7.80%	0.0466	✗	1.13
2026-03-14	oos	0.17057	0.170053	-0.30%	0.17487	+2.52%	0.0029	✓	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.17268	0.17193	-0.43%	0.17057	-1.22%	0.0125	✓	1.13
2026-03-12	oos	0.17447	0.172983	-0.85%	0.17268	-1.03%	0.0084	✓	1.13
2026-03-11	oos	0.17011	0.169585	-0.31%	0.17447	+2.56%	0.0232	✗	1.13
2026-03-10	oos	0.165995	0.16542	-0.35%	0.17011	+2.48%	0.0240	✗	1.12
2026-03-09	oos	0.163925	0.162953	-0.59%	0.165995	+1.26%	0.0064	✓	1.13
2026-03-08	oos	0.162995	0.162598	-0.24%	0.163925	+0.57%	0.0338	✓	1.15
2026-03-07	oos	0.164055	0.163715	-0.21%	0.162995	-0.65%	0.0178	✗	1.15
2026-03-06	oos	0.169885	0.169503	-0.22%	0.164055	-3.43%	0.0184	✓	1.14
2026-03-05	oos	0.171755	0.171451	-0.18%	0.169885	-1.09%	0.0371	✗	1.16
2026-03-04	oos	0.17464	0.174344	-0.17%	0.171755	-1.65%	0.0137	✗	1.14
2026-03-03	oos	0.172185	0.171829	-0.21%	0.17464	+1.43%	0.0572	✓	1.19
2026-03-02	oos	0.17192	0.171575	-0.20%	0.172185	+0.15%	0.0122	✗	1.19
2026-03-01	oos	0.171345	0.170918	-0.25%	0.17192	+0.34%	0.0486	✓	1.20
2026-02-28	oos	0.175335	0.174782	-0.32%	0.171345	-2.28%	0.0018	✓	1.20
2026-02-27	oos	0.17458	0.174052	-0.30%	0.175335	+0.43%	0.0128	✓	1.21
2026-02-26	oos	0.17904	0.178268	-0.43%	0.17458	-2.49%	0.0087	✗	1.21
2026-02-25	oos	0.18074	0.180205	-0.30%	0.17904	-0.94%	0.0025	✓	1.21
2026-02-24	oos	0.170555	0.17004	-0.30%	0.18074	+5.97%	0.0119	✓	1.23
2026-02-23	oos	0.172325	0.171803	-0.30%	0.170555	-1.03%	0.0031	✗	1.20
2026-02-22	oos	0.18046	0.180086	-0.21%	0.172325	-4.51%	0.0107	✗	1.21
2026-02-21	oos	0.185815	0.185356	-0.25%	0.18046	-2.88%	0.0208	✓	1.21
2026-02-20	oos	0.184385	0.183952	-0.23%	0.185815	+0.78%	0.0106	✗	1.21
2026-02-19	oos	0.182425	0.182008	-0.23%	0.184385	+1.07%	0.0053	✓	1.22
2026-02-18	oos	0.181725	0.181302	-0.23%	0.182425	+0.39%	0.0039	✓	1.22
2026-02-17	oos	0.189235	0.188614	-0.33%	0.181725	-3.97%	0.0186	✓	1.19
2026-02-16	oos	0.191405	0.190621	-0.41%	0.189235	-1.13%	0.0171	✗	1.19
2026-02-15	oos	0.189955	0.188802	-0.61%	0.191405	+0.76%	0.0125	✗	1.19
2026-02-14	oos	0.20493	0.203898	-0.50%	0.189955	-7.31%	0.0539	✓	1.18
2026-02-13	oos	0.20067	0.199252	-0.71%	0.20493	+2.12%	0.0116	✗	1.18
2026-02-12	oos	0.18518	0.184439	-0.40%	0.20067	+8.36%	0.0399	✗	1.15
2026-02-11	oos	0.181585	0.180375	-0.67%	0.18518	+1.98%	0.0401	✗	1.13
2026-02-10	oos	0.18496	0.184448	-0.28%	0.181585	-1.82%	0.0141	✗	1.13
2026-02-09	oos	0.182105	0.181565	-0.30%	0.18496	+1.57%	0.0399	✗	1.14
2026-02-08	oos	0.18154	0.180845	-0.38%	0.182105	+0.31%	0.0098	✗	1.12
2026-02-07	oos	0.18568	0.184284	-0.75%	0.18154	-2.23%	0.0318	✓	1.13
2026-02-06	oos	0.18501	0.183746	-0.68%	0.18568	+0.36%	0.0313	✗	1.14
2026-02-05	oos	0.160015	0.159932	-0.05%	0.18501	+15.62%	0.0167	✗	1.11
2026-02-04	oos	0.20325	0.202588	-0.33%	0.160015	-21.27%	0.1023	✓	0.89
2026-02-03	oos	0.20823	0.207279	-0.46%	0.20325	-2.39%	0.0112	✗	0.86
2026-02-02	oos	0.21705	0.214704	-1.08%	0.20823	-4.06%	0.0029	✓	0.86
2026-02-01	oos	0.2103	0.208495	-0.86%	0.21705	+3.21%	0.0206	✗	0.86
2026-01-31	oos	0.219565	0.218038	-0.70%	0.2103	-4.22%	0.0152	✓	0.93
2026-01-30	oos	0.23511	0.233226	-0.80%	0.219565	-6.61%	0.0012	✓	0.92
2026-01-29	oos	0.23785	0.23703	-0.34%	0.23511	-1.15%	0.0037	✓	0.92
2026-01-28	oos	0.255955	0.254979	-0.38%	0.23785	-7.07%	0.0221	✓	0.89
2026-01-27	oos	0.26027	0.259181	-0.42%	0.255955	-1.66%	0.0130	✓	0.89
2026-01-26	oos	0.25924	0.258109	-0.44%	0.26027	+0.40%	0.0003	✓	0.88
2026-01-25	oos	0.24934	0.248349	-0.40%	0.25924	+3.97%	0.0261	✗	0.87
2026-01-24	oos	0.25788	0.256867	-0.39%	0.24934	-3.31%	0.0049	✓	0.87
2026-01-23	oos	0.25693	0.255926	-0.39%	0.25788	+0.37%	0.0114	✗	0.87
2026-01-22	oos	0.259115	0.258047	-0.41%	0.25693	-0.84%	0.0045	✓	0.87
2026-01-20	oos	0.26255	0.261501	-0.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-01-19	oos	0.26284	0.261917	-0.35%	0.26255	-0.11%	0.0462	✗	0.93
2026-01-18	oos	0.27386	0.272856	-0.37%	0.26284	-4.02%	0.0267	✓	0.93
2026-01-17	oos	0.28892	0.287644	-0.44%	0.27386	-5.21%	0.0348	✓	0.91
2026-01-16	oos	0.28677	0.285468	-0.45%	0.28892	+0.75%	0.0158	✗	0.92
2026-01-15	oos	0.28772	0.286289	-0.50%	0.28677	-0.33%	0.0025	✓	0.92
2026-01-14	oos	0.29702	0.295107	-0.64%	0.28772	-3.13%	0.0122	✓	0.92
2026-01-13	oos	0.296395	0.293899	-0.84%	0.29702	+0.21%	0.0048	✓	0.94
2026-01-12	oos	0.27538	0.2726	-1.01%	0.296395	+7.63%	0.0431	✗	0.90
2026-01-11	oos	0.2824	0.279483	-1.03%	0.27538	-2.49%	0.0180	✓	0.93
2026-01-10	oos	0.28944	0.286378	-1.06%	0.2824	-2.43%	0.0191	✓	0.93
2026-01-09	oos	0.28973	0.286588	-1.08%	0.28944	-0.10%	0.0115	✗	1.00
2026-01-08	oos	0.29088	0.286689	-1.44%	0.28973	-0.40%	0.0161	✗	0.99
2026-01-07	oos	0.29302	0.288602	-1.51%	0.29088	-0.73%	0.0112	✓	1.20
2026-01-06	oos	0.2836	0.279715	-1.37%	0.29302	+3.32%	0.0792	✗	1.24
2026-01-05	oos	0.28016	0.27642	-1.34%	0.2836	+1.23%	0.0276	✗	1.23
2026-01-03	oos	0.27195	0.268057	-1.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.23
2026-01-02	oos	0.27572	0.271433	-1.55%	0.27195	-1.37%	0.0068	✓	1.23
2026-01-01	oos	0.26246	0.258993	-1.32%	0.27572	+5.05%	0.0460	✗	1.21
2025-12-31	oos	0.257905	0.25482	-1.20%	0.26246	+1.77%	0.0126	✗	1.20
2025-12-30	oos	0.264	0.260799	-1.21%	0.257905	-2.31%	0.0013	✓	1.21
2025-12-29	oos	0.264925	0.261749	-1.20%	0.264	-0.35%	0.0090	✓	1.20
2025-12-28	oos	0.26149	0.258737	-1.05%	0.264925	+1.31%	0.0342	✗	1.20
2025-12-27	oos	0.26159	0.260539	-0.40%	0.26149	-0.04%	0.0027	✓	1.18
2025-12-26	oos	0.250025	0.249141	-0.35%	0.26159	+4.63%	0.0419	✗	1.17
2025-12-25	oos	0.250575	0.249524	-0.42%	0.250025	-0.22%	0.0003	✓	1.17
2025-12-24	oos	0.25811	0.257174	-0.36%	0.250575	-2.92%	0.0201	✓	1.17
2025-12-23	oos	0.25794	0.256981	-0.37%	0.25811	+0.07%	0.0019	✓	1.19
2025-12-22	oos	0.26017	0.259104	-0.41%	0.25794	-0.86%	0.0106	✗	1.18
2025-12-21	oos	0.25406	0.252999	-0.42%	0.26017	+2.40%	0.0290	✗	1.17
2025-12-20	oos	0.258335	0.256893	-0.56%	0.25406	-1.65%	0.0153	✓	1.19
2025-12-19	oos	0.25433	0.252337	-0.78%	0.258335	+1.57%	0.0204	✗	1.19
2025-12-18	oos	0.24288	0.242175	-0.29%	0.25433	+4.71%	0.0131	✗	1.18
2025-12-17	oos	0.253725	0.252785	-0.37%	0.24288	-4.27%	0.0296	✓	1.18
2025-12-16	oos	0.2625	0.261114	-0.53%	0.253725	-3.34%	0.0064	✓	1.18
2025-12-15	oos	0.26616	0.26351	-1.00%	0.2625	-1.38%	0.0236	✓	1.20
2025-12-14	oos	0.2745	0.273589	-0.33%	0.26616	-3.04%	0.0036	✓	1.19
2025-12-13	oos	0.28291	0.281914	-0.35%	0.2745	-2.97%	0.0010	✓	1.18
2025-12-12	oos	0.28005	0.279106	-0.34%	0.28291	+1.02%	0.0138	✗	1.18
2025-12-11	oos	0.28642	0.285419	-0.35%	0.28005	-2.22%	0.0103	✗	1.18
2025-12-10	oos	0.292285	0.291197	-0.37%	0.28642	-2.01%	0.0230	✓	1.19
2025-12-09	oos	0.29326	0.292146	-0.38%	0.292285	-0.33%	0.0089	✗	1.18
2025-12-08	oos	0.284875	0.283866	-0.35%	0.29326	+2.94%	0.0065	✗	1.17
2025-12-07	oos	0.28704	0.286037	-0.35%	0.284875	-0.75%	0.0073	✓	1.17
2025-12-06	oos	0.29035	0.289173	-0.41%	0.28704	-1.14%	0.0224	✓	1.19
2025-12-05	oos	0.296505	0.294974	-0.52%	0.29035	-2.08%	0.0148	✓	1.19
2025-12-04	oos	0.292345	0.290845	-0.51%	0.296505	+1.42%	0.0564	✗	1.23
2025-12-03	oos	0.29318	0.291786	-0.48%	0.292345	-0.28%	0.0200	✗	1.23
2025-12-02	oos	0.287035	0.285387	-0.57%	0.29318	+2.14%	0.0018	✓	1.24
2025-12-01	oos	0.27774	0.275533	-0.79%	0.287035	+3.35%	0.0322	✓	1.29
2025-11-30	oos	0.296985	0.294845	-0.72%	0.27774	-6.48%	0.0005	✓	1.28
2025-11-29	oos	0.31041	0.306067	-1.40%	0.296985	-4.32%	0.0237	✓	1.27
2025-11-28	oos	0.2863	0.283634	-0.93%	0.31041	+8.42%	0.0913	✗	1.27
2025-11-27	oos	0.282945	0.281467	-0.52%	0.2863	+1.19%	0.0228	✗	1.27
2025-11-26	oos	0.274165	0.273221	-0.34%	0.282945	+3.20%	0.0232	✗	1.26
2025-11-25	oos	0.273475	0.272255	-0.45%	0.274165	+0.25%	0.0390	✓	1.30
2025-11-24	oos	0.27588	0.274496	-0.50%	0.273475	-0.87%	0.0102	✗	1.30
2025-11-23	oos	0.27126	0.268729	-0.93%	0.27588	+1.70%	0.0043	✓	1.32
2025-11-22	oos	0.25884	0.258078	-0.29%	0.27126	+4.80%	0.0167	✗	1.34
2025-11-21	oos	0.26148	0.260229	-0.48%	0.25884	-1.01%	0.0007	✓	1.34
2025-11-20	oos	0.26911	0.268445	-0.25%	0.26148	-2.84%	0.0036	✓	1.33
2025-11-19	oos	0.27749	0.276706	-0.28%	0.26911	-3.02%	0.0510	✗	1.43
2025-11-18	oos	0.28673	0.285697	-0.36%	0.27749	-3.22%	0.0066	✓	1.43
2025-11-17	oos	0.289155	0.28794	-0.42%	0.28673	-0.84%	0.0170	✓	1.46
2025-11-16	oos	0.289095	0.287595	-0.52%	0.289155	+0.02%	0.0382	✗	1.47
2025-11-15	oos	0.29537	0.293028	-0.79%	0.289095	-2.12%	0.0075	✓	1.47
2025-11-14	oos	0.29554	0.292798	-0.93%	0.29537	-0.06%	0.0074	✓	1.47
2025-11-13	oos	0.300075	0.297326	-0.92%	0.29554	-1.51%	0.0767	✗	1.57
2025-11-12	oos	0.31321	0.310727	-0.79%	0.300075	-4.19%	0.0034	✓	1.56
2025-11-11	oos	0.32233	0.318674	-1.13%	0.31321	-2.83%	0.0036	✓	1.56
2025-11-10	oos	0.311865	0.309577	-0.73%	0.32233	+3.36%	0.0859	✗	1.60
2025-11-07	oos	0.31026	0.306571	-1.19%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2025-11-06	oos	0.285505	0.283132	-0.83%	0.31026	+8.67%	0.0624	✗	1.49
2025-11-05	oos	0.274	0.272552	-0.53%	0.285505	+4.20%	0.0852	✗	1.54
2025-11-04	oos	0.26582	0.265528	-0.11%	0.274	+3.08%	0.0049	✓	1.55
2025-11-03	oos	0.27914	0.278656	-0.17%	0.26582	-4.77%	0.0312	✗	1.60
2025-11-02	oos	0.318915	0.317706	-0.38%	0.27914	-12.47%	0.0735	✓	1.52
2025-11-01	oos	0.320415	0.319411	-0.31%	0.318915	-0.47%	0.0083	✓	1.53
2025-10-31	oos	0.309865	0.308906	-0.31%	0.320415	+3.40%	0.0297	✗	1.53
2025-10-30	oos	0.308515	0.307897	-0.20%	0.309865	+0.44%	0.0112	✓	1.53
2025-10-29	oos	0.319275	0.318499	-0.24%	0.308515	-3.37%	0.0079	✓	1.52
2025-10-28	oos	0.31918	0.318441	-0.23%	0.319275	+0.03%	0.0429	✗	1.56
2025-10-27	oos	0.328305	0.327442	-0.26%	0.31918	-2.78%	0.0093	✓	1.56
2025-10-26	oos	0.33998	0.339131	-0.25%	0.328305	-3.43%	0.0262	✓	1.56
2025-10-25	oos	0.33173	0.331047	-0.21%	0.33998	+2.49%	0.0136	✓	1.58
2025-10-24	oos	0.327525	0.326843	-0.21%	0.33173	+1.28%	0.0060	✗	1.59
2025-10-23	oos	0.32564	0.324917	-0.22%	0.327525	+0.58%	0.0053	✓	1.59
2025-10-22	oos	0.31558	0.314935	-0.20%	0.32564	+3.19%	0.0035	✓	1.59
2025-10-21	oos	0.32218	0.321298	-0.27%	0.31558	-2.05%	0.0065	✓	1.59
2025-10-20	oos	0.332165	0.331493	-0.20%	0.32218	-3.01%	0.0033	✗	1.58
2025-10-19	oos	0.327595	0.326908	-0.21%	0.332165	+1.40%	0.0107	✓	1.54
2025-10-18	oos	0.32185	0.321389	-0.14%	0.327595	+1.78%	0.0019	✓	1.54
2025-10-17	oos	0.3212	0.320839	-0.11%	0.32185	+0.20%	0.0076	✓	1.54
2025-10-16	oos	0.337535	0.336992	-0.16%	0.3212	-4.84%	0.0233	✓	1.53
2025-10-15	oos	0.352265	0.351267	-0.28%	0.337535	-4.18%	0.0039	✓	1.51
2025-10-14	oos	0.36235	0.360883	-0.40%	0.352265	-2.78%	0.0064	✗	1.51
2025-10-13	oos	0.38349	0.380977	-0.66%	0.36235	-5.51%	0.0213	✓	1.49
2025-10-12	oos	0.385365	0.383677	-0.44%	0.38349	-0.49%	0.0031	✓	1.47
2025-10-11	oos	0.35246	0.350817	-0.47%	0.385365	+9.34%	0.0405	✗	1.40
2025-10-10	oos	0.35363	0.352553	-0.30%	0.35246	-0.33%	0.0270	✗	1.37
2025-10-09	oos	0.42924	0.428055	-0.28%	0.35363	-17.61%	0.1132	✓	1.05
2025-10-08	oos	0.438	0.436719	-0.29%	0.42924	-2.00%	0.0034	✓	1.04
2025-10-07	oos	0.439955	0.438318	-0.37%	0.438	-0.44%	0.0168	✓	1.01
2025-10-06	oos	0.452595	0.450563	-0.45%	0.439955	-2.79%	0.0033	✓	1.00
2025-10-05	oos	0.44116	0.43881	-0.53%	0.452595	+2.59%	0.0213	✗	1.00
2025-10-04	oos	0.443395	0.440271	-0.70%	0.44116	-0.50%	0.0067	✓	1.01
2025-10-03	oos	0.451335	0.449631	-0.38%	0.443395	-1.76%	0.0151	✓	1.02
2025-10-02	oos	0.45289	0.450574	-0.51%	0.451335	-0.34%	0.0127	✓	1.03
2025-10-01	oos	0.433395	0.4319	-0.34%	0.45289	+4.50%	0.0323	✗	0.93
2025-09-30	oos	0.424195	0.422622	-0.37%	0.433395	+2.17%	0.0122	✓	0.95
2025-09-29	oos	0.41666	0.415189	-0.35%	0.424195	+1.81%	0.0243	✗	1.07
2025-09-28	oos	0.42299	0.420956	-0.48%	0.41666	-1.50%	0.0316	✓	1.12
2025-09-27	oos	0.415515	0.412942	-0.62%	0.42299	+1.80%	0.0018	✓	1.14
2025-09-26	oos	0.42021	0.416382	-0.91%	0.415515	-1.12%	0.0019	✓	1.14
2025-09-25	oos	0.40847	0.405729	-0.67%	0.42021	+2.87%	0.0282	✗	1.13
2025-09-24	oos	0.43509	0.432572	-0.58%	0.40847	-6.12%	0.0151	✓	1.09
2025-09-23	oos	0.442055	0.439162	-0.65%	0.43509	-1.58%	0.0224	✓	1.11
2025-09-22	oos	0.42058	0.416592	-0.95%	0.442055	+5.11%	0.0665	✗	1.13
2025-09-21	oos	0.45137	0.449307	-0.46%	0.42058	-6.82%	0.0419	✓	1.08
2025-09-20	oos	0.462155	0.459744	-0.52%	0.45137	-2.33%	0.0138	✓	1.12
2025-09-19	oos	0.453095	0.450781	-0.51%	0.462155	+2.00%	0.0243	✗	1.12
2025-09-18	oos	0.47161	0.468717	-0.61%	0.453095	-3.93%	0.0201	✓	1.13
2025-09-17	oos	0.466725	0.463404	-0.71%	0.47161	+1.05%	0.0114	✗	1.14
2025-09-16	oos	0.458205	0.453237	-1.08%	0.466725	+1.86%	0.0327	✗	1.14
2025-09-15	oos	0.459515	0.456112	-0.74%	0.458205	-0.29%	0.0098	✓	1.15
2025-09-14	oos	0.494815	0.487441	-1.49%	0.459515	-7.13%	0.0597	✓	1.19
2025-09-13	oos	0.45655	0.451846	-1.03%	0.494815	+8.38%	0.0977	✗	1.21
2025-09-12	oos	0.453335	0.448921	-0.97%	0.45655	+0.71%	0.0183	✗	1.22
2025-09-11	oos	0.4556	0.452577	-0.66%	0.453335	-0.50%	0.0043	✓	1.22
2025-09-10	oos	0.45231	0.450214	-0.46%	0.4556	+0.73%	0.0046	✓	1.22
2025-09-09	oos	0.449115	0.446619	-0.56%	0.45231	+0.71%	0.0141	✓	1.24
2025-09-08	oos	0.450765	0.447256	-0.78%	0.449115	-0.37%	0.0100	✗	1.25
2025-09-07	oos	0.42992	0.427282	-0.61%	0.450765	+4.85%	0.0431	✗	1.23
2025-09-06	oos	0.42645	0.423264	-0.75%	0.42992	+0.81%	0.0058	✓	1.18
2025-09-05	oos	0.42821	0.423256	-1.16%	0.42645	-0.41%	0.0124	✗	1.18

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.