ALTLAYER

? · · beta_5y

token id: #993
symbol: ALTLAYER
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-01-25
predictions: 2,949

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

53.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0267

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0047

actual -0.0008

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.013154	0.012986	-1.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.08
2026-10-21	oos	0.009959	0.009881	-0.78%	0.013154	+1.16%	0.0170	✗	1.02
2026-10-20	oos	0.010039	0.00993	-1.08%	0.009959	-0.80%	0.0058	✓	1.02
2026-10-19	oos	0.009206	0.009134	-0.77%	0.010039	+9.05%	0.0810	✗	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	0.008851	0.008781	-0.79%	0.009206	+4.01%	0.0493	✗	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	0.008622	0.008539	-0.95%	0.008851	+2.66%	0.0282	✗	0.99
2026-10-16	oos	0.008284	0.008226	-0.70%	0.008622	+4.07%	0.0485	✗	1.00
2026-10-15	oos	0.007993	0.007947	-0.57%	0.008284	+3.64%	0.0491	✗	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	0.008056	0.008006	-0.61%	0.007993	-0.78%	0.0085	✓	1.01
2026-10-13	oos	0.008315	0.008252	-0.75%	0.008056	-3.12%	0.0058	✓	0.98
2026-10-12	oos	0.007828	0.007779	-0.63%	0.008315	+6.21%	0.0507	✗	0.96
2026-10-11	oos	0.008175	0.008117	-0.71%	0.007828	-4.24%	0.0147	✓	0.92
2026-10-10	oos	0.008126	0.008061	-0.80%	0.008175	+0.60%	0.0055	✓	0.92
2026-10-09	oos	0.007945	0.007873	-0.91%	0.008126	+2.27%	0.0276	✗	0.92
2026-10-08	oos	0.007255	0.007209	-0.64%	0.007945	+9.51%	0.0879	✗	0.90
2026-10-07	oos	0.007425	0.007379	-0.63%	0.007255	-2.29%	0.0007	✓	0.92
2026-10-06	oos	0.00794	0.007886	-0.69%	0.007425	-6.49%	0.0367	✓	0.87
2026-10-05	oos	0.008013	0.007956	-0.71%	0.00794	-0.90%	0.0002	✓	0.88
2026-10-04	oos	0.007874	0.007821	-0.67%	0.008013	+1.77%	0.0321	✗	0.88
2026-10-03	oos	0.008026	0.007963	-0.79%	0.007874	-1.90%	0.0298	✓	0.90
2026-10-02	oos	0.007874	0.007808	-0.83%	0.008026	+1.94%	0.0250	✗	0.90
2026-10-01	oos	0.007669	0.007615	-0.71%	0.007874	+2.67%	0.0371	✗	0.91
2026-09-30	oos	0.007738	0.007682	-0.73%	0.007669	-0.89%	0.0161	✓	0.94
2026-09-29	oos	0.007615	0.007563	-0.68%	0.007738	+1.62%	0.0238	✗	0.94
2026-09-28	oos	0.00753	0.007484	-0.61%	0.007615	+1.12%	0.0153	✗	0.94
2026-09-27	oos	0.008026	0.007967	-0.74%	0.00753	-6.17%	0.0455	✓	0.91
2026-09-26	oos	0.008165	0.008103	-0.77%	0.008026	-1.71%	0.0100	✓	0.91
2026-09-25	oos	0.008094	0.008028	-0.81%	0.008165	+0.88%	0.0135	✗	0.90
2026-09-24	oos	0.007837	0.007772	-0.83%	0.008094	+3.28%	0.0438	✗	0.91
2026-09-23	oos	0.007385	0.007335	-0.68%	0.007837	+6.12%	0.0662	✗	0.92
2026-09-22	oos	0.007746	0.007684	-0.80%	0.007385	-4.66%	0.0205	✓	0.90
2026-09-21	oos	0.007585	0.00752	-0.85%	0.007746	+2.12%	0.0338	✗	0.92
2026-09-20	oos	0.007175	0.007124	-0.71%	0.007585	+5.71%	0.0019	✓	0.94
2026-09-19	oos	0.007233	0.007176	-0.79%	0.007175	-0.80%	0.0008	✓	0.94
2026-09-18	oos	0.007113	0.00705	-0.89%	0.007233	+1.69%	0.0215	✗	0.94
2026-09-17	oos	0.006596	0.006552	-0.66%	0.007113	+7.84%	0.0316	✗	0.88
2026-09-16	oos	0.006387	0.006352	-0.55%	0.006596	+3.27%	0.0353	✗	0.88
2026-09-15	oos	0.006335	0.006305	-0.47%	0.006387	+0.82%	0.0067	✗	0.84
2026-09-14	oos	0.006713	0.006664	-0.74%	0.006335	-5.64%	0.0232	✓	0.81
2026-09-13	oos	0.006425	0.006392	-0.51%	0.006713	+4.49%	0.0352	✗	0.78
2026-09-12	oos	0.006514	0.006476	-0.58%	0.006425	-1.36%	0.0033	✓	0.77
2026-09-11	oos	0.006255	0.006233	-0.35%	0.006514	+4.13%	0.0435	✗	0.77
2026-09-10	oos	0.006032	0.006024	-0.15%	0.006255	+3.69%	0.0309	✗	0.78
2026-09-09	oos	0.006386	0.006371	-0.23%	0.006032	-5.54%	0.0376	✓	0.75
2026-09-08	oos	0.006584	0.006564	-0.31%	0.006386	-3.01%	0.0258	✓	0.76
2026-09-07	oos	0.006544	0.006525	-0.30%	0.006584	+0.60%	0.0153	✗	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	0.006554	0.006546	-0.11%	0.006544	-0.14%	0.0108	✗	0.71
2026-09-05	oos	0.006526	0.006527	+0.02%	0.006554	+0.42%	0.0005	✗	0.70
2026-09-04	oos	0.006451	0.006464	+0.21%	0.006526	+1.16%	0.0082	✓	0.67
2026-09-03	oos	0.006306	0.006335	+0.47%	0.006451	+2.31%	0.0320	✓	0.70
2026-09-02	oos	0.006073	0.006109	+0.59%	0.006306	+3.82%	0.0049	✓	0.73
2026-09-01	oos	0.006069	0.006109	+0.65%	0.006073	+0.07%	0.0049	✓	0.74
2026-08-31	oos	0.006133	0.006172	+0.64%	0.006069	-1.04%	0.0067	✗	0.68
2026-08-30	oos	0.006067	0.006101	+0.56%	0.006133	+1.09%	0.0028	✓	0.70
2026-08-29	oos	0.006205	0.006233	+0.45%	0.006067	-2.22%	0.0221	✗	0.66
2026-08-28	oos	0.006266	0.006285	+0.31%	0.006205	-0.97%	0.0162	✗	0.67
2026-08-27	oos	0.006537	0.006548	+0.16%	0.006266	-4.15%	0.0239	✗	0.65
2026-08-26	oos	0.006475	0.006476	+0.02%	0.006537	+0.96%	0.0009	✗	0.65
2026-08-25	oos	0.006223	0.006225	+0.03%	0.006475	+4.05%	0.0351	✓	0.67
2026-08-24	oos	0.006415	0.00641	-0.08%	0.006223	-2.99%	0.0260	✓	0.61
2026-08-23	oos	0.006588	0.006572	-0.24%	0.006415	-2.63%	0.0343	✓	0.64
2026-08-22	oos	0.006517	0.006499	-0.27%	0.006588	+1.09%	0.0081	✗	0.63
2026-08-21	oos	0.006912	0.006874	-0.55%	0.006517	-5.71%	0.0435	✓	0.60
2026-08-20	oos	0.006425	0.006391	-0.54%	0.006912	+7.58%	0.0409	✗	0.53
2026-08-19	oos	0.006133	0.0061	-0.53%	0.006425	+4.76%	0.0313	✗	0.39
2026-08-18	oos	0.005853	0.005825	-0.47%	0.006133	+4.78%	0.0280	✗	0.34
2026-08-17	oos	0.005956	0.005925	-0.52%	0.005853	-1.73%	0.0134	✓	0.38
2026-08-16	oos	0.005986	0.005953	-0.55%	0.005956	-0.50%	0.0097	✓	0.40
2026-08-15	oos	0.005995	0.005961	-0.57%	0.005986	-0.15%	0.0053	✓	0.39
2026-08-14	oos	0.005904	0.005873	-0.53%	0.005995	+1.54%	0.0204	✗	0.40
2026-08-13	oos	0.005935	0.005903	-0.55%	0.005904	-0.52%	0.0031	✓	0.40
2026-08-12	oos	0.005835	0.005806	-0.49%	0.005935	+1.71%	0.0218	✗	0.45
2026-08-11	oos	0.005856	0.005828	-0.47%	0.005835	-0.36%	0.0019	✓	0.43
2026-08-10	oos	0.006138	0.0061	-0.61%	0.005856	-4.59%	0.0382	✓	0.45
2026-08-09	oos	0.006055	0.006019	-0.60%	0.006138	+1.37%	0.0265	✗	0.47
2026-08-08	oos	0.005933	0.005899	-0.57%	0.006055	+2.06%	0.0265	✗	0.47
2026-08-07	oos	0.005795	0.005764	-0.53%	0.005933	+2.38%	0.0287	✗	0.48
2026-08-06	oos	0.005796	0.005765	-0.54%	0.005795	-0.02%	0.0006	✓	0.48
2026-08-05	oos	0.005755	0.005724	-0.53%	0.005796	+0.71%	0.0150	✗	0.48
2026-08-04	oos	0.005674	0.005646	-0.50%	0.005755	+1.43%	0.0152	✗	0.46
2026-08-03	oos	0.005733	0.005703	-0.51%	0.005674	-1.03%	0.0095	✓	0.48
2026-08-02	oos	0.005739	0.00571	-0.51%	0.005733	-0.10%	0.0043	✓	0.48
2026-08-01	oos	0.005764	0.005734	-0.52%	0.005739	-0.43%	0.0048	✓	0.49
2026-07-31	oos	0.005828	0.005796	-0.56%	0.005764	-1.10%	0.0050	✓	0.49
2026-07-30	oos	0.005729	0.005702	-0.48%	0.005828	+1.73%	0.0377	✗	0.53
2026-07-29	oos	0.005684	0.00566	-0.43%	0.005729	+0.79%	0.0054	✗	0.53
2026-07-28	oos	0.005983	0.00595	-0.54%	0.005684	-5.00%	0.0462	✓	0.52
2026-07-27	oos	0.005768	0.005744	-0.41%	0.005983	+3.73%	0.0395	✗	0.51
2026-07-26	oos	0.006081	0.006053	-0.47%	0.005768	-5.15%	0.0360	✓	0.48
2026-07-25	oos	0.006113	0.006083	-0.48%	0.006081	-0.52%	0.0085	✓	0.50
2026-07-24	oos	0.006088	0.006061	-0.44%	0.006113	+0.41%	0.0069	✗	0.49
2026-07-23	oos	0.006245	0.006217	-0.45%	0.006088	-2.51%	0.0137	✓	0.49
2026-07-22	oos	0.006349	0.00632	-0.45%	0.006245	-1.64%	0.0044	✓	0.48
2026-07-21	oos	0.006386	0.006356	-0.46%	0.006349	-0.58%	0.0020	✓	0.49
2026-07-20	oos	0.006312	0.006283	-0.46%	0.006386	+1.17%	0.0064	✗	0.50
2026-07-19	oos	0.006308	0.00628	-0.44%	0.006312	+0.06%	0.0009	✓	0.50
2026-07-18	oos	0.006367	0.00634	-0.43%	0.006308	-0.93%	0.0040	✓	0.55
2026-07-17	oos	0.006455	0.006426	-0.46%	0.006367	-1.36%	0.0172	✓	0.57
2026-07-16	oos	0.006606	0.006572	-0.52%	0.006455	-2.29%	0.0191	✓	0.60
2026-07-15	oos	0.006508	0.006476	-0.49%	0.006606	+1.51%	0.0282	✗	0.57
2026-07-14	oos	0.006388	0.00636	-0.44%	0.006508	+1.88%	0.0255	✗	0.59
2026-07-13	oos	0.006296	0.006269	-0.43%	0.006388	+1.46%	0.0075	✓	0.62
2026-07-12	oos	0.006429	0.0064	-0.44%	0.006296	-2.07%	0.0021	✓	0.61
2026-07-11	oos	0.006432	0.006404	-0.44%	0.006429	-0.05%	0.0043	✓	0.64
2026-07-10	oos	0.006578	0.006543	-0.53%	0.006432	-2.22%	0.0135	✓	0.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.006204	0.00618	-0.39%	0.006578	+6.03%	0.0529	✗	0.64
2026-07-08	oos	0.006248	0.006223	-0.40%	0.006204	-0.70%	0.0126	✓	0.64
2026-07-07	oos	0.006407	0.00638	-0.42%	0.006248	-2.48%	0.0098	✓	0.64
2026-07-06	oos	0.006427	0.0064	-0.42%	0.006407	-0.31%	0.0080	✗	0.65
2026-07-05	oos	0.006585	0.006553	-0.49%	0.006427	-2.40%	0.0241	✓	0.71
2026-07-04	oos	0.006629	0.00659	-0.59%	0.006585	-0.66%	0.0064	✓	0.72
2026-07-03	oos	0.006348	0.006313	-0.55%	0.006629	+4.43%	0.0429	✗	0.67
2026-07-02	oos	0.005916	0.00589	-0.44%	0.006348	+7.30%	0.0644	✗	0.63
2026-07-01	oos	0.005829	0.005803	-0.45%	0.005916	+1.49%	0.0034	✓	0.63
2026-06-30	oos	0.005636	0.005612	-0.42%	0.005829	+3.42%	0.0225	✗	0.64
2026-06-29	oos	0.005697	0.005674	-0.41%	0.005636	-1.07%	0.0111	✗	0.64
2026-06-28	oos	0.005635	0.005613	-0.39%	0.005697	+1.10%	0.0075	✗	0.64
2026-06-27	oos	0.005643	0.005623	-0.36%	0.005635	-0.14%	0.0072	✗	0.65
2026-06-26	oos	0.005744	0.005722	-0.39%	0.005643	-1.76%	0.0131	✓	0.65
2026-06-25	oos	0.005694	0.005675	-0.34%	0.005744	+0.88%	0.0089	✗	0.65
2026-06-24	oos	0.005806	0.005788	-0.31%	0.005694	-1.93%	0.0023	✓	0.67
2026-06-23	oos	0.006027	0.006008	-0.32%	0.005806	-3.67%	0.0159	✓	0.68
2026-06-22	oos	0.006304	0.006282	-0.35%	0.006027	-4.39%	0.0277	✓	0.67
2026-06-21	oos	0.006296	0.006275	-0.33%	0.006304	+0.13%	0.0030	✓	0.67
2026-06-20	oos	0.006457	0.006435	-0.34%	0.006296	-2.49%	0.0117	✓	0.66
2026-06-19	oos	0.006908	0.006872	-0.52%	0.006457	-6.53%	0.0705	✓	0.69
2026-06-18	oos	0.006797	0.006763	-0.50%	0.006908	+1.63%	0.0145	✗	0.71
2026-06-17	oos	0.006667	0.006638	-0.44%	0.006797	+1.95%	0.0417	✗	0.73
2026-06-16	oos	0.006764	0.00673	-0.50%	0.006667	-1.43%	0.0036	✓	0.73
2026-06-15	oos	0.006499	0.006473	-0.41%	0.006764	+4.08%	0.0518	✗	0.77
2026-06-14	oos	0.006642	0.00661	-0.49%	0.006499	-2.15%	0.0236	✓	0.78
2026-06-13	oos	0.006614	0.006576	-0.57%	0.006642	+0.42%	0.0054	✓	0.78
2026-06-12	oos	0.006249	0.006222	-0.44%	0.006614	+5.84%	0.0502	✗	0.79
2026-06-11	oos	0.006328	0.006296	-0.51%	0.006249	-1.25%	0.0071	✓	0.79
2026-06-10	oos	0.006105	0.006076	-0.47%	0.006328	+3.65%	0.0143	✗	0.78
2026-06-09	oos	0.006306	0.006268	-0.61%	0.006105	-3.19%	0.0233	✓	0.77
2026-06-08	oos	0.005884	0.005858	-0.44%	0.006306	+7.17%	0.0919	✗	0.82
2026-06-07	oos	0.005673	0.005653	-0.35%	0.005884	+3.72%	0.0432	✗	0.84
2026-06-06	oos	0.005673	0.005655	-0.32%	0.005673	+0.00%	0.0310	✓	0.87
2026-06-05	oos	0.005884	0.005863	-0.35%	0.005673	-3.59%	0.0304	✓	0.85
2026-06-04	oos	0.006227	0.006201	-0.43%	0.005884	-5.51%	0.0155	✓	0.83
2026-06-03	oos	0.006755	0.006713	-0.62%	0.006227	-7.82%	0.0722	✓	0.80
2026-06-02	oos	0.006585	0.006552	-0.49%	0.006755	+2.58%	0.0653	✗	0.87
2026-06-01	oos	0.006995	0.006956	-0.56%	0.006585	-5.86%	0.0008	✓	0.80
2026-05-31	oos	0.006888	0.006854	-0.50%	0.006995	+1.55%	0.0465	✗	0.83
2026-05-30	oos	0.006857	0.006826	-0.46%	0.006888	+0.45%	0.0113	✗	0.81
2026-05-29	oos	0.006807	0.006779	-0.41%	0.006857	+0.73%	0.0069	✗	0.83
2026-05-28	oos	0.006977	0.006945	-0.46%	0.006807	-2.44%	0.0185	✓	0.83
2026-05-27	oos	0.007658	0.007592	-0.86%	0.006977	-8.89%	0.0759	✓	0.79
2026-05-26	oos	0.007008	0.006979	-0.42%	0.007658	+9.28%	0.1100	✗	0.85
2026-05-25	oos	0.007234	0.007204	-0.41%	0.007008	-3.12%	0.0119	✓	0.85
2026-05-24	oos	0.007556	0.00752	-0.47%	0.007234	-4.26%	0.0418	✓	0.84
2026-05-23	oos	0.008217	0.00815	-0.81%	0.007556	-8.04%	0.0793	✓	0.84
2026-05-22	oos	0.008229	0.008139	-1.09%	0.008217	-0.15%	0.0040	✓	0.85
2026-05-21	oos	0.007309	0.007265	-0.60%	0.008229	+12.59%	0.1508	✗	0.96
2026-05-20	oos	0.007392	0.007338	-0.73%	0.007309	-1.12%	0.0048	✓	0.96
2026-05-19	oos	0.006698	0.006668	-0.44%	0.007392	+10.36%	0.0944	✗	0.94
2026-05-18	oos	0.006725	0.006696	-0.43%	0.006698	-0.40%	0.0025	✓	0.96
2026-05-17	oos	0.006618	0.006595	-0.34%	0.006725	+1.62%	0.0251	✗	0.94
2026-05-16	oos	0.00679	0.006767	-0.34%	0.006618	-2.53%	0.0138	✓	0.94
2026-05-15	oos	0.006873	0.006854	-0.28%	0.00679	-1.21%	0.0022	✓	0.95
2026-05-14	oos	0.007406	0.007379	-0.36%	0.006873	-7.20%	0.0477	✓	0.93
2026-05-13	oos	0.007467	0.007442	-0.34%	0.007406	-0.82%	0.0257	✓	0.94
2026-05-12	oos	0.008015	0.00798	-0.44%	0.007467	-6.84%	0.0529	✓	0.90
2026-05-11	oos	0.008285	0.008244	-0.49%	0.008015	-3.26%	0.0151	✓	0.85
2026-05-10	oos	0.008314	0.008272	-0.50%	0.008285	-0.35%	0.0065	✗	0.86
2026-05-09	oos	0.008144	0.008105	-0.48%	0.008314	+2.09%	0.0093	✗	0.86
2026-05-08	oos	0.008256	0.008211	-0.54%	0.008144	-1.36%	0.0131	✓	0.85
2026-05-07	oos	0.008129	0.008086	-0.53%	0.008256	+1.56%	0.0189	✗	0.83
2026-05-06	oos	0.008023	0.007982	-0.51%	0.008129	+1.32%	0.0332	✗	0.84
2026-05-05	oos	0.007856	0.007818	-0.48%	0.008023	+2.13%	0.0197	✗	0.95
2026-05-04	oos	0.007689	0.007654	-0.45%	0.007856	+2.17%	0.0137	✗	0.94
2026-05-03	oos	0.007594	0.007561	-0.44%	0.007689	+1.25%	0.0014	✓	0.94
2026-05-02	oos	0.007688	0.007652	-0.47%	0.007594	-1.22%	0.0061	✓	0.95
2026-05-01	oos	0.007531	0.0075	-0.42%	0.007688	+2.08%	0.0194	✗	0.96
2026-04-30	oos	0.007457	0.007425	-0.42%	0.007531	+0.99%	0.0099	✓	0.96
2026-04-29	oos	0.007736	0.007694	-0.55%	0.007457	-3.61%	0.0383	✓	0.97
2026-04-28	oos	0.007534	0.007501	-0.44%	0.007736	+2.68%	0.0382	✗	0.99
2026-04-27	oos	0.007579	0.007548	-0.41%	0.007534	-0.59%	0.0116	✗	0.99
2026-04-26	oos	0.007956	0.007917	-0.50%	0.007579	-4.74%	0.0271	✓	0.98
2026-04-25	oos	0.008065	0.008019	-0.58%	0.007956	-1.35%	0.0208	✓	0.99
2026-04-24	oos	0.007884	0.007841	-0.55%	0.008065	+2.30%	0.0257	✗	1.00
2026-04-23	oos	0.007859	0.007815	-0.56%	0.007884	+0.32%	0.0193	✗	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.007632	0.007592	-0.53%	0.007859	+2.97%	0.0337	✗	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.007424	0.007385	-0.52%	0.007632	+2.80%	0.0089	✗	0.99
2026-04-20	oos	0.007413	0.007371	-0.56%	0.007424	+0.15%	0.0008	✓	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.006926	0.006896	-0.44%	0.007413	+7.03%	0.0452	✗	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.007115	0.007082	-0.46%	0.006926	-2.66%	0.0032	✓	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.007504	0.00746	-0.58%	0.007115	-5.18%	0.0297	✓	0.99
2026-04-16	oos	0.007688	0.007628	-0.78%	0.007504	-2.39%	0.0420	✓	1.01
2026-04-15	oos	0.006918	0.006878	-0.58%	0.007688	+11.13%	0.1070	✗	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.006786	0.006749	-0.55%	0.006918	+1.95%	0.0159	✗	1.01
2026-04-13	oos	0.006972	0.006924	-0.70%	0.006786	-2.67%	0.0165	✓	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.006626	0.00659	-0.54%	0.006972	+5.22%	0.0045	✓	1.02
2026-04-11	oos	0.006895	0.00684	-0.80%	0.006626	-3.90%	0.0012	✓	1.02
2026-04-10	oos	0.006739	0.006698	-0.60%	0.006895	+2.31%	0.0277	✗	1.02
2026-04-09	oos	0.006756	0.006711	-0.67%	0.006739	-0.25%	0.0127	✓	1.02
2026-04-08	oos	0.006529	0.006488	-0.63%	0.006756	+3.48%	0.0304	✗	1.01
2026-04-07	oos	0.006675	0.0066	-1.13%	0.006529	-2.19%	0.0009	✓	1.01
2026-04-06	oos	0.006187	0.006148	-0.63%	0.006675	+7.89%	0.0391	✗	0.99
2026-04-05	oos	0.006164	0.006136	-0.45%	0.006187	+0.37%	0.0104	✗	0.99
2026-04-04	oos	0.006393	0.006354	-0.60%	0.006164	-3.58%	0.0555	✓	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.00662	0.00654	-1.22%	0.006393	-3.43%	0.0277	✓	1.01
2026-04-02	oos	0.006065	0.006039	-0.43%	0.00662	+9.15%	0.0909	✗	1.01
2026-04-01	oos	0.006334	0.0063	-0.54%	0.006065	-4.25%	0.0198	✓	1.01
2026-03-31	oos	0.006283	0.006245	-0.60%	0.006334	+0.81%	0.0157	✗	1.02
2026-03-30	oos	0.006164	0.006133	-0.50%	0.006283	+1.93%	0.0017	✓	1.02
2026-03-29	oos	0.006084	0.006059	-0.41%	0.006164	+1.31%	0.0053	✗	1.02
2026-03-28	oos	0.006208	0.006184	-0.39%	0.006084	-2.00%	0.0107	✓	1.01
2026-03-27	oos	0.006345	0.006321	-0.37%	0.006208	-2.16%	0.0176	✓	1.01
2026-03-26	oos	0.006635	0.006611	-0.37%	0.006345	-4.37%	0.0046	✓	1.02
2026-03-25	oos	0.006988	0.006959	-0.42%	0.006635	-5.05%	0.0110	✓	1.01
2026-03-24	oos	0.006844	0.00682	-0.36%	0.006988	+2.10%	0.0134	✗	1.01
2026-03-23	oos	0.006966	0.006942	-0.35%	0.006844	-1.75%	0.0093	✓	1.01
2026-03-22	oos	0.006818	0.006795	-0.34%	0.006966	+2.17%	0.0197	✓	1.02
2026-03-21	oos	0.007104	0.007081	-0.33%	0.006818	-4.03%	0.0219	✓	1.02
2026-03-20	oos	0.007474	0.007448	-0.35%	0.007104	-4.95%	0.0243	✓	1.01
2026-03-19	oos	0.007541	0.007514	-0.35%	0.007474	-0.89%	0.0137	✓	1.01
2026-03-18	oos	0.007558	0.007536	-0.30%	0.007541	-0.22%	0.0202	✗	1.04
2026-03-17	oos	0.008071	0.008037	-0.43%	0.007558	-6.36%	0.0233	✓	1.03
2026-03-16	oos	0.008065	0.008031	-0.42%	0.008071	+0.07%	0.0182	✗	1.04
2026-03-15	oos	0.007898	0.007861	-0.47%	0.008065	+2.12%	0.0033	✓	1.04
2026-03-14	oos	0.007474	0.007449	-0.34%	0.007898	+5.67%	0.0357	✗	1.03
2026-03-13	oos	0.007445	0.007421	-0.33%	0.007474	+0.39%	0.0029	✓	1.04
2026-03-12	oos	0.007551	0.007524	-0.36%	0.007445	-1.40%	0.0166	✓	1.04
2026-03-11	oos	0.007653	0.007615	-0.49%	0.007551	-1.33%	0.0133	✓	1.05
2026-03-10	oos	0.007546	0.007517	-0.39%	0.007653	+1.42%	0.0143	✗	1.04
2026-03-09	oos	0.00727	0.007246	-0.34%	0.007546	+3.80%	0.0177	✗	1.04
2026-03-08	oos	0.007116	0.00709	-0.37%	0.00727	+2.16%	0.0132	✓	1.05
2026-03-07	oos	0.007076	0.007054	-0.32%	0.007116	+0.57%	0.0292	✗	1.05
2026-03-06	oos	0.007153	0.007134	-0.26%	0.007076	-1.08%	0.0050	✗	1.05
2026-03-05	oos	0.007255	0.007238	-0.24%	0.007153	-1.41%	0.0308	✗	1.06
2026-03-04	oos	0.007432	0.007411	-0.29%	0.007255	-2.38%	0.0054	✗	1.06
2026-03-03	oos	0.007324	0.007303	-0.29%	0.007432	+1.47%	0.0509	✓	1.11
2026-03-02	oos	0.007251	0.007232	-0.26%	0.007324	+1.01%	0.0207	✗	1.11
2026-03-01	oos	0.007123	0.007105	-0.25%	0.007251	+1.80%	0.0315	✓	1.14
2026-02-28	oos	0.007539	0.007511	-0.37%	0.007123	-5.52%	0.0327	✓	1.13
2026-02-27	oos	0.007517	0.00749	-0.35%	0.007539	+0.29%	0.0125	✓	1.14
2026-02-26	oos	0.007536	0.007516	-0.26%	0.007517	-0.25%	0.0280	✗	1.14
2026-02-25	oos	0.007779	0.007754	-0.32%	0.007536	-3.12%	0.0201	✓	1.14
2026-02-24	oos	0.007418	0.007397	-0.29%	0.007779	+4.87%	0.0178	✓	1.15
2026-02-23	oos	0.007368	0.00735	-0.24%	0.007418	+0.68%	0.0190	✗	1.14
2026-02-22	oos	0.007626	0.00761	-0.21%	0.007368	-3.38%	0.0196	✗	1.15
2026-02-21	oos	0.007988	0.007968	-0.25%	0.007626	-4.53%	0.0381	✓	1.15
2026-02-20	oos	0.008236	0.00821	-0.31%	0.007988	-3.01%	0.0270	✓	1.14
2026-02-19	oos	0.00803	0.008011	-0.24%	0.008236	+2.57%	0.0107	✗	1.14
2026-02-18	oos	0.008196	0.008172	-0.29%	0.00803	-2.03%	0.0272	✓	1.16
2026-02-17	oos	0.008763	0.008726	-0.43%	0.008196	-6.47%	0.0464	✓	1.04
2026-02-16	oos	0.008626	0.008597	-0.33%	0.008763	+1.59%	0.0405	✗	1.05
2026-02-15	oos	0.008606	0.008578	-0.33%	0.008626	+0.23%	0.0046	✗	1.05
2026-02-14	oos	0.009088	0.009047	-0.45%	0.008606	-5.30%	0.0350	✓	1.05
2026-02-13	oos	0.008898	0.008858	-0.45%	0.009088	+2.14%	0.0108	✗	1.05
2026-02-12	oos	0.008649	0.008608	-0.48%	0.008898	+2.88%	0.0076	✓	1.06
2026-02-11	oos	0.00848	0.008441	-0.46%	0.008649	+1.99%	0.0374	✗	1.06
2026-02-10	oos	0.008161	0.00814	-0.26%	0.00848	+3.91%	0.0693	✗	1.08
2026-02-09	oos	0.008358	0.008333	-0.29%	0.008161	-2.36%	0.0007	✓	1.08
2026-02-08	oos	0.008366	0.008343	-0.28%	0.008358	-0.10%	0.0046	✗	1.10
2026-02-07	oos	0.008586	0.008554	-0.38%	0.008366	-2.56%	0.0387	✓	1.11
2026-02-06	oos	0.008428	0.008398	-0.35%	0.008586	+1.87%	0.0425	✗	1.11
2026-02-05	oos	0.007656	0.007661	+0.06%	0.008428	+10.08%	0.0408	✗	1.17
2026-02-04	oos	0.009233	0.009197	-0.39%	0.007656	-17.08%	0.0048	✓	1.19
2026-02-03	oos	0.009308	0.009273	-0.37%	0.009233	-0.81%	0.0393	✗	1.22
2026-02-02	oos	0.00974	0.009694	-0.48%	0.009308	-4.44%	0.0076	✗	1.24
2026-02-01	oos	0.00922	0.00919	-0.33%	0.00974	+5.64%	0.0308	✗	1.20
2026-01-31	oos	0.00963	0.009591	-0.40%	0.00922	-4.26%	0.0103	✓	1.29
2026-01-30	oos	0.01037	0.010325	-0.43%	0.00963	-7.14%	0.0204	✗	1.34
2026-01-29	oos	0.01036	0.010317	-0.42%	0.01037	+0.10%	0.0116	✗	1.36
2026-01-28	oos	0.01125	0.011191	-0.52%	0.01036	-7.91%	0.0059	✓	1.33
2026-01-27	oos	0.01143	0.011373	-0.50%	0.01125	-1.57%	0.0116	✓	1.37
2026-01-26	oos	0.01164	0.011568	-0.62%	0.01143	-1.80%	0.0252	✓	1.35
2026-01-25	oos	0.01115	0.011087	-0.57%	0.01164	+4.39%	0.0226	✗	1.35
2026-01-24	oos	0.01185	0.011774	-0.64%	0.01115	-5.91%	0.0161	✓	1.33
2026-01-23	oos	0.01141	0.011352	-0.51%	0.01185	+3.86%	0.0489	✗	1.35
2026-01-22	oos	0.01138	0.011327	-0.47%	0.01141	+0.26%	0.0072	✗	1.35
2026-01-21	oos	0.01178	0.011718	-0.53%	0.01138	-3.40%	0.0308	✓	1.35
2026-01-20	oos	0.01133	0.011285	-0.40%	0.01178	+3.97%	0.0269	✗	1.35
2026-01-19	oos	0.01221	0.012145	-0.53%	0.01133	-7.21%	0.0062	✓	1.35
2026-01-18	oos	0.01248	0.012419	-0.49%	0.01221	-2.16%	0.0014	✓	1.35
2026-01-17	oos	0.01285	0.012784	-0.51%	0.01248	-2.88%	0.0030	✓	1.34
2026-01-16	oos	0.01323	0.013128	-0.77%	0.01285	-2.87%	0.0158	✓	1.34
2026-01-15	oos	0.01237	0.012323	-0.38%	0.01323	+6.95%	0.0722	✗	1.34
2026-01-14	oos	0.01325	0.01318	-0.53%	0.01237	-6.64%	0.0446	✓	1.33
2026-01-13	oos	0.01367	0.013563	-0.79%	0.01325	-3.07%	0.0456	✓	1.36
2026-01-12	oos	0.01253	0.01246	-0.56%	0.01367	+9.10%	0.0326	✗	1.34
2026-01-11	oos	0.01279	0.012722	-0.53%	0.01253	-2.03%	0.0199	✓	1.35
2026-01-10	oos	0.01283	0.012763	-0.52%	0.01279	-0.31%	0.0053	✓	1.35
2026-01-09	oos	0.01297	0.012903	-0.51%	0.01283	-1.08%	0.0035	✓	1.43
2026-01-08	oos	0.01303	0.012963	-0.51%	0.01297	-0.46%	0.0084	✗	1.40
2026-01-07	oos	0.01327	0.013204	-0.50%	0.01303	-1.81%	0.0079	✓	1.92
2026-01-06	oos	0.01365	0.013576	-0.54%	0.01327	-2.78%	0.0282	✗	1.93
2026-01-05	oos	0.01354	0.013465	-0.55%	0.01365	+0.81%	0.0167	✗	1.94
2026-01-04	oos	0.01384	0.013721	-0.86%	0.01354	-2.17%	0.0647	✓	2.01
2026-01-03	oos	0.0129	0.01283	-0.54%	0.01384	+7.29%	0.0561	✗	2.00
2026-01-02	oos	0.01273	0.012653	-0.60%	0.0129	+1.34%	0.0052	✓	1.99
2026-01-01	oos	0.01248	0.012382	-0.78%	0.01273	+2.00%	0.0006	✓	1.99
2025-12-31	oos	0.01146	0.011407	-0.46%	0.01248	+8.90%	0.0622	✗	1.97
2025-12-30	oos	0.01159	0.011537	-0.46%	0.01146	-1.12%	0.0135	✗	1.98
2025-12-29	oos	0.0117	0.011646	-0.47%	0.01159	-0.94%	0.0334	✓	1.95
2025-12-28	oos	0.01186	0.011802	-0.49%	0.0117	-1.35%	0.0084	✗	1.95
2025-12-27	oos	0.01213	0.012057	-0.60%	0.01186	-2.23%	0.0180	✓	1.92
2025-12-26	oos	0.01161	0.011554	-0.48%	0.01213	+4.48%	0.0376	✗	1.89
2025-12-25	oos	0.01145	0.011398	-0.45%	0.01161	+1.40%	0.0157	✗	1.89
2025-12-24	oos	0.01147	0.01142	-0.44%	0.01145	-0.17%	0.0122	✗	1.90
2025-12-23	oos	0.01141	0.011362	-0.42%	0.01147	+0.53%	0.0055	✗	1.90
2025-12-22	oos	0.01153	0.011481	-0.42%	0.01141	-1.04%	0.0182	✗	1.91
2025-12-21	oos	0.01145	0.011405	-0.39%	0.01153	+0.70%	0.0127	✗	1.91
2025-12-20	oos	0.01182	0.011762	-0.49%	0.01145	-3.13%	0.0338	✓	1.94
2025-12-19	oos	0.01167	0.011614	-0.48%	0.01182	+1.29%	0.0125	✗	1.94
2025-12-18	oos	0.01078	0.010746	-0.32%	0.01167	+8.26%	0.0242	✗	1.92
2025-12-17	oos	0.01131	0.011271	-0.35%	0.01078	-4.69%	0.0277	✓	1.93
2025-12-16	oos	0.012	0.011952	-0.40%	0.01131	-5.75%	0.0189	✓	1.92
2025-12-15	oos	0.01187	0.011823	-0.39%	0.012	+1.10%	0.0169	✓	1.93
2025-12-14	oos	0.01225	0.012201	-0.40%	0.01187	-3.10%	0.0114	✗	1.94
2025-12-13	oos	0.01305	0.012987	-0.48%	0.01225	-6.13%	0.0134	✓	1.93
2025-12-12	oos	0.01244	0.012395	-0.36%	0.01305	+4.90%	0.0519	✗	1.93
2025-12-11	oos	0.01283	0.012783	-0.37%	0.01244	-3.04%	0.0208	✗	1.94
2025-12-10	oos	0.01307	0.01302	-0.39%	0.01283	-1.84%	0.0254	✓	1.95
2025-12-09	oos	0.01353	0.013466	-0.47%	0.01307	-3.40%	0.0161	✓	1.94
2025-12-08	oos	0.01316	0.013098	-0.47%	0.01353	+2.81%	0.0105	✓	1.93
2025-12-07	oos	0.01283	0.012779	-0.40%	0.01316	+2.57%	0.0240	✗	1.93
2025-12-06	oos	0.01318	0.013119	-0.47%	0.01283	-2.66%	0.0469	✓	1.95
2025-12-05	oos	0.01275	0.0127	-0.39%	0.01318	+3.37%	0.0388	✗	1.95
2025-12-04	oos	0.01314	0.013092	-0.36%	0.01275	-2.97%	0.0334	✗	1.98
2025-12-03	oos	0.01376	0.013698	-0.45%	0.01314	-4.51%	0.0126	✓	1.97
2025-12-02	oos	0.01343	0.013368	-0.46%	0.01376	+2.46%	0.0173	✓	1.99
2025-12-01	oos	0.01251	0.012467	-0.34%	0.01343	+7.35%	0.0412	✓	2.04
2025-11-30	oos	0.01321	0.013165	-0.34%	0.01251	-5.30%	0.0462	✗	2.10
2025-11-29	oos	0.01387	0.013812	-0.41%	0.01321	-4.76%	0.0341	✓	2.07
2025-11-28	oos	0.01559	0.015433	-1.00%	0.01387	-11.03%	0.1051	✓	2.08
2025-11-27	oos	0.01384	0.013781	-0.43%	0.01559	+12.64%	0.1329	✗	2.09
2025-11-26	oos	0.01412	0.014052	-0.48%	0.01384	-1.98%	0.0345	✓	2.07
2025-11-25	oos	0.01388	0.013813	-0.49%	0.01412	+1.73%	0.0535	✓	2.14
2025-11-24	oos	0.01384	0.013772	-0.49%	0.01388	+0.29%	0.0308	✗	2.14
2025-11-23	oos	0.01332	0.013267	-0.40%	0.01384	+3.90%	0.0066	✗	2.14
2025-11-22	oos	0.01345	0.013394	-0.42%	0.01332	-0.97%	0.0604	✓	2.22
2025-11-21	oos	0.01408	0.013993	-0.62%	0.01345	-4.47%	0.0295	✓	2.21
2025-11-20	oos	0.01571	0.015522	-1.20%	0.01408	-10.38%	0.0601	✓	2.18
2025-11-19	oos	0.01424	0.014175	-0.46%	0.01571	+10.32%	0.2435	✗	2.54
2025-11-18	oos	0.01455	0.014481	-0.48%	0.01424	-2.13%	0.0234	✗	2.55
2025-11-17	oos	0.01405	0.013995	-0.39%	0.01455	+3.56%	0.0164	✗	2.55
2025-11-16	oos	0.01451	0.014452	-0.40%	0.01405	-3.17%	0.0289	✗	2.55
2025-11-15	oos	0.01521	0.015142	-0.45%	0.01451	-4.60%	0.0060	✓	2.56
2025-11-14	oos	0.01491	0.014853	-0.38%	0.01521	+2.01%	0.0043	✓	2.56
2025-11-13	oos	0.01581	0.015746	-0.40%	0.01491	-5.69%	0.0864	✗	2.68
2025-11-12	oos	0.01634	0.016264	-0.46%	0.01581	-3.24%	0.0258	✗	2.69
2025-11-11	oos	0.01619	0.01613	-0.37%	0.01634	+0.93%	0.0492	✗	2.71
2025-11-10	oos	0.01779	0.017686	-0.59%	0.01619	-8.99%	0.0116	✓	2.70
2025-11-09	oos	0.01728	0.017188	-0.53%	0.01779	+2.95%	0.0015	✓	2.70
2025-11-08	oos	0.01723	0.017131	-0.58%	0.01728	+0.29%	0.0551	✓	2.74
2025-11-07	oos	0.01771	0.017565	-0.82%	0.01723	-2.71%	0.0074	✓	2.74
2025-11-06	oos	0.01611	0.016033	-0.48%	0.01771	+9.93%	0.0467	✗	2.71
2025-11-05	oos	0.01679	0.016689	-0.60%	0.01611	-4.05%	0.0333	✗	2.73
2025-11-04	oos	0.01601	0.015922	-0.55%	0.01679	+4.87%	0.0113	✓	2.75
2025-11-03	oos	0.01679	0.016674	-0.69%	0.01601	-4.65%	0.1015	✗	2.90
2025-11-02	oos	0.01997	0.019651	-1.60%	0.01679	-15.92%	0.0537	✓	2.83
2025-11-01	oos	0.01756	0.017472	-0.50%	0.01997	+13.72%	0.1212	✗	2.82
2025-10-31	oos	0.01636	0.016312	-0.29%	0.01756	+7.33%	0.0610	✗	2.82
2025-10-30	oos	0.01664	0.016588	-0.31%	0.01636	-1.68%	0.0464	✓	2.85
2025-10-29	oos	0.01889	0.018804	-0.45%	0.01664	-11.91%	0.0789	✓	2.75
2025-10-28	oos	0.0188	0.018721	-0.42%	0.01889	+0.48%	0.0820	✗	2.83
2025-10-27	oos	0.01958	0.019487	-0.48%	0.0188	-3.98%	0.0064	✓	2.83
2025-10-26	oos	0.02034	0.020216	-0.61%	0.01958	-3.74%	0.0206	✓	2.83
2025-10-25	oos	0.01946	0.019362	-0.50%	0.02034	+4.52%	0.0242	✓	2.88
2025-10-24	oos	0.01934	0.019243	-0.50%	0.01946	+0.62%	0.0054	✓	2.97
2025-10-23	oos	0.0192	0.019102	-0.51%	0.01934	+0.73%	0.0125	✓	2.97
2025-10-22	oos	0.01829	0.018219	-0.39%	0.0192	+4.98%	0.0166	✓	2.97
2025-10-21	oos	0.01894	0.018857	-0.44%	0.01829	-3.43%	0.0092	✓	2.97
2025-10-20	oos	0.01966	0.019562	-0.50%	0.01894	-3.66%	0.0285	✗	3.02
2025-10-19	oos	0.01935	0.019262	-0.46%	0.01966	+1.60%	0.0308	✓	2.97
2025-10-18	oos	0.01916	0.019089	-0.37%	0.01935	+0.99%	0.0271	✓	2.99
2025-10-17	oos	0.01885	0.018793	-0.30%	0.01916	+1.64%	0.0015	✓	2.98
2025-10-16	oos	0.01937	0.019314	-0.29%	0.01885	-2.68%	0.0242	✗	3.00
2025-10-15	oos	0.02053	0.020459	-0.35%	0.01937	-5.65%	0.0165	✗	2.99
2025-10-14	oos	0.02154	0.021446	-0.43%	0.02053	-4.69%	0.0170	✗	3.00
2025-10-13	oos	0.02263	0.022493	-0.61%	0.02154	-4.82%	0.0148	✗	3.00
2025-10-12	oos	0.022	0.021869	-0.59%	0.02263	+2.86%	0.0289	✗	2.94
2025-10-11	oos	0.01948	0.019446	-0.18%	0.022	+12.94%	0.0131	✗	2.90
2025-10-10	oos	0.01861	0.018621	+0.06%	0.01948	+4.67%	0.1037	✓	2.96
2025-10-09	oos	0.02809	0.027953	-0.49%	0.01861	-33.75%	0.2445	✓	2.18
2025-10-08	oos	0.0289	0.028745	-0.54%	0.02809	-2.80%	0.0075	✗	2.30
2025-10-07	oos	0.02774	0.027616	-0.45%	0.0289	+4.18%	0.0086	✗	2.32
2025-10-06	oos	0.0304	0.03021	-0.63%	0.02774	-8.75%	0.0231	✓	2.30
2025-10-05	oos	0.02887	0.028719	-0.52%	0.0304	+5.30%	0.0348	✗	2.29
2025-10-04	oos	0.02937	0.029213	-0.54%	0.02887	-1.70%	0.0317	✓	2.30
2025-10-03	oos	0.03044	0.030217	-0.73%	0.02937	-3.52%	0.0311	✓	2.30
2025-10-02	oos	0.02927	0.029051	-0.75%	0.03044	+4.00%	0.0147	✗	2.29
2025-10-01	oos	0.02791	0.027742	-0.60%	0.02927	+4.87%	0.0160	✗	2.29
2025-09-30	oos	0.02696	0.026813	-0.55%	0.02791	+3.52%	0.0550	✓	2.41
2025-09-29	oos	0.02742	0.027272	-0.54%	0.02696	-1.68%	0.0053	✓	2.40
2025-09-28	oos	0.02841	0.02824	-0.60%	0.02742	-3.48%	0.0771	✓	2.49
2025-09-27	oos	0.02835	0.02815	-0.70%	0.02841	+0.21%	0.0492	✓	2.58
2025-09-26	oos	0.0281	0.027916	-0.65%	0.02835	+0.89%	0.0158	✗	2.58
2025-09-25	oos	0.02673	0.026593	-0.51%	0.0281	+5.13%	0.0396	✗	2.57
2025-09-24	oos	0.02903	0.02887	-0.55%	0.02673	-7.92%	0.0243	✗	2.61
2025-09-23	oos	0.02867	0.028539	-0.46%	0.02903	+1.26%	0.0140	✓	2.63
2025-09-22	oos	0.02965	0.029508	-0.48%	0.02867	-3.31%	0.0125	✓	2.55
2025-09-21	oos	0.03334	0.033147	-0.58%	0.02965	-11.07%	0.0570	✓	2.44
2025-09-20	oos	0.03391	0.033717	-0.57%	0.03334	-1.68%	0.0014	✓	2.41
2025-09-19	oos	0.03336	0.033198	-0.49%	0.03391	+1.65%	0.0199	✗	2.47
2025-09-18	oos	0.03557	0.035348	-0.62%	0.03336	-6.21%	0.0272	✓	2.50

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.