ALIGN
Aligned · Ethereum · beta_5y
- token id
- #369
- symbol
- ALIGN
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x50614cc8e44f7814549c223aa31db9296e58057c
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-20
- predictions
- 165
Track record at +7d
assessed
48
of 55 predictions shown
direction hit
75.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1064
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0295
actual -0.1166
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | live | 0.004485 | 0.004448 | -0.82% | – | pending | – | – | -0.60 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.004775 | 0.004675 | -2.09% | – | pending | – | – | -0.65 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.004405 | 0.004357 | -1.10% | – | pending | – | – | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.004435 | 0.004377 | -1.31% | – | pending | – | – | -0.64 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.004845 | 0.004732 | -2.33% | – | pending | – | – | -0.65 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.004885 | 0.004766 | -2.44% | – | pending | – | – | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.005015 | 0.004856 | -3.17% | – | pending | – | – | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.004595 | 0.004518 | -1.67% | 0.004485 | -2.39% | 0.0081 | ✓ | -0.61 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00456 | 0.004485 | -1.64% | 0.004775 | +4.71% | 0.0711 | ✗ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.004635 | 0.00456 | -1.62% | 0.004405 | -4.96% | 0.0358 | ✓ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.004785 | 0.004691 | -1.97% | 0.004435 | -7.31% | 0.0554 | ✓ | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.004985 | 0.00488 | -2.10% | 0.004845 | -2.81% | 0.0205 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.00511 | 0.004991 | -2.33% | 0.004885 | -4.40% | 0.0338 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.005055 | 0.004927 | -2.53% | 0.005015 | -0.79% | 0.0092 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.00526 | 0.005097 | -3.09% | 0.004595 | -12.64% | 0.1002 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.00572 | 0.005522 | -3.47% | 0.00456 | -20.28% | 0.2065 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.00581 | 0.005635 | -3.01% | 0.004635 | -20.22% | 0.2169 | ✓ | -0.75 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.005875 | 0.005684 | -3.25% | 0.004785 | -18.55% | 0.2077 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.005995 | 0.005781 | -3.56% | 0.004985 | -16.85% | 0.1729 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.006145 | 0.005898 | -4.02% | 0.00511 | -16.84% | 0.1600 | ✓ | -0.76 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.00596 | 0.005732 | -3.82% | 0.005055 | -15.18% | 0.1434 | ✓ | -0.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.005915 | 0.005688 | -3.85% | 0.00526 | -11.07% | 0.1063 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.00622 | 0.005936 | -4.57% | 0.00572 | -8.04% | 0.0395 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.00631 | 0.006008 | -4.78% | 0.00581 | -7.92% | 0.0171 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.006435 | 0.006114 | -4.99% | 0.005875 | -8.70% | 0.0200 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.00652 | 0.006189 | -5.07% | 0.005995 | -8.05% | 0.0145 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.006415 | 0.006077 | -5.27% | 0.006145 | -4.21% | 0.0139 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.006405 | 0.006063 | -5.35% | 0.00596 | -6.95% | 0.0136 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.00652 | 0.006141 | -5.81% | 0.005915 | -9.28% | 0.0337 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.00623 | 0.005915 | -5.06% | 0.00622 | -0.16% | 0.0435 | ✓ | -0.70 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.00683 | 0.006401 | -6.28% | 0.00631 | -7.61% | 0.0384 | ✓ | -0.80 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.00686 | 0.006416 | -6.47% | 0.006435 | -6.20% | 0.0261 | ✓ | -0.79 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.0068 | 0.006438 | -5.33% | 0.00652 | -4.12% | 0.0585 | ✗ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.00702 | 0.006589 | -6.14% | 0.006415 | -8.62% | 0.0174 | ✓ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.006925 | 0.006512 | -5.96% | 0.006405 | -7.51% | 0.0556 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.00683 | 0.006513 | -4.64% | 0.00652 | -4.54% | 0.0991 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.00675 | 0.006452 | -4.41% | 0.00623 | -7.70% | 0.1377 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.007965 | 0.007346 | -7.77% | 0.00683 | -14.25% | 0.2042 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.005885 | 0.005793 | -1.56% | 0.00686 | +16.57% | 0.0668 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.006125 | 0.00606 | -1.05% | 0.0068 | +11.02% | 0.0599 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.006325 | 0.006289 | -0.58% | 0.00702 | +10.99% | 0.0599 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.006635 | 0.006591 | -0.66% | 0.006925 | +4.37% | 0.0030 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.00694 | 0.006884 | -0.81% | 0.00683 | -1.59% | 0.0054 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.00705 | 0.007027 | -0.33% | 0.00675 | -4.26% | 0.0125 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.00798 | 0.007842 | -1.74% | 0.007965 | -0.19% | 0.0528 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.00801 | 0.007877 | -1.67% | 0.005885 | -26.53% | 0.2798 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.007945 | 0.007854 | -1.15% | 0.006125 | -22.91% | 0.2036 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.008195 | 0.008153 | -0.51% | 0.006325 | -22.82% | 0.2212 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.00829 | 0.008301 | +0.14% | 0.006635 | -19.96% | 0.1926 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.0083 | 0.008364 | +0.77% | 0.00694 | -16.39% | 0.1267 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.00927 | 0.009281 | +0.12% | 0.00705 | -23.95% | 0.2875 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.009765 | 0.009792 | +0.28% | 0.00798 | -18.28% | 0.2181 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.010555 | 0.010564 | +0.09% | 0.00801 | -24.11% | 0.2835 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.01074 | 0.010766 | +0.25% | 0.007945 | -26.02% | 0.3377 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.01105 | 0.011037 | -0.12% | 0.008195 | -25.84% | 0.3179 | ✓ | 1.00 |